Don’t Chase Green — ZEC’s 165–185 Reload vs 285 Breakout

ZEC is in vertical expansion after a multi-year base break. We map decision zones and let price confirm.

1W
• +350% in three weeks; clean break of the 2022–2024 base (≈$30 → $80) and engulf of $120–130 supply.
• In price discovery until next HTF resistance band $260–280.
• Weekly volume highest since 2021 → true impulse confirmed.

2D
• Two candles show exhaustion wicks, no structural break.
• Momentum extreme; a mean reversion toward $180–190 is likely and ideal for re-entry if defended.

12H
• Local parabolic channel intact.
• $160–175 demand base (FVG + prior imbalance).
• Reclaim > $240 resumes markup into $270 → $310 extension.

📈 Orderflow / Derivatives
• POC: ≈ $190
• Open Interest: ≈ $210M (+90% week-over-week) → leverage inflow
• Funding: +0.08–0.10% on Bybit → crowded longs
• CVD: positive — spot absorption still present
• Liquidations: clusters below $175 and above $260 → prime hunt zones

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⚔️ Sweep Zones / Execution Boxes

🔶 Resistance Sweep Zone — $260 → $285
• Break > $285 with OI rising → price discovery into $310–340.
• Wick rejection + funding cool-off → short-term top → pullback to $190 POC.

🟩 Support Sweep Zone — $165 → $185
• Flush into band with OI reset & CVD turn positive = re-entry zone.
• Break < $165 = parabola ends → $125–140 mid-range rebuild.

⚫ Deep Liquidity Zone — $120 → $140
• Historical weekly supply flip.
• Defend → macro bullish continuation; lose → revert to range cycle.

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🧭 Interpretation
ZEC sits in speculative escape velocity (privacy narrative + supply squeeze). Risk is elevated with funding and OI stretched. Prefer pullbacks into $190 → $175 with OI flush for continuation plays. As long as 12H closes > $160, macro bias stays bullish.