How to determine a breakout level ?A breakout occurs when the price of an asset moves above or below a significant level of support or resistance. For traders, identifying a breakout can be a profitable opportunity to enter or exit a trade.
Here are some steps to help you identify a breakout:
Identify the key support or resistance level - This is usually a level where the price has previously bounced off several times.
Look for a strong momentum in the direction of the breakout - This can be indicated by a sudden increase in volume, or a significant move in the price.
Wait for the breakout confirmation - This is when the price moves decisively above or below the support or resistance level.
Confirm the breakout with other technical indicators - Use other technical indicators, such as moving averages or trend lines, to confirm the breakout and determine the strength of the trend.
Place your trade - Once you have confirmed the breakout, you can enter a long or short position, depending on the direction of the breakout.
Remember that not all breakouts are successful, and it's important to use proper risk management techniques, such as setting stop-loss orders, to limit your losses in case the trade goes against you.
Level
How To Enter A Pullback In A Trend
Enter when these confluence factors are present. There is a Trend, Level, and Signal.
Trend:
Up
Confluence Factors at the Support Resistance Level:
Close Price 96.31
EMA 10 Close Price 96.24
50% Fibonacci Retracement Price 96.15
Horizontal Support Price 95.99
EMA 20 Close Price 95.31
Signal:
Rejection Candlestick
Bitcoin: Levels of Price Action One of the first most important and fundamental thing for any trader to do, is to properly define price levels on chart.
Dealing with Bitcoin price in 2019 you can witness it's peak near 20 000 price range and as price went down by now to 3750 area, this means most traders will set their levels at closest round numbers like of course at the middle 10 000 and lower 5000 level.
Second important levels are intermediate primary like 2500 and 7500 which are calculated by dividing main levels in two, and finally you get secondary intermediate levels 8850, 6250, 3750 also calculated by division in half. As you can see on BTC chart these levels work out perfectly well.
Setting levels is a very simple part of TA, but it gives a lot more comfort and vision, when making trading decisions.
Good Luck
USDCAD idea update - why you must get your entry rightHere's another example of the larger time frame providing plenty of chances on the lower time frame.
A healthy breakout is one with buildup against the level under attack. If we keep probing/failing....and STILL attacking the level from closer and closer, you know where the pressure is.
I'm sure you already use variable size to consistently risk the same % of your account per trade. i.e. keeping risk the same whether you're accounting for 10, 20, or 30 ticks/pips.
I'd suggest adding another filter - standardizing the SIZE of your stops. By that I mean if you're taking trades with stops between 10-30 ticks/pips, that's fine. But what if another move suggests a stop of 100 pips/ticks? Can you expect the same R out of the move? Are you actually just chasing price?
This filter will get you to be more disciplined about your entries, keeping them tight and decisive.
This move was already extended. But the level was attractive enough I expected a healthy push at least to the levels I marked out.
This is very different to trying to get in with a young, strong trend. You've got to recognize what you're trying to get out of the move and how the market is likely to react at SPECIFIC points.
Why an early fail can actually HELP a breakoutThis is a great example for traders of all timeframes to study. I don't really have time for people basing trades on wide zones - that's fine for analysis, but for a TRADE, you've got to see the fight at a specific level. When you draw these correctly, you can get a really great picture of evolving sentiment and balance of power shifts.
Most traders treat breakouts way too lazily. You don't just enter at a new High/Low. You NEED buildup.
Any naked attack from distance is likely to fail. But what if it only pauses, instead of crashing?
Do you redraw the level? Do you avoid the trade completely?
What works for me:
Talk out the developing scenario. A fail failed? Ooh, interesting. Maybe there's more power on the original side than expected.
Once the breakout's happened, how is the other side thinking? I was biased long, getting everything I wanted to see....but what would the Bears want to see? Probably a close back under the grey/yellow boxes, right?
But wait, now that we created another temporary level during the failed probe, there's another level price needs to break through before even attempting the yellow level and then grey boxes!
--> this makes for a likely bounce point, and creates several chances for late entries. Best of all, it means a breakout entry at the original level will be protected by that bounce and your trade stays green.
Ideal trades series; G/J D1 SR break + close (2/2)Here's the setup on the H1.
Apply this to any time frame. If you're using important levels and trading at the right times, most healthy breakouts involve some version of this shape. Strong, confirmed breakout with a clear close past the level, a weak but steady pullback to the level, and then an immediate fail at support-turned-resistance.
Ideal trades series; G/J D1 SR break + close (1/2)This is the type of context shift we're looking for. The breakout bar shifts us from analysis mode to trade hunting....looking for lower time frame, healthy PBSR to risk off a level retest.
See comment for H1 ideal entry.
(These are not trades I took, I'm just building a solid study library and I suggest you do the same).









