A Thesis Of A Trade: Developing A Story For Each TradeThe plan is the same, but each pair has a different story and different thesis. Previously, I have reported that I open a batch of trades and closing them all when I reach a certain profit percentage based on the Stochastic Plan.
Last week the batch stayed negative, but all are still within the plan and not a single one broke the idea of the reason why they were opened. This opened the door for me to start treating each trade on its own instead of opening and closing batches. This is something that I wanted to implement but did not have the heart for it, especially that this is the first time for me to trade the scary daily time frame.
Today is Monday, and accidentally it is the 1st of the month, and the 1st of December. This month I am going to try to keep at the methodology of treating each trade independently and create a thesis for each trade.
Such a methodology with a thesis for each trade allows, as one of the comments of one of my previous videos here suggested, to create structural Stop Loss and Take Profit points. The thesis will tell a story of the pair. Why I opened the trade and where do I see it going based on the stochastic trigger and the chart elements.
The thesis will also show when is the thesis going to be negated and no more stands and therefore needs to be stopped even at a loss. A break of thesis means that the reason why a trade was opened no longer exists and I need to get out of it.
In the same manner, the thesis will look at the chart elements and see potential areas where the price might stop moving in my direction and this is again a point where I would close the trade in my favor.
Everyday now I feel closer to reaching a solid Forex trading plan that I can depend on, and the day of funding a live account is getting closer. I am looking at funding an account by the end of this month to start the year 2026 trading live.
Smctrading
How I Managed To Achieve 13.83% By Improving My Win Loss RatioThe SMC model that I used provided a beautiful mechanical system for me but did not provide a win loss ratio. The account balance would keep going down inspite of the great RRR.
I added the classical school and the Stochastic to see if I can get better results by those filters. What happened is that the daily stochastic became my major indicator and all the others, including the SMC model, became support confirmations.
The last thing that I added was the opening trades mechanism. I would open multiple trades during the day and once I am satisfied of the positive result I would close all trades. I might close all on the same day of opening.
In four weeks of testing this methodology I was able to turn my win loss ration from a disaster to even the wins exceeding the losses, and not one single batch was closed negative. All trade batches were closed on the positive.
This is a great method not only to increase my balance but also to increase my confidence.
I am not preaching that my plan is great, what I want to concentrate on is the value of education and continuous learning.
Best Free Fair Value Gap FVG Technical Indicator on TradingView
This free indicator accurately identifies Fair Value Gaps FVG on any market.
It is available on TradingView and it is very easy to set it up.
In this article, I will show you how to use this indicator and how to find a fair value gap easy in one click.
Let's start with my definition of a fair value gap because it is different from trader to trader.
FVG is a sudden, sharp price move that happens so fast that it leaves behind a price zone where very little trading actually occurred.
Because this zone saw almost no trading, it creates an imbalance .
Such a move is usually created by a large candle.
A candle with a big body and almost no wicks.
Among classic Japanese candlesticks, there is one such a candle.
It is called Marubozu.
Here are bullish and bearish structures of that candle.
A green one represents extremely strong bullish momentum. The price opened at the low of the period and closed at the high of the period. There were no pullbacks ; buyers were in complete control from the opening bell to the close.
Its bearish variation has the same logic.
The price opened at the high of the period and closed at the low of the period, with a very little trading activity within.
Our technical indicator will look for such a candle.
The indicator that we will use is called "All Candlestick Patterns".
In the settings of this indicator, we should select Marubozu White (bullish candle) and Marubozu Black (bearish candle).
After we click "OK", the indicator will immediately start working.
The indicator will show valid and significant Fair Value Gaps FVG on any time frame and any trading instrument.
Like any other indicator, it will miss some Fair Value Gaps, but while you are learning to identify them, it will help you to spot the most important ones.
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Improving My Win Loss Ratio In Forex TradingWell, Some good news, actually great news. The experiment worked and in this video I show how I am improving my win loss ratio in Forex trading.
From a disastrous Win Loss ratio using only SMC now with combining the classical school along with the Stochastic I have been nailing it for the past 20 days with 22 trades and 8.6% increase on my balance.
In many cases, especially with advantageous RRR, it is Ok to have the win loss ratio in favor of the Loss, as the RRR will compensate and the balance would increase, but in this case I have the win rate higher and the RRR if it was calculated is also higher.
I depend on opening multiple trades and closing them all at once once they hit an acceptable percentage. In the video I said I will close them around 2%, but to tell you the truth, even if it was 1% I would close because no business I know of would bring 1% profit in a day.
The concern now with this Forex Trading Plan is that it does not use Stop Loss nor Take Profit. I feel that I am hanging in the air, which is not a good feeling and this might get me inside an emotional imbalance in the long run.
Still, the test is going on to evaluate all that.
My Steps On how To Improve Forex Trading Win / Loss Ratio In this video we talk about the three elements of the new plan that I have designed based on different types of schools and educational sources.
The plan elements consist of SMC (Smart Money Concepts), Classical School (Support & Resistance, Trend Lines, Febonacci Retracement (not all the time)), and the Stochastic Indicator.
The stochastic is of two timeframes, One is weekly and the other is daily but both are shown on the daily timeframe. This is something that I loved here about TradingView; is the ability to show an indicator of a different timeframe.
Last week I opened a couple of positions based on the new plan, but one of them was opened with haste and not totally adhered to my trading Plan rules.
I show the exact trading rules that I am using and how this will affect my risk management plan.
What is Equilibrium in SMC. Balance and Imbalance in Forex Gold
Equilibrium is one of the core elements for understanding market liquidity.
In this article, we will go through the essential basics of liquidity in Forex trading with Smart Money Concepts SMC.
You will learn the interconnections between supply and demand and I will explain how to easily identify balance and imbalance on any market.
Let's start our discussion with understanding how forex pairs move.
The price of an asset goes up if the market demand is stronger than the market supply. The excess of buying activity make the markets update the highs. In smart money concepts, such an event will also be called a buying imbalance.
Look at a strong bullish rally on Gold.
The price is going up because of a buying imbalance.
A strong buying activity creates a massive amount of buyers with unfilled orders.
To entice sellers to start selling, they must offer a higher-better price.
At the same time, if the price of an asset goes down , it means that the market supply is stronger than a demand. The excess of supply will make the markets update the lows. In smc, it will be called a selling imbalance.
That is exactly what is happening with GBPUSD forex pair.
A strong selling activity and the shortage of demand makes the price go down.
The excess of supply or demand on the market can not be eternal.
The lower the price becomes, the more buyers will start buying, and the more sellers will start closing their positions.
At some moment, the surplus of supply will be absorbed by the buyers.
That will be a moment when the market will find equilibrium , the balance between supply and demand.
A strong bearish imbalance on USDJPY made the price drop significantly.
The falling price made 3 things:
It attracted more buyers, because the lower the price the more profitable is buying USDJPY.
It discouraged some buyers from buying, considering that the price is already "too low".
It encouraged some buyers to close their positions in profit.
Because of that, USDJPY stopped falling and found a balance in supply and demand. That is what we call Equilibrium .
In a bull run, the higher the price will go, the more sellers will start selling.
At some moment, buying imbalance will be absorbed by the bears and supply & demand will eventually balance.
Such an event will be called the equilibrium .
EURGBP was rallying strongly.
The higher the price went, the more sellers started to sell, considering selling the pair more and more profitable.
And the same time, fewer buyers were buying and the more started to close their buy positions in profits.
At some moment, the entire excess of the market demand was absorbed by a supply. The market stopped growing and equilibrium was found.
One of the main characteristics of a market equilibrium is sideways price movement and a termination of a formation of new highs or new lows.
Usually, such a sideways price action will form a horizontal range.
That's a real example how a CAD JPY pair found an equilibrium after an extended bearish movement. A formation of a horizontal range confirmed a balance between a supply and a demand.
Please, note that these ranges will form on any time frame that you analyse.
The rule is that the higher is the time frame of the range, the stronger is the market equilibrium.
Above, I have 3 different charts:
USDJPY on a daily time frame, EURJPY on a 4H and GBPUSD on 15 minutes.
All the pairs found an equilibrium in horizontal ranges.
An equilibrium on USDJPY will signify intra week or even intra month balance,
while on EURJPY it will mean intraday/intra week balance.
On GBPUSD, it will signify intraday equilibrium.
Market equilibrium can not last forever.
Fundamentals news and changing market conditions, make the market participants constantly reassess a fair value of an asset.
A violation of the range and a breakout of one of its boundaries will be a trigger of an occurrence of an imbalance .
A bullish violation of the upper boundary of the range will signify a buying imbalance and a highly probable rise to the new highs.
While a bearish violation of the lower boundary of the range will mean a selling imbalance and a highly probable fall to the new lows.
Please, study how GBPCHF was moving for a week on an hourly time frame.
The periods of balance were changed by the periods of bullish or bearish imbalances, that found a new equilibrium on higher/lower price levels.
Understanding of basic principles of supply and demand in trading is essential for profitable trading smart money concepts.
Learn to recognize the periods of imbalance and equilibrium.
It will provide you the edge in understanding and trading any forex pair.
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My Plan To Improve My Win/Loss Ratio In Forex TradingThe trading plan that I have been designing based on SMC was amazingly beautful in terms of its mechanics. Yet, it had a terrible Win/Loss ratio.
Because I loved its mechanics, I didn't want to drop it all together, and was looking for ways to enhance it. I tried to merge it with the classical school and with some Volume indicator, but things still went south.
Finally, I came by some educational material that showed me a couple of things on using Stochastic. I loved it, and this will be my addition, and what I will test in the coming week.
My plan will include the same SMC rules, and the Stochastic. I will draw the support and resistance zones and maybe trendlines.
I will be using the daily timeframe on two different sets of settings for the stochastic, one is long term and another is shorter term.
I will be coming back with my test results next week.
What is Bullish/Bearish Breaker Block & How to Find It Easily
Breaker blocks are easier to find than you think.
In this article, I will share with you very efficient price models for the identification of Order Blocks and Breaker Blocks.
You will learn their meaning, how to draw and use them in trading Smart Money Concepts SMC.
Bullish Trend Model & Breaker Block.
Let's start with an essential theory .
Please, examine a following price model:
In a classic bullish structure where the price consistently updates Higher Highs HH and Higher Lows HH, a bullish order block zone will be the area based on the last Higher How.
I will explain how to draw that zone in the examples below.
In some instances, a bullish order block zone will fail to deliver a bullish wave. Its bearish breakout will follow after its test instead.
It will be a critical event that is called a market structure shift in Smart Money Concepts SMC.
A formation of a new low will signify a violation of a bullish trend and a highly probable change of the market sentiment.
A broken bullish order block zone will turn into a Bearish Breaker Block.
The zone from where the next bearish wave will most likely follow.
It will provide a very safe place to sell from.
Market structure shift in a bullish trend is not a random event.
It usually occurs after a test of a significant supply zone with a liquidity grab.
It can help you to predict the change of the sentiment way before it happens.
That's an example of such a price model on GBPAUD forex pair.
We see a confirmed bullish liquidity sweep in uptrend after a test of a historic supply zone.
A bearish wave followed then and a bullish order block zone was broken.
To draw Order Block Zone, I picked the level of the last higher low as its lower boundary and a low of a body of that candlestick as the upper boundary.
After a breakout, it turned into a Bearish Breaker Block.
A bearish continuation occurred after its test.
Bearish Trend Model & Breaker Block.
Please, check this model:
In a classic bearish structure where the price consistently updates Lower Lows LL and Lower Highs LH, a bearish order block zone will be the area based on the last Lower High.
In some instances, a bearish order block zone will fail to deliver a bearish wave. Its bullish breakout will follow after its test instead.
It will be a significant event that is called a bullish market structure shift in Smart Money Concepts SMC.
A formation of a new high will signify a violation of a bearish trend and a highly probable change of the market sentiment.
A broken bearish order block zone will turn into a Bullish Breaker Block.
The zone from where the next bullish wave will most likely follow.
It will provide a very safe place to buy from.
Market structure shift in a bearish trend is not a random event.
It usually occurs after a test of a significant demand zone with a liquidity grab.
That's a real example of such a price model on WTI Crude Oil.
A bearish structure was violated after a test of a demand zone.
A bearish order block was broken, and it turned into a Bullish Breaker Block Zone then.
(Drawing a bullish order block zone, I picked the level of the last lower high as its upper boundary and a high of a body of that candle as its lower boundary )
A bullish movement followed after a deep test of that.
A proper combination of structure mapping and liquidity analysis will help you to predict a market structure shirt and a breaker block creation before they happen.
The models that I shared will help you to confirm bullish and bearish breaker blocks trading Forex or any other markets with Smart Money Concepts SMC ICT.
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Profitable Multiple Time Frames Smart Money Strategy For Trading
In this post, I will share with you a very accurate and profitable SMC Smart Money trading strategy that combines top-down analysis, liquidity, imbalance, order block and inducement.
Step 1 - Identify liquidity zones on a daily
Liquidity zones are the areas on a price chart, where big players are placing their orders. From such areas, significant bullish and bearish movements initiate.
Liquidity zones that are above the current price will be the supply zones, while the liquidity zones that are below the current price will be the demand zones.
We will look for shorting opportunities from supply areas and for buying opportunities from demand zones.
Here are the liquidity zones that I identified on EURJPY.
Step 2 - Wait for a test of one of the liquidity zones
Let the market test the liquidity zone.
For buying, the price should reach a lower boundary of a demand zone.
For shorting, the price should test an upper boundary of a supply zone.
I underlined the exact levels that the price should test on EURJPY.
Here is the test of the lower boundary of the demand zone.
Step 3 - Look for inducement on an hourly time frame
With the inducement, smart money make the market participants think that the liquidity zone that the price is testing doesn't hold anymore.
When the price tests a supply area, an hourly candle close above its upper boundary will be a bullish inducement.
With that, the smart money incentivize buying orders.
When the price tests a demand area, an hourly candle close below its lower boundary will be a bearish inducement.
With that, the smart money incentivize selling orders.
The price closed below a lower boundary of a demand zone on EURJPY on 1H time frame.
Step 4 - Look for imbalance on an hourly time frame
After a violation of a supply area on an hourly time frame, look for a bearish imbalance.
Bearish imbalance is a strong bearish candle with wide range and big body. With that candle, the market should return within a supply zone and closed within or below that.
After a violation of a demand area on an hourly time frame, look for a bullish imbalance.
Bullish imbalance is a strong bullish candle with wide range and big body. With that candle, the market should return within a demand zone and closed within or above that.
Here is the example of a bullish imbalance on EURJPY.
After a bearish inducement, the price formed a high momentum bullish candle and closed within the demand zone.
The imbalance signify that a liquidity zone violation was a trap .
With that, smart money simply was trying to grab the liquidity.
That will be a signal for you to open an order.
Step 5 - Look for an order block
After the formation of the imbalance, the market becomes locally week and quite often corrects to an order block.
Order block will be the closest hourly liquidity zone.
After a formation of a bearish imbalance, look for a supply zone on an hourly time frame. That will be your perfect zone to sell .
After a formation of a bullish imbalance, look for a demand zone on an hourly. That will be your area to buy from.
Here is the order block on EURJPY.
Step 6 - Set a limit order
Set a sell limit order within a supply area after a formation of bearish imbalance on an hourly time frame.
Set a buy limit order within a demand area after a formation of a bullish imbalance on an hourly.
Here is your buy entry level on EURJPY.
Step 7 - Select the target
If you sell, your target should be the closest daily structure support: horizontal or vertical one.
If you buy, your target should be the closest daily structure resistance: horizontal or vertical one.
In our example, our closest structure resistance if a falling trend line.
Step 8 - Set stop loss
If you sell, stop loss will lie above a bullish inducement.
If you buy, stop loss will lie below a bearish inducement.
Here is a perfect point for a stop loss for a long trade on EURJPY.
Step 9 - Trade
Let the price trigger your entry, and then be prepared to wait.
It took many days for EURJPY to reach the target.
Trading Tips:
1. Make sure that you have a positive reward/ratio. It should be at least 1.2
2. Risk no more that 1% of your trading account per trade
Being applied properly, that strategy shows 70%+ accuracy.
Try it by yourself and let me know your results.
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SMC Concept: Defining the Trading Range (Step 1) On CADJPYCAD/JPY, 4H Timeframe (as demonstrated)
This post outlines the first step in a methodology focused on identifying key market structure levels. The goal is to objectively define a trading range, using CAD/JPY as the example.
The Process: Of a bullish Structure
Identify the range Low: Locate the last retracement from the previous high, the low is deepest price level retraced to.
Find the Inducement: Mark the low of the most recent pullback (retracement) before the price made a new high.
Wait for Confirmation: The high is only confirmed once price returns to hit this inducement level. This validates the high as an official range boundary.
A break of the confirmed high is a break of structure (BOS). A break of the confirmed low suggests a change of character (CHoCH), shifting sentiment.
This is the foundational step for identifying future points of interest. The next step involves plotting POIs based on this confirmed range.
This methodology is based on one that I learned from someone else on Youtube, but I have changed many details to suit my style. As a thank you note, I have referred to this person on other paltforms, but unfortunately, I don't think I can do this here as I might be violating this platform's rules.
I will be posting the next steps that would lead to deciding on a trading position on step by step basis.
I am already making videos but I might be using this platforms video option for later posts.
How to Find Order Block on Any Forex Pair & Gold (SMC Basics)
Order block is easier to find than you think.
I am going to reveal 2 simple price models that will help you find strong bullish and bearish order block zones on any Forex pair.
Discover how to identify OB and how to draw it properly in Smart Money Concepts SMC trading.
To effectively spot Order Block, you will need to learn basic Structure Mapping.
To find a bullish order block, you will need to learn by heart a classic bullish trend model.
According to the rules, that market is trading in a bullish trend if the price consistently updates Higher High HH and Higher Lows HL.
Such a price action confirms an uptrend .
The last higher low in that will be your Bullish Order Block.
Let me share with you a definition of a bullish order block so you could better understand its deep meaning.
Bullish order block is a significant price zone or a level where large market players (banks, institutions, hedge funds) have previously placed a high volume of buy orders, creating a strong imbalance in demand.
And what is a proof of this strong demand?
A consequent break of structure and a formation of a new higher high demonstrate a clear strength of a bullish wave that was initiated because of the activity of Smart Money.
As the market continues updating Higher Highs , remember to update Order Block. It will strictly be based on the LAST Higher Low.
Examine a price action on NZDUSD forex pair on a daily time frame.
The trend is bullish and our Order Block will be based on the last Higher Low.
To properly draw Order Block zone, its low should be based on the lowest low of a Higher Low. Its high should be based on the lowest daily candle close above a low of a Higher Low.
We will assume that huge volumes of buying orders will accumulate within that zone.
That area will provide a safe zone for us to buy the market from.
Alternatively, its violation will signify an important shift in a market sentiment.
To find a bearish order block, you will need to understand a classic bearish trend model.
According to the rules, that market is trading in a bearish trend if the price consistently updates Lower Lows LL and Lower Highs LH.
Such a price action confirms a downtrend .
The last lower high in that will be your Bearish Order Block.
And here is what exactly is a bearish order block.
Bearish order block is a significant price zone or a level where large market players - Smart Money have previously placed a high volume of sell orders, creating a strong imbalance in supply.
And what is a proof of this strong supply?
A consequent break of structure and a formation of a new lower low demonstrate a clear strength of a bearish wave that was initiated because of the activity of Smart Money.
As the market continues updating Lower Lows, remember to update Order Block. It will strictly be based on the LAST Lower High.
Please, check a price action on NZDCHF forex pair.
The market is trading in a downtrend.
Our bearish order block will be based on the last lower high .
The high of this zone will be the highest high of the last lower high.
Its low will be the highest daily candle close below the last lower high.
That zone will be a critical resistance.
Large selling volumes will be distributed within.
Once that area is tested, we can sell the market from that.
Alternatively, its bullish violation will signify a significant shift in the market sentiment.
Of course, these 2 models will not reveal all the order block on a price chart, BUT it will show you one of the most significant ones that you can rely on for safe entries for your trades.
Just learn a structure mapping in smart money concepts and use that you find powerful order block zones on any forex pair.
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SMC Trading Basics. Liquidity Zones & How to Identify Them
In the today's article, I will teach you the concept of liquidity zones and how to identify them properly, trading Forex, Gold, Crypto and Indexes.
Simply put, a liquidity zone is a certain area on a price chart where a significant concentration of trading volumes occurred.
Huge trading volumes signify the presence of big players: hedge funds, banks, etc...
Correct identification of liquidity zones is essential for smart money trading, because such zones provide the safest and the most profitable trading opportunities.
There are 3 common characteristics of a valid liquidity zone:
1. Huge volume spikes upon its test
Take a look at the underlined blue area on USDCAD.
We see sharp volume spikes when the market was testing that area.
2. Strong rejections from such an area with a formation of long wicks
Look how the price reacts to the liquidity zone on USDJPY.
We see multiple strong rejections from that.
3. Long consolidation within that zone
Bitcoin was "standing" on a liquidity zone for more than 3 weeks, barely moving while trading volumes were quietly accumulating.
4. Multiple strong bullish or bearish reactions to that area
Just look how many times the underlined area was respected by the buyers and by the sellers. That is a perfect example of a liquidity zone.
To underline a liquidity zone properly, follow these simple rules:
1. If the price is ABOVE the liquidity zone, its lower boundary
will be the lowest wick within that area and its upper boundary will be the lowest candle close. Such a liquidity zone will be called a demand area.
Here is the example of drawing a liquidity zone on GBPUSD.
The lower boundary of the zone is the lowest wick, while its upper boundary is the lowest candle close.
2. If the price is BELOW the liquidity zone, its upper boundary will be the highest wick within that area and its lower boundary will be the highest candle close. Such a liquidity zone will be called a supply area.
Here is the liquidity zone that I identified on Gold following our rules.
Remember, that you can identify liquidity zones on any time frame. However, the rule is that the higher is the time frame, the stronger is the liquidity zone.
I prefer to analyze the liquidity zones on a daily time frame.
Once you underlined liquidity zones, you should realize that within these areas, big players are expected to place their orders in the future.
For that reason, after the tests of such areas, a strong bullish or bearish movements will be expected.
Here is a huge liquidity zone that I spotted on GBPJPY.
Look at a strong bearish movement that initiated after its test.
Your task as a smart money trader will be to identify bullish or bearish confirmations and understand the intentions of big players. With experience, you will learn to recognize valid signals.
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Break of Structure VS Liquidity Grab. How to Identify Valid BoS
The main problem with break of structure trading is that you can easily confuse that with a liquidity grab.
But don't worry.
There is a secret SMC price model that will help you to confirm a break of structure in a second.
Learn smart money concepts trading secrets and a simple strategy to trade break of structure on any forex pair.
Let's study a break of structure that I spotted on AUDUSD forex pair.
We see that the market is bullish on a daily time frame and the price has just violated a previous high with a break of structure.
The issue with that is the fact that such a violation can easily be a liquidity grab and a bullish trap .
Buying the market immediately after a BoS, we can incur a huge loss .
We need something that would help us to accurate validate that.
Fortunately, there is a simple price model in SMC that will help.
After you spotted a break of structure on a daily time frame,
use a 4h time frame for its validation.
After a BoS on a daily time frame, the market usually starts retracing , setting a new local high.
To confirm that it is not a trap, you will need a break of THAT structure on a 4H time frame.
It will increase the probabilities that the entire bullish movement that you see on a daily is not a manipulation.
Here is what exactly we need.
After the price violated a daily structure and closed above that, we see a minor intraday retracement on a 4h time frame.
A bullish violation of the last high there is our BoS confirmation and a clear indicator of the strength of the buyers.
You can execute a buy trade, following a simple strategy then.
Set a buy limit order on a retest of a broken high on a 4H,
a stop loss should be below the last higher low,
a take profit is based on the next supply zone on a daily.
To avoid the traps, a single time frame is not enough for profitable trading break of structure.
Learn to integrate multiple time frames in smart money concepts trading. It will help you make thousands of pips weekly.
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How to Do Structure Mapping with Multiple Time Frames Analysis
If you think that structure mapping is not efficient for profitable trading, you get it wrong .
What newbies traders always miss is that structure mapping works effectively only with multiple time frame analysis.
In this article, I will show you how you can build profitable trading plans and accurate predictions on forex market with structure mapping alone.
Learn top-down analysis secrets and how to map structure properly in Smart Money Concepts SMC ICT.
In order to effectively use structure mapping for scalping, day trading and swing trading , always start it from higher time frames.
Examine my complete structure mapping on USDJPY forex pair on a daily time frame.
You can see that first, the pair was trading in a strong bearish trend.
Then, we had a confirmed bullish reversal with Change of Character.
After that, the market started an extended consolidating movement, not being able to update the highs.
And finally, the last bullish wave managed to update a high , confirming a completion of a consolidation and a resumption of a bullish trend.
Structure mapping reveals that USDJPY is now bullish on a daily and the last bearish movement is a correction in uptrend.
We can expect a start of a new bullish wave soon.
To understand when exactly it is going to happen, you will need to dive your analysis deeper .
You should start structure mapping on lower time frames.
And you should execute a price action analysis there in relation to your structure mapping on a higher time frame.
4H time frame structure mapping will reveal a price action within the last bearish move that we spotted on a daily.
We see that the market is trading in a bearish trend and the price started a local correctional movement after a formation of the last low.
4h time frame structure mapping provided a detailed intra week perspective.
Hourly time frame analysis, we reveal hidden intraday trends that will unveil more insights.
And why are we doing all that?
Remember that big waves always start from minor reversals.
The earlier you are able to find strong confirmations, the earlier you will open a trading position and the more profits you will make.
On an hourly time frame, our structure mapping shows that the market is already bullish. A bearish trend that USDJPY followed is already violated, and the price is updating the highs.
Following our analysis, the only thing that we need to confirm a start of a bullish trend is a confirmed trend reversal and a change of character on a 4H time frame.
It will validate an intra week bullish trend.
We will need the price to break the underlined blue resistance based on the last lower high in a bearish trend.
That will provide an accurate signal for us to buy.
And we can anticipate a rise a least to a current daily higher high then.
When you do structure mapping on forex market, never forget to do that on multiple time frames. Multiple perspectives and short-term/mid-term/long-term projections will help you to build a more efficient trading plan.
Remember that you can expand your structure mapping even for minute time frames. It will provide a unique perspective for scalping forex.
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Market Manipulations. Bullish Trap (Smart Money Concepts SMC)
In the today's article, we will discuss how smart money manipulate the market with a bullish trap .
In simple words, a bullish trap is a FALSE bullish signal created by big players.
With a bullish trap, the smart money aims to:
1️⃣ Increase demand for an asset, encouraging the market participant to buy it.
2️⃣ Make sellers close their positions in a loss .
When a short position is closed, it is automatically BOUGHT by the market.
Take a look at a key horizontal resistance on AUDCHF.
Many times in the past, the market dropped from that.
For sellers, it is a perfect area to short from.
Bullish violation of the underlined zone make sellers close their position in a loss and attracts buyers.
Then the market suddenly starts falling heavily, revealing the presence of smart money.
Both the sellers and the buyers lose their money because of the manipulation.
There are 2 main reasons why the smart money manipulates the markets in a such a way:
1️⃣ - A big player is seeking to close a huge long position
When a long position is closed, it is automatically SOLD to the market.
In order to sell a huge position, smart money needs a counterpart who will buy their position.
Triggering stop losses of sellers and creating a false demand, smart money sell their position partially to the crowd.
2️⃣ - A big player wants to open a huge short position
But why the smart money can't just close their long position or open short without a manipulation?
A big sell order placed by the institutional trader, closing their long position, can have an impact on the price of the asset. If the sell order is large enough, it can push the price downward as sellers outnumber buyers. Smart money are trying to balance the supply and demand on the market, hiding their presence.
It is quite complicated for the newbies and even for experienced traders to recognize a bullish trap.
One of the efficient ways is to apply multiple time frame analysis and price action.
Remember, that most of the time bullish traps occur on key horizontal or vertical resistances.
After you see a breakout, analyze lower time frames.
Quite often, after a breakout, the market starts ranging .
After a breakout of a key daily resistance, gold started to consolidate within a narrow range on an hourly time frame.
Bearish breakout of the support of the range will indicate a strength of the sellers and a highly probable bullish trap.
Remember, that you can not spot all the traps, and occasionally you will be fooled by smart money. However, with experience, you will learn to recognize common bullish traps.
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Accurate Price Model for Trading Smart Money Concepts SMC (=
If you trade Smart Money Concepts SMC, there is one single pattern that you should learn to identify.
In this article, you will learn an accurate price model that you can use to predict a strong bullish or bearish movement way before it happens.
Read carefully and discover how to track the silent actions of smart money on any market.
The only thing that you need to learn to easily find this pattern is basic Structure Mapping . After you map significant highs and lows, you will quickly recognize it.
This SMC pattern has 2 models: bullish and bearish ones.
Let's start with a bearish setup first.
Examine a structure of this pattern
it should be based on 2 important elements.
The price should set a sequence of equal lows.
These equal lows will compose a demand zone.
The area where a buying interest will concentrate.
The minimum number of equal lows and lowers highs should be 2 to make a model valid.
Exhausting of bullish moves will signify a loss of confidence in a demand zone . Less and less market participants will open buy positions from that.
At some moment, a demand zone will stop holding. Its bearish breakout will provide a strong bearish signal , and a bearish continuation will most likely follow.
This price model will signify a market manipulation by Smart Money.
They will not intentionally let the price fall, not letting it break a demand zone. A buying interest that will arise consequently will be used as a source of liquidity.
Smart money will grab liquidity of the buyers, silently accumulating huge volumes of selling orders.
Once they get enough of that, a bearish rally will start, with a demand zone breakout as a trigger.
Though, the chart model that I shared above has a strong bullish impulse, preceding its formation, remember that it is not mandatory.
The price may also form a bearish impulse first and for a pattern then.
Each bullish movement that initiates after a formation of an equal low should be weaker than a previous one.
So that the price should set a lower high every time after a formation of an equal low.
Look at a price action on USDCHF forex pair. Way before the price dropped, you could easily identify a market manipulation of Smart Money and selling orders accumulation.
A breakout of a horizontal demand zone was a final bearish confirmation signal.
Let's study its bullish model.
It has a similar structure.
The price should set a sequence of equal highs, respecting a horizontal supply zone.
Each bearish move that follows after its test should have a shorter length, forming a higher low with its completion.
This model will be also valid if it forms after a completion of a bearish impulse.
Weakening bearish movements will signify a loss of confidence in a supply zone, with fewer and fewer market participants selling that.
Its bullish breakout will be an important even that will confirm a highly probable strong bullish continuation.
Smart Money will use this price model to manipulate the market and accumulate buying orders, not letting the price go through a supply zone. They will grab a liquidity of the sellers each time a bearish move follows from a supply zone.
When they finally get enough of a liquidity, a bullish rally will initiate and a supply zone will be broken , providing a strong confirmation signal.
That price model was spotted on GBPJPY forex pair.
Smart Money were manipulating the market, not letting it continue rallying by creating a significant horizontal supply zone.
Selling orders that were executed after its tests provided a liquidity for them.
A bullish breakout of the underlined zone provides a strong bullish confirmation signal.
A breakout and a future rise could be easily predicted once this price model appeared.
Why they do it?
But why do Smart Money manipulate the markets that way?
The answer is simple: in comparison to retail traders, they trade with huge trading orders . To hide their presence and to not impact market prices much, they split their positions into a set of tiny orders that they execute, grabbing the liquidity.
The price model that we discussed today is the example how they do it.
The important thing to note about this pattern is that it efficiently works on any market and any time frame. You can use that for scalping, day trading, swing trading. And it can help you find great investing opportunities.
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How to Find Liquidity Zones/Clusters on Any Forex Pair (GOLD)
You need just 1 minute of your time to find significant liquidity zones on any Forex pair and Gold.
In this article, I will teach you how to identify supply and demand zones easily step by step.
Liquidity Basics
By a market liquidity, I mean market orders.
The orders are not equally distributed among all the price levels.
While some will concentrate the interest of the market participants,
some levels will be low on liquidity.
Price levels and the areas that will attract and amass trading orders will be called liquidity zones.
How to Find Supply Zones
To find the strongest liquidity clusters, we will need to analyze a daily time frame.
A liquidity zone that is above current prices will be called a supply zone.
High volumes of selling orders will be distributed within.
One of the proven techniques to find such zones is to analyze a historic price action. You should identify a price level that acted as a strong resistance in the past.
4 horizontal levels that I underlined on EURGBP influenced market behavior in the recent past.
The price retraced from these levels significantly.
Why It Happened?
A down movement could occur because of an excess of selling orders and a closure of long positions by the buyers.
These factors indicate a high concentration of a liquidity around these price levels.
How to Draw Supply Zone?
One more thing to note about all these horizontal levels is that they cluster and the distance between them is relatively small .
To find a significant liquidity supply zone, I advise merging them into a single zone.
To draw that properly, its high should be based on the highest high among these levels. Its low should be based on the highest candle close level.
Following this strategy, here are 2 more significant supply zones.
We will assume that selling interest will concentrate within these areas and selling orders will be spread across its price ranges.
How to Find Demand Zones
A liquidity zone that is below current spot price levels will be called a demand zone . We will assume that buying orders will accumulate within.
To find these zones, we will analyze historically important price levels that acted as strong supports in the past.
I found 3 key support levels.
After tests of these levels, buying pressure emerged.
Why It Happened?
A bullish movement could occur because of an excess of buying orders and a closure of short positions by the sellers. Such clues strongly indicate a concentration of liquidity.
How to Draw Demand Zones?
Because these levels are close to each other, we will unify them into a one liquidity demand zone.
To draw a demand zone, I suggest that its low should be the lowest low among these key levels and its high should be the lowest candle close.
Examine 2 more liquidity zones that I found following this method.
Please, note that Demand Zone 2 is based on one single key level.
It is not mandatory for a liquidity zone to be based on multiple significant levels, it can be just one.
We will assume that buying interest will concentrate within these areas and buying orders will be allocated within the hole range.
Broken Liquidity Zones
There is one more liquidity zone that I did not underline.
That is a broken supply zone. After a breakout and a candle close above, it turned into a demand zone. For that reason, I plotted that based on the rules of supply zone drawing.
Start Market Analysis From Liquidity
Liquidity zones are one of the core elements of forex trading.
Your ability to recognize them properly is the key in predicting accurate price reversals.
Identify liquidity zones for:
spotting safe entry points,
use these zones as targets,
set your stop losses taking them into consideration.
They will help you to better understand the psychology of the market participants and their behavior.
I hope that the today's tutorial demonstrated you that it is very easy to find them.
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How to Trade Liquidity Sweep in Forex Market (SMC Trading)
I will show you a real example of trading liquidity sweep with Smart Money Concepts.
You will learn the essential SMC liquidity basics, a simple and profitable strategy to identify and trade liquidity sweep.
I will share with you an accurate entry confirmation signal that works perfectly on any Forex pair.
Liquidity Basics
In order to trade liquidity sweeps profitably, you should learn to identify significant liquidity zones.
To spot them, analyze a historic price action and find clusters of important historic key levels.
Examine a price action on EURUSD on an hourly time frame.
I underlined multiple horizontal key levels.
The price respected each level, found support on them, and rebounded.
What is so specific about these levels is that they are lying close to each other, composing a liquidity cluster.
That fact that EURUSD strongly bounced from these levels suggests that buying interest and high buying volumes were concentrated around them.
We can unite these levels and treat them as a single demand zone that has just been broken and turned into a supply zone.
After we found a valid liquidity zone, we can look for a liquidity sweep.
First, we should let the price approach that area and look for a specific price behavior then.
That is a perfect example of a liquidity sweep.
You can see that the price formed a wide range candle with a long tail.
Its high went way beyond the underlined area, but its body closed within.
In order to understand, why a liquidity sweep occurred, let's zoom in our chart and try to understand a behavior of the market participants.
Our supply zone concentrated selling orders , we assume that sellers were placing their orders across its entire length.
Their stop losses were presumably lying above that area.
Smart Money know that and with a liquidity sweep they manipulate the market, making sellers close their positions in a loss (buying back their positions from the market) and providing a liquidity for big players.
After a formation of a such a candlestick, a reliable confirmation of a saturation of the Smart Money is a formation of a strong bearish candle - a clear sign of strength of the sellers.
A bearish engulfing candle above confirmed a completion of a liquidity sweep and indicates a highly probable bearish continuation.
Your perfect sell entry is immediately after a close of such a candlestick.
Stop loss should strictly lie above the high of a liquidity sweep.
Take profit is based on a local low.
Look, how quickly the price reached the goal.
Your strategy of trading liquidity sweeps of demand zones is absolutely the same.
Let the price test a demand zone, wait for a formation of wide range bearish candle with a tail going below its lows.
Wait for a bullish imbalance candle and buy immediately then.
Stop loss will be below the low of a liquidity sweep, take profit - a local high.
This SMC strategy works on any time frame and can be applied for trading any Forex pair, Gold, Silver, Crypto and commodities.
Try it by your own and let me know your results.
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BTCUSDT 13R Trade Breakdown: Deep Crab Pattern + SMC Precision Hello Traders!
If you enjoyed my previous post on combining Harmonic Patterns with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) for high-precision, high-risk-to-reward trades, then you're going to love this breakdown on BTCUSDT.
If you haven’t checked out my earlier content, make sure to scroll below this post and see that first—it sets the foundation for what we’re diving into here.
📈 BTCUSDT Trade Breakdown: Harmonic x SMC Precision Entry
This analysis was originally shared around three weeks ago on my YouTube channel, and if you were with me live, you’ll remember I was closely watching for a Bullish Deep Crab Pattern to complete before considering a LONG position.
Let’s walk through the setup and outcome step-by-step:
🕰 WEEKLY TIMEFRAME:
Price was reacting to a Weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) and had filled the imbalance.
As shown in the chart:
🔍 SETUP: Strategy Confirmation
Important Reminder:
Just because price hits a key level doesn’t mean we jump in to buy or sell.
✅ There must be a confirmed Harmonic Pattern that aligns with the key SMC level.
On the Daily Chart, we identified a valid Bullish Deep Crab Pattern:
B-point at 0.886
PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) at 1.618 FIB Extension
This PRZ aligned perfectly with the key level identified on the Weekly chart.
🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY (15-Minute Chart):
We zoomed into the 15M chart for an SMC-based entry.
Supply-to-demand flip confirmed with a visible liquidity inducement—textbook confirmation.
Entry was just a few pips below the recent swing low to limit downside risk in case of invalidation.
Take Profits (TPs) were set using standard Deep Crab targets, based on FIB retracements from A to D:
✅ TP1 at 0.382
✅ TP2 at 0.618
✅ TP3 at 0.786
✅ TRADE OUTCOME:
Entry was cleanly triggered and the price followed through as expected.
All three profit levels were successfully hit:
✅ TP1
✅ TP2
✅ TP3
We secured an impressive 13R on this single BTCUSDT trade —a solid example of what happens when Harmonics and Smart Money Concepts are aligned.
💬 Your Turn:
Did you take this BTC trade using a different strategy?
Or did you spot the pattern and enter alongside me?
Drop your thoughts and experiences below this analysis—let’s learn together!
Simple Break of Structure BoS Trading Strategy Explained
One of the best and reliable strategies to trade break of structure BoS is to apply multiple time frame analysis.
In this article, I will teach you my break of structure gold forex trading strategy. You will get a complete step-by-step guide with examples.
Let's start with a quick theory and let me explain to you what is break of structure BoS in Smart Money Concept SMC trading.
In a bullish trend, break of structure BoS is an important event that signifies a continuation of an uptrend. It is based on a violation and a candle close above the level of the last higher high (HH).
After a breakout, the broken level becomes the first strong support for trend-following buying.
Check multiple examples of confirmed breaks of structure BoS on GBPNZD forex pair on a weekly time frame.
In a downtrend, Break of Structure BoS means a bearish trend continuation . Break of Structure is considered to be confirmed when a candle closes below the level of the last lower low (LL).
The broken key level becomes the closest strong support for buying.
That's the example of a healthy downtrend on USDJPY forex pair on a daily. Each break of structure BoS pushed the prices lower, providing a strong signal to sell.
What newbie traders do incorrectly, they trade break of structure without a confirmation strategy, and it leads to substantial losses.
Though GBPCHF is trading in a bullish trend and though each BoS provided a trend-following signal. The price retraced significantly lower below the broken structure before the growth resumed.
When the price retests a broken structure after BoS in a bullish trend, start lower time frame analysis.
If you identified a break of structure on a daily, analyze 4h/1h time frames.
If on a 4H, then 30/15 minutes.
After the price sets a new higher high with BoS in uptrend, it usually starts trading in a minor bearish trend on lower time frames.
With our strategy, your signal to buy will be a retest of a broken structure and a consequent bullish Change of Character CHoCH . That will provide an accurate bullish signal.
In a bearish trend, analyze the lower time frames after a retest of a broken structure. Your signal to sell will be a bearish Change of Character CHoCH.
Look at a price action on EURCHF on a daily.
We see a strong bullish trend and a confirmed Break of Structure BoS.
According to the rules of our trading strategy, we start analyzing 4h/1h time frames after a retest of a broken level of the last Higher High.
Our signal to buy is an intraday bullish CHoCH. We open a long trade after that with the stop loss below the intraday lows and take profit being a current high.
That's how simple this strategy is.
Multiple time frame analysis provides the extra level of security.
Strong lower time frame confirmation substantially increases the win ratio of a trading setup.
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Best Liquidity Grab / Sweep Strategy For Trading Forex & Gold
Learn how to trade liquidity grab / sweep with multiple time frame analysis.
Discover how to combine top-down analysis and smart money concept SMC for trading forex and gold.
You will get a complete step by step trading strategy with entry, stop loss and target.
1. In order to trade liquidity grab / sweep properly, you need to find liquidity zones first.
For this trading strategy, the best liquidity zones will be on a daily time frame.
Check these 2 significant liquidity zones on EURAUD forex pair on a daily.
The zone where the selling activity concentrate will be called a supply zone. While the zone with a strong concentration of a buying activity will be a demand zone.
2. After that, you should look for a liquidity grab / sweep.
For a valid liquidity grab / sweep the daily candle should violate the liquidity zone only with the tail / wick of the candle , while the body should stay within the zone.
Above is the example of a liquidity grab of a demand zone.
While the daily candle closed within the underlined area, the wick went beyond that.
3. After you identified a liquidity grab/sweep, start analyzing lower time frames . For this strategy, the best time frames are 4H and 1H.
On these time frames, you should look for a consolidation and a formation of a horizontal range.
Here is such a range on EURAUD on a 4H.
These ranges will be used for confirmation .
Your bullish signal will be a breakout of the resistance of the range ,
it will confirm a strong buying interest after a liquidity grab.
That is the example of such a confirmation.
4. After that, set a buy limit order on a retest of a broken resistance of the range. Take profit will be the closest strong resistance, stop loss will be below the support of the range.
That is how we trade a liquidity grab/sweep of a demand zone.
With the supply zone liquidity grab trading strategy, you should wait for a bullish liquidity sweep followed by a bearish breakout of a range on a 4H / 1H time frames.
I always say to my students that a single time frame analysis is not sufficient for profitable trading SMC.
A proper combination of multiple time frames is the key to consistent profits.
Following this strategy, you should achieve up to 80% winning rate trading liquidity grabs / sweeps.
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How Smart Money is Positioning in EUR/USD – 5 Scenarios UnfoldedLiquidity Maps & Trap Zones: EUR/USD 1H Breakdown
EUR/USD SMC Analysis – Scenarios Overview
1. Case 1 – Immediate Pump:
The market may pump directly from the current market price (CMP) and take out the external range liquidity resting above the current highs.
2. Case 2 – 15-Min Demand Reaction:
The market could react to the 15-minute demand zone , showing a bullish response and pushing higher toward the 1H supply zone .
3. Case 3 – Inducement & Distribution:
Combined with Case 2, the market may first mitigate the 15-minute demand , then take out the inducement (IdM ) near the 1H supply zone . From there, distribution may begin within that supply range, leading to a drop toward the discount zone .
This would likely involve a fake breakout to the upside (liquidity sweep), trapping buyers and hitting the stop-losses of early sellers before reversing sharply.
4. Case 4 – 1H CHoCH and Triangle Breakdown:
A Change of Character (CHoCH) may occur on the 1H timeframe directly from the current price, leading to a downside move. This scenario would also break the rising triangle pattern , triggering entries from price action traders and increasing market volatility as liquidity accelerates the move downward.
5. Case 5 – 1H Supply Rejection & Free Fall:
The market may react from the 1H supply zone and reject aggressively, resulting in a free fall all the way down to the previous CHoCH level , confirming strong bearish intent from premium to discount.
Thanks for your time..
The Ultimate Guide to Smart Money ReversalsLet’s cut to it. Most retail traders get caught chasing moves that were never meant for them. They’re entering late, reacting to structure breaks without context, or fading moves without understanding what’s really happening behind the price.
If you're trying to trade like smart money on the reversal, at the turn then you need to know when the game is flipping. That’s where the Market Structure Shift (MSS) comes in. But not just any MSS. I'm talking about MSS that follow a liquidity sweep and are driven by real displacementnot weak candles, not in consolidation. Real intent. Real shift.
Here’s how I approach it.
What Actually Counts as a Market Structure Shift?
Everyone talks about market structure higher highs, lower lows, etc. But structure breaks alone don’t mean anything. A valid MSS isn’t just about breaking a swing point. It’s why it broke and how it broke that matters.
I only consider a shift valid when three things are in place:
Liquidity has been taken (above a high or below a low).
The shift is caused by a displacement candle that clearly shows urgency.
The move happens with strength, not during chop or consolidation.
If you don’t have all three, it’s just noise.
Liquidity Comes First
Everything starts with a liquidity sweep. That’s the trap.
Price has to reach into a pool of liquidity usually above equal highs, clean swing highs, or below clean lows to grab those orders, and reject. That rejection is key. It shows smart money is offloading positions into retail breakouts or stop hunts.
Without a sweep, I don’t care what breaks. No liquidity = no reversal setup.
So the first thing I do is mark out obvious liquidity levels. Equal highs, equal lows, trendline touches anywhere retail is likely to have their stops sitting. That’s where the fuel is.
Then Comes Displacement
After the sweep, I want to see displacement a sharp, aggressive move in the opposite direction.
Not a weak pullback. Not a slow grind. A real candle that shows intent.
Displacement is always obvious. You’ll get a clean candle, often engulfing multiple others, that breaks structure and leaves behind an imbalance what we call a Fair Value Gap (FVG). That imbalance is the signature of smart money hitting the market hard enough to leave a gap in the order flow.
If the candle’s weak, or if it happens during consolidation, I skip it. Displacement is what separates real reversals from fakeouts.
Here is a clean example of what it should look like.
Confirming the Shift
Once displacement confirms intent, I check if it actually broke structure.
That means:
In an uptrend, I want to see price break a previous higher low after sweeping a high.
In a downtrend, I want price to break a lower high after sweeping a low.
When that happens, that’s your MSS. Price has grabbed liquidity, shown displacement, and broken a key point in the structure. At that point, we’ve got a confirmed shift in control.
Entries, Stops, and Targets
Here’s how I trade it.
After the MSS, I wait for price to pull back into the origin of the move. Usually, that’s going to be one of two things:
The Fair Value Gap (imbalance left by the displacement candle)
Or the MSS line itself (Shown on the example)
Once price comes back into that zone, that’s where I’m interested in getting in.
Stop loss always goes just above the high (for shorts) or below the low (for longs) of the displacement candle that caused the MSS. You’re giving it room to breathe, but keeping it tight enough to protect capital.
Targets are straightforward: go for the next pool of liquidity. That means swing lows (sell-side) if you’re short, or swing highs (buy-side) if you’re long. That’s where price is most likely to be drawn next.
A Clean Bearish Example
Let’s say price is trending up, putting in higher highs and higher lows. Then it takes out a recent swing high liquidity swept.
Immediately after that, a strong bearish candle drops and breaks the most recent higher low. That candle leaves an imbalance behind—perfect.
Now I’ve got:
✅ Liquidity sweep
✅ Displacement
✅ Break of structure
I mark out the FVG / MSS line, wait for price to retrace back into it, and enter the short. My stop goes above the displacement candle high. My target? The next clean swing low. That's the next spot where stops are resting where the market is drawn.
A Few Things to Watch Out For
This method works, but only if you’re strict about the rules.
Don’t take MSS setups in consolidation. Wait for clean, impulsive breaks.
If the shift happens without displacement or imbalance, skip it. It’s not clean.
Be realistic with stops. Tight is good, but don’t choke the trade. Give it the structure it needs.
The biggest mistake I see? Traders jump in too early trying to front-run the shift before displacement confirms it. Let the story unfold. Wait for the sweep. Wait for the candle that slaps the market and breaks structure. That’s your edge.
As shown here, the first "MSS" is invalid and not the A+ setup you're looking for.
Final Thoughts
Trading smart money reversals is about reading intent. You’re not just looking at price, you’re understanding why it moved the way it did.
When you combine a liquidity grab, displacement, and a break in structure, you're aligning with institutional activity. You're trading at the turn when smart money flips the script and leaves everyone else chasing.
This isn’t about trading every break. It’s about knowing which breaks matter.
Keep it clean. Stay patient. Follow the flow.
__________________________________________
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