18 Times, +2000%, 5800 Days - All About NASDAQ100 Corrections!Hi, all!
I need to repost some of my recent ideas on TradingView due to issues with the platform's moderation. Let's start! The most up-to-date post is coming right away - one that serves as a timely reminder during these interesting times: never forget history.
From November 2008 to February 2025, the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) index has grown by over 2000%! Yes, that’s a 20x increase! This tech giant, made up of the 100 leading technology stocks, has shown impressive strength.
For comparison, the S&P 500 has risen about 820% in the same period. A great performance but Nasdaq 100 leaves it far behind.
Has this been a straight-line rise? Not really. Looking back, it may seem like the perfect investment. But the road was not smooth. Nasdaq 100’s success came with painful drops, investor panic, and moments when it felt like the market would never recover.
From the outside, everything looks great. But would you sit through a 30% drop, while the news is screaming about the "end of the world"?
So, I decided to analyze every correction of 10% or more since the market bottom in 2008.
- How long do corrections and recoveries last?
- How often do they happen?
- What should investors know?
- Can this help you in any way?
DATA ANALYSIS - 18 corrections in Nasdaq 100 (2008–2025), -10% or more.
Retracement Stats:
- Average drop: -15%
- Median drop: -13%
- Biggest drop: -37.72%
- Smallest drop: -10%
Correction Length (17 completed corrections): How many days does a correction last from the peak to the bottom?
- Average: 60 days
- Median: 35 days
- Longest: 325 days
- Shortest: 14 days
Recovery Time: From bottom back to new highs.
- Average: 165 days (~5.5 months)
- Median: 119 days (~4 months)
- Longest: 752 days (over 2 years)
- Shortest: 42 days (~1.5 months)
Correction Frequency
If we take a rough estimate, in 5800 days, there were 18 corrections, which means a correction happens every 322 days (~10.5 months) on average.
Total Time Spent in Corrections vs. Rising Markets
- Corrections lasted 1016 days
- Recoveries lasted 2801 days
- Total time spent in "work mode": 3817 days
- Total "smooth uptrend" days: 1983 days (~5.4 years)
Basically, like a hardworking employee – the market spends more time struggling than rising!
What Can Investors Learn from This?
1. Accept Volatility
Knowing that market swings are normal, investors can keep a long-term perspective and avoid panic-selling during downturns.
2. Nasdaq 100 Has Always Recovered
In the long run, Nasdaq 100 has always bounced back to new highs. Each recovery has been different, but so far, making new all-time highs has never been a problem.
3. Make Better Decisions
Understanding psychological biases helps investors make rational choices and manage risks better.
4. Market Drops = Opportunities, Not Threats
Most big market rallies started when most investors were too scared to buy.
"A simple rule dictates my buying: Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful." – Warren Buffett
Market drops always feel unique and scary but history shows they follow repeating patterns. And those who keep their emotions in check have the best opportunities.
"The time to buy is when there's blood in the streets." – Baron Rothschild
Final Thoughts: Is the current retracement a buying opportunity? No one knows for sure but history suggests - stay calm!
So, that's all. Like & Boost if you find this useful! 🚀
Have great day,
Vaido
💬 Before you leave... What’s your take on the current Nasdaq 100 correction? Drop your thoughts in the comments 👇
Technology
Harnessing the Power of Artificial Swarm Intelligence in TradingI) Introduction
Artificial swarm intelligence (ASI) has come in as the latest disruptor in trading and other industries in this world. This advanced technology, inspired by the sociobiology of social organisms like bees, birds, and fish, leads to the latest innovations and efficiencies found in the financial markets. Herein lies an informative overview of ASI, underscoring its principles and its utilities and advantages in trading.
II) What is Artificial Swarm Intelligence?
Artificial swarm intelligence makes one mimic the decision-making behavior of natural swarms. Swarms of bees, schools of fish, or flocks of birds in nature make group decisions that are often superior to those made by individuals in the same field. It exploits this relationship through algorithms and dynamic sharing of data to allow collaborative decision-making in artificial systems.
III) How Does ASI Work?
ASI has three basic components :
1) Agents: These are members of the swarm, often represented by single algorithms or software programs that take part, such as trading bots or software applications that analyze the market for many different data sources.
2) Communication Protocols: These protocols enable agents to relay information and together make decisions. Thus, good communication will enable all agents to receive the most current data and thus be aware of market trends.
3) Decision Rules: These are predetermined rules that guide agents regarding how to interpret data and make decisions. These rules usually imitate the simple behavioral rules present within the natural swarms-for example, either to align with neighboring swarming agents or to strive for consensus.
IV) Applications of ASI in Trading
1) Market Prediction: ASI systems can process enormous market datasets, recognize historical patterns, and analyze real-time news to make informed market predictions. By providing agents with a common perspective, this system is capable of forecasting stock prices, commodities, or any other financial instruments much more effectively compared with conventional techniques.
2) Risk Management: In trading, effective management of risk is a very important aspect. ASI facilitates the comprehensive examination of the volatility of the market and how individual investors behave to identify possible risks. In this way, the risk assessment will benefit from the wisdom of the crowds and its falling human error rate.
3) Algorithmic Trading: ASI controls technological trading as it is in constant evolution by the market and the traders. This evolution is beneficial in the aspect of lowering the costs of the trading algorithms concerning the costs of the transactions carried out.
4) Sentiment Analysis: ASI technologies monitor and examine the social networks, news, and traders’ discussions within trader communities to analyze these markets. Such up-to-date information avails the traders of the present atmosphere of the markets which is useful in making forecasts at the right time.
V) Merits of ASI in Trading
1) Increased accuracy: The inherent ASI decision-making characteristics increase the accuracy of market forecasts and trading decisions.
2) Greater efficiency: ASI digests material far more rapidly than older methodologies – enabling quicker actionable measures and therefore earning better trades by the traders.
3) Ongoing learning: ASI systems can learn and refresh their knowledge of the markets on an ongoing basis further increasing their adaptability.
4) Lower subjectivity: The incorporation of crowds helps to curb individual limitations and therefore results in a more objective analysis of the market that is devoid of personal bias.
VI) The Future of ASI
With the development of artificial swarm intelligence, its application in trading will surely diversify. More sophisticated agent communication systems will probably be necessary, faster information processing systems in real-time and systems with more capacity. All these will see the integration of ASI more into trading.
VII) In conclusion
Artificial swarm intelligence is a revolutionary method for making decisions in trading. The collective intelligence of the system allows traders to form better predictions accurately, increase their efficiency, and manage their risks. With future technological advancement, the role of ASI in trading will continuously see increased emphasis, leading the financial market into the future.
- Ely
Inflation vs Innovation Can the Markets Handle the HeatGlobal markets face contradictory forces in 2023. Inflation still simmers as central banks tighten money supply worldwide. Geopolitical friction continues while economic growth likely slows ahead. Yet technological transformation charges ahead, with artificial intelligence poised for explosive improvements. Investors and policymakers must stay nimble in this uncertain environment.
After plunging painfully in 2022, stocks have rebounded with vigor so far this year. This despite raging inflation and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on interest rates. Hefty liquidity efforts in China likely buoyed prices. Investors may also have grown too pessimistic amid still-sturdy corporate profits. But sentiment could sour again if supply chain snarls resurface.
In bond markets, yields continue reflecting dreary growth expectations after last year's surge. The inverted yield curve especially screams pessimism on the near-term economy. Meanwhile, the Fed's bond portfolio shrinkage has yet to rattle markets. This implies the Fed's quantitative easing and tightening have limited impact on actual money supply, defying popular perception.
On inflation, early 2023 figures show it easing from 40-year heights but still well above the Fed's 2% bullseye. The Fed remains leery of declaring victory prematurely. Taming inflation sans triggering severe recession is an epic challenge. Geopolitical wild cards like the Russia-Ukraine war that evade the Fed's grasp will shape the outcome.
Amidst these crosscurrents, technological forces advance relentlessly. The frantic digitization around COVID-19 now gives way to even more seismic innovations. The meteoric success of AI like ChatGPT provides a mere glimpse of the transformations coming for healthcare, transportation, customer service and virtually every industry.
The promise appears gargantuan, with AI generating solutions and ideas no human could alone conceive. But the warp-speed pace also carries perils if ethics and safeguards fail to keep up. Mass job destruction and wealth hoarding by Big Tech could ensue absent mitigating policies. But wisely harnessed AI also holds potential to uplift living standards globally.
For investors, AI has already jet-propelled leaders like Google, Microsoft, Nvidia and Amazon powering this tech revolution. But smaller firms wielding these tools may also see jackpot gains, as costs plunge and new opportunities emerge across sectors. That's why non-US and smaller stocks may provide superior opportunities versus overvalued big US tech.
In conclusion, the global economic and financial landscape simmers with familiar threats and novel technological promise. Inflation may moderate but seems unlikely to vanish given lingering supply dysfunction and distortions from massive stimulus. Stocks navigate shifting sentiment amid rising rates and demand doubts. And machine learning progresses rapidly into a future we can now scarcely envision.
Nimbly navigating such turbulence requires flexibility, tech savviness and philosophical courage. Responsibly steering AI's development is a herculean challenge, to maximize benefits and minimize pitfalls. Individuals need to stay skilled while advocating protections against job disruption. Policymakers face wrenching tradeoffs between growth, inflation and financial stability - all compounded by geopolitics.
Yet within uncertainty lies opportunity for those poised to seize it. The future remains ours to shape, if we summon the wisdom and will to guide technology toward enriching human life rather than eroding it. The road ahead will be arduous but need not be hopeless, if compassion and conscience inform our creations.
ETH : Fees, ZK Protocol and.. SPACE ?? Things YOU Should KnowHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Chart📈📉
There are some exiting developments in the crypto space other than the bullish price action on charts. If you've been missing out on some of it, this one's for you!
Thanks to their distributed structure, blockchains tend to be slow. If a single transaction has to be verified across thousands of Ethereum’s nodes, this also makes the network expensive to use. Layer 2 systems are a potential answer to this issue, with rollups as the most popular scaling method. Zero-knowledge (ZK) rollups use the minimum data necessary to verify transactions by unburdening Ethereum from excess network workload. This makes Ethereum both faster and cheaper. Okay now hold up - wat is ZK?
In cryptography, a ZK or zero-proof protocol means one party (the prover) can prove to another party (the verifier) that a given statement is true without giving any additional statement. To give a practical example; consider how you would have to prove your citizenship. If you say “I am Bob from Canada”, you would need to prove that with a legal document such as a passport, an identity document etc. The problem with this approach up until now, is privacy. This information is often shared to third parties without your consent. Identity theft also thrives in this environment.
So how could you prove that what you’re saying is true, without giving away any information or legal documents? Let’s take a look at this example provided by Wikipedia:
Imagine your friend is red-green color-blind (while you are not) and you have two balls: one red and one green, but otherwise identical. To your friend they seem completely identical and they are skeptical that they are actually distinguishable. You want to prove to them they are in fact differently-colored, but nothing else; in particular, you do not want to reveal which one is the red and which is the green ball.
Here is the proof system. You give the two balls to your friend and they put them behind their back. Next, they take one of the balls and bring it out from behind their back and display it. They then place it behind their back again and then choose to reveal just one of the two balls, picking one of the two at random with equal probability. They will ask you, "Did I switch the ball?" This whole procedure is then repeated as often as necessary.
By looking at their colors, you can, of course, say with certainty whether or not they switched them. On the other hand, if they were the same color and hence indistinguishable, there is no way you could guess correctly with probability higher than 50%. Since the probability that you would have randomly succeeded at identifying each switch/non-switch is 50%, the probability of having randomly succeeded at all switch/non-switches approaches zero ("soundness"). If you and your friend repeat this "proof" multiple times (e.g. 20 times), your friend should become convinced ("completeness") that the balls are indeed differently colored.
The above proof is zero-knowledge because your friend never learns which ball is green and which is red; indeed, they gain no knowledge about how to distinguish the balls.
Now that you have an understanding of ZK, let's look at how this affects blockchain and cryptocurrencies, Ethereum specifically:
Gas fees have been a huge problem for ETH. But there are a number of ways to improve performance . Rollups are by far the most popular scaling technology. So wait wait wait.... What Are Rollups or ZK-Rollups? Rollups are smart contracts that reduces computing and storage requirements for validating a transaction block. As noted previously, they do so by rolling up hundreds of transactions into a single one. Zero-knowledge proof is one of the methods to accomplish that.
When a network is overburdened with information, the fees increase. That’s because public, decentralized blockchains have limited block space to contain transactions. Accordingly, when the network traffic is higher, the demand for block space increases, leading to validators charging more for each transaction to be validated.
Rollups are divided into two types: Optimistic and Zero-Knowledge (ZK). Both types do one job — rollups reduce the Layer 1 network’s (Ethereum) workload by scooping up, or rolling, hundreds of incoming transactions as a single transaction. This bundled single transaction is then verified and added back to Ethereum, as another data block on its public ledger. Because of this continuous offloading of transactions from Ethereum, the Layer 1 network remains uncongested. And when Ethereum is not congested, it is much cheaper to use because its ETH gas fees fall down drastically. After all, every computer network requires some bandwidth/computational resources to be expended. In the case of decentralized blockchain networks, that cost falls onto users themselves. This is why Layer 2 networks are so important. Rollups, in particular, have a dual impact — granting fast and affordable user experience to the Ethereum ecosystem.
So now that you have a better understanding of Blockchain verification and gas fees, we can take it to SPACE ✨🚀
I live in a country where electricity blackouts (or loadshedding as they call it) is part of everyday life. We usually experience 3 sets of loadshedding a day, each ranging from 2 - 4 hours at a time. One of many disruptive results of this, is that the signal drops during loadsheding. This is because the signal towers have back up batteries for when the electricity cuts but - since there has been loadshedding for months, the batteries do not get to charge fully. You might be wondering why I'm telling you this (and I'll give you a clue, it's not for sympathy). One word - SIGNAL. You would be surprised to know how many things are affected by the ready availability of electricity, and signal. When the signal drops, it not only drops for your phone but also for transactions. Think card machines, financial services, banking etc.
Now again, Mr Elon Musk has been working on Starlink, something you may have heard of to address this issue. Starlink is a satellite internet constellation operated by SpaceX, providing satellite Internet access coverage to 45 countries. It aims for global mobile phone service after 2023. SpaceX started launching Starlink satellites in 2019. The purpose of using satellites for signal would basically make signal towers null and void, with a direct link form the satellite to the receiving point such as the phone and eventually card machine etc. This is where the exciting news now becomes relevant. ZK - tested on satellites.
Recently, in a collaboration between crypto-satellite developer Cryptosat and global hackathon organizer DoraHacks, the first successful experiment to launch a ZK (Zero-Knowledge) proof system in space recently occurred onboard the International Space Station (ISS). According to DoraHacks and Cryptosat, the experiment performed onboard the ISS showcased the capability of a satellite-based computation environment to successfully perform part of the trusted setup process required to use a ZK proof protocol. According to Cryptosat, which is attempting to launch a constellation of cubesats into orbit and build out its satellite fleet, the success of the ZK proof experiment is a crucial component in demonstrating the efficacy of space-bound computational environments. The procedure entailed sending pre-uploaded open source programs to the ISS through a secure link in order to generate a string file for the ZK proof-based voting program. Cryptosat has also already launched two mug-sized satellites, Crypto1 and Crypto2, the latter of which is currently being tested.
💭Final Thoughts...
We're not there yet. The two legs that go with connection is signal.. and device. The one without the other is useless. Many people around the globe still do not have access to devices and even if they did, what happens if you lose your device? Just how vulnerable would you be if your device is stolen? Those are questions for another day perhaps....
Thanks for reading this far ! Interested in a technical and chart analysis of Ethereum? Check out this idea :
_______________________
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CryptoCheck
Automating strategies keeps me sane 😊Running a strategy with a proven edge has me comfortable mentally on how a trade plays out, Be it a stop out or a take profit target met.
Also automating those proven strategies and just letting them be helped with my mental state as a trader.
Trade alerted 17:45 this afternoon and has been close once to TP.
I didn't know this I was in the garden enjoying the late summer sun that has bestowed the UK this week 🌞
Once upon a time watching the charts would of had me thinking of closing to soon and then filling with regret as the retrace occurs that I didn't close.
Only reason to look at chart tonight was a quick mid week review of trades and this trade is one of my open ones.
Trade details are shown on the chart.
We are working the 15M time frame on this strategy.
We're looking for the green line which is take profit target.
Little red arrow is entry point and purple line is stop loss.
The current open trade still might not hip TP but I'm not allowing emotions to play a part I let the objective based plan play out.
Previous trades shown on chart from the last two days.
Trade history can be seen at the foot of this trade idea too for full transparency.
These are year to date stats.
How do you as traders journal your trades I'm intrigued to know?
Having back test capability and a trade log which is possible through TradingView pine script saves me hours in manually logging trades as well as manually back testing.
Having that level of data allows me to know I'm running a proven strategy and that I have an edge.
The next key bit to staying sane/stress free and one of the best pieces of advice I could give as a trader is use technology available to your advantage.
Trading shouldn't consume every spare minute. Most of us do this to escape the 9-5 so don't spend hours at charts unnecessarily.
Not spending hours at charts is why I haven't shared all these trades on this pair and when this current one alerted.
If your reading this tonight let this sink in I've only looked at this chart once this week when I shared my last idea yesterday on the pair in question.
There has been three trades since then and I'm only just looking now!
Take it from me find a strategy that works and then automate that strategy.
Your mental health and well being will be the winner in the long run along with healthy account gains.
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I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily.
Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way.
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Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏
Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌
No one likes missing out, do they?
Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this.
The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
Darren
BTC - what is it?//Let us have a discussion.Since we know what bitcoin is(read on the graph) we can talk about it.
I have concerns about bitcoin. Let us discuss them(but in a calm discussion).
1) The fundamental aspect of institutionless transactions(no trusted party)
"As such, the verification is reliable as long as honest nodes control the network" It means that we must trust everybody else (trusted party)? Isn't it better to trust a legal entity like a bank than bitcoin holders?
"if the attacker doesn't make a lucky lunge forward early on, his chances become vanishingly small as he falls further behind" What about people who saw the "potential" of bitcoin early when it was cheap?
What about the inventor? We don't know who he is? Maybe he has done something to be the attacker in the future? Is not he a trusted party?
2)The price of the bitcoin
Since the only purpose of bitcoin is to eliminate the transitions fees the max price for bitcoin is ~5000$/it means that bitcoin is a bubble(it may grow until the whole economy will cost less).
3)The jobs in the sector of transactions(640 million $ are there)
4)Legislation
Since there is almost none of it, bitcoin is used for criminal purposes.
5)Mt. Gox.
All of it is risk -> high risk means high profit or loss.
What do you think?
Another speculative bubble: Alcatel-Lucent [Banking] [Crypto]First... a little introduction about mainstream speculation, then I will talk about 50 year market cycles, and then about banking & currencies.
Coronavirus: The "best" models by "the brightest minds" predicted - taking into account lockdown & social distancing - "tens of millions of deaths".
MrRenev predicted - it's only a few months old - that this was extremely exagerated. By Late April, 200,000 people have died. The rate is high in cold countries (~40°N, interestingly this is New York and Rome latitudes), I think deaths of colds by this coronavirus are as high as all other colds combined. Anyway, I got alot of heat but I was right, as usual. I also predicted that lockdown was useless and did no good (but does a whole lot of harm), and I will soon compare lockdown countries to non lockdown ones to show it, plus studies will say the same thing, same old, same old. A study has shown New York had several millions infected! More than 1 in 5! (As I predicted...got patronized and everything but I was right - AGAIN! - so don't mind me if I am arrogant and condescending).
Cough cough:
11,544 deaths in New York City
15,740 in the New York state
A death rate around .5%, it's a little higher than other places, but it's pretty cold there, and air quality isn't great, and americans are fat so obviously it will be worse.
Also there is another reason why the rate could be higher there but I won't even mention it because the USA sees racism everywhere and they still control the world (not for long ;}) and I can't be bothered.
I had the numbers for all colds but idk where they are now, but for the flu & pneumonia last years they were almostas many deaths as for covid-19 alone.
And if I remember correctly covid-19 had about as many deaths as all colds combined. So it's pretty big but way smaller than all the clowns predicted.
"Low end mortality prediction 3%, but could be as high as 10%" "Worse than the spanish flu" "Deadlier than feared" LMAO clowns!
CO2 : Sigh. CO2 will kill us all. Another pathetic dogma and ridiculous calls. "World hunger will be extreme", actually earth population went up exponentially and hunger went down even in nominal terms.
30-50 years ago: "Temperature will go up 5 to 15 degrees" (15? really? Chimp). Went up 1 degree. In the North Hemisphere. And 0 in oceans & around the equator. 0.5 overall. They're desperate to make "adjustment" to make it look worse lmao, but then there are inconsistency and they deviate from other measurements and other countries etc and keep coming up with excuses to cover up their previous lies.
"12 years left" We've had 12 years left for the past 30 years boy.
Terrible, really terrible calls. I could make a long list. There are really funny ones, well they're all funny, another example is the "end of the world millenium bug", heard of that one? Oh, every one knows this one :"The Titanic is unskinkable" OOOH MY this one DID NOT AGE WELL! "Prosperity Will Never End" (1929). "We have to transitions to renewables because our advanced economics predict Oil will cost $380 a barrel in 10 years and it's fundamentally impossible we are wrong" (economists in 2005 - barrel priced at minus 40 a few days ago and Trump fighting to keep the long term price above 20 bucks).
Cycles:
So I remind you,
1780-1830: Steam Engine, Mechanisation
1830-1880: Railway, Steel, Comm (telegraphs), ( Start of wageslavery )
1880-1930: Electricity, Chemicals, Heavy Engineering
1930-1975: Automobiles, Oil, Mass Production & Consumerism
1975-2020: IT, Comm (satelittes, computers, internet, phones)
2020-2060: Banking (& Currencies), Health (billions of obese...), ( Decline of Wageslavery/Change in Work structure )
Comm continued between 1880 and 1975 and was growing before 1830, but it made its biggest revolutionnary gains in the 2 periods mentionned I think.
Idk maybe traders are communists after all, alot want freedom and hate the exploitation of man by man, the difference with official commies is we are smart enough to understand freedom comes from making money by yourself (profit) not by electing dictators that control everything and put chains around your neck (so obvious...).
Banking & Currencies :
A banking revolution is necessary, by revolution I mean changing this rotten system completely. All this money printing... In the US retail banks are making ridiculous loans to uneducated people that won't ever be able to pay, squeezing them, and then taking away their houses and more...
Cryptocurrencies were the earliest element in this new banking Kondratiev cycle, like computers of the 60s (first popular computer game spacewar that you might have heard of run on a 1960 model), and the space race. If you stored very pricey Disk Storage Drives and CRAM from 1962 you might be able to sell a few to collectors but that's it. Wouldn't get your money back and I didn't say inflation adjusted.
Companies are developping in this area, I mean quick payments, they're starting to replace banks. There are issues but it's growing.
I better perform well in this cycle and know what to invest in, I can proudly say I am an engineer in security & electronic payments, isn't that funny, in another life I might have been part of the next bubble, at least I learned something useful at school. Forgot it all thought.
So anyway ye, all those mobile phone companies, and optic cable companies (Alcatel was both), went way way down. Mobile phones got really big, optic fiber too, doesn't mean their share price HAVE to go up, if they started already 500% too high duh, and there are other factors. People are so dumb. That's why it is called dumb money.
Finance is getting more and more complex, probably because of the Flynn effect, mmm because the smart are getting smarter and the dumb are getting dumber.
And people are getting fatter and fatter + the world is open so diseases can spread on easy mode. Plague inc casual difficulty.
Next big things banking/currencies/and even the rest of finance, and Health / bio-tech.
The cattle that gets excited and greedy about potential profit and becomes obsessed and blinded with reasons to go up (the halving, bakkt, cme futures, etc) will get slaughtered and turned into delicious steaks, smart money will keep profitting I wonder... finance becoming more advanced efficient complex... Gives an even bigger edge to the smart. And dum dums get punished harder (as Robinhood users positions demonstrate). The dum dums breed like rats, the smart (especially women) not much... So this means more brainlets money to end in the pocket of less smart players. And all the little cockroaches that were cheating before everything got computerised (floor traders) stopped making money so now only pure skill / smarts is rewarded.
The smart can make more money but then have to pay for dum dums that can't even survive on their own. And get dumber and so on.
Without brains humans are just animals that don't run fast and aren't very strong.
Nothing is more risible that delusional dumb money that gets blinded by 1 fact and ignore everything else and gets excited.
The Alcatel chart, like many others, is not available anymore. There is still a remnant on the Istanbul Stock Exchange.
Those bubbles, those dumb money movements happen ALL THE TIME. And they never learn, and it gets forgotten, and it's always the same story.
And they are cocky when the price goes up, and they are persuaded they can't be wrong, and they get wiped out and turn silent.
History will keep repeating itself for a long long time.
Don't be one of those idiot gamblers. Investing and speculating take a very large amount of learning and a very large amount of thinking.
This is what happens to gamblers 99.999% of the time:
19.2.2020 - Bitcoin (BTC / USD)Hi Traders!
Today we look at a bit specific bitcoin analysis. It will be about bitcoin but on CME futures exchange. Have you heard of CME gaps?
Many people are starting to talk about CME gaps. How do these gaps actually come to existence? There are two options:
CME doesn't trade futures over the weekend and is off. However, crypto exchanges normally work at weekends, so the first way is that there is a strong movement at the weekend and we open Monday at a totally different value than we closed on Friday.
The second way is that bitcoin simply has such a strong up/down movement that it flies through the order book and creates a GAP.
GAP acts as a magnet on the graph. Many people know about this, but they don't know the logic behind it. In the first case (the weekend), there will be many unfulfilled orders at that point. After a strong movement, the graph later gets tired and still comes after these orders. Of course, this does not work 100%, but in the vast majority of cases, it does.
We currently have a GAP blank at a level of $ 8,500. It's extremely difficult to determine whether this gap is filled or not. There came a wick, but exactly to the edge. If the GAP is not completed in a given week, it will usually only be completed after a certain cycle has been completed. Will it be so?
May the crypto be with you!
02.10.2019 Stellar (XLM/USD)Hi traders!
We are going to analyze absolutely specific chart today - XLM / USD . It's not a typical technical analysis, but we want to prepare you for various traps and extremes on the crypto market .
Stellar is the tenth biggest cryptocurrency from the market capitalisation perspective, thus it's not any dwarf. So what can we read from the chart?
Stellar has been nicely finishing its structure and the last wave of a cycle, anticipating early growth. Triangle formation is often located before the last move in the current direction and it was even followed by a falling wedge formation. If you see these two formations, one after another, you win! In the vast majority of cases break and growth comes, and they did come. The growth of more than 52% in about 3 days . It even managed to stay high and the coin looked superbly.
However, Bitcoin broke down . Sharp decline sent Stellar to the bottom of the sea, literally. It fell by 42% in a couple of days . Given today's situation, we think it will continue to decline. At this point is essential to remind, that we are talking about the 10th biggest cryptocurrency. Similar extremes are common in cryptocurrencies and therefore we need to pay special attention. Key takeaway to remember here is to always scan the market as the whole . If any cryptocurrency looks really good but then Bitcoin is falling through floors you may simply have bad luck.
What to learn from this analysis?
1. Don't be greedy
2. Use stop-loss
3. Watch the market as the whole
4. Don't let emotions control you (market will keep tempting you)
5. Search only for the best situations on the chart
May the crypto be with you!
Technology Markets and Technology TrendsMake no mistake; technology markets make the world go around. Or at least, they make it more exciting. How? Just check out these technology trends you should be watching.
At the same time, you may want to check out the companies that develop such technological advances. Spoiler: Stark Industries not in the list!
AI/AR: Go After Tech Stocks!
These technologies aren’t altogether new. Companies have been using artificial intelligence and augmented reality for a while now.
But these technologies are still in their infancy, meaning we have yet to see a real-life JARVIS. Just imagine a fully functional digital butler!
Companies constantly invest their cash on AI, machine learning, and deep learning, hoping these techs will improve their business processes.
For investors, examples of public companies that invest in AI and AR technologies include:
Amazon – “Alexa, play Despacito.”
Google – Too bad Elon Musk (the closest we got as Tony Stark) gave up DeepMind.
Nvidia Corporation – “No bullets left! Come on. These zombies look too realistic!”
Tencent – “We’ll take eSports by storm! And pandas!”
Don’t Shout at the Cloud!
Cloud computing is a thing. This refers to the use of server networks on the internet for data storage, management, and processing.
We’re calling it: there would be a time when local servers and personal computers would play the tiniest role in computing.
But hey, you don’t need to go all geeky and become a programmer yourself to appreciate cloud computing.
All you need to do is look at the following companies making headway into this information technology advancement.
Red Hat – Infrastructure-as-a-Service (IaaS) cloud is a mouthful, but it works like magic
Oracle – The Oracle partners with Microsoft to bring *drum rolls* multicloud!
Dropbox – Think outside the box? Here’s a new one: think (and compute) with Dropbox!
Internet of Things
We’ve heard of the internet—an interconnected network of networks, where you get your latest cutesy cutesy cat videos.
But what if we got:
Interconnected network of devices
Interconnected network of content
Interconnected network of services
Interconnected network of people
Sounds tight, doesn’t it? We’re getting more connected as technology trends get even better. With the IoT tech still in its infancy, we can expect more to come.
Watch out for developments from these companies:
Magneto IT Solutions – It’s not Professor X’s frenemy, but it sure is a huge upcoming power in IoT tech.
Verizon – Yes, Verizon is here. Spoiler: its merging partner, AT&T, will make another list
hand holding phone IoT concept – Finance BrokerageBlockchain
The concept of a decentralized, distributed public ledger may have been laughable before. But thanks to Satoshi Nakamoto, the blockchain proved the skeptics wrong.
Cryptocurrencies are booming along with the underlying technology behind it. More governments are going crazy about it, and its mainstream appeal is increasing.
It’s a bit complicated, but let’s say the blockchain technology allows for a more secure, faster, and more efficient transactions.
We’re calling it again: a day will come, and you’ll do your trading on a blockchain platform.
Wait. If you’re trading bitcoins now, you’re already doing this, which means we’re right!
The point is blockchain has proven itself worthy of traders’ attention. And it will continue to do so. Just look at Facebook’s Libra. Or Ant Financial (Alibaba Group. Or the Winklevoss’ Gemini.
Your portfolio just got a bit bigger!
In 3, 2, 1… 5G Networks!
Just imagine those days when the biggest technological advancements we had were phones with antennae and text messaging capabilities.
Then we had phones and computers that can capture pictures and surf the net.
Fast forward to 2019, we’re on the brink of using 5G networks. That means if you think the 4G LTE service you’re using now is already fast, you’ll get blown away by 5G networks.
For comparison, just imagine that 4G LTE is a speeding cheetah, while 5G is close to Superman when he’s reversing the earth’s rotation.
For investors, the companies to lookout for include:
Huawei – Easily the biggest dealmaker in the field of telecommunications equipment
AT&T – We’d also be surprised if this company weren’t on the list
Samsung – This one, too, would always make any list when it comes to smartphones.
Basically all the most popular smartphone and equipment companies out there. They can’t afford to not adopt the newest standard, you know.
Conclusion
So, there you have it, the 5 top technology markets and technology trends you can watch out for this year.
Trading the stocks of these companies will (although some of them have yet to go public) probably take more time and effort. But that’s investing.
Be ahead of the curve and consider these your best tech market bets!
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It Pays to Pay Attention in CryptoFor years I have been reading about technology and what the future might be like. So far there have been many advances but for every advance there were always let downs, disappointments, economic and social barriers, and general delays. Everything seems to be spooling up at once. A crossroads of sorts is forming. Some call it the singularity, some call it transcendence, some call it the second coming of Christ, and some call it judgement and hell. However you look at the advancement of technology one thing is certain, there is tech being developed today that will change the future forever. How do you spot it? How do you own a part of it? What is the ultimate goal, and how do you weed out failures? I can't answer all of those questions but I can emphasize what I've noticed. There are things being developed that get dismissed off hand by many but to me seem like some of the most powerful technical achievements we might ever see in our lifetime (even if technology manages to extend that too). We will think back to this time and wonder how we missed one idea or another and how it was so simple yet we didn't see it.
In walk the ethereum upgrades. Ethereum has lost a lot of monetary value in the cryptocurrency bear market but there is something I noticed that it didn't lose, developmental and implementation value. Many people criticize the delayed roll outs of features they want to use today as well as pointing out the falling price. Despite these controversies I see ethereum tackling problems never before mastered in computer programming. True randomness so that proof-of-stake can't be predicted? Are you serious? Then making true randomness accessible to anyone who wants to write a decentralized application? It sounds so trivial but it's a basic problem in mathematics. How do you create something random enough that your method or algorithm can't be eventually predicted? The things being worked on right now just to get the new proof-of-stake system working are some of the most groundbreaking subjects in computer science to date yet all I see is burned traders scoffing and competitors claiming they have a "superior" solution to ethereum that works "today". Sure, but at what cost? There is always a trade off for taking a shortcut. The people working on ethereum refuse to take these shortcuts. When I see this type of dedication and development happening I can't help but notice. My confusion is why so many others are not noticing. Do they not realize the implications? Maybe that's it. Maybe if you don't pay attention in math class about true randomness, maybe if you don't read articles about what's next in technology on a regular basis so you can filter out the noise and eventually get to the baseline signal, you miss out. Maybe I'm freaking out over nothing, but this feels like the next google. Google's search engine technology and the way they implemented it took them far beyond what many people thought was possible, something that was obvious to a person like me even though I was still in high school. I didn't have $10,000 to throw at the IPO at the time and it felt like it was out of my reach. I was young, inexperienced, unable to see the value of my own well thought out analysis of the future. It wasn't a second thought for me. I knew google would run the internet. I wasn't surprised when it happened. This familiar experience is happening again except this time the technology is ethereum and the crypto space in general. This time I'm ready, this time I have capital to spare, and this time I'm not going to let my position in society or my own limitations get in the way.
Are there projects I'm not talking about, sure. Here is the main point, pay attention to what is going on around you, know what the problems in the world are, and when you see someone working hard and solving those problems pay close attention. That little problem may be holding back a ton of innovation and as soon as it's solved an explosion of products and services are coming that will change the way the whole game is played. I always joke that I'm a jack of all trades and a master of none, and it's mostly true. I'm interested in too many subjects to stay enraptured long enough to become the foremost expert on anything, but I will say this; having a wider view and paying attention allows you to see obvious advances that even the experts miss. Keep your eyes open, be interested, and pay attention. With a little dedication, you'll stumble upon some gem no one else is noticing. Happy trading.
Emerging Technology BTC // The Blow off phaseBTC // Most emerging technologies follow a specific pattern and parabolic curve until the curve is broken. The first curve was broken after the hack and a new one has formed since then. Now since BTC is the first Global reserve currency NOT dominated by a country Global reserve currencies since 1450 it is hard to estimate how far BTC will go until it breaks this curve. Most traders trade BTC like most other markets but it doesn't make sense to do such action. If you follow the intraday charts you will see the same pattern over and over again so why not follow it until it breaks the curve once more?