$BTC bitcoin trade idea for Ny session today !Hello everyone!Just like yesterday's post, I'll be sharing daily updates here for all you session trading enthusiasts. Let's dive in:Our first scalp long idea could target yesterday's low, potentially sweeping those liquidity lines around 110k (which aligns with the 0.786 Fib level). That said, we still need solid confirmation before jumping in.If we're truly aiming higher, we'll need to reclaim key levels first—like Monday's low—to build momentum. Otherwise, this could just be a dead cat bounce after we've swept all that liquidity below.What are your thoughts? Drop them below—happy trading!
1-BTCUSD
BTCUSD on the 30m timeframe1. Trend Context
BTCUSD on the 30m timeframe remains in a clear downtrend, forming consistent Lower Highs and Lower Lows.
2. Key Zones
SZ (Supply Zone): 114,250 – 114,750. Origin of the strong selloff, major resistance if price retraces upward.
SR (Structure Reversal): 113,000 – 113,250. Previously marked a short-term structural shift, now likely to act as dynamic resistance.
DZ (Demand Zone): 111,200 – 111,750. Price is currently testing this zone, which serves as short-term support.
3. Trading Scenarios
If DZ holds, a short-term bounce toward SR is possible.
If price rejects at SR, it offers a favorable short setup in line with the prevailing downtrend.
If DZ breaks, the downtrend may extend with a target around 110,000 or lower.
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BTC:ConsolidatingFor BTC, the short-term key support level isstill 111000, which is the starting point of the recent rebound. The strong support range is 105000–109000, while the strong resistance zone above remains at 115000. The overall trend is biased toward oscillating upward: if it breaks through the resistance level, it may accelerate its rise; if it falls below the key support, it may pull back.
At the same time, the approaching options expiration may intensify late-session volatility. It is recommended to gradually reduce leveraged positions after 16:00. Overall, Bitcoin's trend today will feature "oscillating to build a bottom and waiting for a breakthrough"—the competition between bulls and bears at key technical levels will determine the short-term direction. Investors should remain rational: they need to be alert to the potential pressure from the "September effect" while paying attention to the possibility of a rebound from oversold levels, and prioritize risk control when responding to market fluctuations.
Buy 111000 - 115000
TP 112000 - 112500 -113000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Has ATTENTION PEAKED on BTC & Crypto?Examining the daily BTC/USD HTF chart, several indicators suggest a potential market top scenario reminiscent of previous Bitcoin peaks. The chart highlights three core components: RSI, MACD, and price action versus trendlines. Notably, the recurring MACD pattern—with a sequence of five yellow-labeled local peaks and valleys—has appeared near each major high, further strengthened by the visible red arrows marking historical tops.
Context:
The MACD panel shows a clear recurring pattern—each market peak coincides with closely-clustered MACD bursts and subsequent reversals, labeled (1)-(5), that echo the structure identified at Bitcoin’s previous all-time highs in early 2021 and again in mid-2025. These bursts typically reflect maximum market participation and social/media attention, followed by rapid declines as momentum wanes.
RSI values in both instances remain elevated but subside as price fails to break the red resistance lines, indicating weakening bullish strength.
The price chart itself displays a series of failed attempts to break above strong horizontal resistance (red lines), directly aligning with previous market highs. Each peak aligns with a spike in market excitement and a corresponding cluster of MACD peaks.
The long-term green trendline underscores Bitcoin’s structural uptrend but also frames the risk—should price lose the trendline, historical price action suggests deeper corrections are possible.
Trading:
Given the repetition of this MACD burst pattern and multi-timeframe rejection at horizontal resistance, there is strong evidence that peak market attention and buying pressure for BTC have likely already occurred for this cycle. Previous instances saw significant corrections following similar technical conditions, suggesting caution is warranted.
Short Profit Target: Initial target for shorts could be set near the green trendline support, around $85,000-$90,000, with more aggressive bears aiming for major swing low zones near $65,000.
Short Stop Loss: Tight stop loss should be placed just above local highs, at $117,000-$120,000, to guard against unexpected breakouts to new highs.
Risk/Reward: Consider a minimum 2:1 ratio, moving stops to break-even if there is rapid price rejection and MACD follows through with sustained bearish momentum.
This analysis contextualizes both the technical signals and price action in terms understandable to traders and readers. Historical patterns suggest a strong likelihood that “attention” has peaked, reinforcing the probability that the next major move for BTC will be corrective rather than impulsive to the upside.
Always use position sizing and risk management tailored to each portfolio’s size and goals.
BAD NEWS for Bitcoin :(. BE CAREFUL!My last Prediction was PERFECT . i know this will UPSET many bulls, but this is how the MARKETS WORK. After a strong uptrend and extreme greed environment, its time for Bitcoin to CORRECT and have strong PULLBACK. Look at the channel and trendlines, I expect bitcoin to reach a price of 100k/96k in the coming weeks. That will be a GOOD BUY opportunity. BE CAREFUL AND STAY WISE.
See My Previous PERFECT prediction:
BINANCE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD OKX:BTCUSD
BTCUSD H4 | Bearish drop offBitcoin (BTC/USD) has rejected off the sell entry at 113,380.39, which is a pullback resistance and could potentially drop from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 115,645.29, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 109,425.81, which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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MARKET UPDATE BTC/USDT 25/09/2025📊BTC/USDT Update
On the low time frame, BTC has broken down and failed to reclaim the 113,223 – 114,019 zone.
This breakdown signals loss of the cycle structure, confirming that the previous bullish cycle has ended.
Key levels:
113,223 – 114,019 → resistance zone. As long as BTC remains below this, the structure stays bearish.
111,900 → current trading area, under pressure.
Upside scenario: BTC would need to reclaim 113,223 first, and then confirm above 114,019, to even consider restarting an uptrend cycle. Without that, upside potential remains very limited.
Downside risk: Staying below 113,223 keeps BTC in breakdown mode, with increased probability of further decline toward 110,000 – 108,000.
📌 Summary
BTC lost the cycle support → bearish confirmation.
Reclaim above 114,019 is required to regain bullish momentum.
As long as BTC trades below 113,223, the bias remains bearish with downside risk.
Warning - Bitcoin bullish trend is over
Over the past 15 years, the cryptocurrency market has repeatedly witnessed exponential price surges in Bitcoin followed by altcoins—movements that sparked excitement and drew massive amounts of liquidity into the space.
However, the cycle that began in 2024 and will end in about 20 days has failed to meet the expectations of market participants. This time, altcoins were no longer able to attract capital as they once did, and more than 70% of enthusiasts have permanently turned away from the space. A significant part of this downturn stems from the actions and policies of major exchanges such as Binance, FTX, and others.
Altcoins have not only failed to gain value compared to Bitcoin’s 2023 prices but have also suffered sharp declines, with their downward trend still ongoing. Even Ethereum was unable to surpass its historic peak from 2021.
The market is now entering a dangerous slope for Bitcoin price depreciation, where predictions suggest that altcoins like **Dogecoin** could fall to $0.05, **Ethereum** to $1,100, **Solana** to $80, and **Toncoin** to $0.60.
This can be regarded as the worst experience in crypto history—not only for investors who will lose substantial portions of their capital but also for exchanges themselves, which, despite short‑term gains, will ultimately rank among the long‑term losers. Following this, the rate of new user acquisition in crypto will likely drop to one‑tenth of previous years, leaving the industry widely viewed as a **major scam** in the eyes of the public.
The Bear Market Isn't Coming? Old BTC Playbook is a TrapFor years, traders have relied on Bitcoin's predictable cycles. We look for the same clues, the same topping signals, and the same patterns. But what if the market has evolved? What if the playbook we've all been studying is now a trap?
This analysis dives deep into key indicators across all three major bull runs, comparing the RSI, MACD, Volume, and especially the Bollinger Band Width Percentile (BBWP). The data suggests that while some classic bearish signals are flashing, the market's underlying structure is telling a very different, and potentially much more bullish, story.
A Tale of Two Cycles: The Historical Baseline
To understand where we are, we must first look back.
The First Bull Run (2015-2017): This cycle was defined by raw, explosive power. The weekly RSI crossed above 80 a staggering four times. However, the end was confusing. We had bearish RSI divergences fighting against bullish MACD. The primary exit signals were a massive spike in selling volume and a BBWP reading that finally hit 94%, signaling trend exhaustion. It was effective, but messy.
The Second Bull Run (2018-2021): This cycle top was much clearer and became the "classic" model for many traders. The RSI crossed 80 only twice, and the end was signaled by a textbook combination of:
Classic bearish divergences on the RSI and MACD.
Obvious selling pressure at the top.
Crucially, the BBWP spectrum crossed 90% three separate times, screaming trend exhaustion before the final downturn.
The Current Cycle: A New Breed of Bull 📈
Now, let's analyze our current cycle, which began in November 2022. On the surface, some things look familiar, but the engine of this trend is behaving in a completely unprecedented way.
The Familiar Signs (The Bear Case):
Yes, we can see a classic bearish divergence forming on both the RSI and MACD. Furthermore, the recent buying volume, while still okay, is showing signs of weakness compared to the explosive start of the rally. This is what is causing many analysts to call for a cycle top, just like before.
The Unprecedented Anomalies (The Bull Case):
This is where it gets interesting and why the old playbook may fail.
No BBWP Exhaustion: Unlike the (2015-2017) (2018-2021) bull runs, the BBWP spectrum has not crossed 90% a single time during this entire uptrend. The volatility has never reached the levels of euphoria and exhaustion that marked previous tops. The trend, while strong, has not shown signs of being "finished."
The Contraction Anomaly: This is the most compelling signal on the chart. Historically, a major BBWP contraction (the indicator squeezing down) signals that energy is building for a massive expansion in price. This event has almost always marked the beginning of a new bull phase or the start of a major move up. Yet, here we are at the supposed end of the cycle, and the BBWP is contracting again. This has never happened at a cycle peak before. This odd behavior suggests that instead of winding down, the market could be coiling up for another powerful move, Also the number of contractions in this cycle is much higher than the pervious cycles which explains the elliot waves unexpected targets
Elliott Wave Strength: While I have not drawn the Elliott Wave count here because every trader's interpretation can be subjective, my personal count indicates that the current wave structure is targeting prices significantly higher than the current all-time high.
Summary and Final Thoughts
To summarize, while we have some classic, textbook bearish signals that would have marked the top in (2018-2021), we also have powerful, unprecedented evidence suggesting this cycle is different.
The lack of a BBWP exhaustion signal (>90%) is a major deviation from the last 2 cycle top.
The current BBWP contraction at a "cycle end" is a massive anomaly. This is typically a pre-trend signal, not an end-of-trend signal, and could be hinting at a major breakout ahead.
This is not a guarantee of a continued bull run, but rather a data-driven observation that the market is showing a structure we haven't seen before. Relying solely on the old playbook could be a mistake. The market is evolving, and our analysis must evolve with it.
I have marked every anomaly and pattern on the chart, You can zoom in and analyze for yourself
I'm open to all discussions and opinions in the comments
Trade safe and keep an open mind.
BITX to 3Xdue to it being a 2x leverage ETF
we need to respect that chart patterns can be distorted.
So when a regular Hunt Volatility Funnel usually consolidates sideways before a explosive breakout move.
A levered ETF can be distorted , so that the sideways consolidation is actually pointing UP.
Giving you a clue of where it wants to go.
I believe #Bitcoin can hit $240K
sooner than people think
roughly a 2X
So a 3X for double long #ETF is definitely achievable.
BITCOIN SIGNAL: IS IT ABOUT TO GET WORSE??!! (scary) Yello Paradisers!
Together, we go through multiple timeframes. We are going through an ultra-long timeframe, breaking of the channel. How proper reclaims look, what the preceded price action is that is going to happen next and what preceded before that, and what the cycles are. We are taking a look at the bearish divergence, a shooting star which increased the truncation probability on lower timeframes.And that we are in the first motive mode wave of a higher-degree impulse.
On a high time frame chart, we are going through the secondary wave, the bearish divergence, resistances, and with the highest probability, the secondary wave is not yet finished. We are looking for confirmations from a high time frame perspective.
On a medium timeframe, we are deeply calculating the sub-waves. I'm sharing with you the fourth wave that, with the highest probability, is finishing, and we are about to have a fifth corrective mode wave because we are in an ending diagonal.
On a low timeframe chart, I'm sharing with you the expanding triangle and the upcoming price action with the highest probability.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BITCOIN Can this pattern hold one last time?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is holding (so far) its 1W MA20 (red trend-line) as mentioned on our previous analysis, which is critical for the continuation of the bullish trend.
Today however, we bring you a pattern that may have gone unnoticed and as long as it holds, the market should be expecting a new High.
That is the transition of a former Resistance level (formed from a previous High) that turns into Support (new Low), which generates a rally that so far has measured a minimum +45.73% (from the High).
However every such Low was priced at or very close to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This time the 1W MA50 is at 100k and a way for this pattern to be fulfilled, BTC should at least trade sideways until it comes close to the 1W MA50.
In any case, as long as the Support level holds, a +45.73% rise, would take us to $157000.
Do you think we have chances for that? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN SIGNAL: ANOTHER PERFECT PREDICTION (warning) Yello Paradisers! As always, as professional traders in this video, once again, we will go through multi-timeframe analysis. We are using Elliot Wave, indicators, advanced technical tools, and price action reading. Enjoy it. I love you.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BITCOIN Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BTCUSD reclaims key horizontal level after liquidity sweep, signaling strength. Breakout confirms bullish intent with Smart Money driving price toward 114,341 target to fill imbalance overhead. Time Frame 3H.
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$BTC fake pump, you won't be savedSo there's some consolidation taking place, and that's normal at these levels. But let's zoom out for a bit and see the forest vs. the trees. What do we see? Downward channel SMAs / support resistance levels. What does that mean? it will bounce within the downward channel. The direction is way too strong moving it down to it's true support levels. Liquidity is down for retailers and institutions don't have the appetite to experiment with ultra high volatility esp. with YoY diminishing returns. Blackrock is dumping, and some are looking to get luck and hope for an upside. Hope is not a strategy! Maybe one day it will go up higher, but first it will cross 75k and many will get completely wiped out. I've see this many times before. Best of luck and always do your own dd!
BTC/USDTAnalysis:
BTC/USDT is currently showing weakness after breaking below a key support level, which has now turned into resistance (highlighted zone). Price is retesting this area, and if it fails to break above convincingly, it may confirm continuation to the downside.
Key Points:
The highlighted red zone is a strong supply area where sellers previously took control.
Price is forming lower highs, showing bearish momentum.
A rejection from this zone could trigger another leg down.
Trade Idea:
Entry: Wait for bearish confirmation around the resistance zone.
Target: Next support levels below.
Stop Loss: Above the red zone to protect against invalidation.
This setup is based on a classic support-turned-resistance scenario and market structure continuation.
ETH/USD: The Perfect Time to Buy?! (PART II)Over the last four and a half years, the price range around $4000 has played an important role in ETH movements.
It first acted as support for a short period after ETH made its all-time high back in 2021. More importantly, this level has worked multiple times as strong support. Each touch has only reinforced its importance.
At the beginning of August 2025, COINBASE:ETHUSD made a strong breakthrough — a confirmed breakout. Heavy buying power smashed through the zone.
And now comes the best part: price is currently retesting that breakout zone, a classical Break & Retest setup.
So, this strong price level is now starting to act as support, and technically, this is a very solid setup.
I don’t post crypto that often, but the last time I shared an ETH/USD chart was just before the current rally started. Let’s call this Part II. 😉
Keep an eye on the current price levels — technically, it’s a very clean setup.
Good luck,
Vaido
BTC continues selling pressure, correctionBTC Analysis
1. Trend Structure:
BTC has broken down from its ascending channel after failing to hold above the 115,000 zone, signaling that bearish momentum is in control.
2. Key Resistance Levels:
• 113,925 and 116,132 remain strong resistance zones where sellers are likely to defend.
• Price action is currently trading below major moving averages, further supporting the bearish outlook.
3. Support & Downside Targets:
• Immediate support lies at 111,722 (Fibo 1.618).
• If selling continues, the next downside levels are 108,937 and 106,298.
4. Expectation:
A short-term bounce toward 113,900 – 114,000 is possible, but the broader structure favors further downside, with likely moves toward 109,000 – 106,000.
⸻
✅ Conclusion:
BTC remains in a bearish phase after the channel breakdown. Unless buyers reclaim 116,000+, selling pressure is expected to dominate.
September 23 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is Bitcoin's 30-minute chart.
There's an indicator release near 11:00 AM on the Nasdaq,
and I expected a small fluctuation.
I proceeded as safely as possible, considering the current situation.
*When the red finger moves,
One-way long position strategy:
1. Long position entry point at $112,302.1 / Stop loss price if the green support line is broken.
2. Long position initial target at $114,345.1 -> Target prices in order of Top, Good, Great.
After reaching the target price of $114.3K,
you can re-enter the long position at the indicated price of $113.6K.
In the case of 1->2 above,
there's a strong possibility of an upward movement along the purple parallel line. (The 5+15 pattern is still in place.)
The current rebound has already formed a double bottom,
so a drop below the bottom
is not a good move for long positions.
In case of a delay, I've indicated up to section 3 at the bottom.
Thanks to the recent interest from newcomers,
I've made this post publicly available for the first time in a while.
Please use my analysis for reference only.
I hope you operate safely, with a focus on principled trading and stop-loss orders.
Thank you.
BTCUSD: Rally Back to 116000 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
The market for Bitcoin has seen a structural shift after breaking down from its prior Upward Channel. This event signaled a loss of bullish momentum and led to a sharp decline down to the major horizontal Support at the 112000 level.
Currently, the price has found significant support in the 111500 - 112000 Support zone and has initiated a bounce. The market is now in a potential reversal phase, but I believe the conviction of the buyers still needs to be confirmed with one final test.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is built on the idea that the 112000 Support is a major area of demand that will ultimately hold. I'm looking for a strong and confirmed bounce from Support zone. This would be the key signal that the corrective low is in place and the market is ready to reverse its course and begin a new rally.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this successful retest. It would validate the long scenario, with the price then expected to rally back up to the point of the initial breakdown. The primary target for this move is the 116000 Resistance level, which also aligns with the Resistance Zone.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.