BTCUSDT – Bulls Reload at Support, Eyeing the 200-Day SMA• Structure & SMA200
BTCUSDT is holding just above the 100,000 USDT zone after briefly dipping below support earlier this week. The 200-day SMA, now positioned near 110,000–111,000 USDT, remains the first major resistance and potential target if a rebound extends. Market structure still shows a sequence from HH to LL, but a short-term recovery phase could emerge if buyers manage to close back above 104,000–105,000 USDT.
• Open Interest (OI)
Open Interest sits around 84K, slightly lower than recent highs but still elevated compared to October levels. The ongoing rise since early November indicates a steady return of activity — possibly short-covering or early long positioning after the latest dip. Sustained OI growth during a rebound would support the idea of buyers re-entering the market.
• Funding Rate
The Funding Rate remains modestly positive, now around +0.0025%. This reflects a mild bullish bias with no sign of speculative overheating. A continuation of positive funding during upward movement would strengthen the short-term recovery scenario.
• Cumulative Delta Volume (CDV)
CDV has slipped further to around 8.18M, extending its downtrend from early October. No divergence has appeared yet, showing that real buy-side pressure remains weak. However, stabilization of CDV near current lows would be an early sign that selling momentum is fading.
• Most probable scenario
As long as the 100,000 USDT support area holds on a daily close, a technical rebound toward 106,000–110,000 USDT appears the most probable path. A move above 105,000–106,000 USDT would mark the start of this potential recovery phase.
If CDV stops declining and funding remains positive, BTC could retest the SMA200 in the coming sessions.
Conversely, a close below 100,000 USDT with a new CDV low would negate the rebound thesis and reopen risk toward 97,000 USDT.
→ Bullish trigger: daily close above 105,000–106,000 USDT with CDV flattening.
→ Invalidation: daily close below 100,000 USDT with continued CDV weakness.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
1-BTCUSD
BTCUSD Rebounds from Support — Bulls Eye $106K Recovery MoveHello traders, I want to share with you my opinion about Bitcoin (BTCUSD). Bitcoin has been experiencing a prolonged corrective phase following a previous bullish rally. The market recently retested the Buyer Zone near $103,800–$104,200, where strong demand has once again emerged. This area has historically acted as a reliable support level, preventing deeper declines and triggering multiple rebounds. Currently, the structure is forming a descending wedge pattern, characterized by converging resistance and support lines. This technical formation often signals potential bullish reversals, especially when it appears near a key demand zone. The latest test of the lower wedge boundary coincided with the Support Level, resulting in a sharp reaction from buyers. From my perspective, as long as the price holds above the Buyer Zone, the probability of a bullish breakout increases. A confirmed breakout above the resistance line would likely validate a move toward the $106,000 TP1 level, which aligns with previous local highs and the upper boundary of the pattern. However, if BTC fails to break the resistance and falls back below $103,800, sellers could temporarily regain control, pushing the price lower before another accumulation phase develops. Overall, the current setup favors the bulls, with clear structural support and a tightening pattern suggesting that Bitcoin may soon attempt a rebound toward $106,000 and potentially higher levels. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC formed a head and shoulders in consolidation!Hi!
Bitcoin recently completed a Head and Shoulders pattern, leading to a rejection from the “first hunt” area near the previous high. After that rejection, price has been moving lower and is now approaching a key S&D (Supply & Demand) zone highlighted on the chart.
This lower zone represents the “second possible hunt”, an area where liquidity may be collected before a potential strong bullish reversal. The structure shows consolidation forming above this zone, suggesting that sellers may soon exhaust as buyers prepare to step in.
If price sweeps the lows into the S&D zone and finds strong support, we could see a sharp reversal move toward the $118K–$120K region, aligning with the previous highs and major liquidity level.
However, if Bitcoin fails to hold the S&D zone, the bullish recovery scenario would be invalidated, and deeper correction could follow.
the target of this head and shoulders pattern is near $100250
Stop!Loss|Market View: GOLD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for GOLD ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 3973.498
💰TP: 3652.481
⛔️SL: 4079.122
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: There is still a lot of pressure on metals to sell because the point of control (POC) has shifted to current prices. This situation suggests attempts to buy back the metal amid a downward correction, but as we can see, the price is not yet favoring buying. However, a retest of the 4100-4150 area is not ruled out, which could also prompt a sell-off. The main sell scenario is a decline from current prices toward the previously mentioned 3600-3700 area.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Stop!Loss|Market View: EURUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the EURUSD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.15376
💰TP: 1.14037
⛔️SL: 1.16344
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: The euro continues to be under pressure to sell this week. The USD index (DXY) is testing the area near 100 and is likely to move higher to 105-107, as noted earlier. EURUSD is already trading below 1.15500, but we're not seeing any strong downward momentum as expected. Even so, there is still pressure to sell, and the price is likely to go back to 1.15500. After that, it will likely head toward 1.14000.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
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Bitcoin at Make-or-Break Zone. History Says Bounce Incoming!IG:BITCOIN is currently trading above the 50 EMA on the 1W chart, a level that has historically acted as a strong dynamic support during previous bullish cycles.
Each time CRYPTOCAP:BTC has touched the 50 EMA in the past (as highlighted on the chart), it has triggered a strong rebound leading to significant upside moves. Currently, the price is consolidating near both the support zone and the 50 EMA, suggesting that the market is once again at a critical juncture.
If IG:BITCOIN manages to hold this zone and bounce, we could see the next bullish leg pushing towards $150K. However, a clean break below the 50 EMA and support area could indicate a short-term downtrend or deeper correction before resuming the uptrend.
Traders should stay patient and prepared for all possible scenarios. Risk management remains key at these levels.Plan your entries and stops accordingly.
BTC Analysis — Support or Trap? The 106–107k Zone Under PressureIn my previous BTC analysis — right before the flash crash — I mentioned that I was struggling to maintain my bullish stance, and that only a break back above 118k would restore confidence. In fact, I leaned toward a bearish bias, and the recent price action has confirmed those concerns.
The market has repeatedly failed to reclaim the 118k zone, continuing to drift lower toward 106–107k support.
As I’ve explained multiple times, when I see this kind of movement — price coming back to the same support again and again — it’s hard to believe that the market is doing it so we can all buy and profit.
Usually, this pattern acts as a trap, luring in buyers before a final breakdown.
That’s the scenario I’m watching once again.
Technical Levels:
- Resistance: 118k (major cap)
- Support: 106–107k (key zone)
- Interim level: 100k (psychological)
- Target on breakdown: 90k
My selling zone is between 113–115k, as I expect any bounce into this area to meet renewed selling pressure.
BTCUSD BUY SETUP🎯 Entry Plan
Step 1 – Wait for Retracement
Be patient and wait for price to come back into the demand zone (around 100,000–99,500).
Do not enter while price is still retracing — you want confirmation inside the zone.
Step 2 – Confirmation Entry
On a lower timeframe (5M or 1M):
Watch for:
Liquidity sweep (price takes out a recent low inside the demand zone).
Change of Character (ChoCH) to the upside.
Bullish engulfing or strong momentum candle confirming buyers are active.
Step 3 – Entry Trigger
Enter long (buy) on the candle after the ChoCH confirmation.
This helps ensure you’re catching the start of the bullish leg.
Step 4 – Stop Loss and Take Profit
Parameter Placement
Stop Loss (SL) Below the demand zone (below 99,000)
Take Profit 1 (TP1) 103,000 (mid supply area)
Take Profit 2 (TP2) 104,500–105,000 (main supply area)
A typical risk-to-reward ratio here would be 1:3 or better.
Just another Bear Cycle BTCIn the current halving period, Bitcoin has begun to enter a bear period where the halving period has begun to end and it is time for BTC to consolidate for the next 4 years.
The current period of 52 weeks from which this thesis was created, will fall in the 3rd quarter of 2026 (November 2026). It is recommended to start doing DCA again in nov 2026
BTCUSD — Daily Swing Plan (1D) # BTCUSD — Daily Swing Plan (1D)
**Thesis:** Macro trend remains bullish, but a liquidity sweep into demand is likely before continuation toward the upper resistance band.
## Key Levels
* **Resistance:** 103,571 → 106,000 (pivot), then **116,626 – 119,784** (primary take-profit zone)
* **Demand / Support:** **92,660 – 88,656** (staged buy zone)
* **Dynamic support:** rising green trendline intersecting ~98–100k
## Base Case (Pullback then Rally)
1. Price wicks into **92,660 – 88,656** to collect liquidity.
2. Reversal back above the trendline; reclaim **103,571** and hold as support.
3. Extension toward **116,626 – 119,784** for distribution/TP.
## Alternative Bull Case
* Fast reclaim and hold above **103,571** without a deep retest → grind toward **110k+** and then **116–120k**.
## Bear Invalidation / Risk
* **Daily close below 88,656** invalidates the bounce setup and opens **85k / 81k**. Reassess if triggered.
## Indicators & Context
* **Stoch RSI (3,3,14,14) 1D** is oversold (~16), favoring mean-reversion higher.
* **Price action** suggests a potential “V-reversal after sweep” from demand; confirmation is a **daily close above 103,571**.
## Execution Plan (Not financial advice)
* **Entries:** scale in across **92.7k → 90k → 88.7k** (inside demand).
* **Invalidation:** hard stop on **daily close < 88,656**.
* **Take-profit:** partial at **103.6k**, then **110k**, and **116–120k** (primary).
* **Risk:** keep sizing conservative; avoid over-leverage; focus on daily closes, not intraday spikes.
**One-liner:** Expect a sweep into **92.7–88.7k**, then a reclaim of **103.6k** and continuation into **116–120k** unless **88.7k D1 close** fails.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects personal opinions—not investment, trading, or financial advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile and carry risk of total capital loss. Always do your own research, manage risk carefully, and trade at your own responsibility.
BTC/USD Monthly Forecast: Targeting $128K After FVG MitigationKey Observations:
Current Price Action: The price has seen a significant pullback over the last month(s) after a strong bullish run.
Support/Demand Zone: The price is currently approaching a critical shaded green zone labeled "M / FVG" (Likely standing for Mitigation Block / Fair Value Gap). This zone, roughly between $95,000 and $97,500, is anticipated to act as a strong support or demand area where buyers are expected to step in.
Bullish Structure: The prior price action showed a "BOS" (Break of Structure) to the upside, indicating that the overall market structure remains bullish on this higher timeframe.
Liquidity Targets ($$$$ $):
The first major target above is indicated as a liquidity pool ($$$$ $) around $110,000 - $112,000.
The ultimate higher target is another, more significant liquidity pool ($$$$ $) around $126,000 - $128,000.
Projected Path: The dotted line illustrates a potential bullish scenario:
A final drop into the M / FVG demand zone for mitigation/re-accumulation.
A strong reversal and rally toward the first liquidity target (approx. $112,000).
A potential continuation to the higher liquidity target (approx. $128,000).
BTC/USD Broadening Wedge Pattern, Chance to $129kThis analysis focuses on the BTC/USD pair in the Daily Timeframe. This trading idea suggests a potential Long Position (Buy) based primarily on the formation of the Broadening Wedge chart pattern (also known as the Megaphone Pattern).
Technical Analysis Based on Broadening Wedge Pattern: The chart shows the formation of a pattern characterized by Lower Lows (green arrows) and Lower Highs (red arrows) sloping downwards, but the distance between them is widening, not narrowing. This is a variant of the Broadening Wedge pattern that slopes down, often classified as a bearish continuation pattern or a highly aggressive bullish reversal pattern when the price nears the lower boundary. In this context, with the price bouncing off the lower boundary, the pattern is interpreted as a potential bullish reversal.
Entry: The Long signal is based on two scenarios: Taking a position when the price touches the dynamic support of the lower wedge boundary (seen around the $96,000 - $100,000 level), where the latest bounce is occurring.
Take Profit (TP): The profit target has been precisely set at $129,000. This level is a resistance projection formed by the extension of the broader Broadening Wedge's upper trendline, indicating a potential rise of 29.07% from the current price. This level also serves as a test point to determine whether the price can break through and continue the long-term bullish uptrend or will retest that resistance.
Timeframe: This analysis is based on the Daily chart. The movement towards the target is projected to take about 57 days (57 bars), with the estimated time of target achievement around December 31, 2025. This suggests that this trading idea falls into the Medium-Term Swing Trade category.
Stop Loss (SL): To limit risk, the Stop Loss (SL) should be placed below the lower boundary of the Broadening Wedge pattern, which is considered crucial support. A safe SL placement is around the psychological level of $90,000 - $85,000 to invalidate the entire bullish idea if the wedge pattern is definitively broken downwards, signaling a deeper continuation of the bearish trend.
The current interpretation is a potential bullish reversal from the lower boundary of the pattern. Further confirmation will come from price action that manages to create a Higher Low on the retest of the dynamic support area, and strong buying volume upon a breakout from the upper trendline, validating the $129,000 target as a realistic Take Profit.
** Disclaimer: This analysis is part of a trading plan and does not constitute investment advice. Always use strict risk management and consider the potential for loss in every trading decision.**
Bitcoin - The devastating top formation!💎Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is creating a top:
🔎Analysis summary:
In the end of 2022, we witnessed another perfect bullish break and retest on Bitcoin. This retest was followed by an incredible rally of +600%. But slowly, Bitcoin is retesting a massive curve resistance, which has been pushing price lower for the past 15 years.
📝Levels to watch:
$100,000 and $50,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
BITCOIN Correction Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN fell down sharply today, but the price is now hitting the horizontal demand level and we are already seeing some early rejection signs, so as the coin is oversold, a local bullish correction is to be expected. Time Frame 12H.
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC WAIT FOR THE CRACK!After months of repeated warnings throughout the year about crypto's vulnerability, we’ve now arrived at a critical inflection point.
If Bitcoin breaks down here, it could trigger a waterfall decline — potentially into a bidless market.
This is a major level. What happens next could define the next phase for the entire crypto space.
Stay alert.
It's better to be out of the market wishing you were in than out of the market wishing you were out!
No one is forcing you to be in the market!
Click boost, like, and subscribe! Let's get to 5,000 followers! ))
BTC Analysis 30/10/2025BTC / USDT
Bitcoin is forming a massive ascending wedge pattern, a bearish pattern currently undergoing a bearish retest.
The 200-day EMA is a significant support level and has been tested multiple times in the past few weeks. The more it is retested, the weaker the support becomes.
The sharp drop on October 10th impacted the market's direction.
Bearish targets for this scenario:
First support: 103,000 - 100,000
Major support: 94,000 - 89,000
Summary: The market is currently bearish, and we can revise our analysis if Bitcoin manages to stabilize above 117,000.
Ethereum change in trend As this D leg comes to an end, the correct traders Psychology says this is extremely oversold. The bullish divergence is aggressive, key fib levels are being hit, monthly and weekly pivot levels are being hit and I should be looking for an aggressive rally to the upside. A minimum target of $4050 is very probable.
BTC High Probability Forecast Based on Real Math Bitcoin has repeatedly corrected ~mid-20% during the last 12–24 months. Using this empirical drawdown profile, a base-case correction of ~25% from a recent $126,000 high implies a **probable correction low near $94,500–$95,000.
This is a high probability forecast based on real math and stats, not science
fiction. No expanding triangles, Elliott Wave counts, Wolfe and Dragon patterns.
Bitcoin does not trade by the textbook. This is real world TA by a pro trader.
Tactical view: Expect a final flush toward ~$95k, then a reversal/bounce if market structure and liquidity conditions confirm.
Confidence: VERY HIGH —pattern consistency is notable, but crypto remains headline- and liquidity-sensitive. Use disciplined risk controls. 🧠
2) Recent Corrections (Past 12–24 Months)
# High → Low % Drawdown
1 $72,000 → $54,000 25%
2 $108,000 → $76,000 28%
3 $70,000 → $50,000 28%
4 $74,000 → $56,000 24%
Empirical mean drawdown:
(25+28+28+24)÷4 = 26.25%.
We’ll use 25% as the base-case assumption (conservative vs. the 26.25% mean). ✅
Projection for the Current Correction
Reference high: $126,000
Base-case (25%) low:
$126,000 × (1 − 0.25) = $94,500
Empirical-mean (26.25%) low:
$126,000 × (1 − 0.2625) = $92,925
Projected buy-zone: $92.9k – $95k, centered near $95k. 🎯
BTCUSD 1D - Pause Before the Next Leg Down?On the 4H chart, Bitcoin is retesting a critical resistance area - the 111K–113K sell zone, where a descending trendline, prior support-turned-resistance, and local volume cluster converge. This confluence makes the current level a potential short-entry area.
After failing to sustain above 115K, BTC entered a corrective phase. The recent bounce looks like a retest of the broken structure, and unless bulls reclaim 113K+, the bias remains bearish with a target near 100K–101K, a key liquidity zone.
Technically, momentum is fading:
– Bearish RSI divergence at recent highs;
– Volume contraction on rallies, expansion on drops;
– Price structure forming a likely ABC correction, with wave C projection toward 100K.
Fundamentally , near-term pressure persists as traders take profits and global risk sentiment cools ahead of potential Fed guidance. However, the macro bull case remains intact - hashrate at all-time highs, growing institutional adoption, and supply tightening continue to underpin long-term support.
Tactical plan: short entries near 111K–113K, targets 100K–101K. Invalidation above 113.5K.
Even in a bull market, gravity never takes a holiday.
$BTC Correction Update: Last Leg of The Correction! - 11/4/2025CRYPTOCAP:BTC Correction Update:
Wave Z—the final leg of the structure—is typically fast-paced.
Target zones:
• Equal to Wave W → $100,275
• 161.8% extension of Wave W → $93,936
The chart outlines how the correction evolved and the patterns selected to complete it.
#BTC






















