1-BTCUSD
BITCOIN SIGNAL: SHOCKER TARGET REVEALED!!! (warning) Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video!
And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
History Repeats? BTC Dominance Rejected at the Same Zone AgainBTC Dominance is currently facing rejection from the key resistance zone after multiple failed attempts to break above it.
If it continues to struggle here and fails to reclaim the upper zone, a potential drop could follow — which might give altcoins some room to breathe and rally.
Keep an eye on how dominance reacts here; this zone has historically triggered major trend shifts across the market.
DYOR, NFA
Thanks for reading! Appreciate your support and engagement 🙏
ZCASH Breaks 3-Year Accumulation!$ZCASH has finally broken above its 2021 high after spending over three years in a long accumulation phase. This breakout above the major resistance zone signals a clear shift in momentum and could mark the start of a strong bullish cycle.
As long as the price holds above the breakout zone, the structure remains solid, any retest toward $240–$260 could offer a healthy entry point before the next leg higher. Momentum looks powerful here.
DYOR, NFA
BTC/USDT — New Volume Entry Zone Forming - 117KBTC/USDT — New Volume Entry Zone Forming 💥
Bitcoin is stabilizing above the pre-cycle range and building new volume around the $115K zone.
This could mark the next accumulation area before continuation if support holds here.
📊 Key Range: $115K–$116K
📈 Focus: Maintaining this new volume base for further upside to 117K
Bitcoin gains ground on improved risk sentimentIt is all about risk appetite right now driving Bitcoin prices. The rally in BTCUSD in the last few days has has coincided with renewed optimism surrounding trade negotiations between the United States and China. This is also why gold has fallen below $4K today and the S&P 500 has reached fresh record highs. Trump struck an optimistic tone, telling reporters he “really feels good” about a deal, with reports suggesting that China could resume soybean purchases and ease restrictions on rare-earth exports. In return, Washington may scale back its recent tariff threats.
Anyway, it is risk on and BTC is holding firm right now, with the crypto also creating a bullish reversal after it refused to hold below prior low at 107250 and the 200-day average a couple of weeks ago (see circled). That fake out has subsequently pushed BTCUSD back above 110K, 112K and now 115K. Key support is now 112K where the breakout from yesterday commenced and where the 21-day exponential converges.
Next upside resistance levels to watch include 116K, which was being tested at the time of writing, followed by 120K, which is a more significant level to watch.
For now, the path of least resistance is to the upside, even if we see a return to 112K support.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Bitcoin Analysis 4 HoursBitcoin Time Frame 4 Hours
Currently between two 4-hour balances
Supports 114 and 112 and resistances 118 and 120
Liquidity ranges are characteristic
As long as we are above the green balance, we tend to rise, especially since the bearish balance (red) has not yet pulled back and for further correction and low liquidity hunt, we bet on a 4-hour candle below 111, so for now, there is more upside and pullback with buyer support in the market for resistances
BTCUSD SELL IDEACurrent price: around $114,976
Recent structure: The price made a CHoCH after forming a lower high around $115,600, signaling a potential shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
BOS confirmation: A break of structure downward confirms sellers taking control.
Supply zone: A red zone above ~$115,400–$116,000 shows a bearish supply area, where price could retrace to before continuing lower.
Expected move: A short-term pullback (retracement) toward ~$115,200–$115,400 before a continuation down toward the demand zone near $113,200–$112,800.
📉 Sell idea summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry zone: ~$115,200–$115,400 (after retracement)
Target: ~$113,200
Stop loss: Above ~$115,600
Will Bitcoin on 4H Push Higher or Take a Breath? | BTC 11👋🏻 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel.
✨ Today we’re diving into the 4-Hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 Looking at Bitcoin on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after breaking its multi-timeframe resistances, it is currently located near the price resistance of $115,793. If Bitcoin breaks this area, it can move toward its next resistance at $121,000.
🧮 Observing the RSI oscillator, we can see that it is currently in its OverBuy zone, and the important point here is to wait for it to exit the overbought area and form a new oscillation structure.
🎇 Pay attention to Bitcoin’s volume, which has been increasing up to this point. Even as it reaches the current resistance, buying volume is still rising and buyers are trying to push prices higher. But since there’s potential for selling pressure, we wait for volume to decrease a bit and allow the market to rest.
✍️ The scenario ahead for Bitcoin is independent of any trade or position, but we can use it to better understand Bitcoin’s corrective or resting behavior.
🛡 Bitcoin has just experienced a beautiful bullish leg across multi-timeframes, and the effects of this upward wave have also extended into higher timeframes such as the 4-hour and daily charts. Price, in a multi-timeframe structure, now requires a short-term correction and a pullback to fill lower buy orders. Keep in mind that traders typically take profit in such zones.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BITCOIN – THE LAST DANCE AT THE BORDER OF DEATHTraders,
I believe Bitcoin is potentially setting up for a swing fail pattern around 117.500.
A swing fail pattern, very simply, is when price runs the previous high, takes out the liquidity sitting above it, and then fails to hold above that level. In other words, it clears the stops, shows strength for a moment, and then turns. It is the market taking a breath before it bites.
Here is how I see it and why I am positioned for shorts, not longs.
1. Structure into 117.500
The zone around 117.000 to 117.500 is, for me, the kill zone.
Why?
There is a clean previous high that has not been taken yet
There is visible imbalance from the last fast drop sitting in that band
We have London morning wick liquidity above us that I believe price still wants to clean
The math and harmonics I am running line up in the same area
When I say the math lines up I am talking about measured extensions and harmonics off the leg that started around 103k to 104k and impulsed higher. My 1.618 extension clusters around 116.7 to 117.5. The 1.272 and 1.414 levels already got respected on the way up. This last one is usually where you get the overextension and the last grab. On top of this, the 1.618 extension confluences with the HTF Golden Pocket.
We also sit right on top of what I call the border of death. Above 117.500 I do not want to see Bitcoin hold. If it does hold and build acceptance up there then this entire idea is invalidated and I will adapt. I am not married to bias. I am married to data.
2. Order flow and participation
Let us talk about what is behind this move, not just what it looks like.
Spot CVD is still depressed compared to the beginning of the run. That means real buyers paying cash are not the ones driving price higher. This is not a classic spot accumulation bid. This is not strong hands owning the level.
Stablecoin margined CVD and coin margined CVD both curled up into the most recent leg. So who is lifting price It is perps. Not investors, not patient buyers, just leverage.
Open Interest is also telling us a story.
Stablecoin margined OI is grinding back up into the highs.
Coin margined OI is starting to climb again.
That means people are adding new exposure on the way up. They are not just covering shorts anymore, they are now chasing longs into the high. This is where positioning gets fragile. The crowd thinks we are going to keep going. I start thinking about harvesting that belief.
The floor under us is not built by conviction. It is built by leverage.
We have seen this before. The desert looks quiet before the sandstorm picks up.
3. What I am expecting
I am expecting a sweep of the high into roughly 117.500.
Clean the liquidity. Fill the imbalance. Tap the last little pocket of inefficiency that is still sitting there. Show strength on the surface.
Then reject.
That rejection is the tell for me. If we push above the high and then snap back below it on force, that confirms the swing fail for me.
From there I am looking for rotation much lower.
4. The target zone if this plays out
If this plays out the way I think it can, I am looking toward 98k.
This is not a random number. That is basically the next meaningful pocket of imbalance below. That is the next unfair area that never got re tested. Price likes to rebalance. The market eventually revisits the places it skipped when it was moving too fast. We call it inefficiency but it is really just unfinished business.
Will it instantly teleport there No. This is a path idea, not a straight line prediction. But 98k is where I think equilibrium lives if this whole run unwinds.
5. Risk management and positioning
Because of this view I have adjusted.
My earlier thesis from October 16 is, in my eyes, no longer valid in its original form. Never say never, but I am not trading that idea anymore.
I have closed all long positions. I am no longer here to squeeze the upside. I am here to stalk shorts.
Does that mean I am instantly full size short here No.
I am not interested in guessing tops. I am interested in letting the market reach for the level I want, and only then taking the trade with data behind it.
If Bitcoin breaks through 117.500 and starts holding acceptance above that level, I will back off this idea. No ego. No stubbornness. I am here to survive. Survival is the only way you ever get to mastery.
6. Summary
I believe Bitcoin is setting up for a classic swing fail pattern at around 117.500. I think price will hunt that liquidity, stop out shorts, convince late longs they are right, and then turn. I think the next meaningful re balance sits much lower, around 98k.
This is not guaranteed. Nothing in trading is guaranteed. Trading is probability, not fantasy.
But right now the flow, the harmonics, the imbalance, the extensions, and the psychology of the crowd all rhyme in the same place.
And when the market whispers in the same tone across different tools, I listen. I am ThetaNomad.
27/10/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $115,481.36
Last weeks low: $106,688.94
Midpoint: $111,085.15
It's FOMC week again and with it comes speculation and volatility. With the Fed forecast to cut rates another 0.25% where does this leave Bitcoin?
After weeks of consolidation between $106,000 - $111,000 BTC broke above $112,000 resistance level suggesting that sellers have largely been absorbed and momentum is returning to the upside. Trading volume surged as BTC crossed the $112,000 threshold, indicating strong conviction from both institutional and retail participants.
Short-term volatility is expected around the FOMC announcement, I would not rule out a $112,000 retest, it would be a good indicator of just how strong this breakout move is. Macro conditions continue to favor Bitcoin’s long-term bullish case particularly if the Fed signals an eventual shift toward easing in 2026 which is already being discussed.
The next major test lies around $120,000 if weekly high resistance is flipped, but a decisive close above this threshold would likely trigger another wave of momentum buying toward $125K and beyond.
For the bear case a loss of $112,000 would mean a revisit of the same $106,000 - $111,000 range and an increasing loss of momentum for the bull run.
Good luck this week everybody!
BITCOIN This is what separates 128k from 104k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just broke above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 weeks and only days after it got rejected there. A 1D candle closing above it will be a strong bullish signal.
As BTC has been trading within a Megaphone pattern similar to the December 2024 - April 2025 one, a closing above the 1D MA50 might put the structure in a similar situation as April 17. As you can see that Megaphone also had a 1D MA50 rejection preceding the break-out and before that also, two Lower Lows near the 1W MA0 (red trend-line).
What it hasn't had (so far?) is a clear touch of the 1W MA50 (as on April 07) and a 1D MACD Higher Lows Bullish Divergence.
As a result, both scenarios are open for now. Until it closes above the 1D MA50, a 1W MA50 test remains possible around $104000. A closing above the 1D MA50 though strengthens the probability of a 1.1 Fibonacci extension rally at $128000.
What do you think is more likely to happen? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN - PUMP BEFORE THE DUMP?Traders,
Last time I talked about arbitrage inefficiencies between spot and perps. I expected a dip first, then a corrective move up. That view still stands — but I also expected a sweep up before the bigger move down.
In my earlier notes I called for a sweep to clean the Sunday low, followed by a move back toward 120–122k with a short squeeze.
That scenario is now in play.
I planned to long near 109.350, after the sweep, and only if the data aligned with my thesis.
What I projected vs what happened
Sweep the Sunday lows, then squeeze up.
Wait for the sweep and only enter if the data confirms around 109.550. Entered 109.550 once multiple signals lined up.
Why I entered at 109.550
Stablecoin-margined CVD
First pass: Stablecoin Margined CVD made a lower low while price made a higher low → hidden bullish divergence. Aggressive sellers were getting absorbed by resting bids.
Second pass: Stablecoin Margined CVD made a higher low while price made a lower low → selling pressure fading, buyers absorbing again.
Coin-margined CVD
Coin Margined CVD kept making lower lows while price refused to follow → another hidden bull div. Shorts were leaning in, but passive buying held firm.
Spot CVD
Lower lows on CVD while price held flat or slightly higher → trapped aggressive sellers, absorbed by steady passive spot buyers.
On Binance Perp Order Flow we could also see a regular bullish divergence into a smaller hidden bull div at the sweep — a clean reversal setup.
Open Interest read
Here’s where many traders miss the nuance. There are two main perp types on Binance and most major exchanges:
Coin-margined contracts: collateralized with the underlying asset (e.g., BTC). Profits and losses are settled in BTC. Stablecoin-margined contracts: collateralized with a stable asset (e.g., USDT or USDC). Profits and losses are settled in dollars.
This matters because the behavior and risk exposure of traders differ between the two:
When coin-margined OI goes down, it usually means BTC-collateral traders are closing positions or getting liquidated. They’re forced to sell BTC to cover margin, which can create short-term downside pressure.
When stablecoin-margined OI goes up at the same time, it often means new traders are entering positions with USDT collateral. That capital rotation usually signals fresh directional bets, often late shorts piling in after a move down.
So when price stops making new lows while stablecoin OI keeps climbing, it’s a clear sign the market is loading up on shorts, but without continuation. That mismatch is short-squeeze fuel. Combine that with the CVD divergences above and it paints a strong case for a move back into overhead liquidity.
Supplementary edge
1H RSI bullish divergence: RSI makes higher lows while price makes lower lows → loss of downside momentum, suggesting sellers are tiring.
USDC.D and USDT.D bearish divergences: Stablecoin dominance charts make higher highs while RSI trends lower → stablecoin demand weakening. When that happens, capital tends to rotate back into BTC and risk assets, reinforcing the long bias.
Broke above daily VWAP
Together, these add extra confluence to the squeeze setup.
Plan, target, invalidation
Target: 122 area (blue box).
At target: watching for rising price with fading delta, sell imbalances near highs, and absorption signals — that’s where I’ll start hunting shorts and let the market cool off. Invalidation: acceptance back below the Sunday sweep low with expanding negative delta and rising OI on the breakdown. That would kill the squeeze thesis.
Summary:
A clean sweep → multi-CVD bullish divergences → absorption → rising OI imbalance → RSI & VWAP confluence. All aligning for a controlled short squeeze toward 122k, before the market potentially resumes its broader corrective path.
Does this mean we 100% go up? No. Markets don’t promise: they whisper. You listen, you align, and you risk what you can afford to be wrong about.
BTC recovers before interest rate announcementBitcoin (BTC/USD) – Daily Chart Analysis
Bitcoin is currently trading around the 114K–115K zone after rebounding from the ascending support trendline near 108K. This reaction confirms that buyers are still defending the broader bullish structure, but significant resistance lies ahead.
Key Observations:
Resistance Zone (117K–118K):
This area has acted as a strong supply zone in the past, where price was previously rejected twice (marked by red arrows). It also aligns with the EMA 89 and volume cluster, making it a critical barrier for bulls.
Support Zone (108K–102K):
The lower trendline and horizontal support near 102K–104K remain vital for the long-term bullish structure. A break below this region would open the door for deeper correction toward 100K.
EMA Confluence:
The short-term moving averages (EMA 34 and 89) are attempting to turn upward, suggesting early signs of recovery—but confirmation requires a daily close above 118K.
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Case:
If BTC successfully breaks and closes above 118K, momentum could accelerate toward 127K–128K, where the upper trendline and major resistance coincide.
Bearish Case:
If price faces rejection at the 117K–118K zone, a retest of 108K, or even 102K, is likely before the next major move.
Outlook:
Bitcoin remains in a neutral-to-bullish phase short term, but traders should closely monitor the 117K–118K resistance for potential rejection or breakout confirmation.
DeGRAM | BTCUSD broke the dynamic resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC/USD has broken above its dynamic resistance line, signaling a shift toward bullish momentum after consolidating near the 110K zone.
● A potential retest of 114K–115K could act as a springboard for continuation toward the key 118K resistance, aligning with the upper channel boundary.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Bitcoin’s rally is fueled by ETF inflows and renewed institutional demand, while easing U.S. inflation expectations support risk-on sentiment.
✨ Summary
● Long bias above 114K; targets 118K. Bullish breakout and improving fundamentals favor medium-term upward continuation.
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$BTC Low is in?BTC moved higher over the weekend due to positive trade talk news as indices gapped up to new highs.
Price is moving into resistance zone here. Are we going to see a gap and go? IMO, too early to tell, I might be wrong, but we could see a final flush down to 100k or an overshoot lower to 90k, before a move higher.
Technical Analysis – Bitcoin CME Futures (BTC1!)Technical Analysis – Bitcoin CME Futures (BTC1!)
Date: October 27, 2025 | Timeframe: Weekly | Exchange: CME Group
1. Trend Overview and Price Structure
Bitcoin CME Futures are trading at $115,090, up +3.69% for the week.
After nearly six months of consolidation between $100,000–$115,000, the current setup indicates an ascending triangle formation nearing completion — signaling a potential major breakout toward the end of Q4 2025.
The medium-to-long-term trend remains firmly bullish, supported by a strong accumulation base following the uptrend from the $38,000 low (June 2023).
Technical upside targets after a confirmed breakout: $127,300 → $141,800 → $156,700.
2. Key Technical Price Levels
Resistance: 127,300 – 141,800 – 156,700
Support: 113,500 – 105,000 – 95,800
3. Detailed Technical Analysis
(1) Short-Term Trend
The third bull-flag pattern since 2023 is developing. Bitcoin has closed above its 20-week EMA for 11 consecutive weeks, confirming structural bullish momentum. Short-term bias: Uptrend continuation, targeting $127,300 over the next 3–5 weeks.
(2) Volume Analysis
CME trading volume rose 22% versus the 4-week average. Institutional positioning (COT Report) shows net long positions up by 8,500 contracts — the highest level since March 2024.
(3) Elliott Wave Structure
Wave 1: 38,000 → 77,500
Wave 2: Correction to 63,000
Wave 3: Expansion to 118,000
Wave 4: Sideways consolidation (100,000–115,000)
Wave 5: Target zone 140,000–156,000
(4) Momentum Confirmation
RS vs S&P 500 continues to strengthen. MVRV Z-score: +1.95 — still below overbought territory, allowing an additional 25–30% upside.
4. VNC– Strategic Commentary
Market Context
The Bitcoin market is underpinned by three structural drivers:
- Strong ETF Inflows: According to Bloomberg ETF Flow (Oct 24), spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $2.8 billion in net inflows over 10 days, the highest since their early 2024 launch.
- Monetary Easing by the Fed: The Federal Reserve has hinted at a 0.25% rate cut in December 2025, reigniting risk-on sentiment in digital assets.
- Tight Supply Dynamics: Post-2024 Halving, block issuance fell 8%, while whale cold storage activity hit a 14-month high (Glassnode, Oct 25).
- Key Market Developments (Oct 12–27, 2025): - CME Group (Oct 25): Bitcoin futures open interest hit $7.42B, up 9% WoW. Bloomberg (Oct 23): Fed expected to cut rates in December; crypto assets responded positively. CoinDesk (Oct 22): Exchange stablecoin ratios rose 10%, signaling incoming liquidity. Glassnode (Oct 20): Wallets holding over 10,000 BTC increased 3.4%, showing institutional accumulation. Reuters (Oct 19): Tech investment funds are reallocating 16% of new risk-on capital back into crypto.
VNC Intelligence Assessment (BI View)
Short-Term (2–3 weeks): Sideways range $112,000–$127,000, awaiting breakout confirmation.
Medium-Term (4–8 weeks): Upside target $141,800, driven by sustained ETF inflows.
Risks: Short-term USD rebound or ETF outflows if the Fed delays rate cuts.
5. Suggested Technical Strategies
Bullish Scenario (Preferred):
Entry: 113,500 – 115,000
Targets: TP1 127,300 | TP2 141,800 | TP3 156,700
Stop-Loss: 107,000
Probability: 80%
Rationale: Ascending triangle breakout supported by ETF inflows and institutional accumulation.
Bearish Counter-Scenario (Short-Term Profit Taking):
Entry: 156,000 – 157,000 (upon hitting projected wave 5 top)
Target: 141,800
Stop-Loss: 160,000
Probability: 20%
Rationale: Short-term profit-taking at Fibonacci extension resistance.
VNC Intelligence Summary: Bitcoin remains in a strong macro uptrend, supported by robust institutional participation and easing macroeconomic conditions.The ascending triangle pattern signals a potential mid-Q4 breakout, with ETF inflows acting as the key catalyst for price acceleration toward $140,000–$150,000.
Bitcoin Macro Map for 27 to 31 Oct 2025Macro map for 27 to 31 Oct 2025
Concentration of policy and inflation prints means policy expectations and real yields will drive the United States dollar, global equities, bitcoin, and gold. The hinge events are Wednesday FOMC, Thursday US GDP advance and German data, Friday US Core PCE and Chicago PMI. Secondary drivers are BoJ policy guidance and ECB tone, plus BoC.
Watch list
Real ten year yield and the DXY dollar index after FOMC and PCE
EUR front end versus USD front end after ECB and FOMC
VIX around the FOMC window and into PCE
US liquidity windows around 14:00 Eastern on Wednesday and 08:30 Eastern on Thursday and Friday
Bitcoin outlook for next week
Set up
At the weekly horizon bitcoin is still a beta expression on global liquidity and real yields rather than a pure inflation hedge. It reacts first to dollar and rates shifts that change marginal risk appetite. The FOMC and PCE prints therefore matter for direction even without a direct link to on chain activity. Weekday flow is led by United States hours while Asia sets the early tone on Monday.
Baseline view
If the policy path looks patient and Core PCE continues to glide lower, real yields edge down and the dollar eases. That mix opens the door for crypto beta to catch a bid. A hawkish tilt or a hot PCE does the opposite. Structural ownership by spot products reduces downside jump risk compared with prior cycles, yet high leverage pockets still create sharp intraday tails.
Scenarios and probabilities
Range continuation inside the recent multi month band. Probability fifty. Triggers are offsetting signals across FOMC, GDP, and PCE. Expect false breaks around event minutes with reversion toward the weekly mean.
Upside extension with rotation into high beta crypto. Probability thirty. Triggers are a patient Fed message and benign PCE. Watch for confirmation from a softer dollar and firmer US equities.
Downside flush that tests prior weekly supports. Probability twenty. Triggers are a hawkish statement or hot PCE that pushes real yields higher. Dollar strength and equity weakness would confirm.
Key levels and risk
Use round numbers at five thousand increments as decision points and the prior week high and low as risk guardrails. Funding flips and basis widenings are useful warnings into event hours. Manage exposure size during the two hour FOMC window and the Friday 08:30 Eastern data drop.
BTC/USD 1H chart short-term📊 Market structure:
• Current price: ~$113,300
• Trend: A short-term uptrend - evidenced by rising lows and rising highs, as well as price remaining above the black trendline.
• The chart shows Bitcoin testing resistance at $114,089, following a strong breakout earlier.
⸻
🧭 Key Levels:
Resistances (green lines):
1. USD 114,089 – the closest resistance that the price is currently testing.
2. USD 116,057 – another strong resistance, potential target after breakout.
3. USD 118,681 – main resistance level from the higher time frame (H4/D1).
Support (red lines):
1. USD 112,156 – first local support (close to the trend line).
2. USD 109,567 – medium-term support, key to maintaining the growth structure.
3. $107,702 – Strong support where institutional buy orders are likely.
⸻
📈 Trendline:
The black upward trendline leads through the recent local lows.
➡️ As long as the price stays above it, the trend remains bullish.
➡️ Breaking this line down would be the first signal of a weakening trend and a correction towards USD 112,150-111,000.
⸻
⚙️ Stochastic RSI (bottom indicator):
• Currently starting to move down from overbought levels (above 80).
• This indicates a possible short-term downward correction or consolidation.
• If the indicator drops below 40 while keeping the price above the trendline, it may be a good opportunity to go long again.






















