BTCUSD BUY Setup Idea 1. Price Level
• BTCUSD is currently trading around 111,200.
• Recent move shows price bouncing from the 110,000 – 109,000 demand zone.
2. Support & Demand Zones
• Strong support zone marked around 108,800 – 110,000 (grey box).
Price has reacted multiple times here, showing accumulation and liquidity grabs.
• Intermediate support near 110,500 – 110,900.
3. Resistance & Target Zones
• First resistance / short-term target: 113,390.
• Major resistance / higher timeframe target: 124,500 – 125,000 (highlighted green box at the top).
4. Market Structure
• After a series of lower highs and lower lows, BTC found a base around 109k.
• Current structure shows a break of minor highs → potential start of a trend reversal.
• Price is consolidating above demand and building a higher low formation.
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Buy Setup Analysis
• Entry Zone: Between 110,500 – 111,200 (current consolidation and demand retest).
• Stop Loss (SL): Below 108,800 (the low of demand zone and liquidity sweep).
• Take Profit (TP):
• TP1: 113,390 (first resistance).
• TP2: 118,000 (mid-structure target).
• TP3: 124,500 – 125,000 (major resistance zone).
• Risk-to-Reward (RR):
• If entered near 111,000 with SL at 108,800, and TP1 at 113,390 → ~1:1.
• If TP3 at 124,500 is achieved → ~5:1 RR.
1-BTCUSD
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 35💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Bitcoin, we can see that after touching its resistance at $111,300, Bitcoin moved toward its short alarm zone and activated it. However, the market didn’t show much selling pressure or bearish momentum. Currently, Bitcoin is ranging with very low volume, but with the new week starting, stronger volume could enter the market.
⚙️ Key RSI levels for Bitcoin are at 70 and 50. If RSI crosses these thresholds, Bitcoin could start a strong move — most likely at the beginning of the new week.
🕯 The size and number of green candles have slightly increased, and we are now sitting right below the critical resistance at $111,300. It’s likely that this level will be broken in the coming week.
🖥 This week has plenty of economic news events, which means the market could see high volatility. Overall, it looks like a good week for trading.
📊 Looking at the 1-hour timeframe of Tether dominance (USDT.D), after a strong rally it recently got rejected from the 4.51% level. The market sentiment shifted toward long positions, and selling pressure didn’t sustain. If 4.45% in Tether dominance breaks down, significant USDT could flow into Bitcoin and altcoins.
🔔 The key alarm zones for Bitcoin are set at $110,500 for short positions and $111,300 for long positions. Breaking these zones in the upcoming week could give us solid trade opportunities. Keep in mind that the economic news scheduled this week can strongly influence the market.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC $100K IN SEPTEMBERBitcoin (BTCUSD) appears to be following a repeating market structure characterized by impulsive bullish moves followed by corrective retracements — consistently around the 50% ranging level. This pattern has now repeated at least 4 times on the HTF, suggesting a high-probability continuation to the upside, potentially targeting $100,000 by September if the pattern continues to play out.
Pattern Analysis:
- The chart illustrates a step-wise bullish structure with four distinct impulse legs, each followed by a retracement to roughly the 50% level.
- Each consolidation zone is marked in red, with retracement levels clearly visualized.
- The 50% retracement areas acted as strong demand zones, consistently leading to the next impulsive move.
One of the key reasons this 50% retracement structure continues to repeat itself is due to the increasing involvement of institutional players and large entities (commonly referred to as "whales") in the Bitcoin market. Since the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs and broader institutional acceptance, the market dynamics have fundamentally shifted from retail-dominated speculation to more structured accumulation and distribution strategies.
Why Institutions Favor the 50% Retracement:
Volume-Based Accumulation:
- Large players cannot enter or exit the market in one move without causing slippage or exposing their intent.
- They use retracements (typically to the 50% level) to accumulate positions quietly after a strong impulse move.
- These retracement zones offer optimal risk/reward entries for funds looking to scale into long positions.
Liquidity Creation:
- Before large entities can buy in size, they need liquidity — often created by shaking out weak hands through retracements.
- A 50% pullback tends to scare off retail traders, providing the perfect entry for institutions under the radar.
Algorithmic Market Making:
- Many institutional players use algorithmic trading systems that operate on Fibonacci retracement models and volatility-based levels.
- The consistency in structure indicates the presence of well-coordinated algorithmic strategies that respect these levels mechanically.
Market Maturity:
- As Bitcoin matures, it behaves more like traditional assets (stocks, commodities), where institutional order flow shapes the charts.
- The repeated structure is reminiscent of what you often see in Wyckoff accumulation phases, followed by markups, a method often used by professionals.
Supporting Evidence:
The ETF flows have brought billions of dollars in long-term capital into the Bitcoin market — capital that moves with patience, not panic.
Open interest and on-chain data (not shown in this chart but available) reveal large wallet accumulation during retracement phases.
Each retracement occurs on decreasing volume and volatility, suggesting absorption rather than panic selling — a classic institutional signature.
Conclusion:
What we’re seeing on the chart is not just technical symmetry, but the visible footprint of large, sophisticated players using the market structure to their advantage. The repeating 50% retracement pattern is a direct reflection of this, smart money accumulating during fear, then driving the next leg up once retail is out of position.
As long as this structure continues and fundamentals align, the path to $100K by September remains valid and supported by both technical patterns and institutional behavior.
This whole idea invalidates only if we break ATH.
BTCUSD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 111,056.43 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 110,877.66 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BTCUSD Short: Dump Of Supply ZoneHello, traders! The price auction for BTC has been operating within a large ascending channel, a structure defined by key pivot points that have established the 109500 demand area as support and the 113200 supply area as resistance. This bullish framework has guided the price through a series of higher highs and higher lows, confirming the buyer's initiative and the strength of the current uptrend.
Currently, the auction is at a critical inflection point at the top of this channel. The price has rallied to directly test the channel's ascending supply line, which forms a confluence of resistance with the horizontal 113200 - 113600 supply zone. This is a key area where sellers are expected to become active and challenge the prevailing bullish momentum.
The primary scenario anticipates a corrective move from these highs. The expectation is that sellers will defend the supply zone and reject the price, initiating a downward rotation back towards the channel's support line. A failure to break out higher would confirm a short-term correction is underway. The take-profit for this rotational play is therefore set at 110100 points, targeting a key liquidity area above the primary demand zone. Manage your risk!
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) –> Double Top Playing OutHello guys!
On the 4H chart, Bitcoin has completed a double top formation. After failing to break above the 122,000 zone twice, the price rolled over and eventually broke below the neckline support.
Currently, BTC is pulling back toward the broken neckline area (112,000–113,000). This level may now act as resistance, setting up a bearish retest before continuation lower.
Key Technical Points
Double Top: Confirmed by two failed attempts to push higher.
Broken Neckline: Now turned into resistance.
Target of the Pattern: Based on the structure, the projected move points toward 105,000–105,500, which also aligns with a strong demand zone.
Scenario
If price rejects at the neckline retest, we can expect a move down toward the 105K region . A sustained break below 105K could accelerate bearish momentum, while reclaiming 113K would invalidate the pattern.
📌 Bias: Bearish below 113K, looking for continuation toward 105K.
BTC/USD Long Setup – Defending $111K Support for a Push Upward⚡ Bitcoin bulls are stepping back in at a critical level!
After a sharp correction, BTC has successfully defended the $111K–$112K demand zone 🛡️, which has acted as a strong liquidity pocket in recent weeks. This reaction could be the base for a renewed bullish push targeting the liquidity resting above $120K 🎯.
Here’s the breakdown of my analysis 👇
📌 Market Structure
• Price swept liquidity below $111K before bouncing, creating a higher-low formation 🔑.
• Structure remains bullish as long as the $111K level holds.
• A clean break above $115.5K–$116K resistance ⚔️ will confirm continuation.
📌 Volume Profile
• Increasing buy volume 📊 indicates demand absorption after the correction.
• Smart money positioning suggests accumulation in this range.
📌 Key Levels
• Entry Zone: $111K–$112.5K 🟢
• Stop Loss: $106.6K ❌ (below the invalidation level)
• Target: $120,086 🎯 (8.1% upside move toward the weak high)
📌 Risk Management
• Risk/Reward ratio sits at ~1:1.8 ⚖️, balancing protection and upside potential.
• This setup invalidates ⛔ if BTC closes decisively below $111K support.
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✅ Trade Idea Summary
• Bias: Long BTC/USD
• Setup: Higher-low confirmation at demand zone
• Target: $120K 🎯
• Stop: $106.6K ❌
• R/R: ~1:1.8 ⚖️
Conclusion:
Bitcoin’s rejection of $111K support shows that buyers are still in control 🐂. As long as this level is defended, the path of least resistance points upward 🚀. I expect BTC to test the $115.5K–$116K resistance, and if broken, momentum could carry price toward $120K+ liquidity.
BTC's Situation, A Comprehensive Analysis !!!As you can see, after breaking the bearish wedge, the price dropped sharply. The question is, how far will this price decline continue? In my opinion, the price could remain bearish until the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), which is around the 107500 level. After that, an increase in buying pressure could lead to a price rise to higher levels.
BTC: Profit-Taking Pressure and September RisksHello everyone, Bitcoin has faced strong volatility recently, influenced both by news flow and seasonal patterns.
From a fundamental perspective, the weak US NFP report initially supported a bounce as USD and yields eased. Yet, much of this reaction was already priced in, leading to quick “sell the news” behaviour. Meanwhile, spot ETF flows remain inconsistent, alternating between inflows and outflows, providing no lasting support. Historically, September tends to be a challenging month for BTC, and growing investor caution has further weakened the recovery.
Technically, BTC remains below the H4 Ichimoku cloud, indicating short-term bearish bias. Immediate resistance lies at 111.8–112.2k, and only a decisive H4 close above this zone could unlock a move towards 113.5–114.0k. On the downside, 110.3–110.9k is key; breaking this level could see BTC slide quickly to the 109k area, potentially 108.8k. Until 112k is reclaimed, the base scenario remains a sideways drift with bearish inclination, where short-term rallies are likely capped by profit-taking.
How do you see BTCUSD unfolding next? Share your view below.
BTC/USDT 4H AnalysisBitcoin currently consolidating around the $110k region, sitting just above a major demand zone. Market structure is showing two possible scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Case: Price holds above the grey demand zone (RL) and pushes toward the mid-level ($118k). A clean break here could open the path toward $124k–$126k (RH).
🔹 Bearish Case: If the $110k–$109k support fails, BTC may revisit the blue demand zone around $102k–$100k before any recovery.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $118k / $124k
Support: $110k / $100k
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always use proper risk management.
💬 What’s your outlook on BTC this week – bullish continuation or deeper correction?
BTC Game Plan – Long OpportunityBTC Game Plan – Long Opportunity
📊 Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains firmly bullish as the FED is expected to deliver a 0.25% rate cut, with growing speculation of a potential 0.5% cut in September. Monetary policy adjustments are being driven not only by inflation but also by weakening labor market data. The latest August and September job reports came in soft, signaling that the economy is cooling rapidly. This backdrop strengthens expectations for one of the most significant bullish runs in the weeks ahead.
📈 Technical Analysis
BTC has confirmed bullish momentum after breaking the bearish trendline.
Price action currently looks like an accumulation phase, preparing to expand liquidity higher. I see this as a range-bound delivery where price takes both sides of liquidity pools located at the extremes, rather than running directly into new all-time highs.
📌 Game Plan
1)Watch for price to retrace into the 4H demand zone around $109,400.
2)Look for liquidity sweep at the 4H swing lows.
3)Possible deeper retracement into the 0.75 discount zone near $108,700.
🎯 Setup Trigger
I will look for a confirmed 1H break of structure before entering long.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: Below the 1H swing low responsible for the BOS
Targets:
• TP1: $103,450
• TP2: $117,400
💬 Like, follow, and comment if you find this setup valuable!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always do your own research before making any financial decisions.
Bitcoin: Sell Signal Points To 106K AREA.Bitcoin has rejected the 113K as a resistance with a clear bearish pin bar close. The low of that pin bar has been broken which qualifies as a sell signal on the daily time frame. 113K was previously a key support, and now a resistance which further adds to the broader corrective argument that I have been writing about for weeks. So what does this mean?
The next support is the 105K area and that is where I am anticipating a test either this week or next. Besides CPI, this month also features the next FOMC meeting which can act as a major catalyst bullish OR bearish. These economic events are big enough to affect Bitcoin in a major way which makes it within reason to test the 105K area. IF 105K breaks, the next support after that is the 102 to 100K area.
These support references serve as important potential pivot points for day trades and swing trades. You have to evaluation the price action for reversals along with utilizing a realistic reward/risk framework. For example, since Bitcoin has proven to no longer be in an impulse wave (trend) it is more likely in a consolidation. In practice this means LOWER expectations are warranted. Instead of placing take profit objectives on highs or new highs, it is within reason to choose a higher probability objective like 1:1 or whatever the next resistance is at the time of the reversal. Like 113K can be used as a resistance for a profit objective now (UNTIL OR UNLESS IT BREAKS).
Using wave counts helps immensely when it comes to forming expectations that are in line with market intent. Since the 108K overlap I am anticipating more of a range bound type of environment which means both RANGE support and resistance levels are significant. This is in contrast to expecting the market to continue to trend which is a common mistake among the less experienced. This thought framework is relevant to swing trades and day trades as the market character changes more frequently over shorter time frames. Even as an investor, the wave counts can help you to recognize much higher quality buying opportunities rather than buying at any price.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTC Ready to Dump?Liquidity Grab Done – Next Stop: Demand Zone! Bitcoin just tapped into a key premium zone, grabbed liquidity above recent highs, and is now showing signs of distribution.
✅ Equal highs? Swept.
📦 Imbalance below? Still open.
📉 Structure shifting bearish? Confirmed.
We're seeing clear signs of a sell-off brewing, with price likely targeting the 109.3k → 108.2k demand zone next.
This isn’t just a dip — it's a potential smart money move to fill that imbalance and hunt liquidity sitting below.
🛑 Don’t get trapped in the chop — watch for continuation below 109.7k to confirm the slide.
Trying to post daily.
BTCUSDT (Daily)### 🔎 **Chart Context**
* Pair: **BTC/USDT**
* Exchange: **Binance**
* Timeframe: **1D (Daily)**
* Current price: \~**110,880**
* BTC has retraced from the **124,474 top** and is now stabilizing above the **111,920 support zone**.
* Projection points toward a **bullish continuation toward 138,000** after reclaiming mid-range resistance.
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### 📊 **Key Observations**
1. **Market Structure**
* BTC printed a **higher high at 124,474** in August.
* Pullback into **111,920 support zone** has been defended.
* Structure remains **bullish** on daily timeframe as long as BTC holds above **100,000 – 111,000 range**.
2. **Support Zones**
* **111,920 – 110,530**: Immediate support, currently holding.
* **99,475 – 100,372**: Strong historical support cluster, high-volume node on VPVR.
* **88,765 – 90,500**: Deeper demand zone if broader correction occurs.
3. **Resistance Zones**
* **119,902 – 123,218**: First major resistance ahead.
* **124,474**: Swing high and liquidity cluster.
* **138,000 – 140,000**: Next big target & projected liquidity pool (aligned with chart’s TP).
4. **Volume Profile (VPVR)**
* Clear **volume gap above 120,000**, meaning once BTC reclaims **119,900**, price can accelerate toward **138,000**.
* Heaviest volume traded between **95,000 – 105,000**, forming a strong support base.
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### 📈 **Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability)**
* Price sustains above **111,920 support**.
* Path:
* Retest 119,900 → Break 124,474 high → Rally into 138,000–140,000 zone.
* This aligns with projection, suggesting continuation after consolidation.
---
### 📉 **Bearish Scenario (Risk Case)**
* Breakdown below **111,920 – 110,530 support**.
* Next downside levels:
* **100,000 – 99,475** → Major support & volume shelf.
* **88,765 – 90,500** if selling accelerates.
* A daily close below **99,000** would shift structure to bearish mid-term.
---
### ⚡ **Trading Plan**
* **Long Setup (Preferred):**
* Entry: 111,920 – 110,530 support retest.
* TP1: 119,900
* TP2: 124,474
* TP3: 138,000–140,000
* Stop: Below 109,000
* **Short Setup (Countertrend):**
* Entry: Rejection from 119,900 – 124,474 zone.
* TP: 111,920 → 100,000
* Stop: Above 125,500
---
### ✅ **Conclusion**
BTC/USDT daily remains **bullish**, holding key support at **111,920**. The most probable scenario is **continuation toward 119,900 → 124,474 → 138,000**, with strong momentum if BTC reclaims **120K**. Only a breakdown below **100K** would invalidate the bullish trajectory.
We got the first profit! Next is 10k. Who's with me? ^_^
We got our perfect entry and reached our TP. Now that big institutions and whales are showing interest in BINANCE:ETHUSDT reaching 10k is more likely once the captial starts moving to ETH.
I too, with the experts have a similar view on ETH's future performance!
Not gonna list out things y'all already know. Feel free to drop your idea even if contradicting.
Good luck!
#BTC #ETH #bullrun #technicalanalysis #crypto #fundamentalanalysis #priceaction