elalemiami

elalemiami

from my point of view we are continuing repeating cycles patterns. Tops every ~1400 days, lows ~400 days after those peaks. Would not be surprised if we break down from that first parabola and spend some time bellow before climbing to the topping zone ~Nov2025.

elalemiami

What if btc is maturing and price will tend to flatten over time and become less volatile and more stable asset.

elalemiami

A mayor crash is due soon, T10y02y spread just trigger my entry point. I will be opening a short position on SPY. A huge short position

elalemiami

This idea is trying to catch the lows in next cycle IF we achieve 150k as the next cycle top. Later I will post an idea about how do i believe 150k as a possible peak. The lows are predicted using fib levels from cycle lows to highs.

elalemiami

I believe the impulsive wave will be less aggressive with a maturing market for btc. Still we are at the beginning of this impulse. Let see I hope the peak would be around October 2025.#btc

elalemiami

Seems a little bit overbought in comparison with the Lmacd showing a bearish divergence on the daily chart.

elalemiami

Note RSI level once have come to the 30 level while the fed hikes. I would not hold stocks positions right now.

elalemiami

BTC will always trend higher than fiat. We are close to the support zone. In btc prices we are referring to 60k. Then let it fly.

elalemiami

Inflationary times ahead unfortunately. Stocks should have a modest perform. On the other hand commodities like gold could spike.

elalemiami

I have been following the spread between these two yields for a while. It seems the trend is reversing and soon we could see it moving to the upside. Guppy emas confirming the close we are to that trend reversing. Unfortunately this conditions leads to pain to financial markets like in the past. And this follow an easing response by the Fed lowering rates. Gold...

elalemiami

US02Y-Us10Y correlated with SPY and Fed Fund rates.

elalemiami

If history is something to rely on , we might be seeing a local top near 50k. Then we might to correct to the 30k or less and moving sideways until 2025. Just speculating do not take it too serious.

elalemiami

I have been searching on the internet for btc price predictions for 2025. As always people forecast insane prices like in every cycle. This analysis shows how the tops have been matching with fib levels in an ascending order. Measured from bottom cycle to next top cycle, peaks have been in confluence with 0.618 , 0.5,0.382 and a possible 0.236 if I am correct.

elalemiami Updated 

This is an interesting idea that came out after charting using the gann square tool and the halving dates on BTC. Squares are projected from previous bottom to next cycle top, across halving.

elalemiami

Fib Time Zone in confluence with LMACD showing bottoming zone?

elalemiami

In this TA I want to point out how interesting BTC reacts to time between HALVING. Notice how similar the price tends to find the bottom around the 61% between one halving and the next one (its on the bottom of the picture), as well as it tends to peak around the 0.382 level. I tried to made the same path between 2024 and 2028 Halving (I did not find an exact...

elalemiami

I was looking at the charts and noticed how in every cycle prices tends to go lower according to the Fibonacci levels. Next cycle might be retrace to the 61% ?

elalemiami

This is just for fun , making almost the same path of 2008.