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Bitcoin + ALT-SEASON 2025 Starting! (sell here, thank me later)Bitcoin has been pumping heavily in past days! And this trend will likely continue the whole month of October. We have a very likely scenario that will probably happen on Bitcoin, and in this analysis I will tell you which one! The Elliott Wave theory is one of the strongest tools that you can use to analyze the crypto market. Why? Even banks use this theory, and they pay in gold to expert Elliott wave analysts. What we can see on the current chart of Bitcoin is that we are clearly in wave 3. Wave 1 and Wave 2 are also very clear, so it's really hard to argue against this Elliott wave count because it's pretty much a textbook example. That's very exciting because we can predict the future with a high probability of success. I drew an arrow on the chart so you see this prediction without any misunderstanding. Together with the blue long-term trendline, I think we have an extremely strong resistance. If you sell Bitcoin here and tell everyone that you sold the top at 131K, I would consider it a huge success. What about an alt season? I expect a strong alt season at the final stage of the bull run! And it should start anytime soon. Buying altcoins seems to be a very clever idea, or exchanging bitcoin for altcoins as well. All we need is the BTC.D or BTCDOMUSDT.P to go down, which you can see for yourself on TradingView. So I think you see my prediction and I hope you like it! But what altcoins to buy? Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Long
by Xanrox
90
Bitcoin – Short-Term Weakness, Long-Term StrengthBitcoin has recently swept the all-time high, triggering a short-term reaction from liquidity resting above that level. This move often signals that the market has completed its buy-side run and is now seeking to rebalance inefficiencies created during the aggressive push upward. The current structure indicates that price is shifting momentum in the short term, preparing for a deeper retracement before resuming its bullish trajectory. Imbalance and Structure Shift Following the liquidity sweep, a clear 4-hour imbalance (IFVG) has formed, acting as the first sign of bearish pressure entering the market. This inefficiency shows that the prior move lacked sufficient counter-orders, meaning price may need to return there to restore balance. The bearish move was further confirmed as price inverted a smaller 4-hour FVG, signaling a potential continuation to the downside in the short term. Bearish Scenario If the market continues to respect the newly formed IFVG, we could see a sustained bearish retracement develop. Price may use this imbalance as a draw, seeking to fill deeper inefficiencies left behind during the prior expansion. This corrective phase is not necessarily a trend reversal but rather a short-term redistribution phase before buyers potentially step back in from lower levels. Bullish Scenario Once the 4-hour fair value gap below is filled, the market could begin forming a base for a new bullish leg. The liquidity collected from the downside move and the rebalancing of inefficiencies would give price enough fuel for a strong continuation higher. Traders should look for a clean market structure shift or displacement from that demand area as the signal of renewed bullish intent. Expectations and Outlook In summary, Bitcoin appears to be in a healthy retracement phase after sweeping liquidity at the highs. The 4-hour imbalance provides a clear short-term target for price to seek, and once filled, the bullish structure could resume. This setup favors patience, waiting for confirmation that the downside rebalancing is complete before anticipating another impulsive rally. Conclusion Overall, Bitcoin’s structure suggests a temporary bearish move to fill the 4-hour FVG, followed by a potential bullish continuation once that inefficiency is resolved. Watching how price reacts upon entering that zone will be key in determining whether the next expansion phase begins. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Long
by TehThomas
41
Gold can Start a Correction Towards 3855 SupportHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The broader market context for Gold has been decidedly bullish since the price reversed and broke out from a prior descending channel. This structural shift established a new uptrend, which has since been neatly contained within a well-defined ascending channel. The price action for XAU has been creating a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Currently, the asset is trading very close to the resistance line of this ascending channel, an area where sellers may re-emerge. My strategy is based on the expectation that the price will reach this line, be rejected, and then begin a corrective decline. I think after such a strong run, a pullback is a probable scenario. A confirmed reversal from this upper boundary would validate the short idea. Therefore, I have placed my TP at the 3855 current support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
34
BNB/USDT: Bullish Breakout from H&S and Pennant FormationHi guys! The chart clearly shows a bullish structure forming after a strong upward move. Initially, the price completed an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern , signaling a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. After the breakout above the neckline, the market continued to climb and started consolidating into a bullish pennant pattern , a continuation setup that typically follows a sharp rally (flagpole). The pennant breakout confirms renewed bullish momentum, suggesting the next leg higher is underway. Based on the flagpole projection, the measured targets are around $1,282 for the first resistance zone and $1,362 as the extended upside target. In summary: Patterns identified: Inverse Head and Shoulders + Bullish Pennant Trend direction: Bullish continuation Targets: $1,282 and $1,362 Outlook: Positive as long as price holds above the pennant breakout level
Long
by melikatrader94
19
GBPUSD Daily CLS Range, Key Level OB, Distribution PhaseHi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close. 📌 HTF - Higher Timeframe view 🧩 Complete proces and Strategy explained 👇 Click Picture Below to read 🎯 Why your market approach also should be mechanical ? NO Fixed Mechanical Trading Logic - You are guessing random patterns NO Defined trading plan - Every trade different logic NO Same logic in each trade - Not possible to backtest NO Backtests on at least 300 trades - Not knowing Statistics ➡️ No Statistics ➡️ No Edge ➡️ Mindset ProblemS 🧠 Core of mindset problems If you don't know your statistics on large enough data sample. You don't know your probabilities of win rate once the losing streak happen and it happens to every strategy. You will start doubting, hesitating to take next trade because you don't know statistics of your losses. In the end you will be doubting strategy and then jump to different one. You will be in the endless loop for years, looking for new better strategy. 👊 Your ultimate goal as a trader is not to be a generalist who knows 10 000 patterns. But rather create one system with narrowed criteria of each element of the trade to remove subjective and emotional decisions as much as possible and stick to this system no matter what. Practice it 10 000 times become a MASTER. ✨ Trading Mastery is reflection of your life Have a longterm plan, No Alcohol & Drugs, Ignore others, Focus on your journey , Backtest regularly, Review your weeks, Journal mistakes, Exercise, Sleep well, Read books, Walks in nature (no phone) , Meditate, Reduce social media time, Spend time with family, Live Life. Trading is hard, but not impossible. I believe in you 💪 David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter
Short
by David_Perk
28
Gold Grid Trading Overview: Effective Strategy for 20% gains🪙 Gold Breakout-Stop Grid Strategy: Overview & Rationale Grid trading is often built using limit orders above and below a base price, expecting the market to oscillate and capture many small profits. But in a strongly trending or volatile asset like gold, there is often breakout momentum that drives price through grid zones rather than bouncing. By instead using buy stops above and sell stops below (i.e. breakout triggers), you capture directional thrusts, while still retaining a grid structure (i.e. multiple layers). Think of it as a hybrid between a breakout strategy and a grid. Key advantages in gold: • ✨ Gold often exhibits strong trending phases, with momentum after breakouts of supply/demand zones. • 📊 Volatility is higher than many forex pairs, so you can space your grid more widely, reducing overcrowding. • 🎯 With breakout stops, you reduce “false bounce” whipsaws inside the range; only when momentum validates do you trigger entries. Risks / caveats: • ⚠️ If price doesn’t break strongly and whipsaws, you could trigger and then reverse, creating drawdown. • 📉 In a sideways gold market, fewer breakouts may be triggered, lowering trade frequency. • 🛡 You must carefully size exposure and use drawdown controls, especially with leverage. I’ll now walk through how to set this up, with gold-tailored specifics and sample trades (with increased aggressiveness), using realistic current spot prices (≈ $3,862) Investing.com. ________________________________________ 🧮 Setup: Account, Leverage, Risk & Grid Sizing 📋 Account & Leverage • Account size: $10,000 • Leverage: 1:100 • This means your maximum notional exposure is huge but margin and maintenance rules will limit you. • We’ll now risk ~20–25%+ of equity in an aggressive version of this system (in order to aim for 20-30% weekly), i.e. $2,000–$2,500 at most drawdown limit for a grid run. Note: This is very aggressive and only for demonstration. Many traders would never risk this much per grid. 💰 Risk per Grid Step (Aggressive Version) • Let’s target $50 risk per triggered order (instead of $10) so that each step is meaningful. • That means if a triggered order goes adverse by its maximum “stop zone,” your loss is $50. • If you trigger, say, 5 steps, that’s $250 worst case on that direction (if all hit adverse). • You must still cap total drawdown (e.g. 25% or $2,500) and limit exposures. 📈 Gold Contract & Price Movements • Spot gold (XAU/USD) currently trades about $3,862.74 Investing.com. • Let’s assume a contract specification such that 1 standard lot gives $100 per $1 move (so $1.00 move = $100) — a common ballpark in retail gold CFDs. • Then:   • A move of $0.01 = $1 (for 1 lot).   • Therefore, if you trade 0.50 lots, a $1 move = $50. So with this, to get ~$50 risk per $1 adverse move, 0.50 lots is a candidate (because $1 adverse × 0.50 lots × $100/lot = $50). You can scale lot sizes accordingly. 📏 Grid Spacing & Levels (Realistic & Aggressive) Given gold’s volatility, use wider spacing. Let’s choose: • Grid spacing = $3.50 between successive triggers (a robust distance). • We’ll place buy stops and sell stops relative to a base zone around current spot. Let’s pick base ~ $3,860 as our pivot. So: • Buy stops: $3,863.50, $3,867.00, $3,870.50, $3,874.00, $3,877.50 • Sell stops: $3,856.50, $3,853.00, $3,849.50, $3,846.00, $3,842.50 (Max 5 levels each side, but you may cap to 3–5.) Take Profit / Exit Logic: • Target profit per trade = $3.50 (same as spacing). • Thus one successful step = $3.50 × lot_size × $100. • If lot_size = 0.50 lots, $3.50 × 0.50 × $100 = $175 profit per triggered trade. • If you get 3 successful triggers in a run: 3 × $175 = $525 gross. • That’s 5.25% on $10,000 in one clean directional run (before commissions/slippage). You see the scaling is now aggressive — you risk more per step, but also gain more per successful trade. Limit how many triggers you allow (e.g. max 3–4 per side) to cap exposure. Define a hard equity stop: e.g. if floating drawdown > 25% ($2,500), close all and reset. ________________________________________ 🧭 Trade Example: How It Plays Out in Gold (Realistic Prices & Aggression) We’ll do two detailed scenarios. This time we target higher returns, with real price zones. ________________________________________ 🎯 Scenario A: Bullish Breakout Base price: ~$3,860 (spot) Buy stops: $3,863.50, $3,867.00, $3,870.50 Sell stops: $3,856.50, $3,853.00, $3,849.50 Lot sizing: 0.50 lots per order (so $3.50 adverse = $175 risk). TP per trade: +$3.50 Sequence: 1. Gold climbs and breaks $3,863.50 → triggers Buy #1 at 3,863.50 o TP at 3,867.00 → profit if reached = ($3.50 × 0.50 × $100) = $175 2. Momentum continues, price breaks 3,867.00 → triggers Buy #2 there o TP at 3,870.50 → another $175 3. Price surges, breaks 3,870.50 → triggers Buy #3 → TP = 3,874.00 → +$175 If all three succeed: Gross = $525 (5.25% gain) in one directional move. If you allow up to 4 or 5 levels, total can scale to ~$700–900 (7–9%) in a strong move — if all hits. If reversal? If price reverses after buy #2, or before buy #3, you can: • Close open longs immediately when opposite side’s sell stop triggers. • Or cancel further buy stops once a reversal signal appears. • Or net positions (if your broker supports hedging) — but that adds complexity. Better to disable opposite side (sell stops) after the first buy triggers, to avoid collision exposures. ________________________________________ 🔻 Scenario B: Bearish Breakout Same base zone. Now price breaks downward. • Sell stops at: 3,856.50, 3,853.00, 3,849.50 • TP each = –$3.50 from entry. Sequence: 1. Gold breaks 3,856.50 → Sell #1 → target 3,853.00 → profit $175 2. Continues down, breaks 3,853.00 → Sell #2 → target 3,849.50 → +$175 3. Breaks 3,849.50 → Sell #3 → target 3,846.00 → +$175 If all three succeed: $525 profit. If you allowed 4 levels: e.g. break 3,846.00 next → target 3,842.50 → +$175 more → total $700. Again, reversal risk must be managed. ________________________________________ 📊 Mixed / Whipsaw Scenario Suppose price crosses above $3,863.50 → triggers Buy #1, moves a bit, then reverses and crosses down through 3,856.50, triggering Sell #1. You now hold: • Long from $3,863.50 (losing) • Short from $3,856.50 (potential profit) This is a collision. To avoid chaotic risk: • Cancel all opposite-side stops when first side triggers. • Or immediately close all on first collision signal. • Or lock in partial profit/loss and pause grid until trend clarity returns. That’s why many breakout-grid strategies disable the opposite direction after first breakout. ________________________________________ 📈 Profit Potential & Drawdown Estimates (Aggressive Model) Let’s simulate one clean grid run (bullish) where 3 steps succeed fully: • Gross profit = $525 • If you risked 3 steps * $175 = $525, worst-case these same 3 steps lose you $525 (if all adverse) • Net = +5.25% in one run • If you manage 2–3 such runs per week (if market allows), theoretically 10–15%+ weekly is possible — but that is optimistic. However, in real life, not all runs will hit all targets — sometimes partial, sometimes losses. A drawdown of 25% ($2,500) is your cap boundary. With that, if you undergo 5 bad runs in a row, you’d hit your equity stop. If average win per run is $400 and average loss per bad run is $500, you need a favorable win-loss ratio to hit ~20–30% weekly. This is extremely aggressive. ________________________________________ 🔁 Adaptive Mechanics & Enhancements (for robustness) To improve consistency and manage risk, add: • 📐 ATR-based spacing: Use a 14-period ATR on H4 or D1 to set grid spacing. If ATR = $4, spacing = $4 or $5. • 📈 Trend filter: Only open buy-side grids when price > 200-period MA (H4 or D1), or only open sell-side when price < MA. Prevent fighting trend. • 🚫 Volatility filter / news blocks: Do not place or trigger near major gold-related news (Fed, CPI, central bank announcements). • 🔄 Grid rebase / reset: After a winning cycle, re-center grid around new price and restart stop orders. • 📈 Scaling rules:   – Aggressive scaling: after n consecutive wins, increase lot size (within risk caps).   – Defensive scaling: after a loss, reduce lot size or skip grid. • 🛑 Equity-stop / margin cap: If floating drawdown > 25% or margin usage > 80%, close all and reset. • 🧊 Cooldown periods: After a loss or big run, pause grid orders for some hours/days to let market settle. ________________________________________ 🧮 Worked Example: Multi-Cycle Over a Week (Aggressive) Say you run 3 grid cycles in a week under trending conditions: Cycle Direction Steps hit Gross profit Net (after one partial loss) 1 Up 3 out of 4 levels hit fully +$525 +$490 (small drawdown on partial) 2 Down 2 of 3 hit, 1 reversed +$350 +$320 3 Up 4 levels hit fully +$700 +$700 Total gross = $525 + $350 + $700 = $1,575 Net after adjustments/slippage ~ $1,450–$1,500 That’s ~ 14.5% gain in one week. If the market is more favorable, you may hit ~20–30%, but the risk is commensurate. Over multiple weeks the compounding is powerful — but a few big losses can wipe gains. ________________________________________ ✅ Summary & Implementation Tips • Use breakout stops (buy stops above, sell stops below) instead of limits to catch directional thrusts in gold. • Wider grid spacing (e.g. $3–$5) is essential to survive volatility. • Lot sizing must match your desired risk per step (here $50). • Limit max triggers per direction and enforce a hard equity stop (e.g. 25%) to avoid blow-ups. • Employ trend / volatility filters to filter low-probability entries. • After a net winning run, rebase grid to current price. • Use scaling and cooldown mechanics to moderate aggression. • On collision signals, cancel opp side stops or close everything to avoid contradictory exposures.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by ProjectSyndicate
36
BITCOIN ENDING DIAGONAL: $160K OR $120K? (1HR CRITICAL UPDATE)While I typically avoid short-term CRYPTOCAP:BTC analysis, this 1hr setup is too critical to ignore. Price is painting a textbook Elliott Wave pattern that could deliver a explosive move. CURRENT STRUCTURE: • Waves 1 & 2 ✅ COMPLETE • Wave 3 (extended) now forming an ENDING DIAGONAL • Current trading near critical "BUY BACK Area" IMMEDIATE SCENARIOS: BULL CASE (70%): • Bounce from current BB-Zone → Push to complete Wave 3 at $129K-$130K • Brief Wave 4 correction to $125K • Wave 5 launch toward $136K+ • Final blow-off top: $140K-$160K BEAR INVALIDATION: • Break below $123K → Drop to $120K • This invalidates the diagonal pattern KEY LEVELS: • Must Hold: $123K • Buy Zone: $121K-$123K • Wave 3 Target: $129K-$130K • Wave 4 Pullback: $125K • Wave 5 Target: $136K+ The next few hours are CRITICAL. This ending diagonal suggests exhaustion in the current move, we either get one final push to $130K or breakdown to $120K. Like if you're watching these levels! Share if you agree with this analysis! Comment with your take!
Long
by weslad
35
Lingrid | GOLD Persistent Bullish Trajectory ContinuesThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD is holding firm above 3900 after setting a new ATH near 3980 within the upward channel. Price action confirms bullish structure, with higher lows and trend continuation signals. A rejection support zone near 3920 could open the path for a retest of the 4000 psychological resistance. Momentum structure suggests bulls remain in control while targeting the upper boundary of the channel near 4000. ⚠️ Risks: A breakdown below 3920 could trigger correction toward 3819. Stronger USD remarks may limit upside potential. Weakening global demand data could dampen gold’s bullish momentum. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
12
XAUUSD - Target $4,000 in Sight ⭐️Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of OANDA:XAUUSD ? XAUUSD has continued its strong upward momentum since the start of the week, breaking past the $3,950 level and approaching the psychological barrier of $4,000. Demand for gold has surged amid concerns about a potential U.S. government shutdown and expectations that the Fed will lower interest rates in the coming months. Technically, gold is holding steady above key support levels of $3,900 and $3,950. If it continues to break through the resistance at $3,977, the next target will be the $4,000 level. However, the RSI is currently in the overbought zone, suggesting that a slight pullback may occur before the uptrend continues. Personally, the economic and political situation continues to support the bullish trend for gold, and if these factors remain favorable, gold could easily break the $4,000 mark in the near future, potentially going even higher. 👋What do you think about gold? Will it keep rising or will there be a correction? Leave your thoughts in the comments!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kevinn_Nguyen
29
DOGEUSDT → Correction to 0.246. The hunt for liquidity BINANCE:DOGEUSDT.P attempted to realize its potential after breaking out of the downward resistance. After updating the local maximum to 0.27, the price entered a phase of correction and consolidation... Bitcoin slows down its growth after reaching the 125K zone. A correction may form in the altcoin markets due to the risk of profit-taking. For DOGE, there is a zone of interest at 0.2466 The price of DOGE has reached a strong resistance zone, where bears have increased pressure. A false breakout of 0.2653 - 0.2694 has formed. A sell-off is forming... Resistance levels: 0.2653, 0.2694 Support levels: 0.2466, 0.2431, 0.2376 Against the backdrop of market correction, a downward rally associated with panic selling is forming. The support zone that is of interest to the market is 0.2466, and this zone is quite capable of stopping the decline. A false breakdown and holding the price above 0.246 - 0.243 may renew interest in growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
19
GOLD → The correction will trigger growth to $4,000.FX:XAUUSD hit a new record high of nearly $3,977 and entered a correction phase to build up potential before further growth. Despite the local strengthening of the dollar, the upward trend continues thanks to a combination of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors. Key supporting factors: Ongoing US government shutdown: The Democrats' fifth unsuccessful attempt to resolve the issue increases uncertainty. Markets expect two interest rate cuts before the end of the year. China has been increasing its reserves for the 11th consecutive month, and global central banks bought +15 tons in August. No bearish triggers: Any correction is seen as a buying opportunity. Gold maintains its upward momentum. Breaking through $4,000 seems a matter of time if current drivers remain in place. Key risks are an unexpected resolution to the shutdown or hawkish signals from the Fed. Resistance levels: 3977, 4000 Support levels: 3945, 3927, 3920 Technically, a false breakdown of support could lead to continued growth. A retest of 3945 is possible; a weak reaction could trigger a deeper correction, for example to 3927, before further growth. Sincerely, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
15
EURUSD: Buying Interest Builds at 1.1610 as Shutdown DragsHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a potential buying opportunity around the 1.16100 zone. The pair remains in a broader uptrend and is currently in a correction phase, approaching a strong daily support area at 1.16100 that aligns with the ascending trendline. Structure: The market has been maintaining higher highs and higher lows, with the current retracement offering a potential continuation setup within the bullish structure. Key level in focus: 1.16100 — a critical zone of confluence between daily support and trend structure, where buyers have previously shown strong interest. Fundamentals: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is nearing the 98.800 daily resistance while facing headwinds from the ongoing US government shutdown. Extended fiscal uncertainty and a weakening DXY backdrop strengthen the bullish case for EURUSD. Next move: Watching price reaction at 1.16100 for potential bullish continuation — sustained buying pressure here could pave the way for a move toward recent highs. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
16
Ascending channels trading applied to Gold current situation🔼 Ascending Channel – Explained Simply An ascending channel is a bullish pattern — but not always a bullish ending. It shows a market climbing step by step between two parallel rising lines: the lower trendline (support) and the upper trendline (resistance). 🧠 Market Psychology Buyers dominate, but sellers still show up at every swing high. Each dip gets bought, keeping the trend alive — until one side finally breaks the rhythm. ⚙️ How to Trade It • Inside the channel: Buy near the lower rail, take profit near the upper rail. • Breakout play: Go long on a confirmed close above resistance, or short on a clean break below support. • Stops: Just outside the opposite rail — below support for longs, above resistance for shorts. • Targets: Use the channel height projected from the breakout point. ⚠️ What to Watch Out For • False breakouts happen often. • Too-steep channels usually fail faster. • Volume must confirm — low volume = fake strength. • Statistically, breakdowns occur slightly more often than breakouts. ________________________________________ Key takeaway: An ascending channel isn’t a promise of a bull run —it’s a structured climb that eventually ends. Trade the rhythm, not the hope. 🎯 Statistically, in 57% of cases, up channels are broken to the downside Gold now situation: the recent 1k pips is way-way-way to steep Confirmation came with a drop under 3950 zone Usually, in the case of such a steep channel, all the move is negated, so a drop to the 3850 zone. However 3900 zone is strong support now, so a break under 3950 zone could lead to "only" a drop to this support.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
12
AUDUSD - Steady Uptrend with Strong Support ? 👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of OANDA:AUDUSD ? AUDUSD has maintained a steady uptrend over the past few months, primarily consolidating in a defined price channel, with the price holding above key support levels. Technically, the pair is currently testing the support zone that aligns with the ascending trendline. This trendline has proven to be a reliable support in the past and continues to be a focal point. On the other hand, the Australian dollar benefits from a favorable economic outlook and rising commodity prices, which bolster investor confidence in the currency. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar remains under pressure due to concerns over economic growth and the potential policy adjustments by the Federal Reserve. With these two factors in play, I remain optimistic about this currency pair. 💬How about you?
Long
by Kevinn_Nguyen
17
Bitcoin Sets Another ATH as Traders Bet on $140,000 by Year EndBlink and you’ll miss it. Bitcoin’s recent leg up caught lots of traders unprepared. After sinking below $110,000 few weeks back, the OG coin slingshotted to a fresh record high above $126,000 this week. Not a bad way to start October Uptober . Now, traders are adding to bets that the price will crack $140,000 by year end. How realistic is that? 🌕 “Uptober” Strikes Again October has a reputation in crypto lore and it’s living up to it. Over the last 13 Octobers, Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has ended in the green 10 times. The pattern is set to continue as the coin rides a broader wave of optimism fueled by the Fed’s rate cuts, a messy US government shutdown, and the return of that dangerous four-letter abbreviation: FOMO. But the real kicker? Spot Bitcoin ETFs are on fire. US-listed Bitcoin ETFs kicked off the month with their second-best week ever, attracting $3.24 billion in net inflows — nearly matching their record of $3.38 billion set in November 2024. Are we… so back ? 💥 Options Traders Go Big: $140K or Bust In the options market, optimism is loud and clear. Data from Deribit shows open interest piling up around the $140,000 strike for contracts expiring in December — meaning plenty of traders are betting we’ll see new highs just in time for the holiday season. (Not that easy to gift a BTC now, is it?) At the same time, a few cautious traders are hedging with puts, just in case this turns into another one of those “too-fast, too-furious” rallies. 📈 You Get a Record and You Get a Record It’s not just Bitcoin exploring new horizons. The S&P 500 SP:SPX and the Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC both logged their 30-something record closes of 2025, powered by relentless AI strength ( some huge OpenAI deal ) and investors betting that rate cuts will stretch the bull run. But also, gold bugs are turning into the Scrooge McDucks of the market, backstroking through piles of gold in impenetrable fortresses. The shiny stuff OANDA:XAUUSD is up 55% year to date and hovering just under $4,000 per ounce, a milestone that would make even die-hard crypto bulls nod in respect. Apparently, the market’s hot across the board. 🧠 Why Bitcoin’s Rally Makes Sense (Kind Of) Underneath the euphoria, there’s some logic to this madness: • Lower rates = cheaper money. When the Fed cuts, non-yielding assets like Bitcoin suddenly look more attractive. • Inflation’s still sticky. Investors want something that can’t be printed at will. The US government shutdown only strengthened that flow of cash. • Institutional influx is real. ETFs, family offices, and even corporate treasuries are allocating to Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD , Ethereum BITSTAMP:ETHUSD , and Solana PURPLETRADING:SOLUSD. At its current market cap of $2.5 trillion, Bitcoin is now bigger than Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN ($2.4 trillion), the world’s fifth-largest company . 🧭 The “Uptober” Mindset Here’s where psychology comes in. After weeks of choppy sideways trading, boredom gave way to disbelief — then disbelief turned to excitement. Now? We’re entering the danger zone where conviction and euphoria start to blur. Some veterans call this the “emotional compression” phase — when every dip feels like an entry and every green candle feels eternal. But cycles never die; they just rotate. Those who chase late often learn that momentum cuts both ways. Still, momentum traders have history on their side. Every October since 2012 (barring 2018, 2014, and 2012), Bitcoin has delivered solid gains. It’s hard to argue with a pattern that reliable — until it breaks. 🤔 What Could Trip Up the Bulls Even the most euphoric chart has risk baked in: • Profit-taking. After a 100% gain over the past twelve months, short-term traders can decide to lock in profits fast. • Macro shocks. One bad inflation print ECONOMICS:USCPI or a hawkish Fed comment could cool the mood. • Overheated sentiment. When everyone in your barbershop agrees it’s going up, it usually doesn’t — at least not immediately. The chart’s near-term support sits between $120,000–$122,000. Lose that, and a retest of $110,000 is possible. Hold it, and $140,000 becomes more than just a meme. 📢 $140K by Year-End: Dream or Data? Statistically speaking, Bitcoin would need roughly a 4% monthly gain from here to hit $140,000 by December. Considering it’s already up over 100% year-to-date, that’s not outrageous. To get there, the stars must stay aligned: • ETF inflows keep building momentum. • The Fed sticks to its dovish script. • Stocks stay buoyant, giving traders room to take risk. • No black swans, no rug pulls, no sudden panic tweets. If all that holds, a single Bitcoin closing the year north of $140,000 isn’t fantasy. It’s just crypto doing what crypto does — defying logic, gravity, and your risk management plan. 👉 Off to you : Where do you see Bitcoin by end of year? Cast your predictions in the comment section!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingView
14
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, As promised, here’s the latest update on our ongoing 1H Chart Idea, which continues to play out in true GoldViewFX fashion. After completing all our previous bullish targets yesterday, we stated that price was now playing between 3937 and 3965, awaiting an EMA5 cross and lock to determine the next directional range. 3937 provided solid support and bounce, exactly as outlined. We then saw the 3965 retest, followed by a confirmed EMA5 cross and lock above, which has now opened 3993. Price has already made a strong push upward, and we’re now waiting for the gap to complete before the next confirming continuation. This move demonstrates yet again how our EMA5 cross and lock system continues to deliver accurate, repeatable setups with precision. Current Market Context We’re now trading above 3965, with momentum aligning for a potential test toward 3993. If we achieve a confirmed close above this level, the next bullish range toward 4019 will open. Until then, we’ll continue monitoring intraday price action and manage positions accordingly. Bullish Progress Recap ✅ 3907 – Done ✅ 3937 – Done ✅ 3965 – Done 🎯 3993 – Now Open 📈 4019 – Next Target on EMA5 Cross & Lock Above 3993 Bearish Levels (Unchanged) 3880 – Key Support 3848 / 3819 – Below 3880 Opens Bearish Continuation 3781 / 3743 – Swing Range The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3907 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3907 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3937 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3937 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3965 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3965 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3993 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3993 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 4019 BEARISH TARGETS 3880 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3880 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3848 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3848 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3819 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3819 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3781 3743 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
8
Gold: The Higher It Flies, the Louder the Correction WhispersAs explained in my Sunday video, the new all-time high for Gold is not a question of if, but how high it can rise once it firmly breaks above 3900. Indeed, Gold has continued its unstoppable march, printing ATH after ATH, with the latest one formed during today's Asian session at 3977 — another almost 1,000 pips gained since Friday’s close. At this point, there are two undeniable facts every trader recognizes: 1. The trend is extremely bullish. 2. A correction is long overdue. ________________________________________ Technical Outlook The recent rally remains contained within an aggressive rising channel, but the overlapping highs in the last few hours reveal signs of exhaustion. A confirmation for even a minor correction — and in this case, with Gold moving vertically, a 500-pip retracement would count as minor — would come with a break below the 3955–3850 zone. Such a move would likely open the door for a retest of the 3900 area, which now serves as a key support. ________________________________________ Trading Plan At the time of writing, I’m holding a short position, fluctuating near entry, with small alternating gains and losses. While I do expect a pullback, I also keep in mind Keynes’s timeless reminder: “The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” That’s why my stop loss is tight, and my focus is on discipline over prediction.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
19
$BTC Daily chart $130K! or $115k DUMPBTC/USDT – Bearish Harmonic Formation | Key Levels & Scenarios Technical Overview: Price is currently forming a bearish harmonic pattern, approaching a key decision zone. The next few daily candles will determine whether BTC continues its bullish trend or initiates a corrective phase. Key Zones Demand: 122.2K – 124.7K Supply: 105.1K – 108.9K Psychological Levels: 130K · 125K · 120K · 115K Golden Pocket: Around 115K (0.618–0.65 retracement) Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): 115K–118K 110K (secondary FVG) Swing Points: Previous Swing Low: 108K Previous Swing High: 126K High Volume Nodes: 118K and 115K Market Structure BTC is respecting a consistent bullish leg with limited pullbacks. Price recently swept the 125K psychological level, aligning with harmonic completion and demand resistance. Scenario Outlook 🔼 Bullish Continuation: A daily close above the 124.7K demand zone could invalidate the bearish harmonic and signal continuation toward 130K+ targets. 🔽 Bearish Reversal: A close below the previous day’s candle low may confirm the start of a bearish correction, targeting 118K → 115K, and potentially 110K. Bearish Confluences Bearish Harmonic Pattern completion near key resistance. Golden Pocket + FVG + Psychological + Volume confluence at 115K. Extended bullish leg with no significant retracement, followed by 125K liquidity sweep. LET me know your thoughts below!
Short
by King_BennyBag
23
BTCUSD: Is This the Breakout to a New All-Time High?Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup. Market Analysis From a broader perspective, the price action for Bitcoin has been complex, culminating in a powerful breakout. After a fake breakdown below the 108800 Support level, the price reversed strongly, broke out of its consolidation range, and also pushed above a major trend line. This series of events shows significant bullish strength. Currently, after this strong breakout, the price is in a natural corrective phase, pulling back to retest the broken structures from above. My Scenario & Strategy My scenario is built on the idea that this breakout is valid and the uptrend will continue. I see the current pullback as a classic retest, offering a potential opportunity to join the new bullish momentum. I'm looking for the price to complete its correction to the broken trend line. A confirmed and strong bounce from this line would be the key signal for me that the pullback is over and the primary trend is ready to resume. Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this bounce. A successful defense of the trend line would validate the long scenario. My new target for the next impulsive wave higher is 128000, which would be a new ATH. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Ratner
10
GOLD In A New Upward Move Targeting $4000 - $4100GOLD In A New Upward Move Targeting $4000 - $4100 From our previous analysis, GOLD respected the bullish scenario. This came with a confirmation during the night trading session as I explained in the previous post. With this move above 3895, the price confirmed a bullish triangle pattern that shows signs of a strong bullish momentum. From our chart we can observe that it is the same similar move as it was before. The bullish flags show a healthy uptrend and we all know that gold is in a crazy bullish move supported by the geopolitical situation or other factors. Everyone talks about its strength, but I am not sure if we know the Truth. Truth is not a Luxury for ordinary people 😂 The price has broken above the $3,895 - $3,900 resistance area as I explained for the bullish scenario in the previous analysis and may retest it before continuing higher. Targets: $3,950 $4,000 $4,050 $4,100 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KlejdiCuni
31
$Solana $250+ or DOWN 216?In our recent post, we perfectly predicted the touch of 250 and 190. Price has now reversed off the supply zone and is making its way back up, lets see what the potential out come for the next two weeks are! Solana (SOL/USDT) 1H Chart Analysis Current Price: ~$232 Trend : Price is was inside a clear ascending channel, respecting support and resistance lines - however has now breached resistance. Key Levels Support Zones: $225 → Psychological support + 4H FVG. $216 → Deeper 4H FVG and strong volume node. ( + 4 Hour Fib GP ) $200 → Major psychological level + prior supply zone flip. Resistance Zones: $250 → Psychological resistance + demand zone. $275 → Next major resistance if $250 breaks. Bullish Scenario If SOL holds above $225 and consolidates within the trend channel, price could retest $250. Break and close above $250 may extend rally toward $275. Bearish Scenario Failure to hold $225 could drag SOL to the $216 FVG or even $208. A breakdown of $208 increases risk of revisiting $200. Summary Market structure remains bullish as long as price respects the rising trendline. $225 is the key short-term pivot: holding above favors $250+, losing it opens downside risk toward $216–200. Let me know what you think!
Long
by King_BennyBag
70
EURUSD consolidating but remains in a broader downtrendThe EUR/USD pair has been consolidating but remains in a broader downtrend. The recent price action suggests that a deeper correction pattern could unfold. The pair corrected as expected but did not get close to the 1.1770 resistance level. Interestingly, the recent U.S. government shutdown news had little impact on the U.S. dollar, indicating continued underlying strength. From a technical perspective, EUR/USD declined further following the recent news from France, which may have shifted investor sentiment. The market appears to be losing focus on U.S. political events and Trump, and instead, attention is turning back to the Eurozone. If this shift continues, EUR/USD could extend its decline further than initially anticipated. The next key support level is around 1.1555, which traders should watch closely for potential buying interest or a further breakdown. You may find more details in the chart. Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies. Ps; Support with like and comments fir better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
Short
by MrMartin_11
18
TOP down analysis and Scaling the Range setups.Hey whats up traders, lets have a look to the Timeframe alignment's, its a key point to clarity in the setups. Price is fractal and what is happening on one timeframe we can find on lower timeframe also. 📌 Why it's important to use correct timeframes? - We should use timeframes based on what type of traders we are, not just random. - We cant trade M5 reversal from Monthly etc. There must be structured approach. 🧪 Know yourself Based on your lifestyle, patience. Decide how much time you want to give to trading. But remember - Trading is not employment. You are paid for best decisions & being in the right position, not for your time and effort. More trades are not equal more profits. Full time trading and day trading doesn't mean trading every and sit whole day behind PC. 🧪 What type of trader you are ? • Position Trader - Trade the monthly range. • Swing Trader - Trade the weekly range. • Short Term Trader - Trade the daily range. • Day Trader or Intraday Trader - Trade the daily candle's range. • Scalper - Trade the hourly range. 🧩 Im mentioning ranges, because it's core of mechanical strategy, which I explained in the post below. 🔗Click to the picture below to learn more 👇 ‼️ When analyzing the market don't start, just with the range. It's just one element of the trade. We need to understand whole market context. Always go step by step , rule based analysis of trade elements with correct timeframe sequences. 🧪 Timeframes of trade elements • Trend / Bias - Higher Timeframe • Ranges - Higher Timeframe • Key Levels - Higher Timeframe • Structure - Intermediate Timeframe • Profiling AMD - Lower Timeframe • Order Flow / Entry - Lower Timeframe 📌 Bullish Scenario 📌 Bearish Scenario 🧪 Whats your timeframes? Position Trader - Monthly Key Level + Range- Daily Structure - H4 Profiling + Entries Swing trader - Weekly Key Level + Range- H4 Structure - H1 Profiling + Entries Short term Trader - Daily/H4 Key Level + Range- H1 Structure - M15 Profiling + Entries Day Trader / Scalper - H1 Key Level + Range- M5 Structure - M1 Profiling + Entries Im most confident in Swing Trading and Short term trading, hence I trade Weekly and Daily ranges. I use monthly ranges for HTF bias, but I will explain this later. 🧩If you apply these timeframes correctly, you will be easily buying lows and selling highs. I have explained this in this post below. 🔗Click to the picture to open lean more 👇 This framework by itself is good enough to be successful in the trading. I suggest you to create your own trade checklist and do always step by step analysis. Remember nothing comes easy to master anything takes time you need to give it at least 6 months, without jumping from strategy to strategy. Use Trading journal to collect information, without it you will not improve and will repeat the mistakes. To fasten the process run backtests at least 300 examples. 🧩Dont forget that whole concept is based on the liquidity, you must understand it also. I have explained in this post. 🔗Click to the picture to open lean more 👇 🧪 Power of scaling If we look to the 1 minute chart and Monthly chart we will not recognize what chart it is. Patterns are playin on all timeframes. That is why is 100% mechanical approach based on liqudity and candles - Open , High, Low, Close powerful. What Im going to show you now you cant be achieved with diagonal drawings or random patterns. 📍First lets start with our basic knowledge If the range is manipulated the CLS sequence is suggesting that opposing side of the range will be reached. It can be by just quick move - Model 1, or we can get Model 2 opportunity. 📍 Bullish continuation setups Model 1 - Entry after manipulation - 50% target Model 2 - Entry on pullback on level between 61.8 - 80% pullback 📍 Bearish Continuation setups Model 1 - Entry after manipulation - 50% target Model 2 - Entry on pullback on level between 61.8 - 80% pullback 🧩Dont forget that best enties comes in trend on the right pullbacks.I have explained in this post. 🔗Click to the picture to open lean more 👇 🧪 Now lets use this knowledge as a fractal I have clarified our Range timeframes for each type of trader, but you definitely should not skip bigger timeframes even if it's not your timeframe. Knowing the sequence from HTF give us a bias perspective so we can trade LTF ranges within HTF Range Models. 📍 Bullish LTF Range within HTF Range Analyze HTF range and define models, then drop it to your TF and trade your ranges with the HTF range. Always follow the same process only on the LTF - Lower timeframe. 📍 BearishLTF Range within HTF Range Analyze HTF range and define models, then drop it to your TF and trade your ranges with the HTF range. Always follow the same process only on the LTF - Lower timeframe. Now, practice that, you have one trading framework which you can apply to all timeframes and scale it down, means you are looking at the markets with always same approach and this receptiveness give you confidence and clarity = MASTERY ✨Trading Mastery is reflection of your life Have a longterm plan, No Alcohol & Drugs, Ignore others, Focus on your journey , Backtest regularly, Review your weeks, Journal mistakes, Exercise, Sleep well, Read books, Walks in nature (no phone) , Meditate, Reduce social media time, Spend time with family, Live Life. Trading is hard, but not impossible. I believe in you 💪 David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter
GEMINI:BTCUSDEducation
by David_Perk
18