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Bitcoin Hits Critical Support — Is Another Dump Coming?As I expected in the previous idea , Bitcoin has broken through its support lines and declined to the support zone($86,300-$85,140), reaching its full target in the process. Currently, Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the support zone($86,300-$85,140), and we need to watch whether it will break through this support or begin to rebound. Before diving into the analysis, it’s important to note that Bitcoin has a strong correlation with the S&P 500 index( SP:SPX ). Given that the S&P 500 is currently in a downward trend, it’s likely that Bitcoin will also experience further declines. From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that Bitcoin is currently starting a new five-wave downward sequence following the break of its support lines, which could lead to even lower levels. Looking at recent developments, one reason for Bitcoin’s decline is the selling pressure from long-term holders, which has created a quiet but significant downward pressure and challenged the support levels. Additionally, the state of the U.S. markets, with the S&P 500 index also trending down, contributes to the downward pressure on Bitcoin. In conclusion, I expect that Bitcoin, upon entering the resistance zone($89,230-$87,720) and touching the resistance lines, will again face downward movement and aim for the support zone($86,300-$85,140). If it breaks that support zone, we could see it moving towards Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($85,300-$83,000). Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $89,000-$88,500 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $91,830-$90,000 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,400-$97,000 Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the $83,000 mark with strong momentum, we might expect it to reach even lower levels, potentially down to $80,000. Do you think Bitcoin can break the support zone($86,300-$85,140)? First Target: $85,540 Second Target: $84,229 Stop Loss(SL): $90,429(Worst) Points may shift as the market evolves 💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely. 📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame. 🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open. ✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too! 🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Short
by pejman_zwin
48
Liquidity Sweep: All the Info You Ever Need to ConquerHi whats up guys, today lets try to do it in a bullet points instead of writing my stories. • Liquidity is the reason price moves. • Markets move toward areas where orders are stacked. • Most orders sit above highs and below lows. • That’s why price keeps attacking those areas again and again. 🧪 What a liquidity sweep really is • A liquidity sweep is a move beyond a clear high or low. • Its purpose is to trigger clustered stop losses. • It is not personal and not about your stop. • It is required so larger players can enter or exit positions. 🧪 Why most traders get caught • Traders enter at obvious levels inside ranges. • They usually use tight stop loss • These areas become liquidity pools. • Price must visit them before a real move starts. 🧪 Double tops and bottoms • Repeated reactions are not strength. • They are preparation. • Every touch builds more resting stops. • Triple tops and bottoms are even more attractive. • Never enter before price runs into them. 🧪 How I read market structure • I don’t focus on patterns in isolation. • I focus on where liquidity is being collected. • Structure is simply the path price takes to grab orders. • The real move usually starts after the sweep. 1️⃣ USDCHF Sweep and Long - CIOD confirmation click picture👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDCHF/2AbnD2TR-USDCHF-I-Daily-CLS-range-I-Key-Level-FVG-I-HTF-CLS/ 2️⃣ USDJPY Sweep andLong - CIOD confirmation - Click picture 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDJPY/j18Eh18R-USDJPY-Weekly-CLS-I-Key-Level-OB-Model-1/ 3️⃣ AUDUSD Turtle Sweep and short - CIOD confirmation click picture👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AUDUSD/YzC7vNOf-AUDUSD-I-Daily-CLS-range-I-Manipulation-I-Short/ 📌 Up Trend - Trade Stop Hunt (LQ Sweep) buy below the lows – Highs are broken – Lows are respected – Liquidity below is being cleaned 📌 Down Trend - Trade Stop hunts (LQ Sweep) sell above the highs – Lows are broken – Highs are respected – Liquidity above is being cleaned 🧪 Stop hunts are not random • Quick wicks at range extremes are intentional. • Trendline breaks often appear before reversals. • Breakout traders provide liquidity. • The move after the stop hunt is what matters. 1️⃣ EURUSD Short Click picture below to see how price action formed 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/vgXOeYfG-EURUSD-Daily-Range-LQ-taken-Rates-cut-was-priced-in/ 2️⃣ GBPUSD Short Click picture below to see how price action formed 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/GBPUSD/FKtc84k9-GBPUSD-Daily-CLS-Liqudity-taken-Model-1-Oposing-side-target/ 3️⃣ USDCHF Long Click picture below to see how price action formed 👇https://www.tradingview.com/chart/USDCHF/WrvLuU3j-USDCHF-Daily-CLS-Model-Long-from-KL-rates-cut-is-priced-in/ It's effective because it capitalizes on the retail traders classic mistakes- FOMO and trading break out of the highs and selling the lows. While market makers are doing the opposite (don't get me wrong, Im also retail trader and you are too) trading so called smart money concepts doesn't make us smart money traders. 🧪 How I use stop hunts • I never enter at the first touch of a level. • I wait for price to go through it. • Only after the sweep do I look for entries. • This gives better timing and tighter risk. 📌 Bearish Scenario - (LTF view) - price (yellow has structured movements and should be crating AMD profiles on the edge of the range. We need to drop to LTF to read the structure. 📌 Bullish Scenario ITF view - Price should not have candle close below the range on the same timeframe otherwise setup is invalidated and new range created. 🧪 Where liquidity sweeps matter most • Range highs and lows • Previous week high or low • Clear swing extremes • Higher-timeframe key levels • Daily and weekly ranges 🧪 CLS strategy connection • Liquidity sweep is the foundation of my CLS approach. • Fake breakouts create urgency and FOMO. • Late buyers and sellers get trapped. • I trade against that behavior. 🧠 Having mechanical system with backtested data is your EDGE. 💪 That is what makes you DISCIPLINED TRADER. 📌 Bullish continuation setups Model 1 - Entry after manipulation - 50% target Model 2 - Entry on pullback on level between 61.8 - 80% pullback 📌 Bearish Continuation setups Model 1 - Entry after manipulation - 50% target Model 2 - Entry on pullback on level between 61.8 - 80% pullback 🧪 Manipulation phase • No manipulation means no institutional move. • Liquidity must be taken first. • Big candles after sweeps signal readiness. • That is where opportunity appears. 🧪 Basic CLS workflow • Define higher-timeframe trend • Define the range near a key level • Wait for price to sweep the high or low • No candle close outside the range on that timeframe • Enter only after manipulation 📌 Bullish LTF Range within HTF Range Analyze HTF range and define models, then drop it to your TF and trade your ranges with the HTF range. Always follow the same process only on the LTF - Lower timeframe. 📌 BearishLTF Range within HTF Range Analyze HTF range and define models, then drop it to your TF and trade your ranges with the HTF range. Always follow the same process only on the LTF - Lower timeframe. 🧪 Why this approach fixes psychology • Rules remove hesitation • Backtesting builds confidence • Losses become expected data points • Overtrading naturally disappears 🧪 Brief note on SMT • Sometimes price moves without LQ sweep its because of SMT • In other words Sweep has happen on correlated pair so it doesn't have to happen on the we are looking for. • If it’s not at a key level, I ignore it. 📌 SMT EURUSD and GBPUSD Example GU - just shallow manipulation but creates clean OB EU - Deeper manipulation but OB created later. 🧪 Final perspective • Liquidity is sweep / Stop hunt / manipulation is happening ona key levels where mostly traders enters false break to the wrong side and those who has been right are now taken out. 📌 Example of manipulation Less informed traders bought early and other group of Turtles selling the break out of the lows, they are wrong on the lows. Sellers were used as liqudity and buyers are now trapped in the long where price reverse against them. I promised myself I’d become the person I once needed the most as a beginner. Below are links to a powerful lessons I shared on Tradingview. Hope it can help you avoid years of trial and error I went thru. 📊 Sharpen your trading Strategy ⚙️ 100% Mechanical System - Complete Strategy 🔁 Daily Bias – Continuation 🔄 Daily Bias – Reversal 🧱 Key Level – Order Block 📉 How to Buy Lows and Sell Highs 🎯 Dealing Range – Enter on pullbacks 💧 Liquidity – Basics to understand 🕒 Timeframe Alignments 🚫 Market Narratives – Avoid traps 🐢 Turtle Soup Master – High reward method 🧘 How to stop overcomplicating trading 🕰️ Day Trading Cheat Code – Sessions 🇬🇧 London Session Trading 🔍 SMT Divergence – Secret Smart Money signal 📐 Standard Deviations – Predict future targets 🎣 Stop Hunt Trading 🧠 Level Up your Mindset 🛕 Monk Mode – Transition from 9–5 to full-time trading ⚠️ Trading Enemies – Habits that destroy success 🔄 Trader’s Routine – Build discipline daily 💪 Get Funded - $20 000 Monthly Plan 🛡️ Risk Management 🏦 Risk Management for Prop Trading 📏 Risk in % or Fixed Position Size 🔐 Risk Per Trade – Keep consistency Adapt what is useful. Reject what is not. Add something of your own. David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
Education
by David_Perk
27
$USDT Dominance Is it really different this time?CRYPTOCAP:USDT has broken a major resistance across multiple timeframes, showing clear strength. Technically, this is not a positive sign for CRYPTOCAP:BTC and other altcoins. Tether has been in an uptrend for the last 75 days. A reversal could be around the corner in Q1 2025, but for now, the structure does not favour the bulls. This is not FUD; it's simply clear observations based on the chart. There has been no major altcoin season this year. Every KOL, including myself, has been wrong in calling an altseason so far. Is it really different this time? Only time will tell. Do share your views in the comments and hit the like button if you like it. Thank you #PEACE
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by Cryptorphic
9
Lingrid | GOLD Price Action Continues Range-BoundOANDA:XAUUSD remains supported above the trendline after rejecting lower prices, with recent pullbacks failing to break the higher-low sequence. Price is compressing beneath the upper resistance band, suggesting absorption rather than distribution, while the broader structure still favors continuation within the ascending channel. Momentum has cooled, but selling pressure appears contained so far. If buyers continue to protect the 4,300 support cluster, gold could gradually push back toward the 4,360 resistance area, where a breakout attempt may emerge. Sustained acceptance above that zone could open room for a renewed extension higher. ➡️ Primary scenario: support holds at 4,300 → advance toward 4,360. ⚠️ Risk scenario: a decisive breakdown below may weaken the bullish structure and shift focus back to deeper support. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
13
GOLD - Consolidation amid a bullish trend. To ATH?FX:XAUUSD , after retesting its ATH (to the 4375 zone), is falling amid weak US inflation data. The dollar is strengthening, but despite this, gold is in a bullish trend. US inflation (CPI) for November was lower than expected, but Trump's statements about the future “dovish” Fed chair are limiting the decline in gold. The market continues to expect the Fed to ease policy in 2026. Today, data on the US consumer confidence index will be released. Short-term pressure remains, but the fundamental background does not allow us to talk about a trend reversal. The market structure is bullish, but there is a magnet zone below: 4310 - 4300. MM is likely to test it before moving towards ATH and updating highs... Resistance levels: 4330, 4353, 4375 Support levels: 4308, 4300, 4291 The dollar is forming a temporary correction due to fundamental factors. A weak dollar will support gold... The 4308-4300 zone is a liquidity pool, and the market may test this area amid the dollar correction. A long squeeze could bring the market back to growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
9
BTC – Weak Rebound Below EMAs, Bias Still Toward CorrectionHello everyone, Domic here. Looking at BTC on the H4 timeframe right now, the overall feeling is not panic — but there is certainly nothing reassuring either. Price is trading around 85,700 USD, sitting firmly below both the EMA34 and EMA89, and that alone already says a lot about the current market condition. Since mid-month, a lower high – lower low structure has become fairly clear. The rebound we are seeing at the moment is essentially just a technical pullback after the prior sharp sell-off, as price attempts to climb back up and retest resistance. However, BTC has still failed to reclaim the EMA34, which shows that buying pressure is not strong enough to regain short-term control. At this stage, EMA34 acts as an overhead pressure ceiling, while EMA89 remains the key boundary defining the H4 trend. As long as price stays below both of these moving averages, the market should still be viewed from a defensive perspective. On the macro and news side, BTC is not being driven by any crypto-specific shock, but rather by broader macro conditions and the risk-on / risk-off environment. The Fed continues to signal higher rates for longer, making it difficult for risk assets to attract fresh inflows. US Treasury yields remain elevated, pushing short-term capital toward the USD and bonds instead of crypto. US equities are undergoing a mild correction, and BTC, at this stage, is still moving quite in sync with the broader risk asset complex. In addition, inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have cooled significantly compared to the earlier surge, further weakening the price support. From my perspective, as long as BTC remains below the EMA34, any upward move should still be treated as a rebound into resistance. And while price stays below the EMA89, the H4 trend remains in a corrective state.
by DomicChaina
18
Bitcoin’s Next Move Starts Here Key Levels MappedBTC is currently in a technically critical phase. Price is trading below a major dynamic trendline resistance after a confirmed bearish break, keeping the broader structure corrective rather than impulsive. Momentum remains capped unless bulls reclaim key dynamic levels. The plan from here is straightforward and scenario-based: A. If price retraces into the Immediate Dynamic Trendline (IDT) and gets rejected again, that rejection becomes a high-probability short trigger. In that case, downside continuation toward the Demand Pool Zone (DPZ) is expected to complete leg 5 of the corrective wave. This zone is where I would anticipate strong accumulation and a relief rally, targeting a move back into the Supply Pool Zone (SPZ). B. Alternatively, if BTC breaks and holds above the IDT, momentum should accelerate to the upside, with the Supply Pool Zone remaining the primary upside target, exactly as mapped on the chart. What happens at the Supply Pool is decisive. If bulls fail to hold price and we see a strong rejection, that would confirm distribution and could trigger a complete bearish expansion, opening the door to much deeper targets, potentially toward the $50k region. Market is at a decision point. Are you bullish or bearish from here? Let’s discuss your view
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by weslad
6
NQ Range (12-19-25)NAZ Overnight X Games may just pull it off. We are going into probably the final Friday-Monday Long Play of the year. This with the added volatility of contract changes and expirations. The current and previous Overnight session have been keeping the NAZ above the Danger Zone. Looking for the F-M play to try to push higher and if not, look for a drop back into lower CZ below (25,339 -24,910). Yellow arrow is Open Drive Range. The 12/17, 600 point drop was follow up with the typical 85% retracement the following day and primarily from the Extreme Rig of the O/N. Usually a 2% plus drop in the NAZ will take days to retrace the 85%, this one was juiced immediately for some reason. Will be leaving early today, will update what I can.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by MAZing
7
PEPEUSDT may turn downward after correctionThe local downtrend is breaking the support of the trading range. Consolidation below 0.003955 will be a strong signal of readiness to continue falling. There are no bullish volumes, nor is there any buyer reaction. The local trend has a strong structure. The movement is occurring in “steps,” which indicates that MM is gathering another position before each fall. A retest of the range boundary or downward resistance could increase sales, leading to a fall. Scenario: a retest of 0.003955 - 0.0040 and a false breakout will be a signal for a short position.
Short
by AndeWave
28
ETHUSD – 2H Chart PatternETHUSD – 2H Chart Pattern Based on the 2H chart my shared: Current price: around 2,950 Price is below the trendline and inside a bearish structure Momentum is downward, rejection from resistance 🎯 Sell Targets Target 1: 2,800 Target 2: 2,650 Final / Extended Target: 2,500 (marked target point on my chart) 🛑 Resistance / Stop-Loss Area Resistance: 3,050 – 3,100 Invalidation / SL: above 3,150 📉 Bias Bearish while price stays below 3,100
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by XAUxBTC_Pro
6
Gold 1H – CPI Data Uncertainty Fuels Liquidity Traps at Extremes🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (19/12) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading in a tightly engineered range as markets digest the latest U.S. CPI print, which has drawn caution from economists over data reliability and seasonal distortions. Despite headline inflation showing signs of cooling, analysts warn the data lacks clarity, keeping the Fed firmly data-dependent and USD flows unstable. This uncertainty-driven backdrop favors liquidity manipulation over clean trends, with Smart Money likely probing both premium and discount zones to trigger stops before committing to expansion. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (1H) Current Phase: Rising structure losing momentum near premium supply Key Idea: Expect liquidity interaction at 4363–4365 (premium) or 4300–4298 (discount) before displacement Structural Notes: • Higher-timeframe bullish BOS remains valid but is pausing • Multiple rejections near highs suggest distribution, not confirmed reversal • Equal highs above 4360 and sell-side liquidity below 4300 are exposed • Price is rotating inside a controlled liquidity channel Liquidity Zones & Triggers: • 🔴 SELL GOLD 4363 – 4365 | SL 4370 • 🟢 BUY GOLD 4300 – 4298 | SL 4290 Institutional Flow Expectation: liquidity sweep → MSS / CHoCH → BOS → displacement → FVG / OB retest → expansion 🎯 Execution Rules (matching your exact zones) 🔴 SELL GOLD 4363 – 4365 | SL 4370 Rules: ✔ Sweep above recent equal highs into premium ✔ Bearish MSS / CHoCH on M5–M15 ✔ Clear downside BOS with impulsive displacement ✔ Entry via bearish FVG refill or refined supply OB Targets: 1. 4340 2. 4320 3. 4302 – extension if USD firms post-CPI reassessment 🟢 BUY GOLD 4300 – 4298 | SL 4290 Rules: ✔ Liquidity grab below sell-side lows / channel support ✔ Bullish MSS / CHoCH confirms demand control ✔ Upside BOS with strong bullish displacement ✔ Entry via bullish FVG fill or demand OB retest Targets: 1. 4325 2. 4350 3. 4380 – extension if CPI skepticism weakens USD ⚠️ Risk Notes • CPI-related uncertainty increases fake breaks — wait for structure • No entry without MSS + BOS confirmation • Expect volatility during U.S. session • Reduce risk near unscheduled Fed or inflation commentary 📍 Summary Today’s gold setup is driven by CPI-driven uncertainty and Fed caution, creating prime conditions for liquidity engineering: • A sweep above 4365 may fade toward 4300–4320 or • A liquidity grab near 4300 could reload bullish flow toward 4350+ Let structure confirm — Smart Money reacts, retail anticipates. ⚡️ 📌 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money gold breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
14
US30 Price consolidation bearish momentumUS30 Dow Jones price action within a rising channel structure. The index has respected the ascending trendline multiple times, confirming an overall bullish trend in recent weeks. After reaching a local high near the upper boundary of the channel, price began to show signs of weakness and consolidation. The current movement suggests a potential corrective pullback, with price struggling to hold above key resistance zones around 48,200–48,500. Technically price, possibly forming a lower high before a stronger bearish continuation. Key downside targets are 47,500 to 47,000 Current trend exhaustion phase, with increasing probability of a corrective move toward lower support levels before any potential trend continuation. You may find more details in the chart, Trade wisely best of luck Buddies. Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis thanks for supporting.
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by MrMartin_11
17
Bitcoin Tests Resistance - Downside Risk Toward $85,700Hello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTC/USD based on the current chart structure. After a prolonged bearish move inside a clearly defined descending channel, Bitcoin attempted a recovery and managed to break out of the channel. However, this upside move lacked strong follow-through. Price entered a consolidation range, where multiple reactions and fake breakouts signaled distribution rather than accumulation. This behavior suggested that sellers were still active at higher levels. Following the range, BTC formed a triangle structure, capped by a descending Triangle Resistance Line and supported by a rising Triangle Support Line. Price has been compressing within this structure, but recent attempts to push higher were rejected near the 88,500 Resistance Level (TP1), confirming strong selling pressure at this zone. Currently, BTC is trading near the upper boundary of the triangle, where sellers continue to defend resistance. As long as price remains below the Triangle Resistance Line and fails to reclaim 88,500, the bearish scenario remains in play. My scenario: I expect a rejection from the triangle resistance, followed by a move back toward the 85,700 Support Level, which aligns with both horizontal support and the lower triangle boundary. A clean breakdown below 85,700 would confirm bearish continuation and open the door for a deeper decline. Only a strong breakout and hold above 88,500 would invalidate this short setup. For now, the market favors sellers below resistance, with 88,500 as key resistance and 85,700 as the main downside target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by LegionQ8
11
XAUUSD – The UP Trend Is Still Well ProtectedThe gold market is no longer asking “will it go up or not” — the real question now is how the rally unfolds . When we combine the news backdrop with the price structure on the chart, the bullish picture of XAUUSD becomes increasingly clear. On the fundamental side , recent U.S. economic data shows a cooling labor market , while expectations for the Fed to continue easing monetary policy remain intact . Yields and the USD are not strong enough to trigger a deep sell-off, and safe-haven demand is still present. This creates a solid macro foundation supporting higher gold prices, rather than a random technical bounce. From a technical perspective , the uptrend remains clean and well-structured: • Price is above the Ichimoku cloud, and the cloud is sloping upward → the primary trend remains bullish. • The 4,300 zone is acting as both a dynamic and psychological support, where price has just pulled back and reacted positively. • The long-term ascending trendline remains intact → the Higher Low structure is still preserved. The most logical scenario at this stage is consolidation above 4,300, followed by a continuation toward the 4,380 – 4,390 zone, where the upper trendline resistance converges. This is a classic behavior of a strong market: no sharp sell-offs, no panic — just a pause before the next leg higher. 👉 In summary: The UPTREND in XAUUSD continues to dominate. As long as 4,300 holds, any pullback should be viewed as a trend-following opportunity, not a reversal signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Paradise_Noir
30
GBPUSD - Relief Rally Into Resistance? Sellers Watching Closely📉GBPUSD remains overall bearish on the higher timeframe. Price is still trading within a descending structure, and the broader trend continues to favor sellers rather than buyers. The recent upside move is best viewed as a corrective bounce, not a trend reversal. Price is now approaching a key confluence zone, where the former structure, horizontal resistance, and the descending trendline align. This is the type of location where trend-following shorts become interesting. I’m not interested in selling blindly, but rather in waiting for lower-timeframe bearish confirmation once price reacts at this resistance zone. ⚔️As long as price remains below the descending trendline and fails to reclaim the range above, the bearish bias stays intact. A clean break and hold above this resistance would be the only thing that forces a reassessment. For now, this looks like sellers getting another chance at a better price. Will this resistance cap the move once again, or do bulls finally break the structure? 🤔 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management. Good luck! 🍀 All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Short
by TheSignalyst
7
EURUSD: Rejection From Key Resistance - Support 1.1660 in FocusHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current EURUSD setup. Market Analysis EURUSD is trading within a broader corrective structure, and the current price action suggests increasing bearish pressure near key resistance. Earlier, the pair formed a triangle structure, where price respected both the Triangle Resistance Line and the Triangle Support Line. Multiple breakouts occurred during this phase, but they failed to generate sustained bullish continuation, indicating weakening buyer momentum. After breaking out of the triangle, EURUSD moved higher and entered a consolidation range, where price paused and built liquidity. This range was later resolved to the upside, pushing price into the Resistance Zone around 1.1750. However, this move was followed by a fake breakout, signaling that buyers failed to maintain control above resistance. At the highs, a clear Head and Shoulders pattern has formed, with the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder developing directly under the descending trend line and within the resistance zone. This structure highlights strong seller presence and confirms rejection from higher levels. Price is now rolling over from resistance and starting to move lower. Currently, EURUSD is pulling back toward the Support Zone around 1.1660, which aligns with previous breakout levels and horizontal demand. This area is acting as the nearest downside target, and price reaction here will be critical. My Scenario & Strategy My scenario is bearish as long as EURUSD remains capped below the 1.1750 Resistance Zone and the descending trend line. I expect continuation to the downside toward the 1.1660 Support Zone, which represents the next key level for buyers to attempt a defense. A clean breakdown below the support zone would confirm further bearish continuation and open the path for deeper downside movement. However, if price reaches support and shows a strong bullish reaction, a short-term bounce or consolidation may occur. For now, the structure favors sellers, with 1.1750 as key resistance and 1.1660 as the main downside target. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Short
by Ratner
8
"ETH/USDT Forecast""ETH/USDT Forecast" The market shows evidence of strong participation earlier, where price moved with speed and consistency, reflecting clear intent. That phase established direction and control without prolonged hesitation. As price progressed, momentum began to ease. Movement slowed, reactions became more frequent, and volatility compressed. This change indicates a shift from active pressure to evaluation, where participants reduced aggression and allowed price to stabilize. The subsequent recovery unfolded in a measured and uneven manner. Advances were short, overlapping, and lacked continuation, suggesting limited commitment behind higher prices. Opposing flow remained active, preventing expansion. Currently, price behavior is defined by balance and compression. Activity reflects positioning rather than resolution. Until behavior shifts from overlap to decisive movement, the market remains in a waiting state, with continuation favored once imbalance returns.
Short
by XAU_EMPIRE
9
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: That was a mic drop moment again this week with the plan working well. We got the high, the low with the tap and bounce, the target level on the red box break and then what a RIP from that level! Now we have support at the 4330 level with the order region in play and resistance at the 4350 level. Long wick being left here on the 4H so a retest above could be on the cards in the coming session. For us, it's a job well done and with it being Friday and witching day before the Xmas break, it's best to take it easy tomorrow. From Camelot this morning: RED BOXES: Break above 4340 for 4351✅, 4355✅, 4365✅ and 4370✅ in extension of the move Break below 4320 for 4315, 4310, 4304 and 4390 in extension of the move As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
14
You Don’t Lose by Being Wrong — You Lose by OveranalyzingYour problem isn’t that you don’t understand the market. In fact, most losing traders understand the market fairly well. They know what a trend is, where key levels sit, and which side the structure is leaning toward. But when it’s time to make a decision, they sabotage that edge with something very familiar: just a little more analysis. At first, everything is clear. The chart tells a simple story. Then doubt creeps in. You zoom into another timeframe. Add another zone. Add another tool. Not because the market demands it, but because you’re not ready to accept the risk of a decision. And with every extra layer of analysis, you don’t gain more certainty — you create another narrative. This is the key point many traders miss: the market hasn’t changed — the story in your head has. When you overanalyze, you’re no longer reading the market; you’re negotiating with yourself. One timeframe says buy, another says wait. One level looks valid, another suddenly looks dangerous. In the end, you’re no longer searching for a good opportunity — you’re searching for reasons to delay or reverse a decision. And by the time you enter, you’re either late or lacking conviction. Overanalysis also destroys your sense of informational weight. On a chart, not all data carries equal value. A price level in the right context is worth more than ten minor signals. But when everything is marked, everything looks “important,” and you lose sight of what’s actually worth risking money on. The market needs prioritization, not enumeration. Here’s an uncomfortable truth: Many traders overanalyze not because they’re curious, but because they’re afraid to commit. They fear being wrong, so they look for more confirmation. But the market doesn’t reward the trader with the most confirmations. It rewards the trader who accepts risk at the right location. Every time you delay a decision through analysis, you move yourself further away from that location. I only started trading better when I realized this: analysis is not meant to make decisions certain — it’s meant to make them reasonable. Beyond that point, what matters is discipline and acceptance of outcomes. The market doesn’t require you to be right 100% of the time. It only requires that you don’t break your own structure. If you often find yourself “right on direction but wrong on results,” try cutting back on analysis. Not to oversimplify the market, but to clarify what truly matters. When the picture is already clear, adding detail doesn’t make it better — it just makes you hesitate. And in trading, hesitation is often more expensive than being wrong.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by DomicChaina
5
Rambling off about Mitsubishi Heavy IndustriesAs you can see by the title of this idea it will be me writing about a company i think is interesting. It might end up being a lengthy read but I don't know how much I will manage to write before I get bored or covered all the topics I think are important from an investors point of view because I want to try and stay on topic when I write my ideas as best I can. Don't think that this is some kind of trading advice because its not, actually it makes me upset when people ask me to tell them if I think the price of a stock or index will go up or down. I can say that I wouldn't buy it if I didn't think it would go up, but I don't know when it will go up. Looking at the valuation of the stock first, it appears to be quite overvalued and I'm going to hold off on buying it for awhile. There's a few reasons why I am going to wait to buy it, the first reason actually is because I only wanted to allocated 1 or 2 percent of my portfolio to the stock and for some reason right now it is prohibited to open a new position on the depository receipts. I would already start buying the stock if this was not the case but there's nothing I can do except wait for the trading permission to be available again. Like I said the stock is also very overvalued right now, there's really not any realistic room for upside in the near future. Granted that would not have stopped me from buying it, I probably would have still bought it if the OTC exchange would have allowed me because I just want to own the stock and price is not the most important thing to me when making these decisions. I have started expanding my knowledge beyond most conventional ideas and have made my way into the Japanese stock market. Since I worked in the industries for a majority of my life I can't help but find the Japanese stock market incredibly interesting to me. I feel like a lot of the companies are major industrial entities in the world, I think most people might overlook the importance of some of the companies that trade on the Tokyo stock exchange. Mitsubishi Group is actually a vast conglomerate company which expands across hundreds of companies. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries is responsible for managing its business operations in sectors like aerospace, defense, energy and heavy machinery, which also happen to align with my personal preference of companies that I like to invest in. As you can see I have added some photos to my idea and I'm not trying to offend anyone when I posted photos of airplanes but this is one of the core business operations of the company and I have to say what I want to. That being said I also added some other photos of Mitsubishi products. The company is famously an engineering company at its core, I don't want to write too much about the history of the company even though I probably can dedicated several paragraphs to just that. I am going off topic a little bit here so I am going to go back on topic and now write about some of the ways Mitsubishi Heavy Industries uses capital in their business. This is a key element for every investor to pay attention to when deciding whether they will buy shares of a stock or not. Since the company is a conglomerate it will be pretty straight forward, there's really nothing special about how they utilize capital, pretty much the same as other conglomerate companies. I wrote an idea about Berkshire Hathaway some time ago and I think that is a text book example of how an ideal conglomerate company would want to utilize capital. Mitsubishi is a little different though because they are actually an industrial company and not a financial company like Berkshire. So its like comparing apples to oranges essentially. It would be safe to assume the business model for Mitsubishi Heavy Industries is so incredibly complicated and need I say, unpredictable but I would also use words like reliable or necessary. Since I worked in heavy industries for along time I know it well and its easy for me to interpret the things I think will make the company money over a long period of time. I am starting to feel like it would make me bored to try and write about the specific elements of capital allocation now. In all seriousness I really just like the company and that's why I decided to write this idea today. I will probably keep exploring the Japanese stock market and might come up with more random ideas to share.
TSE:7011Long
by Capitalist_Zach
4