ADA Battles $0.82 – Can Bulls Break $0.87 Resistance?Cardano (ADA) is trading around $0.82–$0.83 on the 4H chart, holding above its key support but still capped under resistance. In today’s video, I focus only on the short-term price structure: support at $0.8157–$0.8014, deeper levels at $0.7724 and $0.7620, and resistance at $0.8484, $0.8710, and $0.9347. A breakout above $0.8710 would be a key step for ADA to confirm recovery momentum.
The mid-term bias remains for more upside, but ADA must prove strength step by step. With Bitcoin showing bullish signals this morning and today’s NFP release increasing volatility, ADA’s reaction at these levels will define whether bulls can take control or if we see another retest of support.
Adausd
Cardano (ADAUSD) key support at 7920The ADAUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 7920 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 7920 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
9345 – initial resistance
9617 – psychological and structural level
9900 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 7920 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
7611 – minor support
7290 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the ADAUSD holds above 7920. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
ADA Buy/Long Setup (1D)Cardano, in our view, is currently within a major bullish structure, with wave D having just completed.
It now appears that the price is inside bullish wave E.
We have identified two specific entry levels for re-entering Cardano. At each entry level, you can take one step into a buy position.
The target is around \$1.20.
Please note that this analysis is based on the daily timeframe, so it may take some time to play out.
The invalidation level is the same as our stop loss. If this level is reached, the setup will be invalidated.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ADA/USDT — Breakout & Retest at a Critical Fibonacci Zone!
Currently, Cardano (ADA/USDT) is at a decisive point on the 3D timeframe, where price has just broken out of a mid-term downtrend line and is now retesting a very strong support area.
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🔎 Technical Structure & Pattern
Downtrend line has been broken to the upside → sign of trend reversal.
Price is retesting a confluence support zone (0.78 – 0.83) consisting of:
Historical support/resistance (yellow box).
Fibonacci retracement 0.5 (0.8217) and 0.618 (0.7955).
This setup forms a classic “breakout & retest” pattern — where old resistance potentially flips into new support. If it holds, ADA could confirm a mid-term bullish continuation.
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🟢 Bullish Scenario
If the price holds and closes above 0.795–0.821, bullish momentum remains valid.
Potential upside targets:
R1 = 0.9364 (short-term swing target).
R2 = 1.1213 (strong confirmation of trend shift).
R3 = 1.2152 (key resistance before major highs).
R4 = 1.3262 (major high & psychological zone).
In this scenario, ADA could stage a significant rally if market sentiment supports it.
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🔴 Bearish Scenario
If the price breaks down below 0.7955 (Fib 0.618), the bullish setup may turn into a false breakout.
Downside targets to watch:
Previous consolidation range around 0.60–0.70.
Deeper support near 0.44.
Worst-case scenario: retesting the major low at 0.27.
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📌 Conclusion
ADA is currently at a make-or-break level.
As long as price holds above 0.795–0.821, the bias remains bullish with targets at 0.94 – 1.12 in the mid-term.
A failure to hold this zone would shift bias to bearish, opening the way for deeper corrections.
Traders should closely monitor price action & volume around this retest, as it will determine ADA’s next big move.
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📝 Notes
Always apply risk management (stop-loss & position sizing).
Wait for 3D/weekly candle close confirmation.
This is technical analysis, not financial advice.
#Cardano #ADA #ADAUSDT #CryptoBreakout #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #Altcoins #CryptoSetup
ADA Cardano Equilibrium Pullback and Possible Trade Opportunity🔵 ADA (Cardano) on the weekly timeframe is holding a strong bullish trend 📈. We can see price has retraced into the Fibonacci 50–61.8% zone 🔢, which is typically a pullback into equilibrium ⚖️—an area often considered an ideal continuation entry in line with the trend.
👀 My bias remains long, but let’s break it down further:
📊 On the 4H chart, price action suggests a potential base forming—possibly big money accumulation 💼💰. That said, we don’t yet have a decisive break above to confirm.
🔎 Zooming into the 30M chart, the recent downtrend has been compromised with a shift in structure to the upside 🔄📈. What I’m waiting for now is:
1️⃣ An expansion above the previous high
2️⃣ A retracement and retest
3️⃣ A potential buy opportunity in alignment with trend ✅
This setup also aligns with a possible Wyckoff accumulation 📚—we’ve got relative equal lows, and a liquidity spike below could create a springboard for more bullish activity 🌱🚀.
⚠️ This is purely educational and not financial advice 🔒
Cardano corrective pullback, support at 7920The ADAUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 7920 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 7920 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
9345 – initial resistance
9617 – psychological and structural level
9900 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 7920 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
7611 – minor support
7290 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the ADAUSD holds above 7920. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Cardano ADAUSD uptrend continuation support at 8,220The ADAUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 8,220 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 8,220 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
9,340 – initial resistance
9,620 – psychological and structural level
9,900 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 8,220 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
7,920 – minor support
7,610 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the ADAUSD holds above 8,220. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
ADA : BUY OR SELL?Hello friends
Well, after the decline we had, the price was able to create a small channel in the specified support area, which indicates the accumulation of the price, and if the support is maintained and the channel is broken, the price can move to the specified targets.
Otherwise, and if the support is broken, the decline will continue with a valid formation...
*Trade safely with us*
Cardano broke the triangle ┆ HolderStatBINANCE:ADAUSDT on the 8h timeframe broke cleanly out of a triangle pattern around $0.85. The market had earlier respected support from a falling channel and is now showing a bullish structure of higher lows. Continuation above $0.88 could trigger a rally toward $0.95 and $1.00, while maintaining $0.84 as the key invalidation level.
Cardano Price To Bounce As IOHK Audit Report Nears ReleaseBINANCE:ADAUSDT price is currently $0.85 , holding steady above the $0.83 support level. The Ichimoku Cloud shows a bullish outlook, suggesting positive momentum for ADA. Investors are keeping a close eye on price movements, with potential for further gains if market conditions remain favorable for the altcoin.
A key catalyst for potential price growth is the upcoming audit report of Input Output Global’s ADA holdings. Charles Hoskinson, BINANCE:ADAUSDT founder, requested the audit to address transparency concerns after allegations of $600 million in misappropriated ADA . The report could play a crucial role in boosting investor confidence and market sentiment.
If the audit report meets investor expectations, BINANCE:ADAUSDT could see a price increase, potentially pushing it to $0.90. Successfully securing this level as support may pave the way for further gains, reaching $1.00. Such a move would solidify Cardano's position and help avoid a drop below the $0.83 support level.
Cardano (ADA/USD) — Macro TA & Maximum Price OutlookADA is currently trading near $0.92–0.88, holding above its base structure after breaking out from the multi-year consolidation. Trend bias remains bullish as long as weekly closes stay above $0.74–0.78.
Key Support Levels
$0.78–0.82 → nearest support (EMA + breakout retest)
$0.68–0.70 → secondary support
$0.62 → major cycle defense
Resistance & Targets
$0.94–1.00 → immediate supply
$1.32 → Fib 0.382 retrace
$1.66 → Fib 0.50 retrace
$2.00 → Fib 0.618 retrace
$2.50 → next structural cap
$3.00–3.10 → ATH retest
Maximum High This Cycle: $6.00–6.60 (≈1,400–1,500% from cycle base, consistent with diminishing returns model
Cardano is in the early stages of Wave 5 expansion after years of accumulation.
Short-term targets: $1.32–1.66.
Mid-term: $2.00–2.50.
Macro top potential: $6.0–6.6 this cycle.
📌 Bias = Bullish above $0.78, invalidated below $0.70.
DeGRAM | ADAUSD is testing the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● ADAUSD recently bounced off a rising support line near $0.85, staying within a broader ascending channel. The initial rebound sets sights on the key resistance at $1.02 (formerly a breakout zone).
● A breakout above this $1.02 level would confirm upward momentum and could propel ADA toward $1.10–$1.15, in line with the channel’s upper boundary and prior swing highs.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Regulatory clarity under the Clarity Act reclassified ADA as a commodity, boosting institutional confidence. Grayscale's ADA ETF approval odds now sit at 80–83%, backed by $1.2 billion in ADA custodied by major firms.
● ADA futures volume has surged to a five‑month high of $7 billion, and DeFi TVL on Cardano has risen 56% to over $420 million—underscoring growing on‑chain demand.
✨ Summary
Bullish above $0.85; breakout above $1.02 targets $1.10 → $1.15. Invalidation triggers if price closes below $0.85.
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Cardano ADAUSD Bullish Energy Build up?The ADAUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 8,690 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 8,690 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
10,200 – initial resistance
10,800 – psychological and structural level
11,560 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 8,690 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
8,300 – minor support
7,910 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the ADAUSD holds above 8,690. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bitcoin September Seasonality: Correction in progress 100/110K Bitcoin is heading into September after recently printing a new ATH,
historically September is a red month, so expecting further mild losses
heading into September and limited upside, however, once the pattern
and correction is complete, we should see another bull run and mark up.
📊 Bitcoin September Seasonality (Last 10 Years: 2015–2024)
Yearly September Returns
Year 📈 Return
2024 🟢 +7.39%
2023 🟢 +3.99%
2022 🔴 −3.09%
2021 🔴 −7.03%
2020 🔴 −7.66%
2019 🔴 −13.88%
2018 🔴 −5.95%
2017 🔴 −7.72%
2016 🟢 +5.94%
2015 🟢 +2.52%
📌 At-a-glance stats (2015–2024)
📉 Mean (10-yr): −2.55%
⚖️ Median: −4.52%
🔴 Red months: 6 out of 10
❌ Worst September: 2019 (−13.88%)
✅ Best September: 2024 (+7.39%)
📅 Recent Performance (last 3 years)
2024: 🟢 +7.39% → Strongest September in a decade
2023: 🟢 +3.99% → Rare green month, breaking the red-seasonality myth
2022: 🔴 −3.09% → Modest dip during a bearish macro cycle
➡️ Average of last 3 years: 🟢 +2.8%
➡️ Average of last 5 years (2020–2024): 🔴 −1.3%
🔎 Key Insights
September Slump : Historically, September is known as a "red month" for Bitcoin, often averaging −4% to −6% declines. Over the last decade, the median return (−4.5%) aligns with this bearish narrative.
Volatility Factor: The spread between best (+7.39% in 2024) and worst (−13.88% in 2019) September is 21 percentage points, underlining Bitcoin’s volatility even within seasonal patterns.
Changing Trend? The last two years (2023 & 2024) both closed green — suggesting the September slump might be losing strength in the current cycle.
🚀 Macro & Market Context
2019–2020: Heavy red Septembers coincided with global macro uncertainty (trade wars, COVID jitters).
2021: Correction phase post-$64k BTC ATH saw September hit −7%.
2022: Ongoing bear market after Terra/LUNA & 3AC collapses kept September negative.
2023–2024: Renewed momentum, institutional inflows, and ETF speculation helped reverse September’s red streak.
🧭 Takeaway
While September has historically been Bitcoin’s weakest month, the last two years show signs of reversal. The broader trend reminds us that seasonality is a tendency, not a guarantee — macro cycles and catalysts often override calendar effects.
See if the price can hold above 0.8289-0.8836
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Have a great day.
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(ADAUSDT 1D chart)
From a trend perspective, the key is whether the price can hold by breaking above the first and second trend lines.
If the upward movement fails, we should check for support around 0.8289-0.8836.
Therefore, we should check whether the price remains above 0.8289-0.8836 after August 31st, which is ADA's volatile period.
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(1W chart)
To continue the cascading upward trend, the price must rise above 1.1936-1.3678 and remain there.
If it surges, it could rise to around 2.1150.
Since the volatile period on the 1W chart occurred around the week of November 10th, a downtrend is likely thereafter.
This is because a major bear market is expected to begin in 2026.
Therefore, if the HA-High indicator falls below 0.8836, you should stop trading and assess the situation.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
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