Amdshort
AMD Short setup $29.8 to $26ish. Fib/Horiz resistanceSide note, The magnitude of the bounce the US economy has had since the bottom in DEcember has been insane and unprecidented. I've never seen a bottom not get tested and just fly up vertically. Especially with poor GDP estimates and economic outlook data. I was pretty heavily short back in Feb, so that hurt a bit, but all you can do is learn from your mistakes and keep moving.
This is a self explanatory chart again. We're at the 0.786 fib retracement, and we're at a previous point of resistance from September 05 2018 at $29.94. We just went up almost 12% today, and it looks like a good time to pullback a bit in the next week. My stoploss is $31.
$AMD daily sale-offEveryone when seeing strong indicator signal, start to be like "Deer in front of the headlights". There sale signal, but market climb up day after day. AMD didn't shock with last earnings report, because of EPS and Revenue it's almost 1:1 in estimate range.
But open at +4%, max +6%, and close at -2%. Crypto mining rash is gone last years, and we saw it, so AMD can't surprise with extra high revenue. But market (traders, investors) rely on gaming, servers industry, and keep believing in strong future of the company.
A/D indicator shows it well, new highs peaks, on the uptrend support line, but weak price moving up-range. Than cross of MA20 and MA 110 based on A/D confirm that not soon as Q2 report we will see some big moves. Since 8 Apr., AMD stuck in flat and can't beat last peak high 29.69.
Keep watching on AMD.
AMD Short - Support Turned Resistance The AMD chart has a few key things that caught my attention and I figured was worth sharing. Charting a fibonacci retracement from our absolute peak in September 2018, and the subsequent October 30th and December 26th lows, we can see some key levels for AMD stock. We can clearly see that AMD has strong support in the $16-17 price range, with the two reversals which were staged then. Both of those recoveries met strong resistance at the $20 level, which happens to be the 78.6% mark off of the $34 high AMD saw.
Since then we have seen AMD break the $20 resistance and move up to tap $25 on January 31st. Previously $25 seemed to provide support for the stock, when AMD fell off of its September highs it stopped at that price level, a 50% retracement, and then it continued upwards meeting resistance at the 38.2% line (~$27). We can now see that 50% retracement point as resistance to AMD's momentum after a 2nd rejection that just occurred in the past two days.
There are several factors at play encouraging my short position on the stock for this short time period. Long term I can see myself turning bullish on AMD with a good trade deal and some strong signals that economic growth isn't stagnant. Short term, and I mean immediate short term, I don't expect it to impact the next week or two. It could lead to a bump, which could be magnified in semis given their production relationships with that region, but I would go so far as to argue that the market expects a deal to be made at this point with the recent rally and also considering that the White House's announcements regarding trade this week have all been very positive. Since Trump has already announced delaying the tariffs that catalyst should be absorbed by now, he noted that they will "probably" meet later next month. I don't see many other bullish catalysts for this stock following the rejection off that new resistance point, I say this because they have already revealed product lines, they don't report earnings for a bit, some more recent large partnerships are already announced and I am thinking trade may have a muted upside for the near-term.
I do, however, see more bearish catalysts for this very narrow period. While a more dovish fed came across with Powell's speech, the underlying message was not positive. Yes, the market doesn't like the Fed raising rates, but it is concerning that the Fed doesn't feel like economic growth is strong enough to continue on the path or raising rates to more "normal" territory (hard to say what normal is there anymore). If the market ends up responding more poorly to this, then I think it is fair to say we'd see AMD get dragged down with the broad market. Not to mention that from a more macro perspective we've already busted our nut with the TCJA and corporate tax rate cuts. As I've already noted that I don't think we will see another trade deal announcement this week or next lends to little upside there, but if we see issues with a trade deal at any point in the near future that would definitely be quite an interesting catalyst (I don't think this is likely, still fun to ponder though).
Back to the more technical side. With $25 looking like new resistance, declining volume and a lack of near term bullish catalysts, I expect AMD to make it's next move downwards to at least a $23 support point. If AMD cannot hold $23 then I would expect it to continue down to where the moving averages are converging (~$21 level). Based on this assessment I will be taking the following positions: AMD Puts $25 Strike Expiring 3/1, AMD Puts $24.5 Strike Expiring 3/8, AMD Puts $22 Strike Expiring 3/16.
I am not your financial advisor, you are responsible for your own trading activity.
Happy trading!
AMD approaching resistance, potential drop! AMD is approaching our first resistance at 25.23 (horizontal overlap resistance, 50% fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our support at 19.61 (horizontal swing low support, 61.8% fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is also approaching resistance where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD): Trading zone & Trouble Ahead.Conclusion for today’s AMD stock analysis: Failure to close above $28.53 implies more downside for AMD that should see price close below $16.16.
AMD’s technical analysis for today is carried out using a 6 hour timeframe a candlestick chart, with attention drawn to the current trading zone in AMD.
Meandering price action since October 30, 2018 till current date has produced a sidetrend, following price retreating after the September 25, 2018 price high of $33.60.
Support region for the current sideways price action is present between $16.16 and $14.73, while the upper boundary and lower boundary of resistance is $28.53 and $25.29 respectively.
A breakout above $28.53 implies further upside for AMD. Lack of a breakout above $28.53 and/or consolidation within the region of resistance could result in a downward swing in the price of AMD.
Strategies for selling include the following:
(1) Selling on a breakout below $21.92 is considered (less conservative).
(2) Selling on a breakout below AMD’s long term bullish trendline (conservative).
(3) Selling on a breakout below $16.16 (most conservative).
THIS IS HOW AMD IS GOING TO HIT 6 USD PART TWOOn my last post i covered why AMD is going to hit the the 24 USD mark, and then drop.
Well we went up slight higher, to 25USD and we began dropping.
So where does that lead us? If we look at the previous analysis we just finished C, and now we would go for the 1:1 extension of A-B which is slighty higher at 7 USD.
Beware bulls, its going to get nasty.
THIS IS HOW AMD IS GOING TO HIT 6 USDWith Nasdaq and the Dow officially in a downtrend, and have a lot of further down to go, i believe tech stocks are going to have the biggest impact on it.
Right now AMD is doing a flat ABC, where it's going to test 24 USD again.
I would place a short at 23,8 USD with a stoploss at 24,5 USD.
As the title says i expect it to drop to 6 USD. With could potentially give us some nice profit.
AMD Approaching Resistance, Potential Drop! AMD is approaching our first resistance at 23.67 (100% Fibonacci extension, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 14.63 (horizontal overlap resistance, 61.8%, 76.4% Fiboancci retracement).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is also approaching our first resistance where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
AMD 40% SHORT (You don't want to miss out on this)Hey everyone, after a thorough analysis of AMD, I have concluded that a 40% motive wave is on its way, sending the price from 18.73 all the way down to at least 11.21 but don't be surprised if it hits 8.00! I would strongly suggest laddering out of the position to maximize your profit since an exact target has not been determined.
I am so certain of this move because we have just broken out of what appears to be a fourth wave triangle and failed to rise above the resistance the next day. From this, it is safe to assume that the next wave will be a fifth wave impulse into the wave four territory of the larger trend.
For the stop loss, I would recommend setting it at 20.75 because any price higher than this will make the current wave count invalid.
Feel free to message me any questions, comments or concerns regarding my ideas. Happy trading!
AMD Short - might be your last chance. $21 to $14I've been playing the AMD run up from $20 to $32 with Call options, Shorted $32 because if you look at the weekly, its a trendline from the 1990s, and closed my Puts around $16 because it was a fib level. This chart plays like a cryptocurrency except that it's easier.
Out of curiosity I looked at a few "short interest" indicators and lo and behold, most of the run up to $32 was just a massive short squeeze an long with analysts pumping the projected price. Just like a cryptocurrency. As you can see now, we're making a head and shoulders on the daily, and the last time we had this little shorts was in August, and on the 4hr we're extended and making bear divs. Target... $16 before the end of the year, maybe $14.
AMD Short-Mid Term Short ScenarioCould short with targets at green area. Or long at the green target areas.
Beware Longing though, this could very likely have much more downside than that green target range. Could go into the mid-low teens. May want to keep a portion of a short running past the target zone.
AMD Long/Short Scenarios, Keeping The Streak Going.My AMD calls have been monstrous for the past couple months so keeping the streak alive.
Long and short scenario. Either could happen.
The levels themselves are best places to enter/exit. But the zones around the groupings of colored levels are also acceptable.
We could hit the green zone, and pop to the orange zone.
If we go below red line at green zone, were likely going to purple zone. If we break the red line, you could short green area with profit targets at purple OR long at purple with profit targets in green/orange.






















