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USD/CAD: Bearish Loonie SlideUSD/CAD: Bearish Loonie Slide Amid #Fed Cut Hype and #Forex Volatility Buzz? 1.39 Breakout Target in Sight? USD/CAD is trading at 1.3795 today, up 0.17% amid a rebound from 1.3728 lows as markets eye the Fed's rate decision later, with 65% odds of a 50bps cut to 4.00-4.25% pressuring the dollar but offset by BoC's own easing signals. This follows a 0.25% CAD gain earlier in the week on CPI data, but the pair remains range-bound with analysts forecasting a bearish tilt to 1.35 by year-end if Fed cuts deepen. Just as #Fed surges with 15K mentions on X amid rate speculation, and #Forex trends spotlight policy divergence (e.g., BoC vs. Fed easing), USD/CAD's sensitivity to oil and CAD vulnerability position it for choppy action in the $1.8T daily forex market. But with volatility at 3.88%, is USD/CAD undervalued for a bull run to 1.39, or will dovish Fed trigger a CAD rebound? Let's break down the fundamentals, SWOT, charts, and setups for September 18, 2025. Fundamental Analysis USD/CAD's trajectory hinges on diverging central bank paths, with the BoC's recent cuts weakening the loonie while Fed easing caps USD upside—yet oil prices above $70/bbl support CAD via Canada's export reliance. Analysts project a 2025 average of 1.35, bearish on CAD amid #Fed cuts, but short-term resistance at 1.3800 could hold if US data softens. With #Forex volatility buzzing, the pair's undervaluation shines in a risk-on environment if Fed delivers 50bps, but sticky US inflation (2.6% core) risks a hawkish pivot. - **Positive:** - BoC easing and CAD vulnerability amid #Forex hype project USD strength to 1.3863 if Fed holds steady. - Oil tailwinds and EM inflows (e.g., SA bonds) bolster CAD floors, undervaluing the pair at current levels vs. 1.40 peaks. - Broader #Fed trends favor USD if dot plot signals fewer cuts, eyeing 0.5% monthly gains. - **Negative:** - Dovish Fed expectations weaken USD, clashing with #Fed optimism if 50bps cut confirms CAD rebound. - Canada CPI resilience (2.0% YoY) could strengthen CAD if BoC pauses, pressuring the pair lower. SWOT Analysis **Strengths:** Policy divergence favors USD with Fed's relative hawkishness vs. BoC, amplified by #Fed relevance in dollar sentiment. **Weaknesses:** High oil correlation exposes CAD upside; overbought momentum vulnerable in #Forex-shifting markets post-Fed. **Opportunities:** Fed cut confirmation narrows spreads, with undervalued bull potential to 1.3891 amid #Fed boom. **Threats:** Hawkish BoC surprises eroding gains; competition from AUD/CAD if commodity trends capitalize on #Forex volatility. Technical Analysis On the daily chart, USD/CAD rebounds in an ascending channel from 1.3728 support, with a pivot at 1.3800 mirroring #Fed volatility spikes. The weekly shows neutral bias with 1.3889 as key breakout. Current price: 1.3795, with VWAP at 1.3770 as intraday balance. Key indicators: - **RSI (14-day):** At 55, neutral—potential bull signal amid #Fed surge. 📈 - **MACD:** Histogram positive, crossover holding for upside. - **Moving Averages:** Price above 21-day EMA (1.3750) but testing 50-day SMA (1.3820)—bullish if holds. Support/Resistance: Support at 1.3728 (recent low), resistance at 1.3863 and 1.3891. Patterns/Momentum: Channel bounce targets 1.3863; fueled by #Forex momentum. 🟢 Bullish signals: Higher lows on volume. 🔴 Bearish risks: Failure at 1.3800 eyes 1.36. Scenarios and Risk Management - **Bullish Scenario:** Break above 1.3863 on hawkish Fed targets 1.3891; long on pullbacks to 1.3728, especially if #Fed signals fewer cuts. - **Bearish Scenario:** Drop below 1.3728 eyes 1.3538; watch for CAD cross amid #Forex fade on dovish pivot. - **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound 1.3728–1.3863 if dot plot mixed and #Fed cools. Risk Tips: Use stops at 1.3700. Risk 1-2% per trade. Diversify to avoid correlation traps with #Fed-linked pairs like EUR/USD. Conclusion/Outlook Overall, a bullish bias if USD/CAD holds 1.3728, supercharged by today's #Fed and #Forex trends, with 0.7% upside to 1.39 on policy divergence. But watch the Fed outcome for confirmation—this fits September's rate volatility theme amid easing hype. What’s your take? Bullish on USD/CAD amid #Fed cuts or fading the loonie? Share in the comments!
by DCAChampion
XAUUSD: Bounce from 3615 Support LevelHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup. Market Analysis From a broader perspective, after a strong run-up within a prior Upward Channel, the price action for Gold has transitioned into a horizontal consolidation Range. This shift from a trending to a ranging market indicates a period of balance as buyers and sellers digest the previous impulsive move. Currently, the price is in a corrective phase within this Range. After recently failing to break above the Resistance Zone, sellers have pushed the price down, and it is now approaching the major horizontal support at the bottom of the consolidation, near the Support 1 level. My Scenario & Strategy I think that this Range structure will continue to hold for now. The lower boundary, which aligns with Support 1 at 3615, is a significant area of historical support. This Support zone represents a high-probability area for buyers to step in and defend, just as they have in the past. My scenario is that Gold will complete its drop to the lower part of the consolidation, testing the Support 1 level. Therefore, I expect that a successful defense of this support will lead to a rally back across the Range. My target for this move is 3700, which is placed within the major Resistance Zone at the top of the consolidation. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ratner
3
IS BTCUSD BULLSIH FROM HERE ?🚀 BTC/USD Trading Idea - Let's Catch This Move! 🚀 Hello, traders! This is my first BTC/USD idea here, and I’m excited to share my analysis with you all. I’ve been trading BTC/USD since 2020, and I created this platform to provide valuable market insights, free education, and profitable trade setups—all for free! 📈✨ Now, let’s dive into the technical breakdown 📌 Market Overview 🔸 Since Friday night, BTC/USD has been consolidating throughout Saturday. 🔸 We observed a liquidity sweep at 83,755 on the 30-minute timeframe. 🔸 According to my strategy, once lows are swept, we shift to the 1-minute timeframe to find a valid Change of Character (ChoCh). 📌 Trade Setup ✅ After spotting a valid ChoCh, we identified a strong Order Block (OB) at 83,741. ✅ Our entry point is at 83,755 with a tight stop-loss of 30 pips (83,441). ✅ The target is 84,541, offering a solid 1:2.5 RR ratio. 📊 Main Chart: A 30M timeframe marking the liquidity sweep, and a 1M screenshot showing our precise entry 🟢 Bias: Bullish ⚠️ Don’t forget to secure profits after +30 pips! 📌 Trade Details 📍 Buy Limit: 83,755 📍 Stop-Loss: 83,441 (-30 pips) 📍 Take-Profit: 84,541 (+80 pips) Let’s bank some profits! 💰🔥 #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #LiquiditySweep
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by KatzyTradess
6
EURUSD SELL | Idea Trading Analysis#EURUSD moving higher as it tests the strong resistance level. The price has reached the resistance level.. The chart is moving from the upper boundary of the channel. We expect the correction to continue.. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity EURUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Short
by TheGrove
1
ONE ANALYSIS ON GOLD YOU DON'T WANT TO MISS!!GOLD TRADE ANALYSIS FOR 26/02/2024 2043 AND 20147.98 WILL BECOME IMPORTANT LEVELS FOR GOLD 2043 Will be the target and 2047.98 will be second. Anything between this levels must be taken with cautions, this is where the price will make decisions to either go down. Or break up to 2062.23 Or it could break down to come for liquidity at exactly from 2030.79 Between 2030.79 and 2043 should be safe range to trade on Monday. Anything above or below this levels to be confirmed strongly
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ProTraderxon
2
DAY TRADING 003BYBIT:ARPAUSDT.P GOODMORNING! today I have my eyes set on a beautiful trade with ARPAUSDT this is one of the cleanest charts out at the moment on the 4HR I am simply just positioning myself with my own technical analysis ideas and running with it as you can see above here we have reached a point where resistance could turn into a pullback with my idea I believe that we will have another little pump up to make a double top to THEN come back down for a pullback, I have my limit orders set for take-off. Thanks guys.
Long
by RPMWealth-Capital
easyMarkets EURUSD Daily - Quick Technical OverviewDisclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
bitcoin is not looking good right now !!btc is forming bearish pennant on 4 hours timeframe. which isn't bullish continuation indication. it's looking very bad. withing few hours PPI (producer price index) report will be published around 8:30 A.M. Eastern Time) I am hoping for bullish news if we do get the bearish news. we will see significant drop in bitcoin price. if you are holding bitcoin in spot you don't have to worry. but future traders have to be aware of price action and what bitcoin is doing. don't fomo or panic. things will get better. i will be updating this idea time to time. if we do break upside we will see massive pump to 19k if downside we will see 13-14k :)
by Bitsleader
Q3(3RD QUARTER) ANALYSIS FOR GOLD, BULLISH BEFORE BEARISH Hey guys. I'm Martin Sylvester😅😅😅😅 Everything Charts. I want to engage you a little. If your chart is open. You could use horizontal lines on the higher Timeframe like D1. Something is really really nice there and I spotted it. I may be wrong but it's so sweet and I'll like to share it. $2000 price $1900 price $1800 price $1700 price Each with 1000pips separation but really aligns to price movements on Gold. I'm more of a round up number person when it comes to dissecting a chart. So Gold found itself at $1800 and just spiked to $1790. When Gold got to $2000, it spiked to a midpoint $2050 but $2000 is the main main part, it went down to $1900, patterned it's movement back to $2000, dragged down to $1800 From all indications, history repeats itself😅😅😅😅😅 We are likely to see a move to $1900 or $1950 cos for Gold to spike to $2050 but main price point is $2000, history will repeat itself from past data that it will get to $1900 and may possibly spike to $1950/$1960. Then drop down as before... When it spiked to $2050/$2060, what happened??? It dropped to $1900, made a Retracement to $2000 and dropped to $1800. So let's see it this way.. Rally to $1900, spike to $1950/$1960, then a drop to $1700. That's like 2000pips plus repeated on historical data of the charts.. Cos $2050/$2000 to $1800 is 2500pips move... So if there's a Retracement to $1950/$1900, it will be another 2500pips move if we were to look at how data collides with algorithm and repeats itself. 2500pips decline from $1950/$1900 would be at exactly $1700 as predicted earlier. Trade with caution but these are just speculations, I may be wrong (as I'll always say). I'm open to corrections(as I'll always say). If you can take your time to mark these price points, it will help with trades for Gold(XAUUSD). Lest I forget, there are in-between reaction price points too that I know of that moves in 200pips difference. Lemme list them starting from top to bottom $2070 $2050(midpoint for $2000 and $3000) $2030 $2010 $1990 $1970 $1950(midpoint for $1900 and $2000) $1930 $1910 $1890 $1870 $1850(midpoint $1800 and $1900) $1830 $1810 $1790 $1770 $1750(midpoint for $1700 and $1800) $1730 $1710 $1690 $1670 $1650 (midpoint for $1600 or $1700) Yours Truly, Martin I. Sylvester Financial Market Analyst
TVC:GOLDEducation
by MartSyl
BTC IS DECIDING! OR TRYING TO DO SOMETHINGAfter rejected from yesterdays pivot point, it was on the road to 42K this what we see on the 1H timeframe chart, may be a consoladition. However, if we look at shorter timeframe like 5minute timeframe we see yesterday price was rejected from S1 and came to retest todays pivot. Like i draw on the 1H chart we have an upward trendline. if it breaks we expect to fall another trendline. We expect bounce up and come back to retest pivot in the 5minute chart. for now, in all charts we see a litte consolidation. our support is 48200 is being very strong but our Major support is 47500! if price goes down from 48200 expect 47500 and testing pivot line on the 5 minute chart. After 47500 highly chance we'll see 42K. Price is going up and down between 48200 and 48600 this range is called consolidation range. upward momentum and break will take us to R1(Resistance1) but downward momentum will take us to S1. CONCLUSION: PIVOT 50800 R1:60600 S1:42000 Minor Resistance:48600-700 49500! Minor Support:48200 47500! Falling from 47500 is critical you can open short its your decision. upward move from 49500 probably will lead to 54K-52K! its all from my experience!!! do your own research and analysis. these are just an idea. do not trade because of my words!
by endrgnss