Gold price developments March 11📊Market Structure (H1 Chart)
Current Structure:
Price is moving within a symmetrical triangle pattern — showing a consolidation phase before the next breakout.
Main Trendlines:
Upper Trendline: Descending dynamic resistance, connecting lower highs.
Lower Trendline: Ascending dynamic support, connecting higher lows.
⚙️Key Zones
Resistance: 4,105 – 4,110 → aligns with the upper trendline and potential breakout confirmation area.
Support 1: 3,950 → confluence of the lower triangle boundary and previous accumulation zone.
Support 2: 3,890 → recent swing low, key structural level for trend direction.
🎯Scenarios
✅Bullish Breakout:
Break above 4,030 – 4,050 → look for buy setups targeting 4,105 – 4,175.
⚠️Rejection at Upper Trendline:
If price gets rejected near resistance, expect a pullback toward 3,950 → watch for bullish reaction to re-enter buys.
❌Breakdown Below 3,950:
Confirms structure failure → potential short opportunity toward 3,890.
⛏ BUY Breakout : 4030 - 4027
(Follow breakout confirmation)
Stoploss : 4013
Take profit 1 : 4050
Take profits 2: 4100
⛏BUY GOLD : 3951- 3948
Stoploss : 3938
Take profit 1 : 3960
Take profit 2 : 4000
⛏SELL GOLD : 4100 - 4103
Stoploss : 4113
Take profit 1 : 4080
Take profit 2 : 4050
The market is in compression phase within a symmetrical triangle — stay patient and wait for a clear breakout or rejection signal before taking action.
Trade smart. Trade disciplined.
Analysis
Gold compression before expansionGold remains in a controlled accumulation phase after a strong move, holding rising lows and respecting the fair value zone near 3990. As long as buyers defend the 3985–4000 range, the setup favors a false dip and re-entry scenario with continuation higher. A clean break and hold above 4040 unlocks the first target at 4110, and extension toward 4200 remains valid on structural expansion and Fibo alignment. The market is balanced on a hinge: levels are defined, buyers present, but confirmation lies only in price reclaiming the breakout zone.
Fundamentally gold still tracks macro uncertainty. Rates, inflation expectations, dollar hesitation and US debt dynamics keep capital rotating defensively. This is one of those periods where expectations and reality diverge, and the longer the compression holds, the stronger the eventual move. Still, discipline first — price must confirm above 4040.
Bias remains bullish while above 3985. Break below opens a corrective path toward 3920–3890 before another attempt higher.
ES (SPX, SPY) Week Ahead Analysis, Nov 3rd - Nov 7thMarket Context
The price is currently positioned just below a key near-term resistance level at 6,900–6,906, following a sharp reversal on Friday from around 6,845. The daily and 4-hour structures indicate an incomplete "weak-high" area above, but the 1-hour momentum has just shifted upward from oversold conditions. As we move into the Asia/London sessions, I anticipate a balance formation within the upper half of the previous session unless we see a decisive 15-minute close above 6,906.
Short — Rejection Fade at 6,900–6,906
Trigger: 15m rejection close back below the band → 5m re-close down with a lower high → 1m first pullback fail.
SL: Above the 15m wick high +0.25–0.50.
TP1: 6,880 → 6,860 (≥2.0R gate). TP2: 6,805.
Notes: If a retest holds below 6,900, add on a fresh 1m LH.
Short — Rejection Fade at 6,940–6,955
Trigger: Same 15m→5m→1m sequence as above.
SL: Above the band’s 15m wick +0.25–0.50.
TP1: 6,900 gate; TP2: 6,880–6,860; stretch TP3: 6,805.
Long — Acceptance Continuation above 6,906
Trigger: 15m full-body close above 6,906 → 5m pullback holds and re-closes up → 1m HL entry.
SL: 5m pullback low −0.25–0.50.
TP1: 6,940–6,955; TP2: 6,968–6,985; stretch TP3: 7,020–7,052.
Notes: If 6,906 holds as support on retest, consider scaling on a clean 1m HL.
Long — Quick-Reclaim Bounce at 6,852–6,860
Trigger: Sweep/flush below the band and instant reclaim (1–3m), confirmed by a 5m re-close up → 1m HL entry.
SL: Below the sweep low −0.25–0.50.
TP1: 6,900 gate; TP2: 6,940–6,955.
Long — Quick-Reclaim Bounce at 6,793–6,805
Trigger: Same reclaim logic; prefer fast tag → quick pop.
SL: Below the 5m reclaim low −0.25–0.50.
TP1: 6,860; TP2: 6,900; optional TP3: 6,940.
Long — Exhaustion Flush Bounce at 6,748–6,756 (stretch 6,713–6,725)
Trigger: Fast liquidation into the band + momentum divergence → 5m reversal close → 1m HL entry.
SL: Below the exhaustion low −0.25–0.50.
TP1: 6,793–6,805; TP2: 6,860; trail only after TP2.
Short — Continuation Below 6,852
Trigger: 15m body-through below 6,852 that holds on retest → 5m LH → 1m pullback entry.
SL: Above the 15m break wick +0.25–0.50.
TP1: 6,805; TP2: 6,756; stretch TP3: 6,725.
KILL-ZONES & EXECUTION NOTES
Primary execution windows: NY AM 09:30–11:00 and NY PM 13:30–16:00. London 02:00–05:00 optional, reduced size. Asia optional, smallest size.
Stops & viability: Anchor hard SLs to the relevant 15m wick; only take plays where TP1 ≥ 2.0R. Max two attempts per level per session. At TP1: close 70%, set 30% runner to BE; no trailing before TP2.
WEEK AHEAD GAME PLAN
If Monday holds above 6,860 and forms a higher low, the outlook is modestly bullish, aiming for a move toward 6,940–6,955 early to mid-week. A decisive daily close above 6,955 would suggest a rally into the 6,968–6,985 range, with the potential to extend further to 7,020–7,052 later in the week.
Conversely, if the price falls back below 6,852, the scenario shifts to a mean-reversion week, targeting 6,805 and then 6,756, with 6,713 as a potential stretch target.
BTCUSD Short: Targeting 108,000 Demand ZoneHello, traders! Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has recently transitioned from a prolonged bullish structure into a corrective phase after facing strong rejection from the 116,000 Supply Zone. The market previously traded inside a well-defined Ascending Channel, forming a steady sequence of higher highs and higher lows — a classic bullish formation.However, after testing the upper boundary of the channel and the Pivot Point, BTC failed to sustain bullish momentum. The breakout attempts above the supply zone turned out to be fake breakouts, showing exhaustion among buyers. Since then, the market has shifted its tone and started to form a descending structure, moving below the Supply Line that now acts as dynamic resistance.
Currently, the price is pushing lower from the mid-range of the channel toward the Demand Zone, located between 108,000 and 107,700. This area has previously served as a strong support base that triggered impulsive bullish reversals in the past.
In my opinion, BTC is likely to extend its bearish correction toward the 108,000–107,700 demand area. A successful test and strong reaction from this zone could mark a potential bullish reversal, confirming demand absorption and the end of the correction phase. However, if sellers maintain control and manage to break decisively below 107,700, the market may open the way for a deeper decline toward the 106,000 level. As long as the price remains below the Supply Line, short-term bearish pressure prevails. I’m currently bearish to neutral, looking for price action signals around the demand area to confirm whether a new upward impulse is about to begin. Manage your risk!
NZDCHF: H1 ATL BreakKey observations across the D1 and H1 timeframes
D1
Pair is in a clean downtrend
Right now, the bearish bar hasn't closed below the low of the bullish bar, which is a small point of concern for selling strength
H1
Price is crossing below a very structural ATL
EMA bands haven't crossed over yet
Comex Gold.Here is pattern in short time frame that is 15 min. This is a triangle pattern and if you look carefully you will also spot Flag and Pole which I leave you guys to spot for. A breakout from this will trigger an entry.
Tagret for Day high with sl of 3994.
Disclaimer - This is just for educational purpose.
Jai Shree Ram
Follow for more such analysis and learnings!
Crypto will boom, BUT...In my view, the cryptocurrency market is poised for a significant multi-year rally.
However, such a rally cannot begin without a major transfer of capital, from weaker holders to large institutional players. This is why I believe we are likely to experience a sharp correction in the coming days or weeks, possibly extending toward the end of the year.
My outlook for this short-term downturn is driven by two key factors:
Persistent uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve’s next policy move, particularly whether it will proceed with an interest rate cut in December, and a bearish pattern emerging in the global money supply. After a notable recent decline, this formation suggests further contraction ahead.
The good news is that this potential market shakeout may serve as the final reset before Bitcoin establishes its bottom. Those who withstand the upcoming volatility will likely find themselves well-positioned for the next major bull run.
#bitcoin #crypto #finance #economy #market #analysis
Trading Bots: The Future of the Markets?Let’s be real, the idea of a trading bot sounds like the holy grail.
Set it up, go to bed, and wake up to profit.
If only it were that simple.
Most bots don’t fail because of bad code, they fail because of bad logic.
A bot is only as good as the rules you give it.
What a Trading Bot Actually Does
A bot doesn’t predict the market, it reacts to it.
It follows a defined strategy:
Buy when X happens, sell when Y is confirmed, cut losses if price breaks Z.
That’s all.
No fear. No greed. No “maybe I’ll wait for one more candle.”
The power of bots isn’t in magic,it’s in consistency.
They do what most traders can’t: follow the plan exactly as written, every single time.
Why Most Bots Fail
The truth?
Most traders plug in random bots they find online without understanding what’s inside.
They win a few trades, feel invincible… and then lose it all when volatility spikes.
The reason isn’t the bot, it’s the lack of testing and understanding.
If you don’t know your system’s weak spots, you’ll eventually find them the hard way.
That’s why backtesting matters.
Backtesting: Your First Line of Defense
Backtesting shows how your logic performs over hundreds of trades — across bull, bear, and sideways markets.
It reveals your system’s strengths, weaknesses, and drawdowns before you risk a dollar.
A good backtest should tell you:
Your average win rate and risk/reward ratio.
How your system handles volatility.
How often it hits consecutive losses.
Whether your edge actually holds over time.
If your bot looks good in backtests and performs similarly in live conditions — you’re onto something real.
*Example of one of our indicator
How Bots Can Enhance Your Trading
You don’t have to hand everything over to automation.
In fact, many great traders use bots to handle the mechanical side, while keeping the decision-making human.
Here are a few examples:
Trade Execution: Let the bot enter trades instantly after your setup triggers.
Risk Management: Bots can move stop-losses, take partial profits, or scale positions automatically.
Signal Filtering: Use automation to scan hundreds of pairs and alert you only when conditions align.
Backtesting Sandbox: Test new ideas safely with data before deploying them live.
Bots don’t replace traders, they multiply efficiency.
They free your mind from execution so you can focus on refinement.
The Real Lesson
A trading bot isn’t a shortcut.
It’s a mirror, it reflects your discipline, your rules, and your logic.
If your plan is solid, a bot will make it unstoppable.
If your plan is weak, it’ll just lose money faster.
Automation doesn’t fix bad habits, it exposes them.
So learn the logic, test it hard, then let the system do what humans struggle with most: follow the plan.
Bitcoin Approaches Key Resistance — Bulls Eye 117K BreakoutHello traders, I want to share my view on Bitcoin (BTCUSD). The current market structure shows a gradual recovery phase following the previous breakdown from a large range near the 118,000 level. After a sharp decline and retest of the 106,400 support zone, the market found strong buying interest, forming a new ascending channel structure. This setup has been characterized by steady higher highs and higher lows, confirming the presence of short-term bullish momentum. At this stage, BTCUSD is approaching a key resistance level around 116,000, which aligns with both the upper boundary of the current channel and the prior horizontal resistance zone — a region that previously acted as a strong supply area. This confluence suggests that the market could face a short-term pause or pullback before attempting another bullish impulse. My primary scenario anticipates that if the price holds above the support line near 113,000–113,500, buyers may maintain control and push toward the 117,000 target (TP1) — the next logical resistance level and the top of the channel. However, a clear rejection from 116,000 without follow-through could open the door to a corrective pullback toward 110,500–111,000 for another demand test. In my opinion, the structure remains bullish in the short term, as long as the lower boundary of the ascending channel holds. Therefore, I continue to favor a long scenario with a TP at 117,000, expecting a potential breakout or test of the upper resistance. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 30, 2025 USDJPYThe yen weakened after the Bank of Japan kept its policy rate near 0.50% today, again declining to back proposals from some members for a move to 0.75%. The statement keeps future steps “in view” but offers no timeline, reinforcing the yield differential in favor of the United States and supporting USD/JPY near the top of its recent range.
An additional impulse for USD comes from the Fed: while it delivered a 25 bps cut, Chair Powell stressed that subsequent actions are not predetermined. For USDJPY, what matters is not the single rate print but expectations for U.S. Treasury yields and risk appetite. Yields along the curve remain relatively high, and the Fed’s readiness to pause points to a slower easing cycle, which supports the dollar against the yen.
External factors round out the picture: moderately positive global risk sentiment and the absence of strong signals from Japan’s Ministry of Finance about interventions. Given the current monetary-policy trajectories in the U.S. and Japan, upward attempts in USDJPY persist while pullbacks look contained.
Trading recommendation: BUY 152.750, SL 152.100, TP 153.500
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Zones, Setups for Thur (Oct 30th)Bias: Neutral → mild-bullish while 6,922 holds; momentum unlocks only on acceptance above the 6,966–6,972 pocket.
Setups — Rejection Fade (short): Tag 6,966–6,972 and print a 15m rejection close back inside, then a 5m re-close lower with a lower high, then take the 1m first-pullback fail. Stop = 15m wick high +0.25–0.50. TP1 = 6,940. TP2 = 6,922. Runner aims 6,885.
Setups — Acceptance Continuation (long): 15m full-body close above 6,972, 5m pullback holds and re-closes, then 1m higher-low entry. Stop = 6,966 wick. TP1 = 7,000. TP2 = 7,017. Stretch into low 7,040s if momentum persists.
Setups— Quick-Reclaim Bounce (long): Flush into 6,922–6,926 that instantly reclaims on 15m, 5m re-close confirms, then 1m higher-low entry. Stop = 6,916. TP1 = 6,940. TP2 = 6,966–6,972.
Setups — Breakdown Continuation (short): 15m body through 6,922 that holds below on a 5m retest. Stop = 6,929–6,932. TP1 = 6,900. TP2 = 6,885. Stretch 6,858 if pressure accelerates.
Management: only take a setup if TP1 is at least 2.0R using the 15m-wick stop. At TP1, close 70% and set the 30% runner to break-even; runner targets the next opposing major level. No trailing before TP2. Maximum two attempts per level per session.
Invalidation: Bull idea is invalid below 6,916 (loss of the AS shelf). Bear idea is invalid once there is 15m acceptance and hold above 6,972 with 5m higher-low structure.
Notes: Expect headline sensitivity. If we rip into 6,966–6,972 without a 15m close above, favor the fade. If we grind above and hold, ride acceptance toward 7,000 then 7,017.
xauusd 3894 or 4060 today?October 29, 2025, XAU/USD has specific price targets. The gold price is currently around $4,018, and traders are focusing on key technical levels and the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision.
Below is a summary of the key price levels to watch before the market closes today.
Analysis Type Key Resistance Key Support Primary Target Alternative Target
Technical & Scenario-Based $4,005.79 $3,951.68 $4,059.90 - $4,114.01 (if resistance breaks) $3,893.96 (if support breaks)
Bearish Correction - $3,940 $3,870 -
Range-Bound $4,010 $3,860 Movement between $3,860 and $4,010 -
🚨 Key Market Driver Today
The single most important event influencing gold's movement today is the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Markets are overwhelmingly expecting a 25-basis-point rate cut, and how the market reacts will depend heavily on the tone (dovish or hawkish) set by Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Dovish Signal (Bullish for Gold): If the Fed signals openness to further easing, it could weaken the US Dollar and help push gold above the $4,005 resistance toward the higher targets.
Hawkish Signal (Bearish for Gold): If the Fed suggests this cut is a "one-and-done" move, it could strengthen the Dollar and trigger a sell-off in gold, pushing it down to test the $3,951 support and potentially lower.
💡 A Note for Your Trading
Conflicting Signals Exist: While one technical model suggests a potential rise to $4,010, another maintains a bearish outlook with a target of $3,870, contingent on the price staying below $3,940. This highlights the market's uncertainty ahead of the Fed news.
Trade the Reaction: Many analysts advise waiting for the price to convincingly break through one of the key levels ($4,005 resistance or $3,951 support) before committing to a new trade direction, rather than anticipating the move prematurely.
In summary, for the remainder of today's session, watch the $4,005 resistance and $3,951 support levels. The Fed's announcement will likely determine whether the price moves towards $4,060 or falls back to $3,894.
xauusd next target 4161?the next target for XAU/USD (Gold) is highly dependent on its ability to break through key resistance levels, with an immediate focus on the $4,161 area. The upcoming Federal Reserve policy meeting is the primary catalyst that will determine the direction.
The table below summarizes the key price levels and potential targets you should watch.
Timeframe Key Support Key Resistance Bullish Target (if resistance breaks) Bearish Target (if support breaks)
Short-Term $4,004, $3,951 $4,050, $4,161 $4,200 → $4,300 → $4,381 (All-Time High) $3,944 → $3,900
Medium-Term (e.g., 1-3 months) $3,874 - $3,878 - $4,249 - $4,300+ -
🚀 What Will Drive the Next Move?
The consensus among analysts is that the immediate price direction hinges almost entirely on the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting and subsequent commentary.
The Primary Catalyst: The Federal Reserve
The Rate Decision: A 25-basis-point rate cut is almost fully priced in by the market. Therefore, the decision itself is unlikely to cause a major surprise .
What Really Matters: Powell's Tone: The market will react to the forward guidance from Fed Chair Jerome Powell during his press conference.
Dovish Powell (signaling potential for further easing): This would likely weaken the US Dollar and push gold above $4,161, opening the path toward $4,200 and $4,300 .
Hawkish Powell (suggesting a "cut and pause" approach): This could strengthen the Dollar and trigger a sell-off in gold, pushing it below $4,004 to test the $3,944 - $3,900 support zone .
Supporting Factors
Central Bank Demand: Ongoing accumulation of gold by central banks (e.g., India, China, Germany) provides a solid foundation, limiting severe downside moves.
Geopolitical Tensions: Factors like trade tariffs and global instability continue to bolster gold's role as a safe-haven asset.
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 29, 2025 GBPUSDSterling softens against the dollar ahead of the Fed decision as some investors take profit after recent attempts to rally. The U.S. market still anticipates a 25 bps rate cut, but the dollar’s intraday recovery into the meeting weighs on GBPUSD.
Domestic drivers for the pound are mixed. Recent UK inflation data came in softer than forecast, reinforcing expectations that the Bank of England will approach policy with greater caution and limiting GBP upside. Budget and borrowing headlines earlier in the year also added volatility, keeping the pair around 1.33000 and below at times.
Also yesterday, the prevailing assessment was that the GBP/USD upside momentum was unstable and largely dependent on external drivers—the US dollar exchange rate and expectations for further Fed easing. Under these conditions, selling on a rise toward 1.32750, with an eye on a return to 1.32000, should the Fed remain neutral or moderately cautious, makes strategic sense.
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.32650, SL 1.32850, TP 1.32000
USD/JPY(20251029)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
A survey by the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) predicts gold prices will reach $4,980.3 per ounce and silver prices will reach $59.1 per ounce in one year.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
152.22
Support and Resistance Levels:
153.33
152.91
152.64
151.80
151.53
151.11
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 152.22, consider buying with a first target price of 152.64.
If the price breaks below 151.80, consider selling with a first target price of 151.53.
NTSK Netskope: the rocket is on the padNetskope’s shares (ticker NTSK) are trading after a successful IPO, but the chart suggests we’re still in early accumulation phase. The price is hovering in the ~$21-24 zone, and a breakout above near resistance is needed to confirm strength. The first target is $28, with potential extension toward $35–40 if the structure holds. Given IPO volatility, entry requires careful stop-management and confirmation of trend support.
Netskope operates in the rapidly expanding cloud security market (SASE/Zero Trust). With revenue growth exceeding 30% and narrowing losses, the company is well-positioned in the AI-security wave. While the TAM (total addressable market) is large and growth prospects strong, the business still faces profitability and competitive risks.
The rocket may not yet be launched, but the launchpad is set. Stay patient, wait for the “ignition” signal, and let the engine build thrust before liftoff.
Nikkei surges higher: What’s powering the market now#NIKKEI has soared above 50,000. The rally is fueled by a mix of political momentum following Sanae Takaichi’s arrival, the predictably dovish stance of the Bank of Japan, a weak yen benefiting exporters, accelerating corporate reforms, and a revival in tourism and domestic demand — all pushing profit expectations and valuations to record highs.
Key drivers of further #NIKKEI growth:
Weak yen + dovish BoJ : Exporters earn more when converting foreign revenue into yen; cheap credit keeps valuations and multiples strong.
AI and semiconductor investment cycle : Japan is expanding chip fabs, while local suppliers of materials and equipment enjoy long-term contracts and steady cash flow.
Corporate reforms & buybacks : Companies are selling off non-core assets, boosting efficiency, and buying back shares — lifting EPS and investor confidence.
Tourism & services boom : Japan is affordable for travelers, spending is up, and hotels, retailers, restaurants, and transport firms are reporting record revenues.
Rising wages & consumption : Households have more disposable income; businesses raise prices moderately, margins stay solid, and revenues grow steadily across sectors.
#NIKKEI’s growth isn’t only about the weak yen. FreshForex analysts believe political reform momentum, loose monetary policy, renewed chip demand, disciplined corporate management, and a robust services/tourism sector are key supports. The base scenario: the uptrend could extend through 2025–2026, though risks include a sharp yen rebound or political delays.
ES (SPX, SPY) Analysis, Key Levels, Setups for Tue (Oct 28th)ES Context:
The trend is upward on the higher time frame, approaching a "weak-high" area just above the previous day's high (PDH). With FOMC Day-1 and consumer confidence news approaching, I expect the Asia and London sessions to trade within a range around or below the PDH, with a risk of a sweep and retest before any potential extension. The bias is slightly bullish as long as we remain above yesterday’s value area. The invalidation point is a 15-minute close below the previous day's low (PDL).
Setup 1 — Long above R1 (acceptance continuation)
Trigger: 15m full-body close ≥ 6912, then 5m pullback holds/re-closes above 6912.
Entry: 6913–6915
Stop: 6905
TP1: 6924–6930
TP2: 6965–6975
Cancel: if retest fails to hold above 6912.
Setup 2 — Short at R1 (rejection fade)
Trigger: Probe ≥ 6912 fails; 15m closes back below 6909; 5m LH re-close.
Entry: 6907–6910
Stop: 6917
TP1: 6900–6896
TP2: 6883–6880
Runner: 6878 → 6867.50 if momentum continues.
Setup 3 — Long from GMid (partial gap-fill reclaim )
Trigger: Wick into 6852–6855, then 5m reclaim ≥ 6856.
Entry: 6856–6858
Stop: 6848
TP1: 6867.50 (GTop)
TP2: 6900–6906
Setup 4 — Long from GBot (full gap-fill reversal)
Trigger: Fast tag of 6841–6842, then 5m reclaim ≥ 6846.
Entry: 6846–6848 on retest hold
Stop: 6836
TP1: 6854.25 (GMid)
TP2: 6867.50 (GTop)
Cancel: 15m body closes back below 6841.
Execution rules
Trade inside kill-zones only (London 02:00–05:00 ET; NY AM 09:30–11:00; NY PM 13:30–16:00).
Take a setup only if TP1 ≥ 2.0R versus the stated stop.
At TP1 close 70% and set 30% runner to BE; no trailing before TP2.
Catalysts for Tue, Oct 28 (all times ET; all listed items expected to proceed despite the shutdown)
09:00 — S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Home Price Indices (private release).
10:00 — Conference Board Consumer Confidence (private release).
All day — FOMC Meeting (Day-1) begins; Day-2 statement/PC tomorrow.
13:00 — U.S. Treasury auctions (notes/bills as scheduled).
FYI tomorrow (Wed): 10:30 — EIA Weekly Petroleum Status (on schedule).
Weekly Outlook: XAUUSD, #SP500, #BRENT for 27-31 October 2025XAUUSD: BUY 4075.00, SL 4025.00, TP 4225.00
Gold starts the week near record territory, with spot prices fluctuating around $4,080 per ounce. Support comes from expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut at the October 28–29 meeting and the recent pullback in U.S. Treasury yields ahead of the decision. Headlines about a potential temporary government funding pause in the U.S. and delayed data releases enhance gold’s role as a defensive asset, while September inflation came in slightly below expectations, reinforcing the case for policy easing. In addition, fund inflows into gold have stayed strong after October’s price spike.
The fundamental backdrop remains constructive: World Gold Council data point to renewed net purchases by central banks late in the summer, and October saw more active investment flows into “paper” gold as market volatility rose and real yields eased. Risks to this view include a more cautious Fed tone and a brief dollar rebound after the decision, but these are offset by steady institutional demand and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.
Trade idea: BUY 4075.00, SL 4025.00, TP 4225.00
#SP500: BUY 6785, SL 6705, TP 7025
U.S. equities enter the week on strong footing: the S&P 500 holds near 6,790 after softer September inflation data and lower government bond yields. Markets are focused on the Fed’s October 28–29 decision; the prevailing view anticipates another rate cut, which would reduce borrowing costs and support the valuation of future earnings. The reporting season is in full swing, with expectations for double-digit earnings growth for 2025 and a busy week of results from index constituents.
Fundamentally, the index benefits from a combination of easing rate pressure, resilient profit expectations in sectors tied to digital infrastructure and AI-related investment, and a broadly steady consumer backdrop. Key risks include any prolonged disruption to federal services that could distort the macro data flow, and the chance of tighter corporate guidance given currency strength and fluctuations in global electronics demand.
Trade idea: BUY 6785, SL 6705, TP 7025
#BRENT: SELL 66.30, SL 68.00, TP 61.20
Brent trades around $66 per barrel. The weekly news flow is mixed: on one hand, infrastructure risks linger in the Black and Baltic Sea regions; on the other, international agencies flag accelerating supply growth alongside moderate demand. The earlier OPEC+ decision to allow a marginal output increase and revised surplus projections effectively cap prices despite sporadic supply disruptions and sanctions-related headlines.
By late October, industry assessments imply a gradual rebuild in inventories and a softer price path into Q4, albeit with elevated headline-driven volatility. Additional pressure comes from a cooler global backdrop and rising non-OPEC+ production, while any Fed rate cut would only partly lift the commodity complex. Short-position risks include an escalation of geopolitical tensions that threatens exports and an unexpectedly sharp draw in weekly U.S. stock data.
Trade idea: SELL 66.30, SL 68.00, TP 61.20
Qualcomm new AI chips*Qualcomm made new AI chips called AI200 and AI250:
- After this news, Qualcomm’s stock price went up by 12%.
- These chips help Qualcomm join the AI data center market and compete with big companies like Nvidia.
- Qualcomm’s profits are strong, and it is managing costs well.
- The company got its first customer, called HUMAIN, for these AI products.
- Experts think Qualcomm has good future potential, even if some numbers are mixed.
And technically
We are around the middle of a long-term channel
and regarding the mid-term chart,
We have 3 great zones to enter the market,
both for investing and trading
Disney's Possible Swing SetupHi Traders!
As I analyze Disney, I am seeing it's in a counter trend on the 24HR with a resistance at $120. I'm staying patient watching to see how far price will retrace with a 24HR CHOCH sitting at around $102.50. That seems far away, but that would help fill in some of the gap, and give a nice set up for a reversal. In addition, there are 4 days left in the current Monthly candle, and they've been closing small. IMO that could indicate that price could eventually make it to $130.
For now, I have alerts set and I'm planning to take a long swing.
Let me know what you guys think in the comments! Good luck!
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
GBPJPY's Reversal BaseHi Traders!
When looking at GJ, the chart seemed messy as it was in a range for a long time. After finally breaking out of the 200s, priced reach a Weekly OB area in the 203s.
Over the past weeks or so, GJ created a counter trend dipping back into the high 200s area with what it appears to be a reversal base. If this reversal is true, I would be planning swinging this trade into the next resistance areas around 206-207. That will bring price to a previous Monthly Bearish OB.
Despite of how the chart has looked, the trend remained bullish. Therefore, IMO, GJ seems to want to keep its bullish momentum.
Good luck to everyone!
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*






















