Is this where GJ starts making its big move?Hi Traders,
After breaking out of a failed swing tapping 200.000, GJ came down to retest the failed swing area at 199.000, bounced and reversed. Around 199.500 could be another retest/entry area before continuation. The weekly looks really good IMO, so I am planning to swing trade. My first target would be around 201.500, and then 203.000. 203.000 would hit an area of a weekly bearish OB.
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
Analysis
Is GBPUSD Setting up for a Long Swing?Hi Traders!
I've been watching this pair. It seems like it could be setting up for a long swing. I would like to see a retest around 1.34900/800, and how it reacts to that area. That'd hit a Daily Order Block. In addition, the weekly made a break of structure, and dipped into a weekly breaker OB, then pushed up. However, the only thing I don't like is it's at a weekly resistance. But, IMO the monthly looks bullish.
So, over all I'm bullish on this pair and will plan to swing, I just need my confluences to match up fully before taking this trade.
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
XAUUSD: The decline has stopped, continue to buyAs the talks between Trump and Putin achieved results on Saturday, risk aversion decreased, gold fell rapidly at the opening, and after briefly breaking through 3330, it found support again and rebounded strongly, reaching a high of 3358. Subsequently, the price of gold entered a slow decline, mainly because the market was waiting for the results of the talks between Trump, Zelensky and several European leaders, which was the main factor affecting the subsequent rise and fall of gold prices.
Personally, I think it is unlikely that this meeting will completely resolve the situation between Russia and Ukraine. Since it cannot be resolved, the geopolitical risks still exist, and the market's risk aversion is unlikely to decline, so gold will continue to rise.
Today's focus is on 3340. If support is found, consider buying.
🏆Trade setup:
📈Buy at 3340
✅Target 1 - 3355
✅Target 2 - 3370
🛑Stop Loss - 3330
📣If you have different opinions, please leave a message below to discuss
Gold can make correction and then continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The price market is currently in a state of equilibrium, consolidating within a large symmetrical triangle after a significant upward rebound from the recent lows near the 3310 buyer zone. This reversal invalidated the prior downward trend and has since forced the price into a period of balance, characterized by contracting volatility between a descending resistance line and an ascending support line. The price has been methodically rotating within this structure, with the seller zone around the 3390 resistance level consistently rejecting bullish attempts. At present, the asset is undergoing another downward correction, approaching the critical ascending support line of the triangle for a key test. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, based on the expectation that buyers will once again defend this dynamic support and maintain the integrity of the consolidation pattern. A confirmed and strong bounce from this support line would signal the start of another major upward rotation within the triangle. Therefore, the tp for this long idea is strategically placed at the 3390 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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Ripple may bounce up from buyer zone to top part of rangeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Ripple. The market for Ripple has undergone a significant structural shift, with the prior upward channel giving way to a new phase of horizontal consolidation following a decisive breakdown. This event signaled a pause in the strong bullish momentum and established a new trading range, with the major buyer zone around the 2.9525 support level now acting as the foundational floor for the price. After the initial drop, the price has been trading within this new, more contained range, undergoing a series of corrective movements. Currently, the asset is in another downward leg, heading towards the critical buyer zone for what could be a decisive test of this support. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, based on the expectation that demand will overcome supply within this 2.9525 - 2.9000 area. A confirmed and strong rebound from this key support would indicate that the corrective phase is over and that buyers are ready to initiate a new rotation to the upside. Therefore, the TP for this range-based play is logically set at the 3.1830 level. This target corresponds with the top of the current consolidation range and represents the most probable objective for a bullish swing originating from the established support base. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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Fundamental Market Analysis for August 18, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD starts the week around 1.17300, holding above the psychologically important 1.17000 level and extending gains after Friday’s correction. According to Torforex, staying above the 1.16500–1.16700 range confirms a bullish scenario and signals the market’s readiness to test the 1.17600–1.18000 areas.
From a fundamental perspective, the dollar remains under pressure following an “atypical” US inflation report: July CPI came in below expectations, reviving speculation about a possible Fed rate cut as early as the fall. Meanwhile, US Treasury yields have stabilized but remain below July highs, limiting the dollar’s appeal for fixed-income investors.
In the euro area, the euro receives short-term support from the persistent current account surplus and moderate expansion in services activity. We also assume the recent 25bp ECB rate cut is largely priced in; the next steps will depend on the dynamics of core inflation (company research desk view). Overall, we expect a continuation of a moderate upward move.
Trading recommendation: BUY 1.17250, SL 1.17050, TP 1.18250
JSW Cement: Company Profile & Sector Analysis
🙀🧐Conclusion 🧐🙀
🤔While JSW Cement demonstrates ambition and operational scale in India’s vibrant cement sector, its financial health is tempered by high leverage and modest returns. Strong governance, strategic debt management, and transparent reporting will be critical as the company seeks market leadership among robust peers. Long-term investors should closely monitor improvements in cash flows and efficiency, given sector opportunities and competitive dynamics.
🧐The cement sector shows strong growth led by robust leaders; JSW Cement is a promising but highly leveraged mid-cap facing profitability and liquidity challenges. Sector fundamentals remain resilient, but JSW’s turnaround depends on prudent financial and governance reforms
🌺🌺About JSW Cement🌺🌺
JSW Cement is a prominent Indian cement manufacturer, recently listed on BSE and NSE in August 2025. The company aims to rapidly expand its production capacity and footprint across key markets with a focus on sustainable manufacturing and innovative processes.
🤯Cement Sector Growth & Future Potential🤯
- India’s cement demand driven by government infrastructure push and urbanization.
- Sector CAGR expected at 7-9% over the next five years with rapid capacity additions.
- Companies investing in green cement, alternative fuels, and digital operations.
- Consolidation and entry of large players signal a highly competitive future market landscape.
🧐Financials Snapshot (FY25)🧐
- Revenue: ₹6,028 crore
- Operating Margin: 15.3%
- EBITDA Margin: 16%
- Net Margin: 1%
- Market Cap: ₹7,400 crore
- Free Cash Flow: Negative
😶🌫️Key Ratios😶🌫️
- Debt/Equity Ratio: 2.6 (sector high)
- Return on Equity (ROE): 0.6% (below industry average)
- Return on Capital Employed (ROCE): 8%
- Current Ratio: 0.65
- Dividend Payout: 0%
👷🏻 Peer Analysis👷🏻
- UltraTech Cement, Shree Cement, and Ambuja Cement lead with stronger margins and lower debt.
- JSW Cement’s leverage (high debt) impacts profitability and shareholder returns.
- Sector leaders maintain ROE and ROCE above 10-13%; JSW lags in these metrics.
- Free cash flow in JSW Cement lags behind top peers due to high investment and operational pressures.
- Margins are competitive but net profitability is limited compared to industry best.
- JSW Cement is positioned as a mid-cap, growth-oriented player with room for efficiency improvement.
- Company’s focus on expansion adds long-term growth potential.
- Peer companies show higher liquidity and sustainable dividend payout records.
USD/CAD - Ascending Triangle (18.08.2025)The USD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Ascending Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3774
2nd Support – 1.3755
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GBP/JPY - Triangle Breakout (18.08.2025)The GBP/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 200.79
2nd Resistance – 201.24
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GBP/CHF - Triangle Breakout (18.08.2025) The GBP/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.0970
2nd Resistance – 1.0993
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# GBPUSD Technical Analysis & Forecast# GBPUSD Technical Analysis & Forecast
**Asset**: GBP/USD
**Reference Price**: 1.35557 (August 16th, 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4)
**Analysis Date**: August 17, 2025
## Executive Summary
GBPUSD is positioned at a critical juncture with multiple technical confluences suggesting potential bullish continuation. The pair has shown resilience above key support levels and appears to be forming a corrective structure that may lead to higher targets.
---
## 1. ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS
### Primary Count (Daily/Weekly)
- **Current Position**: Gray Wave 3 (Impulsive phase)
- **Sub-wave**: Orange Wave 5 active
- **Structure**: Bullish trend in impulsive mode
- **Completion Status**: Gray Wave 2 likely complete
### Intraday Perspective (1H-4H)
- **Pattern**: Double Three (WXY) corrective structure
- **Key Level**: Equal Legs zone providing support
- **Blue Box Area**: Critical support confluence around 1.3480-1.3520
- **Invalidation**: Break below red X connector invalidates bullish count
### Wave Targets
- **Immediate**: 1.3650-1.3700 (completion of current sub-wave)
- **Extended**: 1.3850-1.4000 (major resistance confluence)
---
## 2. HARMONIC ANALYSIS
### Active Patterns
**ABCD Pattern**
- **Status**: Potential completion near current levels
- **D Point**: Expected around 1.3480-1.3520
- **Target**: 1.3680-1.3750 (127.2% extension)
**Gartley Pattern (4H)**
- **Completion**: 78.6% retracement area
- **Support Zone**: 1.3500-1.3550
- **Targets**: 1.3650 (38.2%), 1.3720 (61.8%)
**Butterfly Formation (Daily)**
- **Status**: Monitoring for completion
- **Critical Zone**: 1.3480-1.3520
- **Upside Potential**: 1.3780-1.3850
---
## 3. WYCKOFF ANALYSIS
### Current Phase Assessment
**Phase**: Accumulation (Phase C - Spring Test)
- **Characteristics**: Testing of support with reduced volume
- **Smart Money Activity**: Accumulation at lower levels
- **Market Maker Position**: Building long positions
### Key Wyckoff Levels
- **Support**: 1.3480 (Last Point of Support - LPS)
- **Resistance**: 1.3650 (Automatic Rally - AR)
- **Breakout Target**: 1.3750+ (Sign of Strength - SOS)
---
## 4. W.D. GANN ANALYSIS
### Square of 9 Analysis
**Current Position**: 1.35557
- **Next Resistance**: 1.3650 (144° angle)
- **Major Resistance**: 1.3780 (180° angle)
- **Support**: 1.3480 (90° angle from previous high)
### Time Cycles
**Active Cycles**:
- 30-day cycle: Peak expected around August 25-28, 2025
- 90-day cycle: Major turn window September 15-20, 2025
### Gann Angles (Daily Chart)
- **1x1 Angle**: Rising from 1.3200 low
- **2x1 Angle**: Critical support at 1.3450
- **1x2 Angle**: Resistance at 1.3720
### Price Forecasting
**Natural Resistance Levels** (Square of 9):
- 1.3610 (Minor)
- 1.3680 (Moderate)
- 1.3750 (Strong)
- 1.3850 (Major)
---
## 5. ICHIMOKU KINKO HYO
### Cloud Analysis (Daily)
- **Cloud Status**: Bullish (green cloud)
- **Price Position**: Above cloud indicating uptrend
- **Tenkan-sen**: 1.3520 (dynamic support)
- **Kijun-sen**: 1.3480 (key support)
### Key Levels
- **Cloud Top**: 1.3450
- **Cloud Bottom**: 1.3380
- **Senkou Span B**: 1.3420 (26-period ahead)
### Signals
- **Bullish Crossover**: Tenkan above Kijun
- **Future Cloud**: Remains bullish through September
---
## 6. JAPANESE CANDLESTICK ANALYSIS
### Recent Patterns (4H/Daily)
**Doji Star Formation**:
- **Location**: Near 1.3550 resistance
- **Implication**: Indecision, potential reversal higher
- **Confirmation**: Needed above 1.3580
**Hammer Pattern (Daily)**:
- **Formation**: August 15th low
- **Support**: 1.3480 area
- **Bullish Bias**: If sustained above 1.3520
### Pattern Projections
- **Engulfing Pattern**: Target 1.3650-1.3680
- **Three White Soldiers**: Potential if break above 1.3580
---
## 7. TECHNICAL INDICATORS ANALYSIS
### RSI (Relative Strength Index)
**Multi-Timeframe RSI Status**:
- **Daily**: 52.3 (Neutral with upward bias)
- **4H**: 48.7 (Slightly oversold, bullish divergence forming)
- **1H**: 45.2 (Oversold, bounce expected)
### Bollinger Bands
- **Daily**: Price at lower band, squeeze formation
- **4H**: Expansion phase beginning
- **Target**: Upper band at 1.3720-1.3750
### VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)
- **Daily VWAP**: 1.3530 (current resistance)
- **Weekly VWAP**: 1.3480 (key support)
- **Deviation Bands**: +1σ at 1.3620, +2σ at 1.3680
---
## 8. MOVING AVERAGES CONFLUENCE
### Simple Moving Averages (SMA)
- **20 SMA**: 1.3540 (immediate resistance)
- **50 SMA**: 1.3520 (dynamic support)
- **200 SMA**: 1.3450 (major support)
### Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)
- **12 EMA**: 1.3565 (short-term resistance)
- **26 EMA**: 1.3535 (key pivot)
- **100 EMA**: 1.3480 (confluence support)
### Weighted Moving Average (WMA)
- **21 WMA**: 1.3550 (resistance to break)
- **Golden Cross**: Potential if 50 WMA crosses above 200 WMA
---
## 9. MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
### 5-Minute Chart
- **Trend**: Sideways consolidation
- **Support**: 1.3540
- **Resistance**: 1.3570
- **Breakout Direction**: Awaiting catalyst
### 15-Minute Chart
- **Pattern**: Ascending triangle
- **Breakout Target**: 1.3590-1.3610
- **Volume**: Decreasing on pullbacks (bullish)
### 30-Minute Chart
- **Trend**: Bullish flag formation
- **Measured Move**: 1.3650 target
- **Key Level**: 1.3555 support
### 1-Hour Chart
- **Elliott Wave**: Corrective Wave 4 completion
- **Harmonic**: ABCD pattern near D point
- **Target**: 1.3620-1.3650
### 4-Hour Chart
- **Primary Trend**: Bullish
- **Correction**: Complex WXY structure
- **Upside Target**: 1.3750-1.3800
### Daily Chart
- **Major Trend**: Upward
- **Pattern**: Bull flag continuation
- **Long-term Target**: 1.3850-1.4000
### Weekly Chart
- **Structure**: Impulsive Wave 3
- **Support**: 1.3400-1.3450
- **Resistance**: 1.3800-1.3850
### Monthly Chart
- **Trend**: Long-term bullish
- **Key Resistance**: 1.4000-1.4200
- **Major Support**: 1.3200-1.3300
---
## 10. TRADING STRATEGY & OUTLOOK
### Intraday Strategy (5M-1H)
**Setup**: Buy dips approach
- **Entry Zone**: 1.3540-1.3560
- **Stop Loss**: 1.3520
- **Target 1**: 1.3590
- **Target 2**: 1.3620
### Swing Trading Strategy (4H-Daily)
**Setup**: Breakout continuation
- **Entry**: Above 1.3580 (confirmed breakout)
- **Stop Loss**: 1.3510
- **Target 1**: 1.3680
- **Target 2**: 1.3750
- **Target 3**: 1.3850
### Position Trading (Weekly-Monthly)
**Setup**: Long-term bullish bias
- **Accumulation Zone**: 1.3480-1.3550
- **Major Target**: 1.3850-1.4000
- **Risk Management**: Trail stops below key moving averages
---
## 11. KEY LEVELS SUMMARY
### Critical Support Levels
1. **1.3520** - Immediate support (Tenkan-sen, 50 SMA)
2. **1.3480** - Major support (Blue Box, Kijun-sen, 100 EMA)
3. **1.3450** - Cloud top, 200 SMA confluence
4. **1.3400** - Weekly support level
### Critical Resistance Levels
1. **1.3580** - Immediate resistance (breakout level)
2. **1.3620** - VWAP +1σ, harmonic target
3. **1.3680** - Bollinger upper band, Gann resistance
4. **1.3750** - Major confluence resistance
5. **1.3850** - Elliott Wave target, monthly resistance
---
## 12. RISK ASSESSMENT
### Bullish Scenario (Probability: 65%)
- **Catalyst**: Break above 1.3580
- **Target**: 1.3750-1.3850
- **Timeline**: 2-3 weeks
### Bearish Scenario (Probability: 35%)
- **Invalidation**: Break below 1.3480
- **Target**: 1.3400-1.3350
- **Timeline**: 1-2 weeks
### Key Events to Watch
1. Central bank communications
2. Economic data releases
3. Risk sentiment shifts
4. Technical breakout confirmations
---
## CONCLUSION
GBPUSD is positioned for potential upside continuation based on multiple technical confluence factors. The Elliott Wave analysis suggests we're in an impulsive upward structure, while harmonic patterns indicate completion of corrective phases. Gann analysis supports higher targets with favorable time cycles approaching.
**Recommended Bias**: Cautiously Bullish
**Primary Strategy**: Buy dips near support, target higher levels
**Risk Management**: Strict stops below key support confluences
The technical picture favors patient bulls who can capitalize on the current consolidation phase for potential moves toward 1.3750-1.3850 in the coming weeks.
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya dot Trade.(world wide web shunya dot trade)
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya.Trade
world wide web shunya dot trade
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
British Pound can rise to 1.3680 points, exiting from wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about British Pound. The market dynamic for the British pound has undergone a significant reversal, shifting from a well-defined downward channel to a new bullish phase following a strong breakout from the buyer zone. This change in control has established a new upward trend, which has since been developing within the confines of a large upward wedge. The price action within this wedge has been constructive, with the asset making a series of higher highs and higher lows. Currently, the pair is undergoing a corrective pull-back after testing the seller zone near the top of the formation, and it is now approaching a key confluence of support around the 1.3535 level, where the ascending support line of the wedge is located. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, which anticipates that this correction will find strong support in this area, leading to a new upward impulse. The scenario further projects that this new impulse will not only carry the price to the wedge's resistance line but will have enough momentum to force a breakout to the upside, signalling an acceleration of the trend. Therefore, the TP for this breakout scenario is logically placed at the 1.3680 level, a target that represents a potential measured move following the resolution of the multi-week wedge pattern. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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Gold can make correction and then rebound up of support lineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The Gold market has transitioned from a clear directional trend into a phase of price discovery and consolidation, following a significant breakdown of a prior ascending mirror line. This shift in market dynamics has led to the formation of a large symmetrical triangle, a pattern that signifies a period of equilibrium and contracting volatility as the price coils between a descending resistance line and an ascending support line. The boundaries of this pattern are well-established, with the buyer zone around the 3315 support level providing a floor and the seller zone near 3400 acting as a ceiling. Currently, the price is navigating the lower half of this triangle, having recently rebounded from the support line. The primary working hypothesis is a long scenario, based on the expectation of another successful test of the ascending support line. A confirmed and strong rebound up from this dynamic support would validate the integrity of the triangle and suggest that another full rotation to the upside is likely. Therefore, the tp for this rotational move is logically placed at the 3390 level. This target aligns perfectly with the triangle's upper resistance line and sits just below the major seller zone, representing the most probable destination for a bullish swing originating from the pattern's support. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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KERNEL / USDT : Keep a close watch on breakoutKERNEL/USDT - Near Breakout
Price action is approaching a crucial breakout point after consolidating under a descending trendline. The current momentum indicates a potential upside of around 30%, with a target of 0.28 if the breakout holds.
Watch for a clean breakout above resistance for confirmation of the move. This could lead to a significant upward rally
SCENARIO STUDY: Bullish or Bearish?Hello fellow traders! Here’s a fresh, USD/JPY plan that blends 4-hour technicals with today’s macro/news flow, plus the most recent trader and bank sentiment. Time to get happy!
USD/JPY for Aug 15, 2025, U.S. morning/afternoon
4H structure: After a slide that tested ~146.2–146.4 support, the USD/JPY keeps running into 147.8 and 148.5 as notable 4H hurdles.
Macro/news today: U.S. PPI (July) surprised hotter, cooling talk of a 50 bp Fed cut (market leans 25 bp for Sep 17); Japan Q2 GDP beat aided the yen and BoJ-hike chatter.
BoJ backdrop: July meeting opinions/outlook show a cautious tightening bias and discussion of resuming hikes; 10-yr JGB around ~1.5%.
Positioning & sentiment (latest):
CFTC JPY (non-commercial) net longs have fallen from mid-July peaks to ~82k (Aug 8). Retail (spot) sits near 54% long / 46% short.
Banks’ bias (based on recent published views):
UBS CIO guides for USD/JPY drifting lower through year-end (~140 by Dec 2025) as BoJ tightens gradually, and J.P. Morgan Research also expects weaker USD into late-2025 (USD/JPY ~141 Sep, 140 Dec).
4-hour levels to mark
Support: 146.20–146.40, then ~146.00 (deeper swing shelf).
Resistance: 147.80, 148.50 (recent 4H/spot pivot and swing high).
Scenario A — Bullish (rebound off support / corrective pop)
Why it could play out: Hotter U.S. PPI trimmed aggressive-cut bets; if incoming U.S. data/fedspeak doesn’t further dent yields, a corrective USD bounce can lift price from support toward overhead supply! Go Bulls? :D
Bullish Plan (4H execution):
Entry: 146.40–146.70 on a 4H bullish candle or RSI divergence near S1. (Structure band per the 4H map.)
Stop: 145.95 (clean break of the lower shelf).
Take Profit 1: 147.80 (first supply).
Take Profit 2: 148.50 (recent high / strong supply).
Respect Supports: 146.40–146.20, then 146.00.
Resistances to fade/scale: 147.80, 148.50.
Indicative R:R: from 146.60 risk ~65 pips to stop for ~+120 pips to TP2 (≈1:1.8), +120–190 pips if extension through 148.5.
Scenario B — Bearish (trend continuation from resistance)
Why it could play out: 4H downswing remains intact below 147.8/148.5; BoJ tone leans cautious-hawkish, Japan data firmed (GDP), while CFTC shows less crowded JPY longs (reduced squeeze risk). UBS/JPM public pieces lean medium-term lower USD/JPY.
Bearish Plan (4H execution):
Entry: 147.80–148.00 on a 4H rejection wick / failure swing at R1.
Stop: 148.60 (invalidate above R2 swing high).
TP1: 147.00 (recent intraday base).
TP2: 146.20–146.40 (key 4H demand).
Resistances to lean on: 147.80, 148.50.
Supports to target: 147.00, 146.20–146.40, then ~146.00 if momentum accelerates. Go Bears? :D
BUT WAIT..... Which is more probable now?
As for the team here at How To (dot) Forex, we are collectively leaning bearish (Scenario B) over the next few sessions. And, here is why....
Structure: Price remains capped beneath 147.8/148.5 on the 4H map.
Macro skew: Hot PPI pared back “big cut” bets but markets still favor a 25 bp cut; meanwhile Japan GDP beat + BoJ talk of possible resuming hikes is JPY-supportive.
Sentiment: Retail near 50/50 (slight long) and CFTC net JPY longs off the highs → fewer asymmetric squeeze dynamics for upside USD.
What are the banks saying?
Recent UBS and JPM predictions point to lower USD/JPY into year-end, aligning with fade-rallies bias unless price reclaims R2 decisively.
_________________________________________________
OPINION AND COMMENTARY:
we prefer fade-rally shorts into 147.8–148.0 unless a 4H close above 148.5 flips bias. If you see a strong 4H basing signal at 146.2–146.4, the bullish corrective setup is valid — just keep targets conservative at 147.8/148.5.
If you have questions, or want to see a specific type of analysis not presented here, leave us a comment below. Thank you for reading. We appreciate your support. Happy trading!
_________________________________________________
DISCLAIMER: This analysis was conducted by our in-house team of multi-level traders. We are not responsible for any losses you may incur. Always do you own research before trading. If you are new to trading, consider practicing with a free paper trading account. Ask your broker for details.
ETHUSDT 1D Chart Update | Channel Structure, Economic EventsETHUSDT 1D Chart Update | Channel Structure, Economic Events & ATH in Focus
🔍 Here’s the latest breakdown of ETH/USDT price action on the daily chart—channel dynamics, correction levels, and upcoming catalysts.
⏳ Daily Overview
Ethereum is trending strongly within an ascending channel, respecting both mid-level and upper resistance. After a local correction, price is rebounding with sturdy volume participation—signaling renewed interest from buyers.
📉 Correction Levels & Volume
- Recent correction found support at the $3,913 zone, with the $4,180 mark now acting as next key level.
- Volume has picked up on bullish candles, confirming the strength of this bounce.
- Correction appears healthy: price stayed within the channel, higher lows maintained.
📊 Channel, Economic Events & Breakout Setup
- ETH continues trading inside the established channel, posting higher highs and higher lows.
- Two major US economic events ahead—Unemployment Claims releases on Aug 21 and Aug 28, 2025—that could trigger volatility.
- Watch for a breakout (BO) above $4,809: crossing this sets the stage for a new all-time high (ATH).
🎯 Key Levels & Scenario
- $3,913: Correction support zone; ideal spot for high RR (risk/reward) long entries if retested.
- $4,180: Immediate resistance; flipping this could attract trend-following bulls.
- $4,809: Channel top and major breakout threshold. If price closes above, expect acceleration toward new ATH territory.
🚨 Conclusion:
ETH is pushing firmly inside its channel, with correction and volume patterns favoring bullish continuation. Key economic events may provide the volatility needed for a breakout move. Above $4,809, watch for new ATHs; dips to $3,913–$4,180 offer attractive re-entry zones for aggressive traders. Stay adaptive as August catalysts unfold.
SKL/USDT Analysis — Key Decision Zones
This coin has been among the top gainers over the last three days.
Currently, it is in a correction phase and is approaching the local buy zone at $0.0414–$0.039. Given the weak price action, it is likely that we’ll see a reaction from this zone.
Above the current price, there is also a very important zone at $0.047–$0.0515, with significant volume-based profit-taking already positioned for short bias. Upon a test of this zone and a confirmed reaction, a short position could be considered.
This publication is not financial advice.
Binance Coin may drop to 805 points and break support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Binance Coin. The bullish momentum for BNB has been visibly accelerating, with the price transitioning from a steady upward channel into a steeper and more aggressive rising wedge formation. This change in character often suggests a late-stage trend that may be approaching exhaustion. The price action has been oscillating within this wedge, using the 820 level as a key support area for its most recent rebound. Currently, the asset is making another push towards the apex of the formation, approaching the final resistance line that has capped the highs. The primary working hypothesis is a short scenario, which is based on the typically bearish resolution of a rising wedge pattern. It is anticipated that the price will be rejected from the upper resistance line of the wedge, signaling the exhaustion of buying pressure. A confirmed rejection from this peak would likely trigger a sharp reversal, with enough momentum to cause a breakdown below the wedge's ascending support line and the critical horizontal support area around 820. This structural failure would validate the bearish thesis. Therefore, the tp for this anticipated reversal is logically placed at the 805 level, representing a prudent first target for the price to reach following a breakdown of the multi-week wedge structure. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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Euro may reach seller zone and then start to decline to 1.1600Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The historical price action for the Euro began with a period of contracting volatility, where the market consolidated within a triangle formation. A decisive breakout from this triangle unleashed a strong upward impulse, which marked a shift into the current market environment characterised by expanding volatility. This new phase is captured by a large broadening wedge, which has since been defining the trading range between the major buyer zone around 1.1450 and a significant seller zone near the 1.1740 resistance. After a powerful impulse down from the top of this wedge was absorbed by the buyer zone, the asset has entered a corrective rally back towards the upper boundary. Currently, the price is approaching this critical confluence of resistance. The primary working hypothesis is a short scenario, predicated on the expectation that the seller zone will once again cap the rally. A confirmed rejection from this area would validate the integrity of the broadening pattern and suggest that another major downward rotation is imminent. Therefore, the TP for this anticipated decline is logically placed at the 1.1600 points, representing a key area of prior price interaction and a prudent first objective. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 15, 2025 USDJPYDespite some profit-taking after the rise toward 148.0, the pair remains supported by monetary policy divergence. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is approaching 4.46%, while comparable JGBs remain around 0.82% even after the summer expansion of the YCC band.
Weak momentum in the Japanese economy increases the likelihood that the Bank of Japan will postpone further tightening: real wages have fallen for the sixth consecutive month, and core CPI has eased to 2.4% y/y, reducing the pressure on the regulator to normalize policy. At the same time, Japan’s Ministry of Finance refrains from verbal interventions, being comfortable above the 145.0 level, which reduces the risk of aggressive dollar selling.
Global risk appetite remains moderate after strong U.S. PPI data, which traditionally channels capital into U.S. assets and supports USD against JPY.
Trade recommendation: BUY 147.300, SL 147.100, TP 148.400






















