Get started

Analysis

Fundamental Market Analysis for September 03, 2025 EURUSDThe euro remains under pressure as demand for the US dollar as a “safe haven” rises amid higher long-end Treasury yields and a broader risk-off tone. Today during Asian trading, the pair fluctuates around 1.16300–1.16500. Dollar inflows are supported by concerns over fiscal sustainability in advanced economies and a steeper US yield curve, which dampen risk appetite and reduce demand for the euro. From a fundamental standpoint the setup is mixed: markets still price a chance of a Fed rate cut in September, yet the actual backdrop—firmer long-dated yields and cautious commentary on the US cycle—keeps the dollar supported. In the euro area, attention stays on inflation and signs of cooling domestic demand: soft PMI components and CPI expectations limit upside for the euro, while the differential in real rates continues to favor the USD. Near-term drivers include the incoming US macro flow on employment (including advance gauges and Friday’s labor data) as well as fresh inflation pointers from the eurozone. Against this backdrop, the fundamental balance still tilts in favor of the dollar, keeping downside break risks elevated for EURUSD in case US releases surprise to the upside. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.16300, SL 1.16800, TP 1.15800
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
BTC Futures – Falling Wedge Break Incoming? | 4H AnalysisBitcoin CME Futures is currently trading inside a falling wedge on the 4H timeframe. We’re sitting at a key decision point, with liquidity both above and below. Volume profile shows strong resistance, with a large high-volume node. Support has held, with a clean rejection and demand showing up. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are left above and below acting as magnet zones. This setup leaves us with two clear scenarios: Bullish Scenario 🟢 Breakout above wedge resistance Reclaim 110K as support Target 112K–118K FVG for liquidity fill If momentum holds, possible test of 120K resistance zone Bearish Scenario 🔴 Failure to break wedge resistance Breakdown under 107K support Target 97K–100K FVG as downside liquidity Deeper rejection could extend to mid-90K levels ⚠️ No trade bias until price confirms direction. Waiting for a break + retest is key here.
CME:BTC1!
by King_BennyBag
34
Bitcoin will continue to decline inside downward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The dominant market structure for Bitcoin remains bearish, with the price action being clearly contained within a well-defined downward channel since the major rejection from the 116800 Resistance Level. This structure has been guiding the asset lower through a series of impulsive declines and corrective rebounds, confirming that sellers are in control of the trend. The most significant recent development was the breakdown below the key horizontal support around the 109000 level. Currently, after this breakdown, the price of BTC is in a corrective phase, rallying back to retest this broken structure from below, which now acts as the current resistance level. This 109000 - 109800 resistance zone is a critical inflection point. The primary working hypothesis is a short scenario, predicated on the failure of this retest. A confirmed rejection from this former support area would validate the continuation of the bearish momentum and signal that the next impulsive downward fall is imminent. Therefore, the TP for this trend continuation play is logically placed at 104000 points. This target represents a new lower low within the channel and is the next major area of structural interest for the price. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
27
USD/CHF - Wedge Breakout (02.09.2025)The USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 0.8048 2nd Resistance – 0.8067 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
63
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 02, 2025 USDJPYA fundamental weakening of the dollar is observed in the USD/JPY pair against the backdrop of expectations of a Fed rate cut this autumn. Investors in the US remain cautious, awaiting the release of fresh labor market data, while risky assets in the Asian region are pushing the dollar down. The Japanese economy is showing positive dynamics - capital expenditures are growing, and expectations of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan are supporting the strengthening of the yen. At the same time, a slowdown in manufacturing activity is only partially holding back the growth of the national currency. The prevailing opinion is that the Bank of Japan may begin a cycle of monetary policy tightening before the end of the year, which increases the potential for the yen's growth against the dollar. External markets are also under pressure from unclear inflation prospects and a further decline in optimism about the US dollar. The conditions are in favor of a continued downward correction for the USD/JPY pair with the aim of updating support at the 146.150 level. Trading recommendation: SELL 147.500, SL 147.700, TP 146.500
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
DXY – Big Week Ahead, Watch These Zones-Dollar still stuck in a range. No need to guess, just watch the heavy levels: -96.66 = bullish liquidity zone -99.80 = bearish liquidity zone -This week is packed with heavy news: -NFP Friday – jobs report could shake markets hard -Fed credibility under fire – politics trying to pressure the central bank -Be careful with dollar pairs — market makers love stop hunts around news. Best to stay patient → let price show which zone breaks first.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by CORE5DAN
$3,500 per ounce: Gold’s next targetGold has hit a new all-time high, surging more than 35% since the start of the year. According to the World Gold Council, prices climbed 26% in the first half of 2025 , with another 5% gain expected in the second half. Meanwhile, silver (XAGUSD) broke above $41 per ounce for the first time in 14 years, while platinum (XPTUSD) and palladium (XPDUSD) also posted solid gains. The rally is largely driven by expectations of a Fed rate cut. Markets now assign an 88% probability of a 25 bps cut in September — up from just 38% a month ago . Additional momentum came from dovish comments by San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, who backed policy easing due to rising labor market risks. Despite core PCE inflation rising to 2.9%, investors are betting on a weaker dollar and a flight to safe-haven assets. Geopolitical tensions are adding to the bullish case. Ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East are fueling demand for “safe harbors.” Meanwhile, the Trump administration is pressuring Swiss gold refiners to relocate production to the US — a demand they’ve refused. In August, Trump also announced that gold imports will remain exempt from tariffs, adding to investor interest. Analysts warn that trade wars and supply chain disruptions could further boost commodity prices. According to FreshForex analysts , gold is expected to trade between $3,300 and $3,600 in the coming months, before making a run toward the $4,000 mark . With global currencies under pressure and recession risks looming, gold continues to serve as a global barometer of trust — and a powerful hedge against uncertainty.
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Is the Retracement Over?Hi Traders! GJ dipped in the 50% fib this past week, and bounced off the previous weekly OB again at 198.500. The retracement might be over, and I'm looking to enter a long swing trade. However, I'd like to see it bounce off the 4HR OB sitting at 199.500/.600 and make a return to the 4HR CHOCH around 199.000/.200 to determine my entry. If so, based on the Daily, I'd be swinging this trade to around 202 and 203. That'd also hit around a Weekly bearish OB. *DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
Long
by thattradergirl
EURUSD: Price break resistance and continue to growHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup. Market Analysis From a broader perspective, after exiting a prior Upward channel, the price action has entered a large consolidation phase. This has created a well-defined trading range between the major Support zone around the 1.1470 level and the key Resistance Zone up to the 1.1745 area, indicating a period of market balance. Currently, the price is coiling within a large pennant formation, a classic sign of contracting volatility before a significant move. The price is now at a critical point, testing the descending resistance line of this pennant, which also aligns with the major horizontal Resistance at the 1.1710 level. My Scenario & Strategy My scenario is built on the idea that this pennant is a bullish continuation pattern, where buyers are absorbing supply before attempting the next leg higher. I'm anticipating a brief corrective dip from the current position before the main move begins. Following this, I expect buyers to take the initiative and push the price upwards, forcing a breakout above both the pennant's resistance line and the horizontal 1.1710 Resistance level. A successful break and hold above the Resistance Zone would validate the long scenario. The primary target for this breakout move is 1.1820 points, representing a logical next objective for an upward expansion. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Long
by Ratner
5
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 01, 2025 GBPUSDThe Bank of England's (BoE) cautious rate cut last month marks a significant divergence from the growing consensus that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut borrowing costs at least twice before the end of this year. This, in turn, has been a key factor in the relative strength of the British pound (GBP) against the US dollar and confirms the short-term positive outlook for the GBP/USD pair. However, the moderate rise in the US dollar (USD) could be an obstacle for the currency pair. Traders are also showing indecision and prefer to wait for important US macroeconomic data, which will be released at the beginning of the new week, to confirm the next stage of the directional movement. Therefore, it would be wise to wait for the continuation of purchases before making new bets on the rise of the GBP/USD pair and positioning for further strengthening. Market participants are now awaiting the release of the final UK manufacturing PMI to gain some momentum amid low liquidity due to the US Labor Day holiday. Meanwhile, attention will remain focused on the closely watched US employment data to be released on Friday. The popular non-farm payrolls (NFP) report will play a key role in influencing the US dollar's price dynamics and the movement of the GBP/USD pair. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3555, SL 1.3485, TP 1.3665
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
DXY Outlook – Bearish Lean, Choppy SetupDollar had a hard run the last three weeks with heavy bearish candles on the weekly. Price action has been messy, not easy to just get in and ride. My bias is still bearish, but I’m also looking at the bigger picture. On the monthly chart, key distribution sits under 94.095 and we haven’t reached it yet. Over the last two months price has been filling the bullish order block around 95.971 order block on the dollar index. If the market maker decides to move, it could go fast once the data lines up, whether in the first or second week. Right now we are sitting in a bearish volume channel lower end. Selling late is not smart because most of the move has already passed. That doesn’t mean there are no trades, but it does mean higher frequency and tighter risk until the next clear setup. From the economic side the jobs data is weak with only 73K added last month, which keeps pressure on the Fed to cut. The Fed is also seen as politicized, which hurts credibility and weighs on the dollar. Markets are already pricing a September cut and analysts are leaning bearish. At the same time inflation is still sticky near 2.9 percent while jobs are slowing, which leaves the Fed boxed in. Headline PCE is flat, not strong enough to flip hawkish and not weak enough to go fully dovish. That mix can trap the dollar between 97 and 100 until one side breaks. Best move is to keep watching the data closely before trading dollar markets. Bias stays bearish, but chop risk is high.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by CORE5DAN
GBP/USD Bullish Setup – Inverse H&S + EMA Cross | Target 1.3800📈 Technical Outlook GBP/USD has formed a reverse Head & Shoulders on the 4H chart. The EMA 50 has crossed above EMA 200 (Golden Cross), signaling bullish momentum. Key levels: Support: 1.3460 – 1.3400 Neckline breakout: 1.3580 Targets: 1.3660 → 1.3800 🏦 Fundamentals Federal Reserve: Powell’s dovish tone at Jackson Hole shifted markets toward expecting rate cuts in September and December, weighing on the USD. Bank of England: Recently cut rates to 4.0% but remains cautious due to sticky UK inflation (~3.6%), giving GBP relative support. Institutional sentiment: Goldman Sachs, UBS, and BNP Paribas all see GBP/USD rising toward 1.38–1.40 in coming months. ⚠️ Watch Out U.S. Data Risks: This week’s U.S. GDP (Aug 28) and Core PCE (Aug 29) are key. Strong surprises could spark short-term USD strength and volatility before the bullish move resumes. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is not a trading signal, only my personal idea based on technicals and fundamentals.
Long
by Aegis-Market
🇪🇺 EUR/USD — Fundamental Outlook: Constructive / Bullish BiasThe euro continues to benefit from the shift in relative monetary policy. While the Fed is preparing to ease, the ECB remains on hold near 2%, with little pressure to act as Eurozone inflation gradually normalizes. Although growth remains subdued, the ECB is expected to maintain restrictive settings to anchor inflation expectations, providing relative yield support to the EUR. JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs have reiterated their bullish EUR/USD forecasts, projecting levels between 1.18–1.20 in the next 12 months, citing policy convergence, diversification flows out of U.S. assets, and the euro’s undervaluation. September’s flash HICP (due Sep 2) will be crucial: a stable reading should reinforce the ECB’s stance and underpin EUR/USD. ➡️ Bias: EUR/USD remains a buy-on-dips candidate, with the Fed’s dovish pivot and steady ECB policy driving upside.
Long
by Aegis-Market
DX1! (US Dollar Index) — Fundamental Outlook: Bearish BiasThe U.S. dollar remains under sustained pressure as markets move into September. The Federal Reserve has signaled readiness to deliver its first rate cut in September, following confirmation that July PCE inflation remained steady at 2.6% y/y, while consumer spending continued to soften. This combination supports the case for monetary easing to protect the labor market and broader economic momentum. Positioning data show that the market is already heavily short USD, creating short-term risk of squeezes on stronger-than-expected U.S. data — particularly the September 5 NFP release, which could delay the Fed’s easing trajectory if labor proves resilient. However, the medium-term consensus across major investment banks (JPMorgan, Citi, Goldman Sachs) is that the dollar will weaken further as the Fed embarks on a cutting cycle while the ECB, BoE, and SNB remain relatively more cautious. ➡️ Bias: Sell rallies in DX1! with tactical awareness of NFP risk. Medium-term bearish trend intact, Fed easing the dominant driver.
ICEUS:DX1!Short
by Aegis-Market
XAUUSD Short: Correction from Current HighsHello, traders! The prior price auction for XAUUSD was contained within a horizontal range, bounded by the Demand zone 2 near 3335. A key pivot point low initiated a strong bullish impulse, resulting in a breakout from this range and establishing the current bullish market structure, which transitioned the market into a new directional phase. Currently, the price action is being guided by a well-defined ascending channel. The most recent impulse wave has carried XAU to the upper boundary of this channel, which represents dynamic resistance. The auction is now testing this ceiling after a strong rally, a key area where sellers may re-emerge to challenge the bullish initiative. My scenario anticipates a corrective move from the current highs. The expectation is that the channel's resistance line will hold, leading to a rejection and a downward rotation back towards the channel's support. A failure to break higher would confirm that a short-term correction is likely. The take-profit is therefore set at 3410 points, targeting the confluence of the ascending channel's support line and the 3405 - 3415 demand area. Manage your risk!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by heniitrading
6
Bitcoin will break support level and continue to fall nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The macro bearish bias for Bitcoin was established after the price was strongly rejected from the 121000 Resistance Level, leading to a breakdown from its prior upward channel. This initiated a new bearish phase, first within a downward channel, but the selling pressure for BTC has since intensified, causing a breakdown below that channel's support as well. Currently, the asset is in an accelerated downward fall, guided by a steep local trend line, and is directly testing the critical buyer zone at the 109700 support level. The primary working hypothesis is a short scenario, now predicated on the failure of this major horizontal support. While a brief consolidation or a minor retest of the nearby trend line may occur, the overwhelming bearish momentum suggests a high probability of a breakdown. A decisive break and hold below the 109700 support level would confirm the continuation of the downtrend and open the path for further declines. Therefore, the TP for this breakdown scenario is logically placed at 104000 points, representing the next major area of potential support. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
14
BTCUSD Short Opportunity, Bears Take Control BTCUSD is currently trading around 116,980, facing strong rejection near the 117,200–117,500 resistance zone. The recent price action suggests that sellers are gaining control as bullish momentum fades. A sustained move below 116,800 could trigger further downside pressure, pushing Bitcoin toward 115,500 and 114,800 in the short term. If the bearish structure remains intact, the next major target lies near the psychological level of 110,000, which aligns with previous demand zones and a key Fibonacci retracement level. Stop-loss should ideally be placed above 117,600 to protect against any false breakouts. Watch for increased volatility during US trading hours and upcoming macroeconomic data releases, as these could accelerate the move. Overall bias remains strongly bearish as long as BTC trades below 117,500.
OANDA:BTCUSDShort
by SadarExplore
43
BTCUSD 1D Chart1. Price Trend and Structure The BTC price has fallen below the yellow uptrend line – this indicates a break in the bullish structure and signals weakening buyers. Currently, the price is hovering around $107,950, which is local support (red zone ~108k). Next important supports: $104,500 – $103,900 $98,400 (recent stronger demand level + near the 200 SMA). Resistance to break: $113,500 (green line, previous support now acts as resistance). $118,000 (key level for a return to the uptrend). $124,500 (highs). 2. Moving Averages SMA 50 (green) and SMA 200 (blue) → classic trend analysis: The price is currently below the SMA 50, confirming short-term weakness. The SMA 200 (~$100,300) is still maintaining the long-term trend – only a break below would signal a more serious bear market. Possible scenario: If the SMA 50 begins to decline and approaches the SMA 200 → a Death Cross threatens. 3. MACD Negative histogram, signal line below zero → downward momentum continues. No signs of a reversal (no positive divergence yet). 4. RSI RSI ~47 – neutral zone, slightly below 50 → not oversold, but showing an oversold market. The RSI previously rebounded from the ~70 line (overheating) and is now heading down. 5. Key Levels Support: 108,000 (current) 104,500 98,400 (strategic) Resistance: 113,500 118,000 124,500 📊 Scenarios Bearish (more likely now): If 108,000 fails → a test of 104,500, and in the longer term, 98,400 USD. A break below 98,000 would signal a long-term downtrend. Bullish (less likely at this point): A return above 113,500 and a daily candle closing above this level → a signal for a reversal and a possible re-entry into the 118–124k range.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
1
#DJI30 hits record highs: The index just made history!On August 22, 2025, the #DJI30 surged past 45,700, setting a new all-time high. The rally was fueled by growing expectations of a Fed rate cut, with cheap money once again making stocks attractive. Strong earnings reports from industrial and banking sectors, along with new White House infrastructure investment plans, added to the bullish sentiment. A solid labor market and resilient consumer activity continue to ease recession fears, prompting capital to flow out of volatile assets and into blue-chip stocks. As a result, #DJI30 posted a powerful breakout and reinforced its role as a key barometer of U.S. economic strength. Why the #DJI30 rally may still have room to run: Easing Fed policy: Lower rates and controlled inflation create favorable conditions for borrowing and investing. U.S. infrastructure expansion: Government spending on transport, energy, and digitalization supports real-sector companies — the core of #DJI30. Strong corporate earnings & dividends: Many Dow components offer reliable dividends, making the index attractive amid broader market volatility. Shift from risky assets: Funds and individual investors are rotating out of crypto and growth stocks into more stable “industrial giants.” U.S. geopolitical resilience: Despite global tensions, the U.S. remains a “safe haven” for investors, boosting demand for American equities. The continued rise of #DJI30 is underpinned by robust corporate profitability and the overall resilience of the U.S. economy. The latest earnings season confirmed the strength of major industrial and financial players, while easing inflation and expectations of a Fed rate cut provide a supportive backdrop. #DJI30 remains a reliable gauge of market stability and investor risk appetite worldwide. According to FreshForex, this opens a window of opportunity for long positions on #DJI30.
DJ:DJILong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 29, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is losing ground after three days of decline, trading around 1.1660 during Asian hours on Friday. The EUR/USD pair is depreciating amid a recovery in the US dollar (USD) due to US economic growth in the second quarter. Annual gross domestic product (GDP) in the US grew by 3.3% in the second quarter, exceeding initial estimates of 3.1% and the previous 3.0%. However, the US dollar may face difficulties amid renewed dovish sentiment regarding the prospects for Federal Reserve (Fed). According to Reuters, Fed member Christopher Waller said on Thursday that he would support lowering interest rates at the September meeting and further cuts over the next three to six months to prevent a collapse in the labor market. Concerns about the Fed's independence have intensified following recent statements by US Vice President Jay D. Vance. He noted: "I don't think we should allow bureaucrats to make decisions about monetary policy and interest rates without taking into account the opinions of people who were elected to serve the American people... The US president is much better equipped to make such decisions." Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1690, SL 1.1610, TP 1.1790
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004