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Range Tightens on Gold – Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?📌 Trading Plan for April 28, 2025: Gold (XAU/USD) Strategy 🧠📈 📊 Technical Analysis Following the sharp drop in previous sessions, gold is now consolidating around the 3260–3270 support zone. Price is moving within a tight triangle formation on the M15 timeframe, indicating compression ahead of a breakout. The MA 13 – 34 – 200 still suggests a short-term bearish bias, but selling momentum has noticeably slowed down. Expectation: gold may retest the 3299–3313 resistance zone before a stronger directional move. 🎯 Key Price Levels for Today Immediate Resistance: 3299 – 3313 Major Support: 3260 – 3258 – 3239 🧩 Updated Trade Setup 🔵 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3260 – 3258 Stop Loss (SL): 3254 Take Profit (TP): 3264 → 3268 → 3272 → 3276 → 3280 🔴 SELL ZONE: (after price retests resistance) Entry: 3299 – 3301 Stop Loss (SL): 3306 Take Profit (TP): 3295 → 3290 → 3286 → 3282 → 3275 📢 Important Notes Expected daily range: 60–80 pips. No major economic news today, but stay alert for unexpected political headlines (especially from the US, China, India-Pakistan tensions). Strictly follow TP/SL levels to protect your capital — avoid FOMO chasing after sharp intraday moves. ✅ Conclusion Gold remains in a sensitive consolidation phase. The best strategy today is buying at support and selling at resistance, only scaling in after clear confirmations! 💬 How are you planning to trade gold today? Share your views and setups below! 👇👇👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
btc . wOpen . SHORT weakwOpen with a run down to current range volume profile LOW + minor SFP low (liquidity grab) - Stop out LONGS - Catch late retail SHORTS - squeeze them to top range + higher the friday SHORT was good, but didn't catch momentum looking to move TP1 to cW 0.5 retrace level @ 93.809 i see this pump higher . though cautios, because these levels are late LONG entries only looking for LONGS around 93.777 - 92.782 tp1 . 95.843 tp2 . 99.490 if we see a down momentum shift, act accordingly - i believe this to come towards wednesday
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by Dartagnones
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 28, 2025 USDJPYUSDJPY: The Japanese yen (JPY) fluctuated in a narrow range in Monday's Asian session and paused its recent pullback from a multi-month high reached last week against its U.S. counterpart. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent did not support President Donald Trump's statement that tariff talks with China are underway. That tempered optimism about a quick resolution to trade tensions between the world's two largest economies and provided some support for the safe-haven yen. Meanwhile, traders pushed back expectations of an immediate interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) due to rising economic risks from US tariffs. However, signs of rising inflation in Japan leave the door open for further BoJ rate hikes this year, which is a big divergence from bets on more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) policy easing. This keeps USD bulls on the defensive and also serves as a tailwind for the low-yielding Yen. Trading recommendation: SELL 143.20, SL 143.60, TP 142.50
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Peace Headlines Are Here — But Markets Have Already Moved OnA Russia-Ukraine peace deal making headlines right now is historic news — politically and emotionally. But for the forex and commodities markets? The real money already left this story behind months ago. 🧠 Smart Money Knows: Markets Price in the Future, Not the Past Two years ago, the war sent shockwaves through oil, gas, wheat, and risk currencies. By late 2023, price action had already normalized — the "war premium" faded out quietly. Commodities stabilized. Forex volatility shifted. Safe havens lost their edge. Traders adapted, recalibrated, and moved on to new battlegrounds. Bottom Line: The market already priced in a future where this conflict would eventually fade — peace or no peace. 📊 What Actually Drives Forex Now While peace headlines grab attention, the real macro drivers today are: 🔥 Tariff escalation and global trade wars 🔥 Sticky inflation battles (core services inflation still high) 🔥 Central bank pivot games (Fed, ECB, BoJ) 🔥 Global growth fears (China slowdown, EU stagnation) This is where new money is flowing. Not into a two-year-old headline finally catching up. 🛡️ "Buy the Rumor, Sell the Fact" in Action For two years, markets have priced in an eventual end (or fade) to the Ukraine conflict. A peace agreement now? → It confirms expectations, not shocks them. → It may trigger a short-lived risk-on pop (EUR, AUD, NZD up, gold down) — → But unless it unleashes massive new money flows (unlikely), that pop gets sold. 🔥 Final Thought: If you're still trading the last war, you're already late. The next major moves won't come from peace headlines — they'll come from tariff escalations, inflation battles, and central bank pivots. Focus forward. That's where opportunity lives. 💬 Question for Serious Traders: Which macro theme are you really watching into summer 2025? Peace headlines... or the new fires already burning? Drop your insights below. 👇
Education
by natron
1
The relationship between gold, copper and the US10YFirst, can you tell me what you think the relationship between these two curves is? Clearly, these two curves have a strong negative correlation, meaning they move exactly opposite to each other. You can see in the image that their behavior is like a mirror image (from 2007 to before 2022). You are familiar with the gold-to-copper ratio, right? Now, when this gold-to-copper ratio curve rises, it means that gold is giving better returns compared to copper. This indicates that the global economy is moving away from growth and heading toward a recession. Investors, instead of investing in production (where copper symbolizes production), choose to invest in a safe haven like gold. The opposite happens when this curve goes down. The lower curve represents the yield on long-term U.S. bonds. When this curve is rising, it means that the supply of bonds is greater than the demand. People are selling bonds, which causes the bond yield to rise. When the curve is falling, it means people are buying bonds, which causes the bond yield to drop. Why do these two curves move in opposite directions? Now, let’s get to the main question. The answer to this question is simple: bonds, like gold, serve as a safe haven for investors. When the economy moves toward a recession (when gold offers better returns than copper, and the gold-to-copper ratio is rising), some investors shift towards bonds, and the yield curve drops. That’s why these two curves move in opposite directions. To summarize the entire story: Movement toward recession = investors moving toward gold and bonds = rise in the gold-to-copper ratio and drop in bond yield curve. Now it’s clear why these two curves move opposite to each other. The big surprise is coming👇 Since the beginning of 2022, the historical trend has changed. These two curves have started to show a positive correlation! Meaning, everything I mentioned above has gone out the window! Now, the question is: What suddenly happened? There are several analyses, but I believe what changed is that U.S. bonds are no longer a safe haven for investors, as they once were (the same fear signal I mentioned earlier). In fact, after the pandemic, the world has never been the same. This is an important development and it affects many things. I’ve addressed this topic from various perspectives before, and here’s a new angle on it. For the past two to three years, contrary to the historical trend, investors have been buying gold but selling bonds, and these two curves have been rising together. As you can see, the analytical situation has changed drastically compared to, say, 10 years ago, and many fundamental facts have shifted. For instance, many people expect the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates and gold to go up again, but after an initial short shock, the story will probably reverse. #Gold #XAUUSD #HG1!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by mostafadehghan321
1
TradeCityPro | Deep Search: In-Depth Of ONDO👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! In this analysis, I want to fully review the ONDO project for you. First, I’ll go over the project’s information, and then we'll move on to its technical analysis. 🔹Introduction to Ondo Finance (ONDO) Ondo Finance is an open and decentralized investment bank designed to bridge the gap between traditional finance and decentralized finance (DeFi). Founded in 2022 and based in the Cayman Islands, Ondo's mission is to democratize access to institutional-grade financial services. Its ecosystem is built to serve a wide range of stakeholders including DAOs, institutional players, and retail investors. Ondo's key innovation lies in tokenizing real-world assets, thereby making them accessible to a broader audience via blockchain technology. 🔹ONDO Token and Governance The ONDO token plays a central role in the governance of the Ondo decentralized autonomous organization (DAO). Token holders have specific rights within the DAO, particularly over the governance of Flux Finance, which is one of the main platforms in the Ondo ecosystem. ONDO holders are empowered to propose and vote on changes, allocate funds for projects, and influence the platform’s direction, ensuring community-driven governance. The ONDO token sale occurred in mid-2022 and was purchased by over 18,000 individuals. 🔹Technology and Infrastructure Ondo leverages blockchain technology to offer decentralized financial services. It operates on a secure and transparent distributed ledger system, which ensures that transactions are immutable and resistant to tampering. The platform uses Proof-of-Stake (PoS) as its consensus mechanism to validate transactions, offering both security and energy efficiency. Ondo is also integrated with various DeFi protocols and utilizes techniques from traditional finance to repackage DeFi exposures into institutional-grade risk-return profiles. Strategic partnerships with firms like BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, and Coinbase enhance its interoperability and credibility. 🔹Real-World Use Cases Ondo's primary application is in the tokenization of real-world assets such as real estate or treasuries. This allows users to invest in fractionalized assets, lowering the barrier to entry for institutional-quality financial products. The platform is used for intellectual property management through blockchain-based records, enabling secure and transparent tracking. Ondo also engages in community events and educational initiatives to raise awareness about blockchain technology. Furthermore, it offers technical and business development services such as smart contract deployment and treasury management to startups and institutions. 🔹Key Developments and Milestones In 2022, the Ondo DAO was officially launched, providing a decentralized governance framework. Following that, the foundation introduced Flux Finance, a major protocol under Ondo DAO governance. The Ondo Foundation has formed several partnerships to expand its ecosystem and drive innovation. One of the important initiatives includes Ondo USDY LLC, which issues the USDY stablecoin. Ondo has also focused on education, contract deployment, and treasury management, solidifying its operational backbone and long-term strategic vision. 🔹Team and Founders Ondo Finance was founded by Nathan Allman and a team of former Goldman Sachs digital asset professionals. Nathan Allman brings a strong background in engineering and financial operations, serving as a key driver of the project’s vision. The founding team’s experience in traditional finance has been instrumental in shaping Ondo’s hybrid model, which integrates DeFi tools with institutional-grade strategies. 🔹Fundraising and Token Sale Ondo Finance has conducted multiple fundraising rounds. An initial coin offering (ICO) took place on CoinList on May 12, 2022, raising $22 million. The token was priced at $0.055, with a minimum purchase of $100 and a maximum of $20,000. Another funding round was the IEO on Gate.io Startup, conducted from January 17 to January 18, 2024, which raised $40,000. In total, Ondo has raised $46.04 million, including $22.04 million from public sales and $24 million from private and institutional funding rounds. 🔹Tokenomics The ONDO token has a maximum supply of 10 billion tokens. Distribution is divided as follows: 52.1 percent for ecosystem growth, 33 percent for protocol development, 12.9 percent for private sales, and 2 percent for community access sales. As of now, 33.9 percent of the total supply is unlocked, with another 19.4 percent scheduled for future unlocks. Approximately 46.7 percent remains locked. 🔹Vesting Schedule The vesting of ONDO tokens is structured into distinct categories. Ecosystem growth tokens are released linearly over five years, with 24 percent unlocked as of January 2024 and 39.2 percent expected to unlock gradually. Protocol development tokens have a one-year cliff, followed by a three-year linear unlock, with 25 percent becoming available in April 2025. Private sales follow the same schedule as protocol development, while community access sales were 90 percent unlocked from the beginning with full linear unlock over one year. — Certik: 87.50✅ 🔹Top Ondo Wallets Trust Wallet imToken MetaMask Torus Coinbase TokenPocket iToken Wallet Binance web3 wallet 🔹Liquidity Pools Uniswap Balancer 🔹Top Holders 0x677fd4ed8ae623f2f625deb2d64f2070e46ca1a1 0x460ae5a6666fcb9635ba99b541b31279e59665370x 524083970c7a1e62fbaa61d38781f87a4f191fd0 0xa63eace47618b9677261b09b32e3ca2b5c0a0182 0xd2e6e930e25456ffcd4df0124563cc334f3284f4 🔹Significant TVL Growth in Ondo Despite Sharp Liquidity Decline Since mid-January 2025, the total value locked (TVL) in Ondo has increased from 157,000 ETH to 631,000 ETH, reflecting significant growth in its TVL. However, in terms of liquidity, Ondo has experienced a sharp decline since late March, with a drop of nearly 50% compared to the previous month. 🔹On-Chain Analysis of ONDO Looking at ONDO’s on-chain data, the $0.833 level stands out as a key support zone based on the concentration of tokens currently in profit. On the flip side, the $0.856 area acts as a resistance level, with approximately 124 million ONDO tokens currently held at a loss. However, the volume of tokens in profit remains higher overall, which can be interpreted positively — these zones represent value and may attract increased demand. From a network activity perspective, there has been a noticeable decline, particularly in the number of new addresses being created. Analyzing supply and demand, approximately 75% of ONDO tokens are held by whales, indicating strong whale dominance. Address-level data shows that wallets holding between 10 and 100 million tokens have shown minor demand, while older holders are contributing meaningful inflows. Additionally, wallets identified as "investor" addresses have also demonstrated renewed buying interest. 👀 Now that we’ve reviewed the project's details, let’s dive into ONDO’s technical analysis. 📅 Weekly Timeframe In the weekly timeframe, as you can see, there aren't many candles yet, so we can’t perform a complete analysis on this timeframe. ✔️ However, you can observe that after the project launched in January 2024, there was an upward movement up to the 1.3927 area, followed by a correction down to 0.5871. 💥 After this correction, the next bullish leg continued up to the 2.0565 area. 📈 During this bullish cycle, there’s also an ascending trendline that the price has reacted to multiple times, and now it has touched it again. ⚡️ The main support on this timeframe is at 0.5871, and the main resistance is at 2.0565. So, if you already hold ONDO and are considering setting a stop-loss, breaking 0.5871 could be a good point to activate it. 🔽 This level can also be used as a trigger for a short position. Breaking 0.5871 could create a downtrend in ONDO. 🛒 For spot buying, the main trigger is breaking 2.0565, and if this level is broken, the price could register a new ATH. 📅 Daily Timeframe In the daily timeframe, as you can see, the price has been supported by the trendline and has shown a very quick reaction, with bullish momentum pushing it above the 0.9253 resistance. 📊 Currently, the price has reached the SMA99 and reacted to it. The volume of the candles reacting to the SMA99 has increased, and if the price stabilizes above the SMA99, the main bullish leg could begin. 💫 The next resistance the price faces is at 1.1933, and if the SMA99 is broken, I believe the price can easily rise to this level. ☘️ Moreover, if this level is also broken, the price could climb up to 2.0565. 📉 For ONDO to turn bearish on this timeframe, the first trigger would be a fake breakout above 0.9253.The main bearish trigger would be breaking both the trendline and the 0.7122 level. 📝 Final Thoughts This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
13
#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Wyckoff #Analysis #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Wyckoff #Analysis #Eddy This analysis is based on the analytical style of the Wyckoff Distribution Structure of Schematics 1 and 2. I have outlined for you the important parts of the Wyckoff style on the one-hour timeframe. Currently, we are in Phase C of the Wyckoff Distribution Structure. We have to wait for the completion of this phase and the start of Phase D of the Wyckoff Distribution Structure. When will this structure be fully confirmed? When the Bitcoin price falls to the 91800 support and gathers the final spring when this support is broken for the fall, we will enter a short position by getting the necessary confirmations based on our style and strategy. 💬 Note: It is not exactly clear whether the market maker will act based on Schematic 1 or 2, so the best entry point for short positions will be the 91800 support break. If, based on the schematic 1, the Bitcoin price UTAD and test formed, high-risk traders who are willing to trade in the opposite direction can enter a short position by getting confirmation in the time frames below 15 minutes. Where will the targets be? The first target is 62000 and the second target can be 46000 dollars. When can you safely close the position and enter a reverse trade, that is, long or buy? When a Wyckoff accumulation structure is formed at one of the targets. The responsibility for the trade is yours and I have no responsibility for your failure to comply with the risk and capital management. Good luck and be profitable. I also invite you to review and view my latest analysis on Bitcoin via the link below: For altcoins, follow my analysis on the Total 3 chart. My analysis of the Total 3 chart:
Short
by Eddy_Trade_
1
#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Update #Analysis #Eddy#BTC #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #BITCOIN #Update #Analysis #Eddy I have identified the important support and resistance areas of the weekly timeframe for you. I have identified the important resistance prices for the start of the decline with the red line and the important support prices for the start of the growth with the green line. This analysis is based on a combination of different styles, including the volume style with the ict style. Based on your strategy and style, get the necessary confirmations for this analysis to enter the trade. Don't forget about risk and capital management. The responsibility for the transaction is yours and I have no responsibility for your failure to comply with your risk and capital management. 💬 Note: An important analysis will be presented on the lower timeframe on Bitcoin soon, which, based on the chart and explanations sent in that analysis, you can hunt for Bitcoin's decline by getting confirmation, pay attention to the current chart and consider important liquidity, including the Decision and Extreme areas. Be successful and profitable. For altcoins, proceed according to my analysis on the Total 3 chart. My analysis of the Total 3 chart: You can also view and review my previous analyses on my TradingView page. Please don't forget to like and follow, your support encourages me to continue on my path and provide more analysis and updates.
by Eddy_Trade_
1
TA for FX,Indices and many More!(Week 17,28Apr25)Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Which pairs or instruments should we keep a look out for? For me I am looking at : potentially more pullback (down) on EURUSD and the majors.(stronger USD) SNP might have a day or 2 of upside and pullback (chance for long on the change in daily trend) Potential H&S on EurGbp and Gold. BTC to see potential long if there's decent pullback. NFP this week, BOJ interest rate release as well! Take note! Do check out my recorded video for more insights! Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
ICMARKETS:BTCUSD
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
BTC/USDT Analysis: Approaching Resistance Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst with your daily market analysis. Yesterday, Bitcoin tested our support zone at $92,000–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) and immediately received a buyer reaction. At the moment, we are very close to long-term resistance levels. The buying activity appears relatively weak, and cumulative delta continues to decline, indicating that sellers might be accumulating positions. In the near term, a correction from one of the identified sell zones is expected. The buyer zone at $92,000–$90,000 remains active but has slightly shifted lower to $91,500–$90,000. Sell Zones: $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes) $97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volumes) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zones: $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) $88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption) $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes) $82,700–$81,400 (high volume area) Level at $74,800 $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes) Do you think we’ll see a correction, or will Bitcoin reach $100,000 first? Share your thoughts in the comments — it’s always interesting to compare perspectives! This publication does not constitute financial advice.
by Crypto_robotics
4
Gold Retreats After Trump Confirms China Talks 📌 Gold Retreats After Trump Confirms China Talks – Political Noise Drives Volatility 🧨📉 Gold (XAU/USD) saw a sharp intraday drop following comments from President Trump, who confirmed that trade talks with China are “ongoing” — despite China denying any official negotiations had taken place. The market interpreted this as a signal of de-escalation, prompting a short-term price correction. Gold had previously rallied past $3,500/oz, supported by a weaker USD and strong demand from bargain hunters after last week’s sharp decline. However, the current political contradictions and tariff headlines are creating erratic moves across all asset classes. 🌍 Fundamental Context The USD weakened, stocks lost momentum, and risk sentiment shifted after a confusing round of statements from the US and China. Meanwhile, US jobless claims rose slightly, reflecting a resilient labour market amid tariff-related headwinds. Today’s Core Retail Sales data in the US could add more volatility heading into the weekly candle close. It’s Friday — expect possible liquidity sweeps and aggressive price spikes as the market prepares for weekend risk-off moves. 📊 Trading Outlook – 26 April We're seeing signs of a tactical pullback, but long setups should be delayed until political headlines stabilise. Focus on intraday reaction zones — not aggressive positioning. 🔻 SELL ZONES 3384 – 3386 • SL: 3390 • TP: 3380 → 3376 → 3372 → 3368 → 3364 → 3360 → ??? 3406 – 3408 • SL: 3412 • TP: 3400 → 3396 → 3392 → 3388 → 3384 → 3380 → 3370 → 3360 🟢 BUY ZONES 3288 – 3286 • SL: 3282 • TP: 3292 → 3296 → 3300 → 3304 → 3310 3270 – 3268 • SL: 3264 • TP: 3274 → 3278 → 3282 → 3286 → 3290 🛡️ Final Notes & Strategy Avoid rushing BUY entries — allow Price to complete its corrective phase and wait for structure and confirmation. Today’s Core Retail Sales (US) could trigger a fresh wave of volatility. It’s also weekly close Friday, so prepare for potential false breaks and stop hunts. ✅ Stick to your TP/SL. Protect your capital first — clarity will come when the dust settles. 💬 Are you watching for a short-term bounce or planning to fade strength near resistance? Let us know in the comments below! 👇👇👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
Euro may rebound from support line of wegde and continue growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. For a while, price was consolidating in a flat range, bouncing between support near 1.0735 and resistance close to 1.0950 points. The price showed multiple rejections from the buyer zone, indicating strong interest from bulls around that area. Eventually, this led to a breakout to the upside, accompanied by a sharp impulse movement. After the breakout, the pair formed a steady upward wedge pattern, where both support and resistance lines were respected. This pattern helped channel the bullish pressure, allowing the price to gradually push higher while also offering clear correction zones. One of those zones, the support area, is particularly important. Price bounced off this area again recently, signaling that buyers are still in control. The market is currently recovering from a local correction and showing early signs of continued growth, as visible from the bounce off the wedge's support line and the area around the current support level. Given this structure, the breakout from range, the formation of the wedge, and the consistent support reaction, I expect the Euro may to continue its movement upward. So, that's why I set my TP at 1.1550 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
13
Gold can break support level and continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. For a while, Gold was confidently moving within an upward channel, with each impulse supported by rebounds from the lower boundary. After breaking out of the buyer zone, the price made a strong bullish move, supported by momentum and healthy corrections. This movement continued up to the current support level at 3285, where the price began to stall. Then, a classic Head and Shoulders pattern has now fully formed. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are all visible and aligned with the support area, which now acts as the neckline of the pattern. This isn't random, it's a well-defined reversal signal forming after an extended bullish leg. The rejection from the right shoulder shows evident seller control, and the price is now testing the neckline from below. The support area has already been broken once, and any bounce from here appears corrective rather than impulsive. Given this setup, I expect that price can fully breakdown toward the 3060 level, which acts as both a strong historical support and my TP1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by LegionQ8
11
USD/JPY(20250425)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Federal Reserve-①Hamack: If economic data is clear, the Fed may cut interest rates in June ②Waller: It will take until July to get a clearer understanding of how tariffs affect the economy. If tariffs lead to higher unemployment, interest rate cuts may be initiated. ③The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model predicts that the US GDP growth rate in the first quarter will be -2.5%. ④Kashkari: The frequent announcements from Washington have brought challenges to policymakers and everyone. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 142.79 Support and resistance levels: 143.94 143.51 143.23 142.34 142.06 141.63 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 142.79, consider buying, the first target price is 143.23 If the price breaks through 142.34, consider selling, the first target price is 142.06
Long
by Toml1314
9 Simple Ratios Every Great Investor Uses - Buffett Included!Forget the hype, headlines, or hope. These 9 financial ratios are what real investors actually use to pick winners, but... P/E? ROE? EPS? 🧐 - What are they, or better yet, WHO are they? 🤯 - How high is “too high”? - Is a low number always good, or just a trap? - Do all industries follow the same rules… or is that another myth? Buffett. Greenblatt. Graham. Lynch. They didn’t rely on vibes — they trusted fundamentals After years of relying on charts, I built a 9-point fundamentals checklist to filter stocks faster and smarter. Now I’m sharing it with real-life examples and key insights to help you spot what really makes a stock worth owning: Easy enough for new investors diving into fundamentals Sharp enough to level up seasoned pros Real enough to avoid hype …but the truth is: these numbers did flag companies like Amazon, Apple, and Nvidia before the market gave them credit. ----------------------------------------------------- ✅ Quick Reference Table Scan the table, then dive into the stories… First Pro Tip: Bookmark this. You’ll check these before every stock pick. ----------------------------------------------------- 📊 1. P/E Ratio | Price-to-Earnings What it tells you: How much you pay for each dollar of a company’s profit. Short Example: A P/E of 20 means you pay $20 for $1 of profit. High P/E? Expect big growth or risk overpaying. Strong: Between 15 and 25 Caution: Above 30 (unless fast growth) Industry Averages: - Tech: 25–40 - Utilities: 10–15 - Consumer Staples: 15–20 - Energy: 10–20 - Healthcare: 20–30 Story: In early 2023, NVIDIA’s P/E ratio hovered around 25, near the low end for tech stocks. Investors who saw this as a steal amid the AI boom were rewarded—NVIDIA’s stock made 4x by the end of 2024 as AI chip demand soared. Contrast that with Tesla in Q1 2025, when its P/E spiked above 40 with slowing sales and Tesla’s stock dropped 50% in weeks. Pro tip: A low P/E is not always good. If growth is weak or falling, it's often a trap. Example: A utility company with a P/E of 30 is probably overpriced. A tech stock with 35 might still be fair — if growth justifies it. ----------------------------------------------------- 🧠 2. PEG Ratio | Price-to-Earnings-to-Growth What it tells you: If a high P/E is worth it based on future profit growth. Whether the earnings growth justifies the price. Short Example: A PEG below 1 means you’re getting growth at a fair price. High PEG? You’re overpaying. Strong: Below 1 Caution: Above 2 Industry Averages: - Software: below 1.5 is solid - Consumer Goods: Below 2 is more realistic - Tech: Below 1 - Consumer Staples: Below 1.5 - Healthcare: Below 1.2 - Financials: Below 1.5 - Energy: Below 1.3 Story: In mid-2022, Salesforce’s PEG was 0.8 (P/E 35, forward EPS growth 45%) as cloud demand surged. Investors who spotted this steal saw the stock climb 130% by the end of 2024. Meanwhile, Peloton in 2023 had a P/E of 20 but near-zero growth (PEG above 3). Its stock cratered -50% as fitness trends faded. Story: NVIDIA’s PEG hit 0.9 in Q3 2023 (P/E 30, growth 35%) during AI hype, a steal for tech (average PEG below 1.2). PEG filters hype. A stock can look expensive until you factor in growth. ----------------------------------------------------- 🧱 3. P/B Ratio | Price-to-Book What it tells you: How much you pay compared to what the company owns (like buildings or cash). Short Example: A P/B below 1.5 means you’re paying close to the company’s asset value. High P/B? Expect strong profits or risk. Strong: Below 1.5 Caution: Below 1 + poor earnings = value trap Industry Averages: - Banks: Below 1.5 - Insurance: Below 1.3 - REITs: Use NAV (aim below 1.2) - Tech: Often ignored - Energy: Below 2 Story: In 2024, JPMorgan Chase’s P/B was 1.4, solid for banks (average below 1.5). Investors who bought enjoyed 100% gains. n 2023, Bed Bath & Beyond’s P/B fell below 1 with collapsing earnings. It looked cheap but filed for bankruptcy that year. Tip: Only use this in asset-heavy sectors like banking or real estate. ----------------------------------------------------- ⚙️ 4. ROE | Return on Equity What it tells you: How well a company turns investor money into profits. Short Example: An ROE above 15% means the company makes good money from your investment. Low ROE? Weak returns. Strong: Above 15% Caution: Below 10% unless in slow-growth industries Industry Averages: - Tech: 20–30% - Consumer Staples: 15–25% - Utilities: 8–12% - Financials: 10–15% - Healthcare: 15–20% Story: Coca-Cola (KO) has kept ROE above 35% for years, a sign of brand power and pricing strength. Eli Lilly’s (LLY) ROE stayed above 25% from 2022–2024, a healthcare leader (average 15–20%). Its weight-loss drug Mounjaro drove consistent profits, lifting the stock 150%+ in two years. Checking ROE trends helped investors spot this winner. Tip: If ROE is high but D/E is also high, be careful, it might just be leverage. ----------------------------------------------------- 💰 5. Net Margin | Profitability What it tells you: How much profit a company keeps from its sales or what % of revenue ends up as pure profit. Short Example: A 10% margin means $10 profit per $100 in sales. Low margin? Tough business or high costs. Strong: Above 10-15%+ Caution: Below 5% Industry Averages: - Software: 20–30% - Retail: 2–5% - Manufacturing: 8–12% - Consumer Staples: 10–15% - Energy: 5–10% - Healthcare: 8–15% Story: Walmart’s (WMT) 2% net margin looks tiny — but it’s expected in retail. A software firm with 5%? That’s a warning — high costs or weak pricing. In 2023, Zoom’s (ZM) net margin fell to 5% (down from 25% in 2021), well below software’s 20–30% average. Pricing pressure and competition crushed its stock quite a lot. Meanwhile, Apple’s 25% margin in 2024 (tech average 20%) remained a cash cow. Tip: Margins show whether the company owns its pricing or competes on price. ----------------------------------------------------- 💣 6. D/E Ratio | Debt-to-Equity What it tells you: How much debt a company uses compared to investor money. Short Example: A D/E below 1 means more investor cash than debt. High D/E? Risky if profits dip. Strong: Below 1 Caution: Above 2 (except REITs or utilities) Industry Averages: - Tech: 0–0.5 - Industrials: 0.5–1.5 - REITs: 1.5–2.5 (manageable due to structure) - Utilities: 1–2 - Energy: 0.5–1.5 Story: In 2024, Tesla’s D/E dropped below 0.3 (tech average 0–0.5) as it paid down debt, signaling strength despite sales dips - a massive rally afterward. Tip: Rising debt + falling profits = a storm coming. Always check both. ----------------------------------------------------- 💵 7. Free Cash Flow (FCF) What it tells you: Cash left after paying for operations and growth investments. Short Example: Apple’s $100 billion cash pile in 2024 funded stock buybacks, boosting shares. Low cash? Trouble looms. Strong: Positive and growing Caution: Negative for multiple years Sector notes: - Tech: Lots of cash (think billions) - Industrials: Up and down, check trends - REITs: Look at FFO (cash from properties), aim high - Energy: Has cash, but swings with oil prices - Healthcare: Steady cash, not too high Story: Netflix had negative FCF while scaling content. Once costs stabilized, FCF turned positive and stock re-rated sharply. Pro tip: Profits don’t mean much without real cash. FCF is often more honest. Cash is king: Companies need cash to pay bills, reduce debt, or fund growth. If FCF is falling, they might be burning through cash reserves or borrowing, which isn’t sustainable. Potential issues : This mismatch could signal problems like poor cash collection, heavy spending, or even accounting tricks to inflate profits. ----------------------------------------------------- 🚀 8. EPS Growth | Earnings Power What it tells you: How fast a company’s profits per share are growing. Short Example: EPS up 10% yearly means more profit per share, lifting stock prices. Flat EPS? No growth, no gains. Strong: Above 10% Caution: Below 5%, flat/negative for 3+ years Industry Averages: - Tech: 15–30% - Staples: 5–10% - REITs: 3–6% (via FFO growth) - Healthcare: 10–15% - Financials: 5–10% - Energy: 5–15% (cyclical) Story: In Q1 2024, NVIDIA’s forward EPS growth of 30% (tech average 20%+) fueled a rally as AI chips dominated. Checking forward estimates helped investors avoid traps like Intel, with flat EPS and a drop. Pro tip: A stock with flat EPS and no dividend? There’s no reason to own it. ----------------------------------------------------- 💵 9. Dividend Yield | Passive Income What it tells you: How much cash you get yearly from dividends per dollar invested. Short Example: A 3% yield means $3 per $100 invested. High yield? Check if it’s sustainable. Good: ~3–4% Red Flag: Above 6% with a payout ratio above 80-90% Industry Averages: - Utilities: 3–5% - REITs: 3–6% - Consumer Staples: 2–4% - Tech: 0–2% - Energy: 2–5% ----------------------------------------------------- 💡 Final Thought: How to Use All of This Top investors don’t use just one metric. They look at the whole picture: Good growth? Check PEG. Good profits? Confirm with ROE and margin. Safe balance sheet? Look at D/E and cash flow. Fair valuation? P/E + FCF Yield + P/B. Real power = Combining metrics. A company with P/E 15, PEG 0.8, ROE 20%, low debt, and positive FCF? That’s your winner. A stock with P/E 8, but no growth, high debt, and negative cash flow? That’s a trap. ----------------------------------------------------- Real-World Combos 🎯Winners: Tech Gem: P/E 20, PEG 0.8, ROE 25%, D/E 0.4, growing FCF, EPS 20%+ (e.g., NVIDIA 2023: AI-driven growth, stock soared). Energy Steal: P/E 15, P/B 1.5, FCF positive, Dividend Yield 3.5% (e.g., Chevron 2023: Cash flow king). ⚠️Traps: Value Trap: P/E 8, flat EPS, D/E 2.5, negative FCF (e.g., Peloton 2023). Overhyped Tech: P/E 50, PEG 3, Net Margin 5%, D/E 1.5 (e.g., Rivian 2024). ----------------------------------------------------- 🚀 Share your own combos! What do you personally look for when picking a stock? If you spotted something off in the numbers, or have a valuable insight to add — please, drop it in the comments.👇 💡 Let’s turn this into a thread that’s not just good but superb and genuinely helpful for everyone. ----------------------------------------------------- Final Thought “Buy great companies at fair prices, not fair companies at great prices.” – Warren Buffett This guide gives you the map. Charts, tell you when. These numbers tell you what, and why. And this post? It’s just the beginning! These 9 metrics are part one of a bigger series I’m building — where we’ll go even deeper, with more advanced ratios, smarter combos, and real case studies. If this guide helped you see financial numbers a little clearer, there’s a good chance it’ll help your investor friend too, especially if they’re just starting their journey...🤝Share it with them! I built this as much for myself as for anyone else who wants to get better.👊 If you made it this far — thank you! 🙏 ...and super thankful if you hit "The Boost" on this post 🚀 Cheers, Vaido
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by VaidoVeek
2
btc . w4 . fancy SHORTthe 'OTF - one time frame' Break of the monthly is still due. There was no chance for LONGS during the week for retail buyers, only late buyers. We've traded 2 days just under resistance, accumulating: - late LONGS - early SHORTS I'm willing to SHORT now on friday, once the OTF has been hit. Scalling in from cwHigh upwards Invalidation would be to keep pumping and then potentialy SFP on monday for downside. R:R is alright! I like to give myself a 3% invalidation range till SL.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by Dartagnones
GBP Rebounds on Retail Sales – But USD Still in Control📌 GBP Bounces on Strong Retail Sales, But USD Strength Keeps Pressure On 💷📉 The British Pound (GBP) rebounded on Friday after UK Retail Sales data surprised to the upside. According to the Office for National Statistics (ONS), retail sales rose by 0.4% in March, beating expectations of a -0.4% decline. On a yearly basis, growth accelerated to 2.6%, outpacing the forecast of 1.8%. However, despite the positive data, traders remain confident the Bank of England (BoE) may still cut interest rates by 25 bps to 4.25% in the May meeting, due to persistent global uncertainties and softer inflation expectations. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) gained ground across the board as trade tensions between the US and China appeared to ease. Durable Goods Orders in the US jumped by 9.2% in March — a clear sign of business confidence and policy impact. 📊 Technical Outlook – GBP/USD GBP/USD briefly recovered from an intraday low of 1.3280 but remains under pressure near key resistance. On the upside, the psychological barrier at 1.3500 remains a major hurdle. To the downside, the April 3rd high around 1.3200 now acts as strong support. 💼 Trading Plan 🟢 BUY ZONE: Entry: 1.32500 SL: 1.32000 TP: 1.33300 🔴 SELL ZONE: Entry: 1.34180 SL: 1.34700 TP: 1.33500 📌 Stay alert ahead of key BoE guidance and further US-China headlines — volatility may increase as we head into May.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
AUDNZD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDNZD has finally broken out of a well-formed falling wedge pattern on the 12H timeframe, signaling a potential bullish reversal. After a sustained downtrend, price consolidated within the wedge, indicating decreasing bearish momentum. The recent breakout confirms buyer strength and opens the door for a fresh upside swing. The current price sits around 1.072, and based on technical structure and projected pattern targets, we could be heading towards the 1.105 zone. From a fundamental standpoint, the Australian Dollar is gaining support due to rising commodity demand and hawkish tones from the RBA, hinting at a possibility of sustained higher interest rates. On the other hand, the New Zealand Dollar has been under pressure due to softer-than-expected CPI data and growing speculation that the RBNZ might be done with its tightening cycle. This divergence in central bank stance adds fuel to the AUDNZD bullish narrative. Today’s macro releases show stable Australian employment data and a dip in New Zealand’s retail figures, which further supports the bullish view. This setup offers a solid risk-to-reward ratio, especially with a clean invalidation below 1.062. If the momentum sustains, price may accelerate quickly toward the 1.105 target. Market participants should also keep an eye on DXY (US Dollar Index) correlations and global risk sentiment, which could amplify volatility across AUD and NZD pairs. As a professional trader, I’ll be monitoring price action closely near lower timeframes for confirmation entries and managing the trade with dynamic stop-loss adjustments. This breakout is technically clean, fundamentally supported, and strategically aligned with the current macro backdrop – making it a high-probability swing setup worth sharing.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
8
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 25, 2025 GBPUSDAn event to watch out for today: 11:00 EET. CHF - The head of the SNB Martin Schlegel will deliver a speech GBPUSD: The GBP/USD pair is pulling back from its recent gains, hovering around 1.3290 during the Asian session on Friday. The pullback comes amid a strengthening US Dollar (USD), helped by a Bloomberg report that China may suspend a 125% tariff on some US imports, including medical equipment, ethane and aircraft leasing. Sources familiar with the matter said officials are particularly scrutinising the possibility of removing tariffs on aircraft leasing. China's Ministry of Finance and General Administration of Customs have not yet commented. Further support for the dollar comes from optimism around trade talks with the US. Reuters reports progress in preliminary talks with key Asian allies, including South Korea and Japan. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against six major currencies, is recovering previous losses and is trading near 99.80. However, the dollar faced headwinds after mixed labour market data. The US Department of Labour reported that initial jobless claims rose to 222,000 for the week ended April 19, slightly above expectations, while jobless claims fell 37,000 to 1.841 million for the week ended April 12. In the United Kingdom (UK), the GfK consumer confidence index fell to -23 in April - its lowest level since November 2023 - amid rising living costs and growing concerns about global trade, missing forecasts of -22. Traders now await UK retail sales data and a final reading of the US consumer sentiment index from Michigan later in the North American session. Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3270, SL 1.3300, TP 1.3170
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004