EURUSD: Dip and Bounce from Triangle SupportHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
After reversing from a prior Downward Channel, EURUSD has been consolidating in a large Upward Triangle. This pattern is typically bullish and is defined by a flat horizontal Resistance at the 1.1780 level and an ascending support line, showing that buyers are becoming progressively more aggressive on each dip.
An interesting part of this pattern's history is the 'fake breakout' we saw previously, where the price spiked to a local ATH at 1.1920 before falling back inside. Currently, the price is again in a corrective pullback, heading towards the ascending Triangle Support Line for another test.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is based on the expectation that this Upward Triangle will eventually resolve to the upside. I'm looking for the price to complete its downward movement and find strong support on the ascending Triangle Support Line. A confirmed bounce from this line would be the key signal that buyers are stepping in to defend the trend.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this bounce. A successful rebound that finally leads to a decisive breakout above the Resistance Zone would validate the long scenario. The primary target for the subsequent expansion is 1.1860, a logical objective for the move that would follow.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Analysis
Bitcoin will Retest Support Before the Next Leg UpHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The market structure for Bitcoin has seen a significant shift from bearish to bullish, following a strong reversal from the 109300 - 110000 buyer zone. This pivotal move led to a breakout from a prior downward wedge, invalidating the bearish trend and establishing the current, well-defined upward channel. The price action for BTC has since been constructive, creating a series of higher highs and higher lows within the boundaries of this new channel. Currently, the asset is undergoing a healthy corrective phase after being rejected from the highs, and the price is now trading at a critical inflection point, close to the ascending support line of the channel. In my mind, this pullback represents a classic trend-continuation opportunity. I expect that the price will bounce from the channel's ascending support line. I think this rebound will have enough momentum to break through the 117500 Resistance Level and continue its rally towards the major seller zone. Therefore, I have placed my TP at 119500. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
GENERAL CONTEXT I SEP/23/2025🔎 GENERAL CONTEXT
- Gold continues to maintain a strong uptrend, reflected by the Higher High – Higher Low structure.
- Price just touched the H1 VaH zone ~3757 and showed a small reaction → indicating short-term selling pressure.
- However, multiple key support levels lie below (3739 – 3720), allowing potential recovery.
- The 3775–3780 zone is considered an extended target if the bullish trend continues.
📍 TRADING SCENARIOS
🟢 Scenario 1 – BUY at 3739 (H1 Support)
🔺 Conditions:
Price pulls back to 3739
Bullish reversal signals appear (Pin Bar / Engulfing M15–H1)
Volume holds steady
🔹 Reason:
Nearest support after VaH
Structure remains bullish → priority on trend-following buys
🎯 TP: 3757 → 3775
🛑 SL: below 3732
🟡 Scenario 2 – BUY at 3720 (H1 POC zone)
🔺 Conditions:
Price retests 3720 POC
Strong absorption and bullish candles appear
🔹 Reason:
POC is often a key volume balance zone → buyers likely to react
Confluence with H1 uptrend line
🎯 TP: 3750 → 3765
🛑 SL: below 3712
🔴 Scenario 3 – SELL reaction at 3757–3760 (H1 VaH zone)
🔺 Conditions:
Price retests 3757–3760
Strong rejection (Bearish Pin Bar / Engulfing)
🔹 Reason:
VaH often acts as a profit-taking zone and potential buyer trap
If breakout fails → likely short-term pullback
🎯 TP: 3740 → 3720
🛑 SL: above 3765
⚠️ Scenario 4 – BUY breakout above 3760
🔺 Conditions:
H1 candle closes above 3760
Pullback holds above 3757
🔹 Reason:
Successful breakout of VaH zone → uptrend expansion
May trigger new buying momentum supported by news / market flows
🎯 TP: 3775 → 3785
🛑 SL: below 3750
📌 SUMMARY
- Main trend remains bullish → priority on BUY setups at 3739–3720 supports.
- SELL only if strong rejection signals appear at 3757–3760.
- Zone 3775–3780 is the short-term extended target.
- Manage risk strictly as price is at new highs → high volatility risk.
Gold (Sep 22–26): Can Bulls Defend $3,700 as ETF Inflows Slow?1. Institutional Forecast Updates
Goldman Sachs (Sep 4, 2025): Targets $3,700/oz for Q4 2025 and $4,000/oz for Q2 2026.
J.P. Morgan (Apr 22, 2025): Projects $3,650/oz for Q4 2025 and sees prices above $4,000/oz by Q2 2026.
References:
www.reuters.com
www.reuters.com
2. Key Drivers & Risks
🟪 Gold ETF flows: Gold-backed ETF inflows surged in 2025, but high prices have caused those inflows to slow.
🟧 Central Bank Statistics: Central bank demand increased in 2025, but they largely held their reserves with little buying or selling.
🟨 Markets are anticipating further Fed rate cuts, which would lower real interest rates and reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold.
🟩 Political and geopolitical tensions have eased recently, with no new developments providing additional support for gold prices.
🟦 The economic environment appears stable (the S&P 500 VIX is currently low), which could shift capital toward higher-risk markets.
⇨ There are no clear signs of a sustained decline in gold prices, but caution is advised around the $3,700/oz level, as institutional inflows are weakening and downside risks are present.
Source: World Gold Council
3. 🏦📊 Technical Analysis
* Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide.
** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals.
*** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion.
**** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it.
How do you think about this idea? Let us know your thoughts below :)
Silver Price Outlook: H4 Technical Charts Point to Bearish MomenSilver prices are flashing early warning signs of weakness as the 4-hour (H4) technical charts reveal a shift in momentum. After weeks of choppy price action, the metal appears to be setting up for a potential downside move in the coming days. Here’s a detailed look at the key drivers and levels to watch.
Technical Picture: H4 Chart Breakdown
Trend Structure
Silver has slipped below its short-term ascending trendline, signaling a possible break in bullish momentum.
Recent candles show lower highs and lower lows, a classic indication of bearish pressure building.
Key Moving Averages
The 50-period EMA has crossed below the 100-period EMA, reinforcing a near-term bearish bias.
Price is also trading under the 21-period EMA, suggesting that sellers are in control.
Momentum Indicators
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending downward, currently hovering near the 40–45 zone—still above oversold territory, leaving room for further declines.
MACD histogram is widening on the negative side, with a fresh bearish crossover confirming selling momentum.
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 23, 2025 USDJPYThe key fundamental driver remains unchanged: the yield and rate gap between the US and Japan, where the Bank of Japan maintains ultra-loose policy while the US supports relatively high yields, systematically supporting long USD positions against the yen. In quiet periods, carry trade mechanics work stably, and occasional verbal interventions from Tokyo usually have short-lived effect without trend base changes absent central bank policy shifts. On this background, even after pullbacks, the pair tends to resume gains reflecting yield premium and global USD demand amid strengthening US macro data.
News assessments on EURUSD and market sentiment highlight high USD sensitivity to inflation and labor data releases, which, upon strong data, usually translates into USDJPY gains via the UST curve. With ECB holding rates and markets expecting Fed easing later, short-term USD fluctuations are often data surprise-driven, while yen remains the "weak link" due to BOJ policy. Therefore, an entry near 147.800 is justified for tactical buying with controlled risk until signs of sustained policy shifts in Tokyo or sharp US yield drops emerge.
Current cross rates through EUR confirm the USDJPY calculated target near 147.800 for today's session, consistent with entry choice at 147.800 for carry-support continuation scenario. Risk management implies a tight stop within 0.20 given possible short-term volatility on news and comments from Japanese officials. The target around 148.800 reflects gradual advance amid sustaining divergence in US-Japan monetary regimes.
Trading recommendation: BUY 147.800, SL 147.600, TP 148.800
GBPNZD: Trend ContinuationMomentum is picking again on the GBPNZD pair. Here are my observations on the daily and H1 timeframes.
Daily Timeframe:
HTL marks a resistance turned support
Price is also exiting the EMA areas, which is an indication of momentum
H1 Timeframe:
Price shows momentum as it crossed above the DTL
Price shows confluence with higher timeframe trend as it holds above EMA20
Uptrend is signaled by EMA20 remaining above EMA60
AI-Analysis: High-Quality SELL Setup on EURUSDBased on our AI's analysis, a high-quality SELL setup has been identified for EURUSD.
This analysis, which leverages real-time market data, pinpointed a key bearish signal on the H4 timeframe with a clear rejection at the 1.17880 level. This top-down confirmation was then validated on the M15 chart by a precise liquidity sweep that trapped buyers before a swift reversal. This confluence of higher timeframe context and a clear M15 entry signal provides a compelling case for a short position.
AUDCHF: Weak TrendMomentum is beginning to pick up on the AUDCHF pair. This is based on the EMA behavior along with price's behavior around the ATLs plotted. Here are my observations across two key timeframes.
Daily Timeframe:
Price crosses below ATL > first indication of momentum picking up
EMA20 is beginning to move away from EMA60 > second indication of momentum
H1 Timeframe:
EMA20 diverges away from EMA60 > indication of momentum
Price crosses below intraday HTL > confluence with overall downtrend if there isn't a liquidity trap
Weekly Analysis of the S&P 500 (ES) - Sep 22 - 26 - UpdatedThe analysis for the upcoming week contained an error in the drawing. I have updated it, so this version is correct.
Bias
So, here's the deal: we're still on an upward trend, but price is pushing against a "ceiling cluster" just above us. Expect a slow climb for now until something changes.
As long as we stay above 6,700–6,705, dip buyers will probably step in and try to push things back up to the 6,73x/6,75x range.
When we hit 6,745–6,760, we might see some stalls or rejections because there’s not much support there. If we can get above 6,760 and hold it for 15 minutes, we could squeeze up to around 6,798.
On the flip side, if we drop below 6,700–6,705 and stay there for 15 minutes, the vibe could switch to a downward trend, with potential targets around 6,693 and then about 6,660.
In short: I'm feeling slightly bullish as long as we’re above 6,700. Watch for some action around 6,745–6,760, and consider going long only if we cleanly break above 6,760.
Quick game plan for tomorrow (NY kill-zones 9:30–11:00 & 13:30–16:00 ET)
Open > 6,710 and < 6,731: Buy dips into 6,720/6,710 aiming back to 6,731 → 6,745.
Gap/push into 6,745–6,760 early: Look for a 15m rejection to fade back toward 6,731/6,720. Accept > 6,760? Switch long and target 6,798.
Break and hold < 6,700–6,705: Stand down on longs; hunt bounces to sell toward 6,693 → 6,660.
Use Key Levels as a map.
Week-ahead fundamentals (ET) — what can move ES
Mon 9/22 — CFNAI (Chicago Fed) 8:30a. Tracks broad U.S. activity; August print due.
Tue 9/23 — S&P Global “flash” PMIs (Mfg/Services) 9:45a indicative timing; S&P’s week-ahead notes flash PMI on the 23rd.
Wed 9/24 — New Home Sales (Aug) 10:00a. Census’ July release notes the Aug report is scheduled Sep 24.
Thu 9/25 — Q2 GDP (third) 8:30a (BEA), Durable Goods (Aug) 8:30a (Census), Weekly Jobless Claims 8:30a (DOL).
Fri 9/26 — PCE & Core PCE (Aug) 8:30a (BEA) and U. Michigan sentiment (final Sep) 10:00a.
Fed speakers (mid-day risk): Mon 12:00p Gov. Miran; Tue 12:35p Powell; Thu 9:00a/1:00p Bowman/Barr; Fri 10:00a Bowman.
Treasury supply: 13- & 26-wk bill auctions Mon 9/22; 6-wk bill Tue 9/23; 2-yr FRN reopen Wed 9/24 (tentative schedule).
Earnings to note (Thu): Costco Q4 FY25 call Thu 9/25 2:00 pm PT; broader week list light otherwise.
Ethereum: Undervalued Powerhouse or September Slump? Ethereum: Undervalued Powerhouse or September Slump? Breakout to $5K on the Horizon?
Ethereum (ETH) has held steady around $4,300 this month amid a choppy crypto market, down about 15% from its August all-time high but showing resilience with a modest 0.52% gain today to $4,328.5. Early September saw over $500 million in outflows from spot Ethereum ETFs, reversing summer inflows and fueling doubts about institutional appetite.
Yet, with analysts eyeing a potential rally to $9,000–$12,000 by year-end 2025 driven by ETF rotation and broader adoption, is ETH the undervalued blue-chip crypto ready for a rebound, or will seasonal weakness cap its upside? Let's dive into the fundamentals, charts, and key levels to navigate this pivotal moment.
Fundamental Analysis
Ethereum's core drivers remain tied to its ecosystem growth and macroeconomic tailwinds, but recent ETF flows have introduced volatility. As the backbone for DeFi, NFTs, and layer-2 scaling, ETH benefits from rising staking rewards and network upgrades like Dencun, which have boosted efficiency.
Analysts project ETH could hit $5,194 by late September, with long-term forecasts up to $12,000 in 2025 if institutional demand surges via ETFs. However, sticky inflation and Fed policy uncertainty could delay rate cuts, pressuring risk assets like crypto.
- **Positive:**
- Record ETF inflows in July–August signal growing institutional interest; recent positive territory returns hint at rotation back to ETH.
- Staking growth and adoption in DeFi (e.g., Aave, Uniswap) underscore undervaluation, with ETH's market cap at ~$520 billion versus Bitcoin's dominance.
- Broader trends like AI-blockchain integration and regulatory clarity (e.g., potential spot ETFs for challengers like Sui) bolster ETH's utility.
- **Negative:**
- $500M+ ETF outflows in early September reflect profit-taking and risk-off sentiment amid U.S. labor market weakness.
- Seasonal September weakness in crypto, compounded by geopolitical risks, could extend the correction if Bitcoin falters.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, ETH is coiling in a tight symmetrical triangle pattern after bouncing from the $4,320–$4,325 support base, with volume picking up on the upside. This consolidation follows a descending channel breakdown, but the hold above key EMAs suggests building momentum for a potential impulse wave higher. Current price: $4,328.5, with VWAP at $4,300 providing intraday support.
Key indicators:
- **RSI (14-day):** Hovering at 48, neutral but nearing oversold territory— a dip below 40 could signal a strong bounce. 📈
- **MACD:** Histogram in negative territory, but the signal line crossover is imminent, hinting at bullish divergence if volume confirms. ⚠️
- **Moving Averages:** Price above the 21-day EMA ($4,280) but testing the 50-day SMA ($4,350)—a sustained hold here avoids short-term bearish pressure.
Support/Resistance: Firm support at $4,320 (recent low and 200-day EMA), with major resistance at $4,500 (August high). Patterns/Momentum: The triangle apex nears; a bullish breakout above $4,500 could target $4,800–$4,952, while failure risks a retest of $4,200. 🟢 Bullish signals: Accumulation on hourly charts. 🔴 Bearish risks: Death cross if 50-day SMA flips below 200-day.
Scenarios and Risk Management
- **Bullish Scenario:** A clean break above $4,500 on ETF inflow news or positive macro data (e.g., softer PCE) targets $4,800 initially, then $5,000–$9,000 by Q4. Buy on pullbacks to $4,320 support for optimal entry.
- **Bearish Scenario:** Drop below $4,320 eyes $4,200 (psychological level); a full death cross could accelerate to $3,800. Avoid longs if Bitcoin slips under $60K.
- **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound $4,200–$4,500 if data remains mixed, ideal for scalping or options plays.
Risk Tips: Set stops 2–3% below support ($4,200) to cap losses. Risk no more than 1–2% of portfolio per trade. Diversify with BTC or stablecoins to hedge crypto correlations—avoid overexposure in this volatile September.
Conclusion/Outlook
Overall, a bullish bias emerges if ETH reclaims $4,500 and ETF flows reverse, positioning it as an undervalued play with 100%+ upside potential into 2025 amid institutional rotation.
But watch today's crypto volatility and upcoming Fed signals for confirmation—this fits the classic September Effect of weakness before Q4 rallies. What's your take? Bullish on ETH's rebound or sitting out the slump? Share in the comments!
Buyers (bulls) are pushing price higher but momentum is weakenin1. Technical Structure
Recent trend: Gold has been moving upward but is gradually forming higher highs with narrowing momentum.
Resistance line: The upper red trendline indicates a dynamic resistance zone where price has been repeatedly rejected.
Support zone: The lower red box (around 3,685 – 3,695) is acting as a demand zone, where price has bounced multiple times.
2. Current Pattern
The chart shows a Rising Wedge pattern: price is climbing with converging highs and lows, which is often a bearish reversal signal.
After touching the upper trendline, the blue arrow indicates the potential for a downward correction.
The downside target could be a retest of the support zone (red box).
3. Market Psychology
Buyers (bulls) are pushing price higher but momentum is weakening at resistance.
Sellers (bears) may take advantage of the higher price levels near the trendline to enter short positions.
The market may create a liquidity grab at the highs before reversing downward.
4. Trade Scenarios (for reference)
Scenario 1 (primary): If price touches the upper trendline and shows reversal signals (e.g., pin bar, bearish engulfing), a Sell position can be considered with the target near the red support zone.
Scenario 2: If gold breaks strongly above the trendline, the bullish trend may continue, with the next observation zone around 3,740 – 3,750.
👉 This is purely a technical analysis. You should also combine it with macroeconomic factors (Fed policy, USD Index, bond yields) to increase reliability before making a trading decision.
If price hits the 3,720 – 3,730 resistance zone and shows reversTechnical Structure
Main trend: Still within an upward channel but approaching the upper trendline resistance.
Key levels:
Resistance: around 3,720 – 3,730 (red trendline).
Support: around 3,640 – 3,650 (highlighted red box).
Scenario
The blue line illustrates a bullish move testing the upper trendline, followed by an expected drop back to the 3,640 – 3,650 support zone.
This reflects a market maker’s “range play”: pushing price up to attract retail BUY orders, then driving it down to accumulate at cheaper levels.
Market Psychology
Retail traders: Often jump into BUY positions when they see a short-term breakout, but they risk getting “trapped” when the market maker distributes at resistance.
Big players / market makers: Likely to use the resistance zone for distribution, then push price down toward support to reload long positions at a discount.
Trading Strategy (for reference)
Short-term SELL: If price hits the 3,720 – 3,730 resistance zone and shows reversal signals (e.g., pinbar, bearish engulfing).
Take Profit target: 3,640 – 3,650 (red support box).
Stop Loss: Above 3,740.
Safer BUY: Only consider if price reacts strongly bullish at the 3,640 – 3,650 support zone.
👉 In summary: The chart suggests a scenario of testing the upper resistance, then retracing to support. For short-term traders (T+ style), the better play is to look for SELL setups at resistance and BUY setups at support.
Would you like me to also outline an alternative scenario in case price breaks and sustains above 3,730
EUR/AUD - Selling Pressure Below 1.7850 (22.09.2025)#EURAUD #Forex #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis
EUR/AUD – Channel Breakout Pattern (30M)
EUR/AUD has broken below the rising channel, confirming a bearish reversal after completing a Head & Shoulders pattern at the top.
🔹 Market Structure:
Clear rejection from the resistance zone (1.7850 – 1.7860)
Breakdown of the bullish channel support
Head & Shoulders formation adding to bearish momentum
🔹 Key Levels:
1st Support: 1.7715
2nd Support: 1.7710
📉 Trading Idea:
As long as EUR/AUD stays below the channel resistance, selling pressure could drive price toward the support levels.
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EURUSD: wedge narrowing with downside targets in sightOn the daily chart, EURUSD has formed a rising wedge pattern, and the current price action indicates readiness for a decline. Attempts to hold above 1.1800 have failed, pressure has increased, and last week’s close can be viewed as a potential false breakout.
The first downside target is at 1.1413, where a strong support level lies. Further targets may shift to 1.0750 and 1.0480 levels that have accumulated significant volume over the past few months. A full breakdown of the wedge would give momentum to the bearish scenario and increase pressure on the euro.
From a fundamental perspective, the picture remains mixed: the 200 EMA capping from above and the sideways movement in the dollar index confirm the likelihood of euro weakness, but every pullback continues to be aggressively bought, preventing a collapse. If the dollar gains additional support from US macroeconomic data or Federal Reserve policy, the bearish scenario will become dominant.
Fundamental Market Analysis for September 22, 2025 GBPUSDThe latest public finance data showed that net borrowing by the public sector reached £18 billion, the highest monthly figure in five years. Economists had expected public borrowing to be significantly lower, at £12.8 billion. Analysts believe that this move threatens to exacerbate the debt burden and increase fiscal risks, which could put some pressure on the pound sterling.
On Thursday, the Bank of England voted to keep interest rates at 4.0% amid uncertain growth prospects and a weakening labor market. This decision was made after the UK central bank last cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) in August. The Bank of England reiterated that “a gradual and cautious further easing of monetary policy constraints remains appropriate.”
As for the US dollar, last week the US Federal Reserve (Fed) approved a widely expected rate cut and signaled that there would be two more cuts before the end of the year.
Traders will be focusing more on the Fed's statements later on Monday. Comments from Fed officials may provide some clues about the outlook for US interest rates.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3430, SL 1.3460, TP 1.3380
EURAUD: Counter-Trend TradeNot my conventional signal as this one is looking to trade in the opposite of the trend.
Daily Timeframe:
EMA20 is barely below EMA60 > downside momentum might pick up
Price is barely crossing below EMA20 > another indication of downside momentum
Price crossed below ATL, pulled back, and now seems to be continuing lower
H1 Timeframe:
Price crosses below ATL > first indication of uptrend failing to continue
Note that EMA20 is above EMA60 still > there is a risk that this will trap sellers
GBP Volatility & Momentum Study: Finding the Perfect Entry📊 GBPUSD Forecast | Intraday & Swing 📉📈
Asset: GBPUSD (CFD) Closing Price: 1.34694 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4)
🔎 Market Snapshot
Cable is trading around 1.3469, with mixed sentiment between dollar strength 🦅 and sterling resilience 💂♂️. Volatility is expected this week as traders eye macroeconomic updates & central bank cues.
🕯️ Chart Patterns & Signals
🟢 Bullish Hints: Possible inverse H&S on 4H + support at 1.3420.
🔴 Bearish Pressure: Lower-high structure intact since 1.3620 peak.
⚡ Trap Risk: Watch for a bull trap near 1.3520 resistance.
📐 Harmonic AB=CD projection aligns with 1.3400 zone (support).
📈 Indicators Check
RSI (H4): Neutral → 48 (room for breakout).
BB: Price squeezed ⚠️ → volatility incoming.
MA Cross: 20 EMA < 50 EMA (short-term bearish bias).
VWAP: Anchored VWAP from September high sits at 1.3500.
⏱️ Intraday Strategy
Buy Zone: 1.3420–1.3440 (support test, scalps).
Sell Zone: 1.3520–1.3550 (resistance rejection).
🎯 Targets:
Upside: 1.3490 / 1.3520 / 1.3565
Downside: 1.3400 / 1.3360 / 1.3325
🛡️ Stops:
Longs below 1.3390
Shorts above 1.3575
📆 Swing Outlook (Days–Weeks)
Trend: Bearish bias unless daily closes above 1.3565.
📉 Swing Sell Setup:
Entry: 1.3520–1.3550
TP: 1.3400 → 1.3325
SL: 1.3590
📈 Swing Buy Setup (Aggressive):
Entry: 1.3360–1.3400
TP: 1.3490 → 1.3560
SL: 1.3320
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: 1.3520 / 1.3565 / 1.3620
Support: 1.3420 / 1.3360 / 1.3325
🧭 Final Take
⚖️ GBPUSD is at a decision point:
Intraday → play the range 1.3420–1.3520
Swing → favor shorts below 1.3565, longs only on deep pullbacks near 1.3360.
Trade safe & adapt to volatility! 🚀📉
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
📝 TRADING CHECKLIST
Before entering any position:
- ✅ Confirm volume supports move
- ✅ Check RSI for divergences
- ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment
- ✅ Set stop loss before entry
- ✅ Calculate position size
- ✅ Review correlation with DXY
- ✅ Check economic calendar
- ✅ Assess market sentiment
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
Unlocking EUR's Value: A Data-Driven Analysis of Macro Factors📊 EURUSD Technical Forecast | Intraday & Swing Outlook 🚀💶💵
Asset Class: EURUSD (CFD) Closing Price: 1.17432 (20th Sept 2025, 12:50 AM UTC+4)
🔎 Technical Overview
Trend Context: EURUSD has been consolidating near 1.1740, with mixed signals across short- and mid-term charts.
Momentum Check: RSI (H1/H4) → Neutral, close to 50 ⚖️
Volatility: Bollinger Bands tightening → Expect breakout soon 💥
Volume Flow: Anchored VWAP → Buyers defending 1.1720 📈
🕵️ Chart Patterns & Theories
Elliott Wave: Wave 4 correction nearing completion – possible Wave 5 uptrend. 🌊
Wyckoff: Signs of re-accumulation in H4 range. 📦
Ichimoku: Price hovering near cloud → watch for bullish breakout ☁️
Gann Levels: Key resistance around 1.1785, support at 1.1700 ⏳
H&S Watch: No clear head & shoulders yet, but traps possible around 1.1760/1.1720 ⚠️
📈 Intraday Levels (Next 24–48H)
🔹 Buy Zone: 1.1710 – 1.1730 (tight stop below 1.1690)
🎯 Targets: 1.1760 → 1.1785
🔻 Sell Zone: 1.1785 – 1.1805 (stop above 1.1825)
🎯 Targets: 1.1745 → 1.1720
📊 Swing Trading Outlook (Weekly)
Bullish Scenario: Sustained break above 1.1805 → eyeing 1.1880 – 1.1925 🌟
Bearish Scenario: Breakdown below 1.1690 → drop toward 1.1625 – 1.1580 🕳️
⚖️ Strategy Recap
Intraday: Range trading between 1.1720 – 1.1785 🎯
Swing: Watch breakout levels for trend confirmation 🚀 or ❌
🌍 Market Context
Geopolitics & ECB vs Fed divergence → driving sentiment.
Dollar Index (DXY) consolidation near highs → closely linked.
📌 Key Takeaways
✅ Buy dips near 1.1710–30, target 1.1760–85.
✅ Sell rallies near 1.1785–1.1805, target 1.1720.
⚠️ Major breakout zones: Above 1.1805 = bullish 🚀 | Below 1.1690 = bearish ⛔
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
📝 TRADING CHECKLIST
Before entering any position:
- ✅ Confirm volume supports move
- ✅ Check RSI for divergences
- ✅ Verify multiple timeframe alignment
- ✅ Set stop loss before entry
- ✅ Calculate position size
- ✅ Review correlation with DXY
- ✅ Check economic calendar
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Gold Forecast: Liquidity Zones Mapped | Bullish or Bearish ReverGoldRush_Traders institutional forecast.
Price closed at 3684.975, compressing under ATH (3707).
Stacked supply zones remain valid between 3707 and 3686 — each serving a different purpose: sweep trap, blow-off top risk, and rejection base.
🔺**Bullish Path:**
• Hold 3665–3672 or sweep 3638
• Break above 3695 → 3707
• Clean ATH break = 3720–3732 possible
🔻 **Bearish Path:**
• Fail at 3686–3700 zone
• Drop to 3665 → 3638
• Break of 3628 = opens flush to 3605 or 3582
⚠️ Zones are stacked with no gaps — each has distinct algorithmic purpose.
This is a **provisional forecast** pending any weekend news shifts.
🔱 Liquidity-based | ICT/SMC inspired
Gold can continue its bullish trend after small correctionHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. The market context for Gold has been firmly bullish since the price broke out of its prior consolidation range, a move that originated from the deep 3270 - 3290 buyer zone. This breakout shifted the market structure, initiating a new impulsive phase that has since been guided by a major ascending mirror line. The price action for XAU has been respecting this dynamic support, creating a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Currently, after reaching a new local high, the asset is undergoing a healthy corrective phase. This pullback is guiding the price back towards a critical confluence of support, defined by the 3622 - 3598 support zone and the ascending mirror line itself. The primary working hypothesis is a long, trend-continuation scenario, which anticipates that buyers will step in to defend this key support cluster. A confirmed bounce from this area would signal the conclusion of the corrective move and the resumption of the dominant upward trend. This would likely initiate the next impulsive wave higher. Therefore, the TP is logically placed at 3720, representing a new potential structural high. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Gold Forecast (XAUUSD)🟡 GOLD – 1H Breakdown
Alright traders, here’s the scoop 👀
We’re chopping around mid-range after that last BOS. Liquidity is literally everywhere — BSLs chilling above the highs, SSLs hiding under the lows. Market’s teasing both sides like it’s fishing for stops 🎣.
🔑 Levels to Watch:
Buy Zone 1 (Preferred snack stop): 3,600 – 3,620 🍫
Buy Zone 2 (Deeper dip special): 3,560 – 3,580 🥤
Trendline liquidity just waiting to get grabbed… you know how it goes 😏
Upside target: 3,700+ — where the big liquidity bags are stacked 🎯
🛠 Possible Plays:
Quick liquidity sweep under the lows → tap into Buy Zone 1 or 2 → rocket launch 🚀
If demand fails, we’re diving into the swing range 3,530 – 3,550 for a bigger reload.
🔍 Outlook
Short-term: Expect a cheeky stop-hunt under the lows.
Mid-term: Bulls still in control, eyes on that juicy 3,700+ grab.
Bias : Liquidity sweep down → Buy for continuation 📈✨
AXS: Coiling Up for a Shakeout?AXS is stuck between floors and ceilings, grinding inside a tight rising wedge. While the macro picture looks juicy with the Fed turning on the liquidity taps, the on-chain data for AXS is telling a different story. We're seeing a classic setup where the chart looks bullish from afar, but the internals are weak.
Our game plan is to watch for a breakdown. The bulls' line of defense is the wedge support around $33.50. A clean break below that level opens the door to our primary target zone, a liquidity magnet around $31.90-$30.50. This area is a major support cluster and a logical place for a healthy reset before the next leg. Heavy resistance sits at the recent high of $35.76.
Patience is key here; we're waiting for the market to show its hand while the crowd gets chopped up. Don't be the exit liquidity for underwater holders looking to break even on this bounce. Smart money waits for confirmation.






















