BTC make it or break it - possible head & shouldersWe have a possible Head & shoulders pattern forming on the 4h chart. We know BTC doesn't follow usual patterns, but we also know we're in a descending trend, so this time, it may surprise us.
We're currently at the 200 MA, if it breaks support and goes to 13k, prepare your wallets for a buying point.
What do you guys think?
AND
Bitcoin BTCUSD Happy Bitmas to You and YoursBitcoin BTCUSD. Christmas Day
What kind of sad tw@t would be writing on Bitcoin today? Hi there.
So how's Bitcoin behaving over Christmas? It rallies all morning
in Europe and then at 12.45 GMT as everyone goes to lunch and
buyers dry up it falls 1200 points to the lower line of what is now
a developing continuation pattern, and, as usual tracking parallels.
Jeez. If we'd known that was going to happen that could've paid
for lunch a few times over. Maybe next year now we know...
So Bitcoin swings across the globe into the hands of the USA for
a few hours - who don't look too interested either way, but Bitcoin
does top out at 1.30 EST - do you guys eat a little later than UK
on Christmas day ? Anyway, now I figure most will have finished,
as Bitcoin has started to rally again....so next Christmas day maybe
we have an idea of how this behaves...no one around and it goes
down. Amazing. Who'd have thought?
Looks like it will grind higher but still be subject to fairly sharp drops
- just don't want to be buying this high and then getting whipped
out in zero volume conditions - so can only think of buying if the
lower parallel is tested with a stop 50 or so under the line - but
when Bitcoin skips across the Pacific to land in the far East volume
should start to rise, and they are more likely to be buyers than
sellers...but the chart will confirm - or deny - this for us...can get
pushed up to 14648 but not likely to get much further without
Eastern buyers and some volume...if you see this some time
around the open or within an hour at most and 14648 is broken
through it can be followed for 800 points or so up to 15509.
It should come off again from here, if not from 15814 later on though.
On downside there is near term minor support here, at 13982 with
stronger support at 13717-13679, where the lower parallel lies now -
Bitcoin must hold up off this line on all retests to avoid falling back
into negative territory, most likely driving price back to the left hand
structure that began this move at 12617 -12500 with smaller
counter rallies most likely off the blue support lines at 13456 and
13086. Any break below 12500 would trigger another good short
back to 11391-11165 range.
Golden Cashening Watch BTG BCH BTCTHIS IS NOT TRADING ADVICE
THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
DO YOUR OWN DUE DILIGENCE FOR EVERY TRADE AND INVESTMENT YOU MAKE
I am a holder of bchusd and btgusd I have jettisoned all my btc...
I chuckle when I see the 'camps' of bch (minority) versus btc (majority) versus btg (tumbleweed) holders
Also at day and swing traders and various parties with skin in the game pontificating and waxing lyrical
And waning lyrical!!!
What will be will be...
And whilst I'm not a chartist, the charts to me are telling all...
Forget about the FUD and your greed...
Just look at the 3 month charts...
As per O'Neil, the bchusd and btgusd charts are forming massive cup and handles surely?!?
As such I think we have around 2 weeks before the handle finished forming...
Timed perfectly to coincide with CME futures on btc and other news?!?
Timed perfectly to coincided with btc 20k territory?!?
Let's see
THIS IS NOT TRADING ADVICE
THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
DO YOUR OWN DUE DILIGENCE FOR EVERY TRADE AND INVESTMENT YOU MAKE
CUPS AND HANDLES AS PER O'NEIL AND
stockcharts.com
Cup: “U” shaped CHECK
Cup should usually retrace 1/3 or less of the previous advance (could retrace upto half though) CHECK
Handle: final consolidation/retracement; up to 1/3 of the cup's advance, but usually not more; wait for the break above the cup rim resistance line, with volume
Timing: Our cup took only a few weeks to form, which is a little quick actually; handle is usually 1-4 weeks.
So chill people
Target: measure the distance from the right peak of the cup to the bottom of the cup.
THIS IS NOT TRADING ADVICE
THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
DO YOUR OWN DUE DILIGENCE FOR EVERY TRADE AND INVESTMENT YOU MAKE
Bitcoin BTCUSD Watch out for potential Head and Shoulders hereBitcoin BTCUSD Update
If you got long again at the ridiculous hour of 11.30 pm est you're hard working and deserve your 400 points reward.
Weirdly the crypto chat room was quite quiet with a guy from
London waiting for the BCH burst to top out so he could bail out and fade the consolidation. London's finally catching on.
2018 will be so fascinating and fast moving. It's good for competition, good for spreads and good for us therefore, in
time. Now, finally people are taking BTC very seriously. So many Bitcoin jobs to be created now. How long for though? No
one can answer that one for us but if anyone will know in advance it will be GS. And the chart. Until that day comes we
ride this like nothing has ever been ridden before...in the entire history of speculation. Ever. We are alive for it. Wow
Right now Bitcoin is trying to track huigher but is, weirdly, being contrained on the upside by an old parallel from way
back in the mists of time (hell, it's 14 days old - that's 2 years in FB time!) - and yet it's clearly back in play once more,
stopping the rallies. Another nice day in prospect for day traders but not much for others right now. It's trying to hold a
newly forming little parallel off yesterday's lows and needs to keep holding up there or we have a danger of a head and
shoulders forming here off the top, with a neckline at 15809 and a minimum downside target at 14210 if it gets broken.
Time will tell but right now this is not a very strong pattern, except for day traders. Unless you look to short if head and
shoulders gets completed later on, as above.
Gold XAUUSD and Dollar Index DXY UpdateGOLD and DXY Gold and Dollar Index Update
DXY did come off from where it was meant to last week but
has put up more than just a fight so far in the 92.74-92.50
range. The fight back was to be expected, but it's doing
better than envisaged so far here - and these conclicting
signals urge caution now ...no interest in getting involved in a
battle of whipsaw here but will look to back the winner again
here when one emerges...DXY has gapped up today, double
bottomed and left a pin bar lying around in the space
between the two blue lines of fixed support shown on
chart...bullish signals. But it's still trapped within the
parallels which are trying to force price lower. Something has
to give here soon. ...A break above the upper parallel would
be the next bullish signal from DXY - look to get long DXY on the
next retest of the parallel from above, once broken to upside,
and get long USDEUR and short Gold on this development too.
On downside DXY has to stay under the upper parallel for the
bears to keep control from here - then they have to force DXY
down to fill the gap today at 92.89 and then push it below
92.55 again for DXY to turn negative again from here. As it
stands the bears are beginning to lose this battle, not enough
fire-power to force DXY lower from here by the look of the chart.
Early hours of this battle, still, but increasingly the bulls are
beginning to wrest back control here. Confimation will come
when the upper parallel is broken and survives the next retest.
At that point we look to short gold (if signals there are not
already given) and get long USDEUR.
BCHUSD Continuation pattern and key break/buy pointsBCHUSD Update Near Term and Break Points
Near Term
BCH ran out of upside momentum, double topping at 1461
though this level was actually briefly exceeded, snapping at
any bear stops just above it before fading, and showing first
quite big red bull engulfing candle off the high of the
day...mild rejection, not hot but not cold either, except in
very near term - what looks like a continuation pattern is now
being hammered out and will likely have further to run yet...3
strikes on the lower parallel shows it's not 'hot' and has to
unwind some more, likely recoiling from 1413 - when tested
(and almost certainly from the two lines of dynamic
resistance waiting just above price to clip any nascent rally in
the bud at 1425 now) ...looks like it's a sell one more time
from 1413-1426 range and a reverse long at 1351 ideally, or
off the lower smallest parallel that this little continuation
pattern is running in now.
Break Points
An eventual break above the upper smallest parallel that
holds back price today should be followed (usual drill on
breakouts) for a rally to 1620-1638 minimum and 1766
maximum in near term
On downside: A break below 1347 would tip BCH from neutral
to negative in the near term triggering a short back to 1286
and if this was to fail to 1245.
CFI 7mTo Infinity and beyond. BK all day!!!!! Thank you. I got a 1 on 1 on with you @ Wednesday 3pm. Cant wait... Strangely enough, that happens to be exactly the same time that Indahash starts phase 2 of their ICO .. (Hmmmm...synchronicity?>>>>
"The charts make the news"-BK
I'm pretty new to charting but its awe-inspiring how strong their effect really is. These are companies with employees, and customers, yet they're subject to laws they are not even aware exist.
On a weird note... Imagine if human beings have charts? What do you think would symbolizes moving averages in our lives so that when their paths cross, we start to grow?
Peace and Love,
9 Lives
Dash/Dollar: DASHUSD Entry levels/Strategy ReviewDash/Dollar DASHUSD Strategies Reviewed
Time Always Tells
The 2 possible entry strategies yesterday gave one great result and for the other the jury is still out.
You'll be familiar with the story about the old bull and his boy out on the range: the young bull sees a herd a beautiful
looking cows in the valley below and says: Dad, look at those babes...that one looks like Adriana Lima! Let's get down there
and...you know the rest.
That was Dash yesterday - don't chase, it might just come to you and eat right out of your hand.
Sure enough some smart traders stuck a few lazy orders down at 302 (entry was actually placed just above the break
level/previous spike low on Thursday at 302.8 but it looks to have come down to 300 low) - and then ripped 57 points or 20% in a
near straight line in less than 6 hours...makes Bitcoin look quite tame at the moment.
That was the good choice, the older, calmer way to go.
The other choice was follow the break-out above new structure at around current prices now, 338-342.
Then we have to keep an eye on price action to see how it behaves after the breakout, obviously. And here, it has to be
said that follow through is lame, so far. We're in a weekend too. We can see those two spikes that have recently formed,
showing quite strong rejection from just under 360, so am concerned here that if it breaks back down below 335 now, it
will likely fall away on lack of buying interest to 318 at least and quite possibly it can spike down to 302 again before it
rallies...this break-out has failed, so far. That's what the chart is saying, and Dash needs buyers now to push it higher
still, otherwise it will start to fall away. So need to put a tight stop under this, if long and day-trading, at 328. If hit, then
put a buy order in at 305 with stop just under 296 and see if it gets filled.
Longer term
The sloping head and shoulders pattern here is similar to the one on Facebook, in this case with a minimum upside target
at 453, with the most likely points of resistance on the way marked on the chart. It's good medium term. But be careful of
whipsaw between 302 real support and 340 reistance in the very near term. It's a good tradeable 10% range for day-
traders once 330 gives way...that's where they're most likely to step in on short side, so use stops, looking to get long again
from lower down if 330 gives way.
Moral of this dumb story: sometimes it pays to be cool and calculating and sometimes it also pays to follow the herd and
play momentum breaks. But a momentum break needs careful watching over on the day following the break: did volume
spike on the break out? Has it had follow-through? Are there any scary pin bars forming showing quite strong rejection at
higher levels...? You knew all this anyway. Don't trade on hope. Trade on what the chart tells you. If you can manage to
master this Zen-like state, you are free. It's not you. It's the chart.















