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Ascending Triangle

GOLD - Consolidation ahead of news. Long squeeze?FX:XAUUSD is trading in the $4575-4600 range (consolidation) ahead of US inflation data (CPI) for December... Inflation remains above the Fed's target (2%), making the data key to assessing the timing of rate cuts. XAU is consolidating below record highs. Profit-taking is observed ahead of the data release. Geopolitical risks and concerns about the Fed's independence support long-term demand for gold. The reaction to CPI data may be short-term, as these factors remain a priority: • Above forecast: dollar growth, gold correction to $4550 - 4520. • Below forecast: dxy weakening, gold growth to $4650 - 4700 Gold retains its upside potential, but in the near term, its movement will depend on inflation data. Any correction can be seen as a buying opportunity amid ongoing geopolitical and monetary risks. Resistance levels: 4600, 4630, 4650 Support levels: 4577, 4560, 4550 The initial retest of 4600 may end in a pullback, and a close below 4577 may trigger a decline to 4561 - 4550 before an attempt to grow (interest in the liquidity zone). However, against the backdrop of news reaction, gold may test 4550 - 4520 before continuing to rise. Very weak news may trigger a breakout of 4600 and an aggressive rally. It is important to monitor the context... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
34
GOLD - Consolidation ahead of news. ATH retestFX:XAUUSD is trading around $4630, pretty close to its all-time high, but since the session opened, the price has jumped a lot because of the aggressive bull market, which could lead to a correction. News ahead... US inflation (CPI) slowed in December, and the market expects 2-3 Fed rate cuts in 2026, which exceeds the regulator's forecasts. Protests in Iran and threats of possible intervention by the US; tensions surrounding the independence of the Fed (investigation into Powell); and the tense situation in Eastern Europe are creating geopolitical risks. • US PPI data will be released today. • Higher inflation figures may temporarily support the dollar and limit gold's growth. • Traders are also awaiting the Supreme Court's decision on Trump's tariffs, with a 72% probability of cancellation. If this is confirmed, the market may react strongly... Resistance levels: 4630, 4650, 4675 Support levels: 4600, 4577 Technically, the ideal scenario would be to wait for a correction, for example to 4605-4600, or to the support level of the trading range to form an ideal entry point. But against the backdrop of an aggressive market, bulls are likely to push the price up from the 4630 zone... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
GBPNZD - Ascending triangle on an upward trendFX:GBPNZD has moved into consolidation amid an uptrend and is forming another bullish structure. Focus on trigger 2.340 The global trend for the currency pair is bullish. Against the backdrop of the main trend, consolidation is forming in the form of an ascending triangle, which is generally a fairly strong bullish conglomerate. If resistance is broken, consolidation may move into a distribution phase After the short squeeze, a weak reaction is forming and the market is quickly returning the price to the resistance level of 2.340. Closing above this level could trigger a rally to 2.35. Resistance levels: 2.34, 2.355 Support levels: 2.338, 2.336 Before the resistance is broken, a long squeeze of local support may be triggered. However, a quick retest of resistance and a close above the level may trigger distribution towards 2.355. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
GAME ON? Bullish Ascending Triangle VS Unresolved Bearish H&SFor the past two and a half months, Bitcoin has been going nowhere, coiling sideways with an upside bias in what appears to be a bullish ascending triangle pattern. Today's 3% + rally is edging ever closer to breaking out above the triangle's flat upper boundary. A successful conclusion to such a bullish break should vault Bitcoin up toward the noted target at 109,071, which is in close confluence with the 61.8% fib retracement of the entire decline from last year's all-time high. In the way, is the fib 38.2% retracement level, which may act as a resistance level at 98k. Also fighting against the potential bullish push are three unresolved downside price targets: 79,495, 76,100, and 71,580. Failure to launch after a breakout and retest of the horizontal upper boundary of the ascending triangle, any subsequent breach of the rising lower boundary, depending on the point in time and place at which price may breach that line, and an additional downside price target will fall smack dab in the belly of the standing downside price target window. It's not game time yet, but it's getting close. Where will you be placing your bets?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Wave-Tech
2
GOLD - Consolidation near 4600. Breakout or correction?FX:XAUUSD has updated its ATH to 4600. A local range is forming, with growth potential, against the backdrop of escalating geopolitical risks and concerns about the independence of the Fed, which remain. Trump's consideration of military operations in Iran amid internal unrest and the tense situation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict (emergency UN Security Council meeting) create geopolitical risks. Questions for the Fed: A criminal investigation has been launched against Chairman Powell, heightening concerns about pressure on the central bank's independence. US employment data (NFP) for December (+50K) was weaker than expected, supporting expectations of Fed policy easing. Attention is shifting to December inflation data (CPI), which will assess the likelihood of a rate cut in March (current probability ≈30%). The correction may continue, but the combination of risks and soft monetary policy creates medium-term support for further growth. Resistance levels: 4600, 4625, 4650 Support levels: 4561, 4550, 4517 Since the opening of the session, gold has exhausted its intraday ATR reserve, which creates additional opportunities for consolidation or correction, within which the market may test key support zones, such as the previous ATH, before continuing to grow. A long squeeze of the specified support may provide the market with liquidity for further growth. However, an aggressive market could trigger a breakout of 4600 without correction... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12
USDJPY - Consolidation may turn into upward distribution FX:USDJPY is storming the resistance zone of the current consolidation. Focus on 157.88, a breakout of the current border could trigger an upward movement... The Japanese yen is testing the intermediate bottom, hinting that the currency is preparing to continue falling. Against the backdrop of a weak yen and a strong dollar, the currency pair may continue its upward trend. Retesting resistance, the reaction from the bears is weakening, and the bulls are trying to keep the price above 157.88. If there is no reaction (pullback), then growth may continue from the 157.15 - 157.88 zone, provided that the price closes above the level. Resistance levels: 157.88 Support levels: 157.15, 156.18 Technically, against the backdrop of an uptrend, consolidation is forming, within which the market is not updating local lows, but is gradually contracting towards resistance at 157.88. There is a high probability of a breakout (possibly after a slight correction to local support). Nearest targets: 160.0 - 161.5 Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
GOLD - Storm 4475 ahead of the news. NFP aheadFX:XAUUSD is stabilizing at 4475 in a state of consolidation. However, ahead lie US employment data and the Supreme Court's decision on Trump's trade powers... Fundamentals: 60K new jobs are expected to be created in December, unemployment may fall to 4.5%, and wage growth to 3.6% y/y. As for the Supreme Court, it will decide whether Trump can impose tariffs without Congress' approval (IEEPA law). The market also continues to expect 2-3 interest rate cuts in 2026. Geopolitical tensions are supporting demand for defensive assets. Today, the market is waiting for NFP. Strong data will lower expectations of Fed easing, strengthen the dollar, and put pressure on gold (to $4300), but weak NFP data will reinforce bets on rate cuts and support gold (to $4550). The court's decision on tariffs will affect trade policy and the dollar. Resistance levels: 4475, 4500, 4525 Support levels: 4460, 4442, 4427 A breakout and consolidation above 4475 could open the way to 4500, a breakout of which could trigger a rally to 4525-4550, but given the volatility of the news, the market may test the support zone before a possible rise. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
GOLD - Correction and retest of support on a bullish trend FX:XAUUSD is forming a correction from the resistance level of 4500 and reaching a local low of 4415. Against the backdrop of DXY growth, the correction may continue. The market is awaiting economic news... Mixed US data: JOLTS job openings fell to 7.146 million. ADP employment rose by 41,000. The ISM services index rose to 54.4, which is higher than expected. Expectations for two Fed rate cuts in 2026 remain (≈61 bps). The fundamental backdrop is mixed, with additional confirming data needed. Geopolitics supports demand: the US has confirmed negotiations on the acquisition of Greenland. China has imposed a ban on the export of dual-use goods to Japan. The focus is shifting to Friday's US employment report (NFP). The correction in gold appears to be temporary amid continuing expectations of Fed policy easing and geopolitical tensions. The NFP report will be the decisive factor in determining the direction — weak data could trigger a new round of growth. Resistance levels: 4442, 4475, 4497 Support levels: 4427, 4400 As part of the correction, gold may test the support zone of 4425-4400. Overall, the trend is bullish, and the market correction may be temporary. A false breakdown and the bulls holding the price above key zones could trigger growth towards the flat resistance. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
13
GBPJPY - Waiting for a Long Squeeze Before a Bullish RallyFX:GBPJPY is testing the key support area of 210.28 as part of a correction against the backdrop of an uptrend. What can we expect from the market? The Japanese yen looks weak, forming a symmetrical triangle consolidation amid a global downtrend. A continued decline in the yen could trigger growth in the currency pair. GBPJPY is consolidating between 210.28 and 211.59 amid a bullish trend. A manipulative decline is forming with the aim of hunting for liquidity. A long squeeze could trigger growth due to a shift in the imbalance towards the buyer. Resistance levels: 210.7, 211.15 Support levels: 210.28, 210.05 There is a high probability of a false breakdown of the current trading range support. Focus on the 210.28 - 210.05 zone. After liquidity is captured, the upward movement may continue. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
GOLD - Retesting support at 4440 ahead of the news FX:XAUUSD is correcting from weekly highs of $4,500 amid a rising dollar and profit-taking ahead of key US labor market data The market expects two Fed rate cuts in 2026. The ISM Manufacturing PMI in December (47.9) was lower than expected, reinforcing expectations of a dovish policy. In addition, geopolitical risks remain (Russia's actions off the coast of Venezuela, tensions between China and Japan), which continue to fuel demand for safe-haven assets. Today, ADP employment data, JOLTS job openings, and the ISM services index will be released. Weak indicators could increase pressure on the dollar and support gold. The correction appears to be technical amid profit-taking. The uptrend remains intact as the dollar remains under pressure due to expectations of Fed policy easing. Any decline in gold can be seen as a buying opportunity. Resistance levels: 4475, 4497, 4520 Support levels: 4442, 4430, 4402 Two key support zones relative to the current trading range: 4442 - 4430. A long squeeze and liquidity capture followed by price consolidation above key levels could shift the imbalance towards the buyer (bullish trend)... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
4
GOLD - Consolidation before resistance at 4470. Bullish trendFX:XAUUSD resumes growth and tests 4470, an important resistance level, amid a weakening dollar caused by expectations of further easing of Fed policy and continuing geopolitical uncertainty. Expectations of a Fed rate cut intensified after the release of weak ISM Manufacturing PMI data. Geopolitical risks have temporarily receded into the background, but remain a potential catalyst for a new wave of demand for safe-haven assets. Attention is shifting to US labor market data (ADP report and JOLTS vacancies on Wednesday, NFP on Friday). Weak employment figures could increase pressure on the dollar and support gold. Important nuances: China and Russia's reaction to US actions in Venezuela, as well as the open conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Further dynamics will depend on employment data and a possible escalation of the geopolitical situation. A break above $4470 will open the way to testing higher levels. Resistance levels: 4470, 4488, 4519 Support levels: 4440, 4430, 4400 If the metal does not pull back from 4470 and continues to storm the resistance, then attempts to continue growth from 4470 can be considered. Otherwise, the market may test 4440-4430 before rising (long squeeze). Within the current cycle, gold has a chance to test its ATH. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
30
DOGEUSDT - Consolidation after growth is a positive signBINANCE:DOGEUSDT is testing resistance, but the coin is not going to reverse yet. Focus on the current consolidation at 0.145 - 0.1534. A long squeeze or a breakout of resistance could trigger growth. Bitcoin has been growing throughout the week, forming a retest of resistance. If the growth continues, it could support a bullish run in altcoins. After the rally, DOGE moved into consolidation at 0.145 - 0.1533. The market is showing positive dynamics. The altcoin may test the consolidation support before growing. However, a breakout of the 0.1533 resistance and a close above the level could trigger an early rise. Resistance levels: 0.1534, 0.1648 Support levels: 0.145, 0.139 Regarding the current consolidation in the trading range format, I highlight two levels: 0.1534 and 0.145. If the overall positive background persists, a false breakdown of support at 0.145 or a breakout of resistance at 0.1534 with the price closing above the level could trigger further growth towards the local zone of interest at 0.165. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
11
GOLD - The battle for 4400. Will the growth continue?FX:XAUUSD starts the week of 2026 with a rise of more than 1.5%, staying above $4,400 amid escalating geopolitical tensions in Latin America Geopolitical crisis: US-Venezuela, Donald Trump threatened new military intervention if the interim government does not comply with Washington's demands. Expanding risks: Trump hinted at Colombia and Mexico. The situation between Russia and Ukraine remains tense. Against this backdrop, investors are actively shifting funds into defensive instruments, including gold and the US dollar Important US labor market data is expected this week, which could add to volatility. Venezuela has set up a commission to free Maduro, indicating a further escalation of the conflict. Gold remains a priority for investors amid unprecedented geopolitical uncertainty. Short-term corrections are possible, but the overall uptrend is likely to continue, especially if the conflict in Latin America escalates Resistance levels: 4440, 4470, 4519 Support levels: 4400, 4373 If the bulls keep gold above 4410-4400, then in the short and medium term, gold will be able to continue to grow despite the fact that the daily ATR has already been exhausted. Local and global trends are bullish... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
36
EURJPY - Correction (hunting for liquidity) before growthFX:EURJPY is entering a correction amid an uptrend that has been ongoing since March last year. Zone of interest: 183.0 Amid the growth of the dollar, the euro is entering a correction, but the main trend of the index is bearish. The key area of interest and liquidity for the currency pair is 183.43 - 183.15. A false breakout/long squeeze and holding the price above this level could trigger further growth. Locally, we have a correction against the backdrop of a global bullish trend Resistance levels: 184.26, 184.82 Support levels: 183.43, 183.15 A pullback on a bullish trend is an additional opportunity to enter the market at a favorable price. Focus on support at 183.43 - 183.15 (additionally 183.0) Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
11
ETHEREUM - Consolidation near 3150 ahead of rallyBINANCE:ETHUSDT.P is rising after breaking through trend resistance and consolidating. The main trend remains bearish, but there are local indications of bullish support. The 3150 trigger is ahead. Bitcoin is strengthening amid geopolitical nuances, acting as a hedging factor (locally). A rise in the leading cryptocurrency could support Ethereum, which, in turn, could trigger a breakout of 3150 and a subsequent rally. Ethereum is consolidating near 3150, forming resistance (a trigger). Technically, consolidation continues, and the coin may test local lows at 3120-3100 before retesting 3150 and continuing the rally. Resistance levels: 3150, 3200, 3270 Support levels: 3120, 3100, 3077 If the pullback is not deep and the price quickly returns to retest 3150, then we can continue to monitor the coin, waiting for a signal to long... If the bulls hold the price above resistance after breaking through 3150, this move could trigger continued growth toward 3200-3270. Sincerely, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
GOLD - Trading range 4300 - 4400. Interest in hedge assetsLet's consider FX:XAUUSD before the opening of the trading session. The main nuance is how the market will react at the opening after the increase in geopolitical risks due to the actions of the US... Starting January 5, liquidity will begin to grow in the market after the Christmas and New Year holidays. However, the year is starting with an increase in geopolitical risks due to US actions in Venezuela... The Russian-Ukrainian conflict is still not progressing in negotiations, which also creates additional risks. The Pacific and Asian sessions may be reactive... The dollar is forming a correction within a downward trend, but it will be necessary to monitor the index's reaction to the US geopolitical actions that took place on Saturday. The growth of the index may put pressure on the metal... Gold is forming a trading range of 4300-4400. Globally, we have a bullish trend, but locally, gold is forming a correction. BUT! It is necessary to monitor the price reaction relative to 4315-4300 from the opening of the Pacific, Asian, and European sessions.... Resistance levels: 4355, 4400, 4440 Support levels: 4315, 4302, 4275 Accordingly, based on the available technical and fundamental data, we can assume that there may be a bullish run from the 4300 zone. I do not rule out an attempt to retest 4300 - 4275 (long squeeze) before growth... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
20
BTC - Ascending Triangle | Liquidity Sweep Before Breakout? Executive Summary Bitcoin is trading at $90,529 on the first trading day of 2026, testing the upper resistance of an ascending triangle on the 4H timeframe. Price has rallied +2% today as dip buyers stepped in aggressively. The structure suggests a short-term pullback to sweep liquidity below $88K before breaking the ascending pattern and bursting higher. BIAS: BULLISH - Short-Term Dip, Then Breakout Current Market Data Current: $90,529 (+1.98%) Day's Range: $88,309 - $90,927 October Peak: $126,000 Key Support: $86,000-$88,000 Fear & Greed Index: 36 (Fear → improving) What's Driving the Rally "January Effect" - Tax-loss selling ended, capital redeploying Whale accumulation visible on-chain Open interest up 2% to $130B - leveraged bulls entering $217.82M in shorts liquidated in 24 hours Meme coins rallying (PEPE +32%) - risk-on returning Fed rate cuts expected by March Key News Context Bitcoin's four-year cycle officially broken - first red post-halving year ETF effect pulled liquidity forward into 2024 BlackRock deposited 1,134 BTC ($101.4M) to Binance - bearish signal But whales reducing exchange deposits - bullish signal Zero Bitcoin obituaries in 2025 - first time since Satoshi era Technical Structure - 4H Ascending Triangle Pattern: Rising support trendline (yellow dashed) - higher lows Horizontal resistance at $90,000-$90,500 (pink zone) Price compressing toward apex Typically bullish breakout pattern (70%+) Key Levels: Resistance: $90,000 - $90,500 - Horizontal resistance (pink zone) $93,000 - $93,200 - Upper target zone $100,000 - Psychological level Support: $88,000 - CME gap zone ($87,800-$88,000) $86,000 - $86,500 - Major support zone (pink) $84,000 - $84,500 - Deep support / liquidity pool Liquidity Analysis Heavy liquidation clusters below $88,000 More intense bands near $86,000 and $84,500 CME gap at $87,800-$88,000 - likely to be filled Thin resistance between $91,000-$94,000 if breakout occurs SCENARIO ANALYSIS PRIMARY: Liquidity Sweep Then Breakout Short-term dip to $86,000-$88,000 to sweep liquidity Fill CME gap at $87,800-$88,000 Bounce off ascending trendline support Break above $90,500 resistance Target $93,000-$94,000, then $100,000 BULLISH: Direct Breakout Trigger: 4H close above $90,500 with volume Targets: $93,000 → $94,000 → $100,000 BEARISH: Triangle Breakdown Trigger: Break below $86,000 and ascending trendline Targets: $84,500 → $83,000 → $80,000 My Assessment Ascending triangle at resistance with liquidity pools below. Expect short-term dip to sweep $86K-$88K liquidity, fill CME gap, then break ascending pattern and burst higher. Risk-on sentiment returning, whale accumulation, and January Effect support bullish thesis. Strategy: Wait for dip to $86,000-$88,000 zone Long on bounce with stop below $84,500 Target $93,000-$94,000, then $100,000 Or long on confirmed breakout above $90,500 Drop your comments below on what you think is the NEXT MOVE!
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by officialjackofalltrades