GOLD → Retest of upward trend support. Focus on 4200FX:XAUUSD is trading near $4,200, remaining cautious at the start of the week ahead of the Fed's decision. The trend is bullish, with the dollar stagnating. A long squeeze of support could trigger a rebound...
The Fed is expected to cut rates by 25 bps (probability ≈90%). Weak US data supports dovish expectations
Attention is shifting to the Fed meeting and its forecasts for 2026. The lack of important US data today shifts the focus to geopolitics and general market sentiment.
There is not much news this week, but from a geopolitical point of view, attention is focused on Japan-China and Russia-Ukraine-US relations.
Gold is awaiting signals from the Fed. The decision on rates and geopolitical news will determine the direction of the breakout from the current range.
Resistance levels: 4220, 4256
Support levels: 4200, 4195, 4180
The dollar previously broke through the support of the uptrend, but has been stagnating for the past few days. A break below 99.0 could trigger a decline in the index, which could support the price of gold.
Gold is testing the support of the trading range within the uptrend. Focus on the 4200-4195 zone. A long squeeze could trigger growth amid a weak dollar...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Ascending Triangle
USDJPY → Attempt to return to the bullish trend from correctionFX:USDJPY may exit the correction phase and continue its upward movement within the trend. The global target has not yet been reached.
The dollar is consolidating after breaking the bullish trend structure. The market is trying to keep the price above 99.0. Growth and a retest of 99.5 are possible. This move may support the growth of the currency pair.
The correction may end. The main trend is bullish, and the market continues to follow the trend lines despite the weak dollar.
A breakout of the correction boundary and maintaining the price above 155.4 may trigger a distribution of 157.8.
Resistance levels: 155.4, 157.15
Support levels: 154.45
Local and global trends are bullish. The correction may end as the price continues to storm the resistance of the local bearish pattern. A breakout of 155.4 and consolidation above this zone may support further growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation above 4220. Bullish structureFX:XAUUSD is trading in a narrow range around $4,200, maintaining sideways momentum ahead of US inflation data. The market confirms a bullish structure...
The probability of a Fed rate cut in December remains at ≈90%.
Mixed US employment data:
– Jobless claims fell to their lowest level since September 2022.
– Layoffs in November reached a two-year high.
The key benchmark today is the PCE index for September (data delayed due to the government shutdown).
Gold is awaiting new signals on inflation. Range trading is likely until the release of PCE data, which may set the direction of movement ahead of the Fed's decision.
Resistance levels: 4238, 4262
Support levels: 4220, 4183
If the bulls hold their ground above local support at 4220, we will have a chance to break through 4238 and retest 4262. However, a breakout of the trading range resistance could trigger a continuation of the rally towards the ATH.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Retest of consolidation support on uptrend FX:XAUUSD is trading in a sideways range around $4,200, awaiting new labor market data to determine the Fed's policy trajectory after December's rate cut.
Weak US data (a 32K decline in ADP employment and a slight increase in ISM services to 52.6) did not change market expectations. The probability of a 25 bp Fed rate cut on December 11 is around 90%. Attention has shifted to the trajectory of policy easing in early 2026. Key factors will be data on unemployment claims and sentiment on Wall Street.
The fundamental background is relatively positive, and the dollar has entered a correction phase due to expectations of lower rates, which may support the gold price...
Resistance levels: 4238, 4262
Support levels: 4185, 4175
Gold is testing the support levels of the key trading range. If the bulls keep the price above 4185 and form a bullish reversal pattern, then in the short and medium term, we can expect growth to intermediate highs.
Best regards, R. Linda!
ETHEREUM → The emergence of a positive driver?BINANCE:ETHUSDT is soaring amid a news rally and testing resistance at 3230. The daily increase was almost 20%. If growth is expected, then after a slight correction...
Fundamental background: the market reacted to rumors of the replacement of the Fed chairman with Kevin Hassett, who is more “dovish” and loyal to cryptocurrencies. The market broke the local structure and updated the interim maximum from 3070 to 3230. A false breakout of resistance is forming relative to the key resistance level, and the market is entering a correction/stagnation phase.
Bitcoin, the main driver of the cryptocurrency market, faced strong resistance at 95K. The global market trend is downward, and a change in trend will require time and more confirmation...
There is a struggle for resistance in the market, and several scenarios are possible: consolidation and a breakout of resistance, or growth after correction...
Resistance levels: 3230, 3370
Support levels: 3172 (local), 3057
High probability: a false breakout of 3230 will trigger a correction to 3050 (before the news). If the bulls keep the price above 3050, growth may continue as part of the change in the fundamental background.
BUT! If buyers keep the price without correction, then the focus will be on 3230. Consolidation above this level could trigger growth to 3370 - 3620.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → The battle for zone 4200. Bullish trend FX:XAUUSD is forming a local trading range of 4180-4230, trying to stay above 4200 after yesterday's correction ahead of important US employment and services data.
The dollar is weakening amid expectations of a Fed rate cut on December 11. News concerning Powell, namely Fed chair candidate Kevin Hassett (a well-known “dove”), is supporting gold. Geopolitical risks (stagnation in Russia-Ukraine negotiations) are increasing demand for safe-haven assets.
• In focus today: ADP employment data and ISM Services PMI.
• Weak indicators will strengthen bets on Fed policy easing and support gold.
Gold retains its upside potential. The release of US data could either accelerate growth to $4300 or trigger a correction in the event of strong indicators.
Resistance levels: 4230, 4260
Support levels: 4185, 4175
Gold is testing 4200 for strong support. Local trading range 4180 - 4230. A false breakout of support amid a bullish trend and a weak dollar could support gold's growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Correction to support amid a bullish trend FX:XAUUSD retreated from the $4,245 level reached on Monday. A countertrend correction is forming ahead of the news. But buyers are not sleeping...
Weak US economic data has heightened expectations of an imminent Fed rate cut. The PMI index in the US manufacturing sector continued to contract. The market estimates the probability of the Fed easing policy next week at 87%.
However, rising US Treasury yields and fears that the Fed may send cautious signals after its December decision are limiting gold's growth.
Market attention is shifting to ADP employment data and the US services business activity index (ISM Services PMI), which will be released on Wednesday. They will provide new signals about the health of the US economy.
The correction in gold appears to be under control amid continuing macroeconomic uncertainty. The 4200, 4193-4173 level remains an important area of struggle between bulls and bears.
Resistance levels: 4211, 4245
Support levels: 4193, 4173
A false breakdown and the bulls holding the market above the above support zone could trigger growth within the trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → The bullish trend continues. Retest of 4250FX:XAUUSD is trading at six-week highs near $4,250, supported by a weaker dollar and expectations of a Fed rate cut. The market is storming key resistance...
The probability of a December rate cut is 87%. The dollar is posting its worst week in four months after failing to consolidate above 100.0. A break in local trend support could trigger a decline in the index, which would support gold.
Today's focus is on the ISM Manufacturing PMI (forecast: 48.6). Weakness in the data could increase pressure on the dollar and support gold.
Gold maintains its upward trend, supported by loose monetary policy. Key data this week could boost momentum ahead of the Fed meeting.
Resistance levels: 4245, 4300
Support levels: 4211, 4193
A retest of 4245 could end with a pullback within the current consolidation at 4211 - 4245. Two scenarios: If the bulls hold the price above 4245, a rally to 4300 is expected. Otherwise, the market could retest 4215 - 4211 with the aim of a long squeeze before rallying. The trend is bullish, and the fundamental background is relatively positive.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Attempt to change the trendFX:GBPUSD is attempting a trend reversal. The likelihood of an interest rate cut is quite high, which could support the pound's rise.
The dollar is attacking the uptrend support level, failing to consolidate above 100.0. Ahead of the interest rate meeting, another rate cut could weaken the dollar, which in turn would support the pound sterling.
The currency pair is breaking downtrend resistance, and bulls are attempting to hold the price above 1.3191. A prolonged squeeze could shift the imbalance toward buyers, which in turn could trigger a rally.
Support levels: 1.3191, 1.3124
Resistance levels: 1.337, 1.353
The price has entered the trading range of 1.3191 - 1.3370. Consolidation is forming above key support, but the market may test this area of interest before continuing its rise at the European session's opening. A false breakdown and price holding above 1.3191 could support further growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Retest of the 94,000 zone of interest...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is rebounding from its interim low of 80,000. However, it is still too early to talk about a bull market, as a countertrend correction is forming under the current circumstances.
Globally, Bitcoin is in a downtrend, with the zone of interest for a countertrend correction being 94,000-95,000. The market structure is bearish, and a retest of the break-even zone could trigger a downward movement within the trend.
After a strong liquidation to 80K, the market is forming a pullback, which is a basic phenomenon. There is no confirmation of a trend reversal yet, and the fundamental background is neutral, without clear support. Various analytical services suggest that the market is in a cleansing phase and has so far only liquidated short-term traders, reaching a cumulative average break-even price. A classic pullback. Technically, the zone of interest or magnet for the medium-term market is 75K (on the daily timeframe).
Resistance levels: 93,000, 94,000, 97,300
Support levels: 89,000, 86,000
In the current situation: a bearish trend, weak purchasing power, and a weak fundamental background, I consider a pullback to be the primary reaction to the 93-94K zone. However, the market is not constant, and if support appears (news or other drivers) and Bitcoin manages to stay above 95K, then growth can be expected.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
BTC : Short Trade setup from Ascending ChannelBitcoin is trading inside an ascending channel and has just tapped into a supply zone, making this a clean scenario for a short‑term counter‑trend short back toward prior support. The idea is to fade the move inside the supply, then ride price down to the support level where buyers previously stepped in.
Price has been respecting an ascending channel. Current location is at the upper band plus an overlapping supply zone, which often acts as a magnet for profit‑taking and short entries.
After a strong impulsive leg up, price is overextended into supply on the 15m chart, with RSI elevated and showing potential for momentum fade rather than fresh trend acceleration.
Take Profit:
TP1: Mid‑channel near 90,000–90,200 to secure partial profits.
TP2: Support zone around 89,200–89,300, where the last strong breakout originated.
Stop Loss: Conservative: Just above the supply zone and recent high, around 92,300–92,500.
GOLD → Consolidation above 4150 amid a bullish market FX:XAUUSD breaks through 4170 and renews its high to 4193 during the Asian trading session. But further on, the market may consolidate before a possible continuation of growth...
The probability of a Fed rate cut in December remains at 82%. Geopolitical risks (Russia-Ukraine) continue to support demand for safe-haven assets. Weekly growth continues, but consolidation above $4170-4190 is required for the movement to continue.
However, low liquidity is expected on Thursday/Friday due to the holidays in the US. There may not be any strong movement, but volatility could be high during the European/American session...
Focus on the current trading range of 4150-4193...
Resistance levels: 4170, 4193, 4211
Support levels: 4150, 4145, 4139
The market is bullish both globally and locally. Accordingly, within the current trading range, gold may form a long squeeze relative to support and the liquidity zone at 4150. If the fundamental background does not change over the weekend, growth may continue next week...
Best regards, R. Linda!
ETHEREUM → Countertrend correction. The hunt for liquidity BINANCE:ETHUSDT is testing the downward trend line and attempting to break through the resistance conglomerate. Overall, against the backdrop of low liquidity, the market has the opportunity to test 3245...
Against the backdrop of low liquidity and without the presence of the American side in trading, ETH is testing the downward line of the local trend. A medium-term downtrend is forming in the cryptocurrency market. There is no strong fundamental support, and after the correction, the decline may continue. Any attempts at growth at this point can be seen as an opportunity to sell profitably...
A breakout is forming and an attempt is being made to keep the price in the long zone. If the bulls keep the price above 2897 after retesting support, the price is likely to strengthen to the resistance range of 3245... However, a false breakout (liquidity capture) of key resistance may remind the market of the relevance of the downward trend...
Resistance levels: 3000, 3245
Support levels: 2987, 2863
I expect two movements. If the price stays above 2987 (after retesting), then Ethereum will be able to retest the resistance of the range. A false breakout of the resistance range could trigger a price decline within the global downtrend that has been developing for 3 months...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation above the support level of the new rangeFX:XAUUSD is consolidating above 4150 but within the distribution phase after breaking through consolidation. The upward price movement is supported by the weakening of the dollar...
The metal remains on track for a fourth month of growth thanks to expectations of further Fed rate cuts and geopolitical tensions.
Despite strong US data, markets are still pricing in a 76-85% probability of a rate cut in December. The dollar is weakening, although yields are rising slightly.
Against the backdrop of the holiday week in the US, volatility may decrease and gold may consolidate. Talks about a possible peace between Russia and Ukraine could reduce demand for safe-haven assets, but the overall backdrop remains favorable for XAU/USD growth.
Resistance levels: 4170, 4211
Support levels: 4146, 4139
Gold is consolidating above the key support zone of 4140-4146. A long squeeze could trigger a shift in market imbalance in favor of buyers. If the bulls keep the price above 4150, this could trigger further growth, a breakout of 4170, and a retest of 4211.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EURUSD → Formation of an intermediate bottom...FX:EURUSD is forming a consolidation, which hints at a halt in the downward correction. The market is waiting for news that could trigger strong movements...
The dollar is pausing and moving into consolidation. If the index enters a correction phase, the euro will go up. A breakout of 1.155 could confirm a change in the local trend and trigger a rally.
The price is trading within a downward price channel; locally, the market is not ready to update the low and is consolidating above 1.150 and 0.7f. Accordingly, the focus is on the current consolidation: 1.150 - 1.155
Resistance levels: 1.155, 1.1606
Support levels: 1.1524, 1.1502, 1.1473
The price is currently consolidating, which means that the market is preparing for possible movements. A breakout of one or another boundary could trigger a rally. A breakout of resistance will confirm a change in the local trend. However, a breakout of support could trigger a continued decline to 1.1473.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Distribution phase. Focus on 4150...FX:XAUUSD is trading at a one-and-a-half-week high, supported by a weaker dollar and growing expectations of Fed policy easing. More news ahead...
US PPI inflation showed signs of slowing (2.7% y/y). Retail sales and consumer confidence were weaker than expected. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December rose to 85%. Fed members (Williams, Waller, Miran) supported the possibility of easing
However, progress in Russia-Ukraine negotiations is limiting growth
Today, attention is focused on data on jobless claims and durable goods orders
The combination of soft monetary policy, geopolitical risks, and structural demand from the Central Bank creates a favorable backdrop.
Resistance levels: 4156, 4211
Support levels: 4146, 4111
Gold continues to recover after breaking out of consolidation and holding above 4110. Focus on the next trading range (consolidation) of 4156 - 4111. If the bulls keep the price above 4146 - 4156, the next target could be 4211 - 4245.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Psychological level retest before growth FX:XAUUSD breaks through consolidation resistance and renews its high to 4155. As part of a minor correction, a retest of 4100 may form and a battle for key support...
The probability of a Fed rate cut in December has risen to 81%. Fed members (Williams, Waller, Daly) supported the possibility of easing this year.
Progress in negotiations between the West and Ukraine with Russia reduces demand for defensive assets.
Gold remains sensitive to inflation and retail sales data. Strong figures could adjust rate expectations and limit growth, while weak data would support the bulls.
Technically, a retest of the 4110-4100 zone is forming. If the bulls hold their ground above this level, a new trading range of 4100-4150 could form.
Resistance levels: 4155, 4211
Support levels: 4111, 4100
The importance of the 4100 zone is that it is an area of imbalance and breakeven, a consolidation boundary, as well as a psychological level. Accordingly, the reaction to this area should be aggressive. If the reaction is weak, the price may be dragged below 4100. Otherwise, I expect consolidation above 4111 and further growth to 4155 (possibly to 4200).
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Waiting for NFP... High importance level!FX:XAUUSD is stagnating ahead of the news. The market is in a phase of uncertainty, with long shadows and short candlestick bodies. The key factor will be the US employment data for September.
We have not seen unemployment data for more than seven weeks, which makes this data highly significant. Complete uncertainty. Significant deviations from forecasts could significantly change expectations for Fed rates. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December fell to 33% after the publication of the minutes, in which the regulator expressed concerns about inflation.
The market expects 50K jobs to be created in September, compared to 22K in August.
The unemployment rate is forecast at 4.3%, with wage growth at 3.7% year-on-year.
The further dynamics of gold depend on the NFP data. Weaker indicators may reinforce expectations of Fed policy easing and support price growth, while strong data will put pressure on the metal
Resistance levels: 4082 - 4111
Support levels: 4040, 4006
In the current circumstances, having only one scenario means narrowing your view of the situation as much as possible. The market can be aggressive on news. Weak data could lock the price within the current range (trading between graces). However, a breakout of resistance at 4082 - 4111 and a close above this level could trigger growth. Otherwise, a breakdown and consolidation below 4040 could break the current bullish trend and trigger a sell-off to 3930 (especially against the backdrop of the Fed's weak but hawkish stance).
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Market support, exit from consolidationFX:XAUUSD is feeling market support ahead of the news. The price is rebounding from trend support, breaking through strong resistance and enjoying high interest from bulls...
The rise in demand for defensive assets is driven by concerns about the overvaluation of technology stocks and weak US labor market data. The number of applications for unemployment benefits rose significantly in October. Private employers cut jobs for four weeks. The Fed minutes may show disagreement over the regulator's future policy, and the probability of a rate cut in December is estimated at 50/50. The market's attention is focused on September NFP data (forecast: +50K).
Gold is awaiting signals from the Fed and employment data. The Fed's cautious stance and weak NFP data could support further price growth.
Resistance levels: 4145 - 4211
Support levels: 4097, 4082, 4055
Gold is entering a long zone. Any correction could be a good opportunity to enter the market. Pay attention to key support levels for trend trading...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPJPY → Attempt to reverse the local trend to bullish FX:GBPJPY breaks the structure of the local downtrend amid the fall of the Japanese yen. The price may continue the global bullish trend...
The yen continues to fall, the pound is rising. A breakout of the trend resistance is forming. The global trend is bullish. Key support is 203.500 - 203.260. Consolidation above this zone will confirm the bullish structure and may support further growth. If the bulls keep the price above 203.500, it could trigger growth.
Resistance levels: 204.06, 205.32
Support levels: 203.52, 203.26
There is a battle between the bulls and bears for the 203.5 area. Consolidation is forming above 203.0, confirming the importance of the current zone. Now the focus is on the bulls; if they can keep the price above 203.5, the growth will continue. Otherwise, the price may test support...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation while awaiting the driverFX:XAUUSD is consolidating after a sharp decline. Bulls are consolidating above 4050. Important US data is ahead, including the employment report (NFP) on Thursday.
Decrease in bets on Fed easing: The probability of a cut in December has fallen to 46% (from 67% a week ago) after cautious statements by Fed officials. However, we have not yet seen inflation and employment data, so the situation may change... The September NFP report will be released on Thursday after a 43-day hiatus.
The market is waiting for clarity from the US data. Weak indicators (NFP, inflation) could bring back interest in gold, while strong data would strengthen the dollar and reinforce the correction.
Gold is in the $4030–4100 range. A break above $4100 will require weak US data or unexpectedly dovish rhetoric from the Fed. The $4030–4045 level is key support.
Resistance levels: 4097, 4110
Support levels: 4071, 4046, 4032
I think the market may remain in the current range while awaiting economic data or other drivers. A correction to support may form from resistance. It is important to monitor the levels from below; if the bulls keep the price above support during the correction, gold will be able to strengthen...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Krispy Kreme trending upward look for good entriesNASDAQ:DNUT shares are building a large ascending triangle and just had positive earnings after a slew of misses.
The shares are consolidating after touching resistance, but the uptrend appears in tact.
I've set an alert on the lower upward trend line. If the price get back there I may pick up some shares.
Looks like it could be setup to pump decently into the back half of next year.






















