XAU/USD | Gold Update – Calm Before the $4,000 Breakout?I was about to drop a full gold analysis for you today, but honestly — the chart isn’t showing anything super clean or exciting right now.
So here’s a quick summary instead 👇
Price is still following its bullish momentum, and I’m expecting gold to reach $4,000 within the next day or two.
If we see a solid close and stability above $4,000, my next target will be around $4,084.
Key Demand Zones:
• $3927–$3934
• $3900–$3908
Keep an eye on how price reacts to these levels — any sharp rejection or bounce here could confirm the next wave up.
Also, note that gold has just made a new ATH at $3,970 — a good sign that momentum’s still alive.
Stay tuned — I’ll post the full technical analysis soon once the setup gets clearer.
ATH
ASTER/USDT | +7000% Since Listing, What’s Next?By analyzing the Aster (ASTR) chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $2.08. Since its listing, this crypto has surged over 7000%, but later experienced a heavy drop. Now it’s consolidating within a key range — making it a high-risk, high-reward setup for early investors.
The first major support zone is between $1.83–$1.91, while the medium-term upside targets are $2.22, $2.38, and $2.50.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
$XAUUSD Analysis - Oct 6 | 15m Time FrameFX:XAUUSD Analysis - 15m
Hello and welcome to another analysis from the Satoshi Frame team!
I’m Abolfazl, and today we’re going to analyze XAUUSD on the 15-minute timeframe.
Gold is showing a strong bullish trend on the 15-minute timeframe, so I recommend avoiding sell positions and focusing only on buy setups.
The marked zones are suitable for trading opportunities.
Price may also react to Fibonacci levels, and the OTE range offers a good area for potential entries.
See you in the next analyses!
Stay tuned with the Satoshi Frame team...
$BTCUSDT Analysis - Oct 6 | 4H Time FrameBINANCE:BTCUSDT Analysis - 4H
Hello and welcome to another analysis from the Satoshi Frame team!
I’m Abolfazl, and today we’re going to analyze Bitcoin on the 4-hour timeframe.
After reaching a new all-time high and making a slight correction, Bitcoin has started moving upward again and could rise up to $127,000
If we see any trend reversal in Bitcoin, we’ll discuss it in future analyses.
On the lower timeframe (15 minutes), you can look for buy positions targeting $127,000** and $130,000.
See you in the next analyses!
Stay tuned with the Satoshi Frame team...
06/10/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $125,735.08
Last weeks low: $111,559.20
Midpoint: $118,6547.14
New All Time High for Bitcoin in the first week of "Uptober", really impressive strength since flipping $117,500.
BTC still finds itself within a range between ATH and $108,000 but with such strength on the bounce from range lows, could we see price discovery going into the last leg of the year?
From a macro perspective month/quarter end is now over and done with, banks have completed their window dressing/de-risking and we can expect liquidity to flow back into the risk markets. Rate cut cycle continues, M2 Global money supply at ATH with seemingly no plans to stop in the near future.
For now I am still treating trading BTC as it is in a range until we get price acceptance above $125,000. If there is a breakout above and a rally altcoins should follow. In terms of news releases this week because of the US Government shutdown there is a disruption on data releases but overall nothing of great importance is disrupted.
Good luck this week everybody!
XAUUSD - Will Gold Hit $4,000?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the hourly chart and is trading in its medium-term ascending channel. A correction towards the demand zone will provide us with a better risk-reward buying opportunity. It should be noted that these positions are intended to hedge against this uptrend.
In early Monday trading in Asian markets, global gold prices surpassed $3,900 per ounce for the first time, driven by stronger demand for safe-haven assets amid the U.S. government shutdown and rising expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Goldman Sachs once again reaffirmed its bullish outlook on gold, calling it its “most favored long-term commodity asset”, even as the precious metal continues to reach new record highs. Analysts at the bank believe the upward momentum remains intact.
Goldman forecasts that gold will reach $4,000 by mid-2026 and $4,300 by December 2026. However, the bank cautioned that upside risks beyond these projections are emerging. Notably, speculative flows account for only about 1% of the recent 14% rally, signaling stronger and more sustainable support from ETFs and central banks.
Marc Chandler, CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex, commented: “Gold has risen for the seventh consecutive week, having declined in only one week since late July. The U.S. government shutdown, Europe’s debate over reusing Russian reserves, and ongoing hybrid tensions across Europe have all contributed to this rally.” He added, “A short-term support level has formed near $3,800, and reaching $4,000 no longer seems far-fetched.”
Similarly, Darin Newsom, senior market analyst at Barchart.com, noted: “The market trend remains bullish. The U.S. economy has not improved—if anything, it has deteriorated further. Central banks and global investors clearly recognize this and continue accumulating gold.”
For this week, considerable uncertainty surrounds the U.S. data release calendar. If Democrats and Republicans manage to reach an agreement on a temporary funding bill early in the week, the September employment report could be released on schedule Friday. Estimates suggest a modest improvement in job creation, with around 50,000 new positions, though the weak ADP private payrolls data paints a more cautious picture. Still, downside risks to employment remain, reinforcing expectations for further rate cuts.
Even if the jobs report is delayed, the ongoing government shutdown alone could drive markets to increase bets on rate reductions, as a surge in furloughed federal workers and reduced economic output from halted government operations may compel the Fed to lower borrowing costs.
Beyond Washington’s political standoff, investors’ focus this week will be on the minutes from the Fed’s September meeting, which could reveal growing divisions among policymakers over the labor market outlook.
The Fed’s latest dot plot highlights a widening gap between hawkish and dovish members, meaning any new clues in the minutes about the timing or pace of rate cuts could spark a strong market reaction.
Toward the end of the week, attention will also turn to the University of Michigan’s preliminary consumer sentiment survey, particularly the inflation expectations component, which holds significant weight for gauging domestic demand. At the same time, the U.S. Treasury market faces a busy schedule of debt auctions, adding another layer of focus for investors.
BTC just achieved a new all time high on its way to 153kFeels like it may be validating the breakout above the blue line as it also seems to be climbing up the dotted measured move line here on the last few candles. So probability is quite good that we validate the breakout on this impulse. If so the full measured move target is around 152.9k or more or less 153k. *not financial advice*
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 51☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Bitcoin, we can see that after this recent bullish leg, price has now reached its resistance at $120,827. If this resistance breaks — a zone packed with short orders — Bitcoin could start an extremely sharp and powerful upward leg, essentially triggering a short squeeze. At the moment, Bitcoin is entering a corrective phase; with the start of this correction, price could head down toward its Fibonacci retracement supports, bounce from one of those levels, and then form a new trading structure.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, price has been ranging around the 70 zone and briefly entered overbuy. It is now moving toward the 50 area, its oscillation mean. A break below 50 could deepen the correction, but if support holds, RSI could again head toward the resistance zone near 70 and re-test the overbought boundary.
🎮 The Fibonacci retracement drawn from the breakout at $114,562 to $120,827 highlights several strong support areas. The most important zones for Bitcoin are the 0.236 and 0.382 retracement levels. Support here, followed by a fresh structure, could set up strong trading opportunities.
🕯 The size and volume of buy candles have been exceptionally strong and increasing — something rarely seen in Bitcoin with such a one-sided move to the upside. Now, during this corrective phase, even as selling pressure appears, roughly 70% of that sell volume is being absorbed by buyers. What we must watch closely is how buyers decide to allocate capital from here. If the key Fibonacci levels are lost, we respect the market’s decision and only then consider new trades.
🧠 For a Bitcoin position If you don’t have an open position, I recommend waiting for a new structure to form at critical Fibonacci levels, and only enter after a breakout of that structure.
If you already hold a position, consider partial profit-taking, since USDT dominance has also reached an important support zone.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Title: BTC/USD: Breakout Confirmed - Targeting $135K After SucceBitcoin has decisively broken and closed above the major resistance level of $120,000. Following a clean and successful retest of this level as new support, the structure confirms a strong bullish breakout.
The momentum is now building for the next leg up, with all signs pointing towards a challenge of the next significant target.
🎯 Primary Target: $135,295.5
🛡️ Major Support (Buying Zone): $118,043.66
The overall structure suggests Bitcoin is gearing up for a significant continuation pump.
Bitcoin in Q4 As "Uptober" begins the layout for Bitcoin is as follows:
- Downtrend on the daily officially since 18th September but really it began after the SFP of ATH on August 14th.
- The origin of the rally to ATH has served as support twice since at $108,000
- Diagonal trendline resistance being tested as Q4 begins, seasonality shows October is very strong for returns, 21.89% average since 2019.
- Compression of the range inevitably leads to a breakout in either direction.
Bullish scenario is reclaim of $117,500 to push towards ATH.
Bearish scenario is a loss of $108,000
ETH - Near ATH… Price Discovery Reload?BINANCE:ETHUSDT ETH has marched back to its cycle ceiling on the weekly after a long range. We’re now pressing the final resistance band around $4,880–$5,000—where a clean breakout would shift ETH into price discovery again.
Confluence is strong here: prior ATH supply + round-number magnet + momentum structure. If buyers clear $5K with a weekly close, I’ll look for the next leg toward $6.5K–$7.25K, then a stretch path into five digits as discovery unfolds. If rejected, a healthy retest toward $4,100–$3,550 would keep the uptrend intact while the range persists.
What’s your plan => buy the weekly breakout above $5K, or wait for a dip into $4.1K for better risk–reward? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BNB/USDT | BNB Bull Run Continues – No Signs of Correction Yet!By analyzing the Binance Coin (BNB) chart on the weekly (logarithmic) timeframe, we can see that the price has set a new ATH above $1,000. Since the last time I analyzed BNB — over 2 years ago — the price has increased by more than 400%!
Currently, BNB is trading around $1,060, and there are still no signs of a correction on the chart. With the current momentum, I expect further growth, possibly pushing the price to levels above $1,200. This analysis will be updated again!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Aethir retracement or structure we need more dataATH did experience a notable breakout, resulting in a higher high. After such a move, we can expect a bullish structure to form for a continuation up or a retrament into the discount zone. Either way, it is important that we have patience to see what the data provides.
BNB/USD 1D Chart Review UpTrend1. Trend Structure
The price was in a long-term uptrend (marked by the orange lines).
The last breakout occurred at the top of this channel, which is a strong signal of trend continuation.
A breakout from the channel usually means that the market is gaining additional momentum – not only maintaining the current growth rate, but even accelerating it.
2. Breakout Range
The height of the channel (the difference between the lower and upper orange lines) is approximately ~$300–$320.
It is assumed that after breaking out of the channel, the price can cover a distance equal to its height.
This indicates a potential target around:
$1,100–$1,150 (the first key resistance level, aligned with the green zone on the chart).
The next range is as high as $1,280–$1,300 (the upper level marked by the green line).
3. Key Technical Levels
Support (red lines):
USD 899
USD 775
USD 702
These levels are most important for potential corrections.
Resistance (green lines):
USD 1,116 (nearest target after the breakout)
USD 1,280–1,300 (full range of the channel height)
4. Oscillators and Momentum
Stoch RSI (at the bottom of the chart): heavily overbought, which may suggest a short-term correction before further upward movement.
In uptrends, overbought levels do not always lead to large declines – often only to sideways consolidation.
5. Scenarios
Bullish:
Price remains above USD 900, consolidates, and then tests USD 1,116, with a target of USD 1,280–1,300.
Bearish:
If the market fails to maintain the breakout and returns below $900, a return to the middle of the channel to the $775–$800 area is possible.
✅ Summary:
A breakout from the channel to the upside is a very positive signal, and the technical upside range reaches $1,100–$1,300. However, due to the overbought position (Stoch RSI), a correction or short-term consolidation is possible before the price continues towards the full target.
SOL big picture: All Time High again in this cycle?
Solana has being showing strength in its price action recently compared to top 10 altcoins (in MarketCap) within the past few days, yet failing to break the strong resistance within 200 and 220. Bears have consistently defended this region while maintaining the price below the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the mid January - April price drawback.
Since then, the price has maintained an uptrend where the cup-and-handle pattern strongly playing out. But the the uptrend was restricted within a parallel channel (blue) and yet to be broken, which is a breakout to be played for SOL to break the 210 barrier. Price has been moving within a bearish wedge (white) during the months July and August, and still failed to confirm a positive breakout even after the price surge due to Jerome Powell's hint on rate cuts at annual economic policy symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
The current Bull Cycle is shortly coming to an end. Based on historical behavior, BTC reaches its ATH within 510 to 550 days from its recent halving which falls between mid-September to October end. BTC is supposed to go for an ATH within this region and September rate cuts can be a good fuel to reach this target. Mostly we will be having a short altcoin season for this cycle with a probability of an extension until year end (November or early December).
Statutory 240-day deadline for VanEck and Franklin SOL ETF applications will conclude by October 2025. As reported by Coinpaper, the final deadline has been set to October 16, 2025 for five Solana ETF applications. (source: coinpaper). These positive news can align with the last phase of the Crypto Cycleand trigger new ATH for SOL. Price will take a downturn if Bulls progressively struggle to break the parallel channel resistance by this time, marking the end of the current cycle.
So, a high probability exist for SOL to reach new ATHs with caution on the overall market sentiment within the coming 2 to 4 months. As the time of writing, SOL is at 198.14 , plunged from a local high of 213.6.
EURUSD: Correction will ContinuesHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, we saw a significant bullish impulse on EURUSD after the price broke out of a multi-week upward wedge. This breakout carried the price well above the Support 1 level at 1.1780, culminating in a new local All-Time High before entering a corrective phase.
Following that peak, the market has pulled back and is now consolidating. Currently, it appears that the price is attempting to build support for another move higher, likely to re-challenge the recent highs.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is a bearish one, built on the expectation of a failed retest of the recent ATH. I'm looking for the price to make one more push upwards towards the recent ATH. The key signal for this short idea would be a clear and strong rejection from that high, showing that buyers no longer have the strength to continue the trend.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this failure at the highs. A confirmed reversal would validate the short scenario. The primary target for the subsequent decline is the 1.1795 support zone, which aligns with the Support zone 1 area.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
EURUSD Long: Correction Before Impulse UpHello, traders! A large upward wedge pattern has defined the price auction for EURUSD. This bullish structure has been formed by a series of higher highs and higher lows, with key pivot points establishing the diverging supply and demand lines. The auction has been rotating between the demand zone 2 and the supply zone near the 1.1780 level.
Currently, following a rejection from the wedge's upper supply line, the price has entered a corrective phase. This pullback is guiding the auction towards a significant confluence of support. The price is now approaching the ascending demand line, a key area where buyers have previously shown initiative and are expected to defend the trend.
The primary scenario anticipates a successful defense of this ascending demand line. A confirmed bounce from this dynamic support would validate the integrity of the upward wedge and signal that the bullish initiative is ready to resume. This is expected to trigger a full rotation back to the top of the pattern, breaking through the 1.1780 demand level. The take-profit is therefore set at 1.1810, targeting the upper supply line of the wedge. Manage your risk!
FED shaken by politics | Gold eyes new ATH🟡 XAU/USD – 16/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED & US Politics :
S. Miran elected to the FED Board but still serves as Trump’s economic advisor → concerns FED may face White House influence.
Michelle Mills elected with a narrow 48–47 margin.
Appeals Court blocked Trump from firing L. Cook, affirming FED’s independence, but raising the risk of a legal battle at the Supreme Court.
US Economy :
6:30 AM (US time): Retail Sales release – key consumer spending indicator.
Probability of a -50bps FED cut this week is down to 1.2% , nearly ruled out. FED is almost certain to deliver -25bps next week.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : Politics create noise, but the macro backdrop (FED easing + weak US data) remains the tailwind supporting Gold’s journey toward new ATH.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) :
3706 – 3714 (Fibonacci resistance)
3722 – 3724 (Strong Sell Zone, potential ATH test)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) :
FVG Dock: 3666 – 3668
OB Harbor: 3643 – 3645
Strong Low: 3611 (deep support)
Market Structure :
After a series of BoS , Gold broke out of sideways EqH/EqL and surged.
Preferred scenario: retrace to FVG 3666 , then bounce toward 3714 – 3722.
If 3722 breaks successfully → confirms new ATH and extends bullish momentum.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy 1 (FVG)
Entry: 3666 – 3668
SL: 3657
TP: 3690 – 3706 – 3714 – 372x
Buy 2 (OB)
Entry: 3643 – 3645
SL: 3632
TP: 3666 – 3700 – 3714 – 372x
⚡ Sell (short scalp at resistance)
Sell Zone
Entry: 3722 – 3724
SL: 3732
TP: 3714 – 3706 – 3690
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden ship has broken free from sideways waters and is heading toward new peaks. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3666 – 3643) is the safe dock for sailors to gather strength before sailing further. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3722 – 3724) is the big wave, suitable only for short Quick Boarding 🚤 . With dovish winds from the FED, the Golden sails are set toward new ATH.”
Gold 09/09 - Waiting for a pullback to Buy safely| New ATH ahead🔎 Captain’s Log – News Context
FED : The probability of a September rate cut is now almost certain, reinforcing confidence that flows will continue moving into Gold.
Dollar : Dropped to a 7-week low due to FED rate cut expectations, adding further support for Gold.
US Economic Data : No major news today, the market focus remains on interest rates.
⏩ Captain’s Summary: Gold remains in a strong uptrend. However, Vincent advises waiting for a pullback into support to Buy safely , avoiding chasing price at higher levels.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone) :
Quick Boarding: 3654 – 3656 (Short-term Sell scalp)
Storm Breaker Peak: 3673 – 3675 (Sell zone – potential new ATH)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone) :
Buy Scalp Dock: 3615 – 3617
Main Golden Harbor: 3597 – 3599 (Strong support)
Price structure remains bullish after multiple BOS – Break of Structure. Current highs may trigger short-term profit-taking waves before Gold pulls back to Golden Harbor and then rallies toward ATH 367x .
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios
✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Priority with trend)
Buy Scalp: 3615 – 3617 | SL: 3598 | TP: 3620 → 3623 → 3626 → 3630 → 36xx
Main Buy Zone: 3597 – 3599 | SL: 3589 | TP: 3660 → 3663 → 3666 → 3670 → 36xx
⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL Scalp – Only at resistance)
Sell Zone 1: 3654 – 3656 | SL: 3662 | TP: 3650 → 3647 → 3644 → 3640 → 36xx
Sell Zone 2 – Storm Breaker Peak (ATH test): 3673 – 3675 | SL: 3682 | TP: 3670 → 3667 → 3664 → 3660 → 36xx
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The interest rate winds from the FED continue to power the Golden sails. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3597 – 3599) is the safe haven for sailors trusting the bullish tide. Quick Boarding 🚤 (3615 – 3617) is just a short ride before the voyage resumes. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3654 – 3675) may bring big waves, but it’s only suitable for technical scalps – as the main current still carries Gold toward new highs.”






















