AUD/USD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly rising on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.644 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUDUSD
AUDUSD Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for AUDUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.6490
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.6459
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUD/USD: Recovery After a Sharp DeclineAUD/USD fell sharply to a two-month low around 0.6410 after the USD strengthened significantly, driven by reduced market expectations of a Fed rate cut in September, while the RBA kept interest rates unchanged, providing no additional support for the Aussie. However, following the heavy selling pressure, the pair staged a technical rebound toward 0.6490, mainly supported by USD profit-taking, though this is not yet a signal of a sustainable bullish trend.
On the chart, the 0.6480 support level is still holding, and price is now moving toward the 0.6520 resistance zone. A breakout above this level could reinforce short-term bullish momentum and extend the recovery. Conversely, failure to break higher may lead to a pullback toward 0.6445, or even a retest of the 0.6414 low.
In the current context, this is viewed as an important technical rebound after a steep drop, but not yet enough to confirm a long-term uptrend. Traders should carefully watch the market’s reaction around the 0.6520 resistance before deciding on their next strategy.
Could the price reverse from here?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6492
1st Support: 0.6451
1st Resistance: 0.6530
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?AUD/USD is reacting off the resistance lev which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this levle to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6491
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6519
Why we llike it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6451
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD retest of support at 0.6420Trend Overview:
The AUDUSD currency price remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 0.6420 (primary pivot), followed by 0.6400 and 0.6370
Resistance: 0.6560 (initial), then 0.6590 and 0.6620
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 0.6420 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 0.6560, 0.6590, and ultimately 0.6620.
Conversely, a daily close below 0.6420 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 0.6400 and 0.6370 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
AUDUSD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 0.6420 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern. The loss of this level and a daily close below would suggest deeper corrective risk.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Australian Dollar Surges SharplyAustralian Dollar Surges Sharply
As illustrated by the AUD/USD chart, while the pair was trading near a two-month low at the start of Friday, today it has jumped by more than 1.1%.
The primary driver behind this rally is the weakening US dollar, which reflects the market’s reaction to Jerome Powell’s comments at the Jackson Hole Symposium. He stated that the risks of declining employment are rising. And if these risks materialise, it could happen very quickly. According to Reuters, this strengthens the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut at its meeting next month.
At the same time, market participants are preparing for the release of Australia’s CPI data, scheduled for this Wednesday.
Technical Analysis of AUD/USD
On 14 August, we reviewed the dynamics of the Australian dollar and highlighted the following:
→ a descending channel was identified, with the AUD/USD chart signalling prevailing bearish sentiment;
→ the psychological level of 0.6500 was marked as critical.
Since then:
→ the pair broke through the support line S around 0.6500;
→ on Friday it dropped to a two-month low;
→ but today it is showing signs of strength.
What Could Happen Next?
Bearish outlook:
→ the pair remains within the descending channel;
→ low 5 continues the sequence of lower highs and lower lows;
→ the sharp rally in AUD/USD might prove to be an overly emotional reaction to the Fed Chair’s remarks.
Bullish outlook:
→ when forming low 5, the price fell only slightly below low 3. In SMC terminology, this can be interpreted as a bullish Liquidity Grab;
→ the black arrow indicates a long lower shadow – a sign that demand persisted over the weekend.
Price action suggests an attempt to test the resistance area formed by:
→ the 0.6500 level,
→ the QH line dividing the upper half of the channel into two quarters,
→ the bearish candle (marked with a red arrow), where selling pressure was previously aggressive, breaking support at S – meaning supply dominance may still remain to some extent.
If bulls manage to secure a foothold above 0.6500, this mght be interpreted as a significant shift in market sentiment in favour of demand. In the longer term, this could drive AUD/USD towards the upper boundary of the channel (with a possible breakout scenario).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Starts Recovery, Key Hurdles AheadMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Starts Recovery, Key Hurdles Ahead
AUD/USD is attempting a fresh increase from 0.6415.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar found support at 0.6415 and moved higher against the US Dollar.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6440 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD, the pair formed a base above 0.6415. The Aussie Dollar started a significant increase above 0.6425 against the US Dollar to enter a short-term positive zone.
There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6440 and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6568 swing high to the 0.6415 low. The pair even surpassed 0.6470 and settled above the 50-hour simple moving average.
On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near the 50% Fib retracement level at 0.6490. The first major hurdle for the bulls could be 0.6520.
An upside break above 0.6520 resistance might send the pair further higher. The next major target is near the 0.6540 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward 0.6565. If there is no close above 0.6490, the pair might start a fresh decline.
Immediate support sits near the 0.6470 level. The next area of interest could be 0.6440. If there is a downside break below 0.6440 support, the pair could extend its decline toward 0.6410. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6350.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AUSSIE H4 | Bullish reversalBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has bounced off the buy entry, identified as an overlap support, and could continue rising to the upside.
Buy entry is at 0.6481, which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 0.64450, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 0.6551, which is a swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third
Heading into pullback resitance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support, which is a swing low support.
Pivot: 0.6546
1st Support: 0.6414
1st Resistance: 0.6604
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDUSD: Strong Uptrend Driven by Positive Economic DataTechnical Analysis:
AUDUSD is currently showing a strong uptrend, with resistance at 0.65500 and support at 0.64200. If the price stays above the support level, the uptrend will continue, with a potential target of 0.64860. However, if the price breaks below the support, a downtrend could be triggered. For now, with strong momentum from technical indicators, the uptrend remains favored.
Market Context:
Recent positive economic data from the US dollar zone has boosted the AUD, providing strong support for AUDUSD. Along with favorable macroeconomic factors, the AUD continues to strengthen against the USD, driving the pair into a stable uptrend.
Trading Strategy:
With technical signals and a favorable market backdrop, traders can consider buying AUDUSD when the price adjusts to the 0.64200 support, with a potential target at 0.64860. However, close monitoring of the support level is crucial, and a stop-loss should be placed below 0.64200 to protect capital if the market reverses.
Aussie: Range-bound 'til further noticeAs expected, TVC:DXY revisited last week's lows after the Jackson Hole meeting where Powell hinted at rate cuts and re-assured us that the jobs numbers are less important than inflation data.
We now understand that 2% inflation could be long gone and that the loss of jobs, doesn't mean the loss of money, because of the early adoption of AI. I know of a local US tech shop that laid off 3 engineers in an attempt to replace their function with GPTs. It's not off to a great start, but hey they're saving $400k a year for now. The job data has long-term implications that I believe have yet to fully unfold, so let's ignore for now.
OANDA:AUDUSD should be bullish until at least September 17. I believe the cut has already been priced in, explaining the dip sub 97 for TVC:DXY to find a bottom.
My plan for the next few weeks is to trade the ranges you see in the chart. I'm buying dips above .6460 and bearish below that point.
XAU/USD | Gold Hits Double Targets – Is Another Drop on the Way?Based on the 4-hour gold chart, we can see that the price was strongly rejected from the $3348 zone, exactly as anticipated, and dropped to $3321—successfully hitting both targets at $3334 and $3324, delivering over 250 pips of profit! Currently, gold is trading around $3328, and I expect another bearish wave to follow soon. The next downside targets are $3318, $3311, and $3301. This analysis will be updated shortly!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is reacting off the pivot which is a swing low support, and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.6420
1st Support: 0.6387
1st Resistance: 0.6482
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDUSD Tests 0.64400 as DXY Strengthens on Fed BetsHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.64400 zone, AUDUSD is correcting higher within its broader downtrend, with price approaching the 0.64400 resistance area. This zone aligns with prior supply and could be pivotal in determining whether bearish momentum resumes or a deeper retracement unfolds.
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) recently broke above the 98.700 key resistance, reinforcing its bullish bias. With U.S. inflation still elevated, markets are focused on potential hawkish commentary from the Federal Reserve at the Jackson Hole symposium — a factor that could further strengthen the dollar and weigh on AUDUSD.
Price action around 0.64400 will be critical in assessing whether sellers reassert control or the correction continues.
AUD/USD Continues to Decline in a Downward Price Channel?Hello, what do you think about OANDA:AUDUSD ?
At the time of writing, AUD/USD is still maintaining its bearish momentum, trading within a downward price channel. The "Head and Shoulders" pattern has formed, pulling the pair down to test support around the 0.642 zone.
From an economic data perspective, the pair is dropping as the Australian Dollar faces pressure from weak economic data out of China and global concerns. Additionally, the US Dollar is strengthening due to the Fed's hawkish stance on interest rates, further pressuring AUD/USD.
The support level at 0.6420 is crucial, a break below this level could lead to further declines towards 0.6400 or even the lower limit of the channel.
Keep a close watch for potential trading opportunities and always trade safely.
Good luck with your trades!
Bullish bounce off?AUD/USD is reacting off the support level, which is a swing low support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6420
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support.
Stop loss: 0.6388
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support that is slightly above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6481
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EUR/USD – Buy Setup | H1/H4 OutlookPrice is consolidating after a corrective move and is showing signs of bullish continuation. The structure suggests a possible liquidity sweep towards 1.1636 – 1.1624 demand zone, before a push higher.
✅ Entry Zone: 1.1636 – 1.1624
🎯 Target: 1.1673 (short-term TP)
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 1.1624
🧩 Bias: Bullish (as long as price holds above 1.1624 support zone)
⚡ News events ahead may create volatility, so manage risk accordingly.
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🔔 Trade Idea Only – Not Financial Advice. Do your own analysis before entering any trade.
Second Chance Setup – AUDUSD Bears Ready to Smash Supports
Last time, AUDUSD didn’t push lower as expected, instead making a false breakout / FVG sweep that trapped early sellers. But now, price action has given us a much stronger bearish confirmation.
On the 1H chart:
- A Head and Shoulders pattern has formed, signaling distribution.
- Price rejected from the FVG zone and failed to hold above the 200 EMA.
- The neckline has been retested , showing commitment from sellers.
This second chance setup looks more convincing than the first because momentum is clearly shifting toward the downside. My expectation is now for AUDUSD to extend lower toward 0.6456 , with further downside targets at 0.6422 and potentially deeper if sellers remain strong.
📉 Bias – Strong Bearish
📍 Key Resistance – FVG zone & neckline area
🎯 Target Levels – 0.6456 → 0.6422 → 0.6400
AUDUSD H4 | Bullish reversalThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the buy entry, which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 0.6423, which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 0.6361, which acts as a swing low support that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 0.6481, which is an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUD Update: Volatility, Flow & The Wide Range Game
🌡 Volatility & ER Levels (Today):
Expected Range (1σ) for AUD/USD futures:
Lower bound: 0.63945 ← Key support
🧩 Options Flow: Big Portfolio Restructuring
Big news in the options pit:
A major portfolio targeting a drop to 0.64–0.63 has been restructured.
What’s left?
Put @ 0.64 (still in play)
Call @ 0.66 (new upper ceiling)
This isn’t random — it’s a shift from directional bearishness to range-bound positioning.
🧠 What’s the Sentiment?
Looks like the market is pricing in a wide sideways channel — exactly where AUD has been stuck for the past 2 months.
No strong bullish signals from COT yet.
📅 Next Catalyst: COT Report (Tomorrow)
Fresh data on institutional and retail positioning drops tomorrow.
🔍 Bottom Line:
Support at 0.63945 holds key.
Options now suggest a 0.64–0.66 range.
Wait for COT to confirm next move.
#AUD
AUDUSD: Breaks Below ChannelThere's a very strong channel that formed on CMCMARKETS:AUDUSDU2025 originating since February 2025.
On the daily timeframe, price tested the lower channel boundary at the beginning of August. At that time, price respected this channel.
However, this wasn't the case more recently when price broke below this channel boundary and closed below it.
Moving over to the hourly timeframe, I'm monitoring the price action. I plotted an initial low that price traded post-breakout.
If price crosses below this initial low and makes a new lower low, that's an indication that momentum is picking up. If price reverts back, then it's a classic fakeout and then we'll hold off on this trade as price reverts back into the channel.