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AUDUSD H4 | Heading Into 61.8% Fibonacci ResistanceBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 0.6548, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 0.6621, which is a multi swing high resistance. Take profit is at 0.6445, which is a multi swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
AUD/USD Recovers, Are Gains Just Getting Started?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Recovers, Are Gains Just Getting Started? AUD/USD is attempting a recovery wave from 0.6440. Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar found support near 0.6440 and is now recovering against the US Dollar. - There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6490 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD, the pair dipped from well above 0.6600. The Aussie Dollar declined below 0.6500, but the bulls were active near 0.6440 against the US Dollar. A low was formed near 0.6440, and the pair is now correcting losses. There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the 0.6612 swing high to the 0.6440 low. There was also a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6490. The pair is now above 0.6500 and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the 50% Fib retracement at 0.6525. The first major hurdle for the bulls could be 0.6545. A clear upside break above 0.6545 could send the pair toward 0.6610. The next area of interest on the AUD/USD chart is near 0.6650, above which the price could rise toward 0.6680. Any more gains might send the pair toward 0.6720. On the downside, initial support is near 0.6490 or the 50-hour simple moving average. The key breakdown zone could be 0.6465 and 0.6440. Any more losses might send the pair toward 0.6400. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Potential bearish drop off?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support. Pivot: 0.6532 1st Support: 0.6400 1st Resistance: 0.6625 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by IC Markets
AUD/USD Bulls Eye Mean Reversion HigherBearish volatility diminished last week, with AUD/USD printing a small bullish candle on the weekly chart. The daily chart suggests demand resides around 0.6450 with two lower spikes arriving on Tuesday and Friday, despite softer jobs figures from Australia reviving some hopes of a November RAB cut. With prices having recovered back above the 200-day EMA and monthly S1 pivot, the bias is for mean reversion high on the daily chart towards trend resistance. Bulls could seek dips towards the 200-day EMA in anticipation of a move towards the 0.6550 high-volume node (HVN) or bearish trendline. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Inde and Forex.com.
Long
by City Index
AUDUSD The Target Is UP! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for AUDUSD below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.6487 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 0.6498 Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6481 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EUR/USD | 2H In today’s EUR/USD analysis, we combine Elliott Wave structure with a rising wedge ABC correction to identify a potential reversal from the premium seller’s zone (1.1720–1.1769). Smart money traders are closely watching this region for bearish confirmation toward 1.1649. This setup reflects a wave-4 correction ending near the liquidity pocket, aligning with institutional order flow principles. Watch how price reacts inside the wedge — a rejection could trigger a high-probability short setup. 📊 Strategy: Elliott Wave + Price Action + Supply Zone ⚡ Timeframe: 2-Hour | Pair: EUR/USD 📈 Possible Target: 1.1649 🎯 Bias: Bearish Reversal from Seller’s Zone
by Greenfireforex
AUDUSD Daily FRGNT Forecast - FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY📅 Q4 | W42 | D17 | Y25| 📊 AUDUSD Daily FRGNT Forecast - FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:AUDUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
Stop!Loss|Market View: NZDUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the NZDUSD currency pair☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 0.57168 💰TP: 0.56450 ⛔️SL: 0.57780 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: The New Zealand dollar's situation is similar to that of the Australian dollar, with both short- and medium-term USD strengthening expected. The focus remains on the 0.57550 level, from which, following a recent downward breakout, a further decline to 0.56000 is expected in the near future. If the price retests 0.57550 or accumulates near this level again, potential sell trades will likely have to be postponed. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅ ❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Short
by StopLoss222
AUD/USD Longer term OutlookHey Guys, This is a follow up the the Short Term outlook I posted to show you the bigger picture of what happening. If you haven't checked out that short term thesis I suggest you do to understand why i think in the near term why there will be a decline possibly down to .50. As I'm sure most people are aware there is abit of fear on the longer term of the debasement of the USD, as we have massive debts and deficits which are highly unlikely to get any better soon. This is ultimately lead to its decline relative to other assets think current rise in GOLD. If we have a recession from slower growth from tariffs, regional banks and private credit going bad and the consumer becoming too squeezed then this budget with get much worse as they will try and stimulate the economy to ease some of these pressure. But as a consequence this will lead to inflation and more debasement just like the 60s - 80s period. Each time they try and rein in inflation growth will slow so they will simulate resulting in the cycle continuing. Now if the "debasement" continues this doesn't mean the USD will die get replace but it does mean other assets and currencies that aren't having this systemic problem will rise relative to the dollar again just like the 1960s-1980s. Australia has had long running fiscal conservative budgets and most definitely no debasing its currency. Our debt to Nominal GDP peak during covid and unlike most other economies has decreased since. Although we are projected to runn a deficit of A$10 billion our growth will more then out weigh this and this is such a small fraction to out A$1.752 trillion economy is a non factor really. looking at some technicals on the charts we can see we have been in a falling wedge since the last "debasement" of the USD happened after the GFC. This will breakout sometime over the next two years as its running out of room. we have gaining strength on the RSI creating a divergence on the monthly also point to a breakout to the upside. we have clear outlined targets to hit on the way up and looking back again at previous debasement events by 2011 we were at $1.10 and by the 1975 we were at $1.49 so a return to these levels isn't without precedence. I have shown with the green line the general direction of where i think it will be please dont take that as an exact model. This will take years to fully play out but if you understand even the most basic supply and demand , technical analyst and fundamental problem America is facing then it should keep you true. Please check out the shorter outlook to gain a full picture and do you own research here are some links to data used www.ceicdata.com data.worldbank.org
Long
by jackwheeler
Unemployment Rate Rises, US-China Tensions Push AUD to 0.64000?The Australian Dollar (AUD) is under strong pressure against the USD. Market concerns about the Australian economy are growing, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.5% in September, the highest level in nearly 4 years. This has led to expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will cut interest rates in November, further weakening the AUD. Additionally, US-China trade tensions continue to escalate, with China tightening control over rare earth exports and export licenses, raising concerns about global supply chains. Although the USD is weakening due to expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates, the AUD is still negatively affected by these factors. The AUD/USD chart clearly shows a downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows. The price is currently trading in a downward channel and is testing the support level at 0.64400. If this support level is broken, the price could continue to decline toward 0.64000.
Short
by Octaviuss
4
AUDUSD H4 | Bearish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has rejected off the sell entry which i a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 0.6530, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibnacci retracement. Stop loss is at 0.6559, whichis a pullback resistance that is sliglty belw the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 0.6419, which a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
USD/AUD Short Term OutlookHey guys, This is a thesis I've had for quite some time but seems to be unfolding of late. With the talks and worries about the regional banks in America and the private credit companies loan books not looking good as the consumer is being squeezed from tariffs, higher interest rates, unemployment slowly ticking up and student debts having to be paid back again after credit growth soared after covid i feel we could see a recession hit the US sometime over the next year. I doubt it will be a collapse anything like 2008 or anything but even a slow down on growth and a pull back on spending could lead to big declines from these AI bubble fueled highs as P/E have risen way out of hand. Something like the 2000s seems more accurate to current conditions. IF this thesis is right you will see marked declines in the AUD against the USD and i have laid out my first target of .60 as it fits the technical pattern and we have a confluence of support there. We have also recently rejected off the resistance lines, broken the rising wedge (RED Lines), slipped back under the 100SMA. This provides a great enter point with a tight stop loss and a clear take profit. I will be posting my future outlook for the AUD so please check it out to get the bigger picture Also do your own research
Short
by jackwheeler
EUR/USD | EURUSD Breakdown Alert: Could It Drop Toward 1.1565?By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around 1.162 . If it manages to hold below the 1.164 level, we could expect further downside movement from the Euro. The next potential bearish targets are 1.160, 1.158, and 1.1565 . Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
19
AUDUSD continuation of selling pressure capped at 0.6546The AUDUSD remains in a neutral trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 0.6475 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 0.6475 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 0.6546 – initial resistance 0.6575 – psychological and structural level 0.6590 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 0.6475 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 0.6460 – minor support 0.6440 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Neutral bias remains intact while the AUDUSD trades around pivotal 0.6475 level. A sustained break below or above this level could shift momentum. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by Trade Nation
AUDUSD - H&SHI can see in AUDUSD chart below signs: 1- Inverse Head and Shoulders (Bullish Reversal) 2- Potential Shark Harmonic Pattern 3- Current Market Context: Recent technical analysis from mid-October 2025 suggests that AUD/USD is near a major support confluence zone (around 0.6450-0.6485) and some traders are looking for long (buy) setups, which aligns with your bullish view if support holds. However, other analysts noted a general downtrend and current bearish pressure due to factors like US-China trade tensions and potential RBA rate cuts. Risk Management As I rightly noted, any analysis can fail. Key risk management principles apply: a- Confirmation is Crucial: Wait for a confirmed, sustained break above the neckline before assuming the pattern is active. b- Set a Stop Loss: A typical stop-loss for an inverse head and shoulders is placed below the right shoulder to manage risk if the market reverses unexpectedly. c- Use Other Indicators: Combine this pattern analysis with other technical indicators and fundamental news (e.g., upcoming Australian employment figures, RBA/Fed speeches) to increase reliability. d- Capital Preservation: Always take care of your capital; leverage magnifies both profits and losses.
Long
by Daragolbon
Stop!Loss|Market View: AUDUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️ In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the AUDUSD currency pair☝️ Potential trade setup: 🔔Entry level: 0.64749 💰TP: 0.63731 ⛔️SL: 0.65492 "Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market. 👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts. 💬 Description: OANDA:AUDUSD and OANDA:NZDUSD are currently the most likely currency pairs to fall amid the likely continued strengthening of the USD. By the end of the year or early next year, an updating of the 2025 lows is expected. The short-term picture also suggests a likely context for selling. Accumulation below the POC level and support from the uptrend channel will likely lead to a decline toward the 0.63000 - 0.64000 area. Thanks for your support 🚀 Profits for all ✅ ❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
Short
by StopLoss222
AUDUSD: Price Holds Below Daily HTLKey Observations Daily Timeframe: Price remains below HTL, which signals lack of strength to try and trade above it Downside momentum is likely to pick up as price is below EMAs and EMA20 is threatening to cross back below EMA60 H1 Timeframe: Price remains bearish as indicated by it's inability to trade above the EMA band and sustain that momentum Price crossed back below the EMA band with a strong bearish candle so the entry is based on the current pullback move
Short
by FinancialGamblR
Bullish bounce off?Aussie (AUD/USD) has bounced off the pivot which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to the 1st resistance that aligns with rhe 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 0.6495 1st Support: 0.6469 1st Resistance: 0.6469 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by IC Markets