Broadcom - Please short this stock now!🔒Broadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) just ended its rally:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the course of the past couple of months, Broadcom has been rallying substantially. But considering that Broadcom is now retesting the rising channel resistance, a retracement becomes more and more likely. We just have to wait for bearish confirmation.
📝Levels to watch:
$350 and $240
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
AVGO
AVGO (Broadcom) Crash Alert | The Biggest Drop Is Just Starting “ AVGO (Broadcom ) is on the brink of a massive correction, with charts pointing toward a potential plunge into the $45–$23 zone — a brutal reset that could shake the entire semiconductor sector before the next bull cycle begins. ⚠️📉”
🔥 Summary:
Broadcom (AVGO) might be entering a massive corrective phase after a historic rally. The charts suggest the bull run is pausing and a bear market retracement is about to unfold — potentially one of the biggest corrections in years. While long-term fundamentals remain strong, smart money could be preparing to buy much lower after this shakeout. ⚠️📉
🌊 Elliott Wave Breakdown
According to wave theory, AVGO has likely completed a full 5-wave impulse — marking the end of Cycle Wave 1 .
Now, the market is preparing for Cycle Wave 2 , a deep and time-consuming correction.
The expected retracement zone lies between $45–$23 , which corresponds with the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement of the entire 2010–2025 rally.
Wave 2s often create fear and disbelief, shaking out late buyers before the next mega rally (Wave 3).
In other words: this is not the end of the bull , but the start of a much-needed reset .
📉 Price Action & Market Structure
AVGO’s weekly structure shows clear exhaustion at the top — long wicks, slowing momentum, and divergence between price and volume.
The market structure shift (MSS) is forming:
Break of trendline support 🟠
Lower highs forming 🔻
Liquidity still sitting under 2022–2023 consolidation zones
All this signals that distribution is underway. Once liquidity under key swing lows gets tapped, a larger bearish trend can unfold.
🧠 Smart Money Concept (SMC) View
Smart Money is likely offloading at these premium prices.
Expect the following sequence:
💥 Liquidity grab above current highs (final trap)
⬇️ Break of structure confirming the downtrend
📉 Repricing toward discount zone ($45–$23)
🧱 Reaccumulation by institutions for the next macro leg
The bearish reprice phase may last several quarters or even years, but this is where smart money prepares for the next cycle , not retail FOMO.
💰 Fundamentals Meet Reality
Despite Broadcom’s strong fundamentals — AI infrastructure, chip dominance, software expansion — valuations have far outrun earnings .
A macro reset (higher rates, earnings compression, slowing AI hype) could drive a fundamental correction to align price with real growth.
Even great companies need bear markets to reload and revalue before resuming exponential growth.
🔮 The Big Picture
✅ Long-term bull trend is intact — but paused .
⚠️ Short-to-medium term: bear market correction is expected to start soon .
🎯 Key accumulation zone: $45–$23 (deep discount territory).
🚀 Post-correction, the next supercycle (Wave 3) could begin — targeting multi-thousand-dollar levels.
🦅 Summary Insight
“Smart money sells strength, not weakness. They’ll buy when fear peaks.”
AVGO’s parabolic bull wave has likely topped , and a multi-year corrective wave is next.
This is not the end — it’s the reset before a generational buying opportunity.
Brace for turbulence before the skies clear. 🌪️📉➡️🌤️🚀
“ Traders , this could be the setup of the decade. AVGO (Broadcom) is flashing every warning sign of a massive correction — our models point to the $45–$23 zone as the next major demand area. Don’t chase the top when smart money is preparing to buy the bottom. 📉💰
How deep do you think this correction goes? Drop your targets below 👇 and let’s see who catches the real reversal!”
— Team FIBCOS
#AVGO #Broadcom #StockMarket #BearMarket #Correction #WaveTheory #SmartMoney #ElliottWave #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #Fibcos #PriceAction #Investing #MarketCrash #StockAlert #Wave2 #MarketUpdate #ChartAnalysis #BearishSetup #TradeSmart
Broadcom Technical Setup - Systematic Entry Approach🎯 AVGO: The Great Heist Setup | Layered Entry Strategy 💰
📊 Asset Overview
Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) - The semiconductor kingpin that's been printing money like a Vegas casino! 🎰
🎭 The Heist Plan: BULLISH Setup
Strategy Style: The "Thief Method" - Layered Limit Orders (Ocean's Eleven style but legal! 😎)
🚪 ENTRY ZONE: The Multi-Layer Approach
This ain't your grandma's single entry point! We're going full stealth mode with multiple limit buy orders spread across the zone like a well-planned heist:
Suggested Entry Layers:
💵 Layer 1: $330
💵 Layer 2: $340
💵 Layer 3: $345
💵 Layer 4: $350
💵 Layer 5: $355
OR feel free to enter at ANY current price level if you're feeling bold! 🎲
Pro Tip: You can add more layers based on your capital and risk appetite. More layers = Better average price = Smoother ride! 🎢
🛑 STOP LOSS: The Emergency Exit
Thief's Escape Hatch: $320
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER: Dear Thief OG's (Ladies & Gentlemen of Fortune), this is MY stop loss level for MY strategy. You're the boss of your own money! Set your SL based on YOUR risk tolerance. Make money, take money - at your own risk! 🎲
🎯 TARGET: The Vault Unlocks Here!
POLICE BARRICADE ZONE (Strong Resistance Alert! 🚨): $400
This level is where we expect:
💪 Strong resistance
📈 Overbought conditions brewing
Bull traps potentially forming
Strategy: Escape with your bags of cash before the sirens go off! 🚔💨
⚠️ PROFIT DISCLAIMER: Again, Thief OG's - this is MY target, not financial advice! Take profits whenever YOUR plan says so. Your money, your rules, your responsibility! 💯
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Play)
Keep your eyes on these accomplices in the semiconductor/tech heist:
NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA) - The GPU mastermind, moves often correlate with AVGO
NASDAQ:AMD (Advanced Micro Devices) - Another chip champ in the gang
NYSE:TSM (Taiwan Semiconductor) - The supplier kingpin
NASDAQ:QCOM (Qualcomm) - Wireless chip crew member
NASDAQ:SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) - The whole gang in one basket
Key Correlation: When semiconductor sector heats up, AVGO typically rides the wave. Watch NASDAQ:SMH for sector-wide momentum! 📡
🎪 Why This Setup Works (Technical Edge)
✅ Layered entries reduce timing risk
✅ Multiple support zones below current price
✅ Clear risk/reward structure
✅ Room to run toward resistance at $400
✅ Semiconductor sector showing strength
🎬 Final Words from Your Friendly Neighborhood Thief
This is the "Thief Strategy" - a layered, calculated approach to catching moves in AVGO. It's all about spreading your risk, averaging your entry, and having a clear exit plan whether things go right (🎯 $400) or wrong (🛑 $320).
Remember: The best thieves always have an escape plan! 🏃💨
Trade smart, not hard! And always remember: Past performance doesn't guarantee future results, but a solid plan beats panic every time! 🧠💪
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#AVGO #Broadcom #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TradingStrategy #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #LayeredEntry #ThiefStrategy #Semiconductors #TechStocks #RiskManagement #TradingIdeas #StockTrading #BullishSetup #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #SupportAndResistance
Broadcom Shares Surge Nearly 10% on OpenAI Partnership NewsBroadcom (AVGO) Shares Surge Nearly 10% on OpenAI Partnership News
Last month, news of a partnership with OpenAI served as a powerful bullish catalyst for NVIDIA (NVDA) shares. In October, a similar effect can be seen on the Broadcom (AVGO) chart.
According to media reports, the two companies have been collaborating for 18 months but are now making their partnership public. Their plans for 2026 include launching chip racks developed by OpenAI and based on Broadcom technology.
The rally in AVGO shares was further supported by:
→ President Trump’s conciliatory tone following his earlier remarks about imposing 100% tariffs on Chinese goods;
→ the prospect of a meeting between the Chinese and US leaders in South Korea at the end of October, as announced by US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent.
Technical Analysis of Broadcom (AVGO)
Price movements in mid-2025 formed an upward channel (shown in blue). A strong earnings report in September triggered:
→ a bullish gap at the beginning of the month;
→ an extension of the channel, with the historical high (B) sitting near its upper boundary.
From a bullish perspective:
→ the price remains within the channel, confirming its validity;
→ the pullback to October lows following the A→B impulse can be viewed as a standard correction consistent with classic Fibonacci ratios of 0.5–0.618;
→ yesterday’s rally may represent a breakout of a bullish flag (shown in red) and an attempt to resume the upward trend;
→ within this context, the $315–325 zone appears to be key support for the bulls, while the 10 October low (marked with an arrow) may prove to be a bear trap.
From a bearish perspective:
→ in pre-market trading today, AVGO shares are slightly lower, suggesting the initial reaction may have been overly emotional;
→ the psychological $350 level continues to act as resistance — previous attempts to break above it have failed to hold.
If yesterday’s rally fails to gain traction, it could indicate underlying weakness in AVGO shares, which were unable to capitalise on strong fundamentals to sustain the bullish trend seen earlier in 2025.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Why Did The Market Bounce Today? Today the market bounced for 2 reasons....
1. Broadcom NASDAQ:AVGO received news of another OPENAI partnership. This multi year billion dollar deal caused the stock to bounce double digits. When this name rallies it causes liquidity to flow into the $SOXX. Semiconductors are still the heartbeat of this market and have propped everything up today.
The OPENAI headline seems to be running out of steam as the last 3 partnership announcements caused 3 stock to make new highs but AVGO did not take out its highs. This will be on watch.
2. The bond market was closed today allowing investors to not have to worry about catalysts or yields. There's an old saying on "when the cats away, the mice will play" .
The bond market is the much larger investment market aka the "cat" and this liquidity has clearly spilled over into smaller cap higher beta stocks.
Tomorrow we will see if the markets can take out the 20 day Moving average or if this pop gets sold into.
Direxion Semiconductor 3x Bull | SOXL | Long at $30.00So many semiconductor companies... which one to choose? Enter AMEX:SOXL - not for the faint of heart. Losses and gains triple compared to most semiconductor ETFs, so stay away if high-risk plays aren't your thing. The top three holdings are NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:AVGO , and NASDAQ:NVDA - two of which are at all-time highs...
I wouldn't be shocked if AMEX:SOXL enters the low $20's to test the base of my historical simple moving average area, but I don't think we are done hearing about AI and the semi demand. There are large gaps to fill above and below the current price and we are at the 50/50 stage (i.e. historical simple moving average zone) for a price move up or down.
My bet is up, especially with the new presidential administration. If politicians start dumping semis, I'm out. Thus, at $30.00 AMEX:SOXL is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1 = $35
Target #2 = $40
Target #3 = $50
Target #4 = $60
$NVDA & $AVGO powering higher. $ASML to 1000 $. $SMH has wings.A quick update on our favorite sector and the favorite stocks within the sector before we go to the weekend. Previously in this space multiple times we have provided price targets on the Semiconductor sector ETF NASDAQ:SMH and the individual stocks like $NVDA. NASDAQ:AVGO and $ASML. We have reiterated our targets for NASDAQ:SMH and the stocks multiple times. In fact, NASDAQ:SMH is above my long term target which is bullish.
NASDAQ:NVDA rolling over. NASDAQ:SMH looks vulnerable for NASDAQ:NVDA by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView
NASDAQ:AVGO above its previous ATH and holding on. 400 $ reachable. for NASDAQ:AVGO by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView
NASDAQ:ASML : Is the stock primed for upside? Indicators are aligned. for EURONEXT:ASML by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView
We stick to our targets from the posts above. NASDAQ:NVDA to 250 $. AVGO to 400 $ and ASML to 980 $ - 1000 $. New target NASDAQ:SMH to 360 $ to 3.618 Fib level.
Verdict: Semis have a good momentum. Stay long and strong. NASDAQ:SMH to 360 $ before year end.
BROADCOM Rejection at the top of 3-year Channel Up possible. Last time we looked at Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) was more than 3 months ago (June 10, see chart below), where we gave a buy signal, targeting $320:
The price is now on the 2nd straight red week after it marginally breached above its 3-year Channel Up, and if it closes in red eventually, we will have a strong technical case for a rejection pull-back.
As you can see, every time the 1W RSI got that overbought and got rejected on its 4-year Resistance Zone, it always corrected back to its 1D MA100 (red trend-line).
Technically that should be the next medium-term buy entry point to finish the year with a $400 Target.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
AVGO Broadcom Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AVGO before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AVGO Broadcom prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 330usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-10-17,
for a premium of approximately $8.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Stock Opportunity: LULULEMON & AVGO EARNINGSNASDAQ:LULU just reported earnings of $2.53B vs $2.54B est
They did beat on the EPS side $3.10 vs $2.85
Lululemon is now the second cheapest its ever been in its history on a PE basis. Behind the GFC crisis in 2008.
They have slashed their guidance and profit forecasts...which seem to be the final shakeout.
Lulu filled a massive weekly technical gap going back to Covid.
NASDAQ:AVGO reported earnings: Rev $15.95B vs $15.83B
EPS $1.69 vs $1.54
This institutional semiconductor stock is crushing Vol and staying flat-ish in afterhours.
We took a position in Lulu.
AVGO Earnings Lotto: $332.5C Could 3x Overnight!
🚀 **AVGO Earnings Trade Setup (2025-09-04)** 🚀
**Market Bias:** **Moderate–Strong Bullish** 💪
**Confidence:** 76% ✅
**Trade Idea:**
🎯 **Instrument:** AVGO
🔀 **Direction:** LONG CALL
💵 **Strike:** \$332.50
📅 **Expiry:** 2025-09-05 (Weekly)
💰 **Entry Price:** \$1.28
📈 **Profit Target:** \$3.84 (200% return)
🛑 **Stop Loss:** \$0.64 (50% of premium)
📏 **Size:** 1 contract
⏰ **Entry Timing:** Pre-earnings close (AMC on 2025-09-04)
**Rationale:**
* AI tailwinds & beat-and-raise history ⚡
* Strong call-side OI concentration at \$332.5–\$335 📊
* Favorable macro/tech rotation 🌐
* Risk: VMware guide-down or post-earnings IV crush ⚠️
**Key Levels:**
* Support: \$290–\$300 (put OI cluster) 🛡️
* Resistance: \$330–\$335 (call OI cluster) 🔝
**Risk/Reward:**
* Max loss: \$128
* Reward potential: \$256 → **\~4:1 R/R ratio** 🎯
* Breakeven at expiry: \$333.78
**Execution Notes:**
* Use **limit orders or algo** to reduce slippage
* Exit **by market open post-earnings** or at profit/stop targets
* IV crush expected: 30–50% ⚡
**Expected Move:** \~4.8% (implied by options)
**IV Rank:** 0.65
**Signal Published:** 2025-09-04 13:47 EDT
📊 **Trading JSON (for exact execution)**
```json
{
"instrument": "AVGO",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 332.5,
"expiry": "2025-09-05",
"confidence": 76,
"profit_target": 3.84,
"stop_loss": 0.64,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 1.28,
"entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close",
"earnings_date": "2025-09-04",
"earnings_time": "AMC",
"expected_move": 4.8,
"iv_rank": 0.65,
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-04 13:44:50 UTC-04:00"
}
``
XLK Relative Strength – Leaders Extended, Rotation Risk BuildingXLK has been one of, if not the strongest sectors on a relative basis since bottoming at the end of March. Despite its relative strength, top SXLK holdings are into areas where profit-taking looks to be occurring, and a rotation out may be taking place (see Weekly Supply zone on RS chart 0.4157-0.4199).
This comes as NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:AVGO , and NASDAQ:INTU are into -0.236 fib. extensions. NYSE:ORCL and NASDAQ:PLTR show a similar picture, with NYSE:ORCL reaching the 1.618 extension, while NASDAQ:PLTR failed to reach its 1.618 extension at $162.05.
Weak:
$APPL, NYSE:CRM , NYSE:IBM , and NYSE:NOW are among the weakest performers. If $APPL doesn’t hold around $200.00, look for it to slump to the $170.00 area.
Trades:
Look for NASDAQ:AMAT to hold around $169.46 for a move to $205.06 (Weekly Supply) or $243.40 (Monthly supply). If NASDAQ:AMAT fails to hold the $169.46 print, expect a move to $156.75.
Look for NASDAQ:QCOM to hold $145.20 (Weekly) for a move to the $172.23 area (Weekly Supply).
Look for NASDAQ:ADBE to hold $329.30 for a move to $449.40 (could top out around $417.30 depending on buying volume).
Look for NYSE:ACN to hold $250.00 (Weekly), or I like it better a $218.32 (Monthly Demand).
Featured Chart:
Look for NYSE:APH to hold $100.71 (Daily close on 07/23) for a move up to $116.00-$116.50 area. If NYSE:APH fails to hold around the $100.00 mark, I’d expect a move below $95.00.
AMEX:XLK move down to $240.38?
Let me know your thoughts for or against any of these names in the comments.
XETR:AMEX :
Steal the Breakout: Broadcom Bulls Are In!💎🔓 "Broadcom Break-In: Bullish Vault Raid in Progress!" 🔓💎
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Market Robbers 🤑💰✈️,
It’s time for a high-stakes raid on BROADCOM, INC (AVGO) — all based on our secret Thief Trading Strategy™, combining sharp technicals & a sniff of fundamentals.
🕵️♂️ Mission Brief:
Our target is the Bullish Vault – a swing/day trade play with upside momentum. The chart reveals a possible trap at overbought zones where unsuspecting bears get lured in... and we walk out rich! 😏💸
🎯 The Heist Blueprint:
📥 Entry (Buy-In Point):
🚪 “The vault’s open – grab the bullish bags!”
Swipe any bullish setup on the 15m/30m timeframe
Ideal: Buy Limit near recent swing low (support levels)
📳 Set alerts to stay ready – we rob smart, not fast
🛑 Stop-Loss (Escape Plan):
Place SL below recent 30m swing low — approx. 269.00
Adjust by your lot size & number of trades
Don't risk the whole bag – we ain't greedy thieves 😈
📈 Target (Take-Profit Point):
🎯 First Exit Zone: 296.00
💨 Or vanish before the cops (market reversal) arrive
🧲 Scalpers’ Secret:
Only scalp long – don’t fight the bullish flow
Got big capital? Enter early. Small bag? Join the swing crew
Use Trailing SL to guard your stolen gains 🏦🔐
💡 Behind the Heist:
AVGO is showing bullishness thanks to:
📰 Macro Drivers • COT Reports • Institutional Bias
📊 Sentiment Analysis • Index Correlations
💥 Geopolitical Developments – Always stay updated
🔎 Want more intel? Dive into the news, fundamentals, & positioning data that power this trade idea 💣
⚠️ Trade Smart, Thieves:
📛 News events cause chaos – avoid fresh entries during releases
📉 Use trailing stops to secure your loot & dodge slippage
💖 Like the Heist Plan? Hit Boost!
Let’s build the most notorious money-making crew on TradingView! 🚀
Daily gains using the Thief Style™ – not for the faint-hearted.
🔒 Stay sharp, trade like a phantom, and keep stacking that digital cash!
💬 Drop a comment if you’re in the gang – another plan’s coming soon! 🤑🐱👤
📌 Note: This is a general market analysis. Do your own due diligence before risking real capital.
📌 Stay updated — the market changes fast. Adapt or get trapped.
AAAPL: Updated Outlook and Best Level to BUY/HOLD 70% gains________________________________________
Apple Outlook: July 2025–Q1 2026
After peaking near $200 in late May, Apple (AAPL) remains under correction territory despite pockets of resilience, closing July around $193. The current correction is projected to persist until Q1 2026, as global macro and policy headwinds weigh on the broader tech sector. Technicals suggest AAPL could find its cycle low between Q3 and Q4 2025, potentially setting the stage for a renewed bull run into late 2026. Pullback until 170/175 USD. 📉
Catalysts Shaping Apple’s Stock Price in 2025–26
1. AI Integration and Apple Intelligence
Strength: 9/10
The roll-out of on-device Apple Intelligence features—including an upgraded Siri, ChatGPT integrations, and generative AI tools—continues to build anticipation for a major iPhone upgrade supercycle. Initial adoption has been strong, but broader impact will hinge on Q4 developer and enterprise feedback. 🤖
2. Services Segment Growth
Strength: 8.5/10
Apple’s Services business (App Store, iCloud, Apple Music, AI-powered subscriptions) is projected to post double-digit growth into Q4 2025, with consensus revenue estimates at $25–27B for the quarter. Analysts see upside from new AI-driven service bundles, which could add $5–8B in annualized revenue by 2026. 💡
3. Gross Margin Expansion & Cost Efficiencies
Strength: 8/10
Apple’s gross margin is forecast to improve by up to 60 basis points in Q4 2025 as the product mix tilts toward higher-margin services, and as component costs ease. Operational efficiencies from supply-chain automation may further cushion profit margins amid macro uncertainty. 📊
4. iPhone 17 Product Cycle
Strength: 7.5/10
The iPhone 17 lineup—rumored to include advanced polymer batteries and potential foldable form factors—is expected to launch Q4 2025, giving Apple a competitive hardware edge versus Android rivals. Early channel checks point to pent-up demand, though upgrade rates may lag previous cycles due to consumer caution. 📱
5. Vision Pro & Hardware Diversification
Strength: 7/10
Next-gen Vision Pro headsets and new AR/VR devices, boosted by Apple Intelligence, are expected to drive incremental growth in Q4 2025. However, high price points and limited mainstream adoption keep near-term impact contained. 🥽
6. Share Buybacks & Dividend Policy
Strength: 7/10
Apple’s $110B share buyback authorization and steady dividend growth provide valuation support, but recent market volatility has prompted a more cautious pace of repurchases. Yield-seeking investors are watching closely for any pivot in capital return policy if macro pressures persist. 💵
7. Supply Chain & Trade Policy Risks
Strength: 6.5/10
Escalating U.S.–China trade tensions—including the risk of expanded tariffs or tech export bans—remain a top concern. Apple is accelerating its assembly shift toward India and Vietnam to diversify risk, but any new policy shocks in Q4 could hit margins and unit volumes. 🌏
8. Regulatory & Antitrust Pressures
Strength: 6/10
The EU’s Digital Markets Act and potential U.S. antitrust probes could force Apple to further open up its iOS ecosystem by year-end, potentially capping Services revenue growth and adding compliance costs. ⚖️
9. Macro & Interest-Rate Environment
Strength: 5/10
With the Fed signaling “higher for longer” rates through mid-2026, tech sector valuations remain under pressure. Analysts see this limiting multiple expansion even if EPS growth resumes in late 2025. 📈
10. Smartphone Market Competition
Strength: 5/10
Aggressive pricing and innovation from Samsung and Chinese OEMs are intensifying competitive pressures, especially in emerging markets. Apple’s share gains are likely to slow until the macro environment improves and new hardware cycles fully materialize. 🥊
________________________________________
Analyst Projections for Q4 2025:
• Consensus Revenue: $108–112B (up ~4% YoY)
• EPS Estimate: $2.30–$2.42
• Gross Margin: 45–46%
• iPhone Unit Growth: 2–3%
• Services Revenue: $25–27B
Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan maintain “Overweight” ratings, but expect rangebound performance until macro and trade uncertainty clears. Most price targets for Q4 2025 hover between $195–$215, with upside potential post-correction into 2026. 📊
________________________________________
Analyst / Firm Date Rating Price Target (USD)
Barclays 06/24/2025 – 173 ()
Jefferies (E. Lee) 07/01/2025 Hold (Upgraded) 188.32
UBS (D. Vogt) 07/03/2025 – 210.00
J.P. Morgan (S. Chatterjee) 06/26/2025 Overweight 230.00
Morgan Stanley (E. Woodring) 03/12/2025 Overweight 252.00
Evercore ISI 01/31/2025 – 260.00
Redburn Partners 01/31/2025 – 230.00
D.A. Davidson (G. Luria) 05/02/2025 – 250.00
TradingView Consensus (avg) – Consensus 228.98
TipRanks Consensus (avg over 3mo) – Consensus 226.36
Broadcom - This was just the first all time high!Broadcom - NASDAQ:AVGO - just created new highs:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the course of the past three months, Broadcom has been rallying an impressive +80%. However looking at market structure, all of the previous "dump and pump" was not unexpected. Following this recent bullish strength, Broadcom is likely to channel a lot higher.
Levels to watch: $250, $400
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
$AVGO above its previous ATH and holding on. 400 $ reachable. The poster child of the AI rally has been NASDAQ:NVDA and $AVGO. Here we have analysed both the stocks multiple times fundamentally and technically. But the lesser known NASDAQ:AVGO has performed better than the NASDAQ:NVDA since the April lows. NASDAQ:AVGO is still above its previous ATH and closed above yesterday which was 242 $ in Jan 2025. NASDAQ:NVDA is still below its Jan 2025 highs of 152 $.
The Semis index NASDAQ:SMH is also 6.3% below its ATH of 262 $. So not many stocks in this index have a more bullish chart than $AVGO. My assessment is that NASDAQ:AVGO will continue its dominant outperformance in the NASDAQ:SMH sector in comparison to others like $NVDA.
Going back to technical and plotting the Fib Extension levels form the last bull run before Aug 2024 we can see that the next possible near-term target is 275 $, a 10% upside form here and in the medium term the target is 400 $.
Verdict : Long NASDAQ:AVGO over NASDAQ:SMH and $NVDA. First Target 275 $ then we go to 400 $.
AVGO – All-Time High Breakout with Flag Pattern TriggerBroadcom ( NASDAQ:AVGO ) is breaking out of an 11-day consolidation flag, pushing through the trendline and into all-time highs — a textbook momentum setup.
🔹 Flag Pattern Breakout
After a strong run, NASDAQ:AVGO spent 11 days chopping in a tight flag just under highs.
Today, we’re seeing a clean trendline break, signaling the start of a potential fresh leg higher.
ATH breakout + flag pattern = momentum trader’s dream.
🔹 My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Entry: Long on the flag breakout and trendline break.
2️⃣ Risk Level: Stop is down at $247, just under the consolidation base.
3️⃣ Target: Riding the trend — trailing stop strategy once price confirms above highs.
Why I Like This Setup:
Strong consolidation near highs = no weakness.
Breakout is happening with clean structure and clear volume pickup.
NASDAQ:AVGO is a leader name — when it goes, it goes.
OKTA - DAY TRADE IDEAOKTA is setting up for a day trade scalp long...perhaps an aggressive swing trade as well. The day trade is a much higher probability of success around the $98.50-$99.30
Okta's stock has seen some volatility recently. After a strong rally earlier this year, it pulled back following cautious guidance from the company. Despite beating expectations on sales and earnings for Q1 fiscal 2026, investors were concerned about slowing growth, leading to a 14.6% drop in its stock price.
Okta reported $688 million in revenue, a 12% year-over-year increase, and positive free cash flow of $238 million, but its GAAP earnings were significantly lower than its adjusted earnings. The company maintained its full-year revenue forecast of $2.85 billion to $2.86 billion, reflecting 9% to 10% growth, but analysts tempered their optimism due to macroeconomic uncertainties.
Technicals
- Multiyear Support
- 50 % Fib Retrace
- Upsloping Trendline
- Positive Divergence building on 1/ 4 hour chart.
LONG | AVGO (Broadcom) | 1DScenario 1 – Pullback to Structure Zone
Entry: $211.01
Stop Loss: $198.33
Target: $259.05
Risk:Reward: ~1:3
Structure: Pullback to key fib level (~38.2%) and prior breakout base.
Market Logic: Reclaiming structure post pullback; trend resumption with minimal drawdown.
Scenario 2 – Deep Demand Zone
Entry: $187.68
Stop Loss: $162.10
Target: $263.77
Risk:Reward: ~1:3
Structure: 61.8% fib + institutional demand cluster; "if market breaks deep", re-entry possible here.
Market Logic: Value-buy zone; often unfilled unless broad market correction. Ideal for swing/position trader allocations.
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Business Model & Sector Positioning
Core Focus: Broadcom designs and develops semiconductors and infrastructure software solutions. Their chips power AI data centers, 5G infrastructure and cloud networking—key growth pillars.
AI Exposure: AVGO provides custom silicon to hyperscalers like Google and Meta. Its next-gen networking and AI accelerator chips are integral to expanding AI workloads, which fuels earnings upside.
Earnings & Financial Momentum
Recent Results (Q2 FY25):
Revenue up ~43% YoY, beating consensus.
EPS surged ~50% YoY, driven by data center demand.
AI-related revenues now make up nearly 25% of total sales.
Guidance Raised: Management upgraded full-year revenue targets—signaling internal confidence.
Analyst Consensus & Institutional Flow
Buy Ratings: >85% of analysts rate AVGO a Buy.
Price Targets: Median PTs have moved from $260 to $285 post-earnings.
Ownership: High institutional interest—Vanguard, BlackRock and State Street are among top holders.
Dividends: Pays a sustainable dividend (~1.8% yield), increasing yearly—strong signal of financial health.
Macro Environment
Interest Rate Outlook: With the Fed expected to cut by late 2025, tech stocks are well-positioned. Lower yields boost growth stock valuations like AVGO.
Capex Trends: Global cloud providers are increasing AI data center spending—Broadcom is a primary beneficiary.
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Conclusion
Why The Setups Work Fundamentally:
$211.01 Entry: Technical pullback + fundamental tailwind from raised guidance.
$187.68 Entry: Deep value zone backed by secular demand + institutional conviction in AI.
Both zones represent opportunistic entries into one of the most fundamentally sound AI infrastructure plays, with upside tied to macro tech trends, strong earnings, and durable cash flow.
AVGO Earnings Setup – Overbought + “Sell the News” Risk 💥 AVGO Earnings Setup – Overbought + “Sell the News” Risk 🚨
📆 Earnings Date: June 5, 2025 (AMC)
🎯 Strategy: One-day event play using short-dated puts
🧠 Model Consensus Breakdown
Model Bias Strike Trade Type Confidence Notes
Grok/xAI 🟢 Bullish 262.5C Call 70% Sector momentum, IV high
Claude 🔴 Bearish 250P Put 65% Overbought RSI, max pain risk
Llama 🟢 Bullish 265C Call 80% Earnings momentum continues
Gemini 🔴 Bearish 242.5P Put 65% “Sell the news” scenario
DeepSeek 🔴 Bearish 237.5P Put 68% Institutional unwind
✅ Net Lean: Moderately Bearish (3 vs. 2)
📈 RSI > 80 across models → strong overbought condition
💣 Max Pain at $245 → gravity risk if earnings disappoint
📉 Elevated IV (75–85%) → IV crush post-earnings expected
🔎 Earnings Setup Snapshot
Current Price: ~$258.20
Historical Move (Earnings): ±5.9%
Implied Move (Straddle): ~6.15% → ~$16
Max Pain: $245
IV Rank: 0.75 → premiums rich
Overbought RSI: 82.6
✅ Recommended Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Instrument AVGO
Direction PUT (SHORT)
Strike 242.50
Expiry 2025-06-06
Entry Price $1.88 (ask)
Profit Target $4.70 (+150%)
Stop Loss $1.88 (full risk)
Position Size 1 contract (~3% risk)
Entry Timing pre-earnings close (6/5)
Exit Timing next-day open (6/6)
Confidence 67%
🧮 Breakeven: $240.62
🧠 Why this strike?
Inside expected move range
OTM → strong R:R
Low premium, defined risk
Aligned with bearish consensus
⚠️ Key Risks to Monitor
🔼 Strong beat + guidance → upside surprise
🌀 IV crush could outpace downside move
🟢 Broad market strength / sector rally
AVGO Broadcom Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AVGO before the rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AVGO Broadcom prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 250usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-6-13,
for a premium of approximately $14.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.






















