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GMGI - Golden Matrix Group Inc. August 27, 2025.NASDAQ:GMGI #GMGI — Golden Matrix Group Inc | Communication Services | Electronic Gaming & Multimedia | USA | NASD | August 27, 2025. Executive Summary Golden Matrix Group Inc. (NASDAQ: GMGI), a B2B and B2C gaming technology provider, presents a compelling opportunistic investment following a series of insider purchases by key executives amid a prolonged price correction. Recent Form 4 filings reveal that Richard Christensen, the Chief Financial Officer (CFO), has accumulated significant shares in 2025, including a notable buy of 25,000 shares on August 26, 2025, at $1.30 per share, valued at $32,500. This activity, coupled with buys from 10% owner Aleksandar Milovanovic, signals strong internal confidence in the company's undervaluation and growth prospects. Technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a potential bottoming formation, with the stock trading at multi-month lows near $1.29, supported by oversold RSI levels and increasing volume. Fundamental catalysts include robust Q2 2025 revenue growth of 10% year-over-year and upcoming participation in the 2025 Virtual Tech Conference, which could drive visibility and partnerships in the expanding online gaming sector. Replicating the insider's recent entry at approximately $1.30 offers a high probability of profitability, with estimated upside potential of 50-150% over the next 6-12 months, targeting $2.00-$3.25. Risks include sector volatility and negative earnings, but the insider alignment and improving fundamentals tilt the risk-reward favorably. We recommend a speculative long position with disciplined risk management, allocating no more than 2-3% of portfolio capital. Company Profile Golden Matrix Group Inc. (GMGI) is a Las Vegas-based gaming technology company specializing in the development and licensing of online gaming platforms, including sports betting, casino games, and esports solutions. Operating primarily in Central and South America, Europe, and Africa, GMGI serves both business-to-business (B2B) and business-to-consumer (B2C) markets. As of December 31, 2024, the company employed approximately 1,200 full-time staff and reported trailing twelve-month (TTM) revenue of $172.82 million. Key financial metrics as of August 27, 2025: • Market Capitalization: $179.93 million • Enterprise Value: $185.00 million (approx.) • Price-to-Sales (TTM): 0.96 • Price-to-Book (MRQ): 1.47 • TTM Net Income: -$9.35 million (Profit Margin: -5.41%) • Cash Position (MRQ): $22.48 million • Debt-to-Equity (MRQ): 23.37% • Beta (5Y Monthly): Not available (low liquidity stock) • 52-Week Range: $1.21 - $3.06 • Average Daily Volume: 222,680 shares GMGI's business model leverages the global shift toward digital gaming, with potential expansion into regulated markets. However, the company faces challenges from regulatory hurdles and competition in the iGaming space. Charts: • (1D) • (5D) Christensen Richard (Insider): GMGI Insider Trades: GMGI Institutions: GMGI Ownership: SEC From 4: www.sec.gov Insider Activity Analysis: Insider buying often serves as a leading indicator of undervaluation and future performance, particularly when executed by C-suite executives with intimate knowledge of operations. For GMGI, CFO Richard Christensen has demonstrated consistent confidence through open-market purchases in 2025: ➖ August 26, 2025: 25,000 shares at $1.30 per share, total value $32,500; increasing holdings to 75,000 shares. ➖ August 13, 2025: 5,000 shares at $1.34 per share, total value $6,700; holdings to 50,000 shares. ➖ August 12, 2025: 5,000 shares at $1.36 per share, total value $6,800; holdings to 45,000 shares. ➖ May 27, 2025: 10,000 shares at $1.39 per share, total value $13,900; holdings to 10,000 shares (initial significant buy). ➖ May 17, 2025: 30,000 shares at $1.39 per share, total value $41,700. These transactions, totaling over $101,600 in value, represent a 650% increase in Christensen's stake since May 2025. Additionally, 10% owner Aleksandar Milovanovic acquired 155,038 shares on August 21, 2025, at $1.29 per share, valued at approximately $200,000, further amplifying the bullish signal. No significant insider sales have been reported in 2025, contrasting with a July 2025 sale of 50,000 shares by an undisclosed insider at $1.30-$1.54. This net buying activity aligns with historical patterns where clustered executive purchases precede rebounds in small-cap stocks. Technical Analysis: The daily chart for GMGI illustrates a classic capitulation phase following a multi-month downtrend, positioning the stock for a high-probability reversal. Since peaking at approximately $3.20 in November 2024, the price has declined over 60%, forming lower highs and lows within a descending channel. As of August 27, 2025, GMGI trades at $1.29, near the channel's lower boundary, with recent sessions showing green candles and elevated volume (238K shares on August 27), indicative of accumulation. Key technical indicators support a bullish thesis: • Moving Averages: Price is below the 20-day SMA ($1.39), 50-day SMA ($1.57), and 200-day SMA ($1.91), confirming the bearish trend. However, a golden cross (50-day crossing above 200-day) is absent, but the narrowing spread suggests momentum exhaustion. • Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14-period): At 36.78, the RSI is approaching oversold territory (<30), signaling potential mean reversion. No bearish divergences are present, and a bullish crossover could emerge on volume confirmation. • Volume Analysis: Recent spikes align with insider buys, with average volume rising 20% month-over-month, hinting at institutional interest. • Support and Resistance: Strong support at $1.21 (52-week low) and $1.00 (psychological floor). Resistance at $1.50 (near-term pivot), $1.80 (prior swing high), and $2.00 (channel midline). • Chart Patterns: A potential inverse head-and-shoulders formation is developing, with the August low as the head. A breakout above $1.50 could target $2.50+. Overall, the setup exhibits a high chance (70-80% probability) of short-term profitability, as insider-aligned bottoms in micro-caps often yield 50%+ rebounds within quarters. Fundamental and News Analysis Fundamentally, GMGI reported mixed Q2 2025 results on August 6, 2025, with revenue up 10% YoY to an unspecified quarterly figure (TTM $172.82M), driven by B2C gaming expansion. However, a net loss of $3.6 million ($0.03 EPS) reflects integration costs from recent acquisitions and marketing investments. Analysts project Q3 2025 EPS at -$0.01 and full-year at $0.03, with a consensus price target of $3.35 (160% upside from current levels). Recent news highlights positive momentum: ➖ August 27, 2025: GMGI announced participation in the "2025 Virtual Tech Conference," potentially unlocking new partnerships in iGaming. ➖ August 21, 2025: Entered a Post-Closing Cash Conversion Agreement with key stakeholders, converting obligations into cash to strengthen the balance sheet. ➖ August 6, 2025: Q2 earnings webcast emphasized growth in regulated markets, with share price reacting positively post-release. Broader Sector Context: The global online gaming market is projected to grow at 10-15% CAGR through 2030, benefiting GMGI's platform licensing model. ➖ Social sentiment on X (formerly Twitter) shows limited but positive mentions of insider buying in similar small-caps, reinforcing the signal's reliability. No major negative catalysts (e.g., regulatory probes) are evident. Risks and Mitigants: • Market Risks: High volatility in small-cap gaming stocks; potential 20-30% drawdowns on broader market corrections. • Operational Risks: Continued losses could strain cash ($22.48M runway sufficient for 12-18 months); acquisition integration delays. • Regulatory Risks: Exposure to international gaming laws; adverse changes in key markets like Europe. • Mitigants: Insider buying mitigates downside, with low debt and revenue growth providing buffers. Monitor earnings on November 7, 2025. Investment Thesis and Forecast The confluence of insider accumulation at depressed levels, technical oversold conditions, and sector tailwinds positions GMGI for a rebound. Replicating Christensen's August 26 buy at $1.30 yields the following scenario: Entry Price: $1.30 Potential Growth: 50-150% over 6-12 months, driven by earnings beats and conference catalysts. Exit Targets: ➖ Conservative (Target 1): $2.00 (54% profit, +$0.70/share) – Exit at channel midline or post-conference hype. ➖ Moderate (Target 2): $2.50 (92% profit, +$1.20/share) – Scale out 50% on RSI >70 or positive analyst upgrades. ➖ Aggressive (Target 3): $3.25 (150% profit, +$1.95/share) – Full exit on breakout above $3.00 or acquisition rumors. Recommendation : Buy with conviction; target allocation 2-3% for high-conviction speculative basket. Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
NASDAQ:GMGILong
by SergioRichi
What Fuels Cisco's Quiet AI Domination?Cisco Systems, a long-standing titan in networking infrastructure, is experiencing a significant resurgence, largely driven by a pragmatic and highly effective approach to artificial intelligence. Unlike many enterprises chasing broad AI initiatives, Cisco focuses on solving "boring" yet critical customer experience problems. This strategy yields tangible benefits, including substantial reductions in support cases and significant time savings for customer success teams, ultimately freeing resources to address more complex challenges and enhance sales processes. This practical application of AI, coupled with a focus on resiliency, simplicity through unified interfaces, and personalized customer journeys, underpins Cisco's strengthening market position. The company's strategic evolution also involves a nuanced embrace of Agentic AI, viewing it not as a replacement for human intellect but as a powerful augmentation. This shift from AI as a mere "tool" to a "teammate" enables proactive problem detection and resolution, often before customers even recognize an issue. Beyond internal efficiencies, Cisco's growth is further fueled by shrewd strategic investments and acquisitions, such as the integration of Isovalent's eBPF technology. This acquisition has rapidly enhanced Cisco's offerings in cloud-native networking, security, and load balancing, demonstrating its agility and commitment to staying at the forefront of technological innovation. Cisco's robust financial performance and strategic partnerships, particularly with AI leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, underscore its market momentum. The company reports impressive growth in product revenues, especially in its Security and Observability segments, signaling a successful transition toward a more predictable, software-driven revenue model. This strong performance, combined with a clear vision for AI-driven customer experience and strategic collaborations, positions Cisco as a formidable force in the evolving technology landscape. The company's disciplined approach offers valuable lessons for any organization seeking to harness the transformative power of AI effectively.
NASDAQ:CSCOLong
by UDIS_View
BigCommerce | BIGC | Long at $7.15BigCommerce NASDAQ:BIGC is growing. Revenue in FY2020 was $152 million and in FY2024 it rose to $333 million. In 2025, the company is targeting $342.1M-$350.1M revenue with focus on B2B growth. Free cash flow in FY2024 was positive for the first time at $22 million. Stay cautious, however, with a high debt-to-equity ratio of 6x... insiders have recently grabbed $100k+ in shares as well as awarded themselves options. While the price gap near the mid $5 range may be closed in the near-term, the longer-term outlook here seems positive unless the company fundamentals change. The price has also entered my historical simple moving average zone/lines, which is often a bullish signal. Thus, at $7.15, NASDAQ:BIGC is in a personal buy zone. Targets: $8.00 $9.00 $10.00 $11.00
BLong
by WorthlessViews
May reverse after disappointing post-IPO decreaseAfter hitting a high of 64.40 shortly after IPO in July 2020, price action has been descending over time recently hitting all time lows with the recent market pullback. Some initial indicators that the bottom may be in with a recent curl upwards and a close over the 5 day EMA. Its oversold and may bounce from here, especially on a rotation back into cloud/SaaS stocks. Of particular interest is the marked gap above. Towards the fundamentals, JPM Analyst Mark Murphy said that the 34% pullback in the shares since August 6 "creates asymmetric upside potential" according to this coverage: seekingalpha.com
ZLong
by SpinTrades
2
HPE sentiment is changingLast week I put up a post titled "HPE sentiment may change for the better," but the post got blocked because I had a link in there that the mods felt constituted advertising. Well, HPE sentiment has begun to change for the better, as I predicted, so I think this is worth an update and repost with the offending link removed. I track metrics of both value and sentiment, and I usually only buy a stock if measures of both value and sentiment are aligned. I've noticed, though, that there's more money to be made if you can pick a stock with good value and poor sentiment that's about to improve. HPE may be a candidate for just such a positive change in sentiment. Value I've struggled with how to calculate PEG ratios post-Covid. I generally take my earnings growth rate from an approximately five-year linear regression line (three years past actuals, two years future estimates). But when you've got a black swan event right in the middle of your time series, what do you do with that? Do you use a continuous function that makes the growth rate look negative? Or do you use a piecewise function that makes it look positive? I've settled on taking the average of the two. So, keep that in mind when I tell you that I've calculated HPE's PEG ratio at 3.39 and PSG ratio at 0.36. I typically multiply the two values together to get a composite PEG*PSG ratio, in this case 1.23. Of the stocks I track, the only one with a better PEG*PSG than this is $HPQ. HPE is also trading near the bottom of its 3-year valuation range in terms of forward P/E and forward P/S. It has generally traded at about .75 forward P/S. Right now it's about .47. Implicitly, there's about 59% upside from here. Do the same calculation with forward P/E, and the numbers imply about 40% upside from here. Another thing I really like about HPE is how innovative it is. Over the last three years, HPE has averaged 50 patents granted per billion dollars of current market cap, making it more innovative for its size than any other company I watch save IBM. Throw in the fact that HPE is expected to pay 4.8% in dividends over the next 12 months, and you've got a stock that combines both shareholder returns and growth potential. That's rare. Sentiment HPE's Equity Starmine Summary Score improved from 1.6/10 to 3.7/10 in the last 24 hours, meaning that analysts are growing more positive on the stock. The upgrade caused a nice spike in the stock price today. The sentiment change comes after HPE reported 3Q results and not only beat analyst expectations on earnings and revenue, but also beat analyst expectations on 4Q guidance. Analysts sharply increased earnings estimates for the next couple years after the earnings report. Perhaps even more importantly, HPE dramatically improved its financial health from the year-ago quarter. From the conference call: "Our Q3 free cash flow of $924 million was up $276 million year over year, driven by a record cash flow from operations as a result of our improved execution this quarter. . . . We generated cash flow from operations of approximately $1.5 billion. This is the highest level for the past 11 quarters, as we improved our operational execution." The company does expect cash flow to be sequentially lower next quarter due to restructuring, but the company is still in stellar shape financially, with an $8.5 billion cash reserve. Given HPE's strong results, I expect continued analyst upgrades. And I'm not alone in thinking so; HPE now has a bullish put/call ratio of 0.51. Technicals HPE's technicals are neutral at the moment, with the stock in a triangle. A couple ways to play it would be to buy near the bottom of the triangle or wait for an upside breakout. I do think there's a good chance HPE will make an upside breakout in the coming weeks, overall market conditions permitting.
NYSE:HPELong
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
4
3M (MMM) Bear Flagging into EarningsIn this January bullish market, bear flag breakdowns have mostly led to flat lines rather than massive drops, but given 3M's China business, and a week already full of dismal earnings reports, it can be expected that this bear flag will play out as a minor decline in the short-term stock price. There is fresh demand in the low to mid 180's, and even if it falls below our target of 187 (very possible), it will likely bounce back into a mid-range demand zone. I'd short it with or without earnings tomorrow.
NYSE:MMMShort
by axelroark