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INFA (Long) - AI play with a robust baseFundamentals The market right now is full of companies acting like prime AI bets . From what I can tell, NYSE:INFA is one of the more legit ones, building an AI-powered platform for multi-cloud system The valuation is slightly stretched but that is to be expected in a hot sub-sector. Hence, we need to gauge it against the industry, where INFA is exactly at the average Sales growth has been reliable and strong over the past decade, and the firm is nearing profitability Debt is stable at 1:1 ratio with equity. One fun fact is that CEO's compensation is $32m a year; the average in the industry is $8m, That's a major red flag, but we do not really care in a 6-month window; just something to be aware of On this one though, we are here for the technicals Technicals The technicals on this chart are gold Starting, as always, with a robust base which has accumulated over a longer time period The break out of the base came on news of blockbuster earnings , which is the kind of support a name like this needs Because of the positive news, the move was accompanied by higher-than-average volume as depicted on the graph Indicators also further support the break : (i) volume, represented by Chaikin Money Flow, has been showing divergences long before the move actually happened (orange circles) and (ii) a factor I consider crucial, a high relative strength against the market; the indicator is clearly breaking out and pointing higher Momentum is strong (stochastics) and supported by the rally in the broader indexes The stock clearly broke through all the moving averages ; another important factor when looking for an uptrend with legs Trade On the daily, the trade is slightly stretched. However, it still provides a good entry considering the proximity to the breakout line Ideally, the stock would oscillate around this line for a couple of days and let the moving averages catch up with the price It is up to you whether you wait or enter here. I choose to wait just because I feel the price action in the whole market needs to consolidate for a few days Caveat? The stock does not hold the line and breaks lower. However, considering the magnitude of the move, it is not unrealistic that this happens. In that case, I would wait for the price to break again and re-enter Follow me for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, I am happy to help If you like my content, Please leave a like, comment or a donation , it motivates me to keep producing ideas, thank you :)
NYSE:INFALong
by jurajholik
CYBR (Long) - Cybersecurity charts are too good right nowFundamentals I have recently published a trade idea for another cybersecurity stock ( NASDAQ:QLYS ) and seems to have become a theme. The cybersecurity sector is rallying on the back of geopolitical tensions and some stocks, like NASDAQ:CYBR have put some lovely technical setups The fundamentals here are not as pristine as in the case of NASDAQ:QLYS , but they are still robust The revenue growth is strong and has remained robust and consistent; the sales have grown nearly 1500% in the past decade, from 47m to $700m The company has a healthy balance sheet with a reasonable level of debt The valuation is elevated , but that is to be expected for stocks with a lot of momentum. However, here I am attracted more to the technical setup Technicals Anyone who has seen my other trade ideas knows that a solid base with a high-volume breakout is a vital part of my analysis. Here, we have a base which has been forming over a three-year period . Usually, the longer the period, the more robust the base. Last week, the base broke on a release of strong earnings followed by a higher-than-average volume, and most importantly, we have seen follow-through in price, suggesting the breakout likely has legs Other indicators suggest continuing momentum and the overall sector is also remaining strong and in support of the rally Trade The price is a bit far off from the breakout point, so it currently does not offer the most ideal entry point. I would probably suggest waiting for a pullback or at least a consolidation as the stock is slightly extended on the daily. However, for someone with a more long-term outlook , this price represents an entry as good as any Suggested stop-loss is at the breakout point. A caveat would be if the stock fell back and through the breakout point. One should also watch for the performance of the overall industry . For that, I can recommend the cybersecurity ETF AMEX:HACK Follow me for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, I am happy to help If you like my content, Please leave a like, comment or a donation , it motivates me to keep producing ideas, thank you :)
NASDAQ:CYBRLong
by jurajholik
COUR (Long) - Impressive relative strength in a choppy marketFundamentals I do not wish to dwell on fundamentals too much; I am more impressed by price performance and I am always guided by the price as I consider the collective wisdom of the market the best indicator However, the growth of the company has still been strong, with sales consistently rising by 20% and above Mainly though, Coursera has future - education does need to undergo a digital revolution and in this sense, the firm has a strong competitive edge . Hence, I would not discourage anyone from taking a longer-term position in the company But this trade is focused on a more of a 6-month outlook Technicals As I tend to, I have been watching the price of NYSE:COUR for over a month; the price has done a decent climb and has been orderly consolidating for the past month. Despite the turmoil in the broader markets, the price has never substantially decreased Over the past year, it has formed a robust base built on top of an immaculate double top pattern I am also big fan of the impressive relative strength against the S&P500 which can be seen at the bottom of the chart Trade I have not entered the trade myself as I am still waiting for a confirmation that the trend is going to continue upwards One could enter now at a better price, but the probability that the trade works out is lower ; a clear breakout would give the idea more validity The bottom of the consolidation range represents a clear stop-loss option My main caveat is that I am pretty bearish on the overall market in the next 6-month window. So although the stock does not have to necessarily plummet down with the market, it will certainly complicate its upward trajectory. Hence, I would advice for some patience if you decide to go with the trade. Follow me for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, I am happy to help If you like my content, Please leave a like, comment or a donation , it motivates me to keep producing ideas, thank you :)
NYSE:COURLong
by jurajholik
POSI - Russian leader in cybersecurity The actuality of cybersecurity for Russia in the absence of global brands becomes even sharper and provides unique opportunities for the best local provider to capture growing market share. Stock price technical perspective still illustrates strong up-trend, with some caution signals to be mindful about if one decides to trade it. On a weekly time-frame, price is solidly supported above the 10w MA, that is crucial for me to consider trading the upside of any stock. Although, I cautious about important fibonacci resistance levels at 2500 area. I price will not be able to follow-through its recent break-out attempt from 5 weeks flat base and move above 2500 zone, than I have hard times considering wave 4 finished, and will expect more deep and long correction (probably to 2070-1850 support zone). That being sad, in my trading, I try not to forecast, but to follow the price and volume dynamics. And when the set-up is favourable and I have positive traction in my personal portfolio, I will take it without any hesitation. Thesis : Above 2415 line and I expect price to follow-through and move towards 2600-2800 resistance zone. Below this line and I am out, and wait either for more tight entry set-up or stepping on the sidelines at all.
RUS:POSILong
by artemfedorov
RIVN - could break up in near futureRIVN went into basing formation since March 2023, testing the level 15.60 (neckline1) at least 4 times before a successful break up on 29 June, followed 2 days later by a huge volume gap up 3rd July. As of yesterday it closed right at the 2nd neckline @ 21.70, which incidentally is just above it's 200 day moving average (a positive). It's RSI is very strong and there is a reasonable chance it could be breaking above this neckline2 very soon (scenario 1 indicated in red). However, as it is also rather overbought at the moment, we could see another pullback before another attempt to break up (scenario 2 indicated in blue). Long the break of neckline 2 with initial stop loss below 19.30 (the recent 2 candles low). The market is volatile and trade management with trailing stops is a good idea. Balancing between how much wiggle room to give it (ie where to place the stop loss) will take some practice and experience. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by Juliac
CVNA - Trending but volatileCVNA had broken out of its basing formation neckline (a region between $17- $20) on 8 Jun on huge volume. It hit a high of 28.52 on 16 June before pulling back to retest near the neckline @ 20, then rebounded again from there. IT's trend is in earlys stage yet with immediate suport @ 20. However be mindful that lower priced stocks tend to have huge volatility (both up and down). Hence it is important to position size accordingly or chose to exit if it pulls back beyond a certain % and wait for entry again once there are signs that the short term correction is over. Watch out for resistences on the way up around $42 and also around $53+. Also be careful around earning releases. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is (probably the most) important! Take care and Good Luck!
NYSE:CVNA
by Juliac
CFLT - New trend emergingCFLT broke above a basing neckline on 2nd June and has now pulled back to retest this neckline for since the last few days. So far, this neckline is still proving to be a support and it could be a good time to stake into the new uptrend that is emerging (with initial stop loss below the neckline at $31.50). Other technical factors that have lined up to increase its odds of success are: 1. Basing for the last 12 months (the long the basing period, the more sustainable the new trend) 2. now trading above it's 200 day moving average with a golden cross on 31st May 3. good increase in volume (ie., accumulation) seen in the weeks leading to the breakup on 2nd June The next area of strong resistence (aka supply) could be around $43 - $45 (which is 22-25% upside from here). There is a reasonable chance that it could go beyond this level in the coming months, however, I will manage trade with trailing stop loss along the way up. Sometimes it is ok to be stopped out prematurely (high chance in a volatile market) but we can always re-establish a position once the consolidation is over and momentum returns. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NASDAQ:CFLTLong
by Juliac
5
PLTR - breaking out from base PLTR had been basing in the past 1 year and is now attempting to break out above the neckline @ 11.62. During this basing, there were some strong volume accumulation in Feb and then again in May (both times earnings inspired). A breakup on strong volume is always desirable and increased the odds of a sustainable rise, with near term target @ 14.50 (and good odds to rise further eventually). Any near term retracement after the breakup should ideally not bring it back below 11.60, as this would affirm that the neckline has then become the new support as it begins to trend. Whether this will happen remains to be seen though, and a "breakup and retest" (if it happens) will offer a lower risk opportunity to Long the stock close to neckline with initial stop loss placed slightly below. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
PLong
by Juliac
SAM - Time to bottoms up?After having fallen a whopping nearly 79% from it's peak in April 2021, SAM appears to be finally turning the corner, after forming a rounded base in the past 7-8 months. It hit rock bottom on 16 June, right where it was a former low during Covid crisis (March 2020). A month later, there was a strong spike in volume due to earnings beat (by 1.11%, not too fantastic, but still a beat nevertheless). The stock then pretty much went nowhere until last Friday, after it reported a much stronger earnings beat this time. What is significant this time is that it managed to gap up and close above the base formation neckline @ 396, a 19.7% rise within a day. Weekly RSI is strong and rising. However there is a near term resistance at 407 and we could see some consolidation around there. Buy the dips is probably a good idea. Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NYSE:SAMLong
by Juliac
$BAH is breaking out of a ~21 month long base! Can it go higher?Notes: * Strong up trend on the higher time frames * Great earnings track record * Broke out of a ~21 month long base * Higher than average weekly volume and coming off from its 10 week line * Also breaking out of a smaller consolidation of ~12 weeks * Gaped up a couple of days ago and is now coiling * Broke historical resistance around the $97 area Technicals: Sector: Industrials - Consulting Services Relative Strength vs. Sector: 3.15 Relative Strength vs. SP500: 2.07 U/D Ratio: 1.37 Base Depth: 7.78% Distance from breakout buy point: 0.23% Volume 55.27% above its 15 day avg. Trade Idea: * Now's a great time to buy since the price is just breaking out and is close to the break point * If you're looking for a better entry you may look for one around the ~97.85 area as that should hold as support
NYSE:BAHLong
by HaseebKhan_90
$CAL is breaking out of a ~15 month long base. Can it go higher?Notes: * Strong up trend since March 2020 * Good earnings in the recent quarters * Basing for the past ~15 months * Broke out around the end of May but pulled back to its 200 day line * Currently breaking out of historical resistance of $29.85 with higher than average volume * Next historical resistance comes in around $31.38 Technicals: Sector: Consumer Cyclical - Footwear & Accessories Relative Strength vs. Sector: 1.8 Relative Strength vs. SP500: 5.0 U/D Ratio: 1.44 Base Depth: 67.62% Distance from breakout buy point: 1.31% Volume 11.71% above its 15 day avg . Trade Idea: * You can enter now as the price is just breaking out of its base and historical resistance with higher than average volume * If you're looking for a better entry you can look for one around the $29.85 area as that should hold as support moving forward * This stock usually has local tops when the price closes around 21.29% above its 50 EMA * Consider selling into strength if the price closes 21.09% to 21.49% (or higher) above its 50 EMA * The last closing price is 11.01% away from its 50 EMA
NYSE:CALLong
by HaseebKhan_90
$EQNR is breaking out of its base with a Pocket Pivot!Notes: * Very strong up trend on all time frames * Good earnings in the recent quarters * Created a double bottom base for ~5 months and is now breaking out with higher than average volume * Not much else to say... it's a great looking chart ;) Technicals: Sector: Energy - Oil & Gas Integrated Relative Strength vs. Sector: 6.09 Relative Strength vs. SP500: 1.64 U/D Ratio: 1.17 Base Depth: 22.23% Distance from breakout buy point: 0.44% Volume 31.67% above its 15 day avg. Trade Idea: * You can get in now (at $38.44) as the price is just breaking out * If you want a better entry you can look for one around the 37.7 area if it comes back down * Right now it does seem to be gaping up so I wouldn't chase the price... Lets see how it behaves after the gap up and offers another entry * This stock usually has local tops when the price closes around 15.28% above its 50 EMA * Consider selling into strength if the price closes 15.08% to 15.48% (or higher) above its 50 EMA * The last closing price is 7.64% away from its 50 EMA
NYSE:EQNRLong
by HaseebKhan_90
Is $GIS ready to move higher?Notes: * Very strong up trend on all time frames * Great earnings track record * Breaking out of a base on base pattern of about 4 months * Has been testing broken resistance of 76.57 as support for the past several sessions Technicals: Sector: Consumer Defensive - Packaged Foods Relative Strength vs. Sector: 7.77 Relative Strength vs. SP500: 1.08 U/D Ratio: 1.33 Base Depth: 16.62% Distance from breakout buy point: 1.14% Volume 61.4% above its 15 day avg. Trade Idea: * You can enter now as the price is still close to the broken level * If you want a better entry you can look for one around the 76.57 area as that should continue to serve as support should $GIS continue to range
NYSE:GISLong
by HaseebKhan_90
$VRTX showing multiple signs of continuation!Notes: * Very strong up trend on all time frames * Great earnings track record since 2017 * Breaking out of a ~4 month base with higher than average volume * Printed a pocket pivot * And offering an early entry relative to its 50 day line * Breaking above a historical resistance of $290.48 with volume once again (Third time's the lucky charm? ;)) * Formed a relatively flat handle to the double bottom * Offering a low risk entry Technicals: Sector: Healthcare - Biotechnology Relative Strength vs. Sector: 1.32 Relative Strength vs. SP500: 1.16 U/D Ratio: 1.97 Base Depth: 24.6% Distance from breakout buy point: 0.03% Volume 8.7% above its 15 day avg. Trade Idea: * You can enter now as it's just breaking out of its double bottom base with higher than average volume and it printed a pocket pivot * If you're looking for a better entry you can look for one around the 290.5 area as that should hold as support * One thing to keep in mind is that there are two more historical areas of resistance that will come in the way before we hit the target * Look for confirming price action around those levels before adding to the position * Or, if we see lots of rejection around those levels, consider exiting the position earlier * This stock usually has local tops when the price closes around 11.93% above its 50 EMA * Consider selling into strength if the price closes 11.73% to 12.13% (or higher) above its 50 EMA * The last closing price is 6.9% away from its 50 EMA
NASDAQ:VRTXLong
by HaseebKhan_90