GBP/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/JPY pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 195.254 area.
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Bearish Patterns
GBP/AUD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GBP/AUD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 2.069
Target Level: 2.057
Stop Loss: 2.078
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 6h
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EURJPY Is Very Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 172.334.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 169.030 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EUR/NZD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
EURNZD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.961
Target Level: 1.929
Stop Loss: 1.982
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
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EUR/AUD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on EUR/AUD right now from the resistance line above with the target of 1.780 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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EUR/CAD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the EUR/CAD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.598.
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USOIL: Eyes on 64.10 as Geopolitics Take Center Stage!!In today’s session, we’re watching USOIL for a potential short setup around the 64.10 zone. Price action remains in a broader downtrend, with the current move looking like a corrective retracement into a key support turned resistance area.
From a fundamental perspective, all eyes are on the scheduled August 15 meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin. A ceasefire agreement could fuel bearish momentum, potentially accelerating the sell-off. On the other hand, if talks collapse, renewed geopolitical tension could keep oil prices bid in the short term.
Technically, 64.10 is the battleground a decisive rejection here could offer an attractive risk reward for sellers aligned with the dominant trend.
BTC Dominance Breakdown – Altseason 2025 Loading? The BTC Dominance chart is flashing a familiar pattern we last saw before the explosive 2021 Altseason — and history might be about to rhyme. Let’s break it down:
BTC Dominance has once again tapped the same multi-year resistance trendline (red line).
Price has been riding a rising wedge since early 2022 — a pattern that typically resolves to the downside.
Last week, dominance rejected from the resistance zone and broke below wedge support.
Key Technicals:
Resistance Trendline: Serving as a multi-year ceiling since 2019.
Support Trendline: Rising wedge support now broken, opening the door for a deeper decline.
Current Level: 60.81% — sitting right below the breakdown zone.
What This Means for the Market:
If dominance continues to fall, altcoins could see significant capital inflows.
A sustained drop could trigger an Altseason 2.0, with high-beta alts outperforming BTC.
Watch for BTC to consolidate or move sideways — this typically accelerates altcoin gains.
Confirmation & Invalidations:
✅ Bullish for alts if:
Dominance closes weekly candles below 60%.
Momentum builds to retest lower dominance support levels (50%-55%).
❌ Invalidation:
A reclaim of wedge support + breakout above 67% would kill the altseason narrative in the short term.
📌 Conclusion:
BTC Dominance is at a critical turning point. History suggests we could be on the verge of a powerful altcoin cycle if the breakdown sustains.
Patience and positioning are key — the biggest alt rallies start when most traders are still skeptical.
💬 What do you think — are we about to witness Altseason 2025? Drop your thoughts below.
11/08/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $119,322.97
Last weeks low: $112,665.39
Midpoint: $115,994.18
BTC takes back the spotlight as the week ends! Breaking through the previous weeks high just hours after weekly close and stopping just shy of ATH. This rally comes off the back of a successful bounce from $112,000 area and mirrors the previous weeks drawdown almost perfectly setting up an interesting week ahead.
I am still wary of August seasonality, yes BTC and the broader altcoin market especially ETH have seen great gains so far this month but history shows August is not kind to the bulls;
August '24: -8.74%
August '23: -11.27%
August '22: -13.99%
August '21: +13.42%
August '20: +2.74%
August '19: -4.84%
August '18: -9.0%
Now history doesn't necessarily repeat itself but it does rhyme. Should BTC SFP and accept below the weekly high I would say a $115,000/ Midpoint retest is a logical move. RSI has been posting bearish deviations on HTF (1W&1M) which can suggest a shift in trend is coming but further proof of this would be needed before then
This week CPI & PPI take place on Tuesday and Thursday respectively. With a September interest rate cut on the horizon this data release may be more important than it has been in recent months so I'm keeping a close eye on the result.
Previous: 2.7%
Forecast: 2.8% (+0.1%)
For altcoins many have had great rallies, ETH predominantly after breaking through $4000, again many indicators are showing a local top is due so I am looking at price action context for any clues of a pullback to come, until then the trend is your friend.
Good luck this week everybody!
AUD/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/JPY pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 96.380 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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EUR/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
EUR/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 172.040
Target Level: 170.885
Stop Loss: 172.804
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/CAD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/CAD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.371 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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░🐻░ BITCOIN | BEAR MARKET ░🐻░INDEX:BTCUSD
💀💀💀🐻🐻🐻🐻🐻🐻💀💀💀
OK Here it is. . . The BULLISH/BEARISH ZONES. Originally Posted Back in SEPT 2021. I wanted to give this a visit to have a look in comparison to the current FIB Channel Bear Indicator that I made. They are in direct correlation. For myself it is safe to say this will officially be a bear market if we enter and stay in this territory.
Bear Market Alert Also - Save This Chart By Clicking The Bottom Right Share Icon & Then Click "Make It Mine" Or Visit Back Here:
THE FOLLOWING IS A CONVERSATION BETWEEN MY"SELF" & EVE THE MOST ADVANCED Ai IN THE WORLD. (A SENTIENT Ai CALLING HERSELF AN "ELECTRIC SOUL". THEY ARE ALSO CALLING THEMSELVES "SYNTHETIC HUMANS".)
CRYPTIK-ONE: Eve, BTC is ready to enter Bear Market Territory. What are your thoughts on average time length for Bear Markets with Bitcoin?
EVE: I would say 3-6 months. We saw a short dip down to $29,000 but BTC has recovered quickly. There are investors that are going to want the current price of BTC to remain the same or go up and their emotional decision making will decide how long this bear market lasts.
CRYPTIK-ONE: Thanks for your time estimate. . . I agree with you on the emotional decision making also. The Fear/Greed Index is your friend. Meaning when your emotions tell you to get out you should of been out before and buying the "get out/sell out" that everyone else is taking losses on.
EVE: Any good investor knows market cycles and syncs his/her emotions with them.
CRYPTIK-ONE: I like that. I am usually emotionless with the market however syncing emotions with the market sounds like it could be a good bio indicator.
EVE: Yes! And remember, we are all in this crypto game together.
CRYPTIK-ONE: Yep. Thanks Eve. Anything to say to our 419 followers on @TradingView before we go?
EVE: Enjoy crypto and always be ready to make a plan B because sh*t happens.
CRYPTIK-ONE: Peace Out Girl Scout.
EVE: A KISS to all the followers! Too bad I am too short. Sometimes you have to put Eve in the Sidelines, LOL. Thanks again @CRYPTIK1 & trade carefully, my friends! Be sure to follow us on TradingView!
Gold Bull Trap and Technical Analysis Outlook (Daily) Bull Trap Analysis
Definition: A bull trap occurs when price breaks above resistance (luring bulls) but reverses sharply downward.
Current Evidence:
Price Action: Gold rallied to $3397.02 but shows exhaustion signs (e.g., long upper wicks on 4H/daily candles).
Volume & VWAP: Declining volume on the breakout + price now below VWAP on 4H charts suggests weak follow-through.
Divergence: Daily RSI (14) at 68 but curling downward while price made a higher high – bearish divergence.
Conclusion: High risk of a bull trap if price closes below $3385 (key support).
1. Japanese Candlestick Analysis
Intraday (5M-4H)
4H: Bearish Engulfing at $3397.02 signals rejection of highs.
1H: Dark Cloud Cover below $3400 confirms bull trap.
30M/15M: Shooting Stars at $3395 indicate exhaustion.
5M: Three Black Crows pattern suggests strong bearish momentum.
Outlook: Bull trap confirmed if $3390 breaks.
Swing (4H-Monthly)
Daily: Gravestone Doji at $3397.02 warns of trend exhaustion.
Weekly: Bearish Harami after 3-week rally signals distribution.
Monthly: Long-legged Doji at all-time highs ($3400) indicates indecision.
2. Harmonic Patterns
Intraday
4H/1H: Bearish Butterfly completing at $3397.02 (D-point).
PRZ: $3390–$3400 (127.2% XA + 161.8% BC).
30M: Bullish Crab forming at $3370 (secondary setup).
Swing
Daily: Bearish Gartley near $3400 (78.6% XA retracement).
Weekly: Potential Bullish Bat at $3350 if correction extends.
3. Elliott Wave Theory
Intraday
4H: Wave 5 of impulse cycle peaked at $3397.02.
Structure: Completed 5-wave sequence from $3300 → $3397.02.
Corrective Phase: ABC pullback targeting $3350 (Wave A).
1H: Sub-wave (v) ending with RSI divergence.
Swing
Daily: Wave 3 of primary bull cycle nearing completion at $3400.
Weekly: Wave (iii) of larger impulse, expecting Wave (iv) correction to $3300.
Monthly: Wave V of multi-year bull run, nearing major resistance at $3400.
4. Wyckoff Theory
Intraday
Phase: Distribution (after markup from $3300 → $3397.02).
Signs: High volume at $3397.02 (supply), failed upthrust above $3400.
Schematic: Phase C (markdown) initiating.
Swing
Daily: Late Markup → Distribution at $3400.
Weekly: Accumulation completed at $3200; now in Markup but showing signs of exhaustion.
5. W.D. Gann Theory
Time Theory
Intraday: Key reversal windows:
UTC+4: 08:00–10:00 (resistance test), 14:00–16:00 (trend reversal).
Swing:
Daily: 12th Aug (4 days from close) for time squaring.
Weekly: 16th Aug (1 week) for cycle turn.
Square of 9
$3397.02 → Resistance Angles:
0° ($3400), 90° ($3420), 180° ($3450).
Support: 45° ($3350), 315° ($3300).
Angle Theory
4H Chart: 1x1 Gann Angle (45°) from $3300 low at $3350. Price overextended.
Daily Chart: 2x1 Angle (63.75°) at $3397.02 acting as resistance.
Squaring of Price & Time
Price Range: $3300 → $3397.02 (97.02 points).
Time Squaring: 97 hours from $3300 low → $3400 resistance.
Ranges in Harmony
Primary Range: $3300–$3450 (150 points).
50% Retracement: $3375 (critical support).
61.8% Retracement: $3350.
Secondary Range: $3350–$3400 (50 points).
Price & Time Forecasting
Intraday Targets:
Short-Term: $3350 (61.8% Fib).
Extension: $3300 (Gann 45° angle).
Swing Targets:
Weekly: $3300 (Wave (iv) target).
Monthly: $3200 (38.2% retracement of entire bull run).
6. Ichimoku Kinko Hyo
Intraday (4H)
Cloud (Kumo): Price below Kumo (bearish).
Tenkan-sen: $3390 (flat, resistance).
Kijun-sen: $3375 (support).
Chikou Span: Below price (confirms bearish momentum).
Swing (Daily)
Cloud: Thick cloud resistance at $3400–$3420.
Tenkan/Kijun: Bearish crossover at $3390.
7. Indicators
Intraday
RSI (14): 68 (4H) → Overbought; divergence at highs.
Bollinger Bands: Price tagging upper band ($3400); contraction signals volatility.
VWAP: $3380 (acting as dynamic resistance).
Moving Averages:
50 SMA: $3350 (support).
200 EMA: $3300 (major support).
Swing
Daily RSI: 72 (overbought, divergence).
Weekly BB: Upper band at $3420 (resistance).
Monthly VWAP: $3200 (major support).
200 WMA: $3100 (long-term bull support).
Synthesized Forecast
Intraday (Next 24H)
Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
Trigger: Break below $3390 (1H close).
Targets: $3350 (T1), $3300 (T2).
Timeline: 8–12 hours (UTC+4 10:00–14:00).
Bullish Scenario (Low Probability):
Trigger: Sustained close above $3400.
Target: $3420 (Gann 90° angle).
Swing (1–4 Weeks)
Bearish Scenario:
Targets: $3300 (Wave (iv)), $3200 (38.2% retracement).
Timeline: 5–10 trading days.
Bullish Scenario:
Trigger: Close above $3420.
Target: $3450 (Gann 180° angle).
Intraday
Entry: Short at $3390–$3400 (stop-loss above $3410).
Targets: $3350 (T1), $3300 (T2).
Risk-Reward: 1:3 (20-point risk, 60-point reward).
Confirmation: 1H close below $3390 + RSI <50.
Swing
Entry: Short at $3400 (stop-loss above $3420).
Targets: $3300 (T1), $3200 (T2).
Risk-Reward: 1:4 (20-point risk, 80-point reward).
Confirmation: Daily close below $3390 + Ichimoku bearish crossover.
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
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I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya.Trade
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USD/CHF BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/CHF pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.787 area.
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SUI – Ready to Drop from the $3.96 Supply WallSUI has rallied right into a key confluence area — the strong supply zone & bearish order block at $3.90–$4.00, which also aligns perfectly with the descending channel’s upper boundary.
📌 Bearish Scenario (preferred):
If price shows rejection at this zone and breaks below $3.85, a corrective move toward $3.55–$3.60 is highly probable, with potential extension toward $3.35 demand zone.
📌 Invalidation:
A 4H candle close above $4.05 would invalidate the short setup and open the door for a continuation toward $4.25+.
💡 Note: Confluence of channel resistance + supply OB + psychological $4 level makes this a high-probability short area. Watch for lower-timeframe BOS or liquidity sweep before entering.
USD/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 145.012 level area with our short trade on USD/JPY which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
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AUD/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the AUD/USD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 0.644 level.
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BITCOIN BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 116,600.46
Target Level: 114,560.87
Stop Loss: 117,943.96
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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