Can USDJPY Hold Below 152.000? Sellers on WatchHey Traders,
In today’s session, we’re monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around the 152.000 zone.
The pair remains within a broader downtrend, and current price action shows a corrective move approaching a key resistance area.
A rejection from this level could reaffirm the prevailing bearish momentum, while a breakout above may challenge the current trend structure.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Bearish Patterns
GBPUSD within Bearish StructureHi Traders!
With price failing to swing higher I'm still seeing it's within bearish structure. The 1.35000 area looks like a strong resistance/supply zone. If price fails to break and close above it, that reinforces my bearish bias.
As of now, the current bounce looks corrective- possibly a retracement toward the 1.3500 zone before sellers step in again.
If price rejects near 1.35000 and continues to break below, then the next level I'd be considering would be 1.30000.
In addition, DXY is sitting at a higher low zone on a higher TF. It hasn't broken its longer-term uptrend yet. The price action looks like it's attempting a base/reversal. If it holds within 98.000-98.500 and starts pushing up, that could align with GBPUSD weakness.
*DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. The ideas and trades I take on my page are for educational and entertainment purposes only. I'm just showing you guys how I trade. Remember, trading of any kind involves risk. Your investments are solely your responsibility and not mine.*
$SPY / $SPX Scenarios — Friday, Oct 17, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios — Friday, Oct 17, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
🚩 Data blackout risk: Friday was set for key housing and production reports — but the ongoing shutdown means most prints (Housing Starts, Industrial Production, Import Prices) may not be released.
📉 Macro vacuum: With no confirmed data, traders lean on positioning and bond moves to gauge growth sentiment into the weekend.
💬 Earnings carry the weight: Corporate results take the spotlight as macro inputs dry up.
💻 Technical tone: AMEX:SPY and NASDAQ:QQQ watchlist rotation continues — watch volatility pockets if liquidity fades mid-session.
📊 Key Data & Events (ET)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Housing Starts & Building Permits (Sept) — scheduled but may not print
⏰ 8:30 AM — Import Price Index (Sept) — scheduled release
⏰ 9:15 AM — Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization (Sept) — scheduled but may not print
⚠️ Note: Friday wraps a quiet macro week dominated by missing data and Fed commentary. Expect a headline-driven close with limited participation ahead of weekend risk.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational / informational only — not financial advice.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #housing #IndustrialProduction #ImportPrices #Fed #bonds #economy #shutdown #yields #equities
EURJPY Will Go Down! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for EURJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 176.242.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 175.779 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Bearish Divergence still at playThe momentum hasn't been great on weekly. Multiple bearish divergence were in play, right before tarrif shock and a few after some runners but it just lead to more inconsistent and weak ath.
4h/daily tf shows a bull and bear trap widening pattern. Unfortunately bulls got hurt the most.
I'll be bullish once weekly RSI breaks the divergence.
$BTC about to collapse?Hey traders,
I Hope you are doing good!
As a continuation of my last CRYPTOCAP:BTC analysis ( ) I bring you a new fresh Bitcoin scenario.
In this case, my thoughts have changed. In my opinion what we saw last Friday was just the beginning of an early bearish movement.
The price tried to rebound and show some strenght but it failed and is falling to new lows.
Of course, momentum changes so fast and my setup could be invalid if we head to 116.000 USD and close above this week. However, in my opinion thats not likely to happen.
Im not talking about a short bearish movement but an actual 3 -6 months bear market.
My targets? Hard to say. But I see some interesting zones at 60 - 80K where I will start to buy some Bitcoin.
This scenario obviously applies to SP500 and Nasdaq.
USDCAD Will Go Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.404.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.401 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USDNOK Completes A Corrective RecoveryUSDNOK Completes A Corrective Recovery that can resume its bearish trend from a technical point of view and from Elliott wave perspective.
USDNOK made some recovery recently, but in three legs only, which indicates for a correction within the downtrend by Elliott wave theory, called a zig-zag. It stopped perfectly at equal wavelength of waves (A)=(C) and at the channel resistance line, so bears can be back, especially if it breaks below 10.0 level.
A zig-zag correction within a bearish trend is a temporary upward retracement that moves against the main downtrend. It follows the A-B-C (5-3-5) structure, where waves A and C are impulsive bullish moves, while wave B is a smaller bearish correction between them. It represents a sharp countertrend rally within a larger bearish cycle, after which the main downtrend typically resumes.
BITCOIN SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 111,579.80
Target Level: 109,830.73
Stop Loss: 112,744.35
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/CAD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the USD/CAD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 1.396 level.
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GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,341.28
Target Level: 4,245.41
Stop Loss: 4,404.72
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/NZD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
EUR/NZD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 2.042
Target Level: 2.007
Stop Loss: 2.066
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/AUD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/AUD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly rising on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.794 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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EUR/CAD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/CAD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 6H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.627 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDCHF To Fall Further After Price Confirms Reversal @ .79797Price on OANDA:USDCHF has confirmed the Bearish Reversal @ .79797 and has formed a Lower Low!
Based from the Lower High @ .80577 to the Lower Low @ .79328, the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement level finds itself right at the Confirmation which happens to be the next area that will be favorable for a Short Opportunity!
Once the 38.2% level is visited, we can expect Price will fall down to the next Support Level at the 1.618 Extension or Golden Ratio at .7902!
EUR/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
EUR/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 176.253
Target Level: 174.219
Stop Loss: 177.596
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,193.33
Target Level: 4,093.81
Stop Loss: 4,259.20
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/CAD: Bearish Loonie SlideUSD/CAD: Bearish Loonie Slide Amid #Fed Cut Hype and #Forex Volatility Buzz? 1.39 Breakout Target in Sight?
USD/CAD is trading at 1.3795 today, up 0.17% amid a rebound from 1.3728 lows as markets eye the Fed's rate decision later, with 65% odds of a 50bps cut to 4.00-4.25% pressuring the dollar but offset by BoC's own easing signals.
This follows a 0.25% CAD gain earlier in the week on CPI data, but the pair remains range-bound with analysts forecasting a bearish tilt to 1.35 by year-end if Fed cuts deepen.
Just as #Fed surges with 15K mentions on X amid rate speculation, and #Forex trends spotlight policy divergence (e.g., BoC vs. Fed easing), USD/CAD's sensitivity to oil and CAD vulnerability position it for choppy action in the $1.8T daily forex market.
But with volatility at 3.88%, is USD/CAD undervalued for a bull run to 1.39, or will dovish Fed trigger a CAD rebound? Let's break down the fundamentals, SWOT, charts, and setups for September 18, 2025.
Fundamental Analysis
USD/CAD's trajectory hinges on diverging central bank paths, with the BoC's recent cuts weakening the loonie while Fed easing caps USD upside—yet oil prices above $70/bbl support CAD via Canada's export reliance.
Analysts project a 2025 average of 1.35, bearish on CAD amid #Fed cuts, but short-term resistance at 1.3800 could hold if US data softens. With #Forex volatility buzzing, the pair's undervaluation shines in a risk-on environment if Fed delivers 50bps, but sticky US inflation (2.6% core) risks a hawkish pivot.
- **Positive:**
- BoC easing and CAD vulnerability amid #Forex hype project USD strength to 1.3863 if Fed holds steady.
- Oil tailwinds and EM inflows (e.g., SA bonds) bolster CAD floors, undervaluing the pair at current levels vs. 1.40 peaks.
- Broader #Fed trends favor USD if dot plot signals fewer cuts, eyeing 0.5% monthly gains.
- **Negative:**
- Dovish Fed expectations weaken USD, clashing with #Fed optimism if 50bps cut confirms CAD rebound.
- Canada CPI resilience (2.0% YoY) could strengthen CAD if BoC pauses, pressuring the pair lower.
SWOT Analysis
**Strengths:** Policy divergence favors USD with Fed's relative hawkishness vs. BoC, amplified by #Fed relevance in dollar sentiment.
**Weaknesses:** High oil correlation exposes CAD upside; overbought momentum vulnerable in #Forex-shifting markets post-Fed.
**Opportunities:** Fed cut confirmation narrows spreads, with undervalued bull potential to 1.3891 amid #Fed boom.
**Threats:** Hawkish BoC surprises eroding gains; competition from AUD/CAD if commodity trends capitalize on #Forex volatility.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, USD/CAD rebounds in an ascending channel from 1.3728 support, with a pivot at 1.3800 mirroring #Fed volatility spikes. The weekly shows neutral bias with 1.3889 as key breakout. Current price: 1.3795, with VWAP at 1.3770 as intraday balance.
Key indicators:
- **RSI (14-day):** At 55, neutral—potential bull signal amid #Fed surge. 📈
- **MACD:** Histogram positive, crossover holding for upside.
- **Moving Averages:** Price above 21-day EMA (1.3750) but testing 50-day SMA (1.3820)—bullish if holds.
Support/Resistance: Support at 1.3728 (recent low), resistance at 1.3863 and 1.3891. Patterns/Momentum: Channel bounce targets 1.3863; fueled by #Forex momentum. 🟢 Bullish signals: Higher lows on volume. 🔴 Bearish risks: Failure at 1.3800 eyes 1.36.
Scenarios and Risk Management
- **Bullish Scenario:** Break above 1.3863 on hawkish Fed targets 1.3891; long on pullbacks to 1.3728, especially if #Fed signals fewer cuts.
- **Bearish Scenario:** Drop below 1.3728 eyes 1.3538; watch for CAD cross amid #Forex fade on dovish pivot.
- **Neutral/Goldilocks:** Range-bound 1.3728–1.3863 if dot plot mixed and #Fed cools.
Risk Tips: Use stops at 1.3700. Risk 1-2% per trade. Diversify to avoid correlation traps with #Fed-linked pairs like EUR/USD.
Conclusion/Outlook
Overall, a bullish bias if USD/CAD holds 1.3728, supercharged by today's #Fed and #Forex trends, with 0.7% upside to 1.39 on policy divergence. But watch the Fed outcome for confirmation—this fits September's rate volatility theme amid easing hype.
What’s your take? Bullish on USD/CAD amid #Fed cuts or fading the loonie? Share in the comments!
GBP/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on GBP/USD right now from the resistance line above with the target of 1.324 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the EUR/USD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.157.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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