Who's ready to lose money (again) on BTC?The ups and downs are becoming just to obvious at this point. BTC struggling to make substantial progress on the price moves now that major whales have moved on due to buying at the TOP. What could go wrong? Diminishing YoY returns, high transaction cost, doesn't solve any real problems, and ultra high volatility. Historically, we are due very soon for a major correction and BTC will very likely come down substantially (next support levels before 100k is around 70k). Not anti-tech or BTC! Just calling out technicals, fundamentals, and historical behavior with tulip-type of hype and have seen many many people lose money from BTC and digital assets (remember NFTs, FTX, Trump's coin that was rugged etc...). Proceed with caution, if you're up on BTC, just sell and park for a breather. There is no escaping macro trends and a big one is coming. We are not at levels not seen since the dot.com bubble, and this one will be harder.
Bearishsetup
Gold - Caution ahead of US PPI report | Priority on Sell setups🟡 XAU/USD – 10/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Market Context
US 10-year bond yields rebound, signaling the market is awaiting key inflation data.
At 07:30, US PPI report will be released – a crucial figure that could strongly influence FED rate expectations.
Investors are also eyeing US CPI in the coming days to assess the inflation outlook.
The US Supreme Court accepted Trump’s appeal, but this news has not yet had a notable impact on Gold.
⏩ Captain’s Summary: Ahead of inflation data, Gold often tends to correct lower due to cautious sentiment.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis
Storm Breaker (Key Resistance):
Bearish OB: 3654 – 3660 (short-term upper cap)
ATH Watchtower: 3700 – 3702 (Sell Zone – possible new ATH test)
Golden Harbor (Strong Support):
Buy Zone: 3601 – 3602
OB Dock: 3582 – 3585
Currently, price is around 3640 – 3645, after a technical rebound from support. High probability that Gold will retest nearby resistance before a downward correction.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Scenarios
⚡ Quick Boarding (SELL – Daily Priority)
Entry 1: 3654 – 3660
SL: 3668
TP: 3654 → 3650 → 3618 → 3610
Entry 2 – ATH Test: 3701 – 3703
SL: 3711
TP: 3688 → 3675 → 3665 → 365x
✅ Golden Harbor (BUY – Only at deep support)
Buy Zone: 3601 – 3603
SL: 3592
TP: 3610 → 3620 → 3630
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The golden ship faces turbulent seas today as it sails near Storm Breaker 🌊 (3654 – 3660) . Before the fierce winds called US PPI , sailors should prioritize dropping anchor with short-term SELL positions at resistance. Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3601 – 3603) remains a safe haven below, but only when the ship corrects deeply should it dock. On this voyage, Quick Boarding 🚤 is for scalp maneuvers, while the main current is still steered by the stormy waves of inflation.”
Good time to get out of the MARKET (Too Heated)The market has never been this expensive and retailers are being the exit liquidity for whales / institutions. Almost like many people are just sitting a sipping away on an active volcano. The market could be jumping for a few days, but a rate cut confirms that the market is weak and needs a boost / help. Unfortunately, it's too little too late. Most macros show a clear sign of stress, which is not being reflected in the market (for now). Don't get too complacent...the VIX will spike at astronomical levels when the hammer falls. Best of luck!
Gold Futures Short Into Asia 9/7/25Based on the current Fair Value Gap (FVG), Order Block (OB), and the liquidity resting below, I anticipate gold will retrace toward the Point of Control (POC) identified on the volume profile. This would provide an ideal setup for short-term selling opportunities during tonight’s PM session.
My expectation is for price to open lower, push into the 3658 range, and present a bearish entry signal. From there, I’ll be targeting shorts toward the equilibrium of the FVG around 3619, which also aligns closely with previous session highs and lows—adding confluence to the setup.
NBIS Weekly Put Alert | $65 Targeting Weak Momentum
# 🐻 NBIS Weekly Put Play? | Neutral-to-Bearish Setup (Sep 1, 2025) 📉
📊 **Summary:**
Most models see NBIS as **neutral-to-weak** this week — RSI falling, volume light, and options flow neutral.
👉 Only **Claude/Anthropic** calls for a bearish weekly put, citing overbought weekly RSI + weak institutional volume.
---
## ✅ Trade Idea (from Claude’s model)
* 🎯 **Instrument:** NBIS
* 🔀 **Direction:** PUT (Short bias)
* 💵 **Entry Price:** \~0.95 (accept up to 1.00)
* 🎯 **Profit Target:** 1.40 (+47%)
* 🛑 **Stop Loss:** 0.47 (–50%)
* 📅 **Expiry:** 2025-09-05
* 📈 **Confidence:** 65%
* ⏰ **Entry Timing:** Market Open
---
## ⚠️ Risks
* 🌀 Range-bound chop → premium decay
* 📉 Bounce risk near **\$67.25 support**
* 🕒 Time decay: only 4 days left
* ⚡ Gamma spikes → faster moves near expiry
---
## 📌 Consensus Call
* 🟨 **Majority models:** Stay sidelined (neutral view)
* 🟥 **Claude:** Take a small bearish shot with \$65 puts
---
💡 **Takeaway:**
This is a **high-risk, short-dated weekly play**. Most signals are neutral, but if you like fading weakness → this put offers a controlled risk bet. Position **small**.
---
\#️⃣ **Tags:**
\#NBIS #OptionsTrading #PutPlay #BearishSetup #RSI #WeeklyOptions #TradingSignal #MarketAnalysis #NeutralBias
$ES Futures: Bearish Breakdown Ahead? Short Setup Inside
## 🔻 ES Futures Bearish Setup: Shorting into Weakness (Aug 21, 2025) 🔻
### 🏦 Market Outlook
* 📉 **Bias:** Bearish sentiment dominates
* 🔎 **Tech drag** + weak momentum = downside risk
* ⚠️ Key support in focus: 6296–6298 zone
---
### 📊 Trade Idea (SHORT)
* 🎯 **Instrument:** ES Futures
* 📉 **Direction:** SHORT
* 💰 **Entry:** 6369.75 (near market)
* 🛑 **Stop Loss:** 6390.00
* 🎯 **Target:** 6300.00
* 📊 **Size:** 1 contract (\$50/pt)
* 💪 **Confidence:** 65%
* ⏰ **Timing:** Market Open
---
### ⚠️ Risk Watch
* 🌀 Low volume may cause chop
* 📉 Bounce risk near 6296–6298
* 🌍 Macro catalysts could shift flows
---
🔥 Hashtags for Reach 🔥
\#ESFutures #SP500 #FuturesTrading #DayTrading #SwingTrading #SPX #MarketOutlook #BearishSetup
SCENARIO STUDY: Bullish or Bearish?Hello fellow traders! Here’s a fresh, USD/JPY plan that blends 4-hour technicals with today’s macro/news flow, plus the most recent trader and bank sentiment. Time to get happy!
USD/JPY for Aug 15, 2025, U.S. morning/afternoon
4H structure: After a slide that tested ~146.2–146.4 support, the USD/JPY keeps running into 147.8 and 148.5 as notable 4H hurdles.
Macro/news today: U.S. PPI (July) surprised hotter, cooling talk of a 50 bp Fed cut (market leans 25 bp for Sep 17); Japan Q2 GDP beat aided the yen and BoJ-hike chatter.
BoJ backdrop: July meeting opinions/outlook show a cautious tightening bias and discussion of resuming hikes; 10-yr JGB around ~1.5%.
Positioning & sentiment (latest):
CFTC JPY (non-commercial) net longs have fallen from mid-July peaks to ~82k (Aug 8). Retail (spot) sits near 54% long / 46% short.
Banks’ bias (based on recent published views):
UBS CIO guides for USD/JPY drifting lower through year-end (~140 by Dec 2025) as BoJ tightens gradually, and J.P. Morgan Research also expects weaker USD into late-2025 (USD/JPY ~141 Sep, 140 Dec).
4-hour levels to mark
Support: 146.20–146.40, then ~146.00 (deeper swing shelf).
Resistance: 147.80, 148.50 (recent 4H/spot pivot and swing high).
Scenario A — Bullish (rebound off support / corrective pop)
Why it could play out: Hotter U.S. PPI trimmed aggressive-cut bets; if incoming U.S. data/fedspeak doesn’t further dent yields, a corrective USD bounce can lift price from support toward overhead supply! Go Bulls? :D
Bullish Plan (4H execution):
Entry: 146.40–146.70 on a 4H bullish candle or RSI divergence near S1. (Structure band per the 4H map.)
Stop: 145.95 (clean break of the lower shelf).
Take Profit 1: 147.80 (first supply).
Take Profit 2: 148.50 (recent high / strong supply).
Respect Supports: 146.40–146.20, then 146.00.
Resistances to fade/scale: 147.80, 148.50.
Indicative R:R: from 146.60 risk ~65 pips to stop for ~+120 pips to TP2 (≈1:1.8), +120–190 pips if extension through 148.5.
Scenario B — Bearish (trend continuation from resistance)
Why it could play out: 4H downswing remains intact below 147.8/148.5; BoJ tone leans cautious-hawkish, Japan data firmed (GDP), while CFTC shows less crowded JPY longs (reduced squeeze risk). UBS/JPM public pieces lean medium-term lower USD/JPY.
Bearish Plan (4H execution):
Entry: 147.80–148.00 on a 4H rejection wick / failure swing at R1.
Stop: 148.60 (invalidate above R2 swing high).
TP1: 147.00 (recent intraday base).
TP2: 146.20–146.40 (key 4H demand).
Resistances to lean on: 147.80, 148.50.
Supports to target: 147.00, 146.20–146.40, then ~146.00 if momentum accelerates. Go Bears? :D
BUT WAIT..... Which is more probable now?
As for the team here at How To (dot) Forex, we are collectively leaning bearish (Scenario B) over the next few sessions. And, here is why....
Structure: Price remains capped beneath 147.8/148.5 on the 4H map.
Macro skew: Hot PPI pared back “big cut” bets but markets still favor a 25 bp cut; meanwhile Japan GDP beat + BoJ talk of possible resuming hikes is JPY-supportive.
Sentiment: Retail near 50/50 (slight long) and CFTC net JPY longs off the highs → fewer asymmetric squeeze dynamics for upside USD.
What are the banks saying?
Recent UBS and JPM predictions point to lower USD/JPY into year-end, aligning with fade-rallies bias unless price reclaims R2 decisively.
_________________________________________________
OPINION AND COMMENTARY:
we prefer fade-rally shorts into 147.8–148.0 unless a 4H close above 148.5 flips bias. If you see a strong 4H basing signal at 146.2–146.4, the bullish corrective setup is valid — just keep targets conservative at 147.8/148.5.
If you have questions, or want to see a specific type of analysis not presented here, leave us a comment below. Thank you for reading. We appreciate your support. Happy trading!
_________________________________________________
DISCLAIMER: This analysis was conducted by our in-house team of multi-level traders. We are not responsible for any losses you may incur. Always do you own research before trading. If you are new to trading, consider practicing with a free paper trading account. Ask your broker for details.
TRADE PLAN: Bulls vs BearsHello, fellow traders! We've created a 2-scenario trade plan based on the most recent technical, macro, and trader sentiment using 4 hour charts - because we love you!
1. BULLISH SCENARIO — rebound from support
Price is oversold on the 4H RSI and nearing key support (146.4–147.0). Fed easing expectations are already priced in, so any upside surprise in U.S. data, or lack of follow-through selling, could trigger a corrective rally.
TRADE PLAN:
Entry: 146.40–147.00 (look for a 4H bullish candle or RSI divergence confirmation)
Stop: Below 146.00 (clear break under the next support cluster)
Target 1 (Partial trade plan): 147.80 (local resistance)
Target 2 (Full trade plan): 148.50 (Aug 12 high)
SUPPORT LEVELS:
Support 1: 146.40–147.00
Support 2: 146.00
RESISTANCE LEVELS:
Resistance 1: 147.80
Resistance 2: 148.50
RISK/REWARD: ~1:2 from midpoint entry (146.70), risking 70 pips for 140 pips potential.
__________________________________________________
2. BEARISH SCENARIO — continuation lower
The pair remains in a short-term 4H downtrend after failing above 148.5. Softer U.S. CPI reinforced Fed cut odds, while Japan’s inflation remains >2% with a mildly hawkish BoJ bias — supportive for yen strength.
TRADE PLAN:
Entry: 147.80–148.00 (sell into a retest of broken support / 4H resistance)
Stop: Above 148.50 (invalidated if breakout above Aug 12 high)
Target 1 (Partial TP): 147.00 (intraday swing low area)
Target 2 (Full TP): 146.00 (deeper swing support)
RESISTANCE LEVELS:
Resistance 1: 147.80
Resistance 2: 148.50
SUPPORT LEVELS:
Support 1: 147.00
Support 2: 146.00
Support 3: 145.80
RISK/REWARD: ~1:2.5 from midpoint entry (147.90), risking 60 pips for 150 pips potential.
_________________________________________
PROBABILITY ASSESSMENT (based on our most current data)
Bearish case is slightly more probable near-term because macro backdrop favors JPY (BoJ gradually normalizing, U.S. rate cut expectations rising).
Price action still in 4H downswing with momentum (MACD) negative and resistance overhead. CFTC data shows yen longs reduced — less chance of a squeeze higher on short-covering. That said, oversold conditions mean bullish bounces are possible, but likely corrective rather than trend-changing unless U.S. data turns hawkish again.
We hope you found our analysis helpful and thank you for reading. Follow us here on TradingView for more up to date analysis. Happy trading!
__________________________________________
DISCLAIMER: Our analysis is not 100% absolute. We are not responsible for any losses incurred. Please be sure to do your own research before investing or trading.
SPX....what goes up, must go downThis is long overdue. SPX has just crossed 9SMA, next 50SMA then 200SMA. Won't be surprised if it knocks each very soon. This will be a big week and tariffs are going to start hitting; even though this was mostly artificial and Americans are paying 90% of it! When in doubt, sell and park in money market! The next dip will hit hard and deep. Don't let the small wins overshadow the deep issues in the economy. Overpriced market and many lagging indicators will soon hit and default rates that are coming out are scary! Stay safe and don't get emotional over any stock. If it dips, you can always buy it cheaper.
XRP/USD – Bearish Shift After Momentum Exhaustion🧠 Summary:
XRP/USD has shown clear signs of exhaustion after sweeping the previous high. Following a breakout from a daily bull flag, price struggled to hold momentum near the key level of 3.4194, forming an ascending channel that eventually broke down. Liquidity zones below current price are now in focus.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Daily Bull Flag → Broke out with strength
⚠️ Rejection near Previous High (3.4194) → No follow-through
🔼 Ascending Channel → Formed post-impulse, now broken
📉 Momentum Shift → Structure flipped bearish
💧 Liquidity Zones (LQZ) below price acting as magnets
📌 Key Levels:
🔹 Last High: 3.4194 (Rejection Point)
🔹 Broken LQZ: 3.2868
🔹 Current Support: 3.1689 (LQZ - being tested)
🔹 Target 1: 2.9849 (4HR Liquidity Zone)
🔹 Target 2: 2.7667 (Daily Liquidity Zone)
🧩 Confluences:
Liquidity sweep of prior high
Momentum loss near key resistance
Break of ascending structure
Retesting broken zones with room below
⚠️ Final Thoughts:
This trade is playing out just as we described in the post before this on XRP. We discussed watching how price would react to this area before making any type of "Late Entries". XRP is still a huge and vital part of the Crypto Eco System so long term i am holding my Long position. The areas on the chart are still great areas to buy in at "Dollar Cost Average". This will be one of those positions that though it may be bearish on the lower time frame you need to zoom out and always keep an eye on the weekly and daily chart before making any drastic moves.
XAUUSD- Bearish AB=CD pattern at resistance zone!Timeframe:2H|Pattern: AB=CD| Bias: Bearish Reversal!
Gold (XAUUSD) has completed a precise AB=CD pattern aligning perfectly with a strong resistance zone near 3340-3350 the symmetry of the harmonic pattern combined with historical rejection levels gives a strong signal for a potential downside move
Trade setup idea:
Sell entry: 3340-3350
target:1: 3300
target:2: 3260
risk reward: Favorable setup with harmonic confirmation.
XAUUSD Bearish Setup | Support Levels in SightGold has broken down from the ascending channel, indicating a potential shift in market structure toward bearish momentum.
🔎 Technical Highlights:
Clear breakdown from the ascending channel
Price currently facing resistance near $3,323
Two key support zones:
🟩 First Support: $3,295 – potential bounce area
🟩 Second Support: $3,258 – deeper downside target
📊 Short-Term Outlook: Expecting a minor pullback before continuation lower toward the $3,295 support. If that level fails to hold, the next target becomes $3,258.
💡 Trade Idea: Watch for rejection below $3,323 for a possible short opportunity targeting $3,295 and $3,258. Keep an eye on momentum and volume.
🔔 Note: Always use proper risk management. This setup is based on current price action and may change with market dynamics.
EURUSD Technical Breakdown | Bearish Reversal Ahead?The Euro is showing signs of a potential major trend reversal after completing a strong rally within an ascending channel.
🔎 Chart Analysis:
Price surged out of a long consolidation range and followed a parabolic curve.
The pair reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel and started stalling.
Early signs of a distribution phase are visible, hinting at possible downside momentum.
📉 Bearish Scenario In Play:
A break below 1.1600 could accelerate the sell-off.
Key support zone at 1.14526 — potential first reaction level.
If momentum continues, next major support rests at 1.12329.
Short-Term Outlook:
Watch for breakdown confirmation below the channel.
Risk management is key; consider short entries on bearish candle confirmation.
💬 What’s your view? Are the bears finally taking over EUR/USD? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
#EURUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
BTCUSD Analysis | Bearish Setup Unfolding?Bitcoin is trading within a descending channel, respecting lower highs and lower lows. The recent price action shows a sharp bounce from the $98,600 support zone, but the bigger picture still hints at potential downside.
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
Descending Channel remains intact – structure suggests bearish continuation.
Price bounced from $98,626 support, but is struggling below key resistance at $108,622.
A possible lower high formation near $106K–$107K could trigger the next drop.
Bearish projection remains valid if price fails to break above the descending trendline.
🟢 Upside Scenario: If bulls manage to break above $109K resistance, we could see a bullish reversal.
🔴 Downside Target: If the bearish setup confirms, we may revisit the $98,000–$99,000 support area once again.
📌 Plan Accordingly:
Wait for price action confirmation near resistance. Patience pays in volatile zones like this!
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #BTCUpdate #CryptoTrader #TechnicalAnalysis
GBPUSD Price Action Analysis | Sell Setup Below 1.36106In this GBPUSD market overview, we break down recent price action following yesterday’s strong bullish rally from the momentum low. The session was highly emotional across major forex pairs, which is typical when a major wave structure reaches its end. This often results from incomplete auctions on one side of the market, causing order flow imbalances that drive sharp price movements.
The key price level we're watching on GBPUSD is 1.36326. Price approached this zone with momentum, and the rejection at 1.36267 triggered a classic TCP (Trend Changing Pattern), followed by a single upside break, confirming exhaustion at the highs.
📉 Sell Setup:
According to the Waves of Success execution model, the best short entry is below 1.36106, in alignment with the prevailing bearish structure.
⚠️ Alternative Scenario:
We are not looking for long setups on GBPUSD at this time — our bias remains bearish unless significant structure changes occur.
This analysis combines wave structure, trend confirmation patterns, and institutional price levels for a professional, risk-managed approach.
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.36326
Rejection High: 1.36267
Sell Trigger: 1.36106
XAUUSD Price Analysis | Bearish Reversal in ProgressGold has sharply broken down from the upper boundary of a well-respected parallel channel, hinting at a potential trend reversal.
🔎 Technical Breakdown:
Strong rejection at ~$3,440 resistance zone
Break in market structure = early signs of bearish momentum
Support 1: $3,300 – key short-term zone
Support 2: $3,250 – major confluence level
If price fails to hold above $3,300, a continuation toward $3,250 looks likely in the coming sessions.
📊 Trade Setup
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: On pullbacks below $3,390
TP1: $3,300
TP2: $3,250
SL: Above $3,420 (recent swing high)
⚠ Watchlist Dates:
🗓 June 18 – FOMC Meeting (high impact)
💬 What’s your outlook? Will gold hold $3,300 or are bears in control? Let’s discuss below!
#Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #Forex #FOMC #MarketOutlook
EURCAD Bearish Setup | Trend Reversal Incoming?The EUR/CAD pair has been respecting a parallel ascending channel, with price recently touching the upper boundary and now showing signs of a potential sharp reversal.
🔹 Key Technical Observations:
Price broke out of a long consolidation zone (early June), followed by a strong bullish impulse.
Currently rejecting the upper boundary of the parallel channel, suggesting bullish exhaustion.
Bearish projection aims for a potential drop toward the 1.55400 support zone, aligning with channel midline or lower boundary.
📊 Trade Idea:
Watch for confirmation of rejection (bearish engulfing / break of minor support).
Short entries can be considered on break below intraday structure.
Target Zone: 1.55400
Invalidation: Clean break and close above 1.58500
⚠ Always manage risk and confirm with your trading strategy.
NZDUSD Breakout Alert | Bearish Wave Incoming?The bullish trendline that supported NZD/USD for over a month has finally been broken decisively, signaling a potential bearish reversal.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Price has rejected strong resistance around 0.6078 – 0.6100
Clean breakdown below the bullish trendline support
Market structure shift confirmed on the 4H chart
Bearish momentum is gaining strength with no signs of slowdown
📊 Bearish Scenario:
Expecting a minor pullback toward 0.5950–0.5980 zone (potential retest)
If resistance holds, likely continuation toward major support at 0.5490
✅ Trade Idea:
📍 Sell on pullback below 0.5980–0.6000 zone
🎯 Target: 0.5700 → 0.5550 → 0.5490
❌ SL above 0.6100
🔔 Watch closely for price action confirmation before committing – momentum is key.
#NZDUSD #ForexAnalysis #Breakdown #TrendReversal #TechnicalAnalysis #BearishSetup #TradingView #PriceAction
Shoulder on Shoulder - Need a dump this Week😥 The past week was complicated, and I don't want to bore you with all the political goings-on, which I hope you're already aware of. I'm a bit short on time right now, but I still wanted to share this perspective with you all.
💁♂️ It is Shoulder on Shoulder H&S everywhere!
💡 My concept of a plan:
🧗 Let's climb the Pinky way down
3289 - Actual Price
3271 - 🏁 S1
3232 - 🚪 Pink Neckline entry
3245 - 🤞 S2 & Head of White reverse H&S
3204 - 👀 Pink Start from Left Shoulder
3184 - 🎯 TP 1 - Fibo 1.272
3163 - 🎯 TP 2 - Fibo 1.414 or 3166
3134 - 🎯 TP 3 - Fibo 1.618 or 3154
3120 - 👀 Head of Yellow reverse H&S
3079 - 🎯 TP 4 - Fibo 2
🗣️ Important: FED Chair Powell speaking June 02 Mon at 1 PM EDT
What are your toughts about this? Please write it in the comments.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
EURUSD - Short Opportunity Ahead EURUSD is currently approaching a key resistance level after a strong upward move. Price action is showing signs of exhaustion, and bearish signals are beginning to emerge. If the pair fails to break above the resistance and confirms a rejection, we may see a short-term pullback or a potential trend reversal.
A clean break below the recent support zone could provide a short opportunity, with possible downside targets near previous lows. As always, proper risk management is essential, especially in high-volatility conditions.
---
Key Technical Points:
Price nearing a strong resistance zone
Bearish candlestick formation / divergence (if applicable)
Wait for confirmation before entering a short position
🔒 This is a trade idea for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
BTCUSD Bear Trap Loading – Premium OB Sell Setup ActivatedBTCUSD | 1H Smart Money Rejection Play – Premium Repricing Before Breakdown
The king of crypto is looking shaky. Smart money isn’t buying the pump. Here’s why BTCUSD might be gearing up for a steep dump from a premium order block reaction 🩸👇
📌 1. Market Context:
After a clean bearish leg, BTCUSD is now retracing into a premium zone — above the 70.5% Fib
Price is climbing into a high-probability reversal OB (highlighted in purple/red)
This area aligns with the 70.5%–79% golden retracement zone — where institutions love to load shorts 🧠📉
💎 2. Key Levels to Watch:
🔺 Premium OB Zone (Sell Zone): 108,378.95 – 109,276.15
🟣 Golden Rejection Zone: Fib 70.5% – 79%
🔽 Target Weak Low: 103,121.59
⛔ Invalidation/SL Above: 109,276.15
🎯 RR Potential: 1:4+ sniper-grade
Price is expected to tap this premium zone, sweep liquidity, and collapse into the weak low for a full market cycle completion 🔁
🧠 3. Smart Money Flow:
This move smells like a liquidity grab trap – taking out late longs before a drop
No bullish BOS from HTF – market structure still bearish
OB overlaps with inefficiency (FVG), making it ripe for rejection
Strong high is intact — unbroken = more confluence for downside
🎯 4. Execution Strategy (Entry Tips):
⚔ Wait for:
M5–M15 shift in structure (BOS) from bullish to bearish inside the OB
Sharp rejection wick or engulfing candle for confirmation
Ideal entry = wick entry near 109.2 with tight SL just above OB
Target = weak low for full mitigation and profit harvesting
This is surgical precision territory. The sniper must be patient before pulling the trigger 🥷
🔥 5. Why This Short is GOLD:
✅ OB + Fib + FVG confluence = high-odds reversal zone
✅ Price is in premium – not discount = perfect for shorts
✅ Weak low = magnet
✅ No bullish confirmation = no reason to long
This is not a guess — this is the blueprint for institutional execution 📐
📉 Drop “BTC Dump Mode 🚨” in the comments if you’re watching this setup too
🔁 Save this setup for your playbook
⚔ Follow @ChartNinjas88 for more institutional-level trade ideas like this one
GBPUSD Bearish Setup | Trend Reversal Setup in Progress...📉 Technical Outlook _
After a strong bullish rally within a parallel ascending channel, GBP/USD is now showing signs of potential reversal. Price action recently broke out of the channel and is failing to reclaim upward momentum, indicating that buyers may be losing control.
🔍 Key Observations:
🟪 Previous Consolidation led to the breakout
📈 Strong bullish structure inside the parallel channel
❌ Price has now exited the channel, with clear signs of rejection near 1.347x
📉 Bearish pattern projecting a potential drop to the support zone at 1.31521
⚠ Watch for This Bearish Scenario:
1. Liquidity grab or false breakout above short-term highs
2. Strong sell-off as momentum fades
3. Clean bearish continuation pattern toward 1.3150 support
✅ Bearish Confluences:
Breakdown from parallel channel
Series of lower highs forming
Weak recovery attempts
Clear downside target with prior support zone structure
🔷 Note: Keep an eye on macro news and USD strength before executing. This is a technical setup with potential, not a guarantee.
📊 What’s your bias? Bullish or Bearish? 👍 Like & 🔔 Follow for more technical setups!