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ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 – US FORECAST (08/10/2025)Session Bias: Bullish continuation with controlled pullback probability Market Structure: Still within ascending channel; bulls defending structure after rejection at 4,049 ⸻ 🕐 1️⃣ DAILY TIMEFRAME (D1) • Gold continues its aggressive uptrend, with another bullish daily candle extending from 3,983 to 4,049. • Price remains above 20 EMA (3,975) and 50 EMA (3,867) → strong bullish trend confirmation. • RSI at 79 → extremely overbought, suggesting limited room before a short-term correction. • MACD histogram still expanding positively, showing momentum remains active despite exhaustion risk. • Parabolic SAR stays below price → trend intact. Summary: Gold is overextended but structurally bullish. As long as daily candle holds above 4,000, buyers remain in control aiming for 4,060–4,078. ⸻ ⏱ 2️⃣ H1 TIMEFRAME • Gold hit 4,049 (Weak High) and is now consolidating around 4,040–4,043, holding above short-term structure support at 4,031. • Price remains above 20 EMA (4,031) and 50 EMA (3,984) — EMAs sharply aligned upward. • MACD: histogram showing fading bullish momentum, though still above zero → healthy pullback possible. • RSI (70) hovering near overbought → suggests cooling off before potential continuation. • Channel Structure: price rejected top trendline (red), possibly retracing toward midline support 4,031–4,020. Observation: If 4,031–4,020 holds, we may see a continuation leg toward 4,060–4,078. A break below 4,018 would shift short-term momentum bearish toward 4,004. ⸻ 📉 3️⃣ M15 TIMEFRAME • The intraday structure remains bullish; however, candles are printing smaller bodies → indicating exhaustion. • Fibonacci retracement from 3,984 → 4,049: • 38.2% = 4,024 • 50% = 4,017 • 61.8% = 4,010 → forming a Golden Zone (4,024–4,010) — ideal pullback area for re-entry if the bullish trend resumes. • MACD showing a flattening histogram → potential retrace before next impulse. • RSI at 61 → mid-range, ready for either a dip or rebound depending on 4,031 support reaction. Summary: A healthy retracement toward 4,024–4,010 is expected. As long as the golden zone holds, trend continuation remains the main scenario. ⸻ ⚡ 4️⃣ M5 TIMEFRAME (SCALPING VIEW) • Price formed a minor double top at 4,049 and retraced to 4,033, currently ranging between 4,030–4,044. • 20 EMA starting to flatten, while 50 EMA remains below → short-term correction developing. • MACD histogram in red but narrowing → bears weakening as we approach support. • RSI 48 → neutral, suggesting accumulation zone forming for next move. Scalping Summary: • Buy scalp zone: 4,031–4,024 (confirmation required) • Sell scalp zone: below 4,018 (breakout and retest) → potential drop to 4,004–3,992 ⸻ ✨ FIBONACCI GOLDEN ZONE (Current Swing: 3,984 → 4,049) Retracement Level Price 38.2% 4,024 50% 4,017 61.8% 4,010 Golden Zone = 4,024 – 4,010 → key support & re-entry area. ⸻ 🚨 BREAKOUT LEVELS TO WATCH Direction Breakout Zone Retest Confirmation Target Zones Bullish Above 4,049–4,050 Retest 4,045–4,047 4,060 → 4,072 → 4,085 Bearish Below 4,018–4,010 Retest 4,015–4,012 4,004 → 3,992 → 3,970 ⸻ 📊 INDICATORS SUMMARY Indicator Reading Bias RSI (H1) 70 (Overbought) ⚠ Cooling phase MACD (H1) Positive, flattening ✅ Still bullish EMAs (20/50) Rising, wide gap ✅ Trend intact Volume Normalizing ⚠ Pre-news pause Parabolic SAR Below price ✅ Trend supportive ⸻ 🧭 SESSION OUTLOOK (US SESSION) • Base Case (60% probability): Controlled pullback toward 4,024–4,010 (Golden Zone) before continuation to 4,060–4,078. • Alternative (30% probability): Extended range between 4,030–4,049 with sideways consolidation. • Low Probability (10%): Breakdown below 4,010 → deeper correction to 3,990–3,970. ⸻ ✅ SUMMARY Gold remains bullish overall, but short-term momentum is softening after reaching 4,049 resistance. A pullback into 4,024–4,010 (Golden Zone) is the ideal setup for bullish continuation. As long as price holds above 4,018, trend bias stays upward; only a confirmed breakdown below 4,010 would signal short-term bearish correction. Bias: 🟢 Bullish above 4,018 ⚪ Neutral 4,018–4,010 🔴 Bearish below 4,010 ⸻
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by ELDORADOFX
BANKNIFTY Intraday & Swing Levels for 09th Oct 2025BANKNIFTY Intraday & Swing Levels for 09th Oct 2025 # "WEEKLY Levels" mentioned in BOX format. ^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^ L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's". Do comment if Helpful . In depth Analysis will be added later
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by DSKF16
gold on sellThe price of XAUUSD has recently reached a new high of 4049, and we are currently awaiting a breakout below 4029 for a bearish confirmation. If the price breaks below 4027-4025, it is likely to target the lower price of 4020. If this target is achieved, it may be possible to retrace on a buy, but if the price breaks below 4018, it could potentially reach 3984. The stop loss should be set at 4040. If the price closes above 4050 on a long candle, it would be advisable to consider a buy.
TVC:GOLD
by newbeginneracademy
WEEKLY EUR/USD OUT LOOK 06 TO 10 OCT 2025🧭 Chart Overview Pair: EUR/USD Bias: Bearish (structure shows lower highs and lower lows) Key Zone: Supply zone: 1.1740 – 1.1760 (on premium side of the dealing range) Liquidity Sweep (Weekly): around 1.1830 – 1.1850 Targets (TPs): First TP: 1.1645 Second TP: 1.1608 Third TP: 1.1573 The idea here: Market swept buy-side liquidity above previous weekly highs → tapped into a daily supply zone / FVG → expected to rebalance toward the discount side (below previous weekly lows). 📊 ICT Structure Breakdown 1. Higher-Timeframe (HTF) Context On the Daily and H4, the trend is bearish. Price is inside a daily fair value gap (FVG) + supply zone, showing premium conditions (good sell zone). Weekly liquidity grab confirmed around 1.1850 area, indicating smart money distribution phase. 2. Market Objective Draw liquidity from sell-side, below recent equal lows & old weekly swing lows. Targets align with your TP zones (1.1645 / 1.1608 / 1.1573). 🧠 Entry Plan (LTF - 15min to 5min) Step 1: Wait for LTF Market Structure Shift Go to 15min or 5min chart. Wait for price to retrace into the supply zone (1.1740–1.1760). Inside that zone, identify: Break of structure (BOS) to downside A Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed after BOS Possibly an Order Block (OB) just before the BOS candle. Step 2: Entry Confirmation Once BOS confirmed → mark the FVG / OB. Entry can be: Limit Entry: at the 50% of bearish OB or top of FVG. Stop-Loss: just above the swing high / supply zone (≈ 1.1765–1.1770). Risk:Reward around 1:4 to 1:6 targeting at least TP1 or TP2. Step 3: Partial TPs TP Level Price Logic TP1 1.1645 Weekly sell-side liquidity (SSL) TP2 1.1608 Next swing low & imbalance fill TP3 1.1573 Full draw-on-liquidity to deeper discount zone Step 4: Refinement (Optional) If price fails to return to 1.1740, look for M5 structure shift below 1.1700 confirming continuation. Re-entry using new FVGs or OBs on M5 after minor pullbacks. 🧩 Key Confluences Weekly liquidity sweep ✅ Daily FVG + Supply ✅ Premium pricing ✅ Multiple downside liquidity pools ✅ Aligns with USD strength expectation (based on macro data & risk sentiment) ✅ ⚙️ Example Setup Summary Parameter Plan Entry Zone 1.1740–1.1760 (5min FVG inside) Stop Loss Above 1.1770 Targets 1.1645 → 1.1608 → 1.1573 Direction Sell Risk:Reward ~1:5+ Trigger M5 BOS + FVG entry
Short
by Bilalxau
Gold (XAUUSD) 15-MinGold (XAUUSD) 15-Min Analysis On the 15-minute timeframe, price is showing a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) along with an Order Block and a newly formed Buy-side Inversion FVG. There’s also a strong Demand Zone in the same area. Once price retests this demand, we’ll be looking for a buy setup from that level. This confluence makes it a potential zone for a bullish reaction. 📊 Pair: XAUUSD (Gold) ⏰ Timeframe: 15M 🎯 Setup: FVG + Order Block + Inversion FVG + Demand Retest
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ict_smc_chartist
NIFTY Intraday Levels for 09th Oct 2025NIFTY Intraday Levels for 09th Oct 2025 # "WEEKLY Levels" mentioned in BOX format. ^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^ L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias. L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above. L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias. L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone, *** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature) Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart Color code Used: Green =. Positive bias. Red =. Negative bias. RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change / CYCLE Change and Vice Versa. Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working. Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser. Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research. "As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's". Do comment if Helpful . In depth Analysis will be added later
NSE:NIFTY
by DSKF16
Is the EUR due a correction?Today I will be going into the Fundamental Analysis behind why I think the OANDA:EURUSD is ready for a rebalance. As we have seen all through Q1-Q3 of this year Bullish runs towards 1.25; this is what the ECB are currently wanting for the EUR. The DXY is now nearing over extension on Bears, this comes as the TVC:DXY had been setting up a Market Maker Sell Model since October 2001. Lets get stuck into the Fundamentals and Macro Economic data behind why I believe we are now due a correction. As we enter Q4 growth remains more resilient than in other developed economies, with Q2 GDP revised up to 3.8% annualised, while unemployment holds around 4.2%. Inflation has eased from its peaks, but core PCE remains at 2.9% year-on-year and continues to print around 0.3% month-on-month. That is not the inflation profile of an economy returning quickly to the Federal Reserve’s 2% target. For the Fed, this means less freedom to cut aggressively, even though the market had hoped for a deeper easing cycle. The result has been a repricing of expectations: investors are now looking for less than 40bps of cuts by year-end, down from over 75bps earlier in the summer. That repricing has slowed dollar weakness, and if inflation proves sticky through the next few prints, it may force the Fed to hold policy tighter for longer, which supports the dollar. Yields continue to provide an advantage. The U.S. two-year Treasury trades near 3.6%, while the German equivalent is closer to 2.7%, keeping a spread of roughly 90bps in the dollar’s favour. That premium is significant in a global environment where capital searches for relative yield. Unless inflation falls sharply or the growth outlook in the U.S. deteriorates meaningfully, investors have little reason to abandon dollar assets. At the same time, U.S. M2 money supply has resumed growth, up nearly 5% year-on-year to about $22.2 trillion. While velocity remains subdued, the resumption of money growth carries the risk of keeping inflation more persistent than markets would prefer. A central bank facing that backdrop cannot ease quickly, which again leaves policy tilted toward dollar strength Seasonality provides an additional layer of support. Historically, the dollar tends to strengthen into the final quarter of the year, particularly against the euro, where autumn often brings weakness. While seasonality is not a driver on its own, it reinforces the broader narrative by suggesting that USD rallies in Q4 have a tendency to persist. The euro, however, is not without potential upside incentives. A material hawkish surprise from the ECB, such as firmer guidance or hints at additional tightening, could compress the yield spread. Upside surprises in Eurozone inflation or growth data, especially PMIs and CPI, could narrow the gap with the U.S. economy. A sharp deterioration in U.S. data (weaker payrolls, falling consumption, or a faster decline in inflation) could also undermine the dollar. These are the conditions under which EUR/USD could break higher and challenge the bearish bias. For now, the base case remains a firm dollar into year-end. Inflation is sticky, U.S. growth is stronger, yields remain higher, money supply growth risks keeping inflation alive, positioning still favours USD upside, and seasonality supports the pattern. The reversal triggers are clear: Core PCE must fall convincingly below 2.5%, unemployment must rise above 5%, or Eurozone data must deliver a genuine positive surprise. Short of that, the dollar remains the currency with the strongest foundation going into Q4. Stop going into these markets blind; read the data. Let me know your guys' opinion on the matter.
Short
by lewulb