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Fundamental Note: BTCUSD (Bitcoin) 09 Feb 2026Bitcoin is hovering around the $70K–$72K area after a violent washout and rebound, but risk appetite remains fragile and headline-driven. The down-move was dominated by forced deleveraging, and futures markets saw the largest long-liquidation spike of this drawdown. On-chain structure has deteriorated: BTC broke below the True Market Mean, which it now frames near ~$80.2K as overhead resistance, while Realized Price sits around ~$55.8K as the deeper “re-engagement” zone. Cost-basis maps show early dip-buying in the $70K–$80K band, with a dense $66.9K–$70.6K cluster emerging as a high-conviction area that may absorb near-term sell pressure. Stress is still high: it shows the 7D SMA of realized losses above ~$1.26B/day (with recent extremes above ~$2.4B), while spot volumes remain structurally weak—typical of a “demand vacuum” regime. Derivatives internals remain defensive: funding and futures OI have cooled and options positioning is still paying for downside (short-dated IV near ~70%, steep skew, and a negative 1-week volatility risk premium around -5). Macro catalysts are immediate: the delayed US January jobs report is scheduled for Wed, Feb 11, and January CPI for Fri, Feb 13—either can swing USD/yields and decide whether BTC can reclaim $73K/$80K or retest the lower demand bands. 🟢 Bullish factors: 1. Dense on-chain demand cluster at $66.9K–$70.6K may act as a “shock absorber” if selling returns. 2. Leverage is being flushed (OI/funding cooling), which can reduce reflexive liquidation pressure on rebounds. 3. If jobs/CPI come in softer, USD and real-yields can ease, supporting a relief rally in risk assets. 🔴 Bearish factors: 1. “Demand vacuum” conditions: structurally weak spot volumes and ongoing distribution tone. 2. Loss realization remains elevated (realized losses > ~$1.26B/day on 7D SMA), suggesting forced exits are still happening. 3. Options still price heavy downside risk (high short-dated IV, steep skew). 4. Major overhead resistance sits above: ~$73K “contested” area and the True Market Mean near ~$80.2K. 🎯 Expected targets: Near-term range/bearish bias while below 73,000–75,000. Support is 70,000–69,000, then 66,900–70,600; a breakdown opens 60,000 and potentially 56,000–55,000 (Realized Price zone). If BTC reclaims 73,000 and then breaks above 80,000–80,500, upside can extend toward 85,000–88,000 next.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Trade8Eight
USD/CNY 2026: Tech Dominance and Fiscal Shifts Drive YuanThe USD/CNY pair is entering a transformative era in 2026. The Chinese Yuan recently hit three-year highs against the US Dollar. This shift reflects bigger structural changes in global economics and technology. Investors now witness a move beyond simple interest rate differentials. Macroeconomic Divergence and Fiscal Policy The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) maintains a firm stance on the Yuan's value. Robust policy backing currently supports a stronger Yuan. Meanwhile, the US faces cooling growth and shifting Federal Reserve priorities. Differing fiscal strategies drive this currency decoupling. China’s targeted stimulus focuses on high-tech manufacturing rather than broad consumption. This precision attracts long-term institutional capital. Consequently, the USD/CNY reference rate continues to trend lower. Technological Sovereignty and Patent Leadership Technology now serves as the primary engine for currency valuation. China leads the world in 6G and renewable energy patent filings. These innovations create a structural trade advantage for the Yuan. Institutional investors track patent quality to gauge future economic strength. China’s focus on "Little Giant" enterprises fosters a specialized high-tech ecosystem. This dominance in critical supply chains reduces reliance on dollar-denominated imports. Geostrategy and Global Trade Blocs Geopolitical alignments are reshaping currency demand across Asia. The expansion of regional trade agreements bolsters Yuan usage in cross-border settlements. These geostrategy shifts decrease the Dollar’s historical dominance in Eastern markets. Stable political leadership provides a predictable environment for investors. This stability contrasts with the political polarization often seen in Western markets. Traders increasingly price this "stability premium" into the Yuan's exchange rate. Cyber Security and Financial Infrastructure Cyber resilience determines modern market confidence. China has implemented rigorous data security laws to protect its financial core. This robust infrastructure ensures the integrity of the digital Yuan and offshore trading. A secure digital environment attracts risk-averse global funds. Enhanced cyber defenses mitigate the impact of external financial shocks. This technological moat strengthens the Yuan’s status as a reliable reserve currency. Management Innovation and Business Models Chinese firms are redefining global management through "Digital Agility." They integrate AI to streamline decision-making and reduce operational waste. This efficiency boosts corporate margins and supports domestic currency value. Business models in China now emphasize "Dual Circulation." This strategy balances domestic consumption with high-end exports. Stronger corporate leadership ensures China remains competitive despite global inflationary pressures. Industry Trends: The Green Revolution The automotive industry highlights China's industrial ascent. Breakthroughs in battery science have secured China’s lead in the EV market. These high-value exports generate consistent demand for the Yuan. Western competitors struggle to match China’s scale and speed of innovation. This industrial gap influences long-term capital flows. As the world goes green, the Yuan becomes the currency of the energy transition. Strategic Outlook for 2026 The USD/CNY pair represents a clash of two economic philosophies. China’s focus on science and manufacturing creates a formidable currency floor. Investors should expect continued Yuan strength as tech leadership matures. The era of Dollar exceptionalism faces a sophisticated challenger. Monitoring patent trends and fiscal policy remains essential for traders. The Yuan is no longer just a currency; it is a high-tech asset.
Long
by the5erstrading
GBPUSD Price is consolidating inside the demand zonGBP/USD is currently trading around 1.3605, showing signs of stabilization after a corrective decline from recent highs. Price has reacted positively from a demand/support zone near 1.3520–1.3560, where buyers stepped in and defended the downside. The broader structure still favors a bullish bias, as the pair previously formed a strong impulsive move upward, followed by a healthy pullback rather than a full trend reversal. The recent bounce suggests that buyers are attempting to regain control. On the upside, immediate resistance is seen near 1.3700–1.3730, which aligns with prior consolidation and supply pressure. A confirmed break above this level could open the door for a further rally toward 1.3800, a key psychological and technical resistance area. Tecnically as long as price holds above the 1.3520 support zone, the bullish recovery scenario remains valid. A clear breakdown below this area would weaken the outlook and could expose the pair to deeper losses toward 1.3450. You may find more details in the chart, Trade wisely best of luck buddies. Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
Long
by MR_GOLD_12
6
NIFTY 50 | Natural Time Cycle Observation (Jan–Mar 2023) WD GannThis post presents a historical market study focusing on time-cycle behavior in NIFTY, using concepts derived from WD Gann’s Natural Time Cycle and Vibration framework. ⚠️ This is not a trading signal or forecast. Shared strictly for educational and analytical purposes. 📌 Study Context During mid-January 2023, NIFTY entered a period where time symmetry and vibration balance became more relevant than short-term price movement. Instead of forecasting direction, this study focuses on: Time windows Structural reference levels Volatility expansion zones 📊 What the Chart Illustrates A clearly defined reference low A broader time window extending into late March How markets often resolve trends near time-cycle completion Price reaction occurring after time alignment, not before 🧠 Key Educational Observations Time plays a leading role; price responds later Natural cycles often define when movement expands, not how Gann analysis emphasizes market structure, not prediction Studying completed cycles improves contextual market understanding ⚠️ Disclaimer This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a trading recommendation.
NSE:NIFTY
by WD_Gann_Theory
NIFTY 50 | Time & Price Interaction Study (26 Nov 2022)This idea presents a historical study of how time-based pressure zones can interact with important price levels, using concepts derived from WD Gann methodology. ⚠️ This is not a trading signal or forecast. It is shared purely for educational and structural study purposes. 📌 Study Background In late November 2022, NIFTY was trading near an important reference low formed around 26 November. This study observes how markets often respond when time alignment and price structure intersect . 📊 What the Chart Shows A clearly defined reference price zone Subsequent increase in volatility once price closed below that zone Expansion in directional movement after time–price imbalance How pressure zones often act as decision points, not guarantees 🧠 Key Learning Takeaways Time-based levels often define risk zones, not direction Price behavior changes when pressure builds near reference dates WD Gann analysis focuses on structure and balance Studying past cycles helps traders understand market behavior, not predict outcomes ⚠️ Disclaimer This content is for educational and research purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or market recommendations.
NSE:NIFTY
by WD_Gann_Theory
XAUUSD BUY 10 FEB 2026GOLD Buy Setup – Channel Support Rejection + Trend Continuation Price is trading within a rising channel, maintaining a clear bullish market structure with higher highs and higher lows. After rejecting the upper resistance (yellow supply zone), gold pulled back in a controlled descending channel, forming a corrective move rather than a reversal. Price has now tapped into strong confluence support: • Lower ascending trendline • Blue demand zone • Channel support • Previous structure low This area shows buyer strength with bullish rejection and momentum shift, signaling the correction is likely complete. I’m entering long from this support zone expecting a continuation of the overall uptrend. Targets: TP1: Mid-channel resistance TP2: Previous high TP3: 5,135 supply zone Stop Loss: Below demand zone / channel break Bias remains bullish as long as price holds above support and maintains higher lows.
TVC:GOLDLong
by ExuberanceTrading
Oracle’s Cloud Ascent: Powering the Global AI RevolutionOracle has shed its legacy reputation. It now stands as a central pillar of the artificial intelligence era. Recent stock surges reflect a profound transformation in the company’s core identity. This evolution positions Oracle as a formidable challenger to established cloud giants. The AI Infrastructure Pivot Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) currently drives the company’s aggressive growth. A landmark partnership with OpenAI validates Oracle’s high-performance computing capabilities. OpenAI utilizes OCI’s massive GPU clusters to train next-generation models. This collaboration signals a shift in the industry hierarchy. OCI offers a unique architectural advantage. It uses Remote Direct Memory Access (RDMA) networking. This technology allows GPUs to communicate with extreme efficiency. Consequently, Oracle provides faster training speeds than many competitors. Enterprises now view OCI as the premier destination for AI workloads. Sovereign Clouds and Geostrategy Geopolitics now dictates the future of data management. Nations increasingly demand data residency within their own borders. Oracle’s "Sovereign Cloud" strategy directly addresses these national security concerns. The company builds localized data centers for specific government entities. This geostrategy provides Oracle with a significant competitive moat. It captures high-value contracts that require strict regulatory compliance. Oracle enables digital sovereignty for the European Union and beyond. By aligning technology with policy, Oracle secures long-term global revenue streams. RDMA: The Science of Speed Oracle’s success stems from deep scientific innovation in networking. Patent analysis reveals a strong focus on high-speed data interconnects. These patents protect the firm’s ability to scale AI clusters seamlessly. High-tech hardware and software integration remains a core competency. The company’s engineering focus reduces the "tail latency" common in cloud environments. This precision attracts research institutions and high-tech startups. Oracle’s science-first approach ensures that OCI handles the most demanding computational tasks. The market rewards this technical superiority with higher valuations. Autonomous Security and Resilience Cybersecurity threats grow more sophisticated every year. Oracle counters these risks with its Autonomous Database technology. This system utilizes machine learning to patch vulnerabilities without human intervention. Automated defense reduces the risk of data breaches significantly. The "Zero Trust" architecture embedded in OCI protects sensitive enterprise information. Oracle’s business model emphasizes security as a fundamental feature. This commitment to hardware-level protection builds deep trust with financial institutions. Resilience has become a primary selling point for the Oracle brand. Management Continuity and Vision Larry Ellison remains the primary visionary for the company. His focus on integrated vertical stacks pays massive dividends today. Safra Catz provides the operational discipline to execute this complex vision. This leadership duo maintains a rare balance of innovation and fiscal responsibility. Oracle’s management fosters a culture of engineering excellence. They avoid the bureaucratic hurdles that slow down larger competitors. This agility allowed Oracle to pivot rapidly toward generative AI. Assertive leadership continues to steer the firm through volatile market conditions. The Macroeconomic Verdict Macroeconomic trends favor Oracle’s current business model. High interest rates force companies to seek efficient, cost-effective cloud solutions. Oracle’s aggressive pricing and superior performance offer a compelling value proposition. Subscription-based revenue provides stability during economic shifts. Wall Street analysts remain bullish on Oracle’s capital expenditure strategy. The firm invests billions to expand global data center capacity. These investments convert directly into high-margin cloud services. Oracle’s financial health reflects a perfect alignment of technology and market timing.
NYSE:ORCLLong
by TradeThePool
NZDUSD Review February 10 2026Short-term price movement ideas. Price remains in an uptrend, with the objective of breaking the monthly high. At the moment, we have a test of the weekly FVG along with volume confirmation on the daily chart.The price is currently inside a daily area of interest, which contains a 4H FVG acting as a trigger. If this FVG is confirmed on the 1H chart, we can then consider opening a long position targeting a break of the daily high. Be flexible, adapt to the market, and the results will come quickly. Good luck to everyone.
by SFASignals
Silver Ranges Before Heading Up AgainIf the U.S. Senate approves Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair, he would take over when Powell’s term ends in mid-May 2026. His first major policy decision would likely be on 17 June 2026. As silver is tied to U.S. dollar movements, which are closely related to interest rate decisions, uncertainty will persist from now until then, and even thereafter. When markets are uncertain, they tend to range before the dollar reveals its true strength or weakness following interest-rate changes. See my video version: One of the key reasons for the sell-off in precious metals on 30 January was the US president’s nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chairman. We then saw headlines such as: ‘Silver dropped 26% in under 20 hours; gold saw its worst day since the 1980s — driven by Warsh’s hawkish image.’ How might Warsh’s hawkish stance impact precious metals and their outlook in the coming months? Are precious metals still bullish – 30 Jan sell off as retracement for mor upside, or are they turning bearish, now is a retracement for more selling ahead? 100-Ounce Silver Futures Ticker: SIC Minimum fluctuation: 0.01 per troy ounce = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/
COMEX:SI1!
by konhow
How to properly assess the underlying trend of the US dollar?Within global high finance, analysts in the floating foreign exchange (Forex) market use a currency index to analyze and determine the underlying trend of the US dollar. This is the well-known “DXY”, the index measuring the US dollar against a basket of major currencies. However, one should not limit the analysis of the US dollar’s trend solely to the DXY. Indeed, the latter reflects the dollar’s trend against Western currencies, notably the euro, the Japanese yen, and the British pound. It therefore seems relevant to me to include major emerging market currencies in the analysis, so-called “core” currencies such as the Chinese yuan or the Indian rupee. In this analysis, I propose a table that summarizes the underlying trend of the US dollar using the DXY as well as its performance against the six major so-called emerging currencies. Ultimately, when a weighted average of all these trends is calculated, it can be observed that, at the current stage, the underlying trend of the US dollar remains bearish, particularly against the euro and the yuan renminbi. The underlying trend of the US dollar must therefore be the synthesis of: • The underlying trend of the US dollar (DXY) • The underlying trend against the main emerging market currencies This approach makes it possible to avoid a common bias in macro-monetary analysis, which consists of equating the strength of the dollar solely with its evolution against developed currencies. However, the center of gravity of global growth has shifted over several decades toward emerging economies, both in terms of international trade and capital flows. Ignoring these currencies therefore amounts to analyzing the dollar through a partial and sometimes misleading prism. “Core” emerging market currencies play a key role because they combine market depth, geopolitical importance, and structural economic weight. The Chinese yuan, for example, is directly linked to global trade dynamics and China’s monetary strategy. The Indian rupee, for its part, reflects the trajectory of an economy with strong demographic and industrial growth. The Brazilian real, the Mexican peso, and the South African rand also provide complementary insight into global risk appetite or aversion. The value of a summary table, such as the one presented, lies in its ability to quickly visualize trend divergences between the dollar and these different monetary areas. When the dollar weakens simultaneously against several emerging currencies while showing signs of fragility against the euro, the macro signal becomes more robust than that provided by the DXY alone. Conversely, dollar strength concentrated solely on certain safe-haven currencies can mask a more nuanced underlying dynamic. It is also essential to recall that the weighting of the DXY gives a predominant place to the euro, which can artificially amplify or dampen the perception of the dollar’s overall trend. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. 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TVC:DXYEducation
by Swissquote
XAUUSD Price Action Analysis Gold is trading near the 5026 level in the early trading session. Price action around the 5010 zone is being monitored as a short-term demand and liquidity area. Holding above this level may support an intraday move toward the 5080 region. A sustained break below 4995 would invalidate the current bullish intraday structure. This analysis is shared for educational and observational purposes only. Market conditions may change, and all trading decisions remain the responsibility of the trader.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Amymorgan729
2