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Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 6 - 10 OctoberMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: FOMC Minutes & Powell’s Speech, Canada Jobs, RBNZ Rate Decision In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events and market trends, shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into financial markets to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in! In this episode of Market Insights, Gary Thomson unpacks the strategic implications of the week’s most critical events driving global markets. 👉 Key topics covered in this episode: — FOMC Minutes and Fed Powell’s Comments — Canada’s Unemployment Rate — RBNZ Interest Rate Decision Gain insights to strengthen your trading knowledge. This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Alcohol Fades, Debt Stays — The STZ StoryThe current market sentiment is selective and greedy. With the FED cutting rates, investors are chasing small-cap growth names with futuristic potential. The crowd wants possibility, not stability. Blue chips and defensive names are being ignored. Constellation Brands (STZ) may look undervalued on paper, but it’s a value trap in this sentiment cycle. The company faces declining alcohol consumption among younger generations, heavy debt, and questionable management decisions — like the failed Canopy Growth investment. That “diversification” showed poor timing and weak capital discipline. Even if STZ beats earnings, the market is unlikely to care. Liquidity and attention are flowing to high-potential narratives, not mature consumer brands. In this type of market, logic and valuation don’t drive price — sentiment rotation does.
NYSE:STZShort
by litwizard
10
Remaining strong - ETH weekly update 06 - 12th OctAfter some misconceptions in the past, I am back with new knowledge now. I think Ethereum currently unfolds the 5th wave in the intermediate cycle, which completes the 1st wave in the primary cycle and means the first step towards the end of the bullrun. It is crucial to sustain this pump now, as if not it would signal us that the 4th wave of the intermediate cycle is not completed yet. If so, the alternative scenario comes into play and we would form a drop out of 5 parts. The indicators rather support this move, as the strength of the trend rises and momentum pushes higher meanwhile the RSI enters overbought areas as expected from 3rd waves. Besides that, funding rates are rising as we would like to and the open interest shows inflow. Taking a look at the week in front of us, Jerome Powell is going to have a speech on thursday at the Community Bank Conference. Volatility is expected. On friday we will also receive some economic data like the unemployment rate. Have a sucessful week, Phillip
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by Phillipklh
BITCOIN BREAKS A 7-YEAR RESISTANCE: THE TREND HAS FLIPPEDBITCOIN BREAKS A 7-YEAR RESISTANCE: THE TREND HAS OFFICIALLY FLIPPED After seven long years of battling a formidable resistance line, Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has finally broken above its multi-cycle trendline, a level that has capped every major rally since 2017. This is not just another technical move — it’s a structural shift that could redefine the next phase of the bull market. 📈 The Line That Defined Bitcoin’s Cycles The multi-cycle resistance line — drawn from the 2017 all-time high near $19,800, connecting major peaks in 2021 around $69,000 and several rejection points in 2024 — has acted as Bitcoin’s ceiling for nearly a decade. This trendline represented global investor hesitation, macro headwinds, and profit-taking zones across cycles. But now, Bitcoin has flipped that exact resistance — around $118,500 to $120,000 — into new support, marking a decisive change in structure. 💡 Why This Matters When a long-term resistance becomes support, it signals a psychological and structural confirmation of strength. Historically, these moments precede parabolic moves: In 2013, a similar breakout triggered a 10x rally. In 2020, when Bitcoin broke above its 3-year resistance (~$12,000), it ran to $69,000 within a year. Now, with Bitcoin currently trading above $120,000, this flip transforms the $120,000 zone into a critical defense level — one that could anchor the next leg of the bull run. 🧠 Technical Implications Resistance → Support Flip (R/S Flip): This classic pattern confirms that previous sellers have now become buyers. Momentum Alignment: RSI and moving averages show strong trend continuation. Volume Confirmation: Increasing on-chain accumulation supports sustained breakout strength. This setup aligns perfectly with Bitcoin’s cyclical nature and models such as Stock-to-Flow (S2F) and M2 correlation analysis, both pointing to mid-term targets of $150K–$180K if momentum continues. 🌍 Bigger Picture: Institutional Confidence & Macro Tailwinds With ETFs accumulating record inflows, decreasing exchange balances, and macro liquidity expansion, this flip represents a confluence of technical validation and fundamental confidence. The narrative has shifted — Bitcoin is no longer fighting the market; it’s leading it. ⚡️ The Takeaway “Breaking a 7-year resistance isn’t just a price event — it’s a generational inflection point.” Bitcoin now stands on new ground, with $120K as the floor, not the ceiling. From here, the road ahead points toward price discovery and the next historical cycle expansion. --- 📘 Learn more about the long-term macro cycles, Bitcoin adoption, and the future of digital assets in my book Rise With Crypto — available now in 🇧🇷 Portuguese, 🇪🇸 Spanish, and 🇺🇸 English on Amazon.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by resleycassaro
1
Technical Analysis WeeklyGermany 40 is testing the top of its sideways trend in a new impulsive phase that looks set to be followed by a breakout. Price is trading at 24,414, significantly above its VWAP of 23,744. The RSI at 66.4 indicates upward momentum. Support lies at 23,057 with resistance at 24,500. UK 100 has broken out with a fresh leg into record highs, continuing its bullish trajectory. Price is at 9,498, clearly above the VWAP at 9,282. The RSI at 72.4 shows strong momentum, in overbought territory. Support is at 9,072 and resistance aligns with the current price. Wall Street extends its bullish impulsive phase, reaching new record highs, currently at 46,863. VWAP is at 46,236, affirming the strong trend. The RSI at 71.9 shows overbought conditions. Support is at 45,637 while resistance is untested at these highs. Brent Crude remains in a neutral range phase, trading at 6,535 just below its VWAP of 6,680. The RSI at 43.0 suggests a lack of buying pressure. Support is at 6,394, while resistance is higher at 6,967. Gold continues its very strong bullish impulsive run with no signs yet of any major pullback, currently trading at 3,936 and well above its VWAP of 3,760. The RSI at 85.8 indicates extreme overbought conditions. Support lies at 3,576, while resistance is at the current high. EUR/USD remains range-bound in a neutral trend, trading at 1.1664, just below its VWAP of 1.1749. RSI at 42.7 suggests weakening momentum. Support is at 1.1664 with resistance at 1.1850. GBP/USD stays in a neutral trend and range phase, with price at 1.3422 and VWAP at 1.3491. RSI at 44.8 shows mildly bearish sentiment. Support is at 1.3331 and resistance at 1.3651. USD/JPY is attempting a breakout of its neutral range phase to set up a new uptrend, trading at 150.33 above its VWAP of 148.11. The RSI at 63.7 indicates bullish momentum building. Support is at 145.99, with resistance at the current level.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex
Building a Trading Plan: The 2nd StepMy trading journey has been defined by a search for consistency. For years, I operated under the belief that a trading plan was a strict list of entry and exit rules. I would follow these rules, yet my results remained unpredictable. The turning point came when I began to understand what is a successful Forex trading plan is. Surely, it is not a rigid document, but a dynamic decision-making system. The first component of this system is identifying the trading range. This foundational step seems simple, but I learned that its execution is critical. The range establishes the market's current context. It defines the battle between buyers and sellers, creating a clear framework for all subsequent analysis. Without accurately identifying this zone, every decision that follows is built on an unstable foundation. I spend a significant portion of my analysis time confirming these boundaries, knowing that everything else depends on it. The second component, and the one that brought the entire process into focus for me, is the concept of inducement. In the methodology I am testing, inducement represents a key liquidity area. It is a level where the market is likely to see significant activity from larger participants. Learning to identify these zones clarifies both ends of the trading range. It was no longer just a box on a chart; it became a map with highlighted areas of strategic importance. This understanding created a powerful filter. It helped me distinguish between a simple break of a level and a meaningful move targeting a specific liquidity pool. My plan specifically focuses on what is classified as a major inducement, which allows me to ignore the minor. This step directly addressed the inconsistency in my earlier trading, as it provided a logical reason for price action beyond basic support and resistance. Perhaps the most important lesson has been the dynamic nature of a true trading plan. The market is not static, and neither can a Forex trading plan be. I recall a specific backtesting session analyzing the GBPUSD pair on the 15 Minute time frame where a clear change of character occurred. The price action broke a previously defined range. A clear rule shows the difference between a break of strucutre and change of character. Now, I just need to redefine the new trading range with the help of the inducement level. As simple as that. This proves that a plan’s value is not in preventing change, but in providing a structured method to adapt to it. The plan I am building is a living system. It guides me not only on when to enter a trade but, just as crucially, on when to stand aside and reassess the market structure. This ongoing process of learning and adaptation is, for me, the true essence of what a Forex trading plan must be.
Education
by TheInvestor_Diary
AMD: It's A Golden Buying OpportunityHello, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc engages in the provision of semiconductor businesses. It operates through the following segments: Computing & Graphics, and Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom. The Computing and Graphics segment includes desktop and notebook processors and chipsets, discrete and integrated graphics processing units, data centre and professional GPUs and development services. The Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom segment includes server and embedded processors, semi-custom System-on-Chip products, development services and technology for game consoles. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS- Checklist Structure drawing (Trend line drawing on past price chart data)- As shown below Patterns identification (Naming patterns on past price chart data for future wave)- As shown Future indication (Reading indicator for future wave)- Awaiting 0 crossover on MACD Future wave (Drawing on future price chart using future indication from indicator)- As shown below Future reversal point (Identifying trend reversal point on price chart using structure)- Target as shown $244 AMD shares are currently trading near their 52-week lows after the top reached in March 2024. Just A day after inauguration the Trump administration announced the Stargate AI Infrastructure initiative in collaboration with OpenAI, SoftBank and Oracle. According to Aaron Rakers, a Semiconductor and IT Hardware analyst, the initiative aims to deploy an immediate $100 billion for AI data center construction, starting with an ongoing project in Abilene, Texas, with the potential to scale up to $500 billion over the next four years. While this development is expected to benefit AI infrastructure and semiconductor companies, OpenAI's press release specifically mentioned NVIDIA and ARM as key initial partners, omitting AMD. This raise concerns that AMD may have missed a crucial opportunity in the AI investment boom. While this might be seen as negative there is positive news coming in from the US government, Yesterday 11th February 2025 JD Vance said the administration of President Donald Trump "will ensure that the most powerful AI systems are built in the U.S. with American-designed and manufactured chips.” This gives hope for United States of America AI companies in the coming years. Recently Deepseek caused ripples in the AI market as well. DeepSeek a Chinese AI startup is challenging the prevailing "bigger is better" mindset in AI model training by delivering high-performance results with fewer GPUs and lower costs. This suggests that innovation in model design and efficiency can rival brute-force training approaches. If hyperscalers begin reassessing the necessity of massive GPU clusters, it could impact long-term demand for training hardware. However, near-term spending on AI infrastructure remains strong, with companies like Meta, Microsoft, Amazon and Google continuing their multi-billion-dollar investments as per their recent Q4 earning updates. While DeepSeek has stirred significant discussion in the semiconductor space, it is yet to showcase any ground-breaking advancements beyond what OpenAI already offers. Having tested the product, we noticed that OpenAI has quickly updated its reasoning capabilities to match DeepSeek's edge over ChatGPT. One of the biggest limitations of generative AI platforms remains their outdated datasets, often capped at 2024. We expect this to disappear with time. It's still too early to determine the full impact, but if DeepSeek’s approach gains widespread adoption, new AI market leaders could emerge, potentially shifting market dynamics. Moreover, DeepSeek's success disrupts the dominance of U.S. firms and highlights vulnerabilities in the effectiveness of export controls on high-end chips. Despite missing out on the Stargate initiative, AMD has expanded its AI chip portfolio and achieved a significant milestone by securing a spot in Dell’s new commercial AI PC lineup. The commercial PC market, which accounts for 55% of total PC shipments, remains a crucial battleground for vendors. Dell, holding 15% of the total PC market and 23% of the commercial segment, is the third-largest commercial PC vendor, with over 85% of its unit sales tied to commercial customers. Following AMD’s recent earnings report, the stock plunged 10% in premarket trading. While the company posted solid Q4 results, weaker-than-expected guidance on data center sales weighed on investor sentiment. Lastly, China represents a significant revenue source for AMD. However, the ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China pose a considerable risk to this income stream, adding another layer of uncertainty to AMD’s future outlook. FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS FOR THE YEAR ENDED DECEMBER 28, 2024 Net Revenue: $25,785 million, reflecting a 14% increase from $22,680 million in 2023, driven by strong performance in the Data Center and Client segments. Gross Profit: $12,725 million, with a gross margin of 49%, up from 46% in 2023, due to a favorable revenue mix shift towards higher-margin segments. Operating Income: $1,900 million, a significant increase from $401 million in 2023, primarily due to higher revenue and improved gross margins. Net Income: $1,641 million, compared to $854 million in 2023, driven by increased revenue and operating income. Diluted EPS: $1.00, up from $0.53 in 2023, reflecting the company's improved profitability. Revenue Segments: The Data Center segment saw a significant increase in net revenue, driven by higher sales of AMD Instinct GPUs and AMD EPYC CPUs. The Client segment also experienced growth due to increased unit shipments and higher average selling prices of AMD Ryzen processors. However, the Gaming and Embedded segments faced declines in net revenue due to lower semi-custom product revenue and normalized inventory levels, respectively. New Product Launches: AMD launched several new products, including the 5th Gen AMD EPYC processors, AMD Ryzen AI 300 Series processors, and the Ryzen 9000 series processors. These products are designed to deliver leadership performance in gaming, productivity, and AI capabilities. New Production Launches: The company expanded its adaptive computing portfolio with the launch of the Versal Series Gen 2 devices, including the Versal AI Edge Series Gen 2 and Versal Prime Series Gen 2 adaptive SoCs, which enhance AI-driven embedded systems. Future Outlook: AMD plans to continue its focus on AI and enterprise markets, with expectations to complete the acquisition of ZT Systems in the first half of fiscal year 2025. The company also intends to seek a strategic partner for ZT Systems' manufacturing business. Sales Units: The Client segment reported a 34% increase in unit shipments, reflecting strong demand for AMD mobile and desktop Ryzen processors. Geographical Performance: International sales accounted for 66% of net revenue in 2024, indicating a strong global presence and continued significance of international markets in AMD's sales strategy. CHALLENGES AND RISKS Market and Competitive Risks: The company faces significant economic and strategic risks due to the dominance of Intel and Nvidia in their respective markets, which may limit AMD's ability to compete effectively. The semiconductor industry is highly cyclical, with severe downturns that have historically affected the company. Operational Risks: The company relies on third-party manufacturers, which poses risks if these suppliers are unable to meet demand or if there are disruptions in the supply chain. Potential security vulnerabilities in products and IT outages or cyberattacks could also disrupt operations. Legal and Regulatory Risks: Government actions that may limit product exports and evolving expectations regarding corporate responsibility could result in additional costs and reputational harm. Management Strategies: Management is focusing on timely product introductions and maintaining product quality to provide value to customers. The company is also investing in AI capabilities to meet the growing demand for AI solutions, although the trajectory of AI adoption remains uncertain. Market Risks: The company is exposed to unfavorable currency exchange rate fluctuations, which could adversely affect profitability and cash flows. Additionally, potential changes in tax regulations and the realization of deferred tax assets could affect financial results. STRATEGIC INITIATIVES IN 2024 Strategic Initiatives: In 2024, AMD focused on expanding its AI capabilities and data center infrastructure. The company launched multiple leadership products, including the 5th Gen AMD EPYC processors and AMD Ryzen AI 300 Series processors, to enhance its high-performance computing portfolio. AMD also acquired Silo AI Oy to bolster its AI software capabilities and entered into an agreement to acquire ZT Systems to enhance its AI and compute infrastructure offerings. Capital Management: AMD repaid its 2.95% Senior Notes due 2024, reducing its total debt from $2.5 billion to $1.8 billion. The company returned $862 million to shareholders through the repurchase of 5.9 million shares of common stock. As of December 28, 2024, $4.7 billion remained available for future stock repurchases. AMD maintained a revolving credit facility of $3 billion and a commercial paper program, both of which were undrawn during the year. Future Outlook: AMD plans to close the acquisition of ZT Systems in the first half of fiscal year 2025, subject to regulatory approvals. The company intends to seek a strategic partner to acquire ZT Systems' manufacturing business. AMD expects to continue leveraging its cash, cash equivalents, and credit facilities to fund operations and strategic initiatives, including potential acquisitions and capital expenditures, over the next 12 months and beyond. Our recommendation When it comes to AI beneficiaries and hardware for AI applications, AMD has failed to get the highlight it deserves. This has greatly led to a lot of investors looking at Nvidia vs AMD. However, over the last few weeks, Deepseek caused ripples in the AI market due to its ability to make programs with less powered chips. DeepSeek's V3 a Chinese AI startup is challenging the prevailing "bigger is better" mindset in AI model training by delivering high-performance results with fewer GPUs and lower costs. This suggests that innovation in model design and efficiency can rival brute-force training approaches. As a result of this, we expect more focus to move to alternative companies that are involved in AI infrastructure. AMD remains well positioned to compete with its competitors all round. In November 2024, AMD showcased its ongoing high-performance computing (HPC) leadership at Supercomputing 2024 by powering the world’s fastest supercomputer. In March 2024, AMD stock reached the all-time high at $227.30. The stock has since retraced by 53.8% to its current price of $110.48. This correction, coupled with the strong fundamentals the company has signals that AMD remains a solid hold in the long term and a great buy from the current levels. AMD continues to focus on expanding its AI capabilities and data centre infrastructure. On 11th February 2024, AMD announced the signing of a Letter of Intent (LOI) with the Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA) of France to collaborate on the advanced technologies, component and system architectures that will shape the future of AI computing. This effort underscores the AMD commitment to fostering international collaborations that accelerate AI innovation, making AI more inclusive and sustainable, and strengthening cooperation, in particular, between the United States and European research institutions. It also opens up for opportunity for more income from the Europe market. For the full year 2024, AMD reported record revenue of $25.8 billion, gross margin of 49%, operating income of $1.9 billion, net income of $1.6 billion, and diluted earnings per share of $1.00. On a non-GAAP (*) basis, gross margin was a record 53%, operating income was $6.1 billion, net income was $5.4 billion and diluted earnings per share was $3.31. A key risk for AMD is the trade war between the united states and China. China represents a significant revenue source for AMD and the ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China pose a considerable risk to this income stream, adding another layer of uncertainty to AMD’s future outlook. Our view on Advanced Micro Devices is BUY/HOLD with a target of $244. This is a 120.48% return on the stock from the current price of 110.48. Sources: www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by thesharkke
18
Astro Nakshiralife Pressure DatesI want to show how Astro leading tools helps one catch great momentum in trading. People think astro tools don't work. Here i am showing Nakshiralife astro pressure dates. It been absorb that if you trade these astro dates properly you will have trading edge in the market as these dates are leading indicator. All you have to do wait for Nakshiralife pressure date. than take it high and low and mark it. next day in which ever direction market moves you trade that direction. These dates give Good momentum in market. Simply shows that Astro tools work beautifully in market
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by tnitrader
Capture Relative Moves: Gold vs. Silver The gold-to-silver ratio is trading around 81. Although that’s already a decline, it previously fell to around 64 in 2021 and 2016, and even to 31 in 2011. Each time the ratio drops, it typically marks a peak in silver prices during an uptrend. Therefore, now is just the beginning of a new down-cycle in the ratio. (Usually, the ratio decreases when precious-metal prices rise.) Over the past decade, the gold-to-silver ratio has mostly ranged between 40:1 and 80:1. Readings above ~80 often imply silver is undervalued relative to gold, while below ~40 can suggest gold is undervalued. Looking back about a century, the ratio was frequently anchored near 16:1 under bimetallic standards, though it has varied over time. Beyond gold’s monetary/jewelry premium, a key driver of silver’s lower price per troy ounce is supply: annual silver mine output is typically 6–14× that of gold, depending on the year. In any case, the current ratio of around 80 is considered high. How to use the ratio effectively Many investors treat it as a rotation signal between gold and silver. A common approach: buy silver when the ratio is high (typically ≥80:1) and buy gold when the ratio is low (thresholds depend on your preferred lookback). For illustration: with gold near 3,900 USD per troy ounce, a move in the ratio to 40:1 would imply silver around 97.5 USD per troy ounce (≈double today’s level). You can also construct a synthetic spread by pairing the two: long silver (XAGUSD) and short gold (XAUUSD) for equal notional value. It’s crucial to match contract size on both legs and rebalance when prices move beyond your tolerance. Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
TVC:GOLDSILVERLong
by KrisadaYoonaisil