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BITCOIN DOMINANCE DECODED! Hey crypto crew! BTC.D is hitting new cycle highs—up it goes, pump or dump, it doesn’t care! It trends up more than down and won’t dip until monetary policy shifts (QT tightening needs to end—maybe 100+ basis points in rate cuts?). Altcoins? Just wobbly sidekicks—stick with BTC, the "King," unless you want your portfolio to crash! Quick Take: BTC.D could blast past 66% and overshoot, then maybe consolidate. Watch war conflict vibes and wait for a policy flip. Altcoin lows might hit Aug/Sep—hold off unless you’re feeling lucky! Stack sats, stay sharp, and ride this wave! Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Consult a pro!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DLong
by StihlBtChainSaw
9
MSFT Trying to Reclaim Momentum – Sept 18 Trade Setup 💡 Here’s my TA look at Microsoft for Wednesday, using the 1-hour chart and GEX options data. 1️⃣ Price Action & Structure * Sideways-to-up channel: MSFT is still within its rising channel but recently pulled back to test the lower boundary near $505. Buyers stepped in, bringing price back to $510. * Key pivot: $510–512.5 is the short-term battleground. A clean hourly close above here would likely target $517.5 next. * Support zone: If $505 breaks, next guardrails are $500 and $497. 2️⃣ GEX (Options Flow) Check * Call magnets: Strong gamma walls cluster at $512.5 and $517.5, with heavier resistance around $525–530. * Put defense: Major put walls stack at $495 and $490, providing a cushion if the market turns. * Low IVR: IVR is only 9.4 with IVx ~23.7—options are on the cheaper side. 3️⃣ Trading Thoughts * Bullish play: If MSFT closes above $512.5, look for a run to $517.5 and maybe $525. Logical stop under $505. * Bearish hedge: Short only if $505 fails. First downside target is $500, then $497. 4️⃣ Option Angles * Upside trade: Call spreads like 510/520 or 510/525 are a defined-risk way to catch a move higher. * Neutral strategy: Selling puts under $495 offers premium if you expect MSFT to hold above major support. 5️⃣ My View Microsoft is still in a healthy structure after last week’s shakeout. If it clears $512.5 with good volume, I’d favor a push to the mid-$520s. A drop under $505, however, flips the script quickly. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational discussion only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by BullBearInsights
META Riding the Channel – Sept 18 Trade Plan 🚀 Here’s a professional desk-style update for Meta heading into Wednesday, using the 1-hour chart and GEX option data. 1️⃣ Price Action & Structure * Up-channel intact: Meta continues to grind inside a rising channel, now around $779. The lower boundary near $768 held well, showing buyers still in control. * Immediate resistance: A close above $782–783 could open the door toward $795–800 where heavier supply and gamma walls sit. * Support zone: First cushion at $770, deeper pullback support near $755–748. 2️⃣ GEX (Options Flow) Check * Upside gamma: Big call clusters stack at $782.5 and $800, creating natural magnets if momentum continues. * Put side: Strongest put wall is around $745, giving a well-defined risk floor. * Flow mix: Calls make up roughly 30% of current options flow, a balanced but still bullish lean with IVR near 9—options are relatively cheap. 3️⃣ Trading Thoughts * Bullish bias: Hourly close above $783 is the breakout trigger. Short-term targets: $795 and $800. Stop idea: under $770. * Cautious short scalp: Only if $770 fails on heavy volume. Next downside magnets are $755 and $748. 4️⃣ Option Angles * Directional play: 780/800 call spreads give clean risk-reward for a channel continuation. * Income strategy: Selling $745 puts fits if you see Meta holding the current uptrend. 5️⃣ My View Meta is quietly respecting its channel while tech stays bid. A confirmed break over $783 could invite quick momentum into the $790s and possibly $800. Until then, buy dips near $770 with stops tight. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational discussion only and is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
NASDAQ:META
by BullBearInsights
AAPL Holding Uptrend – Sept 18 Trade Setup🍏 Here’s my latest desk-style breakdown for Apple heading into Wednesday, built from the 1-hour chart and GEX option data. 1️⃣ Price Action & Market Structure * Steady climb: AAPL continues to respect its rising trendline from last week. After a mild intraday pullback, price is back around $239.6 and hugging the 9 EMA. * Key pivot zone: $238–239 is the near-term battleground. Holding this keeps the higher-low pattern alive. * Next resistance: $241.1 (recent high) is the level to beat for a fresh push toward $242.5–245. 2️⃣ GEX (Options Flow) Check * Call wall magnets: Strong gamma build-ups at $242.5 and $245 can act like upside magnets once $241.1 is taken out. * Put support: First meaningful put walls lie much lower at $217.5 and $212.5, giving AAPL room to breathe if there’s a dip. * Low IVR: IVR sits near 12.6 with IVx around 26.1—option premiums are relatively cheap. 3️⃣ Trading Thoughts * Bullish play: Enter on a confirmed hourly close over $241.1. First target $242.5, stretch to $245. Protective stop under $238. * Bearish hedge: Only consider a short if AAPL loses $238 on volume. Next downside pocket sits around $235–233. 4️⃣ Option Angles * Upside: Cheap call spreads like 240/245 offer a defined-risk way to play the breakout. * Neutral income: Selling puts below $220 makes sense if you expect Apple to keep grinding higher or stay range-bound. 5️⃣ My View Apple’s chart remains constructive. As long as it keeps closing above $238 on the hourly, dips are buyable. A clean breakout over $241 could invite momentum buyers quickly. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational discussion only and is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
PLTR Setting Up for a Bounce – Sept 18 Game PlanHere’s my fresh read on Palantir for Wednesday’s session, using the 1-hour chart and current GEX data. 1️⃣ Price Action & Structure * Quick recovery: PLTR found solid demand near $163 and pushed back toward the $170 zone, right where a descending trendline and prior supply meet. * First ceiling: Immediate resistance sits at $170–171.2. An hourly close above this range could set up a squeeze toward $172.5–175. * Support watch: $167.5 and $165 are key downside levels if momentum fades. 2️⃣ GEX (Options Flow) Check * Balanced flow: Calls make up about 47% of options volume, better than NVDA but not screaming bullish. * Call walls: Strong clusters at $170 and $172.5 (around 77–85% call concentration) can act as magnets if bulls follow through. * Put defense: Next meaningful put walls sit at $162.5 and $157.5, giving PLTR a defined floor if pressure returns. 3️⃣ Trading Thoughts * Bullish plan: Consider a starter long on an hourly close over $171.2, aiming for $172.5 and possibly $175. Stop under $167.5. * Bearish plan: If price rejects $170 and slips below $167.5, a move back to $163 is likely, with $160 as a deeper target. 4️⃣ Option Angles * Upside play: Short-dated call spreads (170/175) offer defined risk for a breakout. * Neutral to cautious: Selling puts around $160 can work if you believe the $162.5 gamma wall will hold. 5️⃣ My View Palantir is showing early strength after a healthy shakeout. If it can firmly retake $170 with volume, bulls have a clean shot to reclaim the mid-$170s. I’ll wait for that hourly confirmation before committing. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational discussion only and is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
NASDAQ:PLTR
by BullBearInsights
NVDA Trying to Find a Floor – Sept 18 Trade Levels to Watch Here’s my take on Nvidia heading into Wednesday’s session, based on the 1-hour chart and current GEX data. 1️⃣ Price Action & Market Structure * Trend check: NVDA is still in a short-term downtrend after last week’s selloff, but buyers stepped in near $168–170, which lines up with prior volume support. * Key level: $172.5 is a near-term pivot. Price is testing it now; a sustained push above could start a relief bounce toward $175–177. * Resistance overhead: The descending trendline around $174.8–175 is the first real test for bulls. Above that, $178.5 and $182.5 are next supply zones. 2️⃣ GEX (Options Flow) Read * Call/put balance: Calls only about 25% of flow—puts still dominate, showing cautious sentiment. * Put walls: Big put interest at $170 and $165 creates a “magnet” if $172.5 fails. * Call side: Not much until $177.5 and $182.5, where gamma clusters could help a squeeze if buyers surprise. 3️⃣ Trading Thoughts * Conservative long scalp: If NVDA closes an hourly candle above $172.5–174, a pop toward $177–178.5 is on the table. Tight stop under $170. * Short setup: If price rejects $172.5 and slips back below $170, expect a quick test of $167.5, maybe $165 on momentum. 4️⃣ Option Angle * Directional play: Debit spreads (e.g., $175/$180 calls) are fine for a bounce if price confirms over $174. * Income angle: Credit spreads selling $165 puts or $180 calls fit a range-bound view if you expect more chop. 5️⃣ My View Nvidia is oversold enough to bounce, but the overall tape is still heavy. I’ll wait for an hourly close over $174 to trust the long side. Otherwise, any fade below $170 keeps the short trend alive. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational discussion only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
USD/HUF: A Contrarian View on a Historical TrendUSD/HUF "History doesn't repeat itself, but it often ryhmes." This is an idea based on personal analysis and is not financial advice. The content reflects my current market perspective on USD/HUF, which has been a challenging trade for me personally. Your own due diligence is essential. My analysis suggests that the Hungarian Forint's recent strength may be nearing a seasonal and technical reversal. A confluence of historical patterns, a contrarian market sentiment, and technical indicators point to a potential bottoming process for USD/HUF in the coming weeks. Analysis & Rationale Seasonality & Historical Context Seasonal Pattern: Historically, the period from the second half of September to the first half of October has often marked a significant low for USD/HUF. This pattern was particularly evident in years with similar price action, such as 2008, 2011, and 2021. Macro Correlation: Interestingly, these years were followed by major financial crises (2009 housing bubble, 2012 EU debt crisis, and the 2022 COVID-19 related market disruptions). While history doesn't repeat, it often "rhymes," and the current global economic backdrop warrants caution. Political Precedent: The price action from 2017 is also highly relevant. During his first term, President Trump's administration had a stated goal of decreasing the dollar's value, which created a similar environment to today's market. Market & Technical Breakdown Market Sentiment: A strong contrarian signal is the overwhelming consensus among local Hungarian financial outlets. They are widely praising the Forint's strength and predicting long-term gains against major currencies, which can often precede a reversal. Technical Indicators: While I primarily use price action, a look at key indicators supports a bullish reversal. The RSI, Stochastic, MACD, and Williams %R are all in a range indicating an oversold condition. Smart Money Concepts (SMC): From an SMC perspective, price has moved into a monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG) positioned beneath a short-term low (the blue gap on the chart). There is also a weekly FVG (the red gap) below it, which could be the ultimate target before a significant reversal. Trading Plan The current price action is that of a "falling knife." Given the upcoming FED interest rate decision, I would advise caution. I am personally waiting for Thurseday to consider adding to my existing position. While historical data suggests the ultimate low could be a few months away, a dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy at these price levels is a reasonable approach in my opinion. "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."
Long
by Sneci
1
TSLA Breakout Watch for Sept 18 – Bulls Testing Key Supply LevelHere’s my fresh read on Tesla heading into Wednesday’s session 1️⃣ Market Structure & Price Action * Clean breakout attempt: TSLA pierced the descending trendline drawn from last week’s highs and closed around $429, holding above the 9 EMA and reclaiming short-term momentum. * Support shelf: $421–422 zone (prior supply) flipped to support. This is the first line of defense on any early dip. * Upside pivot: Price is grinding along an ascending intraday trendline that points toward the $435–440 area if momentum keeps up. 2️⃣ GEX (Options Flow) Insight * Call dominance: Call flow is heavy with ~90% call premium, IVR ~19.6 (low), and IVx ~65.3 (normalizing). * Big call walls: $432.5 and $436 show strong gamma with 67%+ call concentration, which can attract price if bulls stay in charge. * Put defense: Major put support sits at $412–417.5. A break below $412 would flip sentiment and invite a fast move to $400. 3️⃣ Trade Thoughts * Bullish swing / scalp: Buy pullbacks into $423–426 with a stop under $421. Targets $435, stretch $440+. * Bearish fade: Only if TSLA loses $421 and the hourly closes below it. First target $409, extended $400. 4️⃣ Option Angle * With call interest stacked and IV still moderate, short-dated call spreads or debit spreads around $430/$440 look attractive for a measured upside shot. * Aggressive traders could sell puts below $410 for premium, but that’s only if you’re comfortable owning shares on a breakdown. 5️⃣ Personal Take I like the constructive action. Tesla cleared a multi-day squeeze and is running with the broader tech bid. As long as $421 holds, the path of least resistance is up. I’m watching volume on any morning retest—if buyers show up, I’ll lean long. Disclaimer: This commentary is for educational discussion only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
New all-time high in global financial liquidity1) The Fed has unveiled its new monetary policy trajectory, here are the key takeaways: - Federal funds rate cycle through the end of 2025: there should be a total of 3 rate cuts by year-end. - Update of macroeconomic projections: The Fed acknowledges the slowdown in the labor market and still expects inflation to normalize during 2026, allowing time to absorb the impact of tariffs. - Balance of power among the 12 voting FOMC members: 11 out of 12 voted for a 0.25% rate cut, with only Stephen Miran voting for a jumbo Fed cut. In the end, Jerome Powell’s Fed has thus enacted a genuine monetary pivot to account for the labor market slowdown, while remaining cautious about the upcoming normalization of inflation. The more accommodative monetary trajectory announced should provide support for risk assets in the stock market, but upcoming U.S. employment and inflation updates will still have a strong impact. 2) Global liquidity hits a new all-time high, a supportive factor for risk assets Correlation studies show that risk assets in the stock market are highly correlated with the trend in global liquidity, i.e., the sum of the money supplies of the world’s major economies. Simply put, when the underlying trend of global liquidity is bullish, the S&P 500 and bitcoin prices also follow a bullish trend, and vice versa. There are several ways to represent a country’s money supply, and the M2 monetary aggregate is recognized as the best measure of available liquidity within a state. Global M2 liquidity is calculated by aggregating the money supplies of major economies, notably the United States and China, converted into U.S. dollars (USD). The dollar’s evolution directly influences this measure: a strong dollar reduces global M2 in USD terms, while a weak dollar increases it, affecting capital flows and global financial conditions. While global M2 liquidity is decisive, the net credit capacity within the financial system also plays a major role. When this is added to global M2, you get global liquidity — and this has just reached a new all-time high, as shown in the chart attached to this article. This should therefore be a supportive factor for the stock market through year-end. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. 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SP:SPX
by Swissquote
USD/CAD - Forecast🚨 USD/CAD – Key Levels in Play 🚨 🕰 Weekly View: Price is trapped inside a 1.36 – 1.40 swing range. Break above 1.40 → clean run into 1.44 – 1.46 supply. Fail here → liquidity below 1.34 – 1.35 becomes the target. 📉 Daily Structure: We’re moving inside a parallel channel, sitting mid-range at 1.38 – 1.39. Liquidity is building under 1.37 — sellers might want to grab that first. ⏱ 8H Play: Rejection spotted at 1.38 – 1.385 supply. ➡️ Short-term pullback toward 1.37 demand looks likely. ➡️ If buyers defend that, we could see another push into 1.39 – 1.40. 📌 Outlook: Short-term pullback 🔽 → Mid-term bullish if 1.37 holds. Break under 1.37? Bears take control toward 1.35. Follow for more
by jamesibartram
My Journey to Building the Adaptive Opening EdgeMy Journey to Building the Adaptive Opening Edge Like many of you aspiring traders, I was once chasing shortcuts. I wanted to get rich quick, to find the easiest way out. Over 10 years ago, I first learned about trading through my mom. I got curious, started exploring, and went on a hunt for the “holy grail.” The history is always the same — I blew up account after account before I finally turned profitable. The Missing Puzzle I realized the key wasn’t some secret indicator or magic formula. It was me. I needed to work on my fundamentals, my psychology, and my discipline. At the same time, I felt there was a gap in the market — no tool truly fit the trading philosophy I was developing. I wasn’t looking for certainty; I wanted a way to stack probabilities and build expectancy. Building the Signal So I invested in myself. 📚 I spent hours in libraries. 💻 I learned coding and logic. 🧩 I started piecing together the type of tool I wished existed. That’s how the Adaptive Opening Edge was born. It wasn’t about predicting the future. It was about building a system that: Risks a fixed % per trade Avoids overnight risk entirely Is robust (not overfit, not curve-fitted) Focuses on expectancy, not win rate From Testing to Trading I backtested, forward tested, and finally went live. I fine-tuned the code, but never broke its logic to “force” more wins. I needed it to be durable — able to handle randomness without collapsing. For the first time in my trading career, I saw an equity curve I could trust. The Real Breakthrough The breakthrough wasn’t just the signal. It was the combination of: A robust tool (Adaptive Opening Edge) The discipline to follow rules without deviation The patience to let the law of large numbers play out Trading stopped being about outcome. It became about process. Losses stopped hurting — they were just part of the data. Wins stopped exciting me — they were simply the advance payments of my expectancy. Where I Am Today I no longer chase predictions. I don’t need the holy grail. I’ve built a signal that reflects the way I believe trading should be: Probability-driven Rules-based Consistent over the long run That’s why I share my trades live on YouTube — every entry, every stop, every exit, no filters. Final Note The Adaptive Opening Edge isn’t about being right 100% of the time. It’s about playing the same game the casinos play — exploiting a small, consistent edge over hundreds of hands. If you want to learn more about the signal, buzz me.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by nexxtrade
EUR/USD Bullish Continuation in Play — How High Can It Go?💶 EUR/USD “THE FIBRE” | Forex Money Liquidity Hunt Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 📊💼 📈 Trading Plan: Bullish Bias Setup: Demand Zone 🔥 + Heikin Ashi Doji reversal confirmed 🟢 + Re-Accumulation spotted (buyers stepping in). Narrative: Market showing strong intent from bulls, eyeing higher liquidity pools 🏦. 🎯 Entry Strategy (Layering Method) We don’t chase — we layer! 🧑‍💼 Multiple limit orders (layered entries) can be set around these levels: 1.16500 1.16750 1.17000 1.17250 1.17500 (Traders may adjust / expand layering based on their style ✅). 🛡️ Stop Loss Guidance Example SL: 1.16000 (below demand zone structure). ⚠️ Note: Adjust based on your own risk tolerance + strategy — flexibility is key. 🎯 Target Zone Key Resistance: ~1.19500 ⚔️ Momentum shows overbought risk + possible liquidity trap in that area 🚨. Best practice: Secure profits early, scale out gradually. 🔑 Key Notes for Traders This is not financial advice 🚫. Manage risk, adapt levels, and trade safe. Targets/SL shared are reference points only — every trader is responsible for their own execution. 🌍 Related Pairs to Watch OANDA:EURGBP : Often mirrors EUR strength but reacts slower — useful for cross confirmation. FX:USDJPY : Inverse correlation with risk appetite; USD weakness here may boost EUR/USD. TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Always track! If TVC:DXY drops, EUR/USD usually pushes higher. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #EURUSD #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #HeikinAshi #LiquidityHunt #LayeringStrategy #TradingPlan #PriceAction #DemandZone
Long
by The-Thief
start to correct down, back to 3618⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold (XAU/USD) consolidates after retreating from record highs above $3,700, reached following the Fed’s dovish rate cut. The central bank signaled two more reductions this year, keeping bullion supported in Thursday’s Asian session. Heightened geopolitical risks from the Russia-Ukraine war and Middle East tensions further underpin safe-haven demand. At his press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell framed the move as a “risk management cut” and downplayed urgency for aggressive easing. This helped the US Dollar (USD) extend its rebound from multi-year lows, capping gold’s upside. Still, the broader backdrop favors bulls, with any dips likely to attract fresh buying ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: The market started to correct down after reaching ATH 3707, the interest rate reduction result was as expected. Pressure to close profits this week ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3678- 3680 SL 3685 TP1: $3670 TP2: $3660 TP3: $3650 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3618-$3620 SL $3613 TP1: $3630 TP2: $3640 TP3: $3655 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Exploring the Two Variations of the Rising Wedge PatternHello everyone! When I first started learning technical analysis, one of the patterns I found incredibly interesting and important was the Rising Wedge pattern. This pattern is formed when the price creates higher highs and higher lows, but the price range gradually narrows. However, there’s something that few people know – the Rising Wedge pattern can appear in two different forms, and each form has significant implications for predicting market trends. Form 1: Rising Wedge in an Uptrend (Reversal) The first and most common form of the Rising Wedge is when it appears in an uptrend. This pattern signals that the uptrend is losing momentum. When I identify this pattern, I know the market is weakening and is likely to reverse into a downtrend. Characteristics: The price creates higher highs and higher lows, but the range of price movement narrows, and trading volume typically decreases. Confirmation: A breakout below the support at the bottom of the Rising Wedge confirms a trend reversal. When this pattern forms, I prepare to enter a short trade when the price breaks the support at the bottom of the pattern. This is when the market could start to reverse and move downward. Form 2: Rising Wedge in a Downtrend (Continuation) The second form of the Rising Wedge appears in a downtrend. Although it may look similar to the first form, its purpose is different. This pattern does not signal a reversal, but instead indicates that the downtrend will continue after the price breaks below the bottom of the pattern. Characteristics: Similar to the pattern in the uptrend, the price also creates higher highs and higher lows, but the price narrowing occurs within a downtrend. Confirmation: Once the price breaks below the bottom of the pattern, it is expected to continue the strong downward movement. In this case, I do not rush to enter a buy trade because this pattern signals that the downtrend is still strong. After the price breaks below the bottom of the pattern, I will consider entering another short trade. In Summary The Rising Wedge pattern is an incredibly useful tool for technical analysis to identify changes in price trends. Whether in an uptrend or downtrend, this pattern can provide great trading opportunities if you know how to identify and act on it promptly. In an uptrend: The Rising Wedge signals weakness and a potential reversal. In a downtrend: The Rising Wedge signals the continuation of the downward trend. Understanding these two forms helps me make more accurate trading decisions and manage risk more effectively in any market condition.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Kenn_Nguyen
Bullish Breakout on CAMS: Buy Opportunity Above TrendlineBuy: ₹4,015–₹4,020 (above breakout candle and 200 EMA) Target: ₹4,270 (September 2025 price target with bullish technicals) Stoploss: ₹3,940 (below 200 EMA and recent support) Technical Highlights CAMS has broken above a major descending trendline and the 200 EMA, signaling a bullish breakout. RSI is 62, indicating momentum but still below overbought levels. Volume confirms the breakout strength, with the price supported by analyst targets for September 2025 at ₹4,269.
NSE:CAMSLong
by rmhetre15