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Is This Moving Average Pullback the Next NZD/JPY Entry?NZDJPY 🥝🔥 | Bullish Swing on MA Pullback | Key Levels & Correlation Guide 🚀 Trade Idea: NZD/JPY ("KIWI vs YEN") - Bullish Swing/Day Trade A clean bullish structure is confirming itself! We're looking for opportunities on a pullback to dynamic support for the next leg up. 🎯 📈 Market Structure & Rationale: Primary Trend: Bullish ✅ Current Phase: Potential pullback to a key moving average confluence for a higher low. Trigger: Momentum alignment on a respected MA pullback (e.g., 21 or 50 EMA on H4/D1). This offers a favorable risk/reward entry. ⚙️ Trade Plan (Guide - Adapt to Your Strategy): Entry Zone: ANY PRICE LEVEL ENTRY is possible, but for optimal R/R, watch for a bullish rejection or pattern near the 89.500 - 89.800 area (adjust based on live MA touch). 🎣 Stop Loss (Protection): A decisive break below 89.000 invalidates the immediate bullish structure. ⚠️ IMPORTANT: This is MY technical SL. Adjust based on YOUR risk tolerance & strategy. Your SL is your responsibility! 🙏 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 90.200 (Initial Resistance) TP2: 90.700 (Major Resistance & Profit Zone - Strong confluence, potential for overbought correction/trap 🪤). Escape with profits here is logical. ➡️ Scalpers can take partials earlier. 📢 Risk Disclaimer: Dear Traders! 👋 This is an IDEA, not financial advice. I do NOT recommend using only my SL/TP levels. You MUST adjust them based on your own analysis, account size, and risk management. "You can make money, then take money at your own risk." Protect your capital! 🛡️ 🔍 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH & KEY CORRELATIONS: Monitoring these pairs provides context for NZDJPY momentum: OANDA:AUDJPY 🦘/🇯🇵: The primary correlation. Both are "risk-on" APAC pairs driven by commodity currencies vs. the safe-haven JPY. If AUDJPY is strong, it often supports NZDJPY bulls. Watch for divergence! OANDA:NZDUSD 🥝/💵: Check the Kiwi's standalone strength. A strong NZDUSD confirms broad Kiwi demand, reinforcing NZDJPY longs. OANDA:AUDUSD 🦘/💵: Another gauge for APAC/commodity sentiment. Weakness here can spill over to NZD pairs. FX:USDJPY 💵/🇯🇵: CRITICAL. Direct JPY strength/weakness indicator. A surging USDJPY (weak JPY) can lift NZDJPY even if NZD is flat. A crashing USDJPY (strong JPY) can sink all JPY crosses. 🎯 Key Correlation Takeaway: For this NZDJPY long idea to thrive, we want: ✔️ Stable/Rising AUDJPY & NZDUSD. ✔️ No severe sell-off in USDJPY (i.e., JPY isn't broadly strengthening). ✔️ General "Risk-On" market sentiment. Like & Follow for more multi-pair analysis! ❤️ Comments are open—share your charts and levels below! Let's get this bread. 🥖💰 #NZDJPY #Forex #TradingView #SwingTrading #DayTrade #Kiwi #Yen #TechnicalAnalysis #RiskManagement #Correlation
by The-Thief
Gold Pulls Back Slightly, Uptrend Intact📊 Market Overview: Spot gold (XAU/USD) is currently trading around 4323 USD, slightly lower than the 4327 USD level seen 1–2 hours earlier. This pullback is mainly driven by short-term profit-taking following recent gains, while the US dollar has shown temporary stabilization. At this stage, there is no strong bearish fundamental catalyst capable of reversing gold’s primary trend. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance Levels:   – 4327 – 4332   – 4338 – 4345 • Nearest Support Levels:   – 4318 – 4315   – 4308 – 4305 • EMA:   Price remains above EMA 09 (H1) → the short-term bullish trend remains intact. • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:   H1 candles show upper wicks near the 4327 zone, indicating short-term selling pressure. However, selling volume has not expanded significantly, suggesting sellers lack strong conviction. Momentum has weakened slightly but remains above neutral levels. ________________________________________ 📌 Outlook: Gold may experience a minor short-term correction if price continues to be rejected around the 4327–4332 resistance zone. Conversely, if price holds above 4318 and buying pressure returns, the bullish trend is likely to resume, with potential upside toward higher resistance levels. ________________________________________ 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 4327 – 4332 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4336 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 4318 – 4315 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4312
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
1
AUD/USD short trade ideaBased on the latest AUD and USD macroeconomic data, I am planning to open a AUD/USD short position. AUD side: Employment data is strong (+41.3k vs -21.3k), but inflation remains flat at 4.3%, and growth expectations are mixed (3.5%–3.8%). With the policy rate unchanged at 3.60% and no new supportive guidance from the RBA, AUD strength appears data-driven rather than policy-backed, leaving it vulnerable to mean reversion. USD side: While recent labor data shows weakness (-105k vs +64k), inflation expectations remain elevated (4.4%–4.6%), and yields continue to favor USD (2.9%–3.0%). The Fed’s rate cut from 4.00% to 3.75% signals a controlled, preventive easing cycle rather than a full dovish pivot, keeping USD structurally supported. From a relative policy and yield perspective, USD maintains an advantage over AUD. With AUD lacking fresh monetary catalysts and USD still supported by inflation and yield differentials, downside risk in AUD/USD remains asymmetric. Accordingly, I am planning to execute a AUD/USD short trade, aligning macro direction with disciplined risk management and technical confirmation.
Short
by GeSerGOD_
EURUSD Wednesday Trade Plan After Buy-Side Sweep, Expect ReactioEURUSD Analysis – Wednesday, December 17 Welcome traders! 👋 We analyze the market every single day to stay aligned with clean structure, liquidity, and high-probability setups. Let’s dive into today’s EURUSD outlook 👇 🔍 Market Overview EURUSD remains bullish on the higher timeframes — weekly, daily, and overall structure still favor buyers. The market has been printing higher highs and higher lows, confirming a strong bullish environment. However, an important shift is worth noting: Buy-side liquidity has already been taken After major liquidity grabs, the market often seeks rebalancing or corrective moves Because of this, despite the higher-timeframe bullish bias, short-term short opportunities may develop before the broader bullish continuation resumes. I’ve marked the key POI and OBS levels on the chart to guide today’s execution. 📌 Today’s Trading Scenarios 🔴 Scenario 1 – Buy-Side Sweep → POI → Move Toward OBS (Counter-Trend) Price may: .Sweep liquidity above recent highs, .Tap into the POI, .Then react lower and move toward the OBS. This scenario aligns with a post-liquidity corrective move after an extended bullish run and favors short-term short setups with confirmation. 🔄 Scenario 2 – Sell-Side Sweep → OBS → POI → Bullish Continuation Alternatively, price may: .First take liquidity below, .Tap into the OBS, .Then move toward the POI, .And from there resume the main bullish trend. This scenario represents a deeper retracement before continuation and keeps the higher-timeframe bullish structure intact. ⚠️ Risk & Execution Notes The market is never 100% certain Be cautious around high-impact EUR and USD news Always wait for clear confirmation before entry Apply strict risk management, especially when trading counter-trend setups I’d love to hear your thoughts 👇 Are you expecting a deeper pullback first, or continuation after a shallow correction? 📘 Educational Note: This analysis is for educational and illustrative purposes only. Always follow your own plan, confirm with your strategy, and manage risk carefully. Success in trading comes from discipline, patience, and consistency. 💪 🚀 Empowering traders through clarity, confidence & clean charts. Follow 👉 parisa_tl for more SMC setups and weekly insights 💙 #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #SMC #LiquiditySweep #POI #OrderBlock #MarketStructure #PriceAction #FXMarket #TradingView #DailyAnalysis #RiskManagement #parisa_tl
by parisa_tl
NVDA – Price Compression Near Key Gamma Levels (Dec 17 Focus)NVDA is currently trading in a tight consolidation range after a strong rebound from the lower channel. Price action on the 15-minute chart shows NVDA holding above the rising trendline support but failing to expand higher, suggesting the market is waiting for a catalyst or liquidity grab. From a structure perspective, NVDA remains range-bound within an ascending channel, but momentum has clearly slowed. Buyers are defending the mid-range, while sellers continue to cap price near prior intraday highs. Key Technical Levels (15m Structure) * Immediate resistance: 177.80 – 178.20 * Upper channel / rejection zone: ~178.80 – 179.20 * Range support: 176.20 – 175.80 * Major downside support: 174.50 – 174.00 Price is currently compressing just below resistance, which often precedes an expansion move — but direction depends heavily on options positioning. GEX Insight – Why NVDA Is Stalling GEX data aligns very cleanly with the price behavior: * Highest positive NET GEX / CALL resistance sits around 183–184, well above current price * PUT support / negative GEX clusters between 174–175, matching the lower channel support * HVL (high volatility level) is centered near 177, explaining the tight chop and mean-reversion behavior This positioning tells us market makers are comfortable pinning NVDA inside the 175–178 zone. As long as price remains inside this GEX pocket, expect choppy, rotational price action, not trend continuation. Scenarios to Watch Bullish Scenario:
A clean break and hold above 178.20 with volume opens the door for a push toward 180 → 183, where heavy CALL resistance and gamma walls are stacked. Any rally into that zone is likely to face aggressive hedging pressure. Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold 176.20 shifts control back to sellers, with downside magnet levels at 175 → 174.50, where strong PUT support sits. A breakdown below 174 increases the odds of accelerated downside due to reduced gamma support. Bottom Line NVDA is currently trapped between strong gamma walls, which explains the slow, frustrating price action. Until price escapes this GEX range, scalping the edges makes more sense than chasing breakouts. Expansion will come — but only after liquidity is taken on one side. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk and confirm with your own analysis.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
GOOGL at Critical Support – Dec. 17 Could Decide DirectionGOOGL is still trading inside a descending structure, and price is currently compressing toward the apex of that falling channel. The bounce off the lows lacked momentum and volume follow-through, which tells me this is more of a relief move than a true trend reversal for now. From a price-action perspective, GOOGL failed to reclaim the prior breakdown zone around 308–310. That area continues to act as supply. Until price can hold above it, the path of least resistance remains sideways to down. The lower channel trendline and prior demand around 302–300 remain the key downside magnet if sellers press again. Now layering in GEX, the options positioning lines up well with what price is showing. The largest negative gamma / PUT support sits near the 300–302 zone, which explains why price keeps reacting there instead of cascading lower. Dealers are likely hedging aggressively in this area, creating temporary stabilization. However, above price, CALL resistance builds between 315–320, with a notable call wall around 317–320, which caps upside attempts unless we see a strong shift in flows. This creates a very defined range behavior: As long as GOOGL remains below 315, upside extensions are likely to stall into dealer-driven resistance. If 302–300 breaks with volume, the next downside pocket opens quickly, since gamma support thins out below that level. In short, price structure and GEX are aligned. This is still a sell-the-rallies environment, not a chase-the-bounce setup. Bulls need a clean reclaim and acceptance above 315 to flip the narrative. Until that happens, expect choppy consolidation with downside risk toward 302–300, especially if broader market pressure increases. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk and make your own trading decisions.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
by BullBearInsights
TMDX — I am buying this pullback#TMDX — I am buying this pullback. Here is the setup. In October 2024, the company missed estimates and the stock collapsed from about 126 to about 90, a 30 percent plus overnight reset. Today, we are pulled back down into that same price area, but the business is in a very different place- Revenues are materially higher Margins are meaningfully better Operating leverage has flipped positive Free cash flow is now real Insider buying is present This is no longer a 'story' of what may come. The fundamentals are here, now waiting for the price to catch up. If this area to gets rejected and price moves to the upside, there is a lot of room to run. Target 1: prior highs around 140 Target 2: all time highs Stop: bellow 116 (200 day EMA) !!! This stock is volatile. It moves fast in both directions. Size accordingly.!!! READ THIS. DO NOT SKIP. THIS IS NOT a FINANCIAL ADVICE. Do NOT buy anything because I said so. Do NOT use real money to test ideas, especially ideas that are not yours. If you blindly follow ideas from the internet, you will lose money. If you do not understand risk, position sizing, or stops, do nothing. I am not your mom. I am sharing my process, not telling you what to do. I like the fundamentals. I like this level. I accept the risk. Always test other people ideas (and your own) paper trading because the worst case scenario you will lose zero money.
NASDAQ:TMDXLong
by onlytrade2win
When Price Gets Ahead of ItselfMarkets love drama. Price breaks out, momentum accelerates, and suddenly everything feels obvious. Charts look clean, conviction is high, and everyone agrees — this thing is strong. But here’s the catch: strong doesn’t always mean sustainable. When price moves too far too fast, it stretches liquidity, pulls in late participants, and often leaves structure behind. That’s when volatility expands, Bollinger Bands® get left in the dust, and the market quietly becomes fragile. This is where mean reversion sneaks into the conversation — not as a call for collapse, but as a reminder that markets like balance. Extremes attract attention, and attention attracts counter-flow. Add in order-flow context — like UnFilled Orders (UFOs) lining up near pattern objectives — and suddenly those “obvious” moves don’t look quite as comfortable anymore. Mean reversion trades aren’t about being right. They’re about managing risk when price runs ahead of itself. Because in trading, the real edge isn’t momentum. It’s knowing when momentum starts to wobble. Know your specs… Standard Futures Contract (6E) Minimum price fluctuation (tick): 0.000050 per Euro increment = $6.25 Typical margin characteristics: ~$2,700 per contract Micro Futures Contract (M6E) Minimum price fluctuation (tick): 0.0001 per euro = $1.25 Typical margin characteristics: ~$270 per contract Want More Depth? If you’d like to go deeper into the building blocks of trading, check out our From Mystery to Mastery trilogy, three cornerstone articles that complement this one: 🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Trading Essentials 🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Futures Explained 🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Options Explained When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME:6E1!Education
by traddictiv
XAGUSD H3 OUTLOOK | The Bullish Channel Direction Market Structure • Price previously formed a Double Top, leading to a corrective move. • That correction unfolded inside a Bearish Channel. • Price broke out of the bearish channel and transitioned into a Bullish Channel, signaling trend reversal. • Structure now shows higher highs and higher lows → bullish market bias. 🔑 Key Technical Levels • Current Price Area: ~63.5 • Support (RBS / SR Zone): ~58.0 • Former resistance flipped into support • Bullish Channel Support: Dynamic support guiding the uptrend • Resistance / Target Zone: ~74–75 Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: • Buy on pullbacks toward: • Bullish channel support • RBS zone (~58–60) • Alternatively, continuation buy above consolidation highs (~63.5–64) Stop Loss: • Below RBS support • Or below bullish channel support 👉 Invalidation if price breaks and closes below ~58 Target 1: ~66–68 (recent high continuation) • Target 2: ~72 • Final Target: ~74–75 (measured move projection shown on chart) 📌 Trade Logic Summary • Trend shifted from bearish to bullish • Clean breakout + bullish channel • Strong RBS confirmation • Measured move projection supports upside continuation
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Ezra_Fx4
DXY I Monthly CLS range - Model 1- TP discount LQHi friends, new range created. As always we are looking for the manipulation in to the key level around the range. Don't forget confirmation switch from manipulation phase to the distribution phase to make the setup valid. Stay patient and enter only after change in order flow. If price reaches 50% of the range take partial or full close. 🧩 Complete proces and Strategy explained 👇 Click Below 👊 Your ultimate goal as a trader is not to be a generalist who knows 10 000 patterns. But rather create one system with narrowed criteria of each element of the trade to remove subjective and emotional decisions as much as possible and stick to this system no matter what. Practice it 10 000 times become a MASTER. ✨ Trading Mastery is reflection of your life Have a longterm plan, No Alcohol & Drugs, Ignore others, Focus on your journey , Backtest regularly, Review your weeks, Journal mistakes, Exercise, Sleep well, Read books, Walks in nature (no phone) , Meditate, Reduce social media time, Spend time with family, Live Life. Trading is hard, but not impossible. I believe in you 💪 David Perk aka Dave Fx Hunter
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by David_Perk
16
GBPUSD acting as a bullish continuation baseGBP/USD Consolidation bullish structure momentum Price previously respected a downward-sloping channel, making lower highs and lower lows, before breaking out strongly to the upside, signalling a change in market momentum. Technically the breakout, price entered a consolidation range where buyers and sellers are in short-term balance. This zone is acting as a bullish continuation base, with higher lows forming, suggesting accumulation rather than distribution. If the bulls manage and price pullback and consolidation within the range, followed by a potential bullish continuation toward the first resistance, and if momentum remains strong, an extension toward the higher resistance zone around 1.34210 to 1.34515, You may find more details in the chart, Trade wisely best of luck buddies. Ps: Support with like and comments for better analysis thanks for supporting.
Long
by MrMartin_11
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on EURUSD? After a correction and a successful rebound from the support zone and the ascending trendline, EUR/USD has started to recover upward and is now approaching the descending trendline. At this stage, the price is expected to break above the descending trendline, which could trigger a bullish continuation toward the highlighted resistance zones. As long as the price remains above the ascending trendline, the bullish scenario remains valid, suggesting further upside potential in the coming sessions. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
39
Fast Reversal Setup | Price: 62.68 → Target: 65.81 (+5%) After the recent lawsuit-related news, LRN dropped sharply from $155 → $62 and is now deep in the oversold area 📉🔥 Volume Signal 📊 This week’s traded volume is higher than anything since its IPO, which often marks a reversal zone. Repeated Patterns 🔍 Across the daily, weekly, and monthly intervals, the stock is showing its typical reversal pattern, matching previous bounce cycles. Entry: 62.68 Target: 65.81 Profit: +5% 💰⚡
NYSE:LRNLong
by ali-lavin
2
Next Volatility Period: Around January 1, 2026 Hello, traders! Follow us to get the latest information quickly. Have a great day! ------------------------------------- (ETHUSDT 1D Chart) This volatility period is expected to last until December 17th. To initiate an uptrend, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and remain stable. In this sense, the key is whether the price can find support near 2887.66 and rise above 3025.27 to maintain its upward momentum. However, a full-scale uptrend is expected to begin only if the price rises above the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range on the 1M chart (3321.30-3438.16). - From a trading perspective, trading below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is difficult, so if possible, it's best to find a trading opportunity around 3025.27 based on the presence of support. In the medium to long term, you can buy in installments whenever support is found near the DOM (-60) ~ HA-Low range. Therefore, the timing for buying in installments is until support is found near 2770.12-2887.66. However, if the price declines from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a step-down trend is likely, so you should consider a countermeasure. In other words, if you bought when the price was supported near the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, you can sell a portion of your holdings when the price rises and then begins to decline, leaving the coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit. This can be done in installments. - To sustain the uptrend from a long-term perspective, the price must be maintained above 2419.83-2706.15. If this fails and the price declines, a long-term downtrend is likely, so you should consider a countermeasure. There are two types of declines: 1. Normal Decline This occurs when the price rises from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, forms the HA-High to DOM(60) range, and then declines. This decline is likely to continue until it reaches the DOM(-60) or HA-Low indicators, making it difficult to gauge the actual extent of the decline. Therefore, during a normal decline, it's difficult to determine the timing of a partial purchase, so caution is advised when making a purchase. However, other indicators and support and resistance levels can be used to estimate the timing. 2. Staircase Decline This refers to a further decline from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range. Therefore, if the decline continues, the DOM(-60) or HA-Low indicators will eventually be encountered again, allowing for the timing of a partial purchase. However, because it's impossible to predict the frequency of this decline, split trading is necessary. When making a split trade, it's important to increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit by engaging in short-term trading (day trading) at each split purchase price. At the same time, you should recover a portion of your principal to secure funds for future split purchases. - Among the declines mentioned above, the moment we should be interested in is when the second step decline occurs. In other words, it's worth considering trading when the DOM(-60) or HA-Low indicators are met. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. --------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
DXY — Daily Structure at a Decision PointThe dollar has completed a prior volume imbalance fill at 97.853 and is now trading against the lower boundary of the daily range. Participation is low, consistent with late-December conditions. In this environment, daily closes matter more than intraday movement. Key level: 98.030 This is the prior daily range low. A daily close below 98.030 shifts the daily bias bearish Without that close, downside pressure remains internal to the range The move into imbalance without expansion suggests position resolution, not trend initiation. This is typical of year-end exposure reduction, rather than new macro positioning. Cross-market context: Gold is pressing into a double-high area without expansion. Bonds are showing loss of momentum at the front end. Risk assets remain supported but lack acceleration. If structure breaks, the next natural downside references sit at 97.469 and 97.179. Until a close confirms, this remains a confirmation environment, not a forecasting one.
TVC:US10
by CORE5DAN
Gold Rebounds From Support, Awaiting Confirmation Above 4300📊 Market Overview: Gold dropped to the 4274 area during the U.S. session before rebounding to around 4293, signaling solid buying interest at lower levels. The market remains cautious as traders await further U.S. economic data and clearer guidance from the Fed, keeping price action range-bound. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: 4298 – 4305 | 4315 – 4325 • Nearest Support: 4280 – 4275 | 4265 – 4255 • EMA: Price remains above the EMA 09, indicating the short-term uptrend is still intact, although momentum is moderate. • Candlestick / volume / momentum: A clear false break below 4275 with long lower wicks and limited sell volume suggests selling pressure absorption and ongoing consolidation before a directional move. 📌 Outlook: Gold may extend its short-term rebound if it holds above the 4275–4280 zone. A decisive break above 4300–4305 is required to confirm bullish continuation. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 4300 – 4305 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4308 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 4280 – 4275 🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips ❌ SL: 4271
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
4