Of course. Here is the English translation of the analysis for tOf course. Here is the English translation of the analysis for the US500 (S&P 500 index):
The US500 (S&P 500 Index) is the most authoritative benchmark for gauging the overall health of large-cap U.S. stocks. Covering 11 major sectors, its diversified nature makes it a "barometer" of the U.S. economy. The index is currently trading at all-time highs, driven by a combination of market expectations for Fed rate cuts and the resilience of corporate earnings. It is extremely sensitive to monetary policy; any surprises in inflation (CPI/PCE) or employment data can reshape the interest rate path and trigger a market repricing.
Sector rotation within the index is a key focal point. While the leadership of tech giants remains the main engine for gains, the performance of cyclical sectors like energy, financials, and industrials is crucial for market breadth and sustainability, signaling confidence in an economic "soft landing." From a technical standpoint, the 5,300 area has become a new battleground for bulls and bears. If constituent earnings continue to exceed expectations, the index could consolidate its upward momentum; conversely, it faces pullback pressure in a high-valuation environment.
Looking ahead, the direction of the US500 will be a tug-of-war between "AI-driven earnings growth" and "higher-for-longer interest rates." Investors should pay balanced attention to mega-cap earnings and broad economic data to assess whether the momentum can broaden. Short-term volatility is inevitable, while the long-term trend remains anchored on whether the U.S. economy can avoid a recession.
Beyond Technical Analysis
GBPJPY a consolidation-to-growth patternGBPJPY the pair has been in a consolidation-to-growth pattern. Price recently tested and respected a key support line, which confirms that buyers are still active The market structure shows signs of a bullish breakout, suggesting that the pair could continue pushing higher if momentum holds.
Immediate resistance near 201.20. A clean break above this level would open the door for further gains as long as price continues to respect the support and hold above recent lows, the bullish bias remains valid. Buyers are likely to keep driving the pair upward
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely Best Of Luck.
Ps; Support with ike and comments for better analysis Thanks for Supporting.
Gold Futures Push Higher Ahead of Fed DecisionGold futures have once again closed at a new high, with the front-month contract settling up 0.9% at $3,682.20 per troy ounce. According to Felipe Barragán of Pepperstone, traders are increasingly pricing in expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut later this week.
“The sensitivity is now less about the move itself and more about the dots and Powell’s guidance on the pace of easing,” Barragan notes. “A benign path—gradual cuts with subdued real yields—tends to underpin bullion; a surprisingly hawkish set of projections could nudge the dollar and sap some of gold’s momentum.”
If gold prices can maintain their upward momentum above 3682, a swift move toward the next resistance level around 3710 is possible. Sustained bullish sentiment—driven by dovish Fed guidance and declining real yields—could accelerate the rally in the short term Bias,
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for supporting.
Oil prices, a favorable factor for a Fed cut1. An oversupplied market
Global oil production is reaching record highs at around 105 million barrels per day. The United States delivers 22 million, ahead of Russia and Saudi Arabia (9.6 million each), while OPEC provides 27 million. On top of this comes the growth in exports from Brazil, Canada, and Argentina. This supply glut keeps oil prices in the $65–75 range despite geopolitical conflicts.
2. Cheap oil, an unexpected ally against inflation
This situation is an asset for major importing economies, particularly the United States. Moderate oil prices contribute to disinflation, easing the energy bill for households and businesses. Unlike past episodes where sharp oil price drops signaled collapsing demand, the current movement mainly stems from oversupply. It is therefore not a recession signal but rather a supportive cyclical factor.
3. Downward trend under the $65/$75 resistance
Chart signals confirm this pressure. WTI remains capped under $65, Brent under $70–75. Ichimoku indicators place prices below the weekly cloud, confirming a bearish dynamic. Elliott Wave analysis suggests an ongoing corrective move since the war in Ukraine. In this context, institutional investors are increasing short positions, putting further pressure on prices.
4. Geopolitics as an artificial floor
While fundamentals argue for a sharper decline, oil remains supported by a risk premium linked to tensions in the Middle East and Eastern Europe. This geopolitical factor is a bullish element for oil prices.
5. The Fed’s key role on September 17
The Federal Reserve’s decision at its September 17 meeting could alter oil’s trajectory. A rate cut would weaken the dollar, making dollar-denominated oil more attractive for foreign buyers. This mechanism would offer temporary support to prices despite oversupply. Conversely, maintaining the status quo would strengthen the greenback, adding downward pressure. Price adjustments will therefore largely depend on the Fed’s monetary strategy and the FOMC’s updated macroeconomic projections.
In summary, today’s oil surplus acts as a macroeconomic safety valve: it curbs inflation, supports purchasing power, and reduces production costs. This setup provides Western markets with a more stable environment while giving the Fed additional room for maneuver.
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Why AI Could Rise Sharply Before Friday's Options ExpirationIn a market where enterprise AI spending is projected to hit $100B+ by 2026, C3.ai's 130+ turnkey apps (from supply chain optimization to ESG tracking) position it as a must-have for Fortune 500 digital transformations.
Trading at around $17.27 as of midday September 15, down a staggering 33% over the past month, the stock has been battered by leadership turmoil and disappointing quarterly results.
But for options traders eyeing the September 19 expiration, this could be the setup for a sharp rebound. Last month, we loaded up on those $25 strike calls, a tough grind to profitability amid the sell-off, but with fresh tailwinds emerging.
From a charting perspective on TradingView, the stock is testing support near its 200-day moving average around $16.50, with volume spiking on the downside but showing signs of capitulation.A bounce from here isn't just wishful thinking—it's backed by historical patterns. In similar drawdowns earlier this year, NYSE:AI rebounded 15-20% within a week on lighter selling pressure. With the broader Nasdaq futures pointing higher amid cooling inflation data, a risk-on rotation could propel NYSE:AI toward $20+ resistance by expiration, putting those $25 calls back in the money.
Smart money appears to be accumulating; recent options flow shows unusual call volume at the $20 and $22 strikes, hinting at bets on a quick snapback.
New CEO Stephen Ehikian: A Stabilizing Force with Proven PedigreeThe elephant in the room has been the abrupt CEO transition. Founder Thomas Siebel stepped aside for health reasons in late July, triggering a sales slowdown and the withdrawn full-year guidance that spooked investors.
Ehikian isn't just a placeholder; he's a serial innovator with deep ties to enterprise software giants. He built RelateIQ (acquired by Salesforce to form Einstein) and Airkit.ai (now core to Salesforce's Agentforce), and most recently served as Acting Administrator of the U.S. General Services Administration under President Trump.
His track record in scaling AI integrations could accelerate C3.ai's federal deals, which already made up a chunk of Q1 wins (e.g., expansions with the U.S. Air Force).
In his first comments, Ehikian emphasized capturing the "immense market opportunity in Enterprise AI," and whispers from the Street suggest he's fast-tracking partner integrations with Microsoft and AWS—key channels that drove 155% YoY growth in partner-sourced deals last quarter.
This leadership reset screams "buy the dip" for contrarians.3. Solid Q1 Fundamentals Amid AI TailwindsDon't let the headlines fool you—C3.ai's fiscal Q1 2026 results (ended July 31) weren't a disaster; they were a pause in an otherwise accelerating growth story. Revenue hit a record $87.2 million, up 21% YoY, with subscription revenue (86% of total) climbing to $60.3 million.
The company closed 71 deals—more than double last year's tally—and federal expansions highlight sticky demand for its Agentic AI platform.
Options Expiration Gamma Squeeze: The Friday Catalyst With September 19 OPEX looming, NYSE:AI 's options chain is primed for fireworks. Open interest is heavy on out-of-the-money calls around $20-$25, mirroring last month's setup where we rode the $25 strikes through volatility.
As delta hedging ramps up, a modest 5-10% pop in the underlying could trigger gamma squeezes, forcing market makers to buy shares and amplifying the move.
If NYSE:AI clears $18.50 early this week (a key pivot on the daily chart), momentum could carry it to $22+ by Friday.
Nifty 50 Intraday Chart Analysis for 16th Sept., 2025Nifty 50 Index is currently trading in a defined range, showing clear support and resistance on the 15-minute chart. Price action is consolidating between 25,040 and 25,140, indicating a sideways market phase perfect for range-based strategies.
Key Levels and Range
Resistance Zone: 25,140
Support Zone: 25,040
Current Price: 25,069.70
Observe rejection and congestion near these levels; strong movement is likely only on a breakout beyond this band.
Trading Setup
Bullish Scenario:
Go long on a breakout above 25,140.
Targets: 25,350.
Stop-Loss: Below 25,100.
Bearish Scenario:
Go short on a breakdown below 25,040.
Targets: 24,800.
Stop-Loss: Above 25,075.
Guidance
Aided by the highlighted red range, Nifty is accumulating energy for the next move.
Use strict risk management — trade only on valid breakout/breakdown candle closes for best results.
Stay alert for volume confirmation at breakout levels.
Trade with discipline — let price tell its story before reacting.
Follow for more such updates!
Explanation of the Basic Trading Strategy
Hello, fellow traders!
Follow me to get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day.
-------------------------------------
To understand the charts, the basic trading strategy is the concept used.
Let's look at an example.
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The OBV indicator, which follows the Low Line ~ High Line channel, has shown an upward trend as it has broken above EMA 1 and EMA 2.
Afterwards, the DOM(60) and HA-High indicators were formed, ultimately returning the price to its original position.
Since the HA-Low indicator is forming at 0.001888, we need to examine whether it can find support and rise around this level.
In other words, a buy signal is in the 0.001888-0.002045 range, where support is found and the price rises.
Since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators have converged, a sharp rise is expected if the sideways movement ends and the price rises above 0.002877-0.003199.
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The basic trading strategy is based on the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, indicators developed for trading on Heikin-Ashi charts.
The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High to DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises from the HA-High to DOM(60) range, a step-like upward trend is likely, while if it falls from the DOM(-60) to HA-Low range, a step-like downward trend is likely.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading approach.
Therefore, rather than predicting trends based on the movements of one or two indicators, you should prioritize developing a basic trading strategy.
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If the HA-Low indicator touches and rises to meet the HA-High indicator, the wave should be considered closed.
Furthermore, if the HA-High indicator touches and falls to meet the HA-Low indicator, the wave should also be considered closed.
Remember that the closing of these waves serves as a benchmark for creating new trading strategies.
Previous waves should be forgotten and new trading strategies developed.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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GOOGL 1H + GEX Game Plan for Tue, Sep 16GOOGL Riding a Steep Channel — Next Stop 255 or Cool-Off? 🚀
Market Structure (1-Hour View)
* Strong uptrend: Clean staircase move from 240 breakout to current 252–253 zone.
* Channel support: Rising base near 245–246; trendline resistance rising through 255+.
* Momentum: MACD remains bullish with expanding histogram, but Stoch RSI is near overbought (≈100)—a sign to watch for a short-term pause.
Key Levels to Watch
* Resistance: 253.0–253.5 (current lid), 255.0, then 257.5 (next major GEX wall).
* Support: 248.0–247.5, 245.0 (Gamma magnet), deeper supports at 240.8–242.1 and 237.9.
GEX Read (Sep 16)
* Highest positive NETGEX / Gamma magnet: 245.0
* 2nd Call Wall: 253.0 (~92% call concentration).
* 3rd Call Wall: 257.5 (~34% call concentration).
* Put walls / downside magnets: 235 and 232.5.
* Options sentiment: Calls ~40%, IVR ~29, IVx ~36 → Premiums moderate; options pricing fair for debit spreads.
Implication:
* Dealers may aim to pin price between 245 and 253 if flow is neutral.
* A decisive break >253 can quickly invite hedging toward 255–257.5.
* Lose 245 and price can air-pocket toward 240–235.
Trade Scenarios
1) Bullish Continuation
* Trigger: Hourly close >253.5 with volume pickup.
* Entry: 253.5–254.0 on hold/retest.
* Targets: 255.0 → 257.5.
* Stop: Below 251.5.
* Options: 255/257.5 call debit spread expiring this week.
2) Range Fade
* Trigger: Failure to hold above 253.0 with rejection wick.
* Entry: 252.8–253.2 on failed retest.
* Targets: 249.5 → 245.0 (gamma magnet).
* Stop: Above 254.5.
* Options: 253P or 252.5/245 put spread for quick move.
3) Deeper Pullback
* Trigger: Break and 1H close <245.
* Entry: 244.5–245.0 on failed retest.
* Targets: 242.1 → 237.9 (put wall).
* Stop: Back above 246.5.
* Options: 245/240 put spread for swing toward 235 if momentum accelerates.
Scalping & Swing Notes
* Early in session, expect chop around 252–253; fade or scalp only if trend confirms.
* If we gap up above 253, watch for a quick pullback to 252 for VWAP/EMA retest entry.
* Holding 245–247 keeps swing structure intact for the week.
Risk & Management
* Keep position size small near top of channel; protect profits if chasing higher.
* For options, scale out at first target and trail stops; avoid letting winners round-trip if IV collapses.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade with a plan and manage your risk.
EURU/USD Sell to Buy idea: (1.18000 towards 1.16900)This week, EU looks very similar to GU, with potential for a short-term sell before continuing higher. Price is currently sitting near a 3hr supply zone that previously caused a BOS to the downside. If price reacts from here, we could see a bearish retracement down into the 4hr demand zone.
From there, I’ll be looking for price to accumulate and continue its bullish trend with a fresh leg to the upside.
Confluences for Sell-to-Buy Setup:
- Strong bullish trend could retrace back to demand
- 3hr supply zone above that caused a BOS to the downside
- 4hr demand zone below remains unmitigated
- DXY near a demand zone, supporting a potential pullback
- Price slowing down, showing signs of reacting to supply
P.S. If price consolidates lower and respects the 4hr demand, I’ll be looking for buys to catch the next bullish move.
USDCAD | Cracks in the Ice at 1.3725Macro Hook:
USD/CAD is under pressure as oil strength provides a CAD tailwind and markets lean toward deeper Fed easing relative to the BoC. The backdrop has flipped from summer’s CAD softness (BoC dovish hold + weak Canadian data) to a September environment where USD underperforms on relative policy and risk tone.
Technical Lens:
Price has broken the local trendline (DL1), shifting risk lower toward the neckline pivot (DL2 at ~1.3725). Acceptance below DL2 confirms a downside path toward the 1.3600 zone (structural objective / channel support). Invalidation sits at ~1.3900 on a closing basis. RSI has also slipped beneath the midline, leaving momentum space open to extend lower.
Scenarios:
If DL2 (1.3725) holds → rebound risk back into 1.3860–1.3900.
If DL2 breaks/accepts → path of least resistance opens to 1.3600.
Catalysts:
Watch crude price momentum, Fed vs BoC policy signals, and near-term US/CAD data releases for confirmation.
Takeaway:
1.3725 is the decision line; below it, the structural path points to 1.3600.
SOFI - 4hr TAThe "Front-Side" & "Back-Side" support levels reference FVG but labeled as such to simplify the candle being tested.
Backside candle in an accumulation range is the first candle in the range. When it is tested I expect a bigger bounce.
IF that EXPECTATION is not met THEN I expect price to target the Frontside candle or last candle in the range and hold through trend. (order block basically)
If at any point ( on lower timeframes) do distribution candles close under the swinglow of that frontside candle, Price is likely targeting the next range and I expect an influx of volume to confirm the moves direction.
likewise for the Inverse.
Backside candle in a Distribution range is the first candle.
Frontside candle is the last candle in the range.
(always from Left to Right.)
Gold at the Edge – Can 3680 Hold Before Retail Sales?🟡 Gold Daily Outlook | September 16
Hello traders, today we’re mapping the Gold battlefield step by step – from the Higher Timeframe structural zones down to intraday sniper levels. With U.S. Retail Sales on the calendar, tomorrow’s volatility could set the tone for the week. Let’s break it down 👇
🔸 HTF Structure (D1 + H4)
Trend: Strong bullish continuation, price extended above 3680. Structure is intact with buyers still in control.
Key Demand Base: 3630–3620 remains the clean foundation from the last retest.
Key Supply Band: 3700–3710 acts as the next major resistance above.
RSI: Daily reading above 80 shows strong momentum but signals stretched conditions.
🔸 Intraday Map
Support floor: 3652–3645, aligned with prior breakout structure.
Decision zone: 3680–3690 – holding above favors continuation; rejection could trigger a pullback.
Momentum: Flow remains bullish, but risk of retracement before the news release.
🔸 Scenarios for Tomorrow
Bullish 📈:
If 3680 holds and Retail Sales data comes in weak, gold may extend toward 3705 → 3720 with strong momentum.
Bearish 📉:
If price rejects 3688–3690 and Retail Sales beat expectations, a retrace toward 3660 → 3650 becomes likely.
✅ Conclusion
HTF: Bullish structure still intact.
Intraday: 3680–3690 is the pivot range.
LTF: Key demand at 3660–3655, tactical supply near 3690–3700.
Tomorrow’s U.S. Retail Sales could ignite the next move. Keep your levels sharp, wait for confirmation, and let the market show its hand.
✨ Will Gold push through 3700 or correct first? Drop your thoughts below 👇, hit like, and follow GoldFxMinds for more daily precision plans 🚀✨
NZD/USD Technical Setup – Demand Retest + Bullish Structure📈 NZD/USD "THE KIWI" Forex Money Looting Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 🥝💵
🛠️ Plan Overview
Bias: Bullish ✅
Reasoning: Demand Re-Test + Wyckoff Accumulation Phase (buyers confirmed their presence).
🎯 Entry Strategy (Thief Layer Style)
Our Thief Strategy = layered limit orders 🔑
Example buy layers:
0.59200
0.59300
0.59400
0.59500
(You can expand layers based on your risk appetite & market liquidity 📊).
⚡ This layered entry approach helps capture price dips while managing risk — OG Thief style!
🛡️ Stop Loss
Suggested SL: 0.59000 (below breakout structure).
⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), this SL is not a hard rule. Adjust it to match your own strategy & risk management.
🎯 Take Profit
Target zone: 0.60400 (strong resistance area).
Rationale: Price approaching overbought conditions + potential trap zone.
⚠️ Note: Exit is flexible — take profits on your own terms and protect your gains.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Radar)
OANDA:AUDUSD → Highly correlated (both AUD & NZD are commodity currencies 📦).
OANDA:NZDJPY → Tracks Kiwi strength vs safe-haven flows 💴.
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) → Inverse correlation driver 💵.
OANDA:GBPNZD → Cross-check for Kiwi strength in broader FX spectrum.
Watching these helps confirm if Kiwi momentum is real or just a false breakout!
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#NZDUSD #Forex #Kiwi #SwingTrade #DayTrade #Wyckoff #FXTrading #TradingPlan #LayeringStrategy #AUDUSD #DXY
Super Performance Candidate NASDAQ:GPRO , the pioneering action camera company is setting up to be a remarkable recovery with resuming revenue growth and path to profitability in late 2025 as it now shifts towards hybrid/AI/subscription powerhouse
At a RS rating at 98
I have reasons to believe this equity can increase in price
EURJPY Short, 15 SeptemberHTF Bullish, but 4H OB Reaction + 15m Bearish Shift
Setup aligns as a counter-trend short inside HTF bullish context, with clean intraday bearish structure confirmation.
📈 HTF Context:
✅ Price reacting from 4H OB
✅ Daily structure bullish but forming double top liquidity above
⚠️ Trade is against overall HTF bias → requires tighter risk
📉 LTF Confirmation:
💤 Asia range formed
📉 15m broke last relevant low → clear bearish structure shift
🔑 75% probability we create a new LH from current zone (HTF alignment)
🎯 Entry Plan:
⚡ 1m BOS confirmed inside 15m decisional OB
🔑 Entry refined at 5m OB
🛡️ Risk: 0.5% (conservative since against HTF trend)
🎯 TP: Target liquidity below recent 15m low / Asia low
SENSEX Intraday Levels for 16th SEP 2025SENSEX Intraday Levels for 16th SEP 2025
# "WEEKLY Levels" mentioned in BOX format.
^^^^^^^ Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis ^^^^^^^
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".