ABTC Long Setup. Can things get any crazier? American Bitcoin Corp. (ABTC), founded by the Trump family and recently listed on Nasdaq, is positioning itself as both a large-scale miner and a Bitcoin treasury company. With ~2,400 BTC already on its balance sheet and backing from Hut 8 Mining, ABTC combines mining revenues with long-term Bitcoin accumulation — a hybrid model that could benefit massively if BTC trends higher.
Support Zone to Buy the Dip: $2.60 – $3.50
Profit Target Zone: $478 – $590
The reasoning for this long setup is simple: ABTC isn’t just another miner selling output to cover costs. Its strategy of holding BTC reserves makes it more aligned with Bitcoin’s long-term appreciation, creating asymmetric upside if adoption and price momentum accelerate. With political branding power, institutional visibility, and a treasury-backed model, ABTC offers both mining exposure and Bitcoin reserve growth in one ticker.
Beyond Technical Analysis
XLU Long trading opportunity(swing-trading) 1I expect a swing of about $4-$6 all the way up to $85+- within 2-5 months.
I am risking money in the form of a short put option to expire the 19'th of September (will be followed by a covered call opened if assigned).
My entry price is $82
This is a buy and hold trade in a lower risk lower volatility instrument, you might have to hold for 6+- months before it reaches the target, XLU rises slowly but rarely goes down 20%+ for no big reason (there has to be underlying market crash or severe macro negative events) so I don't see a lot of downside remaining, I do think it can go lower than $80 but that would then be 10% down from its peak, but at max I would place it around 15% down from its peak before it starts going up.
Also historically lower interest rates do benefit the utilities sector.
XAUUSD – FOMC Rate-Cut Watch (Key Levels & Outlook)Gold is holding around $3,686 as traders brace for the FOMC decision at 8 pm (UTC-2). Markets are increasingly pricing a potential rate cut, which would typically weaken the USD and support gold.
Key Levels
Upside Resistance:
• $3,693–3,695 – first breakout zone
• $3,703 – critical resistance, sustained close above opens door to $3,710+
Immediate Support:
• $3,682 / 3,678 – intraday demand
• $3,676–3,675 – next strong bid area
• $3,674 – last major floor before deeper pullback
Scenarios
Bullish: A dovish Fed or an actual rate cut could spark a rally through $3,695, targeting $3,703 and potentially $3,710–3,720.
Bearish: A hawkish surprise or no cut may send price back toward $3,678, with deeper support near $3,674.
Fundamentals
Rate Cut Probability: Markets are eyeing slowing U.S. labor data and softer inflation as justification for a 25 bps cut.
USD & Yields: Lower yields would typically push the dollar lower and gold higher.
Risk Events: Watch Fed press conference language for hints of further easing.
⚠️ Trading Plan: Wait for the FOMC announcement before committing. Breakout above $3,695 favors longs; rejection could set up a quick move back to $3,676.
This is market commentary, not financial advice—manage risk carefully around high-volatility events.
Greetings,
MrYounity
BTC: Range-high fade, reload 100–97k, bias up into 2026!Hey crypto crew!
Back at the top of the range. If 120k rejects and we print a daily close below 110k, I’m eyeing a reload at 100–97k (POC / 50W / 0.786).
If we close the week above 120k, I drop the pullback and ride 123–129, then 134–136.
Big picture: aiming higher into late ’25 and 2026.
Play the levels, manage risk. 💪
Not financial advice.
Money, Time and Emotions – The Trio before Balance in Trading
Gurus love to tell traders: “You just need to find your balance.”
But to be honest, balance doesn’t exist when Gold just ripped through your stop loss for the second time today, and you do a sneak charts check on your phone while pretending to work.
For sure, you are not calm or zen.
At least in the first 2 years... more like frustrated, scattered, and asking yourself if this whole thing is even worth it.
But you’re not broken.
Just carrying the wrong kind of weight, and it usually shows up in three ways combined.
⏳ The Time Pressure
Trading doesn’t fail because you cannot read the charts when you put a bit of an effort into it.
But your life is already so full. Work, family, bills, endless noise, and you’re trying to squeeze trading into the cracks for the sake of a better financial outcome.
So you start chasing candles and force trades into the tiny windows you’ve got. Plus stare at the screen longer, hoping focus & hidden entries will magically appear.
But Gold does not bend to your schedule. And that mismatch wrecks your decisions.
🔑Shift: Don’t out-stare the chart. Get rid of some stress levels by: Set alerts near the key reaction zones. Create focus slots. Let price knock on your door by doing homework in advance.
💰 The Money Illusion
Every trader has tried it: opening a tiny 200 USD account and hoping it’ll explode into freedom.
But pressure makes that account heavier than it really is.
Instead of freedom, you get fear. So your clarity goes away.
And suddenly every single candle feels like it’s deciding your future. So in the end, that little account gets blown several times.
🔑Shift: Lower the stakes. Trade smaller than you think you should. ALWAYS. Track everything, especially your state of mind, keep a journal, and do not be ashamed to put down some thoughts. The game isn’t about miracles, but making repetition boringly consistent like gym reps.
🐺 The Lone Wolf Spiral
The hardest part isn’t the losses but the silence that surrounds when you choose trading.
When you do it alone, every mistake feels like proof that you are bad at this in the beginning. Every win feels like dumb luck, or it blinds you further more. There’s no feedback loop, no outside voice to ground you.
And that silence eats at you until you are second-guessing everything you do.
🔑Shift: Find real traders to connect with. Not 15 channels and 10 Discords, they will eat your time alive. Not fake hype. Actual humans who talk about process, not just profits. The right community cuts through the spiral faster than any indicator ever will. One group that gives you a direction and you can learn from, or gives you the secrets to the ropes ‘til you catch them.
🧭 And The Good News Is...
Stress doesn’t mean you’re doomed.
It just means the game is heavy in the wrong places: your time, your money, your isolation.
And all three are fixable in time with patience and the right support.
Balance isn’t about meditating after a loss, even though that can be good too:)
Start building a structure in your daily trading schedule bit by bit. And by putting systems around your weak spots. About letting caring trading mentors who guide you well, in your life, instead of doing all of the thinking by yourself.
If this article helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more trading ideas and trading psychology. Thank you.
Valuating Coinbase based on the intrinsic valueAfter revising my discount cash flow model for Coinbase I have concluded the intrinsic value for the stock approximately $310 based on my model. I am a few days late with my analysis but it seems like the market has also come up with a similar number based on the technical analysis of the daily chart. I have began accumulating the stock once again. With a target of $575.
Filecoin: Ready for a Breakout? Analysis of a Long AccumulationFilecoin has been consolidating around its all-time lows for about two years now, marking a very long accumulation period that, in my opinion, will lead to an inevitable upward explosion once the main resistances are broken. At this moment, the first thing the price should do is break the trendline that has been suppressing it since the beginning of the year. Once this is broken and the price consolidates above $3, it should move toward $8, which is the last significant resistance where a reversal occurred. Once that resistance is broken, the bull market for FIL will truly begin. Given the project's fundamentals, I believe it is absolutely the most undervalued coin. Thank you all for your attention.
Zinc & Copper Correlation is very healthyZinc and copper markets are closely related because both metals are used heavily in construction, manufacturing, and electrical applications, so demand often rises and falls together with industrial activity.
They’re also frequently mined from the same deposits, meaning supply-side disruptions can affect both. As a result, prices for zinc and copper tend to show a high degree of correlation, moving in similar cycles tied to global economic growth and infrastructure.
Comparing the Charts (Zinc on the left on a Monhtly TF), we see that Zinc has a lot of room left to the upside. Because it's goal is to go back to balance, which is the Centerline.
And because of the close correlation, I think the Chart of Copper HG1! is still OK.
So, in Copper, the Centerline target is still in play.
Gold – Head & Shoulders Trap? Before & After Case StudyGold – Head & Shoulders Trap? Before & After Case Study
Timeframe: 15M & 3M | Instrument: Gold Spot (XAUUSD) | Date: Sept 17, 2025
📌 Before (Original Idea)
Last idea highlighted a Head & Shoulders pattern on the 15M chart.
Entry Zone: $3,683–$3,680
Target: 3658-3660
Move Captured: ~200+ pips
Plan: Standby buy entry near $3,665 – $3,658, but only with higher TF confirmation.
Reasoning: Gold often creates false breakdowns, trapping sellers before reversing higher.
Targets: $3,701 / $3,765
Stop Loss: Below $3,636
👉 Message was clear: “Trade at your own risk, but wait for confirmation before entering.”
📊 After (Market Response)
The market tested our entry zone ($3,660) 20-30 pips before tp, held support strongly, and then bounced higher.
Market Captured 200 pips in Short. Currently Entered in Long form 3665 is also 150 pips plus Currently. Trailed and Secured.
✅ Entry triggered with confirmation.
✅ Current price: around $3,681.
📈 Captured: ~200+ pips profit from entry to now.
🎯 First resistance $3,701 now in sight.
This shows the H&S breakdown was a trap — exactly as anticipated.
🧐 What’s Next? (Expert View)
TP1 ($3,701) – Close to being tested.
TP2 ($3,765) – Still achievable if momentum continues.
Trade Management:
Conservative traders → Trail stops to breakeven at $3,670.
Aggressive traders → Book partials & let the rest run.
New entries → Avoid chasing. Wait for pullback near $3,674–$3,665 or a clean breakout retest above $3,701.
📌 Key Lessons from This Case Study
Confirmation matters: Higher TF saved us from a fake breakdown.
Patterns aren’t enough: Context is king in volatile markets like Gold.
Partial profits are smart: Locking gains reduces stress while holding runners.
✅ Conclusion
This before-and-after study of XAUUSD highlights how patience, confirmation, and risk management can turn a “risky” setup into a profitable trade.
Entry Zone: $3,665–$3,658
Move Captured: ~200+ pips
Next Levels: $3,701 / $3,765
👉 Gold once again proved why traders must respect false breakouts and traps.
🔖 Tags
#XAUUSD #Gold #HeadAndShoulders #TradingCaseStudy #PriceAction #RiskManagement #MultiTimeframeAnalysis #Tradyoga #yogeshonale
US500: Disconnection between equity prices & broad economic dataThe US500 is trading near record highs with the index up nearly 18% over the year. The market is driven by optimism about an imminent Fed rate cut, robust Q3 earnings, and continued strength in large cap tech shares, but fundamental valuation concerns and signs of overbought technical conditions persist.
Fundamental Analysis
The rally is resting on expectations that the Federal Reserve will announce its first 2025 rate cut this week, likely by 25 basis points.
Mega cap tech and rate sensitive sectors are leading gains, but economic headwinds remain, unemployment is ticking higher, and indicators like retail sales and leading economic indicators have weakened.
Valuations among the top US500 stocks are stretched, with the top 10 names trading at a forward P/E of 30x well above historical averages and record levels of cash hoarding notably by Berkshire Hathaway are raising caution flags.
Disconnection between equity prices and broad economic data is notable, with softening consumer metrics and elevated corporate bankruptcies.
Technical Analysis
Technical signals remain mostly bullish, as the index continues to trade within a strong uptrend and posts new highs.
Short-term technical indicators such RSI show overbought conditions and weak breadth could signal fatigue.
Key support is found at 6,545, then at 6,505 while immediate resistance is at the all-time high and then at projected levels of 6,630 ahead of 6,690.
Analysis by Terence Hove, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Gold – Is This Head & Shoulders a Trap or Opportunity?"Gold has formed a Head & Shoulders on the 15M chart — but is it a real breakdown or a bullish trap? Waiting for higher timeframe confirmation before entry. Risk management is key."
Timeframe: 15M | Instrument: Gold Spot (XAUUSD) | Date: Sept 17, 2025
🧐 Market Outlook
Gold has formed a Head & Shoulders pattern on the 15M chart. Typically a bearish sign, but here’s the catch — Gold is famous for false breakouts. If this neckline break fails, we could see a powerful bullish reversal.
📐 Setup Breakdown
Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder completed.
Price testing neckline around $3,665 – $3,658.
Support zones: $3,658 / $3,636 / $3,604
Resistance zones: $3,701 / $3,765
🎯 Trade Plan (Standby Entry)
✅ Entry: $3,665 – $3,658 (ONLY with higher TF confirmation)
❌ Stop Loss: Below $3,636
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $3,701
TP2: $3,765
⚠️ This is a standby setup. Do not jump in without 1H / 4H bullish confirmation (engulfing or demand zone defense).
🛑 Risk Management
Risk max 1–2% per trade.
R:R approx 3:1 if TP2 achieved.
Avoid over-leverage — Gold is volatile.
📌 Key Lessons (Case Study)
Patterns need confirmation → Don’t trade 15M patterns blindly.
False breakouts are traps → Especially in Gold.
Discipline matters more than prediction → Wait for price action to validate.
✅ Conclusion
This chart is a case study for traders:
Spot the pattern ✔️
Wait for higher timeframe confirmation ✔️
Manage risk ✔️
👉 Trading is not about catching every move, it’s about protecting capital and seizing the right opportunities.
🔖 Tags
#XAUUSD #Gold #PriceAction #HeadAndShoulders #TradingPsychology #RiskManagement #MultiTimeframeAnalysis #CaseStudy #TradYoga #YogesHonale