BITCOIN Has this huge Bearish Divergence started the Bear Cycle?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to be under heavy pressure in the past 4 weeks since the October 06 All Time High (ATH) and finds itself battling to hold the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. That trend-line has been basically the Support of this Bull Cycle since March 2023, and acted as the most optimal long-term buy level.
 ** Has the Bull Cycle ended? ** 
However this Bull Cycle may have very well come to an end already as the 1W RSI has been long exhibiting the same kind of bearish pattern (Lower Highs trend-line), while also having completed the 4-year Cycle, that all previous Bull Cycles formed on their respective tops. This is a huge Bearish Divergence formation as it goes against the price's Higher Highs, indicating trend exhaustion.
As you can see that 1 RSI Lower Highs trend-line formed the November 2021, December 2017 and December 2013 Cycle Tops. Even worse, the current Lower Highs trend-line has been going on since the March 11 2024 High. If BTC closes a 1W candle below its 1W MA50, it has greater probabilities to confirm the start of the new Bear Cycle as all previous ones did on such break-out.
 ** If yes, how much can it drop? ** 
Now, it might not be too relevant at this time yet, but as far as how low the Bear Cycle can go to before it bottoms, there are three potential levels of interest where long-term investors can Dollar Cost Average (DCA).
The January 2015 Bear Cycle bottom was formed on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Then the December 2018 Bear Cycle bottom was formed on the 1W MA200 and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous bottom. The last Bear Cycle has its bottom below the 1W MA200 and on the next Fib in line, the 0.5 level. The decline on each Bear Cycle that followed decelerated and was less than the previous (-86.70% to -84.19% to -77.22%).
If the new Bear Cycle has already started then the first level for a potential bottom is again the 0.382 Fib around $58000 where contact may potentially be made with the 1W MA200 as well. If it follows the previous Bear Cycle and bottoms on the 0.5 Fib, it will also be below the 1W MA200 around $45000. If on the other hand it goes a Fib level further, as the last two Cycles did, we are looking at the 0.618 Fib as a potential strong bottom candidate around $35000. That will also be a -70.76% decline from the Top, which will be -7% less than the previous Bear Cycle, which is also the difference that the 2022 Bear Cycle had from the 2018 one.
So what do you think? Has the Bull Cycle ended already and if yes, how low can the new Bear Cycle go? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTCUSDT – Rejection at Resistance - What’s Next for Bitcoin?👋Hello everyone , what do you think about  BINANCE:BTCUSDT  ?
Today, BTCUSDT is trading around $110,700 after failing to sustain its recovery above the $115,000 resistance zone. This area is considered a “redistribution zone”, where sellers are regaining short-term control.
 After the drop from resistance, price made a pullback, and the key zone to watch is between the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci levels. If selling pressure continues, Bitcoin could likely decline toward the $106,000–$105,000 support area in the coming sessions.
 
From a sentiment perspective, Bitcoin’s momentum has slowed down in October. Investors are becoming more cautious as institutional inflows cool off and expectations rise that the Fed may maintain tight policy for longer. This has tilted the short-term outlook slightly toward a correction phase.
 What about you — do you think Bitcoin will bounce back from support, or will it continue to drop deeper? 💬
BTC - Bouncing From the Sweet Spot?⚔️Bitcoin is currently sitting at a high-confluence zone , where the daily support perfectly aligns with the lower bound of the ascending wedge. This intersection makes it a prime area to look for potential bullish reactions.
 🏹As long as this support holds,  I’ll be looking for long opportunities, expecting BTC to push higher within the wedge structure.
The first target for this bullish move lies around the upper bound of the wedge, which conveniently lines up with the supply zone near $122,000, a key resistance to watch.
📉If the support fails, the structure could shift, but for now, bulls still have the technical edge.
 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📊All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC Analysis 30/10/2025BTC / USDT 
Bitcoin is forming a massive ascending wedge pattern, a bearish pattern currently undergoing a bearish retest.
The 200-day EMA is a significant support level and has been tested multiple times in the past few weeks. The more it is retested, the weaker the support becomes.
The sharp drop on October 10th impacted the market's direction.
Bearish targets for this scenario:
First support: 103,000 - 100,000
Major support: 94,000 - 89,000
Summary: The market is currently bearish, and we can revise our analysis if Bitcoin manages to stabilize above 117,000.
Bitcoin - This chart is crumbling!⛔️Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) creates a massive top: 
  
 🔎Analysis summary: 
 All the previous cycles on Bitcoin have been lasting about 1,000 days. And exactly three years ago, Bitcoin retested the previous all time high, starting the next bullrun. If we soon see bearish confirmation on Bitcoin, this crypto will lead to another insane bloodbath. 
 📝Levels to watch: 
 $100,000 and $50,000 
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
ETH/USDT: Price Decline Warning, Caution for Buy Opportunities!The ETH/USDT pair is currently facing clear downward pressure after failing to break through the strong resistance at 4,150.00. The 4-hour chart shows that Ethereum is moving in a short-term downtrend, with prices heading towards the important support level of 3,780.00. The strong rejection from this area indicates that the current market sentiment is leaning towards selling.
The market's cash flow also reflects short-term distribution, and the RSI indicator shows that ETH has previously entered overbought territory, and may continue to correct downward. These factors suggest that Ethereum could continue to face selling pressure, especially if the support levels are not strong enough to hold the price.
 Impact of Recent News: 
 1. Australia's Core Inflation Data Rises Sharply:  Australia's core inflation index increased by 1.0% in Q3, exceeding the forecast of 0.8%. This reduces expectations of a near-term rate cut and could affect ETH/USDT if the USD strengthens.
 2. Expectations on U.S. Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy:  The market expects the Fed to maintain high interest rates, which could strengthen the USD and put downward pressure on ETH/USDT.
 Conclusion:  Given the current downtrend and pressure from technical indicators, ETH/USDT is likely to continue decreasing over the next 48 hours. However, traders need to be cautious and closely monitor the support level at 3,780.00. If the price shows strong signs of recovery from here, it could present a good opportunity to enter the market.
Bitcoin Hits PRZ – Time for a Correction?As I expected yesterday ,  Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )  did drop down to the  Support zone($114,300-$113,000)  at the  lower line  of the ascending channel and then started rising again today. Both  Long and Short  positions basically  hit their Targets .
At the moment,  Bitcoin  is moving near a  Resistance zone($118,740-$115,740) , the  Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and  Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($118,224-$116,281) .
From an  Elliott Wave perspective , it seems like  Bitcoin  is completing the  microwave 4 of the microwave C of the main wave Y . There's a noticeable  Negative Regular Divergence(RD-)  between the last two peaks, which suggests some  weakening momentum .
I expect that  Bitcoin   won't  break through the  Resistance zone($118,740-$115,740)  easily and may fall back at least to the  Support zone($114,300-$113,000) . If it drops below the  100_SMA(Daily)  and  50_SMA(Daily) , we could see a deeper decline and possibly the  CME Gap($113,495-$110,990)  being filled.
 Note: Another point to mention is that although the SPX500( TVC:SPX ) has been hitting new all-time highs as the new week began, BTC has shown a bit less correlation with it in the last day. So if the S&P 500 undergoes a correction, Bitcoin might actually see a sharper pullback, which is something to watch out for as a potential negative factor for Bitcoin. 
 Note: Also, keep in mind that tomorrow, some important U.S. economic indices will be released, which could also influence the market. So definitely factor that into your considerations. 
 Note: In general, the crypto market in the past couple of weeks has been heavily influenced by news around U.S.-China tariffs. Any headline can cause Bitcoin and other tokens to swing up or down, so keep an eye on those geopolitical headlines. 
 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,033-$104,090 
 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. 
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 2-hour time frame.
 Be sure to follow the updated ideas. 
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
 Please do not forget the ✅'  like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN SIGNAL: SECRET PATTERN ABOUT TO BREAKOUT (massive)!!!!!!Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video! 
 And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. 
 Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics .
HOME/USDT | $HOME Ready to Pump – Watch $0.0232 Breakout!By analyzing the  BME:HOME  chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that after a correction down to $0.02265, the price found strong buying interest and is now trading around $0.02338.
If the price manages to hold above $0.02320, we can expect a strong bullish move from this token.
The key demand zone lies between $0.02265–$0.02288, and the next targets for this potential rally are $0.02350, $0.02375, $0.02410, $0.02435, and $0.02450.
 Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BITCOIN LONG FROM SUPPORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 109,971.94
Target Level: 115,314.48
Stop Loss: 106,410.24
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
BTC HAS TO START UPSIDE ACTION ... OR IT DOESN'T START IT AT ALLMorning folks, 
So, we've got a H&S that we suggested. Great. Besides, price is already at the right arm's bottom - its time to make a decision, whether you're in or not. Also we could use this  small 30-min H&S  to minimize the risk. 
The logic is simple. Upside action has to start right from here, or it will not happen at all and BTC will fall back to 100K lows. 
BTC GOLDEN CYCLE CAN START ANY MOMENT WITH BREAKOUT 112K AFTER..BTC Breakdown Completed — Potential Rebound Toward $112K 🔁
Bitcoin has successfully tested the 106K zone, completing the expected breakdown move.
Price action now shows early signs of stabilization, suggesting that a recovery toward $112K–$113K could follow in the short term.
📊 Market Outlook:
Support was confirmed near $106K, halting further downside pressure.
Short-term resistance sits around $111.6K–$113.5K, the next likely retracement target.
Momentum remains weak but improving — volume shows early buyer re-entry.
📈 Scenario:
If BTC maintains support above $107K, a technical bounce toward the mid-range near $112K becomes likely before facing renewed resistance.
However, failure to sustain current levels could risk a retest of $106K.
💬 Summary:
BTC completed its breakdown to the 106K area and is now forming a possible relief rebound setup targeting $112K–$113K range.
With the same data, we did expect before the breakdown from 115K to 106K zone
BTC.D Weekly Series – Tracking the 60% level , Week by Week
This is BTC Dominance (BTC.D) on the weekly.
After climbing steadily since January 2023, BTC.D followed both the 21-week (grey) and 50-week (cyan) MAs all the way up, reclaiming key Fibonacci levels at 50% (0.236 Fib) and 60% (0.382 Fib) before finally getting rejected at the 0.5 Fib near 67%.
That rejection in June 2025 marked a structural shift: BTC.D dropped below the 21W and 50W MAs, and back under the 0.382 Fib (60%).
Last week’s flash recovery briefly spiked above these levels, but failed to hold, closing back under.
This week’s candle is confirming that weakness again.
Until the 0.382 Fib turns into solid support, dominance remains technically in a downtrend: meaning capital might be slowly rotating away from BTC toward ETH and large-cap alts.
For traders, this level defines the next phase:
Hold above 60% → BTC continues to dominate.
Break lower → rotation and volatility spread wider across the market.
Either way, BTC.D is the map, and this chart is worth watching closely in the coming weeks.
Bias: Bearish-to-neutral short term, trend losing momentum while capital flow diversifies.
 Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
BTCUSD UPDATEBitcoin and the Dollar — October 30, 2025
Bitcoin continues to hold AT the 109,090 volume node — the same zone that absorbed heavy selling during drop. This is the market’s decision point.
1. Macro 
The Dollar remains firm after Powell’s cautious tone on rate cuts. Liquidity is flowing toward safety, not speculation. Until the Fed signals confidence, risk markets stay reactive — not expansive.
2. Market structure
We’re taking profits into the 109,090 node. No fresh shorts added here.
Below 106,324 sits a pool of stops — a clear downside magnet if sellers regain control.
If price rotates higher, value area high around 115,596 is the next liquidity zone.
3. Institutional view
This is still a range-driven market. Algorithms are defending prior value while waiting for clarity in macro tone and Dollar strength.
Takeaway
The bias remains cautious.
Dollar firmness defines the boundary.
Structure over story — patience over prediction.
— CORE5DAN
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
Ethereum Game Plan - TDLRKZ MODELEthereum Game Plan - TDLRKZ MODEL 
📊  Market Sentiment 
On 29/10, the FED lowered rates by 25BPS, as expected. However, Powell’s comments introduced uncertainty regarding another cut in December, stating that further policy moves depend on incoming data.
Interestingly, one FED member dissented, preferring no cut this cycle — a shift from September when all members supported easing.
Following the statement, rate-cut expectations dropped from 95% to 68%, prompting traders to take profits and hedge, creating a short-term bearish sentiment across markets.
Despite this, the mid-to-long term outlook remains bullish, given the broader liquidity cycle and easing policy bias.
📈  Technical Analysis 
Ethereum is currently accumulating inside a well-defined range.
Price failed to sustain above the $4950 range high and has started retracing toward the HTF bullish trendline, a potential reaction zone aligning with prior liquidity pools and confluences.
If price holds around this zone, ETH could seek the range high again once momentum returns.
📘  Model in Use – Trendline Deviation with HTF LR into Key Zone (TDLRKZ Model) 
This model identifies setups where price deviates from HTF trendlines while interacting with liquidity zones and key structural levels.
The goal is to align HTF context with LTF confirmation for high-probability trend continuation setups.
 Model Steps: 
1️⃣ Identify the HTF trend direction and only trade in that direction.
2️⃣ Mark the HTF bullish trendline supporting price.
3️⃣ Spot HTF Key Zones likely to act as reaction areas.
4️⃣ Locate nearby liquidity pools or order concentrations.
5️⃣ Wait for confluence: when all align, confirm with a 4H market structure break for entry.
📌  Game Plan 
Looking for ETH to retrace into $3350 and reject from that level.
If a 4H break of structure occurs and daily candle closes above $3350, this will trigger a long-biased setup.
🎯  Setup Trigger 
→ 4H structure break after tagging $3350
→ Daily close above $3350
📋  Trade Management 
→  Entry:  After confirmation above $3350
→  Stop Loss:  Below swing low that caused 4H break of structure
→  Targets: 
TP1: $4150 (EQ)
TP2: $4550
TP3: $4950 (Range high)
→ Move SL to breakeven after TP1 is reached.
💬 Check my Substack for deeper macro and sentimental breakdowns — free subscriptions are open.
 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always DYOR before trading.
BTC High Probability Forecast Based on Real Math Bitcoin has repeatedly corrected ~mid-20% during the last 12–24 months. Using this empirical drawdown profile, a base-case correction of ~25% from a recent $126,000 high implies a **probable correction low near $94,500–$95,000. 
 This is a high probability forecast based on real math and stats, not science
fiction. No expanding triangles, Elliott Wave counts, Wolfe and Dragon patterns.
Bitcoin does not trade by the textbook. This is real world TA by a pro trader. 
 Tactical view: Expect a final flush toward ~$95k, then a reversal/bounce if market structure and liquidity conditions confirm. 
 Confidence: VERY HIGH —pattern consistency is notable, but crypto remains headline- and liquidity-sensitive. Use disciplined risk controls. 🧠 
2) Recent Corrections (Past 12–24 Months)
#	High → Low	% Drawdown
1	$72,000 → $54,000	25%
2	$108,000 → $76,000	28%
3	$70,000 → $50,000	28%
4	$74,000 → $56,000	24%
Empirical mean drawdown:
(25+28+28+24)÷4 = 26.25%.
We’ll use 25% as the base-case assumption (conservative vs. the 26.25% mean). ✅
 Projection for the Current Correction 
Reference high: $126,000
Base-case (25%) low:
$126,000 × (1 − 0.25) = $94,500
Empirical-mean (26.25%) low:
$126,000 × (1 − 0.2625) = $92,925
 Projected buy-zone: $92.9k – $95k, centered near $95k. 🎯
BTCUSDT.P - October 30, 2025BTCUSDT.P - In-depth analysis | 1D Timeframe
Trend Structure:
The market is currently consolidating after a notable uptrend that peaked near the $127,000 zone. Recent weekly candles display lower highs and moderate-bodied structures, suggesting a weakening bullish impulse. The current range is bounded by resistance at $126,200–$132,900 and support at $101,500, with a deeper structural support near $74,450.
Trend Strength:
Trend momentum is weak, indicated by a low strength reading. The loss of directional follow-through implies the market is entering a mid-cycle cooling phase or secondary correction within a broader bullish structure.
Volatility Conditions:
Volatility remains moderate, reflecting an equilibrium between buyers and sellers. This volatility profile typically precedes a breakout move after extended consolidation.
Squeeze:
Current market condition suggests energy buildup and potential for a decisive breakout in the coming weeks.
Bias:
Given the weakening trend and active squeeze near mid-range support, the near-term bias is SHORT, targeting potential tests of the $101,500 level before any renewed bullish continuation can be confirmed above $126,000.
DXY Daily Outlook — Bullish Order Flow Toward Equal HighsHello traders 👋
On the DXY daily chart, we can clearly see that price showed a strong bullish reaction after grabbing liquidity below 96.37, initiating a bullish order flow that, in my view, is still in progress.
The equal highs above the current price act as a potential draw on liquidity and serve as my first bullish target.
However, keep an eye on the trendline liquidity forming below the current price — there’s a possibility that price may sweep this liquidity before continuing higher.
Overall, my bias remains bullish for now.
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
🔎 DYOR
💡Wait for the update!
ASTER/USDT | ASTER Regains Momentum After Correction!By analyzing the  Aster  chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after correcting down to $0.93, the price rebounded strongly and climbed to $1.2220.
It’s now trading around $1.09, and if the price can hold above $1.05, we could expect further upside movement.
The next potential targets are  $1.14, $1.17, $1.21, and $1.24 .
 Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Fed Rate Cut Looms: BTC Dip to 95K-100K = Prime Entry Before MooCRYPTOCAP:BTC  / #Bitcoin 🪙 
 Fed Rate Cut Looms: BTC Dip to 95K-100K = Prime Entry Before Moonshot? (October 29, 2025 )
I've been away from the market for a good long while. In essence, nothing much happened during that time. 
 We're just hanging out in a sideways range, waiting for the big events: 
1. Fed Interest Rate Decision
2. FOMC Press Conference
3. Trump and Xi
In just a couple of hours, we'll see that 0.25% interest rate cut. And there'll be a key speech from Jerome Powell.
For today, trader sentiment looks mostly positive, from what I can tell. But I've got this gut feeling the market's gonna dip again.
The sweet spot for entry on Bitcoin should be 95k to 100k. They'll sweep the long liquidity once more, and then we'll head higher. That's how I see this event shaking out.
 Charts: 
➖ On the 5-day timeframe, that key level around 95k is still holding. Once it's tested, it'll clear the way for a push up to 145k to 200k (the final leg up).
➖ Chart from Coinglass Legend, which shows long trader liquidations stacking up below from $93k to $98k on the Bybit exchange. I figure they'll clear out that liquidity first before we rally.
➖ Big cluster of orders right nearby on the Coinbase crypto exchange at 93k and 100k, which backs up this zone as a hot spot. Whale money's piling in, partly by scooping up those trader liquidations.
As you know, messing with leveraged trades is a risky game.
The smart play is limit orders, and stick to spot only 😀🔥.
#Crypto #Trading #Coinbase #FED #FOMC #STOCK
ADA/USDT | ADA Setting Up for 10% to 100% Gains, Don’t Miss ThisBy analyzing the  Cardano (ADA)  chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that price is currently trading around $0.67.
Based on the current structure, I expect ADA to start a strong bullish move after a short period of consolidation.
The expected potential returns are around +10% short-term, +40% mid-term, and over +100% long-term. This analysis will be updated soon!
 Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BTC/USDT | BTC Update – Testing the $112K Barrier!By analyzing the  #Bitcoin  chart on the 12-hour timeframe, we can see that after finding strong support near  $103,500 ,  BTC  has continued its recovery and recently reached  $111,700 . The key question now is whether the price can break decisively above the  $112K  resistance zone.
The  $103K–$105K  range still acts as a  major demand area , while the  $109K–$112K  zone remains  short-term resistance . A confirmed breakout above  $112K  could open the door toward  $113,800, $116,000, and $119,600 , while rejection from this zone might trigger another pullback before continuation.
Overall, the structure remains  neutral-to-bullish , and volatility is still high — you guys should stay alert for a confirmed breakout before the next big move develops. 
 Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban






















