BTCUSDT Long: Demand Holding at 90,100 - Eyes on 92,200 SupplyHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSDT (4H) based on the current chart structure. After a strong bearish move, BTC formed a clear pivot low, from which price transitioned into a bullish recovery phase. From this pivot point, the market developed a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a shift in market structure and increasing buyer control through a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. This channel guided price higher until BTC reached a key Supply Zone around 92,000–92,200, where selling pressure emerged. At this supply area, price experienced a rejection and breakout failure, indicating that sellers are actively defending this level. Following the rejection, BTC briefly broke below short-term structure and moved into a consolidation range, reflecting temporary balance between buyers and sellers. More recently, price has started to recover again, respecting a rising Demand Line, which signals that buyers are still defending the broader bullish structure.
Currently, BTC is trading between a key Demand Zone near 90,100–90,300 and the overhead Supply Zone around 92,200. This area represents a critical decision zone for the market, where the next directional move is likely to be defined.
My scenario: as long as BTCUSDT holds above the Demand Zone and continues to respect the rising demand trend line, the bullish bias remains valid. I expect buyers to attempt another push toward the 92,200 Supply Zone. A clean breakout and acceptance above this level would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for further upside. However, a strong rejection from supply followed by a breakdown below demand would weaken the structure and increase the probability of a deeper corrective move. For now, price remains in a compression phase between demand and supply — patience and proper risk management are key. Manage your risk!
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTCUSD Consolidation Before the Next Big MoveHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTCUSD (4H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin is trading within a broader bullish structure after reclaiming key levels and breaking above previous consolidation zones. Earlier on the chart, price respected a rising support line and formed a series of higher lows, signaling growing buyer strength. After a brief pullback, BTC entered a consolidation range, where the market paused before continuing higher. This range acted as an accumulation zone, and the subsequent breakout confirmed renewed bullish momentum. Currently, BTCUSD is trading above the Buyer Zone around the 90,000–91,000 area, which aligns with previous resistance turned support. Price recently broke out from this zone and is now consolidating just below the Seller Zone / Resistance Level near 93,700. This resistance also aligns with a descending resistance line, increasing its significance and making it a key reaction area. My scenario: as long as BTCUSD holds above the Buyer Zone and respects the rising support line, the bullish structure remains intact. A clean breakout and acceptance above the 93,700 Resistance Level would confirm continuation toward the next upside target (TP1). However, a strong rejection from resistance could lead to a corrective pullback back into the Buyer Zone before any further attempt higher. For now, price remains compressed between support and resistance, and a decisive move is likely soon. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTCUSDT: Compression Before the Move (IH&S Inside Triangle)Hi!
Price is still moving inside a symmetrical triangle, showing clear compression and indecision. An inverse head & shoulders is visible, but the breakout so far is weak and needs confirmation.
Short-term expectation:
A push-up is likely toward the gray resistance zone around 91,330. From there, a reaction/pullback is expected, with the price potentially dropping back toward the bottom line of the triangle.
Key scenarios:
• Bullish: Clean break and hold above the upper trendline → targets 93,200 – 93,500
• Bearish: Rejection from resistance and breakdown of the lower trendline → downside toward 89,400 – 89,000
This is still a patience zone. Let price show its hand before committing.
Bitcoin Ranges as Middle East Tensions Raise Sell-Off RiskBitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has experienced both bullish and bearish moves over the past few days under the influence of various news events, resulting in a clear ranging structure.
One key factor that must be considered for Bitcoin and other risk assets is the escalation of tensions in the Middle East. This situation can act as a catalyst for sudden sell-offs across Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading near resistance lines, as well as the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($93,150-$92,970), and has reacted precisely to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin appears to be completing a Double Three Correction (WXY) within this short-term range.
I expect Bitcoin to make another attempt toward the lower line of the ascending channel.
If this level breaks, we should be prepared for a deeper decline toward the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage zone($90,360-$89,360).
First Target: $90,773
Second Target: $89,903
Stop Loss(SL): $90,923
Points may shift as the market evolves
CME gap: $88,720-$88,120
What do you think about Bitcoin in the short term? I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $87,125-$86,000
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
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BTC Roadmap 2026-2027 ~ $320KHello BTC Watchers.
A quick update on BTC outlook for 2026 and a possible target for the next 2 years.
Incase you missed the explanation on the logarithmic chart, I mapped out the date-ranges, as well as how far the price fell logarithmically after each top. You'll see the word "lines" on the chart. This simply indicates the amount of diagonal trendlines it has fallen. By using this pattern-dedicated approach, a commonality is found which may be useful in speculating a future price. Because if not for past history, how else would we speculate on the future?
It's interesting to note that the past 3 ATH's (all time high's) are each lower than the previous if you compare it not to price but to the "lines". Even the fifth high (the one coming next) will be on a lower click-line than the previous, and that estimate is already over 300k. This is a really helpful way to speculate a future high because usually, on a regular-view chart, the zone above the ATH is uncharted territory. You could use a Fibonacci trend-based extension, but this is limited to the cycle that you're using for input points. Logarithmic chart + indicators factor in the entire history of the price.
This would mean the new peak could be in 2026 around USD 300k.
It's important to note that this ay not be a straight line up. As you'll see, although the price has been increasing exponentially, there have been periods of hard pullbacks or corrections. These are great times to enter the market, NOT when the price is close to the peak of the curve (in green).
So currently, it's likely we're seeing the beginning of a slow bearish cycle / correction or dip in the road before starting another impulse wave up towards a new ATH.
In the short term, it may seem like we're bullish due to the flag patterns showing up everywhere. But in reality, this is more likely a corrective bounce up before another minus 20% - 30% drop:
Moreso, before we consider a MEANINGFUL reversal we must first see a daily candle close ABOVE the 200d MA< which is the upper grey:
BTCUSD – The Uptrend Is Being ReinforcedAs the market waits for key macroeconomic data, BTCUSD is telling a clear and constructive technical story: price is building a solid base for a sustainable uptrend, rather than reacting in a chaotic way to short-term news.
Looking at the chart, Bitcoin continues to maintain a structure of higher lows, closely respecting a long-term ascending trendline. Each corrective move has stalled precisely within demand zones, confirming that active buying interest remains present. Most importantly, price is now holding firmly above the Ichimoku Kumo — a strong signal that the bullish trend is being accepted by the market, not merely forming a temporary technical rebound.
The 89,400 USD zone is acting as a key support level. Repeated positive reactions from this area clearly highlight it as a defensive zone for buyers. In a constructive scenario, as long as BTCUSD continues to hold above this support and absorb short-term volatility, the next upside objective points toward 94,900 – 95,000 USD, aligning with the upper supply zone and previous reaction highs.
When combined with the news backdrop, as long as CPI data does not come in excessively “hot” , Bitcoin has a solid foundation to extend its current bullish momentum. Technical structure remains supportive, while overall market sentiment is gradually stabilizing — a combination that favors continuation rather than reversal.
BTCUSDT: Consolidates Above Support, Bulls Preparing Next MoveHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT previously traded inside a well-defined range, where price moved sideways for an extended period, indicating balance and accumulation between buyers and sellers. This consolidation phase ended with a clean breakout to the upside, confirming a shift in market control toward buyers. Following the breakout, price respected a rising trend line, forming higher highs and higher lows, which validated a bullish market structure. As BTC continued higher, it reached a key Resistance Zone around 91,700, where selling pressure appeared. Price reacted from this area and pulled back, but the move remained corrective rather than impulsive. During the pullback, BTC found support at the Support Zone near 90,100, which aligns with previous breakout structure and the rising trend line. At the same time, price is trading below a descending triangle resistance line, suggesting compression and preparation for a directional move.
Currently, BTC is holding above the support zone and the ascending trend line, while consolidating below resistance. This structure suggests buyers are still defending the market, and the overall bullish bias remains intact as long as support holds.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario: as long as BTCUSDT remains above the 90,100 Support Zone and continues to respect the rising trend line, the bullish bias remains valid. I expect buyers to defend this area and attempt a breakout above the 91,700 Resistance Zone, which would open the door for continuation toward higher levels.
However, a decisive breakdown below support and the trend line would weaken the bullish structure and increase the probability of a deeper corrective move. Until that happens, price action favors consolidation followed by potential upside continuation.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BITCOIN This is one of the best indicators for buying the bottomBitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to consolidate during these (almost) past 2 months as it is headed towards a 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) test, where it was rejected on the last Bear Cycle and started its Stage 2. This Stage is what typically leads to the Cycle bottom, which is essentially the most optimal level for a long-term investor to enter/ buy.
One of the best indicators to call out a Cycle bottom is the Net Unrealized Profit Loss (NUPL). As you can see (black trend-line), when this has historically hit its green line, BTC was on excellent buy opportunity levels (green vertical zones) as the Bear Cycle bottom was priced immediately after.
The last Cycle bottom also happened to be exactly on the 1W MA350 (red trend-line), which the March 2020 COVID flash crash also approached. As a result, it would be no surprise to see BTC hit that level on the next Cycle bottom as well, which according to its current trajectory, this test could be around $50000. But as mentioned, the strongest buy indication would be the NUPL touching its green trend-line regardless of BTC's price at the moment.
So what do you think? Will the NUPL be a indicator that you will look out for? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bullish continuation confirmed —Bitcoin moves above EMA55Once the action moves and closes daily above EMA55, a major advance is fully confirmed.
The last time Bitcoin moved above EMA55, after a correction/coming from a low point, was 21-April 2025. This development resulted in massive growth and a new all-time high, the continuation of the bullish trend.
Bitcoin started to go down 7-October to hit bottom 21-November. The entire move lasted 46 days. From 21-November through 13-January 2026, we have 53 days. So the recovery period has been going longer than the entire correction. This is enough to say that the bearish move is over.
Now, Bitcoin already moved once above EMA55 on the fifth of January just to be rejected. A classic rejection. The rejection ended up being a minor retrace and now we are back above this level.
The move you are seeing now will take Bitcoin above $100,000 for sure. Bitcoin is likely to hit $110,000 and it is possible going a bit higher. Anything goes. It can go even higher or peak a bit lower. After the relief rally, it goes back down to produce a lower low. After the final low, the market will settle and start a new cycle. This new cycle can last years, just like we saw Bitcoin growing from November 2022 until October 2025.
The next one can be: The low August 2026 with a high some time around 2029. The low can happen in June, July, August, October, November... Who knows. There can be strong variations because the market is more mature now, it is bigger now, and it is very hard to predict exact dates.
We know that some time around Q3 the market will be resting in order to go bullish again.
Q1 2026, NOW!, we get strong bullish action.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Next Volatility Period: Around January 20th
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Have a great day!
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period will last until January 11th.
The current price is above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart. To confirm this, we need to examine whether the price can rise to the left Fibonacci range of 3 (92026.52) - 3.14 (93570.28).
The StochRSI indicator has entered an oversold zone, and the On-Board Volume indicator is near the High Line.
Since the TC indicator is at 0, any movement is not surprising.
If the On-Board Volume indicator breaks above the High Line and the second EMA, and the price rises to the left Fibonacci range of 3 (92026.52) - 3.14 (93570.28), further upside is expected.
The next volatility period is around January 20th.
Therefore, as the next volatility period passes, we need to examine which of the circles on the chart it is near.
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If the price falls below the 84739.74-87944.84 range, a step-down trend is likely, so you should consider a response plan.
The maximum decline is between 69K and 73K, but a potential uptrend near 78595.86 is also possible, so you should consider a response plan for this.
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During an uptrend, you should monitor whether the price can sustain itself by breaking above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
If the upward breakout is successful, the key will be whether it can break above the 108353-11010569 range.
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A lot of money has flowed into the coin market, but recently, it has been flowing out.
If this flow of funds changes, the coin market could experience another bull market.
For the coin market to experience a bull market, I believe both BTC and USDT dominance must decline.
USDT dominance must fall below 4.915 and either remain stable or show a downward trend.
BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and either remain stable or show a downward trend.
If not, I believe it will be difficult for all coins (tokens) to experience a bull market.
2026 is likely to be the year of a major bear market, so it's a good idea to closely monitor capital movements.
USDT and USDC are showing gapping declines as a precursor to a bear market.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will provide more detailed information when the bear market begins.
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Bitcoin Under Pressure - H1-Bearish Flag (10.01.2026)📝 Description 🔍 Setup (Market Structure) COINBASE:BTCUSD
BTC/USDT - Bitcoin is forming a classic Bearish Flag pattern on the H1 timeframe after a strong impulsive sell-off (flagpole). Price is consolidating upward in a tight channel while staying below EMA and Ichimoku cloud resistance, indicating weak bullish momentum and a high-probability continuation to the downside.
📌 Trade Plan - Bearish Bias 📉
Wait for a clear breakdown below the flag support
Aggressive entry: breakdown candle close
Conservative entry: breakdown + pullback (retest of flag support)
📍 Support & Resistance Levels
🔴 1st Support: 88,670
🔴 2nd Support (Measured Move Target): 87,620
🟢 Key Resistance: Bearish flag upper trendline / Cloud resistance
🎯 Target Projection: Height of flagpole applied from breakdown point
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #BearishFlag #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarket #TradingView #Kabhi_TA_Trading
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Crypto markets are highly volatile — always use proper risk management and trade with a stop-loss.
💬 Support the Idea 👍 Like if you see the bearish continuation
💬 Comment: Breakdown or Fakeout? 🔁 Share with traders watching Bitcoin
BITCOIN drops by more than -60% when this signal flashes.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has closed the last 2M candle on a MACD Bearish Cross. Every time this has happened historically (2 times), Bitcoin has dropped by -67.66% and -68.75% from he top of that candle.
If history is repeated, a new -67.66% would deliver $36500 as the bottom of the current Bear Cycle. This time though, that would be below the MA50 (blue trend-line), so a range of 44500 - 36500 might be more appropriate.
In any case, this latest Bearish Cross comes as another confirmation of a 2026 Bear Cycle.
So are you expecting BTC to fall more than -60% from here? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin: Higher Lows Lead To Higher Highs Watch Longs.After rejecting the 95K key resistance, Bitcoin is now testing the 90K area (old resistance / new support) and is poised to establish a higher low for the coming week. From here the key is to identify bullish reversal patterns in this area, and wait for them to confirm. Upon confirmation risk/reward can be assessed and a swing trade long can be justified. Now lets talk about profit objectives and anticipated price behavior.
The arrow on the chart emphasizes the higher low formation. Higher lows often lead to higher highs. Also notice price continues to consolidate ABOVE the 88K area which I have pointed out extensively as the Wave 1,4 overlap for the broader 5th Wave. It may sound complex, but what it points to is a higher probability that Bitcoin has one more large impulse wave in front of it. This implies that 126K or even higher prices like the 133K area are within range over the next quarter. This is NOT a certainty, but I use this as a road map to shape my own expectations.
Risk can be defined by the 88K level. If price breaks below it again, a retrace into the mid to low 80Ks becomes the expectation. And from there waiting to see if bullish reversal patterns appear. Price NEEDS to stay below 88K for an extensive period, like at least a week or more to strengthen the argument that the current structure is NOT an impulse and that a test of high (126K) is less likely.
For entries, you can use candle break outs. For example, waiting for a break of a daily high and strong close. The reasonable place for a stop would be the breakout candle low, etc. You can also look for breakout patterns on smaller time frames like 4H ect. How you mange this is really up to your personal preferences and style. The point is, this is a situation where it makes sense to specifically look for breakouts rather than pullbacks into support since the broader structure is coming off of a support level.
The main thing is not to lose sight of the fundamental and technical conflict at the moment. Price has retraced in the face of fundamental strength. There are countless events, actions and developments coming from the macro and institutional side along with an easing monetary policy environment. These factors increase the chances of a bullish outcome EVEN if price probes lower in the shorter time horizon. Keep in mind, markets are highly irrational and react to short term perceptions even while the longer term fundamentals and price structure have yet to change. The bigger picture carries more weight, and serves as an optimal guide for expectations.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTCUSD: Triangle Compression After Trendline BreakHi!
Bitcoin broke the long-term descending trendline, but instead of expanding, the price moved into a large triangle range. This shows hesitation; the market is building energy, not trending yet.
Current structure:
Broken downtrend → consolidation
Clear triangle with rising support and horizontal resistance
Key levels & scenarios:
Bullish scenario:
If price breaks and holds above the top of the triangle (93,500–94,000)
→ First target: 99,200
→ Extension target: 104,400
Bearish scenario:
If price loses the rising trendline support
→ Downside opens toward 81,300
For now, this is a wait-for-breakout structure. Direction will be decided only after a clean break, patience matters here.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin Is At Supply – This Rally Looks ExhaustedBITSTAMP:BTCUSD on the M30 timeframe is currently trading into a clearly defined supply zone, and the context of the move strongly suggests this is a corrective rally within a broader distribution range, not the start of a new bullish leg. The recent impulsive push higher was sharp and emotional, but price has now stalled exactly where sellers previously stepped in aggressively a classic warning sign.
From a market structure standpoint, BTC has not established a clean bullish trend. Instead, price continues to oscillate between premium (supply) and discount (demand) zones, forming a range-like structure with liquidity runs on both sides. The current push into the 92,400–92,600 region represents a move into premium, where risk to reward for fresh longs becomes unfavorable and selling pressure typically increases.
The interaction with the moving averages further supports this view. Price is extended above the short-term EMA while the longer EMA is still lagging below, a configuration that often precedes a mean reversion move. In bearish or neutral conditions, these extensions into supply tend to attract profit-taking from late buyers and short positioning from more patient sellers.
The rejection wick printed inside the supply zone is particularly important. It signals sell-side interest and rejection of higher prices, suggesting that smart money is distributing positions rather than accumulating. This behavior aligns with the projected path: a short-term pullback, a weak corrective bounce, and then a continuation move lower as liquidity below the range becomes the next target.
On the downside, the 90,200–90,400 demand zone stands out as the primary magnet. This area previously triggered strong buying reactions and remains unmitigated, making it a high-probability destination if price rolls over from supply. A move back into this zone would not be surprising — it would simply complete another rotation within the broader structure.
In summary, Bitcoin is not breaking out it is reacting at supply. As long as price remains capped below the supply zone and fails to build acceptance above it, the higher-probability scenario favors downside continuation toward demand. In this market, patience is rewarded, and chasing strength near supply is exactly where traders tend to get trapped.
BTCUSD at a Decision Point On the H1 timeframe, Bitcoin is currently trading inside a clear liquidity-driven range, where both upside and downside scenarios remain technically valid, but the market is approaching a decision zone. After the prior impulsive sell-off, price formed a base at the lower range and gradually transitioned into a recovery phase, printing higher lows and reclaiming mid-range value. This behavior suggests that sell side liquidity has already been absorbed, and the market is now actively probing for the next pool of resting orders.
At present, BTC is pressing into a key equilibrium area around 92,000–92,500, which acts as a short-term inflection zone. If price can hold above the nearby support band around 91,000 and continue to build acceptance, the bullish scenario becomes dominant. In that case, Bitcoin is likely to expand higher toward the upper liquidity shelves near 93,000 and 94,200–94,500, where prior highs and buy-side liquidity are clearly resting. The projected pullbacks along this path would be corrective in nature, serving as re-accumulation before continuation.
However, failure to maintain acceptance above the current support would signal that the recent upside is merely a liquidity grab into resistance. A rejection from this zone could trigger a rotation back into the lower range, with price targeting the 90,500 area first, and potentially extending toward the deeper liquidity pool near 89,200–89,000 if bearish momentum accelerates. That downside path would represent a full range rotation rather than a trend continuation.
In summary, BTCUSD is not trending impulsively yet it is coiling within a liquidity box. Acceptance above current value favors upside continuation toward higher liquidity targets, while rejection opens the door for a deeper corrective sweep. The next sustained expansion will be defined by which side of liquidity the market chooses to reward.
BTCUSD I Potential Accumulation BreakoutWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** BTCUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
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$BTC - 1/12 Market Outlook Bitcoin got rejected at 92.5k once again. Yes, price is still holding the 89k support, but it tapped the top of the range without a clean breakout and slipped back down, which tells me the move up wasn’t very strong or convincing.
The weekend move was spot-led but relatively in low volume. Orderbooks were thin on both sides, and there wasn’t much real buy support underneath. We also saw open interest get flushed, meaning shorts were squeezed on the way up, and price has now faded back toward 90k.
Now it really comes down to whether 89k can hold into the New York session. If it doesn’t, there’s a higher chance that CRYPTOCAP:BTC will rotate back toward the yearly open around 87k, chop around a bit, and potentially slide lower into the 84–82k area.
Bitcoin at Range EquilibriumBitcoin at Range Equilibrium: Re-Accumulation for a Push Higher or Another Liquidity Sweep Below?
Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin is currently trading within a broad consolidation range following a strong bullish impulse earlier in the session. After reaching the upper boundary of the range, price faced heavy selling pressure and rotated lower, signaling profit-taking and short-term distribution, not a full trend reversal. Since that rejection, BTC has entered a low-volatility, sideways structure, with overlapping candles and reduced momentum. This price behavior typically reflects balance and absorption, where the market is building liquidity before the next directional expansion. Importantly, there has been no impulsive bearish follow-through, suggesting sellers are active but not yet in full control.
UPPLY & DEMAND – KEY ZONES
Upper Supply / Range High:
The 93,800–94,000 zone remains a major supply area, where previous bullish attempts were aggressively rejected. This is the key level that must be reclaimed for upside continuation.
Mid-Range Resistance (Flip Zone):
The 92,000–92,200 level acts as an important structure flip. Failed acceptance above this zone confirms ongoing range conditions.
Major Demand / Range Low:
The 89,500–89,800 area is a well-defined demand zone and liquidity base. This zone has repeatedly absorbed selling pressure and represents the downside boundary of the current range.
A break on either side of these zones will define the next trend leg.
🎯 CURRENT MARKET POSITION
Currently, BTC is trading near the middle-to-lower portion of the range, where directional conviction is typically weakest. This is a decision area, not an optimal breakout zone, as price can rotate aggressively in either direction. The market is compressing, indicating energy buildup rather than trend confirmation.
My scenario:
As long as Bitcoin holds above the 89,500–89,800 demand zone, the broader structure remains neutral-to-bullish. A successful defense of this demand could lead to a rotation back toward 92,000, and acceptance above that level would open the path for a test of the 93,800–94,000 supply zone. However, if price fails to hold the range low and accepts below demand, this would confirm a liquidity sweep and bearish continuation, exposing lower prices before any meaningful recovery attempt. For now, Bitcoin is ranging and waiting for confirmation, not trending.
⚠️ RISK NOTE
Range conditions often produce false signals. Let price confirm acceptance or rejection at key zones, avoid overtrading the middle of the range, and always manage your risk.
Bitcoin Holding Key Demand: Is This the Launchpad Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin is currently in a corrective phase following a sharp sell-off from the recent highs. After breaking below short-term structure, price has transitioned into range-bound consolidation, suggesting that bearish momentum is slowing rather than accelerating. The recent impulse down was followed by compression near support, a common behavior when the market is absorbing sell pressure. Despite the rejection from the mid-range resistance, price has not printed a new lower low, keeping the broader structure in a neutral-to-recovery state.
🟦 SUPPLY & DEMAND – KEY ZONES
- Major Support / Demand Zone: The 90,100–90,300 region is a well-defined support zone, where price has repeatedly reacted and found buyers. This area also aligns with previous consolidation and represents a strong demand base.
- Intermediate Resistance: The 91,600 level acts as the first key resistance. This zone previously supported price and now functions as a supply flip level.
- Upper Target / Supply: The 92,900–93,000 area is the next major upside target, aligning with prior range highs and overhead liquidity.
These levels define the potential recovery path if demand holds.
🎯 CURRENT MARKET POSITION
- Currently, BTC is trading directly above the key support zone, placing price at a high-probability reaction area. The presence of repeated wicks and small-bodied candles suggests buyer absorption, not aggressive sell continuation.
- Price is also attempting to stabilize around dynamic levels, reinforcing the idea of short-term base formation.
My scenario:
As long as Bitcoin holds above the 90,100–90,300 support zone, the current price action can be treated as a corrective base rather than bearish continuation. A sustained push above 91,600 would likely trigger a relief rally toward the 92,900–93,000 target zone.
However, a clean hourly close below the support zone would invalidate the recovery scenario and open the door for a deeper move lower, signaling renewed bearish control.
For now, the market is defending demand and waiting for confirmation.
⚠️ RISK NOTE
Support zones can fail quickly. Let price confirm strength above resistance or weakness below demand, avoid early entries, and always manage your risk.
Bullish Continuation Still on the Table After the PullbackBitcoin on the H1 timeframe is currently trading within a broader bullish context, despite the recent sharp pullback from the local highs. The overall structure suggests that price is undergoing a corrective phase rather than signaling a full trend reversal. After a strong impulsive rally toward the upper resistance band, BTC faced profit-taking and short-term selling pressure, which pushed price back toward a clearly defined support zone.
This support area, located around the 90,000–90,200 region, represents a key liquidity pocket where buyers previously stepped in. The reaction from this zone is critical, as it acts as the decision point between continuation and deeper correction. So far, price has respected this support, indicating that sell-side momentum is weakening and that the market may be absorbing supply rather than accelerating lower.
The rejection from higher resistance levels aligns with a healthy market rotation, allowing Bitcoin to reset momentum before the next directional move. As long as price continues to hold above the support zone and does not establish acceptance below it, the bullish continuation scenario remains valid. In this case, the market is likely to rotate higher again, with successive upside targets lining up around 91,500, 92,200, and ultimately the upper resistance near 93,700.
From a structure and liquidity perspective, the recent dip can be interpreted as a pullback to demand, offering stronger hands an opportunity to accumulate before the next expansion phase. A clean bullish reaction from support would confirm this outlook and open the path toward the marked upside targets.
However, a decisive breakdown and sustained trading below the support zone would invalidate the bullish continuation scenario and expose Bitcoin to a deeper retracement. Until that occurs, the technical bias remains cautiously bullish, with the market favoring higher prices after this corrective reset.
BTC Local Trend. Reversal Zone. Targets. Tactics. 23 12 25Logarithm. Time frame: 1 day.
Local downtrend. After the decline, the price is trapped in sideways consolidation for a long time (the idea is for stop-loss levels to accumulate on both sides). Price is near the breakout zone.
Buy fear in parts, sell joy in parts.
🟢 Upward breakout (trend + key local levels and, due to the short stop-loss domino effect, momentum) — fulfillment of the Dragon pattern's targets (first targets).
🔴 Downward breakout (support and long stop-loss zone) — fulfillment of the descending flag's targets (long stop-loss domino effect), at least partially.
More upside than downside, possible through stop-loss accumulation. But it's important to wait for a breakout in one direction or another.
A patient and consistent person will be rewarded, while a restless person will not.
Use trigger orders on both sides of the reversal zone:
1️⃣ for an upward breakout in the market (marker order) - 2 local zones;
2️⃣ and simultaneously for a decline - 2-3 trigger limit orders.
If you do this, you won't have to constantly monitor charts, news, opinions, and so on like a speculative addict, and you won't care at all which way the price goes. After all, your orders will trigger in the direction of the trend, and won't trigger (cancel them later) in the opposite direction. The exception is if your first orders hit a false exit, but this is taken into account in risk management and position allocation.
Risk should always be justified and controlled by you. This is the foundation of everything. If this isn't the case, you're building a speculative house on a clay foundation, trying only to guess the price. Sooner or later, it will collapse, and the later it happens, the more painful it will be.






















