BTCUSDT: Consolidates Above Support, Bulls Preparing Next MoveHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT previously traded inside a well-defined range, where price moved sideways for an extended period, indicating balance and accumulation between buyers and sellers. This consolidation phase ended with a clean breakout to the upside, confirming a shift in market control toward buyers. Following the breakout, price respected a rising trend line, forming higher highs and higher lows, which validated a bullish market structure. As BTC continued higher, it reached a key Resistance Zone around 91,700, where selling pressure appeared. Price reacted from this area and pulled back, but the move remained corrective rather than impulsive. During the pullback, BTC found support at the Support Zone near 90,100, which aligns with previous breakout structure and the rising trend line. At the same time, price is trading below a descending triangle resistance line, suggesting compression and preparation for a directional move.
Currently, BTC is holding above the support zone and the ascending trend line, while consolidating below resistance. This structure suggests buyers are still defending the market, and the overall bullish bias remains intact as long as support holds.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario: as long as BTCUSDT remains above the 90,100 Support Zone and continues to respect the rising trend line, the bullish bias remains valid. I expect buyers to defend this area and attempt a breakout above the 91,700 Resistance Zone, which would open the door for continuation toward higher levels.
However, a decisive breakdown below support and the trend line would weaken the bullish structure and increase the probability of a deeper corrective move. Until that happens, price action favors consolidation followed by potential upside continuation.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTCUSDT Long: Demand Holding at 90,100 - Eyes on 92,200 SupplyHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSDT (4H) based on the current chart structure. After a strong bearish move, BTC formed a clear pivot low, from which price transitioned into a bullish recovery phase. From this pivot point, the market developed a well-defined ascending channel, confirming a shift in market structure and increasing buyer control through a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. This channel guided price higher until BTC reached a key Supply Zone around 92,000–92,200, where selling pressure emerged. At this supply area, price experienced a rejection and breakout failure, indicating that sellers are actively defending this level. Following the rejection, BTC briefly broke below short-term structure and moved into a consolidation range, reflecting temporary balance between buyers and sellers. More recently, price has started to recover again, respecting a rising Demand Line, which signals that buyers are still defending the broader bullish structure.
Currently, BTC is trading between a key Demand Zone near 90,100–90,300 and the overhead Supply Zone around 92,200. This area represents a critical decision zone for the market, where the next directional move is likely to be defined.
My scenario: as long as BTCUSDT holds above the Demand Zone and continues to respect the rising demand trend line, the bullish bias remains valid. I expect buyers to attempt another push toward the 92,200 Supply Zone. A clean breakout and acceptance above this level would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for further upside. However, a strong rejection from supply followed by a breakdown below demand would weaken the structure and increase the probability of a deeper corrective move. For now, price remains in a compression phase between demand and supply — patience and proper risk management are key. Manage your risk!
BTCUSDT: Compression Before the Move (IH&S Inside Triangle)Hi!
Price is still moving inside a symmetrical triangle, showing clear compression and indecision. An inverse head & shoulders is visible, but the breakout so far is weak and needs confirmation.
Short-term expectation:
A push-up is likely toward the gray resistance zone around 91,330. From there, a reaction/pullback is expected, with the price potentially dropping back toward the bottom line of the triangle.
Key scenarios:
• Bullish: Clean break and hold above the upper trendline → targets 93,200 – 93,500
• Bearish: Rejection from resistance and breakdown of the lower trendline → downside toward 89,400 – 89,000
This is still a patience zone. Let price show its hand before committing.
Bitcoin Under Pressure - H1-Bearish Flag (10.01.2026)📝 Description 🔍 Setup (Market Structure) COINBASE:BTCUSD
BTC/USDT - Bitcoin is forming a classic Bearish Flag pattern on the H1 timeframe after a strong impulsive sell-off (flagpole). Price is consolidating upward in a tight channel while staying below EMA and Ichimoku cloud resistance, indicating weak bullish momentum and a high-probability continuation to the downside.
📌 Trade Plan - Bearish Bias 📉
Wait for a clear breakdown below the flag support
Aggressive entry: breakdown candle close
Conservative entry: breakdown + pullback (retest of flag support)
📍 Support & Resistance Levels
🔴 1st Support: 88,670
🔴 2nd Support (Measured Move Target): 87,620
🟢 Key Resistance: Bearish flag upper trendline / Cloud resistance
🎯 Target Projection: Height of flagpole applied from breakdown point
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #CryptoTrading #BearishFlag #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoMarket #TradingView #Kabhi_TA_Trading
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Crypto markets are highly volatile — always use proper risk management and trade with a stop-loss.
💬 Support the Idea 👍 Like if you see the bearish continuation
💬 Comment: Breakdown or Fakeout? 🔁 Share with traders watching Bitcoin
BITCOIN drops by more than -60% when this signal flashes.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has closed the last 2M candle on a MACD Bearish Cross. Every time this has happened historically (2 times), Bitcoin has dropped by -67.66% and -68.75% from he top of that candle.
If history is repeated, a new -67.66% would deliver $36500 as the bottom of the current Bear Cycle. This time though, that would be below the MA50 (blue trend-line), so a range of 44500 - 36500 might be more appropriate.
In any case, this latest Bearish Cross comes as another confirmation of a 2026 Bear Cycle.
So are you expecting BTC to fall more than -60% from here? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin: Higher Lows Lead To Higher Highs Watch Longs.After rejecting the 95K key resistance, Bitcoin is now testing the 90K area (old resistance / new support) and is poised to establish a higher low for the coming week. From here the key is to identify bullish reversal patterns in this area, and wait for them to confirm. Upon confirmation risk/reward can be assessed and a swing trade long can be justified. Now lets talk about profit objectives and anticipated price behavior.
The arrow on the chart emphasizes the higher low formation. Higher lows often lead to higher highs. Also notice price continues to consolidate ABOVE the 88K area which I have pointed out extensively as the Wave 1,4 overlap for the broader 5th Wave. It may sound complex, but what it points to is a higher probability that Bitcoin has one more large impulse wave in front of it. This implies that 126K or even higher prices like the 133K area are within range over the next quarter. This is NOT a certainty, but I use this as a road map to shape my own expectations.
Risk can be defined by the 88K level. If price breaks below it again, a retrace into the mid to low 80Ks becomes the expectation. And from there waiting to see if bullish reversal patterns appear. Price NEEDS to stay below 88K for an extensive period, like at least a week or more to strengthen the argument that the current structure is NOT an impulse and that a test of high (126K) is less likely.
For entries, you can use candle break outs. For example, waiting for a break of a daily high and strong close. The reasonable place for a stop would be the breakout candle low, etc. You can also look for breakout patterns on smaller time frames like 4H ect. How you mange this is really up to your personal preferences and style. The point is, this is a situation where it makes sense to specifically look for breakouts rather than pullbacks into support since the broader structure is coming off of a support level.
The main thing is not to lose sight of the fundamental and technical conflict at the moment. Price has retraced in the face of fundamental strength. There are countless events, actions and developments coming from the macro and institutional side along with an easing monetary policy environment. These factors increase the chances of a bullish outcome EVEN if price probes lower in the shorter time horizon. Keep in mind, markets are highly irrational and react to short term perceptions even while the longer term fundamentals and price structure have yet to change. The bigger picture carries more weight, and serves as an optimal guide for expectations.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTCUSD: Triangle Compression After Trendline BreakHi!
Bitcoin broke the long-term descending trendline, but instead of expanding, the price moved into a large triangle range. This shows hesitation; the market is building energy, not trending yet.
Current structure:
Broken downtrend → consolidation
Clear triangle with rising support and horizontal resistance
Key levels & scenarios:
Bullish scenario:
If price breaks and holds above the top of the triangle (93,500–94,000)
→ First target: 99,200
→ Extension target: 104,400
Bearish scenario:
If price loses the rising trendline support
→ Downside opens toward 81,300
For now, this is a wait-for-breakout structure. Direction will be decided only after a clean break, patience matters here.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
BTCUSDT – Inverse Head & Shoulders Target in SightHi!
BTC is forming a clean inverse head & shoulders inside a rising channel. The right shoulder is holding well, and the price is pushing toward the neckline.
Structure:
Inverse H&S: bullish continuation
Supported by an ascending channel
🎯 Target:
➡️ 91,100 – 91,200 (measured move of the pattern)
As long as the price stays above the channel support, the bullish setup remains valid. A clean push through the neckline should send the price to the target area.
Bitcoin - bad day and week.CRYPTOCAP:BTC #Bitcoin
Looking at the chart, the S&P 500 has finally started correcting, and given everything going on in the world right now, it was long overdue.
The pattern looks extremely similar to the first quarter of 2025 when the S&P 500 tanked hard, and Bitcoin followed with a -18% to -22% correction.
Trade idea with a tight stop loss at $92,555.
Take profit at $70,555 (based on the Coinbase order book).
If you don't want to sit around waiting for Bitcoin to correct, keep an eye on gold, silver, platinum, and aluminum = they all have solid upside potential in the same 20-40% range.
Gold:
Silver:
Platinum:
Aluminum:
BTCUSD Holds Buyer Zone - Bulls Target 91,500 ResistanceHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook of BTCUSD (2H) based on the current chart structure. BTC previously traded inside a well-defined range, where price moved sideways for an extended period, showing balance between buyers and sellers. This consolidation acted as an accumulation phase. A strong breakout to the upside from the range confirmed renewed bullish interest and initiated an impulsive move higher. Following the breakout, price respected a rising Support Line, forming a sequence of higher highs and higher lows, which confirms a bullish market structure. As BTC pushed higher, it reached the Seller Zone / Resistance Level around 91,500, where selling pressure emerged. Price reacted from this level and pulled back, indicating that sellers are actively defending this resistance. The pullback, however, remained controlled and corrective, with price returning toward the Buyer Zone, which aligns with a key Support Level around 89,200–90,000 and the rising support trend line. Currently, BTC is holding above the Buyer Zone and the ascending support line, showing that buyers are still defending structure. The recent price action suggests consolidation rather than a breakdown, keeping the bullish scenario valid as long as support holds. My scenario: as long as BTCUSD remains above the Buyer Zone and respects the rising Support Line, the bullish bias remains intact. I expect buyers to defend this area and attempt another push toward the 91,500 Resistance Level (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above resistance would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for further upside. However, a decisive breakdown below the Buyer Zone would weaken the structure and increase the probability of a deeper corrective move. For now, price is at a key decision area, and patience with proper risk management is essential. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTCUSD I Potential Accumulation BreakoutWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** BTCUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this on your watch list and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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BTC LOOKS WEAKMorning folks,
So, as we suggested, the pullback from 90K area has happened. At the same time, our base case position is deeper action. Even upward bounce to 95-96K resistance will be still an AB=CD pullback shape. Besides, now we're not sure that we will get it at all.
As we said last time, we still keep on the table scenario with drop back to 75-78K lows before real upside reaction could start. Aggressive US administration rhetoric about Venezuela, Cuba, Iran, Greenland etc makes investors nervous and keep demand for safe haven. This makes additional pressure on BTC.
So, currently action around 90K support looks more like upside AB-CD bounce rather than real upside reversal. In current circumstances we do not want to buy.
Consolidation Before Expansion or Deeper Liquidity Grab?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD on the H1 timeframe is currently trading within a clearly defined range, bounded by a strong supply zone overhead and a well-established demand zone below. After the recent impulsive move into the upper supply area, price was met with aggressive selling pressure, resulting in a sharp rejection and a return back toward the mid-range. This behavior confirms that the market is still in a balancing phase rather than trending decisively.
The supply zone around the 91,800–92,200 region continues to act as a distribution area, where previous upside attempts have failed to gain sustained acceptance. The most recent rejection from this zone reinforces the presence of active sellers defending higher prices, suggesting that breakout attempts remain vulnerable unless supported by strong momentum and follow-through.
On the downside, the demand zone near the 89,600–89,900 region remains a critical area of interest. This zone has previously absorbed selling pressure effectively, leading to sharp reactions and range continuation. A corrective rotation back into this demand area would be structurally healthy, allowing the market to sweep liquidity and potentially establish a higher low before the next directional move.
If demand holds and price forms a clear higher-low structure, Bitcoin could rotate back toward the upper boundary of the range and challenge the supply zone once again. A clean break and sustained acceptance above supply would signal a transition from consolidation into bullish expansion, opening the path toward higher liquidity targets.
Conversely, failure to hold the demand zone would invalidate the range structure and increase the probability of deeper downside continuation. Until either boundary is decisively broken, Bitcoin remains in a state of equilibrium, with price oscillating between supply and demand as the market builds liquidity for its next impulsive move.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Pre-Breakout Structure – Liquidity Loading PhasBitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 1H timeframe is currently forming a structured consolidation phase after a corrective move from the previous swing high. The market respected the Base Low (Floor Level), indicating strong buyer presence and absorption of selling pressure at discounted prices.
Price action shows a clear range-to-expansion setup, where liquidity is being built on both sides of the market. The Upper Barrier represents a key resistance and buy-side liquidity zone, while the base low holds as a critical sell-side liquidity area. The recent rejection and recovery suggest that smart money is positioning ahead of a directional move.
As long as price holds above the base low, the bullish scenario remains valid, with a potential break and continuation toward the upper barrier and beyond. A successful breakout would likely trigger liquidity expansion and trend continuation. However, failure to hold the base structure could lead to a deeper correction before the next impulsive move.
Overall, BTC remains in a pre-breakout structure, where patience and confirmation are key before entering high-probability trades.
Next Volatility Period: Around January 20th
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period will last until January 11th.
The current price is above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart. To confirm this, we need to examine whether the price can rise to the left Fibonacci range of 3 (92026.52) - 3.14 (93570.28).
The StochRSI indicator has entered an oversold zone, and the On-Board Volume indicator is near the High Line.
Since the TC indicator is at 0, any movement is not surprising.
If the On-Board Volume indicator breaks above the High Line and the second EMA, and the price rises to the left Fibonacci range of 3 (92026.52) - 3.14 (93570.28), further upside is expected.
The next volatility period is around January 20th.
Therefore, as the next volatility period passes, we need to examine which of the circles on the chart it is near.
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If the price falls below the 84739.74-87944.84 range, a step-down trend is likely, so you should consider a response plan.
The maximum decline is between 69K and 73K, but a potential uptrend near 78595.86 is also possible, so you should consider a response plan for this.
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During an uptrend, you should monitor whether the price can sustain itself by breaking above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
If the upward breakout is successful, the key will be whether it can break above the 108353-11010569 range.
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A lot of money has flowed into the coin market, but recently, it has been flowing out.
If this flow of funds changes, the coin market could experience another bull market.
For the coin market to experience a bull market, I believe both BTC and USDT dominance must decline.
USDT dominance must fall below 4.915 and either remain stable or show a downward trend.
BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and either remain stable or show a downward trend.
If not, I believe it will be difficult for all coins (tokens) to experience a bull market.
2026 is likely to be the year of a major bear market, so it's a good idea to closely monitor capital movements.
USDT and USDC are showing gapping declines as a precursor to a bear market.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will provide more detailed information when the bear market begins.
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$BTC - 1/12 Market Outlook Bitcoin got rejected at 92.5k once again. Yes, price is still holding the 89k support, but it tapped the top of the range without a clean breakout and slipped back down, which tells me the move up wasn’t very strong or convincing.
The weekend move was spot-led but relatively in low volume. Orderbooks were thin on both sides, and there wasn’t much real buy support underneath. We also saw open interest get flushed, meaning shorts were squeezed on the way up, and price has now faded back toward 90k.
Now it really comes down to whether 89k can hold into the New York session. If it doesn’t, there’s a higher chance that CRYPTOCAP:BTC will rotate back toward the yearly open around 87k, chop around a bit, and potentially slide lower into the 84–82k area.
Bullish Continuation Still on the Table After the PullbackBitcoin on the H1 timeframe is currently trading within a broader bullish context, despite the recent sharp pullback from the local highs. The overall structure suggests that price is undergoing a corrective phase rather than signaling a full trend reversal. After a strong impulsive rally toward the upper resistance band, BTC faced profit-taking and short-term selling pressure, which pushed price back toward a clearly defined support zone.
This support area, located around the 90,000–90,200 region, represents a key liquidity pocket where buyers previously stepped in. The reaction from this zone is critical, as it acts as the decision point between continuation and deeper correction. So far, price has respected this support, indicating that sell-side momentum is weakening and that the market may be absorbing supply rather than accelerating lower.
The rejection from higher resistance levels aligns with a healthy market rotation, allowing Bitcoin to reset momentum before the next directional move. As long as price continues to hold above the support zone and does not establish acceptance below it, the bullish continuation scenario remains valid. In this case, the market is likely to rotate higher again, with successive upside targets lining up around 91,500, 92,200, and ultimately the upper resistance near 93,700.
From a structure and liquidity perspective, the recent dip can be interpreted as a pullback to demand, offering stronger hands an opportunity to accumulate before the next expansion phase. A clean bullish reaction from support would confirm this outlook and open the path toward the marked upside targets.
However, a decisive breakdown and sustained trading below the support zone would invalidate the bullish continuation scenario and expose Bitcoin to a deeper retracement. Until that occurs, the technical bias remains cautiously bullish, with the market favoring higher prices after this corrective reset.
Bitcoin Holding Key Demand: Is This the Launchpad Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin is currently in a corrective phase following a sharp sell-off from the recent highs. After breaking below short-term structure, price has transitioned into range-bound consolidation, suggesting that bearish momentum is slowing rather than accelerating. The recent impulse down was followed by compression near support, a common behavior when the market is absorbing sell pressure. Despite the rejection from the mid-range resistance, price has not printed a new lower low, keeping the broader structure in a neutral-to-recovery state.
🟦 SUPPLY & DEMAND – KEY ZONES
- Major Support / Demand Zone: The 90,100–90,300 region is a well-defined support zone, where price has repeatedly reacted and found buyers. This area also aligns with previous consolidation and represents a strong demand base.
- Intermediate Resistance: The 91,600 level acts as the first key resistance. This zone previously supported price and now functions as a supply flip level.
- Upper Target / Supply: The 92,900–93,000 area is the next major upside target, aligning with prior range highs and overhead liquidity.
These levels define the potential recovery path if demand holds.
🎯 CURRENT MARKET POSITION
- Currently, BTC is trading directly above the key support zone, placing price at a high-probability reaction area. The presence of repeated wicks and small-bodied candles suggests buyer absorption, not aggressive sell continuation.
- Price is also attempting to stabilize around dynamic levels, reinforcing the idea of short-term base formation.
My scenario:
As long as Bitcoin holds above the 90,100–90,300 support zone, the current price action can be treated as a corrective base rather than bearish continuation. A sustained push above 91,600 would likely trigger a relief rally toward the 92,900–93,000 target zone.
However, a clean hourly close below the support zone would invalidate the recovery scenario and open the door for a deeper move lower, signaling renewed bearish control.
For now, the market is defending demand and waiting for confirmation.
⚠️ RISK NOTE
Support zones can fail quickly. Let price confirm strength above resistance or weakness below demand, avoid early entries, and always manage your risk.
Bitcoin at Range EquilibriumBitcoin at Range Equilibrium: Re-Accumulation for a Push Higher or Another Liquidity Sweep Below?
Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin is currently trading within a broad consolidation range following a strong bullish impulse earlier in the session. After reaching the upper boundary of the range, price faced heavy selling pressure and rotated lower, signaling profit-taking and short-term distribution, not a full trend reversal. Since that rejection, BTC has entered a low-volatility, sideways structure, with overlapping candles and reduced momentum. This price behavior typically reflects balance and absorption, where the market is building liquidity before the next directional expansion. Importantly, there has been no impulsive bearish follow-through, suggesting sellers are active but not yet in full control.
UPPLY & DEMAND – KEY ZONES
Upper Supply / Range High:
The 93,800–94,000 zone remains a major supply area, where previous bullish attempts were aggressively rejected. This is the key level that must be reclaimed for upside continuation.
Mid-Range Resistance (Flip Zone):
The 92,000–92,200 level acts as an important structure flip. Failed acceptance above this zone confirms ongoing range conditions.
Major Demand / Range Low:
The 89,500–89,800 area is a well-defined demand zone and liquidity base. This zone has repeatedly absorbed selling pressure and represents the downside boundary of the current range.
A break on either side of these zones will define the next trend leg.
🎯 CURRENT MARKET POSITION
Currently, BTC is trading near the middle-to-lower portion of the range, where directional conviction is typically weakest. This is a decision area, not an optimal breakout zone, as price can rotate aggressively in either direction. The market is compressing, indicating energy buildup rather than trend confirmation.
My scenario:
As long as Bitcoin holds above the 89,500–89,800 demand zone, the broader structure remains neutral-to-bullish. A successful defense of this demand could lead to a rotation back toward 92,000, and acceptance above that level would open the path for a test of the 93,800–94,000 supply zone. However, if price fails to hold the range low and accepts below demand, this would confirm a liquidity sweep and bearish continuation, exposing lower prices before any meaningful recovery attempt. For now, Bitcoin is ranging and waiting for confirmation, not trending.
⚠️ RISK NOTE
Range conditions often produce false signals. Let price confirm acceptance or rejection at key zones, avoid overtrading the middle of the range, and always manage your risk.
Reversal or Breakdown Will Define the Next Major MoveBitcoin is currently trading at a critical decision zone, where price action will determine whether the market stages a bullish reversal from demand or transitions into a deeper bearish continuation.
1. Market Structure Overview
- BTC has been in a short-term corrective / bearish structure, trading below the EMA 50, which continues to act as dynamic resistance.
- After the recent impulsive drop, price is now pressing directly into a well-defined demand zone around 89,600 – 90,000.
This area has previously triggered strong reactions, making it a high-probability response zone, not a place to chase entries.
2. Demand Zone Significance
The highlighted demand zone represents:
- Prior accumulation
- Strong historical buying interest
- Liquidity resting below recent lows
Current price action shows selling pressure slowing down as BTC enters this zone, which increases the probability of at least a technical bounce.
3. Two Key Scenarios to Watch
Bullish Scenario (Reversal from Demand)
If price holds above the demand zone and prints bullish confirmation (strong rejection wicks, bullish engulfing, or structure shift):
BTC could rotate back toward:
- 92,464
- 92,976
- 93,745
- Extension toward 94,416 if momentum builds
This would align with a range-to-expansion move, trapping late sellers below demand.
Bearish Scenario (Breakdown & Continuation)
A clean breakdown and acceptance below 89,233 would invalidate the reversal idea.
This would open downside liquidity targets toward:
- 88,415
- 87,269
The red arrow on the chart highlights this bearish expansion risk if demand fails.
4. EMA & Momentum Insight
EMA 50 remains overhead any upside move will need to reclaim and hold above it to shift short-term bias bullish.
Without that reclaim, rallies should still be viewed as corrective.
5. Trading Plan
❌ Avoid trading in the middle of the zone.
✅ Wait for:
Bullish confirmation at demand for longs
Or confirmed breakdown below demand for continuation shorts
Let price show its hand this is a reaction zone, not a prediction zone.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is at a make-or-break level. Demand zones like this often produce sharp reactions, but only confirmation separates reversals from traps. The next impulsive move — up or down — will likely be fast and decisive.
💬 Do you expect BTC to defend this demand zone, or is a deeper sell-off coming? Share your bias below!
Bitcoin to 95k calling it while lazy TA traders say Bear FlagIt always surprises me how lazy technical analysis has become. What has TA turned into? Google image search "bearish pattern" → draw two parallel lines → post for engagement.
Let's go candle by candle since nobody else will:
Within this "bearish pennant" - which depending on how you draw your trendlines is ALSO clearly a rising wedge - there are about 80 different patterns unfolding. But sure, let's talk about the one pattern your dog could identify.
Here's what kills me: Did anyone mention the micro head and shoulders forming inside this structure? No? Just lazy bear flag posts? Nobody's talking about the patterns within the pattern.
THE STRUCTURE:
Cup & Handle, inverses etc forming inside a Rising Wedge
Inside a Rounded Triple Bottom
Forming the right shoulder of a macro Inverse Head & Shoulders
Micro H&S within the current consolidation
Neckline sits at 97.5K
Broken uptrend now acting as a MAGNET - price will hug this line on the way back up
THE LEVELS (since nobody else gave you any):
Invalidation: 94,266 - Break this and the micro H&S fails
Target 1: 95K - Within 7 days
Target 2: 105K - Within 30 days if structure holds
If bearish plays out: 76,556 zone - If that micro H&S breaks down, there's room for one more push lower
THE REALITY:
In this market you have to adapt like water. If 94,266 breaks and the micro H&S plays out bearish, there's room for a final push down. I'm not married to a direction - I'm married to levels and structure. The market will tell you what it wants to do.
But here's what I know: if you're posting bear flags, you better be short. Post your positions or don't post at all. It's complete nonsense if you can't stand on what you post.
I'm long here.
That's the difference. I'm telling you my position, my invalidation, and my targets. Where's yours?
To the bear flag crowd:
Go take your shorts. Post your entries. Show me your stop loss. Explain the logic behind your actual bearish formation beyond "it looks like the picture I googled."
Give me specific invalidation levels. Tell me where you're wrong. Otherwise you're just posting for likes while real traders are positioning.
95K in 7 days. 105K in 30. I'm long.
Your move.






















