Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Technical Analysis – 3H ChartWave Structure Outlook
Bitcoin is currently trading near $119,300, where the wave structure suggests a possible Ending Diagonal formation. This leaves us with two bearish scenarios to monitor:
Scenario 1 – Immediate Downside After 1–5 Completion
The 1–5 wave sequence may already be completed.
If so, the market could trigger an immediate downside move, breaking wedge support.
First critical level is $117,600. A clean break below this level would confirm the start of a deeper correction, opening the way toward $115,000 – $113,000.
Scenario 2 – Choppy Ending Diagonal (Light Red Arrows)
Alternatively, BTC may still extend within an Ending Diagonal.
This would mean choppy, back-and-forth price action (small up-and-down moves) before the final breakdown.
In this case, price may retest the $119,800 – $120,000 zone, but the structure remains corrective, and the eventual expectation is still bearish reversal.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: $119,800 – $120,000 (upper wedge boundary)
Support: $117,600 (first breakdown level)
Bearish Targets: $115,000 → $113,000
Conclusion
BTC is losing momentum at the end of a 5-wave structure. Whether the market follows Scenario 1 (immediate breakdown) or Scenario 2 (choppy diagonal ending before reversal), the overall outlook is bearish in the short term.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTCUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE BTC is currently holding strong above key support zones, showing bullish momentum building up. If the market continues to respect this structure, a possible upward move can be expected. A breakout above the resistance could trigger fresh buying pressure, opening the way for higher levels. Overall, price action is suggesting that buyers are still in control, and any sustained strength could lead BTC toward new highs in the coming sessions.
Bitcoin Faces $120K Resistance – Bull Trap or Breakout?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) continued its uptrend of the last 2-3 days as I expected in my previous idea . Today, the announcement of the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change index worked like a catalyst for Bitcoin .
Bitcoin is currently surrounded by Resistance zones and a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) , and is near the important price of $118,400(Volumetric importance) and the $120,000(Round Number) .
From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin could be in corrective waves and that the increase of the last few days could only serve as a Bull Trap .
I expect Bitcoin to decline at least to the Support lines .
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $113,590-$111,900
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $115,823-$115,087
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $120,000-$118,000
Note: If Bitcoin falls below the Support zone($114,820-$113,180), we should expect further declines.
CME Gap: $111,355-$109,915
Stop Loss(SL): $120,103
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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PUMPTOBER: History Repeats Faster🎃 PUMPTOBER: History Repeats Faster 🔁📈
October Bitcoin behavior isn't random — it's a 4-year rhythm becoming more efficient.
⏱️ The Historical Compression:
📍 2017: 5x gain in about 60 days
📍 2021: 2.5x gain in about 45 days
📍 2025: 1.25x potential in 30 days? (€97,300 → €121,625)
🔍 Current Setup:
BTC/EUR is holding strong around €97,300 , positioned at the midline of a multi-year ascending channel. The pattern suggests the same October catalyst, but now with adoption-driven compression — smaller multipliers, faster execution.
🔑 Key Levels:
Support holding: €97,300
First resistance: €103,754
Channel target: €121,625–€123,753
My USDT Chart target: $138,888 (in dollars)
📈 The Maturity Thesis:
As Bitcoin transitions from speculation to adoption, volatility diminishes but velocity increases.
🕰️ The 2017 parabola took 60 days.
⚡ The 2021 move compressed to 45 days.
🔥 If the pattern holds, 2025 could deliver its full wave in just 30 days — by month’s end.
This isn’t about chasing 5x returns. It’s about recognizing that a 25% move in a $116K asset = a $29K gain.
The percentage shrinks. The absolute value doesn’t.
📊 Chart Structure:
Three vertical markers show October 1st across cycles. The curve demonstrates logarithmic decay — expected behavior as market cap expands.
Price is currently testing the middle band, with clear room toward the upper channel boundary.
Professor remains structurally bullish while support holds. The cycle hasn't disappeared — it's evolved.
💡 Thought of the Day
“Bitcoin will not do 5x in a month anymore.
Adoption brings speed over size.
The cycle still beats — it just hits different.”
📌 Disclaimer
This analysis reflects my personal market observations and is not financial advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. All trading carries risk. You are solely responsible for your own decisions.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
PUMPTOBER: History Repeats Faster (x1.25 in 30 Days?)🚀 PUMPTOBER: History Repeats Faster (x1.25 in 30 Days?)
Bitcoin doesn't break the pattern — it compresses it.
We've now transitioned from mania to maturity, and the chart says it loud and clear:
⏱️ The Compression Pattern:
📍 October 1st, 2017 — x5 gain in 60 days
📍 October 1st, 2021 — x2.5 gain in 45 days
📍 October 1st, 2025 — x1.25 potential in 30 days?
(Current price: $114,000 → +25% pattern target: $142,750 )
This isn't speculation — it's rhythm.
The cycle continues, but it's compressing: faster timelines, tighter gains, greater capital efficiency.
🔍 Current Structure:
BTC/USD opened October 2025 at $114,000 .
It's currently sitting just under key short-term resistance, with support around $107,851 and Fib confluence at $112,927 .
Professor's roadmap shows:
→ Primary Target : $138,888 (my technical target)
→ Extended Target : $174,840 (if euphoria returns)
→ Macro Support Zones : $107,851 → $100K → $89,313
📊 Chart Elements:
→ Three vertical cyan lines mark each October 1st cycle start
→ Yellow circles highlight the exact price level each October 1st
→ "WE → ARE → HERE" progression visually aligns the cycles
→ Clear visual anchors: 2017 (x5), 2021 (x2.5), 2025 (x1.25?)
📈 The Maturity Thesis:
As Bitcoin matures, its market cap expands — and explosive gains give way to efficient moves .
A 25% rally at this level isn't small — it's a $29,000 gain in 30 days.
In 2017, that required chaos.
In 2025, it might only require structure.
The chart doesn't scream anymore. It whispers. But the message is still bullish.
💡 Thought of the Day
"Cycles don't die — they evolve.
x5 was hype.
x2.5 was influence.
x1.25? That's adoption speed.
Same heartbeat. Just faster...
oh! and Trump needs Jesus to take BTC higher so the debt seems smaller."
📌 Disclaimer
This analysis reflects my personal market observations and is not financial advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. All trading carries risk. I am just the best you will find in Provlepsis through Prognosis. Just remember to follow the levels: I buy over and I sell/short under all major levels on my chart.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
→ I know you want to know about Alts... we will get there too in the days to come.
Bitcoin vs S&P 500 – Ratio Signals StrengthBitcoin vs S&P 500 – Ratio Signals Strength 🔍📊
This chart shows the BTCUSD/SPX ratio — in simple terms, how Bitcoin is performing relative to the S&P 500. And what do we see? Clear, technical strength .
🔑 Key Observations:
• BTC/SPX is breaking out from a bullish flag structure just above the 17.30–17.48 region
• If this breakout holds, the technical target is ~26.37 — the top of the multi-year channel
• Historically, breakouts from similar zones triggered explosive upside — even during equity pullbacks
🧠 What does it mean?
Even if the S&P 500 corrects (OR LIKELY NOT) Bitcoin can still outperform, not necessarily by skyrocketing, but by falling less, consolidating, or simply staying resilient . That’s the edge of analyzing ratios, not just price.
Macro-wise, Buffett Indicator shows equities are overvalued . If capital rotates out of stocks, BTC could be a top-tier beneficiary — especially if it keeps showing this relative strength.
💬 Final Thoughts:
• Don’t analyze BTC in isolation — compare it to what it competes with
• Ratios give clarity — this one says Bitcoin’s trend vs stocks is up and strong
• Strong support sits at 14.23 , and there's open space toward 26.37 — a zone worth watching
Are you tracking this breakout? What’s your plan for Q4?
Food for Thought 🍃
“Stocks are at all-time highs. Is this the PERFECT time for big money to hedge into Bitcoin? Likely yes.”
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
GBPJPY - 10,000pip Setup ALMOST Ready!In our last setup for GBPJPY, we identified a massive diagonal pattern, with price completing wave 4 and preparing for a multi-year drop into wave 5.
Since then, price has played out exactly as forecasted - we've seen a clean impulse lower for wave 1, followed by an ABC correction for wave 2, which is almost complete.
The Correction:
The correction is made out of 3 major waves = ABC. Wave C appears to be an ending diagonal, which is typically a reversal pattern consisting of 5 waves in the form of an ascending wedge.
We expect to see one final move higher, reaching the 78.6 fibonacci, thus completing the 5 waves of the ending diagonal.
Trade idea:
- Watch for wave 5 of the diagonal to develop
- Once we reach the fib, look for a trendline that we can use for entry
- once entered, stops above the breakout highs
- Targets: TP1: 192, TP2: 180, TP3: 175
- Final Target: Trail for extended move toward wave (3) lows (could be 10,000+ pips over long term)
This sets the stage for the next major leg - wave 3 of 5 - which historically carries the most power and momentum.
What do you guys think? Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
BITCOIN Are we going to see 'UPTOBER' this time??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has historically seen incredible rallies during the month of October and even more so those Octobers of the last years of Bull Cycles, like the one we are at now. Those rally phases have been very accurately called 'Uptober' rallies.
More specifically, the last three such Octobers (2021, 2017 and 2013) have been massively bullish, all starting after September corrections (Channel Down patterns). In 2013, October reached the 2.382 Fibonacci extension from September's correction, in 2017 and 2021 it reached the 1.786 Fibonacci ext.
As a result, if 'Uptober' is repeated again, this historic price actions gives us an optimistic Target at $132k (Fib 2.382) and a less optimistic one at $125.5k (Fib 1.786).
Do you think we will get such Uptober one more time? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC Above All Key Levels, Trend Points Higher Update 02-10-2025🚀 Bitcoin / USDT Update
Bitcoin has broken above all key levels, showing strong momentum.
Main trend has been secured.
Low time frame is confirmed and holding.
Price is currently pushing into new zones with upside pressure.
If this strength continues, BTC could extend toward the 120K region, and a new trend could unlock further upside potential beyond that.
✅ As long as Bitcoin stays above the confirmation zone (~113K support), momentum remains bullish.
Bitcoin Daily Analysis – The Trend Is Our FriendGood morning, Guys,
I’ve prepared a fresh Bitcoin analysis for you.
🔹 First off, I stand firmly behind my long-term targets of **127,000 – 137,000 – 146,000**. I previously shared these levels with you in a weekly analysis.
🔍 Now let’s shift to the 1-day chart:
What is Bitcoin telling us right now?
📉 If the **112,000 level breaks downward**, we could enter a correction phase toward **102,000** or even **99,500**. I expect strong buying interest to return from those zones.
📈 After that, we’re facing a key resistance structure between **123,000 – 120,000**.
But I believe this zone will also be broken—because we’re in an **uptrend**, and…
💬 **The trend is our friend. Never forget that.**
Bitcoin deep dive - We go up to the Hagopians line🔱 Up to the HAGOPIAN's line! 🔱
My last post showed what the possible moves are.
Bitcoin blew through both U-MLH's and is now on the way to the HAGOPIAN-Line.
I could imagine that we even tag the white U-MLH again.
That would be about where the confluence with the yellow forks 1/4 line is.
Because there is much more to say about this chart, I thought I'll do a video.
⛏️ I constructed the Chart from the ground up so you can see all the details and thoughts running through my Mycel Network §8-)
👉 Just check my SOM links.
🙏 Thanks you all for the Boosters I got lately. You all are absolutely awesom and I really appreciate it! 🙏
All Aboard XRPI think from here we have built a pretty strong support around $2.94-$3. I expect crypto to take over the gold rally as the treasury looks into creating a digital asset reserve first starting with bitcoin. The government shutdown should give boost to this initial rally.
-This is not financial advice good luck!
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 50☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe .
👀 On the 1H timeframe for Bitcoin, after breaking through the taker-seller zone around $117,550, price pushed up toward its resistance area near $120,000. From there, we’ve started to see early signs of rejection. With a 1H candle close rejecting this zone, we can say that after such a strong rally, Bitcoin is now entering its corrective phase, moving back toward its key support levels. Let’s break it down deeper.
🧮 The RSI oscillator, after consolidating for about 1 day and 6 hours around the overbuy boundary, has now started to exit that zone. This suggests potential downside momentum toward its key swing supports. Keep in mind, a static swing resistance formed at the 78 level in overbuy territory. If that breaks — along with the taker-seller zone — long trades could push RSI up toward 91 before facing a possible rejection (a less likely scenario for now). At this stage, I don’t have a clear key support zone to highlight, but with corrective structure forming, I’ll point out the levels to watch in future updates.
🕯 Today’s buying candles expanded slightly in size and volume following the weaker USD news. However, because the move up has been sharp and the number of selling candles limited, hitting the taker-seller zone increases the probability of a pullback. A strong close with solid selling volume would confirm corrective pressure for Bitcoin.
🧠 I believe the smarter approach is to wait for the corrective structure to play out first. Once the new resistance levels are defined and broken, we can look for setups. Keep in mind, shorting here isn’t ideal — the broader trend is still strongly bullish and momentum is very powerful. The goal is to position for the next high-probability move, not fight the trend.
↗️ Long scenario: A Bitcoin long could be considered on a clean break above RSI 78 combined with a strong candle close above the marked taker-seller zone, ideally supported by increasing buy volume. Multi-timeframe candle setups would give stronger confirmation for entry.
📉 Short scenario: At the moment, I don’t see a high-probability short setup. Long positions are simply carrying more edge (and dopamine).
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTCUSD: Watching for Exhaustion at the HighsHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price action for Bitcoin has been extremely volatile, with multiple failed breakdowns and breakouts. After a complex struggle, the most recent significant event was a powerful breakout above the 116800 level, followed by a successful retest, which confirmed the shift in control to buyers.
Currently, following that breakout, the price has entered a high-momentum rally. This upward impulse is strong but is becoming technically extended, which often increases the probability of a sharp corrective pullback as buyers begin to take profits.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is a tactical short, aiming to capture this likely corrective move. After such a strong, impulsive rally, a pullback to test the original breakout level is a very common and healthy market dynamic. I'm anticipating that the price will make one last small push to a new high, where it will likely fail to find new buyers.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this exhaustion at the highs. A confirmed reversal would validate the short scenario. The primary target for this corrective move is the 116800 level, which aligns with the key Support zone.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
ADA/USDT | ADA Breakout Setup – More Upside AheadBy analyzing the Cardano (ADA) chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price has started to rise as expected and is now close to the first target at $0.85, giving us more than 11% gains from the previous analysis so far.
All other points from the last analysis remain valid. The next short-term targets are $0.95 and $1.00, while the mid-term targets are $1.05, $1.17, and $1.33.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #186👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis. Bitcoin is still pushing upward, so let’s review the market conditions together.
⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, Bitcoin reached the next resistance level at 117,812.
🔍 On the lower timeframes, there was a small rejection from this zone, but on the 4-hour chart, price managed to hold above it and is now moving toward the 120,036 level.
🔔 Given the strong buying power and the heavy volume in the market, I believe the probability of continuation to the upside is very high, and price could push to even higher zones.
💥However, the RSI oscillator is currently deep in the overbought zone, sitting around 80. That’s quite an extreme level, and a correction in RSI is almost certain soon.
✔️ This doesn’t necessarily mean the uptrend is over. Price can still continue upward while RSI corrects.
⚡️ As long as RSI remains above 70 and stays in overbought territory, I expect the bullish leg to continue. Once RSI stabilizes below 70, price may enter a corrective phase.
⭐ In that case, we can look for long triggers during the price correction to catch the next bullish wave.
📊 If Bitcoin keeps rallying, the next zone to watch as a potential trigger will be 120,036. A reaction at this level could give us a new long setup.
💫 That said, on the first touch of 120,036, I personally won’t be opening a position—even if it breaks. I’ll wait for more structure to form before making an entry.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Microstategy Vs Bitcoin Vs SP500Can you see the correlation? SP500 controls BTC for the most part and therefore microstrategy.
MicroStrategy ( NASDAQ:MSTR ) has become a key proxy for Bitcoin exposure in traditional markets. With nearly 600,000 BTC on its balance sheet, its stock’s performance strongly correlates with Bitcoin’s price action.
In 2025, Bitcoin's correlation with the S&P 500 has climbed to 0.90, reflecting Bitcoin's growing role as a macroeconomic risk asset. MicroStrategy’s pending inclusion in the S&P 500 would force index funds to buy NASDAQ:MSTR shares, indirectly increasing institutional Bitcoin exposure through traditional equity portfolios.
This convergence shows how digital assets and major equity indices are increasingly intertwined, creating new pathways for Bitcoin adoption by institutional investors while tethering crypto markets closer to broader market dynamics.
#bitcoin #MSTR #SP500 #crypto #investing CBOE:MSTU AMEX:SPY
BITCOIN BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 119,475.11
Target Level: 114,149.01
Stop Loss: 123,016.02
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
#BITCOIN ANALYSIS For the last 40 days I’ve been telling you #BITCOIN ANALYSIS
For the last 40 days I’ve been telling you guys I’m bearish on $BTC. We already dropped almost 8K twice, but every time Bitcoin reclaimed the levels again. Right now it’s trading around 18K to 119k but nothing has changed for me. I’m still bearish.
I’ve said many times that the 115K to 124K region is a short zone, not a long zone. If you’re still holding longs, I’d strongly suggest you flip to shorts because the chart is flashing multiple top signals.
Don’t get trapped by hype like “Bitcoin to 1 million by the end of this year.” That’s just noise. The structure is weak, liquidity is being engineered, and the bigger downside move is still ahead.
📌 Downside Targets:
105K → 100K → 95K → 90K
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on Bitcoin?
Bitcoin continues to move within a valid ascending channel. After a recent correction, price successfully broke above the descending trendline and reclaimed a key resistance area.
Currently, the previous high near the 120,000 level is acting as a resistance barrier. A short-term pullback toward the broken structure is expected. If this area holds as support, the price is likely to resume its upward move and attempt to break the previous high.
As long as the price holds above the support zone and the bottom of the ascending channel — and does not break below the previous low — this bullish scenario remains valid.
The medium-term outlook remains positive, and pullbacks may offer new buying opportunities.
What do you think? Will Bitcoin break above the previous high, or is a deeper correction ahead?
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Bitcoin BTC: VWAP Extension, Three-Drive Pattern, & Trade Plan📊 Bitcoin (BTC) continues to hold a strong bullish trend, but in my view it is now overextended as we head into the end of the week ⚡.
🔎 In the video, I break down how BTC is currently trading two deviations above VWAP, highlighting its stretched positioning. We also discuss the three-drive pattern, which often precedes a correction — particularly when combined with a VWAP extension and end-of-week institutional activity as larger players wind down their trades 🏦.
📈 With that in mind, I’m anticipating a retracement. If price pulls back into support and then confirms with a bullish break of structure, I’ll be looking for a long opportunity 🎯.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage risk carefully.