BITCOIN Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN taps into a major higher-timeframe demand area, reclaiming structure and sweeping downside liquidity. A bullish reaction here may drive price toward the next internal range high.
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Stop Loss: 88,783$
Take Profit: 94,407$
Entry Level: 91,500$
Time Frame: 1D
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Buy!
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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Bitcoin - This chart is crumbling!⛔️Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) creates a massive top:
🔎Analysis summary:
All the previous cycles on Bitcoin have been lasting about 1,000 days. And exactly three years ago, Bitcoin retested the previous all time high, starting the next bullrun. If we soon see bearish confirmation on Bitcoin, this crypto will lead to another insane bloodbath.
📝Levels to watch:
$100,000 and $50,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
2025 Bitcoin cycle over, prepare for 2029. Phase A — “Early Downtrend”
Nov 2025 → Apr 2026
Bitcoin drifts down from $100K–$95K
Enters $80Ks
Weekly momentum failing
Phase B — “Cycle Breakdown → Panic Flush”
Jun 2026 → Nov 2026
Macro liquidity tight
Miner stress increases
ETF inflows slow or briefly reverse
Price cascades into $60Ks and $50Ks
Monthly oscillators bottom out
You BUYS HERE: ($68–$55K)
This is your PRIME accumulation zone.
Rinse, repeat. This is how true Bitcoiners do it.
UP FOREVER: Bitcoin Doesn't Care About Your Opinion
@upforevermovie
BTC/USD: Sell Pressure Building AgainBTC/USD: Sell Pressure Building Again
Market Summary
BTC/USD continues to operate within a declining market environment where sell-side pressure remains dominant. The recent recovery attempt has shown limited strength, forming only a temporary corrective phase within a broader downward cycle. Current conditions indicate that the market is preparing for another bearish continuation as liquidity builds on the upper side.
Market Behavior
The chart highlights a consistent pattern of declining impulses followed by shallow recoveries. Each upward phase has been met with swift rejection, reinforcing the dominance of bearish sentiment. The mid-range compression visible in the current structure reflects a controlled environment where market participants are redistributing positions rather than initiating larger upward transitions.
Momentum remains weak on the upside, and overall flow continues to align with the prevailing sell-side direction. Repeated structure shifts earlier in the sequence indicate that sellers are maintaining control of directional movement.
Current Setup
BTC/USD is now approaching a zone historically associated with short-term manipulation and liquidity grabs. Price appears to be forming a tight consolidation while climbing into this region. Such behavior often precedes a sell-side continuation, especially when rallies fail to show progressive expansion.
The chart projection suggests a likely formation of a distribution-style sequence before a renewed downward movement. This scenario aligns with the market’s broader behavior over recent sessions
BTC (MBT) on the way ot 86'000Price reacted very well at the white and red fork lines (see arrows).
We have left the white centerline, and now price is hovering around the red one. If we get an open and close below it, we’ll have a new target: the WL1 of the white fork, which unsurprisingly, lines up with the red L-MLH.
Rough times ahead...
BTCUSDTP. - November 18, 2025Price is pulling back toward a clear support zone around 93,000, with a deeper support level near 92,000, while the nearest resistance sits around 96,200 along a descending trendline. The chart suggests a possible bounce from support toward resistance, but a break below 93,000 could open the way toward 92,000.
If trading this setup, the long scenario is higher-risk, as price is currently trending downward into support and could continue lower before reversing.
MSTR – Approaching Major Support as Downtrend ContinuesMicroStrategy remains in a clear higher-timeframe downtrend, and if Bitcoin continues to weaken, NASDAQ:MSTR could slide further toward the next major support level — now sitting roughly 63% below its all-time high. This zone may act as a potential reversal area, especially if market sentiment stabilizes.
Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $170 – $180
• Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $280
🥈 $360
• Stop Loss: $122
BTC Daily View 17.11Hey friends! How’s your trading week starting off?
In my last Bitcoin post, I shifted my invalidation zone from 96,600 to 95,545 and said that if 95,545 breaks, then 96,600 won’t hold either.
Well… it broke — so I revisited the chart.
Now I think the correction after the drop should be bigger than I first expected.
For now, I’m looking at a move up toward 98,400, and then a possible continuation of the downtrend.
I still see two paths — along the orange and purple arrows.
❌ Invalidation zone: 94,850
⚠️ Not financial advice — just sharing my view.
Trade your own plan, always use stops.
⭐ Follow for updates
💬 Drop a reaction in the comments!
Bitcoin to $340k by March 2026?Bitcoin is quietly forming one of the largest high-timeframe bullish structures we've ever seen — a massive cup-and-handle / inverse head & shoulders hybrid that mirrors a multi-cycle trend stretching all the way back to 2015.
We just tapped the trendline for the third time, and historically, BTC’s explosive legs have always started right after this kind of multi-touch compression.
📍 Technical Setup
Long-term ascending channel (2015 → now)
Repeated bullish structure with measured-move targets around +350%
A clean breakout from the handle places BTC right around $340k–$345k
March 2026 aligns with both the channel top and the projected cycle extension
💥 Why This Could Be the Max-Pain Scenario
The market spent the last 60 days liquidating:
Overleveraged long traders
10/10 liquidation-event tourists
OG whales expecting another “easy” 4-year cycle play.
This creates the perfect fuel for a melt-up as liquidity rotates back upward. Max pain isn’t down — it’s a breakout that leaves the majority completely unpositioned.
⏳ Timing
The setup suggests:
End of year → First quarter of next year: momentum builds
2025 → 2026: extension move toward channel top
Target zone: $340k
Time window: March 2026
This is a slow-burn, high-timeframe structure that most traders simply aren’t looking at.
📈 Final Thought
Everyone is focused on short-term chop. Meanwhile, Bitcoin might be printing its most perfectly aligned macro structure since 2015.
If this breaks out like the previous two cycles, the move won’t give many chances to “buy back in.”
BITCOIN The 1W MA50 Bear confirmation you didnt want, happened..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just closed last week below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 06 2023. Since that break-out, the 1W MA50 had been tested and held on 3 major occasions within the Bull Cycle, providing the most optimal mid-Cycle entries during those 2.5 years.
What's even more important than this time distance, is the fact that every 1W candle closing below the 1W MA50 has always marked/ confirmed the start of the new Bear Cycle historically. This is something that we've presented to you and discussed numerous times this year, as we were analyzing BTC's 4-year Cycle theory and why October was the most likely Cycle Top candidate time-wise.
This time we are looking at the previous Cycle more specifically, due to the strong similarities so far leading to the current Top. First of all the end-of-Cycle rallies on both started after a clear test and rebound on the 1W MA50. At the same time, the both displayed Higher Highs, against the 1W RSI's Lower Highs, which is a huge Bearish Divergence and the first strong indication that the Cycle Top may be forming.
The Cycle Top on both came when the 1W RSIs were 70.00. Also the 1W MA50 break-out took place around the 0.382 Fibonacci level from the last test/ rebound. As you may realize, there is a high degree of symmetry here both price-wise and in terms of RSI. If that continues, we can expect the Bear Cycle bottom to be at least on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $55000.
So do you think that the closing below the 1W MA50 has confirmed the new Bear Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC Daily View 17.11Friends, as you may remember from my previous Bitcoin updates, I’m expecting BTC to reach 83k. At the moment, in my view, Bitcoin is already preparing for this move down.
However, for now my main target is 86k — I think BTC currently has enough momentum only to drop to that level. Before we see 83k, it will likely need to build more energy.
So after hitting 86k, I expect a correction — probably a prolonged one. But let’s see what the market gives us.
🎯For now, my target remains 86k.
❌Invalidation zone: 96,600
⚠️Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Please make your own decisions according to your own trading rules, and never trade without stop-losses.
🗯️If you find my ideas helpful, please leave a reaction and write a comment — your support really matters to me
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #223👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis. Yesterday, Bitcoin made a fake downward move and is now back in its range box.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, the short triggers we had at 95,212 and 94,335 were activated, and the price moved slightly downward. However, this bearish move turned out to be a fakeout, and the price started moving upwards again.
✅ Currently, the price has moved above 95,212 and managed to stabilize above this level. The next resistance zone for Bitcoin is at 96,476.
⚡️ The 96,476 zone was faked yesterday, and after a candle closed above it, the price moved downward. Now, we need to wait for the price’s next reaction to this level to refine the exact breakout point.
✨ After this encounter, we can open a risky long position if the level breaks on the next attempt. The next target above this level is 98,136.
📊 For a short position, since the price faked the bottom of the range, the chart is a bit messy. I personally prefer to wait for the price to establish more structure and for a new trigger to form. We can then open a new position upon the breakout of the next trigger.
💼 For previously opened short positions, we can move the stop loss above the 96,476 level.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTCUSD Daily: Watching for Post-ATH Correction Pattern to UnfoldPotential Local Bottom Ahead?
Overall Outlook: I'm tracking a recurring pattern in Bitcoin's price action following each all-time high (ATH), involving sharp drops, interactions with the 50-day and 200-day moving averages (MAs), and key Fibonacci levels. This has played out twice before in this cycle, and we're now in the midst of what could be the third iteration. The setup suggests a potential further drop of around 33.78% from the latest ATH, targeting the 100% Fib level for a local bottom, possibly timed near a death cross. If this holds true, it could signal a strong buying opportunity at the bottom, as price has historically reversed and rallied hard afterward. For now, the theory looks promising, but I'll update this idea as events unfold.
Key Pattern and Historical Observations: This analysis focuses on a consistent post-ATH correction structure that's emerged in Bitcoin's daily chart over the past couple of years. It typically involves: A new ATH breaking above a key Fib extension level.
A subsequent drop of 31-33%, crossing under the 50MA and 200MA.
Bottoming near a lower Fib level (often 2 levels below the ATH breakout point), with timing influenced by the death cross (50MA crossing under 200MA).
Post-bottom recovery: Choppy ups and downs, reclaiming MAs and Fib levels, leading to the next leg up.
Let's break it down by each ATH in the series: First ATH (March 2024): Peaked at $73,794, right above the 78.60% Fib level. This was followed by a 32.82% drop to a local bottom at $49,577. Price action dropped 2 Fib levels to land at the 50% Fib, after crossing under both the 50MA and 200MA. Notably, the local bottom formed just days before the death cross occurred, suggesting the cross could help time reversals. From there, recovery wasn't immediate, price pushed up, hit resistance at the 200MA, dropped, rallied again, and repeated this process. Eventually, it found support at the 50MA and pushed over the 200MA. This consolidation phase lasted from March to August 2024 before the uptrend resumed.
Second ATH (January 2025): Hit $109,356, breaking above the 127.20% Fib level. Similar to the first, it dropped 31.93% to a local bottom at $74,434 and again, 2 Fib levels lower, landing close to the 78.60% Fib (which was key in the prior ATH). This time, the bottom came shortly after the death cross, flipping the timing slightly from the previous instance (after vs. before). Post-bottom, price reclaimed the next Fib level and the 50MA, then crossed the 200MA and held strong without looking back, all the way until October 2025.
Third ATH (Early October 2025): Reached $126,272, just above the 161.80% Fib level. Following the pattern, but accelerating faster this time, price has already dropped under the 200MA and found at least temporary support at the 127.20% Fib level.
Current Setup and Open Questions: Based on the prior two ATHs, this third one raises two key questions that could define the next move: Will price drop to the next lower Fib level? That would mean targeting the 100% Fib, implying a total drop of around 33.78% from the $126,272 ATH (putting the local bottom somewhere near $83,600, give or take based on exact Fib anchoring).
Will a death cross mark the bottom? In the first case, the bottom was days before the cross; in the second, shortly after. Watching for an impending death cross could help time the reversal in real time.
If the pattern repeats, we're likely in the early stages of the correction, with more downside before the bottom forms. This setup has a good chance to play out given the historical parallels, offering a prime spot to buy the dip once the local bottom confirms. I'll keep this idea updated as price action develops, especially monitoring Fib interactions, MA crosses, and any signs of reversal. Potential Trade Considerations: Watch Zones: Resistance: 161.80% Fib ($126,272, prior ATH) and 200MA for any failed retests.
Support Targets: 127.20% Fib (current temp support), then 100% Fib for the potential local bottom (~33.78% drop zone).
Entry Idea: No aggressive positions yet, wait for signs of bottoming near the 100% Fib or around a death cross. If confirmed, long entry on reversal signals (e.g., bullish candle above 50MA).
Risk Management: Set stops below key Fib supports. Target post-recovery upside to prior ATH or higher Fib extensions.
Invalidation: A quick reclaim of the 200MA without further drop could break the pattern, shifting to bullish continuation.
External Factors:
While the technicals are strong, BTC in late 2025 is heavily influenced by US macros, which could amplify or disrupt this post-ATH drop pattern.
For instance: Ongoing Government Shutdown: The US federal government has been shut down since October 1, 2025, making this the longest shutdown in history (now at 39+ days as of Nov 9). It's causing widespread disruptions, including halted SNAP benefits for millions, delays in airport operations due to air traffic controller shortages, increased reliance on food pantries by military families, and broader economic strain like reduced tourism and spending ahead of Thanksgiving. Negotiations are stalled, with Senate Republicans pushing for votes to reopen but Democrats holding out for extensions on ACA tax credits. This uncertainty could weigh on risk assets like BTC, potentially accelerating the expected 33.78% drop if it drags on and hurts consumer confidence or triggers a recessionary vibe. On the flip side, a quick resolution might spark a relief rally, shortening the correction phase.
Fed's Stance on Rate Cuts: There's no FOMC meeting in November, so no rate cut then. For December, Fed Chair Powell emphasized after the October 29 quarter-point cut (bringing the fed funds rate to 3.75%-4%) that another reduction is "not a foregone conclusion" and depends on incoming data. Internal divisions are evident: some officials like Beth Hammack and Lorie Logan question further easing, citing a resilient economy and risks of reigniting inflation.
The shutdown is complicating this by blocking key data releases (e.g., jobs reports), which Powell likened to "driving in the fog." If no cut happens in December, it could pressure BTC lower in the short term by signalling tighter policy, aligning with a deeper Fib target. But if data softens dramatically (e.g., due to shutdown effects), a surprise cut might catalyze the bottom and reversal.
Ending QT and Potential QE Shift: The Fed announced it will end quantitative tightening (QT) on December 1, halting the balance sheet runoff and instead rolling over maturing Treasuries to hold holdings steady at around $6.6 trillion. This addresses tightening money markets and funding strains, but it's not yet quantitative easing (QE), it's more of a pause to maintain ample reserves rather than active expansion. Some analysts speculate this could pave the way for QE resumption if economic conditions worsen (e.g., prolonged shutdown or labour market cooling), potentially starting in December or early 2026. For BTC, ending QT removes a liquidity drain, which is bullish long-term and could support post-bottom rally. If QE kicks in sooner, it might act as rocket fuel, shortening the correction and pushing toward new ATHs faster, but watch for inflation risks that could prompt hawkish pushback.
If you like this idea, feel free to leave a comment, boost, or share your thoughts.
Remember, this is not financial advice; trade responsibly!
Always take profits and manage risk!
Interaction is welcome in the comments!
BTCUSD Rebounds From Buyer Zone — Correction Toward $101KHello traders! Let’s take a look at BTCUSD (Bitcoin). After an extended bearish phase inside a broad descending channel, price consistently respected both the resistance and support lines, forming a clear series of lower highs. Each touch of the descending resistance line resulted in a Turned Around reaction, confirming strong seller control throughout the structure. Earlier, Bitcoin broke below its local support area, initiating a deeper correction toward the major Support Level near $96,000. This zone aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel and historically served as a strong reaction area for buyers. Recently, BTCUSD reached the bottom of the structure and is now showing early signs of a potential pullback. Price is attempting to rebound from the Buyer Zone, aiming toward the nearest resistance cluster around $100,800–$101,600, which also forms the lower boundary of the Seller Zone. This level previously acted as support and is now expected to serve as a strong retest area. As long as price remains below the descending resistance line, the overall trend stays bearish. A short-term bullish correction toward TP1: $101,600 remains possible, especially if buyers maintain control above the $96,000 support. However, if BTC fails to break above the Seller Zone, sellers may step in again, potentially pushing the price back toward the major support and even extending the downtrend. A confirmed breakout above the descending resistance would invalidate the bearish scenario and open the door for a stronger recovery. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC 95K is DONE. WATCHING FOR 100K BounceMorning folks,
So, our plan worked perfect, BTC collapsed as we suggested. Now price is at oversold as on daily as on weekly TF and at support. So, it is reasonable to expect a tactical bounce, somewhere back to 100K. And it could start from a kind of reverse H&S on 1H Chart .
If it starts at all...
But it is not interesting... today we probably can't escape some fundamental analysis. I don't believe in occasional coincidence of stock market collapse right at the eve of Thanksgiving and Xmas and appearing of Epstein compromat on D. Trump. Meantime Donny is loosing all his allies - Musk, Carlson, Now M. Taylor Greene.
I wouldn't worry too much, if I would not see a big bearish signs on BTC, suggesting drop to 80K and even 50K in perspective. As you understand, this could happen only in a case of total collapse on stock market.
Buckle up and be prepared. No longs by far. Wait for mentioned pullback to consider a new shorts.
Take care, S.
$BTC Halfway to Confirming Bear Market - BUT There's HOPE!BAD NEWS ⚠️
₿ITCOIN IS HALFWAY THERE TO CONFIRMING A NEW BEAR MARKET.
🚨 This is the first-time that CRYPTOCAP:BTC has closed below the 50WMA since Dec ’21. We all know what happened after that.
🚨 If we get another consecutive Weekly close below the 50WMA, I am confident this is the beginning of the end for the bull market.
If that happens, I will discuss my new exit strategy and POI in another post.
GOOD NEWS 🙌
⚡️ The long-awaited DEATH CROSS on the Daily Chart has occurred, which historically marks the bottom.
⚡️ PA is sitting at VERY strong support on the .618 Fib
⚡️ RSI is LOWER than the Liberation Day madness Feb - April ’25, and the lowest it’s been since July ’22.
NOTE: This is the smallest correction we’ve had all bull market.
TL;DR 📖
✅ This is the absolute best time to buy CRYPTOCAP:BTC
✅ Just make sure to follow the 50WMA invalidation if you do take a position.
Remember, we have the most insanely bullish macro / regulatory backdrop in crypto’s entire existence.
MY THOUGHTS 🤓
🐂 I truly believe this is the biggest fake-out we’ve ever seen. There’s way too many tailwinds on the horizon to let this go to waste.
🐂 Bulls need a $10k Mega-Candle THIS WEEK to reclaim momentum.
🐂 I’m still a MEGA-BULL until my thesis is invalidated.
⛔️ We could get one last flush ~$92k to grab CME Gap liquidity.
🛑 DO NOT USE LEVERAGE EVER AGAIN!!!
Bitcoin: 100K Resistance Watch 88K Overlap.Bitcoin rejected the 105K area NEW resistance/old support. I wrote about this possibility a week ago and highlighted it during my stream. With the new low in progress, this area 95K and 90K are the next support areas to watch for swing trade reversals. Note the 90K to 88K area is a major support and IF cleared, will confirm a significant change to my wave count.
It is IMPORTANT to consider this game as a collection of "IFs". If you were lured by all of the hype and high risk prices above 100K (I talked about this all summer), NOW you get to sit through the associated pain. THESE are prices to be interested in, especially for accumulating for investment. An OPEN mind is required to navigate this arena of incomplete information. Bitcoin can TEST as low as 73K (the pre election all time high) or even lower. How you manage risk through sizing and moderation of leverage (if used at all), is how you will more likely arrive at an optimal outcome.
My chart shows key levels on this specific time frame, the arrow points to a reaction point (100K new resistance), and the illustration of lines highlights a potential scenario that I believe has a higher probability of developing over the coming week or weeks. As of now, the 95K support is broken but not by much, it can reverse quickly. Since there are a number of major supports in this area, the key is to confirm a reversal pattern. It may be in the form of a failed low or double bottom like formation nearer the 90K level. It is within reason to measure profit potential from the 100K area now that it is a new resistance. This is the shorter time horizon perspective ideal for swing trades only.
In terms of the broader view, 88K is major because it is where I have my Wave 1 of this broader wave defined. IF price overlaps this (meaning it goes to 85K with no swift rejection) then it confirms that the current structure is the broader corrective wave (Wave 2). This Wave 2 can potentially see prices in the 50Ks or theoretically lower. I believe extreme low prices are a low probability, but you must be prepared either way. I don't make specific forecasts because I know price is purely driven by sentiment, and sentiment can be extremely irrational.
Lesson: LEARN to assess risk and reasonable possibilities through TECHNICAL analysis along with some fundamental perspective. If you are stuck from much higher prices, you can only blame yourself for consuming too much Michael Saylor content. While the short term price structure is bearish, the bigger picture hasn't changed yet. THIS is what an investment opportunity looks like, NOT pushing all time highs day after day. As an investor you assume the most risk, so how much you risk should always be the focus, not how much you can make. And also consider the question: what has changed fundamentally? Sentiment drives price and when it gets to an extreme, opportunities arise especially when aligned with the fundamental view.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.






















