ETH/USDT | Correction Over? Big Rally Loading After Demand ZoneBy analyzing the Ethereum chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that after Bitcoin’s heavy dump , ETH also corrected and is now trading around $4,200 .
Based on the previous analysis, the $3,300–$3,900 zone is still a key demand area. If the price enters this zone, I expect Ethereum to start its next bullish wave.
The possible upside targets for this rally are $5,100, $5,500, and $6,000.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTC | 111k holds: tactical long bias, eyes on 113.1k__________________________________________________________________________________
Market Overview
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BTC is consolidating above 111,040, trapped in a tight range with a higher‑timeframe bullish bias, while intraday remains pressured below 113,129. The 111k area acts as the market’s key pivot. 🔁
Momentum: Range with bullish tilt 📈 — higher TFs positive (1D/12H), intraday needs a reclaim above 113,129.
Key levels:
• Resistances (TF): 113,129–114,384 (240/1D, immediate ceiling), 117,900 (1D, upper cap).
• Supports (TF): 111,040 (240/1D, major pivot), 110,440 (intraday), 107,255 (1D).
Volumes: Normal on daily; moderate on 4H/30m downside pushes — no standalone catalyst.
Multi-timeframe signals: 1D/12H/6H bullish, 4H/2H/1H mixed-to-bearish below 113,129; a reclaim/hold > 113,129 opens 114,384.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: NEUTRAL BUY (stronger on 15m) — confirms the range‑bullish bias and favors buy‑the‑dip above 111k.
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Trading Playbook
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Strategic stance: higher‑timeframe uptrend, prefer tactical longs above 111,040. 🎯
Global bias: NEUTRAL BUY while 111,040 holds; key invalidation on a close below 111,040 (align TF to your horizon).
Opportunities:
• Defensive long: bullish reaction confirmed above 111,040; add on break/hold > 112,300 then > 113,129.
• Breakout long: close and hold > 113,129 (30m/15m ≥ 2 bars) to target 114,384.
• Tactical sell: clean rejection at 112.9k–113.1k with selling volume, target a pullback to 111,040 (reduced size vs HTF filter).
Risk zones / invalidations:
• A confirmed loss of 111,040 → increases risk toward 110,440 then 107,255.
• Reclaim & hold > 113,129 → negates intraday pressure and unlocks 114,384.
Macro catalysts:
• Fed: -25 bps cut with dovish guidance — medium‑term risk support, validates buy‑the‑dip.
• Dollar (DXY): bounce risk — near‑term headwind, argues for staged entries.
• ETF flows: recent modest inflows, neutral‑to‑slightly constructive — not a trigger but doesn’t cap the technical upside.
Action plan:
• Entry: 111,300–111,500 on re‑acceptance/HL confirmation (15m/30m); add if holding > 112,300 then > 113,129.
• Stop: 110,850 (below swing & S1).
• TP1: 112,950; TP2: 113,129–113,300; TP3: 114,300–114,400.
• R/R: ≈ 2.0–2.5x depending on execution and adds.
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Multi-Timeframe Insights
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Overall, higher timeframes lean bullish while lower timeframes remain pressured until 113,129 is reclaimed. 🧭
1D/12H/6H: Bullish bias while holding 111,040; clearing 113,129 then 114,384 would enable compression toward 117,900.
4H/2H/1H/30m/15m: Intraday pressure below 113,129, moderate volume on sell pushes; dip‑buys near 111,040 remain preferred as long as the pivot holds.
Key divergences: HTF Up vs LTF Down → favors “buy the dip” at support, confirmed by volume and reclaim of prior caps (112,300 → 113,129).
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Macro & On-Chain Drivers
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Macro backdrop is modestly supportive (dovish Fed), but a dollar bounce could cap near‑term rallies; ETF flows are constructive but not decisive. ⚖️
Macro events: Fed -25 bps and still‑dovish dot plot support risk; a technical DXY bounce remains a short‑term counterweight.
Bitcoin analysis: Defending ~111k near the 100D; gradual recovery toward the 50D plausible if 113,129/114,384 are reclaimed; institutional/ETF tone mildly positive.
On-chain data: Not provided — technicals and flows drive the lens.
Expected impact: Macro is broadly risk‑friendly, but execution should be paced under resistance; prefer staged entries above 111k.
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Key Takeaways
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BTC is ranging above 111,040 with a higher‑timeframe bullish bias and intraday headwinds below 113,129.
- Trend: bullish in HTF, neutral/paused intraday until 113,129 is reclaimed.
- Setup: buy the dip above 111,040, then add on breakout > 113,129 toward 114,384.
- Macro: Dovish Fed supports the case, while a firm DXY can slow upside.
Stay nimble: watch 111,040 defense and the 113,129 reclaim to trigger the next leg.
BTC – Momentum Returns!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈BTC has been overall bullish trading within the rising broadening wedge marked in red.
This week, BTC has been retesting the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong structure and previous ATH.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower red trendline and orange structure.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #BTC approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for trend-following bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC H&S COULD FAIL. THINK ABOUT STOP "SELL" $110.3K ORDERMorning folks,
We're keep watching over big reverse H&S pattern here. Last time we warned about USD liquidity issues, this is actually why BTC collapsed down to 111K support.
And idea was to not buy just at the level, but watch for confirmation in a way of some bullish patterns. Now I do not see any. Widening triangle makes me think that downside action could have even more chances than reversal.
That's why, we think about using of Stop "Sell" entry order around 110.3-110.5K area for position taking if downside breakout will happen. This is comfortable, because if still upside action starts - this order remains unfilled.
As we do not see yet any signs of reversal, we do not consider long entry. Let's see, maybe something will change on Monday. But today I keep "bearish" mark for this idea.
BTC/USDT Outlook – Volatility Rises After Sharp DeclineBTC/USDT Market Report
Bitcoin recently faced heavy selling pressure, pushing the market into a sharp decline. This drop reflects a shift in sentiment where earlier stability has been replaced by increased volatility and downside momentum.
Price action shows signs of exhaustion after the fall, suggesting the possibility of a short-term rebound attempt. However, broader behavior still reflects uncertainty, with buyers needing stronger participation to shift momentum back in their favor.
If downward pressure continues, deeper corrections could emerge before any meaningful recovery. In the near term, traders should expect sharp swings as the market tries to stabilize.
The Bitcoin Long Trigger No One MentionsYo traders, Skeptic from Skeptic Lab! 🚀 Bitcoin’s in a wild phase—any move could drag us for weeks! In this video, I break down the buy squeeze candle that started it all, dive candle-by-candle into the market, and hunt for long/short triggers. We’ll also check Bitcoin dominance and altcoin vibes. From a V pattern to pivot 4 action, I’ve got you covered. no FOMO! Drop your coin picks in the comments, boost if it helped, and follow for more.
Bitcoin Outlook: From Support Bounce to Short Liquidation TargetBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as I expected in my previous idea ( Long and Short positions hit their targets ).
Bitcoin is currently moving near the Resistance zone($114,820-$113,170) , Resistance line, and the Monthly Pivot Point , and seems to have failed to break 100_EMA(Daily) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin completed wave 5 as I expected by attacking 100_EMA(Daily) and Heavy Support zone($112,000-$105,800) , and we can expect more bullish waves .
I expect Bitcoin to break the Resistance line in the coming hours and attack the Resistance zone ($114,820-$113,170) and the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage ($114,334-$113,400) .
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $110,950-$110,350
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $115,000, we should expect Bitcoin to rise again.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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MARKET UPDATE BTC/USDT 25/09/2025📊BTC/USDT Update
On the low time frame, BTC has broken down and failed to reclaim the 113,223 – 114,019 zone.
This breakdown signals loss of the cycle structure, confirming that the previous bullish cycle has ended.
Key levels:
113,223 – 114,019 → resistance zone. As long as BTC remains below this, the structure stays bearish.
111,900 → current trading area, under pressure.
Upside scenario: BTC would need to reclaim 113,223 first, and then confirm above 114,019, to even consider restarting an uptrend cycle. Without that, upside potential remains very limited.
Downside risk: Staying below 113,223 keeps BTC in breakdown mode, with increased probability of further decline toward 110,000 – 108,000.
📌 Summary
BTC lost the cycle support → bearish confirmation.
Reclaim above 114,019 is required to regain bullish momentum.
As long as BTC trades below 113,223, the bias remains bearish with downside risk.
ETH: Sharp Flush, Filling the FVG or Preparing for a Deeper DropHello everyone,
On the H4 chart the recent red candle in ETH was a textbook flush: price plunged straight below the Ichimoku Cloud, selling volume spiked, and a large cluster of FVGs has formed overhead around 4.32k–4.40k. This setup typically favours a technical rebound to fill those gaps before the market chooses its next direction.
Why did ETH fall so sharply?
First, mass liquidation of leveraged positions: this morning alone, hundreds of millions in long positions were wiped out, with ETH accounting for a significant share, intensifying the move lower.
Second, deteriorating ETF flows: after a period of strong inflows, spot ETH ETFs saw heavy redemptions in early September (from ~$505M to ~$952M within days), adding supply as investors took profit or rotated into BTC.
Third, risk-off sentiment ahead of the Fed and lingering regulatory uncertainty around ETH ETFs—particularly the delayed review of staking features—has curbed appetite. Finally, the wider crypto market saw broad-based selling, wiping out tens of billions in market cap and dragging ETH down with it.
From a technical view, I expect ETH to rebound toward 4.32k–4.36k (lower FVG edge, possibly extending to 4.38k–4.40k near the Cloud) to retest supply. If selling pressure re-emerges there, price is likely to reverse toward 4.08k–4.02k, retesting the recent absorption zone. Holding 4.02k could allow another attempt back at 4.32k; breaking and closing H4 below 4.02k, however, opens risk toward ~3.98k.
Only if ETH closes above 4.40k–4.43k on H4 (escaping the FVG and regaining the Cloud) would I consider a scenario of building a higher base.
What about you—do you lean towards “rebound to sell” or “base building for a reversal”?
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT): Uptrend ReinforcedHello everyone, after a brief pullback around 113,000 USD, Bitcoin has maintained its strength as it remains above the Ichimoku cloud – a clear signal that the uptrend has not weakened. The support zones at 111,000 USD and 110,000 USD are acting as crucial foundations, and if they hold, BTC could easily break above 113,000 USD to target 115,000 USD, with the potential to extend further toward 120,000 USD.
On the news side, the Fed’s continued high-rate policy has led many investors to view Bitcoin as an alternative safe-haven asset to the USD. At the same time, institutional involvement from companies such as MicroStrategy, Tesla, and particularly BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF filing continues to strengthen confidence. With global uncertainties ranging from banking to trade, Bitcoin is standing out as a safer decentralised asset. Therefore, as long as the 110,000–111,000 USD zone remains intact, the primary bias for BTC continues to lean firmly to the upside.
USDT Dominance Hits Channel Top – Correction Ahead?USDT dominance has reached the top of its channel, completing a potential 5-wave Elliott structure. This suggests that a corrective ABC pattern may follow.
• 🟢 Key Resistance: 4.60% – 4.65%
• 🔻 Expected Correction: toward 4.20% – 4.30%
• 📈 Market Impact: A decline in USDT dominance often means capital flowing back into crypto & altcoins.
If this scenario plays out, we could see altcoins breathing again in the short term.
The Bear Market Isn't Coming? Old BTC Playbook is a TrapFor years, traders have relied on Bitcoin's predictable cycles. We look for the same clues, the same topping signals, and the same patterns. But what if the market has evolved? What if the playbook we've all been studying is now a trap?
This analysis dives deep into key indicators across all three major bull runs, comparing the RSI, MACD, Volume, and especially the Bollinger Band Width Percentile (BBWP). The data suggests that while some classic bearish signals are flashing, the market's underlying structure is telling a very different, and potentially much more bullish, story.
A Tale of Two Cycles: The Historical Baseline
To understand where we are, we must first look back.
The First Bull Run (2015-2017): This cycle was defined by raw, explosive power. The weekly RSI crossed above 80 a staggering four times. However, the end was confusing. We had bearish RSI divergences fighting against bullish MACD. The primary exit signals were a massive spike in selling volume and a BBWP reading that finally hit 94%, signaling trend exhaustion. It was effective, but messy.
The Second Bull Run (2018-2021): This cycle top was much clearer and became the "classic" model for many traders. The RSI crossed 80 only twice, and the end was signaled by a textbook combination of:
Classic bearish divergences on the RSI and MACD.
Obvious selling pressure at the top.
Crucially, the BBWP spectrum crossed 90% three separate times, screaming trend exhaustion before the final downturn.
The Current Cycle: A New Breed of Bull 📈
Now, let's analyze our current cycle, which began in November 2022. On the surface, some things look familiar, but the engine of this trend is behaving in a completely unprecedented way.
The Familiar Signs (The Bear Case):
Yes, we can see a classic bearish divergence forming on both the RSI and MACD. Furthermore, the recent buying volume, while still okay, is showing signs of weakness compared to the explosive start of the rally. This is what is causing many analysts to call for a cycle top, just like before.
The Unprecedented Anomalies (The Bull Case):
This is where it gets interesting and why the old playbook may fail.
No BBWP Exhaustion: Unlike the (2015-2017) (2018-2021) bull runs, the BBWP spectrum has not crossed 90% a single time during this entire uptrend. The volatility has never reached the levels of euphoria and exhaustion that marked previous tops. The trend, while strong, has not shown signs of being "finished."
The Contraction Anomaly: This is the most compelling signal on the chart. Historically, a major BBWP contraction (the indicator squeezing down) signals that energy is building for a massive expansion in price. This event has almost always marked the beginning of a new bull phase or the start of a major move up. Yet, here we are at the supposed end of the cycle, and the BBWP is contracting again. This has never happened at a cycle peak before. This odd behavior suggests that instead of winding down, the market could be coiling up for another powerful move, Also the number of contractions in this cycle is much higher than the pervious cycles which explains the elliot waves unexpected targets
Elliott Wave Strength: While I have not drawn the Elliott Wave count here because every trader's interpretation can be subjective, my personal count indicates that the current wave structure is targeting prices significantly higher than the current all-time high.
Summary and Final Thoughts
To summarize, while we have some classic, textbook bearish signals that would have marked the top in (2018-2021), we also have powerful, unprecedented evidence suggesting this cycle is different.
The lack of a BBWP exhaustion signal (>90%) is a major deviation from the last 2 cycle top.
The current BBWP contraction at a "cycle end" is a massive anomaly. This is typically a pre-trend signal, not an end-of-trend signal, and could be hinting at a major breakout ahead.
This is not a guarantee of a continued bull run, but rather a data-driven observation that the market is showing a structure we haven't seen before. Relying solely on the old playbook could be a mistake. The market is evolving, and our analysis must evolve with it.
I have marked every anomaly and pattern on the chart, You can zoom in and analyze for yourself
I'm open to all discussions and opinions in the comments
Trade safe and keep an open mind.
BITX to 3Xdue to it being a 2x leverage ETF
we need to respect that chart patterns can be distorted.
So when a regular Hunt Volatility Funnel usually consolidates sideways before a explosive breakout move.
A levered ETF can be distorted , so that the sideways consolidation is actually pointing UP.
Giving you a clue of where it wants to go.
I believe #Bitcoin can hit $240K
sooner than people think
roughly a 2X
So a 3X for double long #ETF is definitely achievable.
BITCOIN SIGNAL: IS IT ABOUT TO GET WORSE??!! (scary) Yello Paradisers!
Together, we go through multiple timeframes. We are going through an ultra-long timeframe, breaking of the channel. How proper reclaims look, what the preceded price action is that is going to happen next and what preceded before that, and what the cycles are. We are taking a look at the bearish divergence, a shooting star which increased the truncation probability on lower timeframes.And that we are in the first motive mode wave of a higher-degree impulse.
On a high time frame chart, we are going through the secondary wave, the bearish divergence, resistances, and with the highest probability, the secondary wave is not yet finished. We are looking for confirmations from a high time frame perspective.
On a medium timeframe, we are deeply calculating the sub-waves. I'm sharing with you the fourth wave that, with the highest probability, is finishing, and we are about to have a fifth corrective mode wave because we are in an ending diagonal.
On a low timeframe chart, I'm sharing with you the expanding triangle and the upcoming price action with the highest probability.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BITCOIN Can this pattern hold one last time?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is holding (so far) its 1W MA20 (red trend-line) as mentioned on our previous analysis, which is critical for the continuation of the bullish trend.
Today however, we bring you a pattern that may have gone unnoticed and as long as it holds, the market should be expecting a new High.
That is the transition of a former Resistance level (formed from a previous High) that turns into Support (new Low), which generates a rally that so far has measured a minimum +45.73% (from the High).
However every such Low was priced at or very close to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This time the 1W MA50 is at 100k and a way for this pattern to be fulfilled, BTC should at least trade sideways until it comes close to the 1W MA50.
In any case, as long as the Support level holds, a +45.73% rise, would take us to $157000.
Do you think we have chances for that? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN SIGNAL: ANOTHER PERFECT PREDICTION (warning) Yello Paradisers! As always, as professional traders in this video, once again, we will go through multi-timeframe analysis. We are using Elliot Wave, indicators, advanced technical tools, and price action reading. Enjoy it. I love you.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BITCOIN Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BTCUSD reclaims key horizontal level after liquidity sweep, signaling strength. Breakout confirms bullish intent with Smart Money driving price toward 114,341 target to fill imbalance overhead. Time Frame 3H.
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #179👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis. After a few days, it’s time to resume our updates.
⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe
After breaking the 116,960 zone, Bitcoin failed to hold above it and the upward move turned out to be a fake breakout.
⚡️ Following that, a corrective move began. After consolidating below 114,819, the price continued its correction down to 111,524.
✔️ So far, the reaction to this level has been positive, with several green candles forming off this support.
🔑 However, the key point is that volume hasn’t increased, which is not a good sign for buyers.
🔍 If 111,524 breaks, the downtrend could extend toward the main support floor below.
💥 On the other hand, if price manages to create higher highs and higher lows above 111,524 and volume starts to pick up, a confirmed close above 114,819 could offer a long entry setup.
📈 A breakout of 116,960 will remain the primary long trigger. A clean break above that level will confirm the start of a new bullish leg.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.