BITCOIN and stocks, 2021 vs 2025...Bitcoin (BTCUSD) could be entering a new Bear Cycle and as we've mentioned a few times recently, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) will play a big part at deciding that. This is basically the level that BTC is testing right now.
What may seem surprising to some, is that while Bitcoin has been correcting, the stock market (S&P500 illustrated by the black trend-line) has been rising making All Time High (ATH) after All Time High. This is not uncommon towards the end of Bull Cycles and has been particularly relevant during the Top of the previous (2021) Cycle.
As you can see, Bitcoin topped 7 weeks before stocks did, as we witnessed heavy profit taking and rotation of those (extraordinary) crypto gains towards stocks. Even the 1W RSI Lower Highs structure is similar between 2021 and 2025. The 4-year Cycle Theory in full confirmation (so far).
If the pattern plays out the exact same way time-wise as in 2021 (often it doesn't), we should be expecting stocks to top around the week of November 24. As for Bitcoin's trend after, following the 2022 blueprint wouldn't be unreasonable at all, as a 1W candle closing below the 1W MA50 would open the way to a 1W MA100 (green trend-line) test, multiple months of ranged price action between the two and then violent crash towards the 1M MA100 (red trend-line).
So do you think Bitcoin has topped and if yes, are stocks about to follow soon? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTCUSD Long: Buyers Defend Demand Zone, Targeting $110,400 MoveHello traders! Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently trading within a key structural zone, showing signs of balance between demand and supply after a volatile move. Following the previous sell-off from the $116,000 Supply Area, the price found strong buying pressure near the $106,500 Demand Zone, which coincides with the ascending Demand Line that has been acting as dynamic support for several weeks.
After multiple rejections from the Supply Line, BTC has recently formed a fresh pivot low at the Demand Line — an area that has historically triggered bullish reactions. This reaction zone is particularly significant because it aligns with a confluence of horizontal and diagonal support, increasing the probability of a bounce scenario.
In the short term, I’m watching for a potential bullish rebound from the $106,500–$107,000 zone. A confirmed bounce with strong bullish candles could trigger a move toward the next pivot resistance around $110,400, which sits near the descending Supply Line. This would be the first major target for any short-term long positions.However, if buyers fail to sustain above the Demand Line, a breakdown below $106,000 would invalidate the bullish setup and potentially open the path for a deeper correction toward the next support levels. For now, the most probable scenario suggests a technical rebound toward $110,400, as long as the Demand Line continues to hold. I’ll be watching for confirmation signals such as higher lows or bullish breakouts to enter a long position. Manage your risk!
Bitcoin at the Brink: Breakdown or Breakout?Bitcoin is on the edge of a cliff . If this channel breaks downward, Bitcoin could fall below $100,000. But if the price respects this PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), we can expect a solid rally toward $111,000, then $117,000, and eventually $125,000.
What do you think—will Bitcoin fall or rise?
USDT Dominance - Wyckoff AccumulationCRYPTOCAP:USDT.D could be mirroring Tesla’s 2022–2024 Wyckoff structure. From 2022 to late 2024, NASDAQ:TSLA formed a clear Wyckoff Accumulation on the weekly chart: a Selling Climax set the range, an Automatic Rally confirmed resistance, and a brief Spring in early 2023 shook out bears before prices recovered on strong volume. The stock then established a Last Point of Support, followed by a Sign of Strength breakout in late 2024, signaling institutional accumulation and the start of a new uptrend.
BTCUSD: A bullish channel might be formedHello Traders!
Considering the next few days, we might see a buy opportunity for the king of the Cryptos!
General long-term is bullish,
Mid-term is bearish,
we are around a zone,
a week bearish trend seen breakable.
We would trade the possible channel after reaching the activation line.
If SL hit before the activation line, we'll cancel the trade .
Solana, more down side to see? SOLUSDT / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
SOLANA is currently trading within a down trend, maintaining a bearish structure. I'll be looking for a short pull-back higher to get a position.
If the pullback holds and sell mode confirms, the next leg higher could target new lows.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
BITCOIN Will Go Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 109,840.77.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 106,364.17 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Bitcoin’s price is at one of its most critical moments yet!👋🏻 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel.
✨ Today we’re diving into the 4-Hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Bitcoin, we can observe that after failing to break above its key resistance zone, BTC moved toward the multi-timeframe lows. Losing those lows created a selling pressure, pushing the price to retest its fundamental support levels. Currently, I’ve identified two critical zones in my analysis — a breakout from either one could provide a solid trading opportunity.
⌛ Bitcoin’s volume shows a strong bias toward sell positions, to the point where buyers are barely preventing the higher timeframes from entering oversold conditions. However, if this selling pressure and volume persist, Bitcoin could break the lower boundary of its recent daily range and continue downward. Volume data gives us the best insight into market behavior, allowing us to build effective scenarios.
✍️ There are two potential scenarios for Bitcoin that I’ll briefly summarize below — both can be used as setups for positioning.
🟢 Long Scenario: If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance zone at $108,072, completes a pullback, and shows an increase in buying volume with momentum entering the market, we can open a long position. This setup looks somewhat risky, so it’s better to enter with a smaller position size. The best trigger for a long entry is located around $111,180.
🔴 Short Scenario: If Bitcoin breaks below the key support level at $105,732, it could offer a short position setup — provided that selling pressure and bearish momentum continue. After the breakdown, we’ll need to wait for a pullback before entering the trade.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Fibonacci Retracement - Quick Guide in 5 StepsTrading the Fibonacci Retracement - Quick Guide in 5 Steps.
What is the Fibonacci tool?
The Fib Retracement Tool is a tool used widely across many charts. From crypto to stocks.
It assists in identifying the Golden Pocket, along with any potential Support and Resistance zones based on the sequence in Fibonacci.
Investors & Traders draw it from a previous high/low or low/high.
On a chart, each key level shows where price might pause or reverse during a pull back, before it continues the trend.
In this guide you will learn how to use the Fibonacci tool in 5 steps.
1. Configurations
Open up your Fib Retracement Tool's settings, apply the below configurations.
(You can change the color to your choice)
2. Identify High/Low's
Identify, recent highs and lows of your current chart/pair.
3. Applying Fib Retracement
Select your Fib Retracement tool. Place it on your chart starting from the swing low to the swing high.
4. Once completed
Highlight the Golden Pocket Field in the zone (0.65-0.618)
5. Review Entry
Price will eventually make it's way back down to the Golden Pocket to retest and reverse.
SL Placement would be on a previous low or key level, TP placement would be at a previous high or key level.
Bonus:
See the real time example below:
Please like, comment and follow if this guide was useful to you.
If you have any requests on analysis or tutorial requests, let me know and I'll be happy to make one!
Bitcoin Peaked Oct 6th, 2025Here is another perspective to add to my last publishing. The MACD is Diverging in a downward trend in comparison with the current Bitcoin upward price trend. As a long term Bitcoin investor I do not like the way things are lining up with Bitcoin. We are looking at another 2014 style crash in Bitcoin. Expect a 75-90% drop extending into 2026. Short positions are the play in the coming weeks/months and eventually look at cost averaging long positions again sometime in 2026/2027 for the next waves higher.
$BTC BEARISH CROSS on the 20 / 200 DMA We had a similar setup at the end of September of 2021 where CRYPTOCAP:BTC then rallied a week later ~75% over the next few weeks.
However, every other time this bearish cross occurred in the past, ₿itcoin has spent at least a couple months trying to reclaim the 200DMA.
Currently PA has closed the Day below the 200DMA.
Bulls CANNOT afford a Weekly close below $106k, which is well outside the DANGER ZONE and .382 Fib
GOOD NEWS: An Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern has formed.
Bulls need some big volume days to come reverse the localized downtrend ASAP.
If not, the 50WMA will be tested ~$103k.
If that happens, Bulls must not show any weakness nor allow Weekly Closes below it.
Example of a Trading Style
Hello?
Hello, fellow traders.
Follow me to get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day.
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While it's ideal to always close a trade in profit, this isn't always the case.
Therefore, you should maintain your trade by locking in profits through fractional trading.
Based on the trading information provided by the exchange, once a trade has turned into a loss, it's likely to take a considerable amount of time to turn into a profit again.
Therefore, you should trade at different buy and sell prices.
However, this is a rather tedious process, so it's not usually done that way.
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If you were to buy near the area shown on the chart, the estimated average purchase price would be significantly higher than the current price.
Therefore, you wouldn't be able to proceed with the trade.
Therefore, we must trade by purchase price.
The purchase prices for positions 1 and 2 are quite high, so we don't pay attention to them.
Since the current price is near the purchase price for position 3, if it turns into a profit, you can sell the amount you purchased near position 3 to lock in the profit.
By subtracting this profit from the purchase price for positions 1 and 2, you can minimize your losses.
This trading method is possible because the coin market allows trading in decimals.
The key here is to trade by purchase price.
You should not trade in units of the number of coins you purchased.
For example, if you purchased $100 at point 3 (106431.68), you should sell $100 when the price rises.
Trading this way will allow you to quickly recover from losses and even generate profits even during losses.
-
You can profit whenever volatility occurs, regardless of whether the asset (coin or token) you're trading is in a loss or a profit.
You should avoid increasing the number of assets (coins or tokens) you're trading without managing them.
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To do this,
1. Mark support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
2. Develop a basic trading strategy using these support and resistance points.
3. Avoid greed and execute split trades according to your trading strategy.
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Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading.
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Volatility Period: Up to November 10th
Hello, traders!
Follow us to get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day!
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period is expected to last from November 3rd to 9th.
First, we need to check the movement between November 3rd and 5th.
While the key question is whether the price can rise after finding support at the important support and resistance level of 104463.99-108353.0, it's crucial to check for support around 106431.68 within that range.
This is because the 106431.68 point is the DOM(-60) level.
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The DOM indicator is a comprehensive evaluation of the DMI, OBV, and MOMENTUM indicators.
DOM(-60) indicates that all three indicators have reached their lows.
Therefore, support is necessary to confirm the possibility of a bullish reversal.
If the price rises after the DOM(-60) indicator first appears and then touches the DOM(-60) indicator again, it is highly likely that the price will fall without finding support.
If the price rises after finding support at the DOM(-60) indicator, it should follow a period of sideways movement to confirm support.
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Therefore, what we can do now is take the time to determine which direction the price deviates from the 106431.68-108353.0 range and where it encounters support and resistance.
You need your own basic trading strategy to execute your trades.
No one else can do this for you.
This is because you need to tailor your trading strategy to your investment style to avoid regrets.
My basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, a step-up trend is likely, while if the price falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, a step-down trend is likely.
Therefore, a split trading strategy is required.
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The formation of the DOM(-60) indicator indicates a buying opportunity. However, as previously mentioned, this is the second time the indicator has fallen below the DOM(-60) level since its formation, increasing the likelihood of further declines.
If the price falls below 104463.99 and continues to decline, it is expected to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart and re-establish the trend.
At this point, the key area to consider is support, particularly around the left Fibonacci level of 2.618 (87814.27) to the left Fibonacci level of 3.14 (93570.28).
If the price declines and a new HA-Low indicator is formed, support around that level is crucial.
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You can profit by trading whether the price is in an uptrend or a downtrend.
However, the trading period may vary depending on the trend.
Therefore, you should check the flow of funds and determine whether trading is possible based on the support and resistance levels currently established.
To continue the uptrend by breaking above a key point or range,
1. The StochRSI indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should not have entered an overbought zone.
2. The TC (Trend Check) indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the zero level.
3. The On-By-Sign-Operative (OBV) indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the High Line.
When all three indicators above are met, an uptrend is highly likely.
Currently, the On-By-Sign-Operative (OBV) indicator is located near the Low Line, following the EMA 3 > EMA 2 > EMA 1 > OBV.
Therefore, we can see that selling pressure is dominant.
However, since it's located near the HA-Low indicator, you should pay close attention to the situation.
If it finds support in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range according to the basic trading strategy, it's a good time to buy.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
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Bitcoin BTC Bears Regain Control: Watching for a Short Setup 📊 Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSD)
Currently, Bitcoin is showing clear bearish intent on the higher timeframes 🧭. After an extended period of range-bound price action, we’ve now seen a decisive displacement to the downside 💥 — a strong signal that sellers are taking control.
From here, I’ll be watching for a retracement back into equilibrium ⚖️ — the 50% level of the most recent swing — and will then look for signs of rotation and a break of structure 🧩 on the 30-minute chart to confirm a potential short setup 📉.
Patience is key here 🕰️ — I want to see price react efficiently to that retracement before considering entries.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis before taking any trade.
The correlation between gold and Bitcoin
I've observed an inverse correlation between gold and Bitcoin, as detailed below:
October 1, 2012: Gold was overbought, leading to a notable increase in Bitcoin.
November 25, 2013: Bitcoin hit its peak while gold fell to a low point.
August 10, 2020: Gold reached a peak, which was followed by a substantial rise in Bitcoin.
March 1, 2021: Bitcoin peaked while gold hit a trough.
October 13, 2025: Gold reached a peak (according to my analysis, it appears gold is overbought and has met its targets).
Historical data shows that gold has consistently formed peaks around these times, coinciding with Bitcoin's surges.
Consequently, I believe this remains an optimal accumulation period, with the indicators aligning favorably.
No Rise in Sight — the Drop’s Still RightAs I mentioned before, I expect Bitcoin to decline toward 104K, and now the signs of this move are forming.
The invalidation zone is marked on the chart (and may be shifted closer to 110,445).
After reaching 104K, a sharp but limited rebound is possible, but I don’t expect a trend reversal at this stage.
⚠️ This is not financial advice or a trade signal. Please manage your risks and follow your own money management system.
PaxGold vs BTC: Are You Missing the Signal?Why is nobody paying attention to the PaxGold/BTC chart?
In the chart below, you can see PaxGold/BTC, and in the chart above, you see Bitcoin price. As you can observe, every time the RMBS indicator gives a buy signal, Bitcoin’s price tends to drop, and vice versa.
I recommend adding this indicator to your chart on the daily timeframe along with PaxGold to see whether you should buy a risky asset like Crypto or a safe asset like Gold.
You can find the link below—feel free to add it to your chart if you like.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #209👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into the Bitcoin analysis. The market momentum is bearish, so it's better we make a proper price analysis together.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, Bitcoin made a downward move and was rejected from the peak it created at the 111,365 zone.
📈 The long trigger we had at 111,365 didn’t get activated, and now the price has started its downward movement after breaking the 108,844 level.
🔔 The support level that the price has reacted to is 105,780. The price has hit this level with a very large volume and is reacting to it.
💥 If this level breaks, a huge sell volume will enter the market, and a new downward wave could start.
✨ We will confirm the start of this new wave with a break below the 104,488 level. We can also use the 105,780 and 104,488 triggers as entry points for positions.
✔️ As for a long position, I am currently waiting for this bearish momentum to dissipate before looking for a long trigger.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.






















