Bitcoin: The relief rally has been cancelled? Is it over?Bitcoin's bear market bottom can easily hit a range between $40,000 to $50,000. It can happen a bit higher but not likely to go lower than 40K. This would be a worst case scenario.
The question I am getting from my followers and readers is related to the short-term: What about the relief rally, is it over? No!
It is true that Bitcoin is set to move lower in the latter part of 2026 but this is still far away. The bearish cycle continuation is a process that is set to start in March or after March 2026, which means we still have some, or plenty, of time left. The relief rally is still on! Bitcoin is going up next.
Bitcoin's 2026 relief rally
We can divide the action that started in November 2021 in two parts: 1) The move from $80,600 toward $98,000, and 2) the retrace from $98,000 toward $81,118, today's low. So far, we continue to be at, and we are at, a classic higher low.
The volume 21-November 2025, the previous low, was 72.26K. Volume yesterday (today is not yet over) was 30.43K. So you can see how volume is lower. Today can result in higher volume than yesterday but it isn't likely to be higher than 21-November. It can also happen that the day closes green but this we do not know.
Market conditions changed, a tiny bit.
A rise from $82,550 toward $116,441 would mean 41% total growth. This is a lot for a relief rally. The previous move peaked around 21%. Normally, we would expect a relief rally to end with total growth around 30-40%. This is to say that we need to update our final target, we need to be a bit more conservative.
For the last bullish move before the major bearish climax, the 2026 Bitcoin market crash, we are going to be aiming at a range between $108,000 to $110,000. This is our updated target for the last leg up of the relief rally.
The altcoins are a completely different game and should be considered individually. It seems many will work as a safe haven as the global financial markets crash. Money will flow from conventional markets to the altcoins, yet, there will still be strong bearish action when Bitcoin moves down.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BITCOIN Bullish Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN collapses sharply today, and hit a strong demand level around 81k$ from where we are already seeing a bullish rebound, and as BTC is oversold we will be expecting a further bullish correction into the higher liquidity pools above. Time Frame 10H.
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BITCOIN This Bearish Cross is the final confirmation of collapseBitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently past a Relative Vigor Index (RVGI) Bearish Cross on the 3M (quarterly) time-frame. This is a huge development as it is basically the last indicator to confirm the new Bear Cycle beyond any technical doubt.
Every time this took place historically, BTC was on the first quarter of a Bear Cycle. The consistency between those Bearish Cross formations is remarkable: 15 or 16 quarters (1369 - 1461 days) between each occurrence.
What's even more interesting is that following each RVGI Bearish Cross, the Bear Cycle bottomed in exactly 4 quarters, i.e. 1 year. This technically confirm our long-term expectation from previous analyses that the current Cycle should bottom around October 2026.
In addition to the RVGI, take a look at the 3M RSI. The quarter before the RVGI Bearish Cross topped on the 7-year Lower Highs trend-line, consistent with all previous Highs.
So what do yo think? Is the RVGI right to confirm the new Bear Cycle and pinpoint its bottom around October 2026? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSDT Long: Recovery From Demand Zone - $89,800 in FocusHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of BTCUSDT (3H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin is trading within a broader corrective-to-recovery phase following a strong bullish impulse that previously developed inside a well-defined ascending channel. Within that channel, price consistently printed higher highs and higher lows, confirming buyer dominance and healthy trend conditions. The rally ultimately reached a key pivot point near the upper boundary of the ascending channel, where bullish momentum began to weaken. From this pivot high, BTC transitioned into a consolidation range, signaling temporary balance and distribution rather than immediate continuation.
Currently, BTC is recovering from the demand zone and moving higher along a rising demand line, while approaching the former supply level near 89,800. Price action suggests a corrective recovery rather than a full trend reversal, with buyers attempting to reclaim key structure. The area around 89,800 now acts as a critical decision zone, where market acceptance or rejection will likely define the next directional move.
My scenario: as long as BTCUSDT holds above the 87,200 Demand Zone and continues to respect the rising demand line, I expect a continuation of the recovery toward the 89,800 Supply Level (TP1). A clean breakout and acceptance above this resistance would strengthen the bullish recovery scenario and open the door for a move back toward higher resistance levels. However, a strong rejection from supply followed by a breakdown below demand would invalidate the recovery and suggest continuation of the broader corrective move. For now, price action shows buyers regaining short-term control, but confirmation at resistance is key. Manage your risk!
BTCUSD: continuation of the fall🛠 Technical Analysis: BTC is trading below the 90K psychological zone after the recent pullback, with price compressing near the MA cluster (dynamic resistance). The rising support line and the 88,335 area act as the key “trigger” zone: a clean breakdown can open the way for a deeper correction. Nearest resistance is 92,193 . Key downside support/target zone is 80,820.
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❗️ Trade Parameters (SELL)
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➡️ Entry Point: 88335.83
🎯 Take Profit: 80820.02
🔴 Stop Loss: 92193.50
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
BTCUSDT: Recovery From Support Within a Uptrend Toward $92,300Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current BTCUSDT setup.
Market Analysis
BTCUSDT is trading within a broader bullish market structure, previously supported by a well-defined upward channel. Inside this channel, price consistently printed higher highs and higher lows, confirming strong buyer dominance. During the advance, BTC reached the upper boundary of the channel, where a fake breakout occurred. This failure to hold above the channel top signaled temporary exhaustion and triggered a sharp corrective move to the downside. Following the rejection, price broke below the mid-channel structure and dropped aggressively into a clearly defined Support Zone around 88,500–89,000. This zone acted as a key reaction area, where selling pressure weakened and buyers began to absorb liquidity. The initial breakdown below support resulted in a fake breakout to the downside, after which BTC quickly reclaimed the level, indicating seller trap behavior.
Currently, after the fake breakdown, price entered a consolidation range, showing balance and compression rather than continuation selling. This range reflects a corrective phase after the impulsive drop, not a trend reversal. Recently, BTC broke out of this range to the upside and is now respecting a rising triangle support line, which suggests growing buyer strength and improving short-term structure.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario is bullish continuation as long as BTCUSDT holds above the 88,500–89,000 Support Zone and respects the ascending triangle support line. The recent breakout from the consolidation range strengthens the probability of a corrective recovery turning into a continuation move. I expect buyers to push price higher toward the 92,300 Resistance Zone (TP1), which represents previous resistance and a key reaction level. A clean breakout and acceptance above this resistance would confirm bullish continuation and open the door for a move back toward the upper boundary of the larger bullish structure.
However, if price fails to hold above support and shows strong bearish acceptance below the 88,500 zone, this long scenario would be invalidated and increase the probability of deeper downside continuation. For now, structure favors buyers, and the current move appears to be a healthy recovery after a corrective shakeout.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Bitcoin Moment of Truth- This simple chart compares Bitcoin to gold, not to dollars. ( Remove the dollar = Compare real value ).
- Remember? Resistance often turns into support. Support often turns into resistance.
- A long time ago, when BTC reached this same level against gold, it failed and stayed weak for years. Today, BTC is back at the exact same line.
- This is a make it or break it zone: If Bitcoin stays above this level, it proves it’s stronger than Gold. If BTC falls below it, gold wins and BTC struggles again.
- No magic, no prediction. Bitcoin either holds the line…or loses the fight.
- Boomers vs Gen Z
Happy Tr4Ding !
SOL/USDT | SSL sweep? (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the 4h chart of SOLUSDT, it has experienced a massive drop from 148.74 all the way to 117.15, but managed to recover a bit and reached 128.34 before dropping again and now it's being traded at 122.70.
I don't want Solana to go for the Sellside liquidity pinpointed on the chart, but it is not unlikely for it to go there and sweep the liquidity below the 116.88 level, then starting a move upwards, going for the IFVG.
Bullish Targets for Solana: 123.00, 123.50, 124.00, 124.50 and 125.
Bearish targets: 122.50, 122.00, 121.50 and 121.00.
ETH/USDT | Where will it go? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the 4H chart of the ETHUSDT we can see that Ethereum hit 3045, hitting the low of the FVG, but then today it dropped all the way to 2923, now being traded at 2928.
I'd like to see Ethereum retest the FVG again and then sweep the Buyside Liquidity pool.
Bullish Targets: 2936, 2954, 2972 and 3000.
Bearish targets: 2916, 2900 and 2884.
BTC/USDT | What's ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)As you can see in the Hourly chart of BTCUSDT, it reached all 4 targets of the previous analysis, reaching 90,600, going above the high of the IFVG, but then again, it returned to the IFVG zone and then went even lower, being traded now at 87,900.
There are relatively equal lows below with liquidity residing below them.
Ideally, I'd like BTCUSDT to sweep the liquidity below there and then make an upwards move.
For the time being, bullish targets: 88,200, 89,200 and 90,200.
Bearish Targets: 87,500, 86,900 and 86,300.
Bear Flag Breakout Could Bust Down BitcoinBITSTAMP:BTCUSD could continue to fall even further after the Breakout and Retest of the Ascending Channel turned Bear Flag!
Since Price made a Breakout of the Ascending Channel last Tuesday, January 20th, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD struggled to get back within the channel and consolidated between $87,000 - $90,000.
Wednesday, January 28th, price made one last attempt to push higher and was rejected @ $90,476 and since then has been in a steep decline!
Now based on the Breakout of the Bear Flag, we can expect that price will extend as long as the Flagpole of the pattern and this extension could see price make a fall all the way down to the $50,000 - $45,000 area!!
This fall also comes after the Senate Agriculture Committee advanced the CLARITY Act for digital asset regulation. The act defines digital commodities and gives the CFTC primary authority over them while the SEC retains authority over digital asset securities.
-https://www.tradingview.com/news/tradingview:9dac026eb6ea9:0-key-facts-bitcoin-drops-6-to-83-563-356m-in-liquidations-recorded/
BTCUSD: Bearish Structure Still in ControlHello, this is Domic.
On the D1 timeframe, Bitcoin remains in a medium-term downtrend. Price is currently trading around 87.6K but is still capped below the EMA levels, indicating that the recent upside move was only a technical rebound and not strong enough to signal a trend reversal.
The key level to watch is 85K. Price structure continues to form lower highs, while the 90.5K zone above has clearly turned into a structural resistance. To shift the bias back to bullish, BTC must post a daily close above 90.5K. Until that happens, all rebounds should still be viewed as corrective moves within a broader downtrend.
Wishing you successful trading!
$TOTAL Crypto Market Cap Complete Meltdown Well Alright Ya’ll..
Here she blows 🤯
Longs about to be obliterated ☠️
If the Crypto CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Market Cap gets a few Daily Closes below $2.8T then $75k CRYPTOCAP:BTC is not too far away.
Sure we shoulda all sold more, but here we are...
Should be a good buying opportunity to sell into the next dead cat bounce..
MEOW 🐈
BTCUSDT - 4H - LongBitcoin perfectly fulfilled the initial forecast until pullback 10 and now we expect it to complete pullback 11 and start pullback 12, which coincides with a test of broken demand and equilibrium zone. From there, it will make another /final/ impulse to pullback 13, which coincides with strong Demand, which in turn validates the Gartley formation and execute in an upward direction to $92,000, which coincides with unbalanced zones.
Bitcoin 4H Correction May Be Ending | Potential Move Toward 100KOn the 4-hour Bitcoin chart, based on my personal strategy, I expect a bullish reaction from the ~82,000 USD zone.
If market structure confirms, price could move toward the 100,000 USD area as a minimum target.
At this stage, I am waiting for a proper entry trigger according to my strategy rules and have not entered a position yet.
This is a personal analysis and not financial advice.
BTC/USDT - Bitcoin H1 | Continuation Pattern Signals Downside📝 Description🔍 Setup (Technical Structure) BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC/USDT is forming a classic Bearish Pennant pattern on the H1 timeframe.
After a strong impulsive sell-off (flag pole), price consolidated inside a tight pennant structure, showing lower highs and weak buying pressure.
Price remains below EMA & Ichimoku cloud, confirming bearish control and continuation bias.
This structure typically favors trend continuation, not reversal.
📍 Support & Resistance
🔴 1st Support: 85,800 – 86,000
🔴 2nd Support (Flag Target): 84,000 – 84,200
🟡 Pennant Resistance Zone: 90,500 – 91,000
Flag-pole height projection aligns with lower support targets
#BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #BearishPennant #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #Kabhi_TA_Trading
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Crypto markets are highly volatile — always manage risk and use proper position sizing.
💬 Support the Idea 👍 Like if you’re bearish on BTC
💬 Comment: Continuation or fake breakdown? 🔁 Share with traders watching Bitcoin
BTC still within range.BTC has confirmed a bearish short-term structure with a lower high followed by a lower low. The break of the rising diagonal signals momentum shifting against bulls.
Price is now trading below the high-volume node, suggesting acceptance at lower levels rather than a quick reclaim. This puts pressure on any upside attempts.
Key levels
Major resistance remains near the prior supply zone, where price was previously rejected.
BTC is currently reacting inside a high-demand area, where buyers are expected to defend.
Momentum
Momentum is showing early bullish divergence from oversold conditions, opening the door for a short-term relief bounce.
However, momentum is still in a weak regime, any upside is corrective unless structure flips.
Thesis
Below resistance, the bias remains bearish continuation.
A bounce from demand is possible, but without a reclaim, it’s likely a sell-the-bounce environment.
Watching how BTC reacts here will be key.
Bitcoin at Key Support as Trendline Reclaim Comes Into FocusBTC is currently reacting from a major support zone after a sharp corrective move from the previous highs. Price has moved back into a historically important demand area, where buyers have stepped in before. This zone aligns with higher time frame structure support and acts as a key level for market stability.
The most important factor to watch now is the long term ascending trendline. A successful reclaim and hold above this trendline would signal that bullish structure is being restored and could open the path for a continuation toward the upper resistance range shown on the chart.
If price fails to hold above the current support and loses momentum, a deeper retracement toward the lower demand zone remains possible. This area still sits within the maximum corrective range without breaking the broader market structure.
Bitcoin is approaching a critical decision point where volatility is expected to increase. The next move will likely define the medium term trend direction.
BTC Faces Major Resistance Before FOMC – Breakdown or Breakout?As I expected in the previous idea , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has followed the anticipated bullish and bearish trends and has reached all of its targets (full target).
Now, the question is whether Bitcoin can sustain above the $90,000 level. Stay tuned!
At the moment, Bitcoin is moving near the resistance zone($90,600-$89,300) and around the 50_SMA(Daily), and the resistance line.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that Bitcoin is completing a Double Three Correction(WXY) within the ascending channel.
I expect that Bitcoin might not break through this resistance zone($90,600-$89,300) on the first attempt and could start to decline, potentially dropping to around $88,133. If the bearish momentum continues, we might see even lower targets.
First Target: $88,133
Second Target: Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $87,000-$85,630
Stop Loss(SL): $91,823(Worst)
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $92,000-$91,000
CME Gap: $93,060-$92,940
In the coming hours, markets face the Fed Funds Rate decision and Powell’s press conference, which typically bring elevated volatility. If the Fed holds rates at 3.75% as expected, the initial reaction may be muted, but real movement will depend on forward guidance. Historically, when outcomes align with expectations, gold tends to stay supported amid uncertainty, especially with U.S. government shutdown risks in the background, while Bitcoin remains sensitive to liquidity signals and risk sentiment. Any shift in Powell’s tone — whether more cautious or more hawkish — can quickly drive sharp moves.
⚠️ Traders should expect volatility both at the release and during the press conference, avoid impulsive entries, and prioritize risk management.
Note: Rising tensions in the Middle East could quickly intensify Bitcoin's downward trend
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
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BTC TO 60K PREDICTION this is just my prediction for btc
we had a choch on the weekly and failure to close above our previous weekly high and we broke through previous monthly low with heavy momentum and we are in weekly premium and have a fvg that needs to be filled before going higher and we also have an order block below with lines up with my monthly short term ema(blue line) and usually price likes to come to an order block when a fvg gets filled so yea btc to 60k






















