Bitcoin Chart Marks Its 2 Big Next Stops: $105K → $98KBitcoin has spent three months consolidating near record highs.
That kind of sideways grind usually ends with a liquidity hunt.
If the dollar finishes its current swing higher, Bitcoin likely tags the mid-range support zone next.
Two major downside targets remain on the map for the coming months.
Probability of a flush lower sits around ~80%
It’s a normal structural move: after heavy consolidation, price seeks liquidity before the next sustained leg.
Dollar drifts lower as U.S. growth stays hot—Q2 GDP +3.8% and a government-shutdown risk on deck.
Bitcoin presses $111K–112K resistance while whales quietly accumulate after recent liquidation spikes.
Price is at the hinge: soft USD supports risk, but volatility is loaded.
Trade the structure, not the noise.
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
SHORT BITCOIN  – THE TRAP IS BELOW, NOT ABOVE!Traders,
From the current levels around $112.8K–$113K, I believe Bitcoin is setting up for another leg down into the $104K region.
Why? Because at current levels we already have multiple Anchored VWAPs (AVWAPs) lining up from different swing high → low auctions, which makes this area heavy resistance.
That means the probability of retracing higher is limited, and instead, the market is more likely to drop into $104K — where there’s significant unfinished business — before a proper bounce can occur.
🔮 Hypothesis
 
 From current levels ($112.8K–$113K), price will reject and move down toward $104K.
 Retracement higher than $113K is unlikely given AVWAP confluence + resistance stack.
 The $104K region will act as a bounce zone, potentially with a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) wick.
 
📊 Data & Confluence
🔻 Why $104K Is a Magnet
 
 HTF Point of Control (POC): The high-volume node where markets naturally seek equilibrium.
 HTF AVWAP: Anchored VWAP from major pivots aligns here, marking fair value.
 4H TPO Single Prints + Fib Retracements (0.75–0.786): Gaps in auction structure converge with key Fibonacci levels.
 CME Gap: The $104K CME RTH gap still needs filling — markets often return here for balance.
 Sept 1st Low (Weekly TPO): Poor excess signals unfinished auction business, pulling price back down.
 
🔼 Why Current Levels Won’t Hold
 
 Clustered AVWAPs (different swing high → low auctions): Acting as strong dynamic resistance.
 Multiple POCs at current zone: Volume saturation suggests exhaustion.
 Fibonacci confluence + harmonic pattern: Pointing to lower continuation.
 
💵 Macro Flows
 
 USDT Dominance (USDT.D): Breaking higher → capital shifting to stablecoins → bearish BTC.
 Aggregated CVD: Spot CVD drifting slightly higher, but futures CVD flat with no OI expansion.
 → No real demand behind the move.
 
📌 My Take
Bitcoin is most likely to:
 
 Reject from current AVWAP resistance ($112.8K–$113K).
 Drop into $104K, clearing imbalances and luring in shorts below the 0.786 fib.
 Trigger a wick/squeeze move up (Swing Failure Pattern) to trap those late shorters.
 
⚠️ If $104K fails to hold, next target is the imbalance zone around $98.5K.
✅ Conclusion
The market is loaded with resistance at current levels. Until that’s broken with conviction, the path of least resistance is down into $104K.
That’s where the real battle will be.
Trade safe, manage risk, and don’t get trapped on the wrong side of the wick.
BTCUSD – Last Chance to Go HigherOver the weekend, price found support just outside the white  L-MLH. That’s where I previously mentioned the red Centerline — the target for the earlier short trade.
Now, however, price has jumped back into the fork. Tthis could be the last chance to break out of the down-sloping yellow fork to the upside.
P3 would be my next level to watch for support after the break of the red Centerline.
SOLUSDT: Retracing FVG, Touching Kumo Cloud – Key Zone 212–215?Hello everyone, let’s take a look at SOLUSDT on the H4 chart.
 
Structurally, the primary trend remains bearish, forming a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, while the current upward movement is mainly a pullback filling the Fair Value Gaps (FVG). The immediate resistance zone lies between 212–215, coinciding with the Ichimoku cloud boundary and previous balance areas. A decisive break above this range could open the path to 220–223 and further to 228–232 (the upper red FVG cluster). On the downside, support is found at 205–202 – a newly formed green FVG. A strong breach would expose 198–195 as the next floor, and deeper support around 190–188 – the recent swing low.
From a news perspective, market sentiment continues to revolve around risk appetite: Bitcoin movements, ETF inflows/outflows, the DXY, and US Treasury yields heavily influence altcoins including SOL. This week’s US economic calendar is dense with ADP, Jobless Claims, PMI/ISM, and Non-Farm Payrolls – strong data could reinforce USD/ yields, pressuring risk assets; weaker numbers would support the rebound. Solana-specific catalysts such as network performance, dApp/TVL metrics, airdrops, or congestion events can further amplify breakouts or rejections around the mentioned FVGs.
 In the preferred scenario, SOL may pull back to 205–202 to fill the green FVG, creating a higher low before retesting 212–215. A break and hold above 215 with improving volume could target 220–223 and extend to 228–232. 
 Where do you see SOL heading? Will this rebound hold or will it test the 200 area soon? Share your thoughts!
BITCOIN SIGNAL: MOST PEOPLE ARE DOING THIS NOW (wrong)Yello Paradisers! In this video, we are going through multi-timeframe analysis on Bitcoin as professional traders. We are using advanced technical indicators, and we are properly analyzing with an Elliot Wave perspective. We are digging deep into the sub-waves and structure. Enjoy.
 And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. 
 Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BITCOIN Is Going Up! Buy! 
Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) 
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 109,230.63.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 112,035.52 level.  
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
 Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
$8 Billion Bitcoin Accumulation Could Launch Price to $115,000At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $111,966, just shy of the $112,500 resistance. The recent bounce from below $110,000 reflects investor demand, but breaching key resistance remains critical for further upside momentum.
If Bitcoin successfully climbs past $112,500, the crypto king could reclaim $115,000 as a support level. This would open the door for a rally toward $120,000 in the coming days, fueled by accumulating investor demand and reduced selling pressure on exchanges.
However, failure to overcome $112,500 resistance would expose Bitcoin to further downside risks. A drop back to $110,000 or even $108,000 remains possible. This would invalidate the bullish outlook and trigger renewed skepticism about Bitcoin’s near-term recovery.
28/09/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $115,537.51
Last weeks low: $108,606.86
Midpoint: $112,072.19
As BTC continued to trend down post FOMC the key HTF level of $108,500, after some chop at this level a late rally on Sunday has pushed BTC back to the Midpoint of the range for this week. 
As September comes to a close we are at the point where banks window dress their balance sheets by de-risking going into Q4. Banks taking cash out of the market to appear there is less risk and more liquid to hide their true risk over the quarter. This lowers liquidity and for this reason I do not expect the bulls to be out of the woods yet and the weekly low ($108k) could be under attack again before the week closes.
The story is the same for much of the altcoin market, after continued downtrend majors are bouncing off key HTF S/R levels but conviction is still low due to quarter end. 
This week I am looking at how BTC finishes the week once the month/quarter end is out of the way. If their is renewed optimism October. 
In terms of seasonality October has an average return rate of 21.89% since 2019. 
Should price break below weekly low the bullish HTF trend would be questioned and would open the door to a deeper correction. With the 4-year cycle predicted to end in late October there would be huge talk of the cycle repeating and the bear market beginning.
Good luck this week everybody!
BITCOIN Is there time left for one final run??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern through the entirety of its Bull Cycle. The key characteristic of this pattern, which has also helped us at taking profits during each phase in timely manner, has been that every High since the Bear Cycle's Lower Highs trend-line broke, has been on a +0.5 Fibonacci extension interval.
As you can see, starting from Fib 1.5 ext, BTC has fulfilled the pattern by making Highs on the 2.5, 3.5 and 4.5 Fibs so far. What technically remains plausible until the end of the year is the 5.5 Fib ext, which sits at $180k.
With the 4-year Cycle theory suggesting a Cycle Top a little before the end of the year, is it realistic to expect this Target? Do you think there's time for BTC to make one final run like this? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin - Bitcoin Left Behind the Stock Market!?Bitcoin is in its descending channel on the four-hour timeframe, between the EMA50 and EMA200. In case of an upward correction towards the specified supply zone, it is possible to sell Bitcoin with a better risk-reward.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
A group of U.S. lawmakers has called on the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to enforce an executive order issued by President Donald Trump that opens the door for cryptocurrency investments within the $12.5 trillion 401(k) retirement fund market. Signed in August, the order authorizes 401(k) plans to offer cryptocurrencies as a new investment option.
Members of the House Financial Services Committee, in a formal letter, praised the order for its potential to help Americans boost their retirement savings. They urged the SEC to work with the Department of Labor to update existing rules and guidelines, with the aim of enabling millions of Americans to gain access to such investment opportunities for their retirement.
The letter further stated: “We also ask the SEC to review the bipartisan bills currently advancing in the 119th Congress regarding accredited investors. We hope these measures will allow the 90 million Americans who are currently excluded from alternative investments to secure a more dignified and comfortable retirement.”
Meanwhile, the Senate Finance Committee announced that it will hold a hearing this week on the issue of digital asset taxation, as industry stakeholders continue to press for greater clarity in federal regulations.
According to Committee Chairman Mike Crapo, the session—titled “Examining the Taxation of Digital Assets”—is scheduled for October 1. The official notice confirmed that Lawrence Zlatkin, Vice President of Tax at Coinbase, and Jason Somensatto, Policy Director at Coin Center, will testify at the hearing.
The committee had earlier invited public comments on how existing tax laws should apply to digital assets and whether new legislative frameworks are needed. The upcoming session is expected to draw heavily on the recommendations of the White House Digital Asset Working Group, which urged lawmakers to recognize cryptocurrencies as a distinct asset class and establish tailored tax rules separate from those applied to commodities and securities.
From a market perspective, liquidation heatmaps in the futures market highlight clusters of leveraged positions at key levels. When the price fell between $114,000 and $112,000, a wave of long liquidations occurred simultaneously, leading to heavy wipeouts and accelerating the downward momentum.
Risk pockets remain around the $117,000 level, making both sides of the market vulnerable to liquidity-driven volatility. Without strong demand at these levels, fragility persists, increasing the likelihood of another sharp downward move.
114-114K is a Key Level for BTC directionMorning folks, 
So, BTC indeed dropped as we suggested. It was not a surprise with so tight liquidity situation in the US... Now, BTC keeps door open to both scenarios with some adv. on bearish side. But this adv. is not total. 
Since our  H&S pattern  in a process of failure, it is logical to suggest  [b ]potential Butterfly on daily chart 
At the same, on 1H chart we can see that BTC is forming reverse H&S pattern. By itself, it is not a problem for daily butterfly, this H&S might become a part of it. But, it could become the part of  weekly opposite butterfly  either. 
So, everything depends on 114-114.5K area which is a neckline. Upside breakout increases bullish chances. What we're going to do?
Obviously - try to take a long position with H&S. No matter, will it get minor target or become a reversal pattern - anyway it has to be considered. And we also will be keep an eye on its failure. This is also important and gives us a confidence with downside continuation. 
Probably to the next update on Thu, we should get the clarity over this pattern. Right now we prefer to sit on the hands.
#BTCUSDT.P (1H Chart)#BTCUSDT.P
(1H Chart)
🔹️ Bitcoin Analysis Update 🔹️
The bullish outlook from the previous analysis remains valid.
The yellow box resistance has been engulfed, and I expect the bullish move to continue.
📌 Best entry zone: Blue Box
🎯 Main target for this long setup: Red Box (114,000 – 114,500)
🚀 If you enjoyed this analysis, please give it a boost 💙
and to not miss any new analyses or setups, make sure to follow me 📊
🆔️ @Rasoolahmadi 
BITCOIN ON WAY TO MAINTREND - UPDATE 28-09-2025📊BTC/USDT Trading Update
✅ Low time frame confirmed: Bitcoin has established support in the $109.3K – $109.7K zone, which now acts as a strong base.
📈 Price is moving toward the main trend zone ($110.8K – $111.5K). This will be the key resistance area to watch.
🔑 Breakout potential:
If BTC clears the main trend zone, momentum could accelerate with the next target around $112K – $113K.
This would confirm a stronger continuation of the short-term uptrend.
Scenarios:
Bullish case: Hold above $109.3K and break $111.5K → expansion toward $112K – $113K.
Bearish case: Failure to break the main trend could lead to sideways action or retest of $109K support.
📌 Summary:
BTC has confirmed its low time frame breakout and is now targeting the main trend zone. A break above this range will likely fuel a push toward $112K – $113K.
Bitcoin: Higher Probability At Range Levels.Bitcoin range is defined by the blue rectangles on this chart. Range low is around the 105 to 108K area and the range high is around the 115 to 118K areas. The 113K area happens to be near the midpoint of this range which means price action here is MOST random. Over the previous week, I pointed out the 113K potential support, and during the week there was a test followed by a bullish engulfing candle. I characterized this as a long, yet now we see that Bitcoin had alternate ideas. There is NO way to forecast price action, the best we can do is come up with reference points and then evaluate the price action that appears.   
While the bearish rejection of the 113K area looks very negative, it is meaningless over the bigger picture. The broader trend has not changed, it is generally bullish and the shorter term trend is consolidating (likely the broader wave 4). Keep in mind, historical price action offers a way to gauge risk, strength, weakness BUT does NOT offer any way to accurately forecast the future. Like poker, this is a game of INCOMPLETE information and in order to navigate effectively we MUST adjust as the market provides new pieces of the puzzle. 
As of now, here are the levels I am watching: range support 105K, 108K, range resistance 118K, 121K. It is all about how price action behaves IF it reaches one of these areas. Since I do not short on this time frame, that limits me to looking for bullish reversal at these support levels, otherwise there is not much else to do. IF the resistance is reached, even if sell signals occur on this time frame, if I was planning to short, I would be extra selective since there is still a greater chance of a bullish breakout based on the price structure. 
The illustration on the chart shows one potential scenario which I believe has a greater probability. IF adverse catalysts occur, then it can completely negate this idea even with confirmation present. The predefined RISK and position sizing aspect is key when it comes to navigating this market optimally. There are many ways to define these variables, one that I use is the Trade Scanner Pro which utilizes the ATR to define risk, etc. Position sizing is another story, but beyond the scope of this article. 
Range bound markets are hard to trade if you are too focused on the small picture. You can obtain higher probability outcomes simply by waiting for price areas that carry much more meaning historically. By preparing in advance, you can anticipate price behavior rather than react to price spikes or internet hype. For Bitcoin, it is simply about WAITING for the range support/resistance and confirmation patterns with structured risk management. 
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective. 
#BTCUSDT.P (15m Chart)#BTCUSDT.P
(15m Chart)
🔹️ Bitcoin Futures Analysis 🔹️
✅ Entry Zone: 109,800 – 109,500
❌ Stop Loss: 108,000
🎯 Targets:
🔰 Target 1: 111,000
🔰 Target 2: 111,800
🔰 Target 3: 112,400
🔰 Target 4: 113,600
🔰 Target 5: 114,500
📌 Based on the current conditions of Bitcoin and USDT dominance, I expect a bullish move in the market this week.
📍 This is the setup I expect to play out for Bitcoin.
⚠️ Important Notes:
Keep leverage below 10.
Follow risk management strictly.
Do not place pending orders. I’m monitoring the market myself, and if the entry zone is reached and conditions look good, I’ll announce the entry.
🆔 @Rasoolahmadi 
BTC — Sunday Liquidity TrapAfter hitting the BIG resistance at $117,896 (0.618 Fib retracement), BTC rejected as anticipated and started its current downtrend. The anchored VWAP from the $117.9K high has been an excellent guide, acting as resistance → most recently at $113,800, where it provided a clean short entry.
Over the weekend, BTC has traded sideways. We just saw a small pump to clear the range highs and take out buy-side liquidity, a common setup before markets rotate lower to sweep sell-side liquidity.
 Key Confluence Zone 
The next level of interest sits around $108,250, where multiple factors align:
 
 Monthly Open: $108,246.36
 Daily Level: $108,246.35
 0.618 Fib Retracement: $108,236.67
 Liquidity cluster with many stop-losses residing here
 
If this zone fails to hold, the next downside interest lies at:
 
 Key Low: $107,255 → possible SFP area
 0.666 Fib Retracement: $106,975.52 → additional support
 
 🟢 Long Trade Setup 
 
 Entry: Long around $108,250 (mOpen confluence zone)
 Stop-Loss: Below 0.666 Fib retracement (~$106,975)
 Take Profit: TP1 → $111K, if volume expands → trail stop for higher targets
 R:R: ~1:2
 
 Market Insight 
Sunday pumps are notoriously unreliable, often designed to trap traders into late longs before a pullback wipes them out. This setup reflects exactly that dynamic.
 Indicators used 
 
 DriftLine — Pivot Open Zones   → For identifying key yearly/monthly/weekly/daily opens that act as major S/R reference points
 
➡️ Available for free. You can find it on my profile under “Scripts” and apply it directly to your charts for extra confluence when planning your trades.
_________________________________
 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
BTC USD PLAN
Bitcoin’s chart is one thing, but the bigger story is what’s driving the money behind it.
 The Fed & Yields
The Federal Reserve is still the invisible hand. Every surprise in rates—whether a hotter inflation print or a sudden hint of deeper cuts—moves global risk appetite.
Lower real yields = cheaper capital = stronger bid for assets like BTC.
A hawkish turn does the opposite.
 Institutional Flow
Big money isn’t just buying dips—it’s writing new rules.
Case in point: asset manager Strive is set to acquire about 5,800 BTC (≈ $675 million) through a corporate deal.
Moves like this tighten available supply and add a slow, steady demand base.
 Bitcoin Technical View
This week’s candle is shaping up bearish, and Monday will tell us if today’s Sunday session finishes the job.
If the market doesn’t fill that daily gap, we’ll be watching Monday’s open closely.
Right now the daily range runs from 113,999 down to 108,644.
If the dollar pushes into higher liquidity zones, Bitcoin could feel the pressure and drift lower.
The plan is simple: wait for a clear shift on the smaller time frames before making any move and calculate risk from there.
Patience matters more than bravado—let the market come to you.
For now, the setup still looks constructive, but it only pays to act when the levels confirm.
Trade small, stay calm, and protect your capital first.
ADA/USDT | ADA Testing $0.68–$0.78 Demand – Next Pump Ahead?By analyzing the Cardano (ADA) chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price started correcting as expected and has now reached $0.78, entering the key $0.68–$0.78 demand zone. Now we need to see whether this zone can stop ADA from dropping further.
If the price holds in this strong demand area, we could expect a big bullish move. The short-term targets are $0.85, $0.95, and $1.00, while the mid-term targets are $1.05, $1.17, and $1.33.
 Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #182👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin analysis. Today the weekly candle closes, and from tomorrow the market can start moving again.
⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin has started a downward move from the 117,570 high, dropping in two bearish legs down to the 108,750 zone.
✨ After reaching this area, volume began to decrease—both because the market is ranging and because it’s the weekend.
✔️ Yesterday, in my analysis, I highlighted a range box on the 1-hour chart. This same box is still visible now on the 1-hour timeframe, spanning 108,750 to 109,890.
🧩 Today’s New York session is very important, since this session often drives weekend market moves. So watch the market carefully,our triggers might get activated.
🔑 If strong volume enters today and 108,750 breaks, we can look to open a short position. However, keep in mind there’s an important support area just below this level that could prompt a reaction and halt further decline.
⭐ For a long position, the first trigger we have is a breakout of 109,890. But note that the short-term trend is still bearish, so it’s better to wait for bullish confirmation first. A clean break of 109,890, followed by a higher high and higher low above this level, would be a solid confirmation for a potential upward move.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin Liquidity GrabBitcoin came back into discount pricing (between the swing low and swing high), and it looks like it is still waiting for the next catalyst for the next leg up.
We are currently still in the weekly imbalance, which a lot of times will act as a demand zone. Before we can take a long position, we need to clear the "bump in the road" — or in this case, liquidity.
I will wait for price to take out the liquidity under the equal lows around 107.2k, and then I’ll wait for a CHoCH on the 1H–4H before looking for a long trade.
Happy trading,






















