Bitcoin vs S&P 500 – Ratio Signals Strength, Chart favors BTC!🚀📊 Bitcoin vs S&P 500 – Ratio Signals Strength, Even If Stocks Correct 🔍📈
After posting earlier today about VOO (S&P 500 ETF) and the index itself hitting major resistance, I wanted to shift our focus to what could shine even if stocks pull back: Bitcoin.
This chart shows the BTCUSD/SPX ratio – in simple terms, how Bitcoin is performing relative to the S&P 500 . And what do we see? Clear, technical strength.
🔍 Key Observations:
BTC/SPX is currently breaking out from a bullish flag structure just above the 17.30–17.48 region
If the breakout holds, the projected technical target is near 26.37, the top of this multi-year channel
Historically, previous breakouts from similar zones have delivered explosive upside, even when equities struggled
🧠 So what does this mean?
Even if the stock market pulls back—as suggested in our earlier VOO/US500 chart—Bitcoin could still outperform, simply by dropping less, consolidating, or rising while stocks fall. That’s the power of analyzing ratios, not just absolute price.
We’ve already discussed how macro metrics like the Buffett Indicator (Stocks-to-GDP) are showing equity overvaluation. If capital starts rotating out of equities, Bitcoin is positioned as a beneficiary—especially if it maintains this relative strength.
💬 Final thoughts:
Don’t just look at BTC in isolation— look at it relative to what it's competing against
Ratios offer perspective: this one says Bitcoin’s trend vs stocks is up and strong
With solid support at 14.23 and room to run toward 26.37, this could be a chart to watch for months ahead
Are you watching this breakout? Let me know what your game plan is.
FOOD FOR THOUGHT: With Gold prices easing, stock markets at all time highs, is this the PERFECT time for big money to hedge with Bitcoin? Likely yes !
One Love,
The FX PROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Trumponomics 2.0 – Chaos on the Left, Crypto on the Right🧨🗽 Trumponomics 2.0 – Chaos on the Left, Crypto on the Right 🧠💸
The system is shaking, and Trump is rolling the dice—again.
Geopolitical tensions are exploding:
🇮🇳 India hits back on tariffs
🇨🇳 China flexes tech dominance
🇷🇺 Russia & 🇺🇦 Ukraine face renewed pressure
💣 Wars rage in Ukraine and Gaza
📉 Bonds sell off
💵 The U.S. dollar? Fund managers are the most bearish in 20 years
And in the middle of this storm:
Trump floats an executive order allowing crypto into 401(k) retirement plans.
That’s Trumponomics 2.0 — the new age of controlled chaos, currency doubt, and crypto as the unexpected golden child. It’s messy. But for Bitcoin? It’s momentum.
📊 While the headlines scream uncertainty, the BTC chart quietly reclaimed the key structural level at $115,800. This isn't just price action — it's macro meets technicals, and BTC is the beneficiary.
💥 As I’ve said: I’m hedged.
✔️ Long BTC
❌ Short S&P 500
My recent idea “Bitcoin vs S&P 500 – Ratio Signals Strength” explains exactly why this positioning continues to pay. ( )
🎯 Levels to watch:
Major Support: $115,800
Next Resistance: $122,795 → $132,595
Risk Below: $109,768
Let the media debate Trump. Let the markets debate Powell. I’ll stick with what the charts are saying.
Because the story isn’t just crypto in 401(k)s.
The story is this:
Crypto is being chosen while the system is questioned.
One Love,
The FX PROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
ETH | Swing Long IdeaETH | Swing Long Idea
📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. A weakening USD and increased risk appetite across global markets are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price has run the HTF liquidity level at $4100.
While the breakout above $4100 was aggressive, it appears price may require additional liquidity before pushing higher.
This idea focuses on a possible ETH retracement and continuation pattern over the coming days to weeks.
📌 Game Plan
If a deep retracement occurs, I’ll be watching the 0.5 Fibonacci discount zone and the 0.75 retracement level for optimal entries.
Key focus: daily demand zone at $3750 — ideally aligned with the 0.75 retracement.
I won’t wait for an exact touch of the 0.75 level; instead, I’ll watch for strength and a clear break of structure to trigger entries.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Look for a 12H–4H break of structure shift after the daily demand zone at $3750 is hit.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 12H–4H swing low that caused the break of structure
Targets:
TP1: $4088
TP2: $4330
TP3: $5000 (possible swing point)
Will trail stops aggressively to secure profits as price moves in my favor.
💬 Like & follow if you found this breakdown helpful — more setups coming soon!
Bitcoin: 120K Break To Push 130Ks?Bitcoin has rallied off the buy signal that I wrote about over the previous week. In order to confirm follow through, price needs to CLOSE decisively above 120K this week. This means a solid candle close, NO pin bars. This needs to be followed by a new candle that breaks the previous candle high quickly, and NOT close weak. The blue rectangle on the chart represents a consolidation resistance where price is likely to test and potentially reject. The question that the market needs to answer is: can price push through this without any effort, OR does it get stuck and start to form bearish candles or reversals?
The wave count that I have been referring to in previous analysis is still intact. Subwave 4 never overlapped subwave 1 which means this move is most likely subwave 5. If you are maintaining a profit, it would be wise to trail your stop at least by two previous candle lows on this time frame. At this moment there is NO reason to sell since there is nothing but strength, BUT understand that it can change at a moments notice. It is within reason to wait and see IF price breaks out and if you are long from my price suggestion in my previous analysis, you have the luxury and flexibility to wait it out.
I regularly bring this up during my analysis streams, Wave 5's, ESPECIALLY 5th of 5th waves (which is what this is), imply that the market is highly vulnerable but this WILL not be obvious in any way. Wave 5's can be interpreted as the next wave to follow is LIKELY a corrective structure. This may take some weeks or longer to play out, but knowing that this is a Wave 5 should tell you that risk on the LONG side is ELEVATED. Increasing risk at these levels (same goes for the stock market) is unwise in my humble opinion. Price can run into the 130Ks or higher before it peaks there is NO way to know with any certainty (unless you are Michael Saylor).
Potential catalysts over the next few months can easily change things (NFP, CPI, FOMC meetings). What determines value, especially over the short term is the perception of the future and NOT reality. All it takes is a new "narrative" to proliferate.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Bitcoin Btc usdt Daily analysis
Time frame daily
As you can see byc is moving up and down in the green tunnel
My last target (yellow rectangle) is touched and byc couldn't break the upper side of tunnel
Now, my target is 120.000 $ ( red rectangle)
If this time , btc can break the green uptrend line as resistance line , my next target is 145.000$,
👉👉Important notice 👈👈
Here is not suitable Time for entry the long or short position because btc is in the middle of the tunnel
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 7💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe .
👀 After breaking out of its descending channel, Bitcoin is moving upward with a high-volume whale candle.
🕯 The trading volume and number of trades are rising sharply, and this volume increase during the New York session could lead to Bitcoin forming a new high.
⚙️ Our key RSI level is 74.05. If this level breaks, the volatility of Bitcoin’s long positions could increase significantly, potentially triggering a price surge.
🎮 After breaking the 0 Fibonacci level and pulling back to it, we can open our positions in line with the market structure change and move with the market.
🔒 An upward-sloping trendline has been drawn from the channel’s bottom to the top, and on the fourth reaction to it, Bitcoin bounced and beautifully broke through the channel’s top.
🔔 There’s no specific alert zone unless the current market structure changes, in which case an alert zone will be provided.
🖥 Summary: Bitcoin is moving upward, our long position trigger has been activated, and if the current structure is maintained, it could continue toward higher price levels.
📊 If USDT.D drops below 4.20% BTC might push toward higher targets .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Bitcoin Traps Bulls and Bears – Real Move Next?Bitcoin is trading in a descending channel on the 4H chart, with two recent fakeouts — one above resistance and one below support — trapping traders on both sides. After reclaiming support, BTC is pushing toward the upper boundary with rising volume, hinting at strong demand. A breakout above $119K could drive a rally toward $125K–$135K.
Cheers
Hexa
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
BITCOIN Bullflag and new all-time high ?!BULL FLAG and new all-time high 👀⏰
📇BTC daily-chart (BITSTAMP) and 💡everything important in the chart !
Bitcoin has broken out of its sideways consolidation and has recently successfully tested this channel (bull flag), thereby activating a potential bull flag.
The resulting targets (see example) are based on the low of approximately $98,240 and the sharp rise to the current all-time high of $123,236.
See the flags at the top with the corresponding price-targets 🏁 👀
💥Rising blue diagonal line for the previous support
💥From an indicator perspective, a possible bullish cross is imminent in the MACD-Indicator and bearish momentum may continue to decline ...
💥Finally, the bull flag (textbook) as an example of a chart pattern.
🔥Please also take a look at my last idea, as there are certain similarities based on this...
🎯 If you like this idea, please leave me a 🚀 and follow for updates 🔥⏰
Furthermore, any criticism is welcome as well as any suggestions etc. - You're also very welcome to share this idea.
I wish you a pleasant Sunday and a good start to the week & successful trading decisions 💪
M_a_d_d_e_n ✌
NOTE: The above information represents my idea and is not an investment/trading recommendation! Without any guarantee & exclusion of liability!
Think of RSI like a car’s speedometer: The speed (RSI) changes b"Think of RSI like a car’s speedometer:
The speed (RSI) changes before the position (price) changes direction."
1. What RSI actually is?
RSI (Relative Strength Index) is just a math transformation of price data.
It measures the ratio of recent upward moves to downward moves over a period (often 14 candles) and compresses it into a 0–100 scale.
2. Why RSI sometimes “moves first”
This isn’t magic — it’s because RSI is sensitive to the speed and size of recent price changes, not just direction.
- If price is still going up but at a slower pace, RSI can already start turning down.
- If price is falling more gently than before, RSI can start curling up before price actually reverses.
3. Why traders care about RSI reversals?
- If RSI starts turning down from an overbought level while price is still climbing, it can be an early warning of a possible price top.
- Same for the opposite: RSI turning up from oversold while price still dips can signal an upcoming bounce.
4. RSI above or below 50
50 on the RSI is the “momentum neutral” line.
- When RSI is above 50, recent gains outweigh recent losses → momentum is bullish.
- When RSI is below 50, recent losses outweigh recent gains → momentum is bearish.
5. The “delay” you see
The delay is more about your eyes than the math:
- RSI smooths recent price moves (average gains/losses), so it reacts slightly ahead to changes in momentum.
- Price must actually reverse for you to “see” it, but RSI reflects that change in momentum first.
- Think of RSI like a car’s speedometer:
The speed (RSI) changes before the position (price) changes direction.
6. How to deal with noise* in RSI?
Use higher timeframes (1D, 1W, 1M) to confirm signals from small charts.
*Noise in trading = small, random price movements that don’t reflect the bigger trend.
On a 1-minute or 5-minute chart, there’s a lot of this — caused by scalpers, bots, spreads, liquidity gaps, and normal market “chatter.”
Bear trap 2 is the strongest 〉170k Next.An update from my latest BTC projection to 140K.
Seeing the current market structure and price action, I can start visualizing potential extensions above 140K, reaching 165-170K.
As illustrated, some key price action behavior that has occurred that supports the idea of a further bull run.
An initial bear trap following by a second one creating even more liquidity which the market will likely target faster and stronger as people go against the trend.
Fundamentals keep adding fuel to BTC...
US opening up more and more at an institutional level, adding BTC to citizen's 401k's;
El Salvador is very likely to be the first country in the world to open a BTC ONLY BANK.. offering private financial services nominated ONLY in BTC;
And the list goes on...
-
Of course, one can't fall in love with the idea and must adapt in case price action shows otherwise... the possibility for a correction to 60K is open, although more and more unlikely as price nears ATH and respects bullish structure.
...
GOOD LUCK
persaxu.
The top of the bull market may be nearWe have strong resistance above us that Bitcoin must overcome. There is also strong support below, which determines the boundaries of the range. I see it this way: if the market remains positive for a while longer and no unexpected fundamentals come, we could overcome that resistance over time. Then I see the next ATH and strong resistance at the level between 131,000 and 132,000 USD. I have drawn exactly where I think it works out on the chart. However, it is possible that this will also be the top of this year's bull market.
I have also drawn a possible swing trade that could work with this setup.
BTC - about to go full retardo - $135kI think the title says it all. BTC is about to go into a massive rally. We need to finish out the last little bits of this correction, and go all in. $135k is going to be an easy next target before the next area of Consolidation. That level of consolidation is unlikely to give much back, which will then unleash full retardo mode taking us to near $164,200. Time line is about 6-8 months or so as how it is looking to me today. I will update as we climb. Good Luck. Especially to the traders holding short positions. Ouch.
Bitcoin is super bullish (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
If you’ve been following our previous analyses, we had a bullish outlook on Bitcoin from the lower green zone.
An important level on the Bitcoin chart has been reclaimed, and it is expected to move toward the next targets if it consolidates above the red box.
The targets are marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will nullify this analysis.
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 6💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin rebounded from $114,200 after heavy whale buying. It broke through the $115,530 zone and moved toward its resistance at $117,600, but was rejected twice by strong seller tickers in that area. It is now moving toward its current support levels .
🎮 Key Fibonacci zones to watch are the 0.5 and 0 levels. A breakout of these areas can trigger potential long or short entries, making them valuable as breakout triggers .
⚙️ The important RSI pivot level is 44.87; losing this level could lead to a further correction .
🕯 Trading volume and transaction count are rising, suggesting the possibility of another “Bitcoin season.” Large institutions have been buying at the lows, increasing their positions each time. ETF data has turned highly positive, indicating strong recovery potential and attracting more risk capital .
🔔 There are two alert zones: one at $117,500 and another at $116,000. Setting alerts here can help you better track price behavior .
📊 USDT.D has broken above its range box , A break of the current zone could allow Bitcoin to push higher .
🖥 Summary : After its recent pump, Bitcoin is facing resistance from seller tickers and is trying to break through this zone. As long as BTC stays above $116,000, there is potential for another attempt to set a new high .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #149👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to Bitcoin’s analysis. Today, Bitcoin has once again moved toward a certain range, and we need to see whether it can break this zone this time or not.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin has once again moved toward the 117000 zone today, faced a rejection candle from this level, and now it seems to be heading for a correction.
✔️ Considering tomorrow is also a holiday, the likelihood of ranging and correcting is much higher than continuing the trend, because for the uptrend to continue, the price needs volume inflow — and today and tomorrow, significant volume is unlikely to enter Bitcoin. That’s why the probability of correction and ranging is higher.
📊 If, during the correction, the price can hold above 115364, then with the start of the new week, the probability of a new bullish wave increases significantly. In that case, we can open a long position upon breaking the 117000 zone.
✨ However, if the price breaks below 115364, the correction could extend down to 112233. This still won’t change the overall trend, but it would fake the entire move made during the week — which is not a good sign for the bullish trend.
🔍 As long as the price remains above 112233, I am still only looking for long triggers and will not open any shorts for now.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
$RIOT retracement near completion?Riot appears to have completed a wave 1 and almost finished its wave 2 retracement with 1 more push lower expected.
Price is just above the daily 200EMA, golden pocket Fibonacci retracement with daily RSI approaching oversold! This are should offer strong support.
Price sitting just below the weekly pivot and 200EMA which offers additional support in this area.
Bitcoin stocks have all had a decent retracement causing me to upgrade my Elliot Wave count to a completed macro wave 1 with wave 2 now underway, suggesting the best returns are still to come over the next months for this category asset class in wave 3!
Analysis is invalidated if we go to new highs above $15.3 or lose $6.18
New long signals are certainly building in the DEMA PBR and Price Action strategies so keep an eye out on the Trade Signals Substack as we have made very good profits lately in these markets!
Safe trading
$MSTR shallow wave 2 underway before explosive move ?MicroStrategy has been caught in a range since Nov 2024 possibly building momentum for a large breakout into price discovery, continuing its huge rally from 2024.
Price appears to ave completed an Elliot wave 1 with wave 2 now underway with a target of the ascending daily 200EMA $340, the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement.
Weekly RSI is currently showing bullish divergence but daily suggests we have one push lower to get to oversold!
Bitcoin stocks have all had a decent retracement causing me to upgrade my Elliot Wave count to a completed macro wave 1 with wave 2 now underway, suggesting the best returns are still to come over the next months for this category asset class in wave 3!
Analysis is invalidated if we go to new highs above $457 or lose $229
New long signals are certainly building in the DEMA PBR and Price Action strategies so keep an eye out on the Trade Signals Substack as we have made very food profits lately in these markets!
Safe trading
$MARA Setting Up for A Huge Move?This stocks price action has been subdued far too long after they sold shares to investors but should be moving more aggressively alongside Bitcoin, being the second largest holder of BTC in its treasury.
Price appears to have completed an awkward wave 1 potentially a leading diagonal with wave 2 now underway while price is under the daily and weekly 200EMA. Wave 2 target is a little bit lower in the Fibonacci retracement golden pocket and major High Volume Node support $13.19.
Daily RSI has made its way lower currently showing bullish divergence. If the count is right wave 3 should be hard and fast!
Bitcoin stocks have all had a decent retracement causing me to upgrade my Elliot Wave count to a completed macro wave 1 with wave 2 now underway, suggesting the best returns are still to come over the next months for this category asset class in wave 3!
Analysis is invalidated if we go to new highs above $21.5 or lose $9.85
New long signals are certainly building in the DEMA PBR and Price Action strategies so keep an eye out on the Trade Signals Substack as we have made very food profits lately in these markets!
Safe trading
$IREN wave B complete?After its mammoth rally NASDAQ:IREN appears to have completed a wave 1 of 3 with wave 2 underway. The recent push up into the previous all time high resistance appears to be wave b of c in a corrective wave 2.
My initial target for wave 2 is the ascending daily 200EMA and .5 Fibonacci retracement at $10.44. This is also just above the weekly pivot and major High Volume Node support which remains untested.
Weekly RSI has reached oversold, not significantly, but price did have decent retracement the last few times it was reached.
Bitcoin stocks have all had a decent retracement causing me to upgrade my Elliot Wave count to a completed macro wave 1 with wave 2 now underway, suggesting the best returns are still to come over the next months for this category asset class in wave 3!
Analysis is invalidated if we go to new highs above $21.7 or lose $5.08
New long signals are certainly building in the DEMA PBR and Price Action strategies so keep an eye out on the Trade Signals Substack as we have made very food profits lately in these markets!
Safe trading
$HUT Pulling back to daily 200EMANASDAQ:HUT appears to have complete a larger degree wave 1 of 3 with wave 2 underway.
Looking at the support below we may have a shallow wave 2 targeting the daily 200EMA, major support High Volume Node at the .382 Fibonacci retracement, $17. A shallow wave 2 often happens in strong trending markets as participants are excited and can't wait to buy!
Daily RSI has plenty of room to fall. $19.5 is also the weekly pivot point where price is also expected to find strong support so we may see a reversal from here at the start of next week but these assets are volatile so i would lean towards lower first.
Bitcoin stocks have all had a decent retracement causing me to upgrade my Elliot Wave count to a completed macro wave 1 with wave 2 now underway, suggesting the best returns are still to come over the next months for this category asset class in wave 3!
Analysis is invalidated if we go to new local highs above $23.46 or lose $9.98.
New long signals are certainly building in the DEMA PBR and Price Action strategies so keep an eye out on the Trade Signals Substack as we have made very food profits lately in these markets!
Safe trading
LINK Weekly Breakout Watch – Bullish Double Bottom Forming! 🚨 CRYPTOCAP:LINK Weekly Breakout Watch – Bullish Double Bottom Forming! 🔴📈
CRYPTOCAP:LINK is showing a bullish double bottom pattern on the weekly timeframe and is now testing the red resistance zone.
📊 If breakout confirms, next move could target:
🎯 First Target → Green line level 1
🎯 Second Target → Green line level 2
A breakout here could signal strong bullish continuation in the long term.