Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
Check for support near 111696.21
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The TC (Trend Check) indicator appears to have risen above the 0 level.
Accordingly, the key question is whether support can be found around 111696.21.
For the uptrend to continue, the OBV indicator must rise above the High Line and remain so.
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The volatility period in September is expected to occur around September 9th, September 19th, and September 28th.
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Thank you for reading.
I wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
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Has Bitcoin Reached It's Four-Year Cycle Top?Why Bitcoin Might Have Reached Its Four-Year Cycle Top
Historical Pattern: Bitcoin's four-year cycle often peaks around halving events, influencing supply and price dynamics.
MACD Signal: The primary signal indicator in the upper panel remains in a bullish position, with no bearish cross, indicating ongoing upward momentum.
Wave 3 Peak: The current print high of 125,417 USD marks the crest of Cycle Degree 3, the strongest wave in an impulse sequence.
Elliott Wave Count Analysis
Current Position: The chart labels the all-time print high of the Cycle Degree 3 high at 125,417.
Wave 4 Expectation: A corrective wave 4 decline is anticipated, but it must remain above the wave one high of 69,000 USD to uphold the Elliott Wave structure.
Wave 5 Potential: If wave 4 holds above 69,000 USD, a subsequent wave 5 could drive prices far higher, completing a larger Super Cycle degree wave I.
Bullish Posture and Key Levels
Primary Signal Indicator: The long-term bullish posture based on the MACD remains intact, with the indicator staying bullish until a monthly close shows the fast-moving average crossing and closing below the slow-moving average.
Support Level: Maintaining above 69,000 USD during any wave 4 pullback is crucial for the long-term bullish posture to persist and conform with the current wave count analysis.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #168👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to the Bitcoin analysis. Yesterday Bitcoin made an upward move and has now reached an important zone. Let’s see how the market wants to react to this resistance.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday Bitcoin briefly faked a breakout of its trendline but then broke it again and also activated its trigger.
🔍 Currently, the price has reached the resistance zone and is trying to penetrate it. The volume has increased throughout this upward move, which shows the strength of the buyers.
📊 If you opened a position with the triggers we had, now is not a bad time to take some profit and secure your position. But definitely leave a portion of it open so that in case the zone breaks, you won’t be left without a position.
🔔 Even with the breakout of this zone, a new long position can be opened. This zone has a lot of sell orders, and if the price manages to push through them, it can begin a sharp upward move.
💥 The RSI oscillator is stabilizing above the 64.09 level, which is a very good sign for buyers and increases the probability of breaking the zone.
✔️ However, if this RSI level fakes out, the chance of rejection from the zone rises, and in that case, the price correction can continue down to the 110721 and 109577 levels.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
XRP 4H Breakout?XRP has been forming a triangle pattern with a flat low and lower highs compressing into a point.
Generally this suggests that the bulls are willing to buy at a strong level but with declining strength, the bears on the other hand are repeatedly pushing price back down from lower points each time which leaves two possible scenarios that are actionable:
Bullish - A breakout above the downtrend line with significant volume, I think BTC will have a large part to play in this. Following the breakout a flip in structure with new highs and new lows would give the signal XRP is ready to go higher.
Bearish - This chart pattern generally does lead to continuation of selling off, the trigger would be a loss of the green box/equal lows. Should price break below a lot of the previous rally would look to be infilled, target price would be $2.35
Two good triggers and plans for each, anything in between is not actionable to me as I have no strategy that I am confident could produce a profitable outcome in the mean time, I'll be patient instead.
Ethereum 4H Range As we approach nearly a month in the range from $4000-4800 it looks like ETH is making a move once again.
Previously once hitting $4800 price gradually sold off back towards range low creating a bearish trendline, once the price broken above that level a rapid move up to range high within two candles.
Now looking at the chart we have a similar setup, strong breakout from the bearish trendline up into midpoint. Bitcoin currently retesting a key level of $112,000, should BTC flip this level I could see alts getting the greenlight to move up and Ethereum up to the highs.
Should BTC reject from $112,000 it makes sense that ETH range midpoint would be strong resistance, rejection could lead to a range low retest. Anything else that isn't either range high, range low or midpoint is noise and for me no action required, no need to over complicate it.
BITCOIN PREDICTION: WHY IS NOBODY TALKING ABOUT THIS!!?(warning)Yello Paradisers! In this video, we are again, as professional traders, analyzing the multi-time frame context of the market. On an ultra-high time frame, we are seeing the medium moving average touch. We are also discussing the possible channel retest, plus I'm sharing with you the bearish cross and bearish divergence.
On the high time frame chart, we are having the zigzag finished, probably with the highest probability. The first ultra-high time frame wave is starting, that is the question of this video, which we are answering, and we are seeing the bullish divergence.
On the medium timeframe, we are seeing that as we are touching the resistance, the volume is dropping, which is a bearish sign. We are seeing two bearish divergences on RSI and MACD histogram, and with the highest probability, we are finishing the first wave.
On the low timeframe chart, I'm discussing the ending diagonal with you, and I forgot to tell you about this, but we are also having a bearish cross there.
Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable.
Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Analysis BTC/USDT. Will the growth continue?
Hello everyone! This is a trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics, and here is the daily analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin updated its local high and continues to move according to our planned scenario.
Currently, the price is consolidating in a sideways range, where we notice absorption of market selling. The potential remains bullish — toward the next selling zones.
During this upward move, a new support point has formed with strong seller absorption around ~$110,000. If tested, we may expect buyer activity.
Buy Zones:
~$110,000 (market sell absorption)
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$112,400–$113,300 (local volume zone)
$114,400–$115,500 (volume zone)
~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buying absorption)
This publication is not financial advice.
IBIT: ready for liftoffOn the daily chart, iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) trades at $62.97, testing the key 0.705–0.79 Fibo zone ($61.63–63.87). This area marks a breakout and retest line, forming a clear buy zone. The technical structure remains bullish: after breaking out and pulling back, price holds potential to move toward $69.39, with Fibo extensions targeting $76.54 and $85.63. Volumes confirm buyer activity on dips, and the bullish flag pattern supports the continuation of the upward trend.
Fundamentally , the main driver is bitcoin itself, with institutional demand for BTC ETFs staying strong. Large funds continue accumulating positions, while expectations of a softer Fed tone add pressure on the dollar, fueling capital inflows into crypto. This strengthens the bullish case for IBIT.
Tactical plan: watch $61.6–63.8 as the key entry zone. Holding above opens the path toward $69.3, followed by $76.5 and $85.6. The scenario breaks only if price falls below $61.
And let’s be honest: IBIT isn’t just a ticker - it’s the “accelerate bitcoin” button for your portfolio.
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 31💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Bitcoin, we can see that after activating the alarm zones we had mentioned in previous analyses, Bitcoin moved upward and is now in a range and compression in its multi-timeframe structure, which with the New York session open could break out of this compression.
⚙️ The key RSI zones are 64 and 50. Once the oscillation limit crosses these zones, Bitcoin could break out of this compression. Preferably, follow long trades when the oscillation limit is crossed.
🕯 The size of green candles on the 1-hour timeframe is almost getting bigger with increasing volume. We are in a relatively important zone where, with the increase of candle size and volume, Bitcoin could move upward.
📊 On the 1-hour timeframe of USDT.D , we can see that after losing the 4.44% zone and the buyers’ money running out, it has faced a temporary trend weakness. With the New York session open, it could continue its decline. Notice that Tether dominance is also in a compression state both in terms of volatility and the RSI oscillator, in a decision-making mode. Confirmation of breaking the 4.44% zone could mean the loss of the 38 support level.
🔔 The trading alarm zones for Bitcoin are at $111,664 for long and $110,666 for short. Preferably, I’m not considering short trades these days, but I do think about opening a long position on a pullback or breakout of $111,664, and if the price action behavior suits such a trade, I will take action.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTCUSD Intraday Move 03.09.2025🔹 Bias: Bullish Channel Structure
BTCUSD is moving strongly within an ascending channel, respecting FVGs along the way and maintaining bullish momentum.
🔹 Key Level – 111,600
A decisive close above 111,600 will confirm strength and open the path for continuation toward higher liquidity pools. This level also aligns with channel midline and prior consolidation, making it a pivotal breakout zone.
🔹 Retest as Entry Trigger
The ideal plan is to wait for a clean breakout and candle close above 111,600, followed by a controlled retest of this zone. If demand re-enters here, it validates buyers’ control and offers a low-risk entry.
🔹 Upside Target – 113,482
Once 111,600 holds as support, price has room to push toward 113,482, where liquidity rests near channel resistance.
🔹 Risk Management
Invalidation lies below 111,000, where the most recent demand and FVG structure would fail.
👉 Trade Plan: Close above 111,600 → Retest → Long entry → Target 113,482 with stops below 111,000.
BITCOIN BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 111,368.88
Target Level: 119,727.44
Stop Loss: 105,796.50
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
BTC - Perfect Bullish SetupPrice Action Breakdown
After running the lows with a clear Sell Side Liquidity Sweep, BTC quickly reversed and printed a Market Structure Shift (MSS). This marked the first real sign that the market might be ready to transition from weakness into strength.
Retracement Zone
Price is now retracing into a very interesting area — the overlap of a Bullish Fair Value Gap, an IFVG, and the Golden Pocket. When multiple imbalances and Fibonacci levels line up like this, it often builds a high-probability zone where institutions look to re-accumulate positions before the next move higher.
Upside Target
If this area holds and buyers step in, the next logical draw on liquidity sits above Buy Side Liquidity. That pool of stops acts like a magnet, and with the prior lows already cleaned, the path of least resistance could be higher.
Invalidation
On the other hand, a failure to hold inside the Golden Pocket would weaken this bullish narrative. A clean break below the sweep low would suggest that this rebound was only temporary relief before further downside.
Final Thoughts
This setup is all about how price reacts inside the retracement zone. If we see strength here, the run toward Buy Side Liquidity is very much in play. If not, patience will pay, as deeper levels will likely come into focus.
What’s your take — do you see this zone holding, or are you expecting another flush?
KASPA / USDT DAILY CHART KUCOIN - TA + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis (Daily Timeframe) by Blaž Fabjan
Chart Pattern
The price is consolidating within a Symmetrical Triangle pattern.
This is a neutral continuation pattern – it signals that a major breakout (either upward or downward) is approaching as the apex is nearing.
Both higher lows and lower highs confirm the formation.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate support zone: $0.080 – $0.082
Strong support below: $0.070
Immediate resistance: $0.095 – $0.100
Major resistances above: $0.120, $0.140, $0.160, $0.200, $0.220
Indicators
Volume: Declining within the triangle – typical before a breakout.
RSI (14): ~46 → Neutral, no overbought/oversold signals.
Stochastic RSI: Oversold (~20), suggesting possible short-term upside bounce.
MFI (Money Flow Index): Neutral (~51), showing balanced inflows/outflows.
MACD/VM indicator: Bearish momentum has slowed, histogram flattening.
Scenarios
Option 1 (Bullish breakout): If KAS breaks above the $0.095–$0.100 zone with volume, next targets are $0.120 → $0.140 → $0.160 → $0.200+.
Option 2 (Bearish breakdown): If KAS loses $0.080, potential retest of $0.070 → $0.060 support levels.
Trading Plan for KAS/USDT
🔹 Short-Term Swing Trade (1–4 weeks)
Entry Zone (Buy):
Aggressive: $0.082 – $0.085 (current support area).
Conservative: On confirmed breakout above $0.095 with volume.
Stop Loss:
Below $0.078 (tight stop) OR below $0.070 (safe stop).
Take Profit Targets:
$0.100 (first resistance, partial TP)
$0.120 (main target)
$0.140 (strong resistance)
🔹 Medium-Term Position Trade (1–3 months)
Entry Strategy: Accumulate in the $0.080–$0.085 range.
Stop Loss: Below $0.070 (close daily candle confirmation).
Targets:
Base case: $0.160
Optimistic case: $0.200 – $0.220
🔹 Risk Management
Risk per trade: 1–2% of portfolio.
Position sizing according to stop-loss distance.
Avoid over-leveraging; triangle breakouts can produce false moves before direction confirms.
Kaspa is entering the decision zone – the symmetrical triangle is compressing, and a major breakout is imminent in coming weeks.
Momentum indicators show neutrality, giving equal probability for either breakout direction.
The safest approach is to wait for breakout confirmation (daily close above $0.095 or below $0.080 with volume).
If bullish, Kaspa could target +40–100% upside over the next quarter. If bearish, downside risk is -20–30%.
Recommendation:
For conservative traders → wait for breakout confirmation.
For aggressive traders → accumulate around support ($0.082–$0.085) with tight stop-loss below $0.078 and scale out profits at resistance levels.
Bitcoin Daily MACD & RSI, Most Likely Scenario & How To TradeTo many people Bitcoin is mixed right now or even bearish. The $125,000 price tag is the cycle top and we are due a massive bull market.
To me, Bitcoin is bullish and more growth is definitely possible. If this is true, we should find some hints on the chart. If I am wrong, most of the signals should point lower. It would be impossible to fine dozens of bullish signals on this chart.
Let's read the chart and see what happens.
Bitcoin's daily RSI doesn't look great but we have an interesting signal, let me show it to you. And the indicator right now leans more bullish rather than bearish. We are looking at the daily timeframe.
BTCUSDT (D) RSI
There was a low 22-June followed by a bullish move. The next major low happened very recently, late August.
Notice how the late August low managed to reached below the 22-June low, a lower low. A weak one so it can also be considered a double-bottom.
BTCUSDT is quite different. 22-June we had a low $98,186. In Late August, the lowest Bitcoin did was $107,250; a higher low.
This is a classic hidden bullish divergence. This signal is not very strong but it is a start. A divergence can show up for weeks or even months before it reflects on the price.
The fact that Bitcoin continues to trade above $110,000 more than 52 days after peaking is also positive. But these are not definitive signals, it is more of a mix.
The MACD is in a different situation, trading within the bearish zone with a bullish bias. The bullish bias comes from the fact that the MACD is rising after hitting the lowest point since March—but it can still move lower before recovering.
BTCUSDT (D) MACD
In March Bitcoin was bearish and crashing as the 2025 correction low happened on the 7th of April. So it is the first time the MACD moves below zero after the April recovery.
See the MACD chart. First there is a drop and once a low is hit we get a small bounce, the bounce is followed by a new drop and then the indicator starts to rise.
While the MACD bottomed in March, Bitcoin bottomed in April, this is the classic lag, a lagging indicator.
The MACD can bottom anytime and as it hits bottom, we know what follows is a wave of growth even if it takes a while to show up on Bitcoin's price.
Bearish Signals
The double-top is a bearish signal but this one has been consumed with the recent down-move. Bitcoin can indeed move lower but this isn't a necessity, not a market compulsion. If Bitcoin continues lower, we know this is only short-term based on the other signals we are seeing.
The RSI is still below 50 even if rising. The MACD is in the bearish zone even if it is starting to turn. We need strong signals and strong indicators to confirm a major advance.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is likely to continue growing short-term, mid-term and long-term. On the very short-term, say one to two weeks, anything is possible. On this very short time horizon Bitcoin can easily crash according to the chart.
Most Likely Scenarios
More sideways, more neutral, more bearish action followed by growth.
Bitcoin is likely to continue in this kind of mixed period for sometime. If we consider the bigger picture, we are still locked within the $100,000 and $125,000 price range.
For LONG or SHORT, wait for the trend.
For spot accumulation, focus on the altcoins.
For Bitcoin, the best is to wait. The time to buy was when prices were below $100,000 or $90,000. There are better choices right now.
The next time to buy is when the signals become really strong, or when prices are trading at support. It all depends on your trading style, risk tolerance and your goals of course.
Do not be distracted by market noise. When we focus on the short-term, we tend to miss the bigger picture. The truth is that the most money is made when the market is in a trend.
Since we are in a bull market, we wait for support and go LONG. When the bull market is over, each time there is a bounce or a price advance it becomes an opportunity to go SHORT.
We trade in the same direction of the market.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC has formed an inverted Head & Shoulders pattern 🚨 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Bullish Pattern Alert! 🚨
CRYPTOCAP:BTC has formed an inverted Head & Shoulders pattern 🔄
👉 If price breaks out above the neckline, it would confirm a bullish trend 📈
⚠️ Key point: Breakout confirmation above the neckline is crucial — watch for retests to avoid fakeouts.
👉 A confirmed breakout would signal strong bullish continuation with buyers in control ✅
Bitcoin · The Correction Is OverI will show you only two signals supporting the end of the current retrace/correction, it was a long one when you consider that the market is bullish.
I think you will agree with me but we will only know in the comments section.
Join me. Sit back, relax and enjoy the show.
Good evening my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day.
The last retrace between May and June lasted a total of six candles; counting the peak high candle as part of the retrace.
The current retrace has eight candles so far; 33% more than the previous retrace.
Consider a strong correction by looking at January 2025, it goes for months and three red sessions would produce a very strong price decline.
Consider also March 2024. A strong correction lasted five months.
Now, compare these two to the ones I just mentioned above. Here the difference between a correction and a retrace is very strong.
The second telling signal is the fact that Bitcoin continues trading above $100,000. We have 1.5 months of bearish action and yet no major support zone has been broken when we consider the long-term.
The next major support is found at $102,000. This level has not even been tested and likely won't be tested if Bitcoin continues with the same type of action we are seeing today.
Trading volume is very low. Before a major drop, somewhere at some point a strong selling volume bar shows up. This isn't present on this chart.
The biggest volume bar after the previous correction's low was a bullish day. This reveals the fact that the bulls have the upper hand.
Now, don't get me started on the altcoins...
The best is yet to come.
Namaste.
96K --- 152K --- 76K
In a bull market Fibonacci extensions usually target the 2.618 level which is around 152,000$.
The target of the 4th internal wave of the 5th wave, which is the last upward wave, is 96,000$.
When the 5th and last upward wave ends, I expect this rising parallel channel to break down and head towards the lower Fibonacci channels.
I think Bitcoin will enter a long-term uptrend again, especially after 70,000$ levels.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
BTC Breakdown Alert: Bears Eye $106K Next!
🔥 **BTC Bears Ready to Attack? 🚨 Target \$106K Incoming!** 🔥
📊 **Market Bias**
⏳ **Intraday → 4H**: 🟥 Bearish (⬇️ below EMA9/21/20SMA, 📉 MACD negative, 💥 sell volume)
📅 **Daily → Weekly**: ✅ Mixed-to-Bullish (📈 above 200 SMA ≈ 101.3k)
⚖️ → Tactical short only, ⚠️ size carefully.
🎯 **Trade Plan**
💰 Entry: **109,200**
🛑 Stop Loss: **110,800**
🎯 Take Profit: **102,400** (⚡ 50% at 105,900 / 50% at 102,400)
📏 Size: **1 BTC** (risk \~1%)
💪 Confidence: **60%**
⏰ Timing: **Market Open**
🧠 **Why Short?**
* 📉 EMAs/SMA bearish stack
* 🔻 Expanding negative MACD
* 🧊 Heavier sell volume
* 🎯 BB extension aligns w/ \~102.4k
⚠️ **Risks**
* ❓ Missing OI/liquidity data = squeeze risk
* 📈 Long-term bullish structure > 200 SMA
* 🌍 Macro shocks (ETF/reg headlines, DXY swings)
---
📊 **TRADE JSON (automation/record):**
```json
{
"instrument": "BTC",
"direction": "short",
"entry_price": 109200.00,
"stop_loss": 110800.00,
"take_profit": 106000.00,
"size": 1.0,
"confidence": 0.60,
"entry_timing": "market_open",
"signal_publish_time": "2025-09-01 17:02:46"
}
```
---
🏷️ **Hashtags:**
\#BTC 🚀 #Bitcoin 💎 #CryptoTrading 📊 #TradeSetup 🐻 #ShortTrade ⚡ #DayTrading ⏳ #RiskManagement 🛡️ #SwingTrade 🎯