COIN Much higher to comeCoinbase had a shallow pullback in wave (II) after running 10x in wave (I). Wave (II) was expected to reach the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement but was front run above the 0.5 demonstrating long term strength.
R5 weekly pivot target is now $841 which is expected to be hit if we get tailwind momentum in wave (III). Price appears to be finding a bottom locally and preparing for the next leg up into price discovery.
RSI has plenty of room for months of overextension in price.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices as high as $800 based on the weekly pivots
📈 Weekly RSI is oversold with no divergence and can remain here for months as price keeps increasing.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave (II), $148
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
CLSK, Still much higher to goTheres a lot of fear in my comments across platforms due to the candle sizes. Participants need to understand the volatility of their holdings or face repeated mistakes and stress due to fear.
Price is attempting to breakout of the macro triangle upper boundary but was rejected. Breaking above wave D at $24 is key to trigger the next thrust I’m looking for towards $42 then $80 all time High Volume Node. Triangles are penultimate patterns found before a final strong move.
Price has momentum above the weekly pivot 200EMA but currently trapped in a High Volume Node where we expect price to stall before continuing upwards.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle could see prices hit $80- the all time High Volume Node
📈 Weekly RSI is oversold with no divergence and can remain here for months as price keeps increasing.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave E, keeping the triangle alive
BTDR Nothing changedHuge daily candles are perfectly normal behaviour and nothing to be afraid of, we stay zoomed out to observe the larger trend to keep our emotions check. It is feature of these type of assets and is why we can make so much money from them when using the right risk management strategy.
Our first profit target has been hit at $25 all time High Volume Node where price is finding a range as some exit. Price has done 10x since the 2023 bottom. Once this range has worked itself out price is expected to continue upwards into price discovery. A retracement to the weekly pivot should be expected, where I will add to my positions and look for a long.
The macro structure is bullish in an Elliot wave ABC as there are many series of 3 wave structures. Wave (3) of C of (C) is underway with a target of the 1.618 Fibonacci extension $41.17. Price can significantly overextend in volatile assets with momentum and it’s these extremities we look to take secondary profit.
🎯 Terminal target for the business cycle is still the channel upper boundary and R3 weekly pivot at $55. A break out above this would be very bullish and could see prices as high as $80+
📈 Weekly RSI has months left of upside potential.
👉 Analysis is invalidated below wave B and 200EMA, $11.
Bitcoin’s Decentralization Is a Lie - Here’s the ProofYou’ve Been Fooled For Years
 
 The narrative: Bitcoin is "decentralized money," free from banks, governments, and corporate control. A financial revolution for the people.
The reality: Bitcoin is one of the most centralized, surveilled, and manipulated financial systems in existence, and the public has been sold a decade-long con.
Let’s break down why Bitcoin fails as decentralized money and how the system is controlled by a tiny elite, with more surveillance than traditional finance. 
 1. The Mining Oligarchy:  90% of Bitcoin’s Supply Controlled by a Handful of Players
Bitcoin’s security and transaction processing rely on miners—but this isn’t a distributed network of mom-and-pop operators. A few massive mining pools dominate the entire system:
Just 4 mining pools (Foundry USA, Antpool, F2Pool, and ViaBTC) control over 60% of Bitcoin’s total hash rate (Blockchain.com).
The top 10% of miners control 90%+ of the mining power—meaning a small group of entities can censor transactions, manipulate fees, or even collude to attack the network.
Mining is centralized in a few countries (U.S., China, Kazakhstan), where governments and corporations can shut it down at will (see: China’s 2021 mining ban, which wiped out 50% of the network overnight).
Hardware centralization: Only ASIC manufacturers (like Bitmain) can profitably mine Bitcoin. No average person can compete—this is industrial-scale control, not decentralization.
 → If 4 companies control the network, how is this "decentralized"? 
 2. The Validator Dictatorship:  Bitcoin’s "Trustless" System Runs on Trust in a Few
Bitcoin’s nodes (computers that validate transactions) are supposed to be the backbone of decentralization. But:
Over 50% of Bitcoin nodes run on just 3 hosting providers (Amazon AWS, Hetzner, OVH) (Bitnodes).
Most full nodes are controlled by exchanges, institutions, and mining pools—not regular users.
If you’re not running a full node (and 99% of users aren’t), you’re trusting someone else’s version of the blockchain. That’s not trustless, that’s blind faith in a centralized elite.
 → If you’re not validating transactions yourself, you’re just a user in their system. 
 3. The Exchange Trap:  Your Bitcoin Isn’t Yours (And Never Was)
95% of Bitcoin is held on exchanges (Coinbase, Binance, Kraken, etc.), not in self-custody wallets.
Exchanges freeze, seize, and censor transactions all the time (e.g., Coinbase banning Tornado Cash users, Binance freezing accounts at government request).
If your Bitcoin is on an exchange, you don’t own it. You own an IOU—just like a bank.
Withdrawal limits, KYC, and government pressure mean your Bitcoin is only as free as the exchange allows.
 → Sound familiar? This is just digital banking with extra steps.
 
 4. The Blockchain Surveillance State:  Bitcoin Is the Ultimate Financial Panopticon
Bitcoin was supposed to be private money. Instead, it’s the most transparent financial system ever built:
Every transaction is public forever—no deletions, no do-overs.
Chain analysis firms (Chainalysis, TRM Labs, Elliptic) work with governments, banks, and exchanges to track, deanonymize, and blacklist users.
Once your wallet is linked to your identity (via an exchange, merchant, or IP leak), every transaction you’ve ever made is exposed.
Law enforcement loves Bitcoin because it’s easier to trace than cash. The FBI has recovered billions in Bitcoin from criminals—not because it’s secure, but because it’s trackable.
 → Cash leaves no trail. Bitcoin leaves a permanent, public record of your entire financial life. 
 5. The Whale Problem:  2% of Wallets Control 50% of Bitcoin
Just 2% of Bitcoin addresses hold over 50% of the supply (BitInfoCharts).
The top 100 wallets own more Bitcoin than the bottom 100 million combined.
Whales manipulate the market with pump-and-dump schemes, while retail investors get rekt in every cycle.
 → This isn’t decentralized money. This is a rigged casino where the house always wins. 
 *6. The Irony:  Bitcoin Is More Surveilled Than Traditional Finance
Bitcoin was supposed to be an escape from the banking system—but it’s just a worse version of it:
Slower (10-minute blocks vs. instant cash).
More expensive ($50 fees vs. $0 for cash).
Less private (public ledger vs. untraceable cash).
More centralized (mining pools, exchanges, whales vs. local banks).
 → You traded real financial privacy for a digital illusion of freedom.
 
 7. The Ultimate Scam:  "Decentralization Theater"
Bitcoin’s real decentralization is a marketing gimmick to keep you invested while:
Miners, exchanges, and whales extract wealth from retail.
Governments and corporations use the blockchain to track and control financial activity.
The narrative of "freedom" keeps you holding the bag while the insiders cash out.
 → You were sold a revolution. You got a surveillance network with a ticker symbol.
 
 What’s Actually Decentralized? (Hint: Not Bitcoin)
 If you want real financial sovereignty, here’s what beats Bitcoin:
✅ Physical cash – No ledger, no tracking, no middlemen.
✅ Gold & silver – No transaction history, no KYC, true store of value.
✅ Privacy coins (Monero, Zcash) – Actually untraceable transactions.
✅ Local barter & trade – No blockchain, no surveillance.
Bitcoin is not the future of money. It’s a centralized, surveilled experiment that enriches the few while fooling the many.
 Final Verdict: Bitcoin Is a Centralized, Censored, and Controlled System 
Mining? Controlled by a few corporations.
Validation? Run by cloud providers and exchanges.
Ownership? Most Bitcoin is held by whales and custodians.
Privacy? Worse than a bank account.
 You’ve been fooled. The "decentralized revolution" was just another Wall Street trap—and the joke’s on you.
→ Wake up. The emperor has no clothes. 
  NASDAQ:COIN   NASDAQ:MSTR   TVC:GOLD   TVC:SILVER   NASDAQ:MARA   TVC:DXY  
BTCUSD EXPANDING CHANNELThe chart highlights Bitcoin's recent price action within a significant, long-term pattern known as a Broadening/Expanding Wedge or Channel, which often signals increasing volatility and indecision between buyers and sellers.
1. Broadening Formation (Expanding Channel)
Structure: The price is contained within two divergent trendlines (one resistance, one support) that are moving away from each other. This is a pattern of increasing highs (Resistance) and decreasing lows (Support).
Significance: This pattern suggests high volatility and a lack of conviction, where large moves are fading out as they hit the trendline boundaries, only for the price to reverse and test the opposite boundary.
Pattern Goal: Broadening patterns typically resolve with a decisive breakout above the resistance or below the support, which then initiates the next major trend.
2. Key Price Action and Rejection
Recent High: The price recently tested the upper boundary of the broadening channel (Resistance) around the $126,000 - $127,000 area and was sharply rejected.
Current Move: Following the rejection, the price is now in a strong downtrend, characterized by large red candles, moving towards the lower boundary (Support) of the channel.
Breakdown Warning: The chart features a small horizontal box/range that was recently broken to the downside, acting as a minor level of resistance in the current move.
3. Key Support and Targets
Immediate Dynamic Support: The next major target for the current bearish move is the lower trendline of the Broadening Wedge, which currently sits around the $108,000 - $109,000 area.
Strong Horizontal Support: Confluence exists with a strong horizontal support zone just below the dynamic support, around $106,000 - $107,000. This level has acted as a critical floor previously (as evidenced by the large green candle wick around October 10th).
Critical Confluence Zone: The area where the dynamic trendline support meets the horizontal support ($106,000 - $109,000) is the most critical zone for a potential bounce.
4. Momentum (RSI)
RSI Reading: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently in a strong downtrend, moving towards the Oversold (30) territory.
Bearish Momentum: This confirms the current bearish momentum and suggests that a strong bounce or reversal is unlikely until the RSI either hits oversold or the price reaches the major support confluence.
💡 Trading Implication
The technical structure suggests that the price is likely heading to test the bottom of the long-term pattern.
Bearish Continuation (Most Likely Scenario): The price is expected to continue its slide to test the $108,000 - $109,000 dynamic support, where buyers are likely to step in for a reaction bounce.
Critical Support Zone: The $106,000 - $109,000 zone is the "make-or-break" area. A decisive break and close below $106,000 would be a major bearish signal, likely resulting in a large downward move (a break of the entire long-term broadening pattern).
Bitcoin Update – November 1, 2025 - Revised 2026 target $46KBitcoin and Crypto Market Update – November 1, 2025 
 Bitcoin  has completed its  cup-and-handle pattern , hitting the technical target near  $118,000  before rolling over into a fresh  rising-wedge formation . The new structure is supported by  declining volume , hinting at fading momentum and a potential pullback toward  $46,000 .
Today’s move mirrors broader macro caution—the Fed’s pause on rate cuts and Trump–Xi trade tensions have triggered a wave of risk-off sentiment. Bitcoin is down  3.8% to $110,063 , Ethereum −3.6% ($3,853), and XRP −4.1% ($2.51).
Despite the dip,  ETF inflows remain strong  (BTC +$202 M, ETH +$246 M), showing institutions still buying the weakness. November historically delivers +42.5% average gains, but traders should stay alert as the rising wedge matures.
 Technical summary: 
* ✅ Cup & Handle target ≈ $118 K (completed)
* ⚠️ Rising Wedge forming →  Target ≈ $46 K 
* 📉 Volume decline = weakening trend strength
* 🟢 Institutional inflows = long-term support, volume declining over 5-10 year cycle
📊 Posted by Market Monkey — decoding the market’s next move.
Has Bitcoin already priced in its next move ? | Day 56☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Day timeframe .
👀 Bitcoin on the daily timeframe. After the flash crash it experienced, Bitcoin is almost building a box with a top at $114,559 and a bottom at $106,431, which by breaking these areas, it can get out of this trading range and give us a position.
The noteworthy point in the recent days is the Monday meeting between Trump and the President of China, which can determine the destiny of the market and give it a good direction.
🧮 The RSI oscillator, two key zones have formed for us in the areas of 54.5 and 36, and by the fluctuation limit crossing these areas, the next move of Bitcoin can begin.
🕯 Bitcoin’s volume on the daily timeframe has increased sharply after recording a new all-time high, and this has been a tendency toward increasing selling pressure. In the image, it is completely clear that you can see exactly what happened to the market after the flash crash it experienced.
📈 To take a position with this structural style that we currently have, you can refer to the multi-timeframe analysis of Bitcoin and extract the long and short position triggers, and if Bitcoin gives you an entry, enter the position around the anticipated top or bottom with low risk so that later you can add more volume to your position at higher or lower levels.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC Retracement Setup After Liquidity Sweep at Key Resistance📊 Bitcoin 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum Meets Key Liquidity Zone
Bitcoin continues to trade within a strong bullish trend on the 4-hour timeframe. Price has now tapped into a major resistance zone — the liquidity sitting above a previous external range high. This reaction suggests we may see a corrective move before the next leg higher. 🔁💡
I’ll be waiting for price to retrace back into equilibrium of the current bullish price swing, where premium turns to discount, to look for a high-probability long setup. ✅🎯
⚠️ Not financial advice — for educational purposes only.
Has Bitcoin entered the distribution phase yet?👋🏻 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel.
✨ Today we’re diving into the 4-Hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 On the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that Bitcoin recently dropped due to the impact of the FOMC news but then rebounded from the key support level at $106,520 and is now facing its multi-timeframe resistances. Looking at the chart more broadly, we notice equal highs and lows around the $115,585 and $106,520 zones. With a breakout of either of these levels, Bitcoin could experience a sharp and significant move.
🧲 Bitcoin’s selling volume has slightly increased, and if the supports break, this selling could turn into pressure — collectively applying downward force on the market price. Then, buyers may re-enter and start buying Bitcoin again. The hypothesis of a possible distribution phase could turn into a valid theory; however, we must be cautious — if Bitcoin decides to move upward after Monday’s session, it could confirm a new all-time high and continue its upward trend.
✍️ The main scenario for Bitcoin lies around the $115,585 price zone. If this level breaks, we could enter a long position and stay with it for a potentially extended upward move. It’s worth noting that an increase in buying volume along this path could serve as a strong confirmation for our long position.
On the other hand, the short position scenario would become valid if the price breaks below the support and selling pressure intensifies, giving us a high-momentum short setup.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTCUSD 1D -  Pause Before the Next Leg Down?On the 4H chart,  Bitcoin  is retesting a critical resistance area - the  111K–113K  sell zone, where a descending trendline, prior support-turned-resistance, and local volume cluster converge. This confluence makes the current level a potential short-entry area.
After failing to sustain above 115K, BTC entered a corrective phase. The recent bounce looks like a retest of the broken structure, and unless bulls reclaim 113K+, the bias remains bearish with a target near 100K–101K, a key liquidity zone.
 Technically, momentum is fading: 
– Bearish RSI divergence at recent highs;
– Volume contraction on rallies, expansion on drops;
– Price structure forming a likely ABC correction, with wave C projection toward 100K.
 Fundamentally , near-term pressure persists as traders take profits and global risk sentiment cools ahead of potential Fed guidance. However, the macro bull case remains intact - hashrate at all-time highs, growing institutional adoption, and supply tightening continue to underpin long-term support.
 Tactical plan:  short entries near 111K–113K, targets 100K–101K. Invalidation above 113.5K.
 Even in a bull market, gravity never takes a holiday.
Bitcoin Chart Analysis and forecast: liquidation heatmap(1h-bar)📈 Bitcoin Technical Analysis
It’s been a while since my last market update on August 21.
At that time, the VRVP POC at 104.5K and the Fibonacci retracement 0.382 level (102.2K) were identified as key support zones, and both continue to act as major levels while the market remains in a bearish phase.
On the higher timeframe, Bitcoin is still staying near the lower boundary of the range.
  
Liquidity is concentrated near the mid-range (central value) of this box, and a retest or breakout attempt within the next two weeks appears likely.
This zone also overlaps with the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level, which adds credibility to its importance.
Looking at the 15-minute liquidation heatmap,
a liquidity sweep pattern has formed in the lower yellow zone, and since a 1-hour bullish divergence has been confirmed, Bitcoin is expected to first test the 103.2K–103.5K liquidity zone.
 Indicator link:   TradingView – Liquidation Heatmap 
  
🔍 Derivatives Market Overview
Looking at Bitcoin’s open interest across major exchanges,
it has sharply declined following the massive liquidation event on October 11, returning to levels seen in March–April 2024.
This structure is similar to when Bitcoin’s price formed its previous low.
 Indicator link:   TradingView – Multi-Exchange Open Interest 
  
Also, the Coinbase Premium has recently turned negative, which reflects selling pressure from the U.S. market and suggests a potential continuation of short-term weakness.
However, if it turns positive again soon, it could serve as a signal for recovery, so it’s worth keeping a close eye on this metric.
⚡ Altcoins and Market Structure
The TOTAL3 chart (total altcoin market cap excluding BTC and ETH) shows that the short-term trend has already broken down,
and without a clear Bitcoin trend reversal or breakout above the previous high, altcoin recovery will likely remain limited.
  
📊 Overall Outlook
Currently, open interest has declined significantly,
and since the proportion of coins with negative funding rates is relatively high, the downside risk appears limited for now.
Therefore, in the short term, a retest of the mid-range zone followed by a base-building phase seems likely.
However, it’s important to keep in mind that another liquidity sweep near the previous low could occur,
leaving open the possibility of a further drop toward the 98K area.
In conclusion, maintaining a defensive position while closely monitoring for bottom confirmation signals within the 98K–102K liquidity zone remains a prudent strategy.
BTC Analysis 30/10/2025BTC / USDT 
Bitcoin is forming a massive ascending wedge pattern, a bearish pattern currently undergoing a bearish retest.
The 200-day EMA is a significant support level and has been tested multiple times in the past few weeks. The more it is retested, the weaker the support becomes.
The sharp drop on October 10th impacted the market's direction.
Bearish targets for this scenario:
First support: 103,000 - 100,000
Major support: 94,000 - 89,000
Summary: The market is currently bearish, and we can revise our analysis if Bitcoin manages to stabilize above 117,000.
Bitcoin Weekend Volume Could Exceed 116K as Smart Money Accumula📊 Market Update
Bitcoin has been building strength since the 106K–107K level, showing signs of a new uptrend. Both the lower time frames and the main trend are currently positive. There’s a strong possibility that BTC will target 112K as the first level, with 116K+ also possible depending on the weekend trading volume.
🔹 Market Structure
The market structure is gradually building, suggesting smart money inflows into BTC over the last 10 hours. We’ll continue tracking this development closely further
My expectations for November and December.According to my possible wave counts the first week of November may be a sell-off, then the direction may be upwards, and declines may occur with the Christmas holiday. 
 Note: It's shown on a 1-hour chart, but waves will form over longer timeframes. So, disregard the date chart you see at the bottom of the page.
 
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
BTC/USDT | Bitcoin Bounces Back — Bulls Eyeing $112K Next!By analyzing the #BTC chart on the 12-hour timeframe, we can see that after a healthy correction down to $106,350, Bitcoin has regained its footing and is once again trading near the $110,000 zone. This recovery shows that buyers are still stepping in aggressively to defend key supports and maintain bullish momentum.
As long as BTC stays above $108,600, the bullish outlook remains valid. The next upside target sits around $112,000, where we might see some short-term reaction before another potential correction — likely a setup before the next major bullish wave.
Did you Know ?!!!Did you really think that profiting from the current bull run (a comprehensive upward market) would be easy? Don't be naive. Do you think they will let you buy, hold, and sell at low levels without any struggle? If it were that simple, everyone would be rich. But the truth is: 90% of you will lose. Why? Because the crypto market is not designed for everyone to win. They will shake you. They will make you doubt everything. They will panic you and sell at the worst possible moment. Do you know what happens next? The best players in this game buy when there is fear, not sell; because your panic gives them cheap assets. This is how the game goes: strong hands feed off weak hands. They exaggerate every dip, every correction, every sale. They make it look like the end of the world so that you abandon everything, and when the market starts up again, you'll sit there saying, "What the heck just happened?" This is not an accident. It's a system. The market rewards patience and punishes weak emotions. The big players already know your thoughts. They know exactly when and how to stir fear to make you give up. Because when you panic, they profit. They don't play the market. They play you. That's why most people never succeed. Because they fall into the same traps over and over again. People don't realize that dips, FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt), and panic are all part of the plan. But the winners? They digest the noise. They know that fear is temporary, but smart decisions last forever. We've seen this hundreds of times. They pump the market after you sell. They take your assets, hold them, and sell them to you at the top, leaving you with nothing, wondering how it happened. Don't play their game. Play your own.
REMEMBER
HYPEUSDT – Watching a Key Support Zone for Long SetupHYPEUSDT is currently pulling back and heading toward a major support area at $42–$43. This zone has historically provided strong buying interest and could act as a platform for a reversal. We’re closely watching this level for a potential long swing trade opportunity.
🛠 Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $42 – $43 (Support Area)
Take Profit Levels:
• TP1: $53
• TP2: $59
Stop Loss: $38 (Just below structure)
ETH/USDT | Ethereum Rebounds Strongly – Eyes on $5K Next!By analyzing the #Ethereum chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that after our previous analysis, price continued to rise and reached as high as $4,200. It is currently trading around $3,800, and if it can hold above this level, we could expect further upside movement.
The next potential bullish targets are $4,300, $4,500, $5,000, and $5,500.
 Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban






















