BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 33💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1H timeframe of Bitcoin, we can see that BTC moved upward after breaking through its taker-seller zone, with the breakout fueled by high volume and a whale candle. A strong resistance has now formed at $113,000, while a solid support floor is holding at $110,400. With today’s news, one of these levels is very likely to break. Keep in mind, today’s news is extremely important—if it turns out positive for crypto, the market could push higher and start a strong bullish leg.
⚙️ The RSI key zones are at 50 and 70. If volatility increases and momentum crosses above these levels, Bitcoin could kick off a strong move.
🕯 The size and volume of green candles have increased, building a very solid support around $110,400. Price is currently sitting in a resistance area, and with the NFP release we could see strong candles forming with high volume.
📊 On the 1H timeframe of Tether dominance (USDT.D), we see that after its recent bullish leg, it formed a trendline which has now been broken, followed by a pullback. Currently, USDT dominance is sitting at a very important support floor. If this floor breaks, a significant amount of Tether could flow into Bitcoin and altcoins.
🔔 The alarm zones for Bitcoin are set at $113,000 and $110,400—these are the levels to watch and place alerts on. Since we have the NFP news release today, a potential whale move is likely. If you’re planning to trade the news, define a small risk, use trigger orders, and make sure to apply strict risk management!
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
A potential path to 134kIt appears bitcoin is breaking up from a bulllish pennant who’s top trendline seems most valid on the 4hr chart, its bottom trendline most valid on the daily chart and its flag pole most valid on the weekly chart. Sometimes patterns will be cross timeline like that. If this is the pattern that is about to be validated, we should see confirmation in the form of price action using the dotted measured move line like a ladder and as support in the near future as well as also potentially resistance later on on the way to the target. When you see that type of thing occur, probability increases that this is the real breakout. *not financial advice*
BTCUSD DAY TRADING SETUP (CAFX)"This is how I am currently analyzing BTCUSD. I’m paying close attention to the overall market structure, key support and resistance zones, and recent price action to determine where the next move might unfold. I’ll be watching for potential breakout opportunities, liquidity grabs, and retests around major levels to confirm my bias. Keep in mind, this is simply my personal outlook and not financial advice — always do your own analysis before making trading decisions."
BITCOIN Will Move Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 112,517.45.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 121,576.05 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Bitcoin faces bear market risk despite short-term rallyBitcoin faces bear market risk despite short-term rally
Bitcoin may enter a bear market by October 2025 if historical 4-year cycles play out, with a possible bottom near $50,000 by October 2026. Analysts project BTC could hit $140,000 before year-end but warn of a sharp drop afterward. While the “Repetition Fractal Cycle” signals a bearish shift, strong ETF inflows ($29.4B in 2025) and institutional demand could alter the pattern.
Currently, BTC is testing a key resistance trendline. A break below $100,000 would confirm a bearish outlook, while a move above $113,650 could revive momentum toward $140,000. Polymarket assigns a 59% chance of BTC falling under $100,000 by 2026. Macroeconomic headwinds and tighter regulations could accelerate a downturn.
In the short term, Bitcoin is up 2.1% at $112,876 — its highest in a week — ahead of U.S. jobs data, as markets bet on Fed rate cuts from September 17. Weaker ADP payrolls data boosted expectations for soft nonfarm payrolls Friday, which may support risky assets like crypto.
RIOT Wave 3 Begun?NASDAQ:RIOT appears to be in wave III with wave II bottoming at the High Volume Node (HVN) support and daily 200EMA.
The first target is the HVN resistance and R3 pivot at $18.67 but if the count is correct we should extend above that. RSI is sitting comfortably with room to grow.
Analysis is invalidated below wave II, $10.50.
Safe trading
BTC - Consolidation, Manipulation & Distribution into new HighsMarket Context
BTC is currently printing a series of higher lows, which signals a bullish underlying trend despite short-term volatility. Each dip has been defended, showing that buyers are stepping in earlier with every pullback. This type of structure often builds the foundation for an eventual breakout higher.
Consolidation Phase
After the strong bounce from recent lows, price has moved into a tight consolidation range. This is a classic "cooling-off" period where liquidity builds up and traders wait for direction. Consolidations at this stage often precede expansion moves, and the side that breaks tends to dictate the next wave of momentum.
Bullish Fair Value Gap & Fakeout
Just below the consolidation lies a Bullish Fair Value Gap. Price may fake out to the downside into this zone, trapping breakout sellers and filling imbalance before reclaiming levels. This setup is particularly interesting because the higher-timeframe structure still favors the bulls, making the FVG a potential springboard for continuation.
Distribution into New Highs
If the FVG reacts as expected, the next phase would likely be distribution into new highs. That means clearing out liquidity above the consolidation and targeting the next round of upside expansion. In this scenario, the higher lows, the fakeout trap, and the FVG all align to fuel the breakout.
Final Thoughts
The higher-low structure gives this setup a bullish tilt, but the real clue will come from how price behaves around the Fair Value Gap. A clean reaction there could be the trigger for a sharp push into new highs.
If this breakdown gave you clarity on the structure, a like would be appreciated — and drop your thoughts in the comments. Do you expect the fakeout into the FVG, or are you positioned differently?
$MARA One More Push Lower to the Golden Pocket?NASDAQ:MARA was rejected hard on the 6th test of the daily 200EMA! The probability of a breakthrough is huge but it just cant overcome supply as people want out of this underperforming Bitcoin Miner! Just the recipe we need for explosive upside, capitulation.
The S2 pivot and Fibonacci golden pocket should see strong support and potential bottoming of wave II, $13.20
Daily RSI is working its way into oversold which will line up nicely for a high probability trade set up I will share in my trading signals substack.
Safe trading
IREN Bear Divergence on the Daily, Deeper Pullback Ahead?NASDAQ:IREN appears to be pulling back locally in wave 4, filling the gap, with eyes on testing the daily pivot as support before continuing higher.
Price is significantly away from mean and catching continued momentum but this will fade as more people take profit.
Bearish divergence persists in the daily RSI and has been confirmed with the close below the signal line. If these signals fail it shows the strength of the momentum trend.
Continued upside target is playing the pivots to $40 and initial downside taregt is the previous all time high at $18.50
Safe trading
Trump’s Bond Strategy vs. Saylor’s High-Stakes Bitcoin BetBitcoin ( BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ) Macro Analysis: Trump’s Bond Strategy vs. Saylor’s High-Stakes Bitcoin Bet
1. Trump’s Bond Play and Crypto Ventures: A Dual Macro Hedge
Since returning to office in January 2025, Donald Trump has purchased over $100 million in corporate and municipal bonds, including debt from Meta, Citigroup, and local governments. These purchases are notable for two reasons:
Yield Lock: Trump’s bond buys were made at yields near 5%, a level not seen since the pre-2022 low-rate era. If the Federal Reserve cuts rates as expected in late 2025, the value of these bonds will rise, and their fixed 5% coupons will become increasingly attractive compared to new, lower-yielding issues.
Policy Alignment: Trump has publicly pressured the Fed to lower rates, which would further inflate the value of his bond portfolio. His administration’s fiscal and trade policies (e.g., tariffs, deregulation) could also indirectly support bond markets by stimulating demand for safe-haven assets.
Trump’s Crypto Ventures: Profiting from the Public
Unlike traditional crypto investors, the Trump family’s involvement in the sector is not built on holding Bitcoin or other digital assets. Instead, their companies focus on selling crypto-related products, cashing in on trading fees, and enriching themselves at the expense of an uninformed public. These ventures have been widely criticized as predatory, leveraging Trump’s political influence and public persona to attract unsuspecting investors into high-fee, low-value schemes—effectively an open scam that prioritizes short-term profits over genuine market participation.
Implications for Bitcoin:
If rates fall, bond yields become less competitive with risk assets like Bitcoin, potentially driving capital back into crypto.
However, Trump’s bond strategy and his family’s exploitative crypto ventures signal a preference for traditional financial instruments and extractive business models over supportive crypto policies. This could temper any positive impact on Bitcoin from his administration’s economic agenda.
2. Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy: A Leveraged Bitcoin Bet
MicroStrategy, under Michael Saylor, has become the world’s largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, with over 446,000 BTC (worth ~$50 billion as of September 2025). The company’s strategy relies heavily on convertible debt issuance:
Debt Structure: MicroStrategy has issued billions in zero- or ultra-low-interest convertible notes (as low as 0.625%), using the proceeds to buy Bitcoin. This allows the company to avoid high interest payments and benefit from Bitcoin’s price appreciation.
Risks:
Leverage: If Bitcoin’s price falls sharply, MicroStrategy may face margin calls or be forced to sell BTC to meet debt obligations, exacerbating downward pressure on $BTCUSD.
Equity Dilution: The company’s aggressive stock issuance (planned dilution from 330M to 10B shares) could depress shareholder value if Bitcoin underperforms.
Recent Performance:
MicroStrategy’s stock NASDAQ:MSTR has outperformed Bitcoin in 2024–2025, but its valuation is now highly correlated with BTC’s price and market sentiment toward leverage.
3. Federal Reserve Policy: The Wild Card
Current Rates: The Fed has held rates at 4.25–4.50% since late 2024, but markets anticipate cuts in late 2025 (potentially 0.50–0.75% by year-end).
Impact on Bitcoin:
Rate Cuts: Historically, lower rates boost risk assets. Bitcoin could benefit from increased liquidity and weaker dollar, as seen in late 2024 when BTC rallied following Fed easing.
Inflation & Macro Risks: If cuts are delayed or inflation resurges, Bitcoin may face headwinds as investors favor bonds or cash.
4. The Crypto Winter Thesis: Is Doomsday Coming?
Bull Case: If the Fed cuts aggressively and liquidity floods markets, Bitcoin could resume its upward trajectory, especially if institutional demand (e.g., ETF inflows) remains strong.
Bear Case:
MicroStrategy’s Leverage: A sharp BTC drop could force NASDAQ:MSTR to liquidate holdings, triggering a cascade effect.
Regulatory Risks: Trump’s bond focus, his family’s extractive crypto ventures, and potential regulatory crackdowns could dampen sentiment.
Macro Uncertainty: Geopolitical tensions, recession fears, or a stronger-than-expected dollar could further pressure risk assets.
Technical Outlook:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is currently trading at $109,430 (as of September 4, 2025), up 1.63% over the past week but still range-bound between $107K–$112K.
Support/Resistance: Watch $105K (psychological support) and $115K (next resistance). A breakout or breakdown here could signal the next major move.
Conclusion: A Tale of Two Strategies
Trump’s bond purchases and push for rate cuts could indirectly benefit Bitcoin by reducing the appeal of fixed income, but his administration’s stance on crypto, and his family’s history of exploiting the public through crypto ventures, remains a significant red flag. Meanwhile, MicroStrategy’s leveraged Bitcoin bet is a high-risk, high-reward play that could either propel BITSTAMP:BTCUSD to new highs or accelerate a downturn if forced liquidations occur.
Traders should monitor:
Fed meetings (next: September 16–17, 2025) for rate cut signals.
MicroStrategy’s debt maturity schedule and Bitcoin holdings.
Trump’s policy shifts on crypto regulation and fiscal stimulus, as well as any new developments in his family’s crypto-related businesses.
Final Thought: The stage is set for a volatile Q4 2025. While the macro backdrop favors risk assets if the Fed eases, the specter of leverage unwinding, regulatory risks, and the Trump family’s extractive crypto practices looms large. Caution and active risk management are advised.
NASDAQ:MSTR NASDAQ:COIN TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER NASDAQ:MARA BITSTAMP:ETHUSD CRYPTOCAP:USDC NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA
NFP Jobs Data Could Trigger $116K or $105K Bitcoin MoveBitcoin is testing a critical breakout above $112,168 as markets prepare for tomorrow’s Non-Farm Payrolls report. The 4-hour chart has shown positive momentum, with BTC clearing resistance at $110,918 and pushing toward $112,856. If bulls can hold above $112K, the roadmap opens to $114,189 and $116,072. But if Bitcoin loses momentum, supports sit at $110,918, $108,592, and the deeper zone near $105,320.
The jobs report could be the catalyst that decides Bitcoin’s next big move. Consensus is around 75,000 jobs, just above last month’s 73,000. A weaker report could boost risk assets like Bitcoin as traders price in more Fed cuts. But a stronger print could cool risk sentiment and pressure BTC back into support. Either way, volatility is coming, and these levels will be key.
BTDR Still in a triangle, Wave c of (C) downNASDAQ:BTDR Bitdeer was rejected harshly on the 4th test of the High Volume Node (HVN) resistance, each test weakening the Node and adding probability to a breakout.
Wave c of an ABC within a triangle wave (C) appears to be underway with price closing below both the daily pivot and 200EMA. RSI has slight bullish divergence.
Until we get a break below wave (A) or a above wave (B) the analysis is good. Will readjust and update if anything changes. A breakdown below the triangle has a wave 2 target of the golden pocket Fibonacci retracement and HVN support at $9.63 and may offer a great buying opportunity.
Breakout target is the R5 daily pivot at $21.84
Safe trading
CAUTION: BITCOIN'S CORRECTION JOURNEY TO $96,050Bitcoin has hit a resistance wall with a double top on the weekly as well as the monthly timeframe. What's even more concerning for bulls is the RSI divergences on these time frames. Volume has been drying up as price was hitting new all time highs while momentum was also declining. Now the smoke has now lit up into a flame and the big correction is in progress.
I am expecting an A-B-C correction to an initial target of $96,050 where bulls will step up buying pressure to go up to make either a higher high or a lower high on the weekly chart. Stay tuned for further update.
Cheers fellow traders!
Buy Bitcoin, Not bananas Since the last emergency update from Yellen to buy Bitcoin, we're up by approximately 260%.
In this next update from the Volcanic Miner Empire(VME) located in El Salvador, we're giving an "All Good" update. Buy Bitcoin, don't buy Bitcoin, buy bananas like Mark Cuban - whatever, we literally couldn't care less, lol.
BUT,
If you're a sensible entity browsing a website for good investment ideas, this setup should intrigue you. We have spent two-thirds of the year consolidating the previous all-time high on Bitcoin.
The world is easing monetary policy, markets are at all-time highs (with trillions of treasury notes expiring, freeing up more fiat and chasing more gains), and China is about to start handing out money in 500 billion increments to do nothing but invest in anything, for free, no risk... LOL. This is just the tip of the Volcano.
Impossible to tell you when this happens, but given macro events, it seems much sooner than later if this cycle is to confirm.
Do what you want, do it safely, and laugh at Cuban every time you eat/see/think about a banana.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) –> Retest Before the Next Drop?Hello guys!
After a strong run inside the ascending channel, Bitcoin has finally broken its trendline support. This is often the first warning that momentum is shifting from bullish to bearish.
Right now, price action is pulling back and looks ready to retest the broken trendline around the 111,300–111,400 zone. This level also aligns with a small supply area, making it an important zone to watch.
From a technical perspective, this retest could serve as the perfect setup for sellers to re-enter the market. If price gets rejected here, the next logical target sits at 109,857 , which is the nearest major support.
Scenario Outlook
🔼 Upside: Limited unless Bitcoin can reclaim 111,500 and hold above it.
🔽 Downside: A rejection at the retest zone opens the path for a move toward 109,857.
This makes the current structure look like a classic bearish retest setup: break → pullback → continuation.
📌 Scenario: Price touches the broken trendline, finds resistance, and then moves down toward 109,857 support.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
New Bearmarket ideaHere we a have a deviation of an ascending channel, at these levels the market doesnt look lie itll have a hard sell off just yet and my overall look for bitcoin is about $26k to end this run. this bull market has been a tough pill for me to swallow but hey you live and you learn, its the only way to get better a the craft
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #169👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s move on to analyzing Bitcoin. It has had a very important reaction to the resistance zone we had, and we need to see which direction its next move will be. So stay with me as we review it.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
After breaking its descending trendline, Bitcoin made a short upward move and reached the resistance zone.
🔍 However, once it touched this zone, the price was rejected and corrected down to 109577. This correction can extend further as a pullback to the trendline or even to the 107467 zone.
💥 If this deeper correction occurs and selling volume increases at the same time, the probability of breaking 107467 rises. This would not be favorable for Bitcoin’s bullish trend, and it would be better for this zone not to be lost.
📊 In case 107467 breaks with higher volume, we can open a short position. This would be considered a very risky trade, and I would personally put very little risk into it.
📈 On the other hand, if an upward move resumes and the resistance zone breaks, the price could begin a new bullish move toward higher resistances such as 117048, 119096, or even 122545.
📰 Tomorrow, the U.S. unemployment rate report will be released, which can significantly affect the market. The probability of a new wave beginning after this news is high, so make sure you’re on alert to have an open position if the market decides to move.
ETH/USDT | Hits $4950 ATH After 130% Rally – More Gains Ahead?By analyzing the Ethereum (ETH) chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that, as expected, price has continued its bullish rally since our last analysis — successfully hitting all three targets at $4000, $4400, and $4900. With a remarkable 130% growth in just 77 days, Ethereum finally printed a new ATH at $4950!
Currently, ETH is trading around $4300, and as long as the price holds above the $3330–$3950 support zone, we can expect another strong bullish wave in the near future.
This analysis will be updated — stay tuned for the next move!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BTC/USDT Analysis. Moving Within the Scenario
Hello everyone! This is the CryptoRobotics trader-analyst, and here is the daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin reached the resistance zone of $112,400–$113,300 (local volume zone) and, after consolidating briefly, entered a natural correction.
At the moment, the price has approached the support level of ~$110,000 (market sell absorption), where we already see increased trading activity. This level is becoming a key point of the current structure. If buyers defend this zone and sellers remain weak, we can expect a continuation of the long trend with the next target at $114,400–$115,500.
However, if buyers lose this local battle, the price will likely head back toward the recent local low.
Buy Zones:
~$110,000 (market sell absorption)
$108,000–$102,500 (accumulated volumes)
Sell Zones:
$112,400–$113,300 (local volume zone)
$114,400–$115,500 (volume zone)
~$116,500 (volume anomaly)
$117,200–$119,000 (accumulated volumes)
$121,200–$122,200 (buy absorption)
This publication is not financial advice.
TON/USDT | TON Gearing Up for a Bullish Wave – Key Targets AheadBy analyzing the TON Coin chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price is currently consolidating around the key level of $3.13. This stabilization suggests that a strong bullish wave may be on the horizon.
The potential upside targets for this move are $3.63, $3.75, $4.20, and $4.68.
Keep an eye on this zone — momentum could kick in soon!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BTCUSD – Is the Big Wave Coming?Hello everyone, what do you think about BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ?
BTCUSD is now standing at a critical crossroads. After a short-term correction, price has continued to build a new support zone around $107,000. This is an area where buyers have consistently defended, showing that underlying demand remains strong.
In the past, after each strong rally, we saw a period of accumulation followed by another breakout. Every dip has been quickly absorbed, while volume has been increasing on each bounce – a clear signal that smart money is quietly accumulating.
On the news front, expectations of an upcoming Fed rate cut, combined with rising safe-haven demand amid economic and geopolitical uncertainty, are creating a powerful catalyst for BTC. This narrative positions Bitcoin not just as a risky asset, but as “digital gold” in the eyes of many institutional investors.
I expect this accumulation phase to end soon, with the Bulls regaining control.
What about you? What’s your view on BTCUSD? Share your thoughts in the comments!