Bitcoin 2026 q4 ATLBased on historical Bitcoin market cycles and halving-driven patterns, we anticipate that Bitcoin may reach its cycle bottom in Q4 2026.
Historically, Bitcoin enters a significant bearish phase approximately 1.5–2 years after each halving (3 years of growth). It lenght ~365 days 2026 Q4 bottom).
This aligns with macro cycle timing and post-euphoria market cooling observed in previous cycles (e.g., 2014, 2018, 2022).
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BITCOIN BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 111,152.14
Target Level: 108,548.72
Stop Loss: 112,904.00
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #205👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s analyze Bitcoin today, as the market is making an upward move, so it's important to have a solid analysis to stay ahead of future movements.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Bitcoin's upward movement continues, and after yesterday's correction, the price is now moving upwards again toward the 111645 level.
This movement is accompanied by weak momentum, and the volume is decreasing, so opening a long position right now is a bit risky.
However, if 111645 breaks, we can open a long position with a very low risk. The break of this level will be our next trigger for a long position.
The main long trigger is 113429. Breaking this resistance can initiate the next upward movement for Bitcoin.
But the volume needs to increase. Any movement accompanied by decreasing volume is a strong sign of trend weakness and won’t last long.
If you already have a long position from 108943, you can take profits if the trend confirms and the price gets rejected at 111645.
For short positions, we should wait for the market structure to change and for a short trigger to appear.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
It’s Friday Again — BTC Levels to Watch CloselyIt’s Friday Again — BTC Levels to Watch Closely 📊
Last Friday was wild, but today’s setup is different. We’re approaching resistance (111,948) , and that means patience is key. CPI data is coming, and that will guide the short-term move — not predictions, just reactions.
Here are the levels I’m watching:
🔹 Resistance: 111,948
🔹 Possible breakout: 115,600
🔹 Support zone: 110,649 → 108,000 → 107,204
No need to overthink it — trade the levels, not emotions. Fridays are for discipline, not drama.
Trading Wisdom 📜
The best traders don’t chase breakouts — they prepare for both outcomes. Balance your bias with patience.
Disclaimer:
Disclaimer: I’m not a financial advisor — I’m a master of Prognosis. These are my personal views. I read charts like a poet reads the stars. You still gotta trade at your own risk. 🧠💥
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
zoom out $BTCBitcoin maintains its upward trend on the 1M chart.
Each new low is forming higher than the previous one, demonstrating a strong structure.
12MA and demand zone are major support areas for the price.
Accumulation above this area is a critical process for gathering strength for the trend to continue.
Bitcoin 4H: Ready for a Bullish Breakout to New Highs! 🚀 Bitcoin 4H: Ready for a Bullish Breakout to New Highs! 🚀
Traders, buckle up! 🔥 Bitcoin ($BTC/USD) is showing serious strength on the 4-hour chart, with buyers fiercely defending the $103,530 - $108,872 support zone. The king of crypto looks poised to kick off a fresh bullish surge toward new all-time highs! 📈
📊 Setup Highlights:
Support Zone: $103,530 - $108,872 – a rock-solid base where buyers have stepped in with conviction.
Key Trigger: Watch for a clean break above the descending trendline. This could ignite a powerful rally!
Targets: The chart lays it all out – we’re eyeing those juicy new highs. Check the marked targets for potential profit zones.
The momentum is building, and the bulls are charging! 🐂 Don’t miss this potential rocket launch to uncharted price territory.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This isn’t financial advice – always DYOR and trade with caution. Crypto is volatile, so keep your risk in check!
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Can BTC Break $111,458 resistance ? - BTC 1H Analysis | Day 9👋🏻 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel.
✨ Today we’re diving into the 1-Hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, we see that Bitcoin is currently below its resistance zone at $111,458. If this level is broken, Bitcoin can move upward toward its next resistance levels.
🧮 The RSI oscillator is currently below the static resistance near level 70, which overlaps with the $111,458 resistance. If the RSI breaks above this zone, Bitcoin can enter overbought territory, making it easier to move toward the next resistance.
🕯 Looking at Bitcoin’s volume, we can see that volume has decreased, and this decline is clearly visible. With the first increase in buying or selling volume, Bitcoin can begin its next move with stronger momentum and potentially cause a price spike.
💵 Today we will also take a look at USDT dominance. The 4.91% support level on USDT dominance overlaps with Bitcoin’s current resistance. If this level is broken, Bitcoin can start its move upward with strong confirmation.
✍️ A complete and clear scenario is now formed for a Bitcoin position, which you can use for your trades in the continuation of this analysis.
🟢 Scenario for Bitcoin resistance breakout 👇🏻
If Bitcoin breaks the $111,458 price level along with RSI crossing above 70 and an increase in buying volume, it can move toward higher price levels.
For this scenario, we also need confirmation from USDT dominance, meaning a break below the 4.91% support zone.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
bitcoin Analysis (Update)As I mentioned earlier, the price has reached the bottom of the channel and completed the final bearish wave. I'm hopeful that Bitcoin will respect the technical setup and begin a bullish wave from here.
!!! However, Bitcoin might surprise everyone and break the channel structure.so we need to wait for confirmation, which I believe will become clear by next week .
Follow us for upcoming updates and market insights.
PREVIOUS ANALYSIS
bitcoin Analysis (Update)I believe the price could drop below $103000 and reach the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), from which it may start to rise. Additionally, it seems the price is forming a triangle pattern. If this pattern completes, a breakout above the triangle resistance—or the channel—could lead to a strong upward move.
GOLD vs. TOTAL MARKET CAP. Gold touched the top band of the HTF rising wedge structure and the 0.618 Fib channel... then rejected.
This view appears to be a multi-year high.
So where is Total Market Cap at this point?
At the base of the same structure...
Is one's journey ending and the other's run beginning?
The crypto market is just beginning to gather its strongest momentum.
Target: The upper band of the rising wedge.
This view is HTF analysis.
Please do not confuse it with hourly and daily timeframes.
Bitcoin - Will the bears push the price towards $104.000?Introduction
Bitcoin is currently in a phase of consolidation following the recent sharp decline. For several days, the price has been forming a symmetrical triangle, indicating increasing tension between buyers and sellers. This phase is often seen as a period of preparation for a larger move. However, clear bullish momentum is still lacking, which increases the risk of a downward breakout.
Triangle pattern
The price is moving within a triangle pattern, where the highs are decreasing and the lows are slightly rising. This suggests a compression of liquidity and declining volatility. The upper boundary of the pattern acts as dynamic resistance, while the lower boundary serves as support. Once the price breaks out of this structure, the direction of the next major move will likely be determined. For now, the price seems trapped between these two key levels.
Liquidity at the top with the bearish 4h FVG tested
Yesterday, the upper side of the structure was tested, just above the 4-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG). In that area, liquidity from previous highs was also located. The price reacted with a strong rejection and quickly fell back. This reaction confirmed that sellers still have control and that demand has weakened. The signal indicates that the market is struggling to break above $114,000.
4h bearish FVG
The 4-hour bearish FVG is located between approximately $108,600 and $111,300. This zone now serves as a key resistance area. Each time the price touches this region, selling pressure increases, limiting further upside movement. As long as this zone is not convincingly broken with volume, the short-term trend remains bearish. A breakout above this level could open the door to higher targets.
Liquidity area at the bottom
At the lower end of the triangle, there is a clear liquidity area around $103,500. This is where stop-losses from long positions and potential buy orders from large players are located, waiting for a liquidity grab. If the price moves into this area, a short wick downward could occur before a potential bounce takes place. Therefore, this level is important to monitor in case of a downward breakout.
Conclusion
BTC still shows no signs of strength. The rejection from the 4-hour bearish FVG above the liquidity zone points to a lack of buying interest. As long as the price remains within the triangle and trades below $113,000, the likelihood of a downward move remains higher. Only a convincing breakout above the upper boundary could temporarily improve market sentiment. Until then, the bears remain in control, with focus on the support around the lower liquidity zone.
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BSV/USDT Volume Box Expansion Could Drive Bitcoin SV Toward $127BSV/USDT — Volume Box Expansion Could Drive Bitcoin SV Toward $127 🚀
Bitcoin SV (BSV) continues to consolidate near $21, forming a base at the lower edge of the volume box zone, which historically has triggered strong impulsive moves once momentum returns.
If BSV confirms strength above $40.9, it would mark a significant shift in structure, opening room for a larger breakout phase with potential targets toward $89.9 and ultimately $127.
📊 Technical Overview:
Support Zone: $21.0
Volume Breakout Level: $40.9
Primary Target: $89.9
Extended Target: $127
Bias: Accumulation → Bullish continuation
This structure suggests that once BSV reclaims $40+ with confirmed volume, it could enter the next high-volume expansion, aligning with the broader recovery cycles observed in major BTC-related assets.
📈 Outlook: Accumulating before potential expansion
🎯 Targets: $40.9 → $89.9 → $127
BTC/USDT — Positive Momentum Building, Eyeing Breakout To $114KBTC/USDT — Positive Momentum Building, Eyeing Breakout Toward $114K 🚀
Bitcoin continues to trade with strength after forming a new low-timeframe increase above the $108K level. This structural recovery confirms short-term bullish momentum, suggesting that BTC may now be ready to retest the upper range near $114K.
The consolidation inside this $108K–$114K range has created a stable base of support, while rising volume and sustained higher lows signal a potential expansion phase.
📊 Technical Overview:
Support: $108K
Range Resistance: $114K
Upside Target: $114K+
Bias: Positive / Bullish on short-term timeframe
If BTC maintains this momentum and confirms above $110K, the probability of a move toward $114K becomes increasingly strong — marking a continuation of the low-timeframe uptrend.
📈 Outlook: Positive momentum confirmed
🎯 Targets: $110K → $114K
See if it can rise above 110644.40-111696.21
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(BTCUSDT 1W Chart)
Support levels for maintaining an uptrend are:
1st: 104463.99-108353.0
2nd: 87814.27-93570.28
Support must be found within the first and second levels above.
To rise above the right Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133889.92), which is my target level, the price must rise above the uptrend line (1) and maintain its position.
In other words, the price must rise above the HA-High indicator level of 116259.91 on the 1W chart and maintain its position.
-
(1D Chart)
The key is whether the price can find support near 10443.99-108353.0 and rise above the 110644.40-111696.21 range.
If the price fails to rise, it is highly likely to fall further, so we need to consider countermeasures.
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1D charts is passing near the 110644.40-111696.21 range, I believe the trend will likely be determined by the presence of support.
The HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1W chart is formed within the 116,259.91-119,086.64 range, while the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range on the 1D chart is formed within the 120,760.81-124,658.54 range.
Therefore, the 116,259.91-124,658.54 range is likely to act as resistance.
Therefore, I believe a surge in capital is needed to break above this range.
-
Therefore, I believe BTC dominance should rise while USDT dominance should decline.
If BTC dominance rises, most altcoins are likely to move sideways or decline, so altcoin trading requires a strategy to counter this.
BTC dominance is likely to rise to around 61.73,
USDT dominance is expected to fall below 4.55 and break above the resistance level.
-
If both BTC and USDT dominance decline simultaneously, an altcoin bull market could begin.
However, BTC dominance must decline below 55.01, and USDT dominance must also decline below 4.91.
The next period of volatility is expected to occur around October 25th (October 24th-26th).
-
Thank you for reading.
We wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
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$GOLD at Top, $BTC at Bottom.Gold has received rejection at the top band of the rising wedge formation and the 0.618 Fib channel, making the top signal clear.
Bitcoin, on the other hand, is at the opposite end of the same structure, at the bottom band...
At the next stage, Bitcoin should move towards the 0.618 fib channel and the upper band of the rising wedge
BITCOIN and the 'myth' behind following the Global SupplyA lot of talk is being thrown around lately regarding the M2 Global Supply (black trend-line) and how Bitcoin (BTCUSD) will follow it upwards as it explodes. Those claims have intensified especially in the past 2 weeks as an argument to support BTC's recovery following the decline from its $126k Top.
However, history shows that the two don't have to be correlated. In fact, during the past two Cycles, BTC topped at least 105 days (15 weeks) before the Global M2 did. Especially during the previous Cycle (2021), BTC has broken well below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and stayed under up until the M2 peaked also. Note that the 1W MA50 is what has (so far) supported BTC's current correction.
As a result, no hopes of recovery can be rest upon a currently rising Global Liquidity. And if BTC's Cycle Top was 2 weeks ago, the Global Liquidity might peak 15 weeks from that, around January 19 2026 (possibly around the time the stock market peaks too).
But what do you think? Do you think Bitcoin will catch up to the rising M2 Global Supply or will continue its decline into a new Bear Cycle as it has historically happened? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #204👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s go over today’s Bitcoin analysis, Bitcoin is still ranging, so let’s take a close look at the market together.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, Bitcoin had a short position trigger at the 107,486 zone, which was activated.
🔔 The break of this level created a short-term bearish move, and if you had opened a position on Bitcoin, you probably hit your stop-loss by now.
✨ However, considering the dominance charts, short positions on altcoins made more sense — and if you had opened them, they likely hit their targets.
✔️ Currently, after the fake-out of this zone and the breakout above 108,943, price has made a bullish move up to the next resistance area at 110,213.
💥 Now, price has returned again to the 108,943 level. Volume has decreased along this move, and overall, this drop in volume shows that the market isn’t in a great condition — so the best move for now is to stay without a position.
📊 For short-term trades, if price breaks 110,213, we can open a continuation long position.
💡 For short positions, the current trigger is still 107,486, but since this level has already been faked once, we should wait for another reaction to it — and only open a position if it breaks again on the next attempt.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin - BTCUSDT – Daily NeoWave AnalysisStructure: Contracting Triangle (ABCDE)
Current Price: $108,985 (+1.3%)
🧠 Wave Structure Overview
Bitcoin’s daily chart is forming a Contracting Triangle pattern under NeoWave principles (Glen Neely).
This triangle appears to be part of a wave (4) correction within a larger impulsive cycle, consisting of subwaves A–B–C–D–E with well-balanced price and time proportions.
🔹 Wave Details
Wave A: Decline from 126K → 104K
Type: Impulsive start, setting the corrective tone.
Wave B: Sharp recovery to 123K (≈78.6% retrace of A)
Type: Zigzag – strong bullish response typical for triangles.
Wave C: Pullback to 106K, forming a 3-wave Flat correction.
Wave D: Rally to 118–119K, reaching 70% of wave B — perfectly proportional for a contracting structure.
Wave E: Final leg down toward 106K–107K, with diminishing momentum and volume — a textbook NeoWave E-wave behavior signaling triangle completion.
🔍 Technical Observations
Strong bullish divergence between price and RSI/OBV at the E-wave low.
Decreasing volume during wave E → confirms a terminal corrective phase.
Price remains above the long-term rising trendline and key demand zone near 106K.
🟢 Primary Scenario (≈70% Probability)
Triangle completed at E-wave (106K) → beginning of wave (5) to the upside.
Targets:
1️⃣ 115K–118K – short-term breakout zone
2️⃣ 123K–126K – retest of triangle resistance
3️⃣ 138K–145K – extended target if wave (5) unfolds impulsively
🔴 Alternative Scenario (≈30% Probability)
If BTC breaks below 106K, wave E may extend deeper toward 102K–100K, forming a Running Triangle E before a strong bullish reversal.
⚙️ Summary
✅ Current pattern: Contracting Triangle (ABCDE)
✅ Position: End of wave E of (4)
📈 Expectation: Start of wave (5) impulsive advance
⚠️ Invalidation: Daily close below 102K
Conclusion:
BTC is likely completing a major corrective phase. Holding above 106K keeps the bullish breakout scenario valid — watch for a decisive move above 111K–112K to confirm the next impulsive leg.
BITCOIN Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 109,679.83.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 95,283.78.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Bitcoin: Strong Downtrend – Don’t Miss the Sell Chance!Hello traders,
Although Bitcoin showed a slight recovery on Wednesday, the crypto market is still struggling after the sharp decline in early October. Selling pressure remains strong, as the market hovers near recent lows with no clear signs of recovery.
With uncertainty surrounding the U.S. economy and ongoing trade tensions with China, investors are avoiding risk – further weighing on risky assets like Bitcoin. In addition, the drop in gold prices hasn’t provided enough buying momentum for the crypto market to rebound.
The BTC/USDT chart clearly shows a strong downtrend with a steep descending trendline, and resistance around $112,000 has already been pushed back. The price is expected to continue falling, with the next support area around $102,000.
A great opportunity to sell Bitcoin and take advantage of this downtrend!
BTCUSD Short: Rally will Continue in ChannelHello, traders! The prior market structure for BTCUSD saw a major reversal after a strong rally failed to sustain its momentum, peaking near 126000. This established a new bearish phase, with the price action since being clearly contained within a well-defined descending channel, confirming that sellers currently have the initiative.
Currently, the price is in a corrective phase within this channel. After bouncing from the lows, the auction has rallied back up and is now directly testing the descending supply line. This is a critical inflection point where the dominant downtrend could resume with force.
My scenario for the development of events is that this corrective rally will fail upon testing the channel's resistance. I expect a rejection from this supply line to confirm that sellers are still in control. In my opinion, this will trigger the next impulsive move down, which should be strong enough to break the key 108700 demand level. The take-profit is therefore set at 104250, targeting a new lower low. Manage your risk!






















