BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 52☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin has broken through all major resistance levels, setting a new ATH, and then experienced a 2% price drop due to profit-taking and FOMO-driven selling. It then moved toward its key support zone around $122,584, bounced from there, and is now moving toward its early trigger zone at $124,113.
🧮 The RSI oscillator shows two important levels — 63 and 45 — and once the volatility threshold crosses especially above 63, Bitcoin could see a sharp increase in volatility, activating its triggers and enabling breakout moves.
🕯 Bitcoin’s volume has decreased after each touch of resistance, but now with a noticeable volume increase, our early trigger could become active, allowing Bitcoin to form larger, high-volume candles either upward or downward. Since the high-wave cycle remains bullish, the current scenario still favors upside continuation and resistance breakouts.
🧠 For Bitcoin positions, it’s better to wait for all confirmations to align — including activation of the early trigger, an RSI breakout above 63, and rising buy volume — before opening a long position.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Bitcoin (Cryptocurrency)
BTC LAST 3-DRIVE EFFORT TO 127-128K TARGETMorning folks,
So, we're done with 2-3 weeks journey of reverse H&S patterns as BTC has hit our 126K target. Unfortunately we haven't got another chance to enter on last Thu, as we hoped, but now it is done already...
Since we have all-time BTC AB=CD target around 127.10K, we suggest that price could try to make a last upside effort via 3-Drive pattern to complete it.
Thus, if you have longs, you could try to hold them until target will be met. In fact, if you want to could initialize a new intraday setup, with tight stop, somewhere below 122K area.
We consider no shorts by far. Situation slowly is preparing for the pullback, but not yet. Major target have to be done first.
Bitcoin Technical Update – Strong Breakout!Bitcoin has successfully broken out of the descending trendline that had been holding the price down for several weeks. This breakout confirms a shift in market structure from bearish to bullish.
After finding strong support around the $110,000-$112,000 area, BTC bounced sharply and reclaimed both the 21-day and 100-day moving averages – a powerful bullish signal. As long as the price remains above $115,000 to $116,000, we can expect continued upward momentum.
The current move shows healthy strength with volume support, indicating strong buyer interest. If momentum persists, the next potential target is around the $125,000-$128,000 area, where some profit-taking could occur.
Support: $115,000 – $116,000 (previous resistance turned support)
Resistance: $125,000 – $128,000 (short-term target area)
Currently, the upside remains in bullish favor. If the market structure remains stable, any decline towards $116,000-$118,000 could provide a potential buying opportunity.
Remember: Avoid blindly chasing breakouts. Allow the price to retest or consolidate before entering — patience pays off in trend trades.
BTC just achieved a new all time high on its way to 153kFeels like it may be validating the breakout above the blue line as it also seems to be climbing up the dotted measured move line here on the last few candles. So probability is quite good that we validate the breakout on this impulse. If so the full measured move target is around 152.9k or more or less 153k. *not financial advice*
Bitcoin Makes New All Time Highs!Bitcoin dominance is being observed as its lifting the crypto market.
We just briefly saw BTC make new intra day all time highs, but its has yet to close on the daily chart above the previous all time high.
Short traders will be using the recent daily topping tail as a level to short against.
Long traders will be using the 7MA to buy the dip.
If we close above the daily topping tail it does suggest we are heading to 129k - 130k.
This would be one nasty double top of it turns out to be a liquidity sweep.
Crypto stocks tomorrow will likely gap up...watch for clues intra day. Will they hold their gains or see selling / reversals?
Bitcoin: 125K ATH Then Comes A Pin Bar?Bitcoin straight to new highs above 125K and now showing a bearish pin bar. This is qualifies as a failed high or fake out so far, especially if this candle closes like this. This recent price action signifies that the current consolidation is a wave 4 and this bullish move is likely the beginning of wave 5 which can see a test of the 130Ks UPON a successful breakout. IF the pin bar confirms, a retrace back into the 118K support (old resistance) is likely to play out this week.
The illustration on the chart represents the pullback scenario I am anticipating. The arrow points to the pin bar and new all time high. This outlook is best utilized for day and swing traders and requires confirmations on intraday time frames like 15M, 4H, etc. As far as the risk on the bigger picture goes, this is a range high and the failed breakout means any new longs taken here for the purpose of investing contain the highest amount of risk.
How you play this game is highly dependent on your personal relationship with RISK. If you can handle throwing 10K into Bitcoin now and watch it get reduce to 8K or 5K over the next few months (assuming no leverage), then you have tolerance for risk. Maybe Bitcoin rallies to the 130K area or potentially higher BUT keep in mind, in my opinion, the risk taken a new highs like these is not worth the potential reward. For example, sitting in a 20K retrace is not worth hoping for a 10 or 15K point profit. I personally prefer to get better prices that offer greater probability and potential. The question is are you willing to WAIT? Many are not.
I am not bearish on Bitcoin, I just don't like buying potential tops. Also there is some potential for surprises in the next week or two with the delayed NFP report and the next CPI. While these may have a position effect on the general market, there is potential for a negative surprise. May be enough of a catalyst for Bitcoin as well. Just something to think about.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTC/USDT | BTC Uptober Begins – Massive Rally Loading!By analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that the price moved exactly as expected — it hit the $118,000 target and even rallied up to $123,900 . After reaching this key supply zone, which we had marked earlier, BTC faced selling pressure and is now trading around $121,800.
If Bitcoin can hold and stabilize above $120K , we could see a new ATH soon ! “Uptober” has just begun, and it looks like we’re in for a strong bullish month. The next upside targets are $125K, $132K, and $138K.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BTC WILL NOT BE THERE🪙 CRYPTOCAP:BTC October 10th 😅 Straddle breakevens:
118000 & 127000
🪙 CRYPTOCAP:BTC October 17th 😅 Straddle breakevens:
116000 & 130000
σ Sigma probabilities:
October 10th
| σ | Multiplier × 😅 | Probability
| 1σ | 117000 & 128000 | ≈68%
| 2σ | 112000 & 133000 | ≈95%
October 17th
| σ | Multiplier × 😅 | Probability
| 1σ | 114000 & 131000 | ≈68%
| 2σ | 106000 & 139000 | ≈95%
BTC1WEEK
PRICE: Pullbcak at current resistance, new all-time high at weekly candle close developing. Giving confirmation to the above, we can argue for the continuation of the bullish trend under the parameters of the monthly analysis.
RSI: In an overbought zone and looking for an all-time high, waiting for exhaustion indicators. (Divergence at the top, trend change).
MACD: reaching the maximum and showing exhaustion.
#BITCOIN SUNDAY ANALYSIS $BTC the daily and monthly charts are#BITCOIN SUNDAY ANALYSIS
CRYPTOCAP:BTC the daily and monthly charts are now confirming that view. Bitcoin is trading around 123K, right at the upper resistance zone that has triggered every major correction since 2018.
🔸 Weekly Chart View:
BTC has once again touched the long-term trendline that has acted as a selling for every bull cycle top (2018, 2021, and now 2025). Each red arrow marks a rejection, and this latest test looks no different. Until we see a clean weekly close above this trendline, the risk of another major pullback remains high.
🔸 Daily Chart View:
On the lower timeframe, price is trading inside the green supply box between 110K and 125K, the same area that rejected BTC multiple times this year. Structure remains weak, holding below 125K still high chances of big correction.
And it’s not just the trendline or resistance we’re also seeing typical top signals: overly bullish headlines, extreme optimism, and calls for “1M BTC soon.” These usually show up near market tops, not bottoms.
📉 My Trade:
I’m still holding my shorts. All limit orders are filled and my average entry is around 122K. I’ll share updates if I make any changes or close the position.
📌 Downside Targets:
105K → 100K → 95K → 90K
FLOKI ANALYSIS📊 #FLOKI Analysis
✅There is a formation of Falling Wedge Pattern on daily chart with a breakout and currently pullback from its major resistance zone 🧐
Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming in few days
👀Current Price: $0.00010
🚀 Target Price: $0.00015
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #FLOKI price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#FLOKI #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
DOGE Swing Long Idea - TRKZ ModelDOGE Swing Long Idea w TRKZ Model
📊 Market Sentiment
FED has resumed its rate-cutting cycle, starting with a 0.25% cut in September, with two more 0.25% cuts expected in the coming months. Additionally, institutional liquidity inflows have accelerated as the U.S. officially adopts crypto as part of its reserves. While inflation remains elevated, the weakening labor market is forcing the FED to ease, driving more capital into risk-on assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price broke the bearish trendline that had been responsible for the bearish trend since December 2024 and closed above, indicating that price will seek higher levels.
Price also broke the HTF Key Level aggressively and closed above. I expect this level to hold and push us higher.
📘 Model to be used – Broken Trendline Retest supported by HTF Key Zone Retest (TRKZ)
In this model, we need to see a HTF trendline broken aggressively with a close above on HTF. Then, we check for a broken HTF Key Zone (Supply–Demand–Support–Resistance) aligned with the trendline break. Finally, we look to enter after the retest of both the broken trendline and the broken Key Zone.
📌 Game Plan
Carry the position toward the December 2024 high at 0.48$ as a mid–long term swing position. Trail the stoploss after taking first TP, move entry to breakeven, and manage forward.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Setup is valid after retesting the broken trendline and HTF Key Level.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 0.18254$
Targets: TP1: 0.308$ | TP2: 0.4344$ | TP3: 0.4842$
Once TP1 is hit, stoploss will be moved to breakeven to secure profits.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
LINK Swing Long Idea - KZMT ModelLINK Swing Long Idea
📊 Market Sentiment
FED has resumed its rate-cutting cycle, starting with a 0.25% cut in September, with two more expected. Institutional liquidity inflows have accelerated as the U.S. officially adopts crypto as part of its reserves. Despite elevated inflation, a weakening labor market is forcing the FED to ease, pushing more capital into risk-on assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price is in a higher time frame (HTF) bullish trend, so I will only be looking for longs.
Price broke the HTF Key Zone and closed above, then retested and rejected from it — confirming the zone as demand.
Price also deviated and tapped back into the HTF bullish trendline, confirming trapped short-sellers and reinforcing bullish momentum.
📘 Model to be used – HTF Key Zone w/ HTF Manipulated Trendline (KZMT)
This model first identifies the HTF trend and only trades in that direction. Next, I locate key zones that support price. Finally, I look for a manipulated HTF trendline that aligns with those zones. When both confluences overlap, conviction for a strong bullish reaction increases.
📌 Game Plan
1)Price to revisit HTF Key Zone.
2)Retest of the HTF bullish trendline.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Limit entry at 22$
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: Daily close below HTF Key Zone or hard stop at $19.5
Targets: TP1 = $25 | TP2 = $28
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
BTC/USD Analysis: Bullish Continuation in FocusBitcoin continues to demonstrate strength following its recent recovery. After periods of consolidation and controlled retracement, the market shows clear signs of accumulation, with buyers maintaining momentum. Each upward leg has been supported by liquidity absorption, reflecting steady confidence in higher valuations.
The current structure suggests that even if retracements occur, they are likely to serve as a foundation for further expansion. Market behavior highlights resilience, with the broader trend still pointing toward bullish continuation. Bitcoin remains positioned for progressive growth, with sentiment and structure both aligning in favor of buyers.
Bitcoin (BTC) Hits New Highs, Analyzing Future ScenariosBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin (BTC) hit a new all-time high today, once again encountering resistance at a long-term slant, extending from the 2017 and April 2021 highs. Since then, a correction of approximately 2% has occurred, forming a long upper shadow on the daily chart. Notably, this trend is displaying a fractal pattern similar to the July 14th peak. If today's daily chart closes with a long upper shadow, it could lead to a short-term sideways or correction phase. Conversely, if it closes with a negative candlestick, this section could be interpreted as a trend reversal signal following the formation of a high.
8-year long-term oblique angle
Your follow and boost would mean a lot. 🚀
I am Korean and I used Google Translate.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #187👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s go over Bitcoin’s analysis — today, Bitcoin has recorded a new ATH. Let’s review the market conditions together.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, Bitcoin is moving inside an ascending channel with a steady upward slope.
⭐ After a corrective move from the top of the box, the price made a fake breakdown of the channel’s bottom and then, with the bullish momentum that followed, moved upward and managed to set a new ATH.
✔️ During the correction, the volume was decreasing, but after the price was supported at the key support zone and the fake breakdown occurred, buying volume entered the market.
✨ The main confirmation of the bullish continuation could be taken after breaking above 117056. Currently, the next confirmation trigger is a price stabilization above 123433.
💥 In my opinion, since RSI is getting rejected from the 70 level and the price has reached a strong resistance zone, there’s a high chance that the market will range below this resistance for a few days to test it.
🧩 At the moment, the main RSI resistance level seems to be 75.38 — if this level breaks, the main market momentum could start, leading to a sharp move upward.
📊 It’s completely normal for the trend to show weakness after reaching an ATH, because this level is Bitcoin’s largest supply zone. These wicks hitting the resistance zone don’t necessarily mean trend weakness — it’s typical for the price to form such candles when testing its all-time high.
🔑 What really matters is how the price reacts in the next few attempts at this zone, which will tell us whether we have an actual trend weakness or not.
💫 Right now, the most important support Bitcoin has built is around 107000. If a bearish move begins, the first confirmation of a downtrend will be breaking this area. However, the main confirmation of a full bearish reversal would be the break of 100961.
🎲 Overall, since the price is currently at the top of the market, finding precise triggers on Bitcoin is difficult. But considering Bitcoin dominance has the potential to drop, altcoins could provide excellent trading setups in the coming days if that dominance decline begins.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
TOTAL vs BTC – Third Test at Fib ResistanceBoth TOTAL and BTC are testing the same thing today:
the Fib resistance, now on the third attempt.
Price action is coiling right under this key level, and today’s close might finally tell us which way we’re heading.
Until then, about 12 hours of speculation left: unless price decides to run both directions first (because why not, it’s crypto).
Key notes:
Fib resistance zone tested 3 times
BTC and TOTAL showing identical structures
Daily close = potential trigger
Breakout could open the path for continuation
Failure means short-term pullback or range
Bias:
Cautiously bullish, market structure still favors upside, but confirmation needs a daily close above Fib resistance.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
BTCUSDT Bullish Momentum: Will It Break Through Resistance?👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on the current trend of BINANCE:BTCUSDT ?
Bitcoin has recently experienced a strong surge, breaking through key resistance levels and pushing toward new highs. The main drivers of this bullish move are the expectations of a Fed rate cut and the increasing involvement of institutional players in the cryptocurrency market. As of writing, BTCUSDT is trading around $122,000, which is a strong resistance zone.
At this level, the price may experience a slight pullback to the Fibonacci support levels at 0.618 – 0.5, which could present a good opportunity for the next buying entry. If these levels hold, we could witness a strong breakout above the resistance zone.
With the market structure remaining highly positive, Bitcoin’s uptrend could continue and push to even higher levels. Do you agree with this view?