Bitcoin Christmas Rally? $90K/More in SightBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), as I previously expected , has risen to its initial target and has broken above the important level of $88,200, which is a positive sign for continued bullish momentum.
At the moment, Bitcoin is striving to break through the resistance zone($89,230-$87,720).
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that Bitcoin is completing microwave B of the main wave Y.
I expect that after breaking the resistance zone($89,230-$87,720), Bitcoin could rise at least up to the significant level of $90,300, approaching the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage and the 50_SMA(Daily). If BTC breaks above the 50_SMA(Daily), we can anticipate even further gains for Bitcoin.
The question is: do you think Bitcoin will hold above $90,000, or will it begin to decline again?
And finally, a little note about Christmas: I hope you enjoy a wonderful holiday season with your loved ones, and let’s see how Bitcoin performs as we head into the new year!
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $86,690-$85,990
First Target: $90,161
Second Target: $90,721
Third Target: 50_SMA(Daily)
Stop Loss(SL): $86,850
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Bitcoinidea
Bitcoin Very Strong Key Levels to Mark on Your Chart ( BTC/USD )These are very strong Bitcoin levels identified through market structure and price action. I recommend marking them on your chart, as they can be very useful for future trading decisions.
Both proper buying and selling areas are clearly mentioned to help with planning trades around key zones.
If anything is not clear or you need clarification, feel free to ask in the comments.
⚠️ Shared for educational purposes only. Always use proper risk management.
🔖 Hashtags:
#Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #KeyLevels #PriceAction #SupportResistance #TradingEducation #MarketStructure
Bitcoin Reacting From Demand Key Reversal Zones in Focus📊 BTCUSDT (Bitcoin) – 4H Price Action, Range Expansion & Reversal Zones
This 4-hour BTCUSDT chart highlights a well-defined market range, followed by expansion, rejection, and reaction zones that are critical for both swing and intraday traders.
🔍 Market Structure Overview & Technical Analysis
Bitcoin has been trading inside a broad consolidation range, with price repeatedly reacting to clearly respected support and resistance boundaries. This behavior reflects balanced market conditions, where liquidity is built on both sides before any directional move.
Price initially pushed higher but failed to sustain above the upper boundary, leading to a strong bearish displacement toward the lower range. This move suggests distribution at higher levels and aggressive sell-side participation.
📐 Bullish Trendline & Failed Continuation
The diagonal trendline marks a temporary bullish recovery phase, where price printed higher lows and attempted continuation. However, the bullish structure failed near resistance, signaling:
Weak buyer follow-through
Sellers defending premium prices
Potential bull trap behavior
This failure increased the probability of a move toward discounted price zones.
📦 Lower Reversal Zone + Volume Burst
The lower highlighted zone is a high-interest area where:
Previous demand exists
Strong volume burst was observed
Sellers showed exhaustion
Price reacted positively from this area, confirming it as a valid demand / accumulation zone. This reaction indicates that smart money may be defending discounted levels, at least temporarily.
🔄 Measured Expansion & Upside Target
The marked vertical measurement (~130 units) reflects a range-based expansion projection, commonly used to estimate potential upside after a successful reaction from demand.
Price is currently rebounding and may attempt a move toward the upper reversal zone, which aligns with:
Prior resistance
Range high
Premium pricing area
🚧 Upper Reversal Zone (Supply Area)
The upper green zone is a critical decision area:
Ideal for profit-taking on longs
Potential zone for short setups
Area where sellers previously dominated
⚠️ Important:
No trades should be taken blindly here. A valid setup requires clear confirmation, such as:
Bearish engulfing on 4H / 1H
Long upper wick rejections
Market structure shift (MSS) on lower timeframes
🧠 Trading Psychology (Minds)
Retail traders often chase breakouts
Smart money waits for reaction and confirmation
The best trades occur at extremes of the range, not the middle
Patience is essential. Let price enter the zone first, then react — not predict.
📌 Trading Plan Summary
Bias: Range-based, reaction-focused
Buy idea: Confirmed bullish reaction from lower reversal zone
Sell idea: Only after bearish confirmation at upper reversal zone
Avoid: Entries in the middle of the range
⚠️ Final Reminder
This analysis is probability-based, not predictive.
Always wait for confirmation and manage risk accordingly.
📈📉 Trade the levels. Respect the structure. Protect your capital.
BTC/USDT Analysis. No Santa Rally This Time?
Hello everyone! This is the CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with a daily market update.
Yesterday, Bitcoin once again set a local low and then returned to its previous range. However, no significant cluster anomalies or signs of strong defense were detected. Price action remains largely inertial, with no clear dominance from either buyers or sellers.
In the short term, we allow for an upward range expansion and a potential test of the $88,400 technical level. That said, opening long positions from current levels looks questionable due to the lack of a confirmed bullish impulse.
Our core scenario remains unchanged: we will consider long positions either after a test of more significant support levels below, or upon the formation of a clear and validated setup.
Buy zones
$86,000–$84,800 — anomalous activity
$84,000–$82,000 — volume anomalies
Sell zones
$90,000 — local resistance
~$92,400 — local sell zone
$94,000–$97,500 — volume zone
$101,000–$104,000 — accumulated volume
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin 4 hour UPDATE - PA dropping but still BULLISH but.......
Why is this still Bullish ?
PA broke through a hard line of resistance that had rejected PA since October.
PA is now using that same line as support.
We may be sliding down it slowly but are are ABOVE IT, ready to move when the Bulls feel ready.
And that moment can be any time.
4 Hour MACD
Falling Bearish for now but the Daily is still below Neutral and level having Risen, so the ptential for change and a push higher is possible. We just need the Bulls to want to.....
Maybe worth noting how the Histogram is almost level. The Depth of change is not not getting deeper.
4 Hour Volume Delat -> The Volume Delta indicator uses intrabar volume and price fluctuations to estimate the difference (delta) between buying and selling pressure within each chart bar, providing insight into an instrument's sentiment and market dynamics.
This shows us we have had some Strong selling and yet, at the same time, we have seen it all bought up. Demand still exists
However, for a dose of reality, The Daily Volume Delta does show us a true extent of the selling recently
What is impressive is how PA has NOT dropped further than it has. For me, this shows an underlaying strength.....
But I feel a little warning is required here to, for the next 14 days,
This Daily BITCOIN Chart shows how we are heading to a 236 Fib Circle, ( red diagonal descending arc )
We may get rejected off this.
What is difficult with knowing what will happen here is simply that we can see how PA has dropped after the last fib circle.( white descending Arc )....We may already have done the drop for this 236 and so, a push through could also be on the cards.
We can also see how the VRVP on the right, has reduced levels of resistance above, till we get to 110K
On current trajectory, we hit that 236 Fib Circle on 28 Dec.
Have a peaceful Holiday to you all and may your wishes be granted
BTC/USDT Analysis. Searching for a Key Support for a Long Positi
Hello everyone! CryptoRobotics trader-analyst here with your daily market analysis.
Yesterday, Bitcoin reached the local resistance level at $90,000. The price faced strong selling pressure once again and failed to consolidate above this level, which resulted in a pullback. We continue to treat $90,000 as a key resistance, as the highest cluster volume is concentrated at this price.
At the moment, BTC has tested the $88,000 support level (selling absorption). Clear buyer defense is not yet visible, but we allow the formation of a potential reversal structure around these levels.
A possible long scenario would be a rebound toward $89,000, followed by a failed attempt from sellers to push the price back below $88,000. Only in this case will we consider long positions.
For now, the priority scenario remains a continuation of the decline toward the next support levels, as buyer activity still appears weak.
Buy Zones
$88,000 — selling absorption
$86,000–$84,800 — anomalous activity
$84,000–$82,000 — volume anomalies
Sell Zones
$90,000 — untested volume, local resistance
~$92,400 — local sell zone
$94,000–$97,500 — volume zone
$101,000–$104,000 — accumulated volume
This publication is not financial advice.
Bitcoin Tries to break Key Resistance—New Weekly Rally Starting?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), exactly as expected in my previous idea , started to decline from the resistance zone($89,230-$87,720) and successfully reached its downside target.
Currently, despite the low trading volume during the weekend, Bitcoin appears to have broken above the resistance lines and is now actively attempting to confirm a breakout above the key resistance zone($89,230-$87,720).
From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin seems to have completed the main wave B within the support zone($85,400-$83,900). The structure of this main wave B appears to be an Expanding Flat(ABC/3-3-5), which aligns well with the current price behavior.
Considering Bitcoin’s strong correlation with the S&P 500 index ( SP:SPX ), and given that my outlook on the S&P 500 index remains bullish , the probability of another upward move in Bitcoin increases as we approach the start of the new trading week.
Based on this confluence, I expect Bitcoin to successfully break above the resistance zone($89,230-$87,720) and potentially move higher toward the $90,217 level as a minimum upside target.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $86,800-$85,580
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $84,400-$82,900
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $91,870-$90,700
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,400-$97,000
First Target: $90,217
Second Target: $91,177
Third Target: 50_SMA(Daily)
Stop Loss(SL): $85,517Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
What is your view on Bitcoin at this stage?
Do you think Bitcoin can sustain a move above $90,000, or will it face rejection again?
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Bitcoin - The 30% correction is just starting!🥊Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is just heading lower:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just a couple of weeks ago, Bitcoin perfectly retested the major all time high resistance. Since then, Bitcoin already created an expected correction of about -40%. But looking at the higher timeframe, Bitcoin can still drop another 30% from here until it retests support.
📝Levels to watch:
$60,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Bitcoin - This cycle is totally clear!🚨Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) enters the next bearmarket:
🔎Analysis summary:
Bitcoin always creates textbook cycles. And after every retest of the major resistance curve, Bitcoin started a major bearmarket. Since we already witnessed bearish confirmation, Bitcoin is heading for a new correction. Just let it play out.
📝Levels to watch:
$60,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Bitcoin Hits Critical Support — Is Another Dump Coming?As I expected in the previous idea , Bitcoin has broken through its support lines and declined to the support zone($86,300-$85,140), reaching its full target in the process.
Currently, Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is moving near the support zone($86,300-$85,140), and we need to watch whether it will break through this support or begin to rebound.
Before diving into the analysis, it’s important to note that Bitcoin has a strong correlation with the S&P 500 index( SP:SPX ). Given that the S&P 500 is currently in a downward trend, it’s likely that Bitcoin will also experience further declines.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it seems that Bitcoin is currently starting a new five-wave downward sequence following the break of its support lines, which could lead to even lower levels.
Looking at recent developments, one reason for Bitcoin’s decline is the selling pressure from long-term holders, which has created a quiet but significant downward pressure and challenged the support levels. Additionally, the state of the U.S. markets, with the S&P 500 index also trending down, contributes to the downward pressure on Bitcoin.
In conclusion, I expect that Bitcoin, upon entering the resistance zone($89,230-$87,720) and touching the resistance lines, will again face downward movement and aim for the support zone($86,300-$85,140). If it breaks that support zone, we could see it moving towards Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($85,300-$83,000).
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $89,000-$88,500
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $91,830-$90,000
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,400-$97,000
Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the $83,000 mark with strong momentum, we might expect it to reach even lower levels, potentially down to $80,000.
Do you think Bitcoin can break the support zone($86,300-$85,140)?
First Target: $85,540
Second Target: $84,229
Stop Loss(SL): $90,429(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
Elise | BTC/USD 30M — Bearish Reaction From TrendlineBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Price has respected the descending bearish trendline multiple times, and recent BOS confirms continuation momentum to the downside. After consolidating inside the range zone (89.9K–90.9K), price made a corrective rally into resistance but failed to break trendline, suggesting weakness.
If corrective leg retests the trendline again and fails, we may see continuation toward lower supports.
Key Scenarios
📉 Bearish Continuation Setup
If price remains below the descending trendline and fails to break 91,843:
🎯 Target 1 → 88,000
🎯 Target 2 → 86,350
🎯 Target 3 → 84,600 (major liquidity sweep area)
📍 Invalidation
A clean breakout and hold above 91,843 may shift short-term bias and delay the downside wave.
⚠️ Analysis is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
Bitcoin (BTC) — Potential Downside Scenarios | Stay AlertHello everyone!
In my bearish Bitcoin forecast from October 23 (you can find it under this post), I mentioned that I was expecting BTC to reach 83K first and then 60K.
As we can see now, Bitcoin has already hit 83K and even moved below it.
What stands out is that the current market structure closely resembles the pattern formed at the beginning of 2022 (highlighted in green on the chart:
). After that configuration played out, Bitcoin lost more than 50% of its value…
This is why we need to stay extremely cautious right now. It feels like the market may be pricing in a major upcoming global event, and I wouldn’t rely too much on the idea of a classic New Year rally.
A rally is only possible if the downside move happens very fast and impulsively.
For now, my primary downside target is around 75K.
After Bitcoin reaches this level, I’ll be carefully watching the structure of the decline, and based on the shape and behavior of that move, I’ll decide on the next potential directions for BTC.
On the current chart, I’ve outlined two potential downside scenarios:
1️⃣🟠Orange scenario — Bitcoin starts moving down directly from the current price.
2️⃣ 🟣Purple arrow scenario — Bitcoin first pushes higher toward 90–92K, and only then continues lower to break local lows.
What do you think? Drop a comment — which arrow do you see playing out for the drop?
Or maybe you disagree with my bearish view entirely? I’d love to hear your opinions either way!
Bitcoin in a correction - stabilization after a bearish impulseBitcoin is not moving in a clen trend, but rather in a corrective structure. The candles are relatively small, with visible wicks on both sides, which reflects hesitation and an ongoing balance fight between buyers and sellers. The most recent candles after the sharp sell-off suggest stabilization rather than an immediate reversal. There is no strong, impulsive bullish candle closing near the highs, which would normally signal clear directional intent.
Decline produced several candles with long lower wicks. This usually points to localized buying interest and defensive behavior around key levels, but it is not yet a textbook reversal pattern such as a hammer or bullish engulfing. On the way down, bearish candles closed relatively low, confirming that selling pressure was genuine and not just a liquidity sweep. At this stage, the candles speak more about absorption than about a confirmed trend change.
Price has moved into classic reaction zones, including the 0.382–0.5 retracement of the prior upside leg. These areas often act as balance zones where price either consolidates or builds a base. However, there is no perfectly completed harmonic structure like a clean ABCD with strong counter-momentum, which again supports the idea of accumulation rather than an aggressive reversal.
The WWV adds an important layer. Volume expanded mainly during the sell-off, but there was no explosive spike that would suggest panic or capitulation. This looks more like controlled distribution or a methodical move lower to collect liquidity. Recently, volume has started to fade, which often precedes range-bound behavior or a short-term technical bounce.
Bitcoin has completed a strong bearish impulse and is now sitting in a potential stabilization zone. Candles suggest caution, volume suggests waiting, momentum shows exhaustion but not reversal, and the table confirms a neutral-to-defensive market state. The market is asking for patience. The next meaningful move will be defined by how price reacts to nearby levels and whether momentum and volume start to align in one clear direction.
Bitcoin Pullback to Resistance — Next Drop Loading?As I expected , Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has begun its decline from the resistance zone($94,850-$93,000) and has reached its target.
Currently, Bitcoin is moving near the resistance zone($90,900-$90,100), the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($91,840-$90,110), and other resistance lines.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, it appears that Bitcoin has completed its five-wave downward sequence and is now in the process of forming the corrective waves upward, likely within the resistance zone($90,900-$90,100).
Moreover, since the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) has successfully broken the upper line of its falling wedge pattern, we can anticipate further increases in USDT.D%, which could put additional downward pressure on Bitcoin.
Additionally, considering that the S&P 500 index( SP:SPX ) is likely to resume a bearish trend, and given Bitcoin’s correlation with the SPX, a further decline in Bitcoin is not unexpected.
In conclusion, based on the above analysis, I expect that Bitcoin will at least test the support lines and, if those are broken, it may continue to decline toward the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($87,000-$85,663). If the momentum of breaking these support lines is strong, we can expect even more significant downward movement.
Do you think Bitcoin can go below $87,000?
First Target: Support lines
Second Target: Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($87,000-$85,663)
Stop Loss(SL): $92,000(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
🔥 If you find it helpful, please BOOST this post and share it with your friends.
BTC at a Critical Weekly Level: Watching for a Bullish ReactionBTC Bitcoin has seen a fairly aggressive bearish pullback, but when we zoom out to the weekly time frame, price has now retraced directly into a weekly bullish order block 🧱📊. This area represents a key support zone that I’m watching closely.
📈 If this level holds and we start to see bullish price action, it could open up a strong opportunity as we drop down into the lower time frames. From there, I’ll be focusing on the 1-hour chart, watching market structure and price behavior to see if conditions line up for a potential entry.
⏳ As always, patience is key — I’ll only get involved if price does exactly what I’ve outlined in the video.
⚠️ Not financial advice — this is simply my market analysis.
Bitcoin - The classic bullrun top creation!🗿Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) created the bullrun top:
🔎Analysis summary:
A couple of weeks ago, Bitcoin retested a major decade long resistance curve. Since Bitcoin then already created bearish confirmation, we are currently seeing an expected crackdown. Considering all the underlying trends, this bearish cycle is still not over yet.
📝Levels to watch:
$70,000 and $50,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Elise | BTCUSD - Distribution to Bearish ContinuationBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
After the distribution phase, price delivered a strong bearish displacement, confirming sellers’ control. Although a temporary bullish reaction pushed price back toward the profit-taking zone, buyers failed to achieve acceptance above key resistance. The subsequent rejection and bearish Break of Structure (BOS) confirm that the recent upside move was corrective rather than trend-reversing.
Key Scenarios
❌ Bearish Case (Primary) → As long as price remains below 90,950–91,000, downside continuation is favored. A sustained move lower may target 89,200, followed by the 88,800–88,000 liquidity pool, where resting buy-side liquidity is located.
✅ Bullish Case (Invalidation) → A strong reclaim and hold above 91,200, followed by acceptance above 93,500, would invalidate the bearish bias and open the door for a deeper recovery toward the prior distribution high.
Current Levels to Watch
Resistance 🔴: 90,950–91,200, 93,526, 94,400–94,800
Support 🟢: 89,200, 88,800–88,000 (liquidity pool)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before trading.
BTCUSD – Range-Bound Distribution | Liquidity-Driven Enviro🔍 Market Structure:-
HTF Range High / Sell-Side Resting Above:
94,500 – 95,200
HTF Range Low / Buy-Side Resting Below:
84,500 – 85,000
Mid-Range (Equilibrium):
~89,500 – 90,000 (current price area)
Price is currently hovering around equilibrium, which is typically low-probability for directional bias.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer (TradingView-Friendly)
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Market behavior is probabilistic and subject to change at any time.
Always apply proper risk management and use your own confirmation before executing trades.
Is BCH/USDT Setting Up a Downside Swing? Structure Explained🔻 BCH/USDT – Crypto Market Opportunity Blueprint (Swing Trade)
“Bitcoin Cash vs Tether: Bearish Structure in Focus”
📉 Trade Outlook
The bearish plan has been confirmed following a decisive weighted moving average dynamic-support breakdown, signaling potential downside momentum.
📌 Entry
You may enter at any price level that aligns with your trading framework and confirmation signals.
🛑 Stop-Loss (SL)
This setup uses a reference SL @ 520.0.
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s), adjust your stop-loss according to your strategy, your confirmation, and your risk appetite.
Place the SL only after the breakout confirmation.
Note: This SL is not a recommendation. Manage your trade independently and execute based on your own risk tolerance.
🎯 Target (TP)
The moving average currently acts as a strong resistance zone, combined with overbought conditions + a potential trap setup.
Our reference target stands at 460.0 — lock in profits if the structure moves in your favor.
Note: This TP is also not mandatory. Choose your own exit based on your analysis and risk preferences.
📚 Market Structure Breakdown
Dynamic support has clearly failed → signals bearish momentum
Price retesting lower MA zones indicates weak bullish pressure
Volume profile confirming seller strength
Structure favors downside continuation if resistance holds
🔍 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation Insights)
1. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD (Bitcoin)
BCH often mirrors BTC’s broader trend.
If BTC breaks key support levels, it can amplify downside on BCH.
Watch for MA rejections or liquidity grab zones.
2. BITSTAMP:ETHUSD (Ethereum)
ETH weakness frequently leads to crypto-wide risk-off sentiment.
ETH/BTC ratio drop usually pressures altcoins, including BCH.
3. COINBASE:LTCUSD (Litecoin)
A close competitor to BCH with similar structure behavior.
If LTC forms bearish MA crossovers or loses trendline support, BCH weakness can follow.
4. BINANCE:BNBUSDT (Binance Coin)
BNB drives exchange-based flows.
Increased selling in BNB can trigger broader altcoin corrections, hinting at BCH continuation.
5. BINANCE:BCHBTC (Bitcoin Cash vs Bitcoin)
Direct correlation indicator.
A falling BCHBTC pair signals relative weakness, strengthening the bearish case.
📌 Final Notes
This blueprint provides a structured guide for your analysis — but execution, SL, TP, and risk remain your personal decision.
Trade safe, stay disciplined, and follow your confirmation signals.
BTC/USDT Setup Confirmed – Capital Flow Points to Upside!🚀 BITCOIN (BTC/USDT) Capital Flow Blueprint: Smart Pullback + Liquidity Grab Strategy
📊 Setup Overview
Asset: BTC/USDT | Strategy: Swing Trade | Bias: Bullish with Pullback Confirmation
🎯 Trading Plan Thesis
Bullish structure confirmed with Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) Pullback + Liquidity Zone Grab. Bitcoin continues to accumulate at demand zones while respecting higher timeframe resistance. This layered entry strategy captures value during temporary pullbacks before the next impulse.
Current Market Context: BTC trading near $109,768 (as of November 1, 2025)
📍 Entry Strategy: Multi-Tier Limit Orders (Layering Method)
Think of this as smart accumulation zones rather than one aggressive entry:
Layer 1: $106,000-107,000 (Deep pullback target)
Layer 2: $107,500-108,000 (Mid-level support)
Layer 3: $108,500-109,000 (Current support zone)
Ratio: Scale position size across layers (30%-40%-30% allocation suggested). This approach reduces timing risk and averages your entry price during volatility.
🛑 Stop Loss: Risk Management First
SL Level: $105,000
Rationale: Sits below the 4-hour swing low, providing buffer for wick rejection while maintaining favorable risk-reward ratio
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: Stop loss placement is YOUR decision based on your account size and risk tolerance. Never risk more than 2% of your trading capital per trade.
📈 Take Profit: Multi-Exit Strategy
Target: $119,000
Confirmation: ATR (Average True Range) acting as resistance + Overbought RSI confluence + Previous resistance break
Exit Plan:
Partial 1 (50%): $115,000 (Take some profits early)
Partial 2 (30%): $117,000 (Lock in most gains)
Final (20%): $119,000 (Let runners chase the moon 🌙)
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: Profit targets are based on technical analysis. Market conditions change. Take profits at levels that suit YOUR strategy and risk profile.
🔗 Correlated Pairs to Monitor (Market Ecosystem Check)
Direct Correlation Pairs:
ETH/USD ($3,865): Major altcoin bellwether. Watch 1-4 hour RSI divergence
BNB/USD (~615): Binance ecosystem health indicator
SOL/USD (~245): Alt season strength confirmation
Inverse Watch:
USDT Dominance: If BTC dominance drops >59%, profit-taking likely incoming
VIX Index: Higher volatility = more chop (avoid during spikes)
💡 Key Technical Points
✅ Volume Profile: Sellers exhausted at $105K-106K zone
✅ Order Flow: Institutional absorption at weekly support
✅ Micro Resistance: $112,000-113,500 (breakout confirmation needed)
✅ Macroeconomic: Fed sentiment + Bitcoin ETF flows = liquidity tailwind
⚡ Pro Tips for Better Execution
Timeframe: Confirm entry on 4-hour chart before scaling on 1-hour bounces
Volume Filter: Only take Layer 1/2 if volume > 20-day average
News Calendar: Avoid entries 2 hours before major economic data
Trail Stop: Move stop to breakeven once price hits Layer 3 + $1,000
🎁 Community Love
✨ "If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!"
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #LiquidityGrab #VWMA #CryptoChart #TradingStrategy #CryptoSignals #LayeringStrategy #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #TraderLife #AlgoTrading
BTC/USD Liquidity Blueprint – Are You Reading the Flow Right?🎯 BTC/USD: The Great Heist Setup | Swing Trade Blueprint 💰
📊 Market Overview
Asset: BTC/USD (BITCOIN/US DOLLAR)
Market: Cryptocurrency
Trade Type: Swing Trade
Strategy Style: The Thief Method™ (Layered Entry System)
🎨 Technical Setup
📈 Market Structure: BULLISH CONFIRMED
The Simple Moving Average is showing strong accumulation patterns with a healthy pullback structure. Bulls are loading up their bags like thieves preparing for the ultimate vault heist! 🏃♂️💨
Key Technical Indicators:
✅ SMA showing strong bullish accumulation
✅ Pullback phase completed
✅ Higher lows formation intact
✅ Volume supporting upside momentum
🎯 The Heist Plan: Entry Strategy
💎 The Thief Layered Entry System
Instead of going all-in at one price (that's how amateurs get caught! 👮), we're using a professional layered approach with multiple buy limit orders:
Entry Layers:
🔹 Layer 1: $108,000
🔹 Layer 2: $109,000
🔹 Layer 3: $110,000
🔹 Layer 4: $111,000
🔹 Layer 5: $112,000
💡 Pro Tip: You can add more layers or adjust based on your bag size and risk appetite. The beauty of this strategy? You average into position like a pro! 🎭
🛡️ Risk Management
⛔ Stop Loss: $106,000
⚠️ Important Note: Dear Thief OG's (Ladies & Gentlemen),
This is MY stop loss based on MY risk tolerance. You're the captain of your own ship! 🚢 Set your SL according to YOUR risk management rules. Remember: Take profits at your own risk, protect capital like it's your treasure!
🎯 Target Zone: The Great Escape
🚨 Target: $124,000
Why this target?
The "Police Barricade" (strong resistance zone) sits right here with multiple confluence factors:
🔴 Major resistance level
🔴 Overbought conditions expected
🔴 Bull trap zone activated
🔴 Historical rejection area
🏃♂️ Exit Strategy: When we hit this zone, it's time to take your loot and run! Don't get greedy and caught in the trap!
⚠️ Important Note: Dear Thief OG's (Ladies & Gentlemen),
This is MY take profit target. You're free to take profits whenever YOU feel comfortable. Your money, your rules, your timeline! 💰
🔗 Correlated Pairs to Watch
Keep your eyes on these related assets for confirmation:
💱 Major Correlations:
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD - Typically follows BTC momentum; watch for similar accumulation
BINANCE:BTCUSDT - Alternative pairing for liquidity confirmation
TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) - Inverse correlation; weakness in DXY = strength in BTC
$SPX/SPY (S&P 500) - Risk-on sentiment indicator
GOLD ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) - Alternative store of value; competitive correlation
📍 Key Correlation Points:
When DXY weakens, crypto typically strengthens
Traditional market risk-on flows support Bitcoin upside
ETH/BTC ratio helps confirm alt-season vs BTC dominance
Gold movements indicate macro hedging flows
⚙️ Why The Thief Strategy Works
✨ Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) on steroids
✨ Reduces emotional decision-making
✨ Better average entry price
✨ Lower risk per order
✨ Professional money management
Think like a thief planning the perfect heist: multiple entry points, calculated risks, clear escape route! 🎭
🎬 Final Thoughts
This isn't financial advice—it's a strategic blueprint for those who trade with discipline and style! The market is our playground, but only the smart thieves get to keep their loot. 🏆
Remember:
📊 Stick to your plan
🎯 Manage your risk
💰 Take profits systematically
🧠 Trade with logic, not emotion
🎭 Execute like a professional
📣 Support This Analysis
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
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🎯 Stay sharp, trade smart, and may the profits be with you! 🚀






















