Bitcoin - The only 100% probability setup!🔪Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) will drop -40% very soon:
🔎Analysis summary:
If we just take a look at previous cycles, Bitcoin is already starting a major -40% correction. If we then also take market structure and price action into account, this becomes a 100% probability setup. The next clear crypto bearmarket is starting right now.
📝Levels to watch:
$100,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Bitcoinidea
BTC Bitcoin Bullish Price Action Here's My Trade PlanBTC just broke to the upside! 💥 On the 🕓 4-hour timeframe, price action looks strong: higher highs and higher lows 📈⬆️. I’m waiting for a pullback 📉—once support is found 🛑 and structure breaks bullish again, I’m considering another buy opportunity 🚀💸.
Not financial advice.
Bitcoin - This chart is crumbling!⛔️Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) creates a massive top:
🔎Analysis summary:
All the previous cycles on Bitcoin have been lasting about 1,000 days. And exactly three years ago, Bitcoin retested the previous all time high, starting the next bullrun. If we soon see bearish confirmation on Bitcoin, this crypto will lead to another insane bloodbath.
📝Levels to watch:
$100,000 and $50,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Bitcoin - The devastating top formation!💎Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is creating a top:
🔎Analysis summary:
In the end of 2022, we witnessed another perfect bullish break and retest on Bitcoin. This retest was followed by an incredible rally of +600%. But slowly, Bitcoin is retesting a massive curve resistance, which has been pushing price lower for the past 15 years.
📝Levels to watch:
$100,000 and $50,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Bitcoin BTC Bears Regain Control: Watching for a Short Setup 📊 Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSD)
Currently, Bitcoin is showing clear bearish intent on the higher timeframes 🧭. After an extended period of range-bound price action, we’ve now seen a decisive displacement to the downside 💥 — a strong signal that sellers are taking control.
From here, I’ll be watching for a retracement back into equilibrium ⚖️ — the 50% level of the most recent swing — and will then look for signs of rotation and a break of structure 🧩 on the 30-minute chart to confirm a potential short setup 📉.
Patience is key here 🕰️ — I want to see price react efficiently to that retracement before considering entries.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis before taking any trade.
BTC Retracement Setup After Liquidity Sweep at Key Resistance📊 Bitcoin 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum Meets Key Liquidity Zone
Bitcoin continues to trade within a strong bullish trend on the 4-hour timeframe. Price has now tapped into a major resistance zone — the liquidity sitting above a previous external range high. This reaction suggests we may see a corrective move before the next leg higher. 🔁💡
I’ll be waiting for price to retrace back into equilibrium of the current bullish price swing, where premium turns to discount, to look for a high-probability long setup. ✅🎯
⚠️ Not financial advice — for educational purposes only.
BTC Trade Idea: Will Support Hold or Is a Reversal Coming? Bitcoin has broken structure to the upside and is showing early bullish signs 🟢. I’m watching closely for a long opportunity if price holds above the current support level and we see a confirmed break of structure from the current low.
However ⚠️ — if this level fails to hold and price breaks below the previous low, we could shift bias and look for a short opportunity 🔻.
📊 Not financial advice — for educational purposes only.
Bitcoin Range Analysis: 110k-124k Breakout WatchHello everyone, as we can see, Bitcoin has bounced off the last major support at 109-110k. Currently, the latest resistance is at 124k, so the range to play in at the moment is 110-124k. We are waiting to see if the range will be broken upwards or downwards.
Bitcoin BTC: VWAP Extension, Three-Drive Pattern, & Trade Plan📊 Bitcoin (BTC) continues to hold a strong bullish trend, but in my view it is now overextended as we head into the end of the week ⚡.
🔎 In the video, I break down how BTC is currently trading two deviations above VWAP, highlighting its stretched positioning. We also discuss the three-drive pattern, which often precedes a correction — particularly when combined with a VWAP extension and end-of-week institutional activity as larger players wind down their trades 🏦.
📈 With that in mind, I’m anticipating a retracement. If price pulls back into support and then confirms with a bullish break of structure, I’ll be looking for a long opportunity 🎯.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage risk carefully.
BTC Analysis: Support, Market Structure & My Trade Plan📊 Bitcoin (BTC) has been rallying strongly and remains in a clear bullish trend 🚀.
🔎 At this stage, I’m watching for price to pull back into support. If BTC can hold that level and then confirm with a bullish break of market structure on the 30-minute chart ⏱️, it would provide a potential long entry setup 🎯.
📈 The broader momentum remains bullish, so I’ll be patient and wait for confirmation before getting involved.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management.
Bitcoin BTC is at a Critical Level: Equal Highs Trade Plan💰 Bitcoin (BTC) Update 💰
BTC is currently trending upward 🟢📈 on the 30M timeframe ⏰ and has reached a critical level ⚖️. We’re seeing a shift in structure 🔄, but there are equal highs forming 📍, leaving the question: will price break higher and continue bullish 🚀, or reject and move lower 🔽?
📊 My trade plan is simple:
✅ Wait for a break above the current range/equal highs 📈
✅ Look for a retrace + retest 🔄
✅ Enter long on confirmation 🎯
If this setup fails to play out, then the idea is invalidated ❌ and we stand aside.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. 📚
Bitcoin: Edges HigherToday, Bitcoin is once again trading slightly higher than it was at the time of our update yesterday. As a result, it remains possible that price could soon make another move into the upper blue Target Zone ($117,553 – $130,891), so green wave B can form its final high. The subsequent wave C is then expected to drive BTC down significantly—ultimately completing the larger wave a and thus the first phase of the three-part wave (ii) correction in the lower blue zone ($62,395 – $51,323). Additionally, our alternative bullish scenario remains relevant. We currently estimate a 32% chance that Bitcoin is still advancing within blue wave alt.(i) and will climb into the orange alternative Target Zone ($148,363 – $168,443) to complete this move.
BITCOIN IS CREATING A SECRET PATTERN! (Huge move incoming?!)Yello paradisers! I'm describing to you what's going on with Bitcoin right now. We are creating a secret pattern that is forming, and once its neckline is reclaimed, we are going to have a huge movement.
In this video, I'm sharing with you the most important support and resistances on multiple time frames. We are describing Elliott wave theory wave count, and taking a look at candlestick patterns. We are talking about confirmations necessary for bullish and bearish cases. I'm explaining to you what the professional trading signals need for long-term profitability.
Some of the points are great risk-reward ratios. I'm talking about that in the video. One of them is taking only the highest probability trade setups, and having the patience and discipline to wait for them.
I'm talking about proper strategy which is needed, and systemology in your overall trading and how important it is. Here on TradingView, I'm describing to you the overall bias I have on Bitcoin right now.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Revsiting $150k - $200k Bitcoin (AND Next Bear Market Bottom)In this video I revisit my 2-year old study showing the potential path for Bitcoin to $150k to $200k and not only how we might get there, but the 11 reasons WHY we can this cycle.
This is the same Fibonacci series that predicted the 2021 cycle high at the 3.618 (Log chart) and used the same way this cycle, with some interesting 2025 forecasts of:
1.618 - $100k
2.618 - $150k
3.618 - $200k
There are quite a few confluences that we get to $150k like the measured moves from both the recent mini bull flag, but also the larger one from earlier this year.
** Also I touch on revisiting my study from 2 years ago where I may have discovered the retracemebnt multiple that correctlty predicted and held the 2022 lowes around $16k. **
It's a VERY interesting number you all will recognize (buy may not agree with).
Let me know what you think.
₿itcoin: Pushing Higher—But Watch for a Reversal AheadAfter taking a brief pause over the weekend, Bitcoin resumed its upward momentum early this morning, trading within the blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. This marks the first time the cryptocurrency giant has traded above the key $120,000 level. Within this zone, and in line with our primary scenario, we continue to anticipate the peak of the corrective wave B rally, followed by a trend reversal to the downside. We expect a significant wave C decline, targeting the lower blue zone between $62,395 and $51,323. As such, prices in the upper blue Target Zone may present an opportunity to take (partial) profits on existing long positions and, where appropriate, to initiate potential short positions as a hedge. These shorts could be protected with a stop 1% above the upper boundary of the zone, given there remains a 35% probability that Bitcoin could break directly above the $130,891 resistance and set a new high as blue wave alt.(i).
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Are we on Super Bullish Express Highway ? Elliott Waves RoadmapHello friends,
Welcome to RK_Chaarts
Today we're attempting to analyze Bitcoin's chart, specifically the BTCUSD chart, from an Elliott Wave perspective. Looking at the monthly timeframe chart, which spans the entire lifetime of Bitcoin's data since 2011, we can see the overall structure. According to Elliott Wave theory, it appears that a large Super Cycle degree Wave (I) has completed, followed by a correction in the form of Super Cycle degree Wave (II), marked in blue.
Now, friends, it's possible that we're unfolding Super Cycle degree Wave (III), which should have five sub-divisions - in red I, II, III, IV, & V. We can see that we've completed red I & II, and red III has just started. If the low we marked in red II doesn't get breached on the lower side, it can be considered our invalidation level.
Next, within red III, we should see five primary degree sub-divisions in black - ((1)), ((2)), ((3)), ((4)) & ((5)). We can see that we've completed black ((1)) & ((2)) and black ((3)) has just started. Within black ((3)), we should see five intermediate degree sub-divisions in blue - (1) to (5). Blue (1) has just started, and within blue one, we've already seen red 1 & 2 completed, and red 3 is in progress.
So, we're currently in a super bullish scenario, a third of a third of a third. Yes, the chart looks extremely bullish. We won't commit to any targets here as this is for educational purposes only. The analysis suggests potential targets could be very high, above $150,000 or $200,000, if the invalidation level of $98,240 isn't breached. But again, friends, this video is shared for educational purposes only.
Many people think that the market doesn't move according to Elliott Waves. But friends, here we've tried to analyze from the monthly time frame to the overly time frame. We've definitely aligned the multi-time frame and also aligned it with the principal rules of Elliott Waves, without violating any of its rules.
I agree that the Elliott Wave theory can be a bit difficult, and for those who don't practice it deeply, it can be challenging. But yes, the market moves according to this methodology, following this pattern. This is a significant achievement.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Bitcoin BTC Pullback Strategy: How I’m Planning My Next EntryI’m currently watching BTCUSDT 👀. Yesterday, we saw a bullish break of structure 🔼, and my bias is to follow that momentum moving forward 📈. Right now, price is overextended 📊, so I’m looking for a retracement into equilibrium, ideally around the 50–61.8% Fibonacci zone 📏.
If price pulls back into that range and holds above the bullish imbalance (discussed in the video) 🧱, I’ll be watching for a long opportunity 🎯. My targets are set at the previous highs and the Fibonacci extension levels 🔝.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis or consult a qualified financial advisor.
Is Bitcoin Signaling Risk-Off? Structure Breakdown Explained💥 BTC/USD Outlook – Is Bitcoin Losing Steam? 🧠📉
I'm keeping a close watch on Bitcoin (BTC/USD) this week, and the current price action is flashing some key signals.
🔍 Over the past several sessions, BTC has struggled to hold momentum, and we’re now seeing a shift in tone. On the 4-hour timeframe, the market structure is tilting bearish, with a pattern of lower highs and lower lows developing — a classic sign of weakness ⚠️📉.
📐 The most recent downside leg has caused a clear break in structure, and BTC is now retracing back into a potential supply zone, hovering around equilibrium of the recent move. This zone will be critical to watch for signs of seller re-entry.
⏳ On the 30-minute chart, I’m waiting for a decisive shift in structure — a break of local support or a failed rally that confirms bearish continuation. Should that play out, it could signal a high-probability short setup.
🪙 A breakdown in BTC often has broader implications — especially in the risk asset space. If we see weakness here, JPY pairs may strengthen as capital rotates into safer assets 💴🌐.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. The information provided is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own analysis and consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions. 📚💼
Bitcoin Crash Will Continue to Levels that will REKT majority!??MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN crashed towards $98k so far! Almost 10% drop so far! Crypto noobs and mass media manipulators will blame this CRYPTOCAP:BTC crash on the Iran and Israel conflict! Professional traders will, however, tell you that this was orchestrated and the crash was already planned beforehand, and the best traders caught the crash from the top at $109k and made a profit on this Bitcoin correction! Professional insider trading against news manipulation, artificial conflicts, and emotional trading !
Bitcoin Rally Overextended: Patience is Key for the Next Move💹 BTC/USDC – Bullish Outlook, heres my Trade Plan.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDC) is currently maintaining a strong bullish trajectory 🚀, showing impressive momentum after breaking through recent resistance levels 🔓.
However, price is now overextended from the last swing low, and I’m anticipating a pullback into value 🔄 — specifically targeting the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone drawn from the latest swing low to swing high 📐. This zone often acts as a rebalancing point for institutional traders and provides confluence for smart entries 🎯.
I’ll be closely watching this retracement area for signs of support forming, and more importantly, a bullish break in market structure 🧠📊. Only after that confirmation, would I consider executing a long position — no structure break, no trade ✅.
This isn’t about predicting — it’s about reacting with discipline.






















