BTC/USDT: Bearish Drop to 108,500?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is signaling a bearish breakdown on the 1-hour chart , where price is trapped in a descending triangle formed by a downward trendline and an upward trendline, with increasing pressure at the convergence point near resistance—indicating potential for a downside continuation if sellers dominate. This classic pattern suggests weakening bullish momentum amid recent pullbacks.
Entry zone between 112,500-114,000 for a short position. Target at 108,500 near the support zone, offering a risk-reward ratio of 1:2 . 📊 Set a stop loss on a close above 114,500 to protect against an upside breakout. 🌟
Look for confirmation on a break below the entry with surging volume, capitalizing on Bitcoin's current choppy range.
Fundamentally , Bitcoin has seen high volatility recently, hitting new all-time highs above $125K earlier this month before dropping to around $105K, now stabilizing near $111K amid mixed macro signals and uncertainty from large holder movements. Additional catalysts include ancient wallet awakenings transferring billions in BTC and ongoing debates on tokenized gold versus Bitcoin's value. 💡
📝 Trade Plan:
✅ Entry Zone: $112,500 – $114,000 (short zone near resistance)
❌ Stop Loss: Close above $114,500
🎯 Target: $108,500 (major support area)
💎 Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:2 – clean, structured short setup within a bearish pattern.
What's your take on this setup? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
Bitcon
$BTC Update: Last Sunday, we discussed that Bitcoin could move CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update:
Last Sunday, we discussed that Bitcoin could move toward $115K, and after that, a pullback was expected. However, this week the market showed clear manipulation — Bitcoin jumped back to $114K, then dropped to $106K, reacting to a mix of news around China, Trump, and tariffs, along with other bullish and bearish headlines.
For now, Bitcoin has reclaimed the $110K support and is trading above it, showing some short-term strength.
If BTC continues to hold above $110K, the next resistance is near $113.5K, around the 1D 50 EMA, which remains the strongest hurdle for bulls. A clean breakout and hold above this zone could trigger a move toward $117K–$120K — that’s where I’ll be looking to add more shorts.
I’m still holding my previous short position with an average entry around $122K, and my plan is to add more if price reaches $115K–$117K. The overall structure remains bearish, and I’m waiting for clear direction.
Today’s CPI report will likely decide the next move:
If BTC pushes higher on the data, I’ll add to my shorts.
If it drops, I’ll continue holding.
The only time I’ll consider closing shorts is if Bitcoin breaks and resists below $100K.
#bitcoin
Bitcoin - Losing MA200 SupportBitcoin has just shown a technical warning sign — for the first time since April, 3 daily candles have closed below the 200-day moving average (MA200). This signals a potential shift in trend and raises the risk of a deeper correction.
⸻
🔹 Current View
• BTC is trading around $107,600, struggling to reclaim the MA200 (~$107,700).
• The price had been moving inside a purple rectangular range since July, consolidating between roughly $107K and $123K.
• On October 17th, BTC broke below that rectangular range, confirming a range breakdown and increasing bearish momentum.
• Both the 50 SMA and 100 SMA are now above price, adding downward pressure.
• The RSI sits near 38, showing weakening momentum and potential continuation to the downside.
⸻
🔹 Key Levels to Watch
• Immediate Resistance: $114,000–$115,000 (50 & 100 SMAs)
• Next Supports: $104,000 → $96,000 → $88,000
• A move toward $88,000 would align with the long-term trendline support and could form a strong accumulation zone before the next major rally.
⸻
🔹 Outlook
As long as BTC remains below the MA200 and outside the previous range, the short-term trend is bearish.
However, this correction could present a great buying opportunity for long-term investors once key supports are tested.
⸻
🧠 “Breaking below the MA200 and losing the range often signals weakness — but it’s where long-term setups are born.”
📜 Disclaimer : This is general information only and not financial advice. Always do your own research before investing.
BTCUSDTBTCUSDT price is in a correction phase, the price has a chance to test the 100412-99036 zone, if the price cannot break through the 99036 level, it is expected that the price will have a chance to rebound, consider buying the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
#BTC and #ETH: key levels to watch in coming weeksBTC
The recovery pattern from the September lows still looks more like a medium-term correction rather than the completion of the broader bullish cycle.
As long as the price holds above the macro support zone at 108–102K and does not close below the 50-week moving average for more than two consecutive weeks, I consider the macro uptrend intact and expect the correction to conclude in Q4.
However, while Bitcoin remains below 118K, another wave of selling toward the 108K area in the coming weeks cannot be ruled out before a potential new leg higher.
Chart (taken on Oct 12):
Short-term resistance zone: 115.5–118K
Macro support zone: 108–102K
⸻
ETH
The price has moved deeper into the macro support area highlighted in earlier reviews and reached key weekly moving averages (20SMA and 21EMA), which have historically provided support to every major growth cycle.
On the daily timeframe, as long as the price remains above 3290, the main scenario remains bullish — with potential for new highs in Q4.
Ideally, I would like to see ETH hold the 3840–3700 zone during the current recovery attempt and form a constructive consolidation above the 21/50-day moving averages.
If assets maintain their macro support zones, I expect Ethereum could once again outperform Bitcoin in the next phase of the uptrend.
Chart:
Short-term resistance zone: 4180–4360 / 4550
Local support zone: 3960–3700
⸻
In light of the historic liquidation event we witnessed last week, I’d like to share a quote from one of the veteran traders and original Market Wizards — Peter Brandt:
"Greetings crypto traders whose Friday was not a cheerful day. I need to tell you that there will be better tomorrows. While the tunnel may seen dark, there can be bright days in front of you depending upon how you respond to your present circumstances.
...
Wealth - real wealth that is secure and lasting - does not come from "bet the farm" speculative bets. Real wealth comes from accepting investing as a marathon, not a sprint.
Real wealth comes from controlling risk, not from taking huge gambles. Real wealth comes in the accumulation in small pieces, gained, then protected.
I love that the younger generation to which you belong has taken an interest in speculative markets such as crypto and futures. Welcome.
This is the arena I have operated in now in the 6th different decade starting in the 1970s.
I wiped out several accounts in the early days. These are not fond memories. But I kept at it. For me I learned how to control my risk. What does that mean exactly?
Well, for me it means to limit my risk on any given bet to no more than 1% of my total pot. I know that sounds too tame to be meaningful, but if you do not want to go through what you experienced this past week, then perhaps it should be meaningful.
It also means that I do not bet any more than 3% of my entire trading capital on the composite of highly correlated bets.
I have noticed that some in the crypto space wear as a badge of honor that they can sit through 80% drawdowns. Well, that is NOT a badge of honor. It is a crown of shame. Anyone who thinks lightly of 80% drawdowns will end up rekt at the end of the game. If you doubt me, then stay on your present course and find out.
...
So, I encourage you. Take this past week as a serious lesson of investing and of life. Take ownership of your mistakes. Don't blame this past week on some "whale" or manipulator. Own it. And move forward having learned some valuable lesson "
⸻
Thank you for your attention!
In times of heightened volatility, please remember - protecting your emotional capital is just as important as protecting your financial one. Stay disciplined, patient, and kind to yourself through market turbulence - it’s part of every trader’s journey toward mastery.
Let’s leave the past behind, take the lessons it offered, and focus on the next trade with a clear vision and renewed confidence.
Wishing everyone a strong and productive start to the new week!
BTC: It’s October againOctober or Uptober (as they say) is a month wherein BTC has demonstrated a beautiful pattern over the course of its history. BTC’s return in October can be guessed depending on where the month falls in BTC’s well-known 4 year cycle.
The month of October that falls after BTC has peaked post-halving is expected to have negative returns as BTC remains in a bearish trend. While the remaining 3 months of October in BTC’s 4 year cycle are expected to have positive returns as BTC remains in a bullish trend.
As such, following months of October were bearish: Oct 2014, Oct 2018, Oct 2022. The remaining months of October had positive returns (except Oct 2011 & Oct 2012; which can be excused as very early months before BTC established a 4 year cycle).
Currently, in Oct 2025 BTC is expected to have a positive return as it is in a bullish post-halving trend. Based on the above facts and future expectations, traders can position themselves better to capitalize gains in their portfolios.
Good Luck!!
XRPUSDT: double bottom and waiting for a breakoutOn the 4H chart, XRPUSDT is shaping a double bottom around the 1.00 level, and the price is now approaching the key resistance area at 3.14–3.32. A breakout above this zone would be a strong confirmation that the bearish phase is losing momentum.
Technically, the scenario suggests a breakout above 3.14, followed by a retest, and then continuation toward 3.32 and 3.57. This fits the classic pattern where accumulation turns into momentum-driven buying.
From a fundamental perspective, XRP still draws attention thanks to Ripple’s legal battle with the SEC and the use of the token in cross-border transactions. Positive headlines can accelerate the rally, though broader crypto market corrections or regulatory pressure could put the brakes on growth.
This is exactly the kind of setup where expectations and reality may diverge. The structure looks bullish, but without a confirmed breakout, the market can easily roll back. Better to wait for confirmation and trade with discipline.
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin is still moving inside an upward channel.
After its strong rally, the price has entered a corrective phase and is now positioned around the midline of the channel.
We expect the correction to extend toward the support zone and the lower boundary of the channel after some short-term fluctuations.
From that area, a potential rebound could trigger the next bullish wave.
If support holds, Bitcoin is likely to resume its upward movement toward the upper boundary of the channel.
As long as the price stays above the key support area, the medium-term outlook remains bullish.
What do you think? Will Bitcoin bounce from the channel bottom and head for the top again?
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin appears to be moving within a descending channel. Upon reaching the upper boundary of the channel, which coincided with the major resistance zone at 117,000 – 120,000 USDT (and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ), the price entered a corrective move.
The short-term ascending trendline has already been broken.
As long as the price stays below 118,000 – 120,000, the correction is likely to continue.
Despite the short-term selling pressure, the medium-term trend remains bullish.
The ongoing correction could serve as a healthy pullback before the larger uptrend resumes.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
BTC Looks Bearish (12H)From the point marked as **Start** on the chart, it seemed that a bullish phase had begun on Bitcoin. This bullish phase formed a triangle, and now we are at the end of this triangle.
With a pullback to the red zone, a further drop could occur. The main target of this bearish move appears to be the 88K channel.
This view remains valid unless a daily candle closes above the invalidation level.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin’s 1.5-2 year downtrend has begun. (Phase 1)As predicted in the previous analysis, Bitcoin saw its two-year price ceiling at around $109K when Trump entered the White House, and Bitcoin will have downtrend for about a 1.5-2 year.
This decline will have 3 phases, which I have shown in the first phase chart in 3 stages.
As you can see in the chart, in the first phase, Bitcoin will fall to around $81K and then rise again to near the price ceiling. But in my opinion, it will not be able to create a new price ceiling and will have a heavier decline towards the $50K-$60K range.
@JalilRafieefard
February 18, 2025
Bitcoin Roadmap Update: Cup & Handle Targeting $148K
Hello traders, today I am reposting my analysis for Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe with updates.
Right Window – Previous Roadmap
The right chart shows my earlier analysis “Bitcoin Roadmap to $144K by September – Daily Chart Breakout Set”. In that setup, the main uptrend channel (black) from October 2023 and sub-channels (red and cyan) were mapped.
Although I mistakenly closed the trade after the first target was achieved, I still believe the uptrend from mid-March 2024 is ongoing. I have extended my projection to mid-November 2025, with a target of $148K.
Left Window – Current Structure
On the left chart, we see a new bullish pattern developing. This can be interpreted as either a cup & two handles or an inverse head & shoulders.
Price has already closed above the neckline (white line).
A successful retest of the neckline adds confidence to the breakout.
Fibonacci extension levels project:
200% ≈ $134K
260% ≈ $148K
As long as Bitcoin trades above $100K, I believe the next phases are toward $134K and then $148K.
Proposed Position Setup
Entry zone: Current price area (~$116K)
Stop-loss: ~$95K (conservative placement below $100K)
Target: $148K
Alternate stop for aggressive traders: Weekly close below $105K (red shoulders-support line)
This setup balances both faster and longer-term trading styles.
Risk-to-Reward Evaluation
Potential Profit: ~$32K (from $116K to $148K)
Potential Loss: ~$21K (from $116K to $95K)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1.5 : 1
This is acceptable for a weekly swing trade, especially given the uptrend confirmation and multi-pattern confluence.
Key Takeaways & Timeline
Trend bias: Bullish
Main support: $100K (conservative stop-loss below this)
Main targets: $134K and $148K
Expected timeline: Mid-November 2025
Invalidation: Weekly close below $100K (or $105K for aggressive traders)
I remain bullish on Bitcoin as long as price respects the green uptrend line (Oct 2023) and holds above $100K. Volatility is expected, but structure remains intact.
Trade safe and size positions according to personal risk tolerance.
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin has entered a corrective phase after printing a new all-time high and reaching the top of its ascending channel.
This pullback is expected to extend towards the key support zones, and in a deeper scenario, it could test the bottom of the channel.
As long as Bitcoin holds above these support areas and reacts positively at the lower boundary of the channel, the broader outlook remains bullish, with potential for new all-time high
However, a decisive break below the channel’s bottom would invalidate the medium-term bullish scenario and raise the risk of a deeper correction.
The current correction may provide a valuable opportunity for medium- to long-term traders to re-enter the market.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Bitcoin : Stay heavy on positionsThe market continues to hold support at the prior short-term overbought resistance zone, attempting to stage a rebound. I’ll maintain my position with the same outlook as before.
Bitcoin : Stay heavy on positions (2x)
** This analysis is based solely on the quantification of crowd psychology.
It does not incorporate price action, trading volume, or macroeconomic indicators.
BTCUSD set to rise $124482?BTCUSD trade setup for today :
Before we look at potential entry in this pair first let’s look at multiple timeframe analysis in this market.
Monthly: 124482 Monthly resistance price has got rejection strongly from the top
Weekly: Price has just got just broken out of the support
Daily: Price on the daily significant support level
Entry timeframe 4H : Price has printed 4h has got rejected strongly from the daily support level.
Possible trade recommendation : Bullish trade with high probability set up
ETH at $4,100 – Can Bulls Defend Key Support Before FOMC..?ETH + FOMC = Volatility Ahead ? 🔥
Ethereum at Make-or-Break Zone: $4,100 Support in Focus!
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) on the 4H timeframe is showing a decisive battle between bulls and bears. After topping near $4,700, ETH has been in a steady downtrend, respecting the descending trendline.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
* Immediate Support: $4,100 – $4,150 (0.5 Fib retracement)
* Major Support: $3,950 – $4,000 (0.618 Fib retracement)
* Resistance Zone: $4,300 – $4,350 (descending trendline)
* Major Resistance: $4,600 – $4,700 (recent swing high)
📈 Bullish Scenario
✅ A breakout above $4,300 trendline resistance could trigger strong momentum toward $4,500 - $4,600.
✅ Holding $4,100 support will keep buyers in control.
📉 Bearish Scenario
❌ If ETH fails to hold $4,100, expect a deeper retracement toward $4,000 (0.618 Fib).
❌ A break below $3,950 may extend the fall to $3,700 – $3,600.
⚠️ Market Note
📌 Today’s FOMC meeting could heavily impact the crypto market trend.
Expect volatility as Fed commentary on interest rates may guide ETH’s next major move.
⚖️ Conclusion
ETH is at a critical support zone where the next move will define short-term direction.
* Above $4,300 → Bulls regain control.
* Below $4,100 → Bears target $4,000 and lower.






















