What will the price of gold look like after the CPI report?1️⃣ Trend Structure
Price is moving within a short-term ascending channel → the bullish trend remains dominant.
Higher lows are forming → buying pressure is still present; however, the price range is tightening, increasing the probability of either a breakout or a breakdown.
2️⃣ Resistance
4,350: Near-term resistance, aligned with the upper boundary of the price channel → a clear breakout is required to extend the bullish momentum.
4,400: Major resistance / upside target → a potential profit-taking zone if the breakout succeeds.
3️⃣ Support
Lower trendline of the ascending channel: A key dynamic support that determines whether the trend holds or breaks.
4,256: Strong horizontal support / demand zone → a breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish structure and increase the risk of a deeper correction.
4️⃣ Scenarios
Break above 4,350 → confirms trend continuation, targeting 4,400.
Rejection at resistance combined with a break of the trendline → favors a corrective move toward 4,256.
BUY GOLD : 4258 - 4256
Stoploss : 4248
Take Profit : 100-300-500pips
SELL GOLD : 4400 - 4402
Stoploss : 4412
Take Profit : 100-300-500pips
Breakoutsignal
Looking forward to the important news releases on December 181️⃣ Trend & Trendline
Main trend: Medium-term uptrend remains intact.
Rising trendline (solid): Price is holding above it → a key dynamic support.
Rising trendline (dashed): Secondary support below, used to confirm a breakdown if the main trendline is lost.
Price structure: Higher Lows are still being maintained → no trend reversal signal yet.
2️⃣ Key Support Levels
4,305: Dynamic support + EMA → losing this level would weaken bullish momentum.
4,260: Strong confluence zone (Fibo + demand zone) → critical support.
3️⃣ Key Resistance Levels
4,350: Short-term resistance – price is reacting strongly here.
4,373 (Fibo 3.618): Intermediate technical barrier.
4,400: Major resistance / extension target – strong profit-taking zone.
🎯 Scenarios
Holding above the trendline + 4,300:
→ Favor BUY following the trend, targets at 4,350 → 4,400.
Trendline break & loss of 4,260:
→ Trend weakens → look for SELL on pullbacks, targets 4,220 – 4,200.
📌 Trade Setup
BUY GOLD: 4260 – 4258
Stop Loss: 4248
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4400 – 4402
Stop Loss: 4412
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
How to Trade Breakouts in TradingViewBreakout trading is a strategy that aims to capture strong price movements when markets break through key support or resistance levels, often signaling the start of a new trend or continuation move.
What You'll Learn:
Understanding breakouts as price movements beyond established support or resistance levels
How breakouts can occur at horizontal levels, trendlines, or chart patterns like triangles, rectangles, and flags
Why consolidation patterns often precede strong breakout moves
Recognizing the difference between false breakouts and confirmed breakouts
How to use candle closes beyond key levels as confirmation rather than relying on quick spikes
The critical role of volume in validating breakouts and separating real moves from fakeouts
Why expanding ATR during a breakout confirms increasing volatility and momentum
Understanding the break and close entry method for conservative breakout trades
How to scale into positions by entering partially on the break and adding on continuation
Using the pullback entry strategy to trade retests of broken levels as new support or resistance
Setting stop losses using ATR-based methods or placing them beyond consolidation patterns
Calculating profit targets with measured move techniques by projecting pattern heights
How to mark key levels in TradingView using the horizontal line tool from the left toolbar
Drawing trendlines and connecting swing points for pattern recognition
Accessing built-in pattern recognition tools through the Indicators menu
Practical examples using futures charts across multiple timeframes
This tutorial is designed for futures traders, day traders, and swing traders who want to capitalize on momentum moves and volatility expansion using technical breakout strategies.
The methods discussed may help you identify high-probability breakout setups, manage entries with proper confirmation, and set risk-appropriate stops and targets across multiple markets and timeframes.
Learn more about futures trading with TradingView: optimusfutures.com
Disclaimer
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools, not forecasting instruments.
Gold price movements following the NF report on December 17th.1️⃣ Trend Structure & Trendline
🔹 Main Trend
The market is currently in a medium-term uptrend:
Higher Lows are being formed
Highs are approaching or exceeding previous highs (potential Higher High)
The ascending trendline (below) is still intact → acting as the backbone of the current trend
👉 Only a decisive break below this rising trendline would invalidate the medium-term uptrend.
🔹 Short-term Descending Trendline (Upper)
The descending trendline above is pressuring price in the short term
It acts as a dynamic resistance, where selling pressure appears on rallies
Price is currently compressing between the descending trendline (above) and support (below) → a consolidation phase before a strong move
📌 A clear breakout above the descending trendline = confirmation of trend continuation to the upside.
2️⃣ Key Resistance
🔴 Major Resistance Zone: 4,380
This zone represents:
A previous high
A clear supply zone
If price breaks into this area:
Strong profit-taking and volatility are likely
Confirmation is required (strong close, good volume) for continuation
👉 A sustainable bullish move is only confirmed when price breaks and holds above 4,379.
3️⃣ Key Support
🟢 Near-term Support: 4,277
This zone includes:
Confluence with moving averages
A price level with multiple reactions
Role: Healthy pullback support
👉 Holding above this level keeps the short-term uptrend intact.
🟢 Deeper Support: 4,258
A structural support level
If price breaks below 4,277:
A retest of 4,258 is highly likely
This is a trend-decision zone
📌 A breakdown below 4,258 significantly increases the probability of price returning to the major ascending trendline below.
4️⃣ Trading Plan
🟢 BUY GOLD: 4258 – 4256
Stop Loss: 4246
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
🔴 SELL GOLD: 4379 – 4381
Stop Loss: 4391
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
Bitcoin falling trendline soon will break and Bulls will lead Bitcoin is currently trading within an ascending channel, encountering resistance near both the channel's upper boundary and a significant historical descending trendline. While this confluence of resistance has prompted a short-term pullback, the overall structure suggests a potential breakout attempt in the near term.
A decisive move above the falling trendline would signal a shift in market structure, likely invalidating the bearish momentum and transitioning the market into either a consolidation range or a renewed bullish phase .
Following a confirmed breakout, the technical setup would support the potential for further upward movement, with progress expected to become more sustained once this key resistance zone is cleared.
So get Ready also other paths mentioned on the chart too what may happen in your view comment below !!
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
ADAUSDT the 0.6$ soon will hit againAs observed on the chart, ADA has executed a decisive breakout above a major resistance zone, confirmed by a strong bullish candle accompanied by significantly high trading volume. This combination of price action and volume indicates substantial buying pressure and validates the breakout's strength. Consequently, the technical structure now supports a continuation of the upward momentum, with the next primary target projected at the $0.60 level.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
Amazing breakout on WEEKLY Timeframe - AIAENGCheckout an amazing breakout happened in the stock in Weekly timeframe, macroscopically seen in Daily timeframe. Having a great favor that the stock might be bullish expecting a staggering returns of minimum 25% TGT. IMPORTANT BREAKOUT LEVELS ARE ALWAYS RESPECTED!
NOTE for learners: Place the breakout levels as per the chart shared and track it yourself to get amazed!!
#No complicated chart patterns
#No big big indicators
#No Excel sheet or number magics
TRADE IDEA: WAIT FOR THE STOCK TO BREAKOUT IN WEEKLY TIMEFRAME ABOVE THIS LEVEL.
Checkout an amazing breakout happened in the stock in Weekly timeframe.
Breakouts happening in longer timeframe is way more powerful than the breakouts seen in Daily timeframe. You can blindly invest once the weekly candle closes above the breakout line and stay invested forever. Also these stocks breakouts are lifelong predictions, it means technically these breakouts happen giving more returns in the longer runs. Hence, even when the scrip makes a loss of 10% / 20% / 30% / 50%, the stock will regain and turn around. Once they again enter the same breakout level, they will flyyyyyyyyyyyy like a ROCKET if held in the portfolio in the longer run.
Time makes money, GREEDY & EGO will not make money.
Also, magically these breakouts tend to prove that the companies turn around and fundamentally becoming strong. Also the magic happens when more diversification is done in various sectors under various scripts with equal money invested in each N500 scripts.
The real deal is when to purchase and where to purchase the stock. That is where Breakout study comes into play.
LET'S PUMP IN SOME MONEY AND REVOLUTIONIZE THE NATION'S ECONOMY!
Amazing breakout on WEEKLY Timeframe - PRICOLLTDCheckout an amazing breakout happened in the stock in Weekly timeframe, macroscopically seen in Daily timeframe. Having a great favor that the stock might be bullish expecting a staggering returns of minimum 25% TGT. IMPORTANT BREAKOUT LEVELS ARE ALWAYS RESPECTED!
NOTE for learners: Place the breakout levels as per the chart shared and track it yourself to get amazed!!
#No complicated chart patterns
#No big big indicators
#No Excel sheet or number magics
TRADE IDEA: WAIT FOR THE STOCK TO BREAKOUT IN WEEKLY TIMEFRAME ABOVE THIS LEVEL.
Checkout an amazing breakout happened in the stock in Weekly timeframe.
Breakouts happening in longer timeframe is way more powerful than the breakouts seen in Daily timeframe. You can blindly invest once the weekly candle closes above the breakout line and stay invested forever. Also these stocks breakouts are lifelong predictions, it means technically these breakouts happen giving more returns in the longer runs. Hence, even when the scrip makes a loss of 10% / 20% / 30% / 50%, the stock will regain and turn around. Once they again enter the same breakout level, they will flyyyyyyyyyyyy like a ROCKET if held in the portfolio in the longer run.
Time makes money, GREEDY & EGO will not make money.
Also, magically these breakouts tend to prove that the companies turn around and fundamentally becoming strong. Also the magic happens when more diversification is done in various sectors under various scripts with equal money invested in each N500 scripts.
The real deal is when to purchase and where to purchase the stock. That is where Breakout study comes into play.
LET'S PUMP IN SOME MONEY AND REVOLUTIONIZE THE NATION'S ECONOMY!
Amazing breakout on WEEKLY Timeframe - MUTHOOTMFCheckout an amazing breakout happened in the stock in Weekly timeframe, macroscopically seen in Daily timeframe. Having a great favor that the stock might be bullish expecting a staggering returns of minimum 25% TGT. IMPORTANT BREAKOUT LEVELS ARE ALWAYS RESPECTED!
NOTE for learners: Place the breakout levels as per the chart shared and track it yourself to get amazed!!
#No complicated chart patterns
#No big big indicators
#No Excel sheet or number magics
TRADE IDEA: WAIT FOR THE STOCK TO BREAKOUT IN WEEKLY TIMEFRAME ABOVE THIS LEVEL.
Checkout an amazing breakout happened in the stock in Weekly timeframe.
Breakouts happening in longer timeframe is way more powerful than the breakouts seen in Daily timeframe. You can blindly invest once the weekly candle closes above the breakout line and stay invested forever. Also these stocks breakouts are lifelong predictions, it means technically these breakouts happen giving more returns in the longer runs. Hence, even when the scrip makes a loss of 10% / 20% / 30% / 50%, the stock will regain and turn around. Once they again enter the same breakout level, they will flyyyyyyyyyyyy like a ROCKET if held in the portfolio in the longer run.
Time makes money, GREEDY & EGO will not make money.
Also, magically these breakouts tend to prove that the companies turn around and fundamentally becoming strong. Also the magic happens when more diversification is done in various sectors under various scripts with equal money invested in each N500 scripts.
The real deal is when to purchase and where to purchase the stock. That is where Breakout study comes into play.
LET'S PUMP IN SOME MONEY AND REVOLUTIONIZE THE NATION'S ECONOMY!
Amazing breakout on WEEKLY Timeframe - SHRIPISTONCheckout an amazing breakout happened in the stock in Weekly timeframe, macroscopically seen in Daily timeframe. Having a great favor that the stock might be bullish expecting a staggering returns of minimum 25% TGT. IMPORTANT BREAKOUT LEVELS ARE ALWAYS RESPECTED!
NOTE for learners: Place the breakout levels as per the chart shared and track it yourself to get amazed!!
#No complicated chart patterns
#No big big indicators
#No Excel sheet or number magics
TRADE IDEA: WAIT FOR THE STOCK TO BREAKOUT IN WEEKLY TIMEFRAME ABOVE THIS LEVEL.
Checkout an amazing breakout happened in the stock in Weekly timeframe.
Breakouts happening in longer timeframe is way more powerful than the breakouts seen in Daily timeframe. You can blindly invest once the weekly candle closes above the breakout line and stay invested forever. Also these stocks breakouts are lifelong predictions, it means technically these breakouts happen giving more returns in the longer runs. Hence, even when the scrip makes a loss of 10% / 20% / 30% / 50%, the stock will regain and turn around. Once they again enter the same breakout level, they will flyyyyyyyyyyyy like a ROCKET if held in the portfolio in the longer run.
Time makes money, GREEDY & EGO will not make money.
Also, magically these breakouts tend to prove that the companies turn around and fundamentally becoming strong. Also the magic happens when more diversification is done in various sectors under various scripts with equal money invested in each N500 scripts.
The real deal is when to purchase and where to purchase the stock. That is where Breakout study comes into play.
LET'S PUMP IN SOME MONEY AND REVOLUTIONIZE THE NATION'S ECONOMY!
Breakout Trading: How Low Win-Rate Systems Beat the Market█ Breakout Trading: How Low Win-Rate Systems Beat the Market
Most traders misunderstand breakout strategies. They expect high win-rates, smooth equity curves, and clean continuation.
But real breakout systems operate differently:
Low win-rate
Many small losses
Occasional massive winners
And long periods of nothing
A breakout strategy is not about predicting direction. It is about exploiting asymmetry, volatility expansion, and structural price imbalances. It is not about being right often; it is about being paid well when you are right.
█ What a Breakout Really Is
A breakout occurs when the price finally moves out of a range or breaks through a key level. It is not magic, and it is not random. It is mechanics, liquidity, and pressure.
Inside a range or right at a major level:
Liquidity builds on both sides
Stops accumulate above resistance and below support
Traders wait for confirmation
Algorithms sit idle during volatility contraction
When price pushes through a key level, it triggers a chain reaction:
stop orders → breakout entries → momentum algos → forced exits. This cascade is what creates the explosive leg everyone tries to catch.
In simple terms , a breakout happens when the price moves outside a well-defined support or resistance zone with strong momentum. This surge often marks the beginning of a new trend, a volatility expansion, or a major shift in market sentiment.
Breakouts appear in every asset class: stocks, futures, crypto, forex, and commodities, and on every timeframe from minutes to weeks. They are popular because when they succeed, they can deliver large, rapid moves and outsized profits.
But here is the part most traders ignore:
Most breakouts do not follow through. False breaks are common, and markets have become more efficient over time. Only breakouts with the right conditions, such as momentum, liquidity imbalance, and volatility expansion, have a high probability of running.
█ The Truth Most Traders Don’t Want to Hear
Most breakouts fail. Even strong breakout systems may only win 20 to 40 percent of the time.
Why does this happen?
Many breakout levels are weak
Liquidity is thin around obvious highs and lows
Algorithms hunt stop clusters before the real move
Price often snaps back into the range before expanding
But here is the part that actually matters:
Breakouts do not need a high win rate.
They need high asymmetry.
Small, controlled losses.
Occasional large, runaway winners.
This is the core structure behind every profitable breakout strategy.
⚪ Win-Rate and Risk/Reward: What Traders Should Actually Expect
The simple overview above is backed by decades of quantitative research. Breakout systems consistently show low win-rates but high R-multiple payoffs, and this is not an opinion. It is a measurable statistical pattern across markets and timeframes.
1. Low Win-Rate Is Normal and Expected
Across studies, breakout strategies typically win between 20 and 40 percent of the time.
Research by Bulkowski, academic momentum studies, and intraday ORB tests all show the same thing:
Breakouts frequently fail
Modern markets generate more false breaks than in the past
Algorithms exploit obvious levels and stop clusters
Short-term price action is dominated by mean reversion
A low hit rate is not a flaw. It is the natural behavior of breakout mechanics.
2. The Edge Comes From Asymmetric Payoff Distribution
A breakout strategy becomes profitable not by winning often, but by winning big relative to the risk taken.
Historical performance shows:
Losers: usually −1R
Winners: often +3R, +5R, +10R and beyond
When a system captures even a few of these extended moves, it more than pays for the many small stop-outs.
3. Breakout Systems Exploit Fat Tails and Volatility Expansions
Financial returns are not normal. They are fat-tailed. Breakouts are designed to capture these rare, outsized price moves.
The return distribution typically looks like:
Many small losses from failed breaks
A few large wins during volatility expansion
Long flat periods during range-bound conditions
Occasional massive trends that define the entire year
This right-skewed distribution is well-documented in momentum and trend-following research.
4. Academic and Quant Research Confirms the Pattern
Multiple studies validate the same expectations:
Zarattini, Barbon & Aziz (2024): ORB strategy on “stocks in play” produced over 1,600 percent return with modest win-rates
Moskowitz, Ooi & Pedersen: Trend-following (a breakout variant) shows positive expectancy across a century of data
Bulkowski: Breakout failure rates increase over time, confirming the need for filters and asymmetry
CTA/Managed Futures: Long-term breakout systems show strong convexity; a few big winners generate the majority of returns
The conclusion is clear:
Breakout strategies work when they harness asymmetry, not prediction.
█ Example: Breakout System 1
Win-rate: 20.28%
Breakout System Gain: +274%
Buy & Hold Gain: +96%
Explanation of the chart:
Flat periods → range markets
Dips → false breaks and stop-outs
Explosive steps upward → successful breakouts that trend hard
This step-like equity curve is the fingerprint of all trend-and-breakout systems.
█ Example: Breakout System 2
This system shows the same profile:
Many trades fail, but losses stay small
Occasionally a breakout runs far enough to cover dozens of losses
The equity curve’s “zig-zag then spike” pattern is normal behavior
The system wins big because the winners are massive R-multiples, not because it’s right often
This is the signature of low win-rate, high reward asymmetry.
█ The Real Mechanics Behind a Successful Breakout
A real breakout is powered by multiple forces hitting at once:
New longs entering / new shorts entering (initiative flow)
Stops being triggered (forced participation)
Short covering or long liquidation (fuel)
Algos joining the momentum (acceleration)
Volatility expansion is making moves larger
⚪ Read more about what makes prices move up and down:
█ What Makes Breakout Strategies Hard for Humans
Breakout trading is psychologically painful because:
You lose often
You sit through boring periods
Most trades look like “nothing happens”
Only a few trades create 80–90% of the long-term profits
To succeed, you need:
Patience
Small, consistent risk
The discipline to let winners run
The acceptance that many trades will fail
Breakout success = emotional resilience + asymmetry, not prediction.
█ The Takeaway
Breakout strategies are simple in theory and brutal in practice:
Low win-rate
High reward
Long quiet periods
Occasional massive expansions
Step-like equity curves
Outperformance through asymmetry
In the end:
You don’t trade breakouts to be right often — you trade breakouts to get paid big when the market finally moves.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
HindCopper Showing Strong Momentum; Breakout Setup DevelopingDaily Timeframe Analysis – HindCopper
HindCopper is forming a broadening wedge pattern on the daily timeframe, with a key support zone around ₹300. The stock has completed its five-wave structure and is currently showing strong upward momentum.
If this momentum sustains and the price breaks above the ₹375–₹380 resistance zone, the stock could move toward the pattern target near ₹450.
Additionally, as long as the momentum support around ₹340 holds, the probability of higher levels remains strong.
Thank you.
Gold price developments at the end of the week of December 51️⃣ Trend Line
Descent trend line (above – dashed line)
Price has been touched and rejected several times → becomes strong dynamic resistance.
The 4,225–4,230 price zone is a key area:
→ Valid breakout = opens upward momentum towards 4,260.
→ Failed breakout = price returns down following the previous trend.
Ascending trend line (below – dashed line)
This is dynamic support that maintains the short-term upward structure.
If price breaks through this trend line, a downtrend will activate.
2️⃣ Support Area – Key Resistance
4,225 – 4,230:
Confluence of the descending trend line + the previous supply zone → a designated area for buyers.
4,260 – 4,265:
Strongest resistance. When price touches this area, a downward reaction is likely.
Support
4,190 – 4,195:
The first area to be tested if the trend line is broken.
4,140 – 4,135 (lower green zone):
Very strong support – the main target if the downtrend is confirmed.
📌 Trading Signals
BUY GOLD: 4,140 – 4,138
Stop Loss: 4,130
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4,260 – 4,262
Stop Loss: 4,270
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
Scenario after the speech of the FED chairman on December 21️⃣ Trendline
Ascending trendline (lower black line)
This is the main dynamic support of the current trend.
Price is retesting the trendline after a strong bounce → holding above it keeps the bullish structure intact.
Descending trendline (upper black line)
A strong dynamic resistance from the higher timeframe, aligning with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension.
Price reacted and weakened when touching it → indicating selling pressure emerging.
2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance
4,300 – 4,315: Confluence of
✔ 3.618 Fibonacci extension
✔ Descending trendline
✔ Previous supply zone
→ This is the strongest reversal area.
Upside target if broken:
→ 4,375 – 4,380 (Fibo 4.236 + higher-timeframe supply zone).
Support
4,192 – 4,200:
✔ Demand zone
✔ Confluence with EMA + retest of ascending trendline
→ This is the short-term support.
4,125 – 4,130:
✔ Confluence with major ascending trendline
✔ 1.618 Fibonacci extension
→ This is the strong support – target if breakdown occurs.
3️⃣ Fibonacci Structure
The previous bullish wave completed a classic Fib extension pattern:
✔ 1.618 → 4,127
✔ 2.618 → 4,219
✔ 3.618 → 4,310
→ This reflects a fully extended wave, increasing the probability of a correction.
4️⃣ Price Scenarios
Scenario 1 (primary – correction expected)
Price rejects strongly at 4,300 →
🔻 Drops to 4,192 → if broken → moves toward 4,125 (major bounce zone).
Scenario 2 (bullish breakout)
If an H4 candle closes above 4,310, the move may extend toward 4,375 – 4,380.
Trade Ideas
BUY GOLD : 4193 – 4191
Stoploss: 4183
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
SELL GOLD : 4300 – 4303
Stoploss: 4313
Take Profit: 100 – 300 – 500 pips
BTCUSD can crash to 24k if ABC correction occurs BTC experiencing the effect of Dead cross at 110000 USD ,which can drag upto 74500 and a support can take place due to price convergence and RSI divergence setup.
If price bounce backed from 74500 around ,then it can reach 0.386/0.618 around 106000 and 108000 USD.
A third try to breach 74500 can break the support and can take leap towards 24k making it drag down of 82% which BTC achieved back in 2017- 2018 .
Disclaimer: this is purely based on previous trends study and speculations according to price moments .i recommend to make your own study before investing or consult your financial advisor .
Silver Turning Positive – Breakout Ahead?Silver is gaining traction again as dollar weakness offers fresh support and buyers step back into the market. On the daily chart, the cup-and-handle formation is becoming more pronounced, and the current upward push raises the question of whether a clean breakout is finally underway. The key level to watch remains the USD 54.50 zone, as a decisive close above it could clear the path for a stronger bullish move.
A softer dollar environment continues to help, as it improves global purchasing power and often attracts fresh flows into precious metals. At the same time, improving inflation expectations keep silver relevant as a hedge, especially with investors preparing for potential policy shifts later in the year. The industrial side of the story also matters: demand from solar, electronics, and EV-related sectors remains strong, and any upbeat economic indicators could reinforce the case for higher prices. When equities trade in a risk-on mood, silver tends to benefit as part of the broader commodities cycle, and that dynamic is currently in play as well.
If the breakout fails, the tone could shift quickly. Weak economic data would raise concerns about industrial demand, while a rebound in the dollar or rising bond yields could cap momentum. These factors, combined with the possibility of profit taking after a solid run, might pull silver lower again. Still, as long as major support levels hold, the market keeps a constructive bias, and a confirmed breakout above 54.50 would likely be the trigger for the next strong leg higher.
Bitcoin prediction Nov 2025Bitcoin prediction Nov 2025, Bitcoin is expected to push to the upside after it broke previous high and came to test previous low and bullish order block and start to move toward previous high (Bullish Extension). This move may break previous all-time high and break record of 2025 All-time high.
Big XRP bullish move formingBYBIT:XRPUSDT has formed a (remarkably equaliteral) triangle flag pattern since breaking out of the parallel channel flag*. Given the previous 25% move upwards (i.e. the flagpole), text book technical analysis theory states that there is another upwards move imminent. This is a good opportunity for a medium term (approx. one month long) bullish swing trade.
A few things to note:
*The breakout move from the parallel flag channel was a text book move upwards where it moved outside of the channel (breakout move), then returned back to the resistance line of the parallel channel, which became support, and then continued the move upwards. This provided a very good entry opportunity upon the return move once the daily candlestick showed proved that resistance line is a now a line of support (i.e. the candlestick is of a dragonfly shape) - you enter on the dragonfly share confirmation
The triangle flag pattern is running out of room. i.e. the move is expected to come soon (this coming week) as the candlesticks are getting smaller and smaller in size, following, broadly speaking, the triangles lines of support and resistance, and there are not many days left until the candlesticks will naturally move out of the triangle.
The market psychology behind this is that the buyers who made a profit on the recent flagpole are now selling, with newer, bullish buyers entering the market. The price which the sellers are willing to sell and and buyers willing to purchase at is getting closer and closer, which usually means the continuation of the trend as there are more buyers (in this case) than sellers (i.e. people are willing to buy at a price closer and closer to the sellers ask price and sellers don't have to drop their prices as much to entire people to buy)
This is consistent with the optimistic and bullish sentiment for the economy in generally, stock market and crypto since Trump's election victory with Trump having recently announced that he would prefer lower interest rates i.e. The chart formation is showing that there are still more bulls than bears.
Risk to this move are that the RSI is overbought (which in this case can be ignored as it has been overbought for a few months and the nature of the indicator is that in a bullish market it remains at an overbought level regularly) and that the crypto market is prone to large gyrations on rumours and even minor US governmental policy announcements.
How did gold perform after the PPI news?🧭 1. Trendline
Descending trendline (red – dynamic resistance)
Price has clearly broken out above the descending trendline.
Price is currently in a slight retest of this trendline → if it holds above 4,150–4,160, a short-term uptrend is confirmed.
Ascending trendline (hidden in the underlying structure)
Confluence support zone is around 4,107–4,110
→ This is a very strong area for a pullback if it occurs.
🧱 2. Support – Resistance
Key Resistance
4,209–4,212: Strong supply zone, also a confluence with the previous peak area.
4,240–4,242: 1.618 Fibonacci extension + peak in the major supply zone → important target.
Support
4.107 – 4.110: Confluence of:
Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.618
EMA as support
Retest zone breakout
→ This is a priority buy area if the price pulls back.
📐 3. Fibonacci
The 0.5 – 0.618 Fibonacci of the rising wave is right in the green support zone → confirming strong demand.
The 1.618 Fibonacci extension points to 4.240 – 4.245 → most likely the final target of this rising wave.
BUY GOLD: 4107 - 4110
Stop Loss: 4097
Take Profit: 100-300-500 pips
SELL GOLD: 4209 - 4212
Stop Loss: 4222
Take Profit: 100-300-500 pips
BITCOIN (BTC/USD): Classic Bullish Pattern: Bulls Eye 96kBitcoin recently approached a significant horizontal support level.
Following this, the price formed a bullish imbalance and broke above the resistance line of a falling parallel channel, closing above it on a 4-hour timeframe.
We may anticipate further growth in the Bitcoin price, with a potential goal of 96,000.
ETHEREUM(ETH/USD): Consolidation – The Silence of VolatilityEven though ⚠️ETHEREUM is trading in a bearish trend since October, 📉
The pair has been in a deep consolidation, since the last 3 days 🗓️
The price is currently testing a strong horizontal support level where the price is consolidating. ↔️
Because the trend is strongly bearish, chances will be high to see
a further bearish continuation. 🐻
Your reliable confirmation will be a breakout and a 4H candle close below the underlined support. 🕯️
The next goal for the sellers will be 2840 🎯
Alternatively, the market may continue consolidating and trading within the range. 🔄






















