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BTC - Will the Bearish Channel continue?Market Context After a strong impulsive rally earlier in the year, BTC has been trading within a descending channel on the daily timeframe. This corrective structure suggests a period of consolidation and redistribution, as price oscillates between the channel's boundaries. The repeated rejection from the upper trendline and the inability to break through key highs reinforce the bearish bias in this structure. Buy Side Liquidity Sweep Potential Price is currently positioned just beneath a relatively clean swing high, sitting above the mid-range of the channel. This high represents a clear area of Buy Side Liquidity—stop losses from short positions and pending breakout orders from longs are likely clustered there. An engineered sweep of this high would serve as a strategic move for larger participants to collect liquidity before driving price lower. Fair Value Gap as a Pivot Point Beneath current price lies a Fair Value Gap—a visible inefficiency formed during a fast upward move earlier in the structure. This Gap remains unfilled and offers a compelling target for price once the Buy Side Liquidity Sweep occurs. It represents a logical zone for price to rebalance before deciding on continuation or reversal. Should price break below the Gap cleanly, it would confirm the bearish intent and potentially accelerate toward the lower bounds of the channel. Channel Continuation Structure The overall geometry of the channel remains intact, and the price respecting both upper and lower boundaries strengthens the likelihood of a continuation toward the downside. If the Buy Side Liquidity Sweep and subsequent rejection occur, the market could be poised for another leg lower—possibly seeking the next structural support closer to 90,000 or even toward the lower extremities of the channel around 80,000–82,000. Final Thoughts This chart reflects classic price delivery behavior: corrective structure, engineered liquidity sweeps, and the magnetic pull of inefficiencies like Fair Value Gaps. Whether you’re actively trading or simply observing, this is a clean, educational setup to learn from. If this breakdown helped you see the market a bit clearer, I’d really appreciate a like. And feel free to share your thoughts or counterviews in the comments—your insights make the analysis even more valuable.
Short
by Louigi_24
94
$RIOT Continues to Follow PathNASDAQ:RIOT Is sticking closely to the plan testing the bottom and top of the channel multiple times. Price closing above the weekly 200EMA and weekly pivot Friday will be a very bullish signal. As we have over 4 tests of the upper boundary resistance there is a high probability we break through and continue higher in a high degree wave 3. Initial targets are the weekly R5 pivot at $39 and all time high at range at $79. Price tested the .618 Fibonnaci retracement in a complex correction for wave 2. Analysis is invalidated below the channel support. Safe trading
NASDAQ:RIOT
by Maddox_Metrics
6
$IREN Killing It. More Upside?NASDAQ:IREN has poked above the true all time high range (Launch price dump excluded) in a high degree Elliot wave 3 Long term target remains the R5 weekly pivot at $40 but may over extend with a bullish Bitcoin and Macro economic tailwind, coupled with AI growth. Many thought this was a greedy target at $5 but now that price is $16 it doesn't look so bad. You have to know when to let the runners run, that is were the big bucks are trading! Any retracement of a decent degree should expect to find support at the weekly pivot $9.4 before continuing upwards and may present an excellent buying opportunity! I will be posting the signal levels on Substack. As always ,all time high range will be the next support if price continues upwards from here. Safe trading
NASDAQ:IREN
by Maddox_Metrics
2
$IREN Killing It. More Upside?NASDAQ:IREN has poked above the true all time high range (Launch price dump excluded) in a high degree Elliot wave 3 Long term target remains the R5 weekly pivot at $40 but may over extend with a bullish Bitcoin and Macro economic tailwind, coupled with AI growth. Many thought this was a greedy target at $5 but now that price is $16 it doesn't look so bad. You have to know when to let the runners run, that is were the big bucks are trading! Any retracement of a decent degree should expect to find support at the weekly pivot $9.4 before continuing upwards and may present an excellent buying opportunity! I will be posting the signal levels on Substack. As always ,all time high range will be the next support if price continues upwards from here. Safe trading
NASDAQ:IREN
by Maddox_Metrics
BITCOIN now starts ascent to $150k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed last week with a strong green 1W candle, recovering all loses and has started the current one with a stable rise. As stable as the whole Bull Cycle has been so far since the November 2022 market bottom. The current uptrend is the technical Bullish Leg that has always emerged the Triple Support Combo of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and former Resistance, turned Support (Pivot). As you can see, this has happened 2 times already and this is the 3rd. The previous one peaked a little above the 1.382 Fibonacci extension, which gives us an immediate Target on a 2-month horizon at $150000. This confirms a number of previous studies we conducted, all leading towards this price or around it. So do you think all roads lead to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
8
BVIV major BULL season ahead, BTC (from 106k) and ALTS ↑↑↑BVIV volatility index is a major confluence that 99% don't look at. Proof of this is there are only 3 posts about it, and one of them is mine lol. This is the 4th one. So you know its special. This btc index is a major predictor of the market. When this shifts majorly, the whole market gets magnetized by it in massive scale. Based on the current long term metrics. BVIV is hinting of another monster shift. It took 16 months for this signal to resurfaced. Last one was from September 2023, where BTC surge from 24k to 112k in 7 months. And as of this writing, June 2025 another big shift is transpiring after 16 months of long wait -- conveying another major ascend ahead in the next coming months. Ideal seeding season is now -- you cant miss out because this change in structure doesnt come often. When this shows up, YOU SHOW UP. :) Expect some weighty rise on the next few seasons. Market will be very very generous. Spotted at 106k btc / 2400 eth. Targets: Sky is the limit. TAYOR. Trade safely. Not financial advice.
VOLMEX:BVIVLong
by JSAL
Bitcoin Breakdown? Support Zone & CME Gap in FocusBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ), as anticipated in my previous analysis , attacked the Resistance lines and then resumed its decline. In previous analysis, both Long and Short positions could have been profitable . Bitcoin is approaching a Support zone($106,800-$105,820) and the CME gap($106,645-$106,295) . From an Elliott Wave theory perspective , it appears that Bitcoin has finally completed a five-wave impulsive move with the help of an Expanding Ending Diagonal . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support zone($106,800-$105,820) after breaking the lower line of the Expanding Ending Diagonal . Note: To break through the Support zone($106,800-$105,820), Bitcoin may potentially use either a Head and Shoulders pattern or a Bearish Quasimodo formation. Note: If Bitcoin breaks the Resistance lines, we can expect more pumps. Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,249-$105,094 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $109,483-$108,790 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
32
BTC's Situation, A Comprehensive Analysis !!!The situation has become quite strange. Bitcoin is forming deceptive patterns, and altcoins continue their downward trend. Currently, Bitcoin is positioned within two triangles—one symmetrical and the other descending. Now that Bitcoin has reached the top of the triangle and appears ready to break upward, it might actually be hiding yet another trap within the price action. This market has shown disregard for technical patterns, and every time the price approaches historically significant levels, it reveals its true intentions and disappoints us. This cycle tends to repeat. In my opinion, we’re likely to see one more drop in Bitcoin’s price. After that, instead of continuing the expected downtrend from the pattern, the price could break the descending formation and experience a strong upward move. Stay Awesome , CobraVanguard.
Long
by CobraVanguard
2
Bitcoin - Price struggles below resistance, correction to $104k?This 4-hour chart for BTC/USD illustrates a detailed technical analysis scenario highlighting key resistance and support zones, as well as a critical fair value gap (FVG). The chart shows that Bitcoin is currently facing strong resistance in the $108,000 to $109,000 range. This area has been tested multiple times without a successful breakout, indicating significant selling pressure. The price is currently trading just below this resistance zone, struggling to gain momentum above it. Support zone in the consolidation A clear support level has been marked in the recent consolidation area around $106,000. This zone has served as a short-term base during the recent upward movement, and a retest here could provide a temporary bounce or pause in bearish momentum. However, if this support fails to hold, the next major area of interest lies within the 4-hour bullish FVG between approximately $103,000 and $104,000. 4H FVG There is a clear 4-hour bullish FVG between approximately $103.000 and $104.000. This level can act as a strong support for buyers after filling up the inbalance zone. it is highly important to hold this level as support and not to break below it. Upside potential On the upside, if BTC can defend the support in the consolidation zone and reclaim momentum, a push back to the $108,000 to $109,000 resistance area is probable. A successful breakout above this zone would invalidate the bearish scenario and may trigger a bullish continuation, with the potential to reach higher targets such as $111,000 or beyond. Downside risk The downside risk becomes more pronounced if BTC breaks below the 4H FVG. A sustained move beneath this level would likely signal weakness in buyer interest and potentially open the path to deeper downside targets. In such a scenario, the price could accelerate lower toward the psychological support level at $100,000. This round number also carries technical and emotional significance for traders, which could create both a strong support area and potential buying interest. Conclusion In conclusion, Bitcoin remains at a critical juncture. The key levels to watch are the support within the current consolidation and the 4H FVG imbalance zone. A breakdown below the FVG could lead to a decline toward $100,000, while holding above these levels keeps the door open for another test of resistance at $108,000 to $109,000. A breakout from there would indicate bullish strength and a shift in market sentiment. Traders should remain cautious and reactive to how price behaves around these critical areas. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by Youriverse
47
BTC/USD Short Setup – Breakdown from Bear Flag Edge🚀||| 👆Your Boost is appreciated in Advance👆 |||🚀 Thesis: Bitcoin is trading within a well-defined descending channel, potentially forming a bear flag on the higher time frame. Price is currently hovering just below the key resistance zone near $108,600 (“The Edge”), failing to reclaim the upper boundary of the flag. ================================================================== Entry: 🔻 Short at $106,850 – Price is rejecting the upper channel resistance and failing to break above “The Edge” Stop-Loss: 🔺 $109,000 – Above the recent swing high and invalidation of the flag structure Take-Profit 1: ✅ $104,700 🎯 Take-Profit 2: ✅ $102,400 🎯 Optional extended: TP4: $98,000 – Full measured move of the flag breakdown Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:1 to 1:4 depending on target ==================================================================== #MJTrading #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #ShortSetup #BearFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketStructure #SwingTrade #TradingView
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by MJElahifx
2
BTC - Consolidation, Manipulation & DistributionMarket Context The current price action unfolds within the broader structure of a bullish leg that began after a sharp reversal near 97,000. This impulsive rally created a clear Fair Value Gap on the 4-hour chart—left behind as price surged upward with minimal resistance. Following this move, the market entered a consolidation phase, forming a range that has now broken to the upside. This kind of breakout often attracts breakout traders, but in this case, the context signals something more calculated. Buy Side Liquidity Sweep Following Consolidation The breakout above the consolidation range led directly into a Buy Side Liquidity Sweep, as price ran the highs just above the marked range. These highs acted as a magnet for liquidity—stop losses from short sellers and buy stops from breakout traders were likely pooled in that area. The quick rejection following this sweep suggests the move was not backed by genuine demand, but rather served the purpose of liquidity collection by larger players. Manipulation and Distribution This is a textbook example of manipulation into liquidity. Price was engineered to move upward into a zone of interest, taking out the Buy Side Liquidity before sharply reversing. The strong rejection signals distribution—institutions likely offloaded positions into the influx of late buyers. This kind of pattern often precedes a larger markdown, particularly when followed by lower timeframe bearish structure breaks. Unfilled Fair Value Gap as a Draw Beneath the price lies an unfilled Fair Value Gap, a zone of imbalance left behind by the earlier impulsive move. These areas often act as magnets for price, especially once liquidity objectives to the upside have been completed. Now that the sweep has occurred and distribution is underway, there is a strong probability that price will begin to seek rebalancing within this Gap. The area between 104,000 and 103,500 stands out as a high-probability target for the next leg down. Execution Insight If you're looking to enter short, it may be wise to wait for confirmation on a lower timeframe—such as a bearish break of structure or an internal Gap forming during the retracement. A 5-minute timeframe can often give early signs of rejection or supply stepping in. Being patient and allowing the market to reveal intent is crucial, especially after liquidity-driven moves like this. Final Thoughts Price doesn’t move randomly—it seeks liquidity and fills inefficiencies. This chart beautifully illustrates that logic, from engineered consolidation to a manipulative sweep, and now potentially toward rebalancing. If you found this breakdown helpful, I’d really appreciate a like—it helps support the work and keeps this kind of content going. Let me know in the comments what you think, or if you’re seeing it differently. I'm always up for a good discussion.
Short
by Louigi_24
198
Bitcoin Mid Term Game Plan - BTC PLANBitcoin just broke a key resistance level with strength. I expect a new all-time high soon, likely the summer top. Summer markets are usually weak for risk assets and strong for gold. Seasonality matters, keep that in mind. I expect risk markets to sell off until mid-July to early August. I’ll start buying once we break structure again. The plan: Wait for BTC to hit $110K Look for a reversal from that level Start aggressively shorting alts, beginning with ETH and memecoins Hold shorts until late July / early August Close positions and shift back to buying
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by UA_CAPITAL
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Hit a New ATH?!Bitcoin is trading above the 50- and 200-EMAs on the four-hour time frame and is within its short-term descending channel. Bitcoin can be bought from the demand zone indicated. A break of the channel ceiling would pave the way for Bitcoin to rise to a new ATH. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. In recent days, Bitcoin has been trading in a range of around $107,000, and the market is going through a consolidation phase with complex but deeply fundamental characteristics. What matters at this point is not just the current price, but the precise mix of capital flows, the behavior of major players, on-chain data, and macroeconomic ratios that shape Bitcoin’s short- and medium-term trajectory. Overall, although Bitcoin’s rapid growth after the halving has stopped, internal market signals point to a continuation of the upward trajectory in a more stable framework. The first important component is the significant influx of institutional capital into the market via ETFs. In the past week, according to CoinShares, more than $1.24 billion in new capital entered crypto products, with Bitcoin accounting for more than $1.1 billion. This marks the 10th consecutive week of capital inflows into the market, bringing the total inflows for 2025 to over $15 billion. Prominent ETFs such as BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC are attracting hundreds of Bitcoins per day, indicating steady institutional demand that has weathered the momentary volatility and is more focused on long-term asset building. Alongside this capital inflow, the Onchain data also paints a mixed but highly interpretable picture. While the average active address rate has declined slightly and the MVRV (market value to realized value) has fallen from 2.29 to 2.20, these changes are more indicative of profit-taking by investors than selling pressure! In fact, rather than fear of a correction or crash, the market is witnessing a “gentle shift of ownership” between short-term and long-term holders. UTXO data also shows a roughly 5% increase in Bitcoin held for over 8 years, a strong sign of long-term accumulation and a decrease in the willingness to sell at current prices! This can be seen as a period of supply and demand equilibrium; a period in which large investors have entered, but on the other hand, some older players are taking reasonable profits. This has led to a kind of price consolidation, which in June showed itself with only 2% growth—the weakest monthly growth since July last year. However, CoinDesk and Glassnode analysts rightly emphasize that this consolidation is not a sign of market weakness, but rather evidence of the maturity of Bitcoin’s price behavior. The price is reacting to data rather than becoming emotional. From a macroeconomic perspective, Bitcoin remains highly sensitive to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, the value of the dollar, and interest rates. While the market is still waiting for interest rate cuts in the second half of the year, Bitcoin will remain in a quasi-expectant state until then, reacting to macro data, short-term and reactive. However, given that most ETFs follow long-term accumulation models, any stabilization in interest rates or easing geopolitical pressures could trigger a new wave of upside. Common analyst scenarios predict a range of $120,000-$130,000 for Bitcoin by the end of the summer if current conditions are maintained and capital inflows continue. In summary, Bitcoin is now at a stage where the dynamic combination of institutional accumulation, supply and demand balance, and on-chain data has transformed it from a purely risky asset into a strategic investment vehicle. The market has moved beyond the emotional phase and entered a phase of stability and maturity. This is a promising sign for long-term investors, provided that risk management is maintained and sensitivity to macro events is maintained. Bitcoin is preparing for the next stage of its rally—but unlike in the past, this time it is standing on the shoulders of fundamentals that are much stronger than at any time in the asset’s history. ETFs with the most volume traded on Friday Total: $501M BlackRock: $153M Fidelity: $165M Grayscale: $0M
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Bitcoin Approaches PRZ – Will the Falling Wedge Break ?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) failed to break through the Support zone($106,800-$105,820) after attacking it five times , and started to rise again. Bitcoin is currently moving near the Resistance zone($109,220-$108,280) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($108,800-$108,085) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Resistance lines . From a Classical Technical Analysis perspective , Bitcoin's movements over the past two days seem to have formed a Falling Wedge Pattern . From an Elliott Wave theory perspective , Bitcoin appears to have completed the main wave 4 within the Falling Wedge Pattern. The structure of the main wave 4 was a Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Bitcoin to attack the Resistance lines after breaking the upper line of the Falling Wedge Pattern . If Bitcoin fails to break the Resistance lines before the global markets close , we can expect Bitcoin to fall again. Because entering Saturday and Sunday , the trading volume is generally low , and I think Bitcoin needs a lot of volume to break the resistances . Do you agree with me? CME Gap: $106,645-$106,295 Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,055-$105,430 Note: If Bitcoin manages to break the Support zone($106,800-$105,820), we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
31