BTC - Will the Bears finally get their chance?Buy Side Liquidity Sweep in Progress
Price is currently climbing toward a region densely packed with resting buy side liquidity, marked by multiple previous highs. The area around 108,900 to 111,000 is especially significant, with two clear liquidity pools stacked above recent swing highs. These levels are likely to attract price as market participants seek to trigger stop orders and induce fresh buying interest—setting the stage for a potential reversal.
Weakness in the Current Impulse
The recent rally has advanced with minimal retracement and virtually no visible Gaps. This lack of corrective structure often indicates imbalance and suggests the move is overextended. When price moves upward too cleanly, it tends to leave behind thin liquidity zones, making the entire leg vulnerable to a sharper correction once exhaustion sets in.
Fair Value Gap as a Draw Below
Below current price lies a prominent bullish Fair Value Gap around 104,000. This inefficiency was left unfilled during the last leg up and may now serve as a magnet for price. These types of Gaps are often revisited by the market in an effort to rebalance supply and demand, especially after aggressive moves that break structure to the upside.
Once the higher liquidity levels are swept, watch for a clear reaction—either a strong rejection or lower timeframe structure shift—which could signal that the top is in. If that shift materializes, price may begin a downward leg targeting the unfilled Gap below. The magnitude of the move, combined with the lack of structure on the way up, leaves plenty of room for corrective action.
For those looking to engage, waiting for confirmation on a lower timeframe—such as a break of short-term bullish structure or the formation of a bearish Gap—can help time entries more precisely. In setups like these, patience is key: let the Sweep play out, observe how price reacts, and only then consider stepping in.
Btc-bitcoin
IRENs Incredible Surge Continue next wWeek?NASDAQ:IREN has been on a rampage since the April surging 175% and nearing all time high! A great couple of trades for us so far!
Price is likely to hit all time high next week with such a strong trend, where resistance and a pullback is a high probability.
The weekly pivot is $9.77, the most likely area for price to find support just above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement (which will be dragged up to the weekly pivot once a new high is made).
Price discovery terminal target are the R3 & R5 weekly pivot points at $28 and $40.
Safe trading
HolderStat┆BTCUSD aiming for 112kBINANCE:BTCUSDT is forming a bullish continuation structure after bouncing from the mid-range. With support holding and consolidation patterns completing, price action suggests a rally toward the 115,000 resistance line. Triangle and consolidation behavior confirms a strong uptrend continuation setup.
MOONPIG - Solana Meme Coin Ready to Rocket in the Next Bull RunTechnical Analysis: Bullish Signals Flashing Bright:
The MOONPIG/USDT chart is painting a bullish picture. After a sharp retracement from its all-time high near a $125M market cap, the token has found solid support around $0.0045 and is now trading at $0.0052, showing signs of a reversal. Here’s what the charts tell us:
Breakout Momentum: On the 6-hour chart, $MOONPIG recently broke above a key downtrend line, signaling a shift from bearish to bullish momentum. A potential double bottom pattern suggests a continuation toward $0.008 or higher.
Support and Resistance: The $0.0045 level has held as strong support, with resistance looming near $0.0075 (a recent high). A clean break above $0.0075 could open the door to $0.01 or beyond, aligning with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the recent swing low.
With Bitcoin rallying and altcoins showing signs of life, $MOONPIG’s technical setup screams opportunity for traders eyeing a breakout.
Fundamentals:
Community Power: With over 18,000 holders as of early June 2025, $MOONPIG boasts a fiercely loyal community. Unlike many meme coins reliant on paid shills, its growth is organic, driven by retail investors who love its “normie-friendly” branding. Posts on X highlight strong morale, with users like JamesWynnReal calling it a “raging bull flag” poised for a $50M–$100M market cap.
Exchange Listings: Recent listings on HTX Global, MEXC, and LBank have boosted liquidity and visibility, with more exchanges reportedly in talks. These listings are a catalyst for retail FOMO, as seen in the $7M+ on-chain trading volume.
Solana’s Hot Streak: Solana’s fast, low-cost blockchain is the perfect home for meme coins like $MOONPIG. With Solana’s ecosystem thriving and retail interest in tokens like $POPCAT and SEED_WANDERIN_JIMZIP900:WIF soaring, $MOONPIG is well-positioned to ride the wave of altseason capital inflows.
Market Timing: As Bitcoin nears new highs and market sentiment turns bullish, low-cap meme coins historically see explosive gains.
Bitcoin Reaches PRZ with Bearish Signals — Is a Drop Imminent?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has reached the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) as I expected in yesterday's post .
Bitcoin is trading in the Heavy Resistance zone($110,720-$105,820) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and near the Resistance lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has managed to complete the main wave 5 with the help of the Ending Diagonal . The structure of wave 5 can be different.
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks.
I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least $105,400 .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $107,334-$108,250
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $105,037-$103,392
Note: We could be in for a bit of excitement in the financial markets during Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech.
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $109,020 = We can expect more pumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC/USD 1h Chart Analysis: BTFDBitcoin is showing a bullish structure on the 1h timeframe with a potential move towards $109,000.
On smaller timeframes, it exhibits a clear "buy the dip" profile.
Key Levels:
$109,000: Potential upside target.
$107,000: Resistance/Support zone to watch for rejection.
$105,000: Low Volume Node (LVN*) a possible good long entry zone.
$102,000 - $100,000: Support levels to monitor if $105,000 fails.
Currently it have bullish trend with a potential dip near $105,000 showing good entry point.
SatochiTrader Expecting a huge BTC CRASH AFTER This..BTC Market Update by SatochiTrader
EVERY CRASH DID START WITH A FALSE INCREASE TREND.
Depending on the market sentiment and price action, BTC is currently showing strength with a positive trend. However, based on deeper data and insights held by myself and a small group of early-cycle followers, this current movement may be a deceptive signal — potentially foreshadowing a major crash.
This is not trading advice. Those who are confident in the long position should continue, and those on the other side should stay prepared as well.
We have previously explained that the current cycle appears to have ended. Since 2013, BTC has consistently respected its macro cycle targets. The end of such a cycle typically leads to significant corrections.
A cycle ending implies not just a retracement, but the potential for a major crash. Hedge funds and real BTC whales understand the underlying indicators and risks at play. Our expectation remains clear: BTC may soon fall below the 100K level, with $85K identified as a critical support and target zone.
Stay sharp. Stay informed. The market may look bullish — until it isn't.
The best way to follow BTC is not the news.. but the cycle overview.
This update is an education update, which means the high expectations of the upcoming correction for BTC.
Compared to last quarter, miners are now less severely underpaid, though profitability remains low
2/1/15I’ve found a fractal on Bitcoin. Today is June 25, 2025, 13:22 — I’m analyzing the 2-hour timeframe from the high on May 22 up to today, and the same pattern of pre-accumulation is forming as in 2024, from March 13 to July 29, 2024.
We are also inside a pattern I named “Dragon’s Wings.” It forms two peaks at the highs after a strong rally, and the shared low between them creates a deep retracement.
Whether this pattern leads to the beginning of a major drop and a bear cycle, or whether it’s a pre-accumulation structure in a buffer zone, depends on the area in which it forms.
In this case, the 93–74K zone is potentially a re-accumulation zone, with a reversal to the upside — possibly taking Bitcoin above $140,000.
What now BTC?#bitcoin price has been moving in an ascending wedge for a few days. Although ascending wedges may end up bearish, there' s another chance for #btc price to break out this wedge and catch upper liquidities above 108K. But, also there' s a bearish divergence has been forming in this lower time frame chart of #btcusdt .
Maker may ignore this divergence and allow bots to print another HH but it' s now wise to be careful and watch out. The reverse is acceptable for #usdt dominance chart.
Breaking out 110K is the temporary invalidation of bull trap and above 120K is the complete invalidation.
Bitcoin Roadmap: Key Levels to WatchBitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) managed to pump as I expected yesterday , of course, the main catalyst could have been the ceasefire announcement between Iran and Israel , which had a major impact on high and medium risk assets in the financial markets .
Bitcoin is once again moving near the Heavy Resistance zone($110,720-$105,820) and the Resistance zone($107,520-$106,100) after breaking the Resistance lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that given Bitcoin’s bullish momentum , Bitcoin has completed the main wave 3 and is currently completing the main wave 4 on the 1-hour time frame . The corrective wave structure of wave 4 could be a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again near the Support zone($104,380-$103,060) , 50_SMA(Daily) , Support lines , and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($104,412-$103,812) to rise at least to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Resistance lines .
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $102,600 = We can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin Reclaims Momentum: War Fears Fading, Bulls Eye $125K! MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN just delivered a powerful bounce right off the critical $100K level. A key psychological and technical support zone tested multiple times in recent sessions. This time, the bounce came with strong volume confirmation, signaling renewed buyer interest. As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East begin to ease, market confidence is returning, fueling bullish sentiment across the board.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC now looks poised to retest the $110K resistance zone, where some short-term rejection could occur. However, a decisive breakout above $110K opens the gates for a potential rally toward the next major target at $125K. Stay sharp, always manage your risk, and don’t forget to set a proper stop loss. The trend is strong, and momentum is building!
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BTCUSD: Minimum target for this Cycle is 150,000Bitcoin turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.882, MACD = -410.600, ADX = 22.509) as it recovered the losses of the last 2 days thanks to the Truce announcement between Israel and Iran. The long term picture couldn't be more bullish however as it hasn't even hit the bottom red zone of the Logarithmic Growth Curves model. According to the Time Cycles that mark each Cycle High, the Top for this Cycle is estimated to be between October and December. By October 2025, the top of the first profit taking zone (lightest pink) would be $150,000. That is technically the bare minimum of Top that should be expected based on the current LGC model. Technically it can even hit $200,000 but fundamentals have to help a lot in this scenario (adoption, ETFs, rate cuts).
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Another Edge - Decision time | Buy? or Sell? share your opinionTitle: BTCUSD: At The Edge – Decision Time Looms
Idea: Bitcoin is currently flirting with "The Edge"—a key decision zone near $98,000 where trend dynamics could shift sharply. After touching the lower boundary of a descending channel, BTC is testing support that could mark either a springboard for a bullish reversal or a trapdoor for further downside.
If bulls reclaim territory above the descending resistance line and push toward $104,000, we may see a trend breakout and renewed upside momentum. Confirmation with volume would strengthen the case for a long position, targeting the $111,917 level.
However, failure to hold "The Edge" could open the door to a swift move lower toward the $91,666 then $85,000 support zone, especially if accompanied by broader risk-off sentiment.
Trade Plan:
• Long above $100K with confirmation and strong volume;
target $111,917.
Stop below $97K.
• Short on breakdown below $97K with bearish momentum;
target $91,666.
Stop above $100K.
Watching: Volume spikes, macro news, and behavior around the channel boundaries.
🚀 Will Bitcoin bounce off the edge—or fall into the abyss?
#MJTrading #BTC #Bitcoin #Buy #long #chart #signal #forex
ADA | BTC | ET | Why ALTSEASON is COMING SOONAfter a -34% retracement, ADA is ready to go higher alongside with the rest of the alt market.
We see a very interesting phenomena here, were ADA also represents a large part of the larger alts: BTC pulls back, ETH is starting to increase or trades sideways (before the increase) whilst the alts dip.
This is actually BULLISH for alts, showing the very clear rotation between BTC, ETH and top 15 alts.
If we look at the macro of ANY of the alts I've been working through recently, a similar pattern appears - a clear bottom, followed by a sideways trade. This is usually the point just before the big ALTS season.
We actually see this pattern at the end of the 2018 rally, as well as after the 202- Covid dip:
The bottom line -
ADA and other alts are gearing up for their ALTSEASON. With patience, we will soon see some great gains across the markets.
Bitcoin Breakout Incoming? Flash PMI & CME Gap in FocusBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall ( about -4%) after the news that the US was involved in the Middle East tension , but it has risen again with good momentum .
Do you think Bitcoin will go below the previous bottom($98,200) again on the 1-hour time frame?
Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zonezone($102,130-$100,700) and near the Resistance lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it appears that a Double Three Correction(WXY) has been completed near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Also, the first 5 microwaves of the Impulsive have now been completed .
---------------------------------
Bitcoin traders should monitor today’s Flash Manufacturing (expected 51.1) and Services PMI (expected 52.9) . Both forecasts are already lower than last month’s figures (51.3 and 54.8) , but I see a chance they come in even weaker.
Why weaker PMI is likely?
Slowing retail sales and softer labor data point to reduced consumer demand.
High interest rates are starting to pressure both the production and services sectors.
Regional Fed surveys already showed a cooling in business activity.
If the PMI prints below expectations, the market may anticipate a more dovish Fed, pushing the dollar( TVC:DXY ) down and giving Bitcoin a potential bullish boost.
---------------------------------
I expect Bitcoin to move towards filling the CME Gap($103,730-$102,275) after breaking the Resistance lines , and if the Resistance zone($104,380-$103,060) is broken, we should expect further increases.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $103,391-$103,934
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $100,800-$100,250
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $97,691-$97,241
Note: Increased tensions in the Middle East or new and important news surrounding this news can make the analysis invalid, so be more careful with capital management.
Note: If Bitcoin can touch $98,170 , we can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTC Textbook Elliot Waves!CRYPTOCAP:BTC local analysis hasn't changed in a few weeks.
Price printed another text book Elliot motif wave, with the wave 4 triangle terminal pattern ending in the usual thrust up with a poke above all time high.
Price is also printing a textbook ABC for wave 2 with 5 waves down for A, 3 waves up for B and a strong wave C down to finish. Wave C's are always the strongest.
Pattern suggests price has one more push lower to complete this corrective wave tapping the quadruple support: S1 daily pivot, ascending daily 200EMA, major support High Volume Node (HVN) and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at 92-94k range.
Most investors are publicly calling for buys in this area so price may be front run by the whales! The consensus often do not get what they want.
Safe trading
Bitcoin Under PressureBitcoin remains mired in a bearish trend as price action struggles below key moving averages—the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day—all of which point to sustained downside pressure. On the higher timeframes, a clear descending trendline from the April–May highs remains firmly intact, reinforcing the macro downtrend.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to hover in the neutral-to-lower zones, with recent bounces still failing to cross bullish thresholds. A short-term relief rally emerged post-news volatility, with price attempting to retest the supply zone between $103.9K and $104K—a region of confluence with bearish Fibonacci levels and previous order blocks.
However, rejection at this level could set the stage for a further breakdown, targeting the $96.3K–$95.5K range. In the 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes, Fibonacci retracements and a climbing RSI suggest short-term relief is plausible, but a lower high formation would confirm continued bearish control.
BTC remains technically vulnerable despite short-term bounces, while geopolitical events and U.S. policy narratives shape market sentiment. Yet behind the volatility, continued ETF inflows, stablecoin stability, and altcoin resilience signal a market that, while cautious, remains fundamentally engaged.
Traders and investors alike should stay focused on key resistance levels for BTC, monitor developments in Middle Eastern tensions and U.S. crypto policy, and watch ETF and stablecoin flows as barometers of broader market conviction.
Crypto $TOTAL Market Cap Hopeful Weekly CloseWhat a wild close to the Week for the Crypto CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Market Cap
Closed just above the 50% Gann level within the POI, but failed to close above the EMA9.
Strong bounce off the SMA20 still shows bull have some gas left in the tank, but I suspect we go lower with such a massive bearish candle on the week.
SMA50 is ~2.8T
$BTC Heading to the Long-Awaited 200DMA Retest ~$96kFULFILL THY PROPHECY 📖
CRYPTOCAP:BTC making its way down to the long-awaited 200DMA retest, which just so happens to show confluence with the .618 Fib level at $96k.
RSI shows a bit more room to the downside as well.
Make sure to get those bids in!
Dollar's Decline: Global Economic ShiftsYou're probably wondering why I'm talking about the dollar on the Bitcoin chart. It's because I want you to look a few steps ahead.
That's why this post is for people like that.
1. Global Economic Transformations: Collapse of the Jamaican Monetary System
Insights and Logic:
We are witnessing the end of the Jamaican monetary system, established in 1976 following the collapse of the Bretton Woods system.
The Jamaican system's key feature is free (yet conditionally market-driven) exchange rates and the global dominance of the U.S. dollar.
For decades, the U.S. utilized the dollar's reserve currency status to finance budget and trade deficits without equivalent value returns—a beneficial "global tax."
Facts:
Currently, over 60% of global reserves are denominated in dollars (IMF data), but diversification is accelerating.
The U.S. is facing a "liquidity trap": to sustain markets, the Fed must print money, exacerbating inflation and weakening the dollar's global effectiveness.
Analogy:
Just as Nixon abolished the gold standard in 1971, we are now witnessing the abolition of the dollar's global standard—not abandoning the dollar as a reserve currency, but its monopoly.
2. Political Environment in the U.S.: Trump, Tariffs, and Managed Uncertainty
Insights:
Court decisions against Trump's tariffs are political tools, especially prior to congressional elections.
Democrats aren't just fighting for power—they systematically undermine Trump's economic policies in voters' eyes.
Systematic Explanation:
Virtually any presidential decree in the U.S. can be challenged legally. Lower-court decisions rarely withstand appeals, yet they create temporary buffers allowing policy adjustments.
This enables Trump to recalibrate his trade model systematically without losing face.
Conclusion:
The U.S. operates under "managed uncertainty," where seemingly chaotic political behaviors are structured adaptation mechanisms to global changes.
3. Mass Market and Sixth Technological Paradigm: NBIC as Foundation for Future Growth
Insights:
The future mass market will be built around NBIC technologies:
* Nano—new materials and sensors;
* Bio—biotech, genetic engineering, life extension;
* Info—digital platforms, neural networks, blockchain;
* Cogno—cognitive interfaces, AI, neural interfaces.
Historical Analogy:
Just as cars and mobile phones defined the mass market of the 20th century, longevity treatments, AI services, and neural devices will define the 21st century.
Facts:
Examples of current "false starts": Nvidia, Palantir, OpenAI—stock price volatility relates not to technology failures but premature valuation.
Forecast:
The next 20 years will see growth in new sectors, dominated by those capturing mass consumers, not just investors.
4. Digitalization and Geo-economics: Telegram, AI, and Control
Facts:
Telegram plans to integrate Grok neural network—a signal of the digital merger of communication, payment platforms, and behavioral analytics.
Insight:
Telegram as a future super-app: messaging, finance, AI assistance—all-in-one.
This is a media reset: traditional platforms like Bloomberg and CNBC lose influence to those controlling data flows directly.
Conclusion:
Information landscapes become automated—algorithms, not journalists, manage narratives.
5. **Europe: From "Progress Locomotive" to Stagnation and Subcontracting**
Facts:
Germany has been in recession for three consecutive years. The average age is 46.
Pension burdens and social standards make the economic model (Rhineland capitalism) unsustainable.
Ideological Crisis:
Europe is split into "transhumanist" (West) and "neoconservative" (East) factions.
The neoconservative revolution is gaining ground in Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, Romania, and even eastern Germany.
Conclusion:
Europe is skipping the sixth technological paradigm, becoming a "comfortable but uncompetitive" zone. Europe's "Japanification"—a path without acute crises but also without growth.
6. Future Growth Centers: Asia and the Global South with Risks
Facts and Locations:
Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand—dynamic economies with high ROI and moderate political risks.
Philippines, Taiwan—potential proxy-conflict zones between the U.S. and China.
Logic:
Global capital moves towards higher returns rather than better living standards.
Asia becomes a new economic and geopolitical battleground similar to 20th-century Europe.
7. Role of Cryptocurrencies and USDT, USDC: Transition to Digital Dollar
Facts:
U.S. authorities view cryptocurrencies, especially USDT, as tools to reboot the dollar model.
USDT effectively integrates the dollar into the crypto economy, maintaining Treasury demand and allowing dollar exports outside the U.S.
Insights:
Unlike CBDCs, the U.S. digital dollar (via stablecoins) enables global expansion rather than local control.
The U.S. aims to lead the new monetary evolution—digital dominance instead of fiat.
8. Prospects in Latin America: Argentina, Mexico, and Risks
Argentina Analysis:
President Milei implements neoliberal reforms akin to Ukraine's: reduced state role and deregulation.
Possible outcomes: deindustrialization, increased poverty, export dependency.
Positives:
No war risks, resource-rich (oil, wine, food), good medicine and education standards (legacy).
Mexico:
High growth yet severe crime levels—excellent for business, risky for life.
9. Global Hybrid War Instead of a Third World War
Concept:
Not a "world war" but a global hybrid war: multiple power centers, proxy conflicts, shifting alliances.
Theaters of conflict: Asia (especially the South China Sea), potentially the Middle East and Africa.
Strategic Conclusion:
Avoid proxy countries; prefer "neutral dynamic" regions like Indonesia, Vietnam.
About DXY
I have been talking about the fall of the dollar index for a very long time.
September is coming soon
Best regards EXCAVO