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Bitcoin's Structure Breaks — PRZ May Trigger a BounceBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has finally continued its downward trend , as I expected in my previous idea . Do you think this downward trend will continue or not? Bitcoin has now managed to break the Support zone($104,180-$103,670) and the lower line of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave C of the main wave Y of the Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Bitcoin to continue to decline to the Support zone($102,000-$107,120) and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and then start to rise again. I choose to label this idea as ''Long''. Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,200, we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
19
BTC (Y25.P2.E6).Likely fractalHi Traders, I'm looking at this level as a likely scenario. Why? Its happened x2 in the past when we made ATH. A 12 and 14% retracement. The liquidity is there, the incentive is there and a low like this will make people sell as to think the bull run is over. We have our levels to trade for shorts and longs but ultimately, I think it will make its way down to here. As per my post, this current level was a long entry and I'm in a long, however its not the response I was hoping for. So its likely a scalp trade and hence I will be looking for a short as well. All the best. S.SAri Y24, March ATH Y21 ATH current support, AvWap
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by ssari
Bitcoin – Entering a distribution phase after a bull trap?Since the second week of May, Bitcoin (BTC) has exhibited a textbook accumulation phase, with a well-defined trading range forming just below the previous all-time high. Beginning around May 12, price action became increasingly compressed, marked by a series of higher lows and relatively flat resistance, indicating growing demand and waning selling pressure. This consolidation structure persisted for more than a week, suggesting that larger players were accumulating positions in anticipation of a breakout. Now it could be making the Power of 3. Accumulation, manipulation and distribution. Accumulation, manipulation and distribution Eventually, this coiled energy resolved to the upside. BTC broke through the upper boundary of the accumulation zone with increasing volume and momentum, triggering a sharp rally and leading to the formation of a new all-time high. At that point, market sentiment turned decidedly bullish, with breakout traders entering the market, expecting continuation. However, the price failed to sustain above the previous ATH for long. Despite the breakout’s initial strength, Bitcoin was unable to establish a solid foothold above the critical psychological and technical level, which has now proven to be a key inflection point. Soon after setting a new high, BTC began to reverse, shedding gains and retracing back below the former resistance level, which had temporarily acted as support. The breakdown below the $106,000 mark, previously the ceiling of the accumulation range, signaled a notable shift in market structure. What was initially viewed as a healthy continuation pattern evolved into what now appears to be a classic bull trap. This type of failed breakout often leaves market participants vulnerable, as late buyers are caught in drawdowns and early longs may be incentivized to exit positions. Given this context, the recent price action carries the hallmarks of a Power of 3, where market makers and institutions may be offloading positions to less informed participants. This phase is often mistaken for continued accumulation by retail traders due to its structural similarity; however, the key difference lies in the failure to maintain new highs and the emergence of lower highs on any attempted bounce. The rejection above the ATH and the subsequent breakdown below $106K has introduced significant overhead supply, which may act as resistance in the near term. Target levels As BTC continues to trade below this critical level, the likelihood of a further retracement grows. The market appears to be transitioning into a phase of redistribution or distribution proper, where price is likely to be capped on rallies and pressured lower over time. It is reasonable to expect that Bitcoin could revisit $100.000 to mid-$90,000s, an area that may serve as a magnet for liquidity and a potential staging ground for the next major move. This region could represent a "Last Point of Supply" (LPSY) within the Wyckoff framework, typically the final area where smart money distributes before initiating a more decisive markdown phase. Nevertheless, this potential pullback should not be viewed solely as a sign of weakness. In many bull cycles, such corrections and shakeouts serve to flush out over-leveraged positions and reset sentiment, ultimately laying the groundwork for renewed upward momentum. Should BTC find stability and demand re-emerge in the $95K–$100K range, it could mark the beginning of a new re-accumulation phase, leading to a healthier and more sustainable advance. Conclusion In summary, the recent breakout above ATH followed by a sharp reversal and loss of key support paints a cautionary picture in the short term. Bitcoin may currently be navigating a distribution zone, with downside pressure likely to persist as the market digests recent gains. However, such corrections are typical in broader uptrends and often present opportunities for strategic entries once the next accumulation structure becomes clear. Patience and disciplined observation will be essential as the market defines its next directional bias. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
60
BTC FRACTAL : Has BTC been following THIS EXACT PATTERN?The only difference in terms of the first peak, is the duration. But even the pullback size has been similar: Interestingly, in terms of the second peak, the increase from the corrective bottom to the new ATH is almost exact at 122%: Here's why we MAY still have a small push upward: - The previous time, the peak was at least 6% higher. Currently, that would put us around 116K. - The current pennant pattern is different from the previous bearish flag. 2%: Pattern: Do you think the bearish cycle is starting, or is another push up likely? ___________________ BINANCE:BTCUSD
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Crypto-Check-
1
Bitcoin’s Rally Fades Below Resistances — Bearish Wave Setup!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall as I expected in the previous idea , but failed to break the Heavy Resistance zone($110,000-$105,820) . Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($107,520-$105,940) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($106,720-$105,948) , and the Resistance lines . From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to have completed a main wave 4 near the Resistance lines. The structure of the main wave 4 was a Double Three Correction(WXY) . One of the signs of the completion of the main wave 4 could be the Evening Star Candlestick Pattern . I expect Bitcoin to decline to at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($103,666-$102,800) AFTER breaking the Support line , and the next target is the Support zone($102,000-$107,120) . Note: Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine could help drive down Bitcoin. Note: If Bitcoin touches $107,600, we can expect more pumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
42
AUDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDCHF is currently breaking out of a textbook falling wedge pattern on the 4H chart, signaling a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Price action has been consolidating within this structure for several weeks, creating lower highs and lower lows, but with clear bullish divergence beginning to show up in recent sessions. The breakout around the 0.53300 zone marks a significant technical confirmation that bulls are taking control, with eyes now on the 0.54400 target. From a fundamental standpoint, the Australian dollar is gaining strength backed by hawkish sentiment from the RBA. Despite global uncertainties, the RBA’s firm stance on managing inflation is keeping the Aussie resilient. On the flip side, the Swiss franc has been showing signs of relative weakness due to softer inflation readings and safe-haven outflows as global risk sentiment improves. This macro backdrop is creating favorable conditions for AUDCHF to rally. Technically, this breakout aligns with strong market structure and volume support, making this a high-conviction bullish setup. The breakout candle is closing above resistance with momentum, and as long as price holds above the 0.53250–0.53000 zone, bulls are likely to maintain control. With the falling wedge breakout and favorable risk-reward setup, the upside move toward 0.54400 looks increasingly probable. This is a clean price action play with fundamental alignment. The breakout not only confirms the end of the previous downtrend, but also opens up space for a bullish wave to unfold. Momentum traders and swing traders will want to watch this closely as AUDCHF transitions from accumulation to a potential bullish expansion phase.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
Bitcoin Brewing - A large move is coming!Bitcoin has been under pressure over the last few trading sessions. Despite the equity markets going higher this asset is stuck in a holding pattern. We are currently forming a wedge pattern that has given us a directional bias to trade. Price action is at a 50/50 in terms of falling lower or rallying higher. Being the fact that the bulls have been forming higher lows & higher highs, we have to give them due respect. However understand this BTC is showing some distribution signs and is likely going to have a decent selloff within the next 15-45days. We may have 1 more spike higher but we may not. 1 note of interest is the 7day & 20 day moving average just signaled a bearish crossover which is something you need to monitor closely. I do think the upside is limited to about 115K if we have 1 more move higher.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Trading-Capital
BTC - Will BTC fill the 4H inbalance at $107.400Bitcoin (BTC) is currently exhibiting a clear downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe. During the most recent downward move, it left behind an imbalance, specifically, a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), which the price is now retracing toward. This area represents a potential zone of interest for entering a short position, given the prevailing bearish structure. At the same time, BTC is approaching the golden pocket of the Fibonacci retracement, a level often watched by traders for potential reversals. This zone coincides with a former support level that provided multiple bounces in the past, but has now flipped into a potential resistance. The confluence of these factors could add significant selling pressure. It’s important to note that BTC does not necessarily need to reach the imbalance zone to resume its downward movement. However, the presence of that FVG remains a relevant detail to monitor in case price action does continue higher before reversing. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
14
BTCUSDT – Ready for the next downward move🚀 Trade Setup Details: 🕯 #BTC/USDT 🔽 Sell | Short 🔽 ⌛️ TimeFrame: 15m -------------------- 🛡 Risk Management: 🛡 If Your Account Balance: $1000 🛡 If Your Loss-Limit: 1% 🛡 Then Your Signal Margin: $1369.86 -------------------- ☄️ En1: 104838.38 (Amount: $136.99) ☄️ En2: 105096.3 (Amount: $479.45) ☄️ En3: 105280.29 (Amount: $616.44) ☄️ En4: 105464.61 (Amount: $136.99) -------------------- ☄️ If All Entries Are Activated, Then: ☄️ Average.En: 105190.14 ($1369.86) -------------------- ☑️ TP1: 104215.87 (+0.93%) (RR:1.27) ☑️ TP2: 103752.49 (+1.37%) (RR:1.88) ☑️ TP3: 103166.5 (+1.92%) (RR:2.63) ☑️ TP4: 102425.86 (+2.63%) (RR:3.6) ☑️ TP5: 101614.34 (+3.4%) (RR:4.66) -------------------- ❌ SL: 105957.69 (-0.73%) (-$10) -------------------- 💯 Maximum.Lev: 75X ⌛️ Trading Type: Swing Trading ‼️ Signal Risk: ⚠️ High-Risk! ⚠️ 🔎 Technical Analysis Breakdown: This technical analysis is based on Price Action, Elliott waves, SMC (Smart Money Concepts), and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts. All entry points, Target Points, and Stop Losses are calculated using professional mathematical formulas. As a result, you can have an optimal trade setup based on great risk management. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your research and trade responsibly. 💡 Stay Updated: Like this technical analysis? Follow me for more in-depth insights, technical setups, and market updates. Let's trade smarter together!
Short
by MergicNet
BTCUSD: Neutral but long term still intact.Bitcoin has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.968, MACD = 1795.700, ADX = 23.670) a direct consequence of last week's correction. That correction is though just a pullback on the 1W timeframe, which is more bullish than ever as it's coming off a May 1W MACD Bullish Cross. Since the 1W MA50 supported April's bottom and produced the current rebound (even ATH has been made) that also respected the powerful P1 trendline, this is a bullish wave similar to all prior since the late 2022 Bear Cycle bottom. As all 3 rallied by +100%, we can stay bullish aiming for 150,000 towards the end of the year. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
BTC eliot wave prediction 106,600$ → 100,300$ → 116,000$ The third extended wave of Bitcoin has completed, and it is now going through a correction phase. Wave 4 corrections often retrace to the 0.382 Fibonacci level. Therefore, a price drop to that level is expected — around $106,600. This correction is unfolding as a W–X–Y pattern. In wave W, the internal ABC subwaves completed with wave C reaching 1.618 times the length of wave A. Currently, Bitcoin is in the rising phase of wave X. No one knows how high wave X will go, but what’s important is that after wave X finishes, one more lower low is expected — again around $106,600. At that price level, I plan to open a $2 billion long position with 10x leverage.
Short
by SPOONY1004
BTC/USDT: Correction to H1 Demand Zone? Multi-Timeframe Strategy🔹 H1 Context (Bullish): - Demand zone (green) below Fib 0.5: Key support. - Breakout (BOS) suggests bullish continuation *after possible correction*. 🔹 M5/M15 Situation (Short-Term): - Price rejecting red zones (immediate resistance). - Scenario 1 (Bearish): → If price respects red zones: Correction toward H1 demand ($103K). → Action: Short trades in M5/M15 targeting green zone. - Scenario 2 (Bullish): → If red zones break: Confirmation of strength (new highs target). 🔹 Risk Management: - Short entries: Rejection at M5/M15 red zones + M1 confirmation. - TP: M15 lows ($103.5K) or H1 demand zone ($103K). - SL: Close above red zones. 🔹 Technical Key: - H2 Order Block as dynamic support: If respected, prevents drop to H1. - Confluence: H1 demand + Fib 0.5 = High-probability area. #BTC #Bitcoin #Trading #Crypto #H1 #M15 #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci
Long
by RentCash